HRE :: Volume #10

#997: Malignant tumor


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Paris erupts the revolutionary the news to spread again, entire European world ignorant circle. First was the revolutionary party changed the life of Bonaparte dynasty, then the radical factions in revolutionary party changed the life of revolutionary party government, now does not know that was what party in the life of leather radical faction government. 巴黎再次爆发革命的消息传开,整个欧洲世界都懵圈了。先是革命党革了波拿巴王朝的命,接着革命党中的激进派又革了革命党政府的命,现在不知道是什么党又在革激进派政府的命。 If counted the guaranteeing king Dang allied armies outside city, France had gathered various group of troops of this time. The reportage writes is using energy, not to mention ate the melon people ordinary. 要是算上城外的保王党联军,法兰西已经汇聚了这个时代的各路人马。新闻报道写着都费劲,更不用说普通吃瓜群众了。 The general public can watch the fun, the politicians had busily. The situation to this situation, this year's war indemnity definitely did not need to think randomly. 普通民众可以看热闹,政客们就有得忙了。局势乱到这个地步,今年的战争赔款肯定是不用想了。 No matter which government mounts the stage, for a short time changes does not disburse money. Counted on that the indemnity of French, the subsidy home country fails now thoroughly. 甭管哪个政府上台,一时半会儿也变不出钱来。指望法国人的赔款,补贴家用的国家现在是彻底落了空。 The Vienna palace, just reached the compromise with Belgium Franz, the present is the worry is being joyful. Without the means that the person who recently came to lend money were getting more and more. 维也纳宫,刚刚和比利时达成妥协的弗朗茨,现在是烦恼并快乐着。没有办法,最近过来借钱的人越来越多了。 If the ordinary business city loans, that simple helped introduce the bank directly on the line. So long as can pay the interest, and there is an enough collateral, the financial system of Holy Roman Empire can help them complete financing. 如果是普通的商业城贷款,那简单直接帮忙介绍银行就行了。只要支付得起利息,并且有足够的抵押品,神圣罗马帝国的金融体系就能够帮他们完成融资。 With defeat of France, after Paris falls into the decline, the financial center in continental Europe turns into Vienna-Frankfurt two to exist side by side. 随着法兰西的战败,巴黎陷入衰落后,欧洲大陆上的金融中心就变成了维也纳-法兰克福两强并立。 The finance also needs with the political hook. After the European war ended, British Austria both countries conducted one time about the secret talk of international situation and post-war reconstruction. 金融也是需要和政治挂钩的。欧陆战争结束后,英两国进行了一次关于国际局势和战后重建的秘密谈判。 Finally naturally is self-evident, having a look at the organization structure of European alliance to know, if both sides discussed gathered together, Britain was also insufficient to be excluded from the alliance. 结果自然是不言而喻,看看欧陆联盟的组织构架就知道,要是双方谈拢了,不列颠也不至于被排斥在联盟之外。 Without a doubt, this is the mutually wounded result. Was squeezed out Britain beyond circle, has dropped the bottom in the past 200 years in the right to speak of continental Europe. Besides to the maritime country a little influence, the mainland country does not buy their accounts now. 毫无疑问,这是两败俱伤的结局。被排挤出圈子之外的不列颠,在欧洲大陆的话语权已经下降到了近200年来的最低点。除了对海洋国家有点儿影响力外,大陆国家现在已经不买他们的账了。 Holy Roman Empire won the victory politically, economically actually faces a blow to the head. The plan that not only finances in London fails, the aegis also encountered the run, the currency value once dropped sharply five points. 神圣罗马帝国在政治上赢得了胜利,经济上却遭到当头一棒。不仅在伦敦融资的计划破产,就连神盾也遭到了挤兑,币值一度大跌五个点。 Only comes under attack does not hit back, is not the Franz style. The English ran on a bank Aegis, launched the attack to the pound that the Vienna government was in sharp opposition. 光挨打不还手,不是弗朗茨的风格。英国人挤兑神盾,维也纳政府针锋相对的向英镑发起了攻击。 Both are the gold standard countries, then interesting appeared. Side exchanges the gold to ship back British Isles with the aegis from Holy Roman, another side also takes the pound to exchange to ship back Holy Roman the gold from Britain. 两家都是金本位国家,然后有趣的一幕就出现了。一边拿神盾从神罗兑换黄金运回英伦三岛,另一边又拿英镑从不列颠将黄金兑出来运回神罗 Both are the gold reserve great nations, tossed about many times back and forth, ate the melon people to look to faint, finally no one could do to anyone. 两家都是黄金储备大国,来来回回的折腾了很多次,吃瓜群众们都要看晕了,最后还是谁也奈何不了谁。 Naturally, this is in the surface, in fact the Vienna government suffers a loss. The finance program is defeated, must stabilize the aegis currency value, the government can only make a great effort to live. 当然,这是表面上的,实际上维也纳政府还是吃了亏。融资计划失败,又要稳定神盾币值,政府只能勒紧裤腰带过日子。 Affected by this, the post-war reconstruction progress came under the influence on the Lorraine, Alsace and other area. Old does not feel better mostly, little brothers' day does not feel better. 受此影响,对洛林、阿尔萨斯等地区的战后重建进度都受到了影响。老大都不好受,小弟们的日子就更不好过了。 Naturally, is unable to finance. Although the British government looks at everyone is not feeling well, but British Financial group welcome God of Wealth very much. But interest compared with normal time, high such hundred million points. 当然,也不是无法进行融资。英国政府虽然看大家不爽,可是英国财团还是很欢迎财神爷的。只不过利息比正常时候,高了那么亿点点。 No matter other countries whether to accept, the Vienna government rather makes a great effort in any case, has not gone to borrow the usury of English. 甭管其他国家能否接受,反正维也纳政府宁愿勒紧裤腰带,也没有去借英国人的高利贷。 Hard times temporary. The capital by the advantage, no one is willing to give up Europe reconstructing this big cake. Even if the British government does not support, cannot block the determination that the capitalist makes money. 苦日子都是暂时的。资本逐利,没有人愿意放弃欧洲重建这块大蛋糕。纵使英国政府不支持,也挡不住资本家赚钱的决心。 Especially from European flowed in the fund in London market, takes the lead to start to backflow continental Europe, relayed after Vienna and Frankfurt two big money markets, enters in the post-war reconstruction project. 尤其是原先从欧陆流入伦敦市场上的资金,率先开始回流欧洲大陆,经过维也纳和法兰克福两大金融市场中转,进入到了战后重建项目中。 money although had, but is no one can borrow. In some sense, in the capital market, the country and individual is powerhouse permanent, the weak one is weaker. 钱虽然有了,但也不是谁都能够借走的。某种意义上来说,在资本市场上,国家和个人都是“强者恒强,弱者愈弱”。 Is the rich country, is easier to borrow money ; More does not have the country of money, is more difficult to melt the capital. 越是有钱的国家,越容易借到钱;越是没钱的国家,越难融到资。 The family property abundant Vienna government naturally is capital market's excellent customer, poor and blank Belgium, Sardinia and Lucca, Tuscany and other countries on the tragedy, their prestige were insufficient, could not put out enough collateral, financing was bogged down in difficulties. 家底雄厚的维也纳政府自然是资本市场的优质客户,一穷二白的比利时、撒丁、卢卡,托斯卡纳等国就悲剧了,自身的信誉不够,又拿不出足够的抵押品,融资就陷入了困境。 Two Franz are glad to display big brother’s spirit very much, but closes to lend money now, Franz on headache. 一个两个弗朗茨很乐意表现出大哥的气概,可是现在一拥而上来借钱,弗朗茨就头疼了。 In fact, this is the first time that not various countries lent money. From the anti-France war, this group of little brothers basically are the Vienna government disburse money to raise. 事实上,这已经不是各国第一次借钱了。从反法战争开始,这帮小弟基本上都是维也纳政府出钱养着的。 Does not calculate does not know, calculates to have a scare. This group of bean Ding small countries each one are trillion lost/carrying old men, by their economic conditions, repayments and other next century will say again! 不算不知道,一算吓一跳。这帮豆丁小国个个都是亿万负翁,以他们的经济情况来看,还款等下个世纪再说吧! If only these , is not unacceptable. Has the political large return, the fund returns to this time steadily is not any major problem. 如果只是这些,也不是不能接受。有政治上的丰厚回报,资金回本时间长一点儿也不是什么大问题。 The key is the development economic needs direction, the post-war reconstruction was not light/only rich on the line. Although Belgium loses seriously, but others industry background also, so long as there is a fund quickly to get back. 关键是发展经济需要方向,战后重建也不是光有钱就行了。比利时虽然损失惨重,但人家工业底子还在,只要有资金很快就可以恢复过来。 This Italian state on the real tragedy, wanted the resources not to have the resources, wanted the industry not to have the industry, even developed existence that agricultural that was still hung to hit, what was most essential was the land cannot support so many population limitedly. 这个意大利邦国就真的悲剧了,要资源没资源,要工业没工业,就算是发展农业那也是被吊打的存在,最关键的是土地有限养不活这么多人口。 The following French mixed, besides few handicraft industry, they are mainly acting as the outlet for goods, with output of labor role. 原本跟着法国人混的时候,除了少量的手工业外,他们主要充当着商品销售市场,和劳动力输出的角色。 With the collapse of French empire, this frail industry chain also collapsed. Holy Roman Empire only needs the outlet for goods, actually does not need these labor forces. 随着法兰西帝国的崩溃,这条脆弱的产业链也崩溃了。神圣罗马帝国只需要商品销售市场,却不需要这些劳动力。 How the useless, present economic development has not arrived again inexpensive that step, the job that in the society can create is limited, puts these people to come, is looking for trouble for oneself. 再怎么廉价也没用,现在的经济发展还没到那一步,社会上能够创造的工作岗位有限,放这些人进来,就是在给自己找麻烦。 Leaves their choices only to have the use cheap labor, the development does not have the work crowded industry of technique content, thus drives the domestic economic development. 留给他们的选择唯有利用廉价劳动力,发展没有技术含量的劳动密集产业,从而带动国内经济发展。 The issue is Franz knows uselessly, wants rulers to understand, can unify the actual situation, formulates the reasonable economic development policy. 问题是弗朗茨知道没用,要各国统治者们自己明白,才能结合自身实际情况,制定出合理的经济发展政策。 However, this world's most is the person who lacks the self- cognition. Seven Italian state, do not have one to arrive on regularly. 然而,这个世界上最多的就是缺乏自我认知的人。七个意大利邦国,就没有一个走到正规上。 The fellow who have grand plans but little skill, thinks intelligently excellent, follows close on the trend of the times in abundance, comes up to play the electricity and internal combustion engine these high tech, the airplane and some battleship these top project people dare to initiate a project. 一个个眼高手低的家伙,自以为聪明过人,纷纷紧跟时代潮流,一上来就玩儿电气、内燃机这些高科技,就连飞机、战列舰这些顶尖项目都有人敢立项。 Good, this is the Franz pot. The Vienna government works as the national policy the technical powerful nation long time ago, now has become the social consensus, the little brothers were also coming under the influence. 好吧,这是弗朗茨锅。维也纳政府早早就把科技强国当国策,现在已经成为了社会共识,连带着小弟们也受到了影响。 Cannot speak incorrectly, the issue develops the science and technology also to need the industrial infrastructure. The foundation does not have, comes up to rub to most front, that will be will plunge to death. 不能说错了,问题是发展科技也是需要工业基础的。基础都没有,一上来就蹭到最前沿,那是会摔死的。 Borrows money with great difficulty, is given to waste in vain by the fellow who these had grand plans but little skill. But backward capacity that the Vienna government intends to eliminate, first jumps unexpectedly is the industrial infrastructure best Belgium that takes over a business. 好不容易借到钱,就被这些眼高手低的家伙白白给浪费掉了。而维也纳政府有意淘汰的落后产能,最先跳出来接盘的居然是工业基础最好的比利时。 The little brothers are not free from worry, the eldest child naturally must have a headache. Whose money is not the gale blows, according to their tossing about laws, without billions cannot see the achievement. 小弟们不省心,老大自然要头疼了。谁的钱都不是大风刮来的,按照他们这种折腾法,没有几十亿根本就看不到成果。 Are some so much money, remaining developing themselves is not good? Who special the brain is remnant, must borrow to throw away carelessly. 有这么多钱,留着发展自身不好么?谁特么脑残,要借出去打水漂。 Truth seldom sounds pleasant, not necessarily is effective. Franz does not think oneself reminded, can remind that this group lacked the fellow who the society beat mercilessly, persuading everyone to return to the matter that proper way output did not flatter, he will not naturally do. 忠言逆耳,却不一定有效。弗朗茨不认为自己提醒一下,就能够点醒这帮缺少社会毒打的家伙,劝说大家回归正途这种出力不讨好的事情,他自然是不会干了。 ...... …… Franz: If we refuse to give them to provide the loan, will have the tremendous impact?” 弗朗茨:“假如我们拒绝给他们提供贷款,会造成多大的影响?” Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ In diplomacy has minimal impact, the French civil war ended to near, the European situation basically was stabilized, some disturbances could not affect the international situation. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“外交上的影响不大,法兰西内战结束在即,欧陆局势基本上算是稳定了,些许风波影响不到国际局势。 By Sardinia and Lucca, Modena, Palma, Tuscany, Papal States, two Sicilia these country present situations, refuse to give them to lend the loan are also fair. ” 撒丁、卢卡,摩德纳,帕尔马,托斯卡纳,教皇国,两西西里这些国家现在的情况,拒绝给他们发放贷款也是合情合理的。” No one stipulated that the eldest child must raise the little brother. The Vienna government has not taken away anything from various countries, is helps them gain the independence on the contrary, provided the big financial aids, doing enough are many. 没有谁规定老大就一定要养着小弟了。维也纳政府又没有从各国拿走什么,反倒是帮他们获得独立,又提供了大笔资金援助,做得已经足够多了。 If who feels is not content, wants to quest for Sichuan after conquering Gansu, that must ask that the iron fist of empire did comply. 谁要是觉得不知足,想要得陇望蜀,那就要问帝国的铁拳答不答应了。 To jump counter- simply, first asked that which country dares to accept them. The present European situation is clear, that is Holy Roman Empire one-party rule, asks to prepare for toward in cuts off claw. 想要跳反简单,先问一下哪个国家敢收下他们。眼下的欧陆局势非常明朗,那就是神圣罗马帝国一家独大,往里面伸手就要做好被斩断爪子的准备。 Economy minister Rinehart: „ Economical issue is big. In fact, the capitalist economy supplyment and requirement had had the problem, because just the European war delayed the crisis. 经济大臣莱因哈特:“经济上的问题非常大。事实上,资本主义经济市场供需早就出现了问题,只不过因为欧陆战争延缓了危机。 The present market boom establishes the giant bubble in war dividend, any place has the problem, may cause the bubble to be pierced. 眼下的市场繁荣只是建立在战争红利上的巨大泡沫,任何一个地方出现问题,都有可能导致泡沫被捅破。 Without the loan support, the economy of Italian area will collapse quickly. May become the blasting fuse of crisis very much, detonates to be brewing the economic crisis. ” 没有贷款支持,意大利地区的经济很快就会崩溃。很有可能成为危机的导火索,引爆正在酝酿中的经济危机。” No one expected that economic crisis, that is not possible. In fact, before each economic crisis breaks out, will have the indication signal to appear. Insiders first responded that does not send out the crisis to forewarn, but first retreats. 没有人预料到经济危机,那是不可能的。事实上,每一次经济危机爆发前,都会有征兆信号出现。知情者们的第一反应不是发出危机预警,而是抢先进行撤退。 In fact, sounding the early warning is also useless. The market always needs the taking over a business hero, bubble burst will definitely lay down an important goods child person, can change nothing who the buried person is. 事实上,发出预警也没有用。市场总是需要接盘侠的,泡沫破灭肯定会埋下一大帮子人,能够改变的无非是被埋的人是谁。 The war later great depression, is in itself the economical natural law. Now does not have the eruption great depression, was mainly the economy of Holy Roman Empire supported. 大战之后大萧条,本身就是经济自然规律。现在没有爆发大萧条,主要是神圣罗马帝国的经济支撑了起来。 However, this type of support also risky. Similar to the malignant tumor of person, the time of leaving behind is longer, the brought injury is bigger. 然而,这种支撑也是有风险的。就如同人身上的毒瘤,留下的时间越长,带来的伤害就越大。 Without the means that something must die to conduct the shoulder. Just became European hegemon, the Vienna government also needed the time consolidated position. 没有办法,有些事情必须要死扛着。刚刚成为欧陆霸主,维也纳政府也需要时间巩固地位。 Erupted a dark war with the English, if led to the economic crisis at this time, the hegemon power and prestige that Holy Roman Empire hits with great difficulty, must be diluted. 恰好又和英国人爆发了一场暗战,要是这个时候爆发经济危机,神圣罗马帝国好不容易打出来的霸主威风,就要被冲淡了。 Perhaps is perceived that the danger, the Gladstone administration wanted to move out, does not want at own term's final time detonation crisis, exploratory came after one wave, received the hand decisively. 或许是觉察到了危险,格莱斯顿政府想要全身而退,不想在自己任期的最后时间引爆危机,试探性的来了一波过后,就果断收了手。 After hesitant moment time, Franz said slowly: „! Sooner or later will arrive this step, does not need dead to support. 犹豫了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨缓缓说道:“罢了!早晚都会走到这一步,也没必要死撑着了。 Told all governments, if wanted to obtain the loan, put out a perfect economic development plan to convince the bank, we did not have the ability to continue for them to provide the guarantee. ” 告诉各国政府,如果想要获得贷款,就拿出一份完善的经济发展规划去说服银行,我们没有能力继续为他们提供担保了。” Said frankly, Franz most does not want to lead to the economic crisis. As the world's largest economy, Holy Roman Empire grabs capitalist country economy half of shares. 坦率的说,弗朗茨是最不希望爆发经济危机的。作为全球第一大经济体,神圣罗马帝国一家就占据资本主义世界经济一半的份额。 Once leads to the economic crisis, the loss of Holy Roman Empire definitely is most serious. Which economical backward feudalism agriculture countries on the contrary is, the received impact is relatively small. 一旦爆发经济危机,神圣罗马帝国的损失肯定是最惨重的。反倒是哪些经济落后的封建农业国家,受到的冲击相对较小。 But does not have the means that depends upon the strength postponement crisis of government to erupt, has certain limit. No one knows when this malignant tumor will be detonated, others detonates with its, might as well oneself puncture on own initiative, but can also have certain initiative. 可是没有办法,依靠政府的力量延缓危机爆发,也是有一定限度的。谁也不知道这个毒瘤什么时候就会被引爆,与其等别人去引爆,还不如自己主动戳破,还能够掌握一定的主动权。 As for the shift crisis, is naturally dry. The issue is today was different from the past, the Holy Roman Empire economical mass is so big, even if conducted to shift, still no one can catch. 至于转移危机,自然是要干的。问题是今日不同于往日,神圣罗马帝国经济体量这么大,就算是进行转移了,也没有谁能够接得住。 As sequela that the European war continues, at the beginning of the war ended on this/should eruption. Can drag the present, is not easy. 作为欧陆战争延续下来的后遗症,早在战争结束之初就该爆发的。能够拖到了现在,已经是非常不容易了。 Even government multiple administrative intervention economy, but the crisis or the crisis, will not vanish into thin air along with several administrative orders. In brief, this bitter fruit Franz must swallow. 即便是政府多次行政干预经济,但危机还是危机,不会伴随着几道行政命令就烟消云散的。总之,这枚苦果弗朗茨必须要吞下。 The only difference lies in this time is not the pure overcapacity, but is various industrial development is imbalanced. Was mainly affected by the war, was excessive with the defense related industrial development. 唯一不同之处在于这次不是单纯的产能过剩,而是各产业发展不均衡。主要是受战争影响,和军工相关的产业发展过头了。 The market eliminates freely is the economic crisis, the smart person has gained enough, retreated from the relevant area. Now the remaining taking over a business heroes are also having the dream of riches, was fantasizing the French civil war or is west the day the war magnification. 市场自由淘汰就是经济危机,聪明人早就赚够了,从相关领域撤退了。现在剩下的接盘侠还做着发财梦,一个个都幻想着法兰西内战或者是日西战争扩大化。 Made the wealth not to know, the war was in any case impossible to magnify. London, Vienna, has not been ready for war. 发不发得了财不知道,反正战争是不可能扩大化了。无论是伦敦、还是维也纳,都没有做好战争的准备。 The war is not the child crosses each family, only if were compelled the corner, otherwise without certain assurance, who silly and does a great nation make war? 战争又不是小孩子过家家,除非是被逼到了墙角,要不然没有一定的把握,谁会傻乎乎的和一个大国开战啊? British Austria both countries do not get angry directly, how the client war hits again, the scale is no bigger. Can help clean up the stock very is not easy, wants to make the war wealth to go home to wash to rest! 两国不直接翻脸,代理人战争再怎么打,规模都大不到哪里去。能够帮忙清理库存就很不容易了,想要发战争财回家洗洗睡吧! ...... …… Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Your majesty, day west war, although is also at the deeply worried condition, the hope that but judging from the present situation, the Spanish wins is uncertain. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,日西战争虽然还处于焦灼状态,但是从目前的情况来看,西班牙人获胜的希望已经非常渺茫了。 According to material that Governor Southeast Asia transmits, erupts from the war now, the Spanish Expeditionary force had died in battle 27,000 people, including 3400 navies ; But the Japanese forces died in battle 39,000 people, the naval officers died in battle more than 5700 people. 根据南洋总督传来的资料,从战争爆发到现在,西班牙远征军已经阵亡了2.7万人,其中包括3400名海军;而日军则阵亡了3.9万人,其中海军官兵阵亡5700余人。 The Spanishs had the advantage in the exchange ratio, but this advantage is not distinct. The Japanese occupied benefitted, the supplement speed of their army was much faster. 西班牙人在交换比上占据了优势,但是这个优势并不明显。日本人占据了地利,他们军队的补充速度要快得多。 If in the battlefield does not have the big change , to continue to consume, Spain defeats is only the time issue. ” 如果战场上没有大的变化,继续这么耗下去,西班牙战败只是时间问题。” Exchange compared with dominant, is not because the Spanish army can hit, is mainly disparity on the weaponry. If the technological gap on both sides warship is ten years, then the disparity of army armament equipment is a time. 交换比占优势,不是因为西班牙军队更能打,主要是武器装备上的差距。如果说双方军舰上的技术差距是十年,那么陆军武器装备的差距就是一个时代。 Can at the disparity of weaponry backward time, make nearly 1.4 : 1 score, Franz somewhat suspected that the Japanese opened hangs. 能够以武器装备落后一个时代的差距,打出近乎1.4:1战绩,弗朗茨都有些怀疑日本人是不是开挂了。 The Spanishs also did the schoolwork, the European alliance implemented the commodity embargo to the Japanese long time ago, even if some people smuggle to wander about destitute in the weaponry to Japanese forces hand is not many. 西班牙人也是做了功课的,欧陆联盟早早就对日本人实施了物资禁运,纵使有人走私流落到日军手中的武器装备也不会太多。 This point Franz has the right to speak, the Holy Roman Empire navy makes the rounds of guard posts in the Suez Canal, Straits of Malacca and other sea key communication lines frequently, in the smuggling ammunition ship half-way was much cooler. 这一点弗朗茨是有发言权的,神圣罗马帝国的海军可是经常在苏伊士运河、马六甲海峡等海上交通要道查岗,走私的军火船半道上就凉得差不多了。 Even if can also obtain the equipment from a native of Britain hand, but this army material King of year must look at the Holy Roman empire, next is France, the weaponry of lobster soldier is really not much. 就算是还可以从英国人手中获得装备,但这年头的陆军装备王者还是要看神罗帝国,其次是法兰西,龙虾兵的武器装备还真不怎么样。
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