HRE :: Volume #9

#874: Strategic analysis

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Since the end of Andkhoy offensive and defensive operations, the Russian force obtained a standpoint in the Afghan area finally, obtained temporarily was in the lead. 随着安德胡伊攻防战的结束,俄军终于在阿富汗地区获得了一个立足点,取得了暂时领先。 The news passes to Vienna, is half a month later matter. Pays close attention to Franz of War in Afghanistan, at this moment is staring at the Central Asia map research. 消息传到维也纳,已经是半个月后的事情了。密切关注阿富汗战争的弗朗茨,此刻正盯着中亚地图研究。 He acknowledged that the Andkhoy scenery is very good, each mountain valley is a scenic spot, raising the head is the snowy mountain, lowering the head is the green space, to look into the distance has the waterfall, near view has the fruit tree. 他承认安德胡伊风景很不错,每一个山谷都是一个风景点,抬头是雪山,低头是绿地,远望有瀑布,近观有果树。 But the Russia person hits from afar, always not possible to go to Andkhoy looks at the scenery? 可是俄国人万里迢迢打过去,总不可能为了去安德胡伊看风景吧？ Besides scenery good, the local natural condition relatively was also liberal, can be the land of riches in Afghan area. 除了风景不错外,当地的自然条件也相对优渥,算得上是阿富汗地区的富庶之地了。 As for the strategic value, said frankly Franz does not think here importantly. 至于战略价值,坦率的说弗朗茨并不认为这里有多重要。 Strategically, Russia person captures the west Herat province area, captures the east Wakhan Corridor, is more valuable than the Andkhoy area. 从战略上来看,俄国人无论是夺取偏西的赫拉特地区,还是夺取东边的瓦罕走廊,都比安德胡伊地区有价值。 Especially Wakhan Corridor, the cross past was British India. 尤其是瓦罕走廊,跨过去就是英属印度。 As qualified eating melon people, most important is the curiosity, Franz is no exception. 作为一名合格的吃瓜群众,最重要的就是要有一颗好奇心,弗朗茨也不例外。 Own military level cannot look at the real motive of Russia person limitedly, that finds can look at the person to ask, the Austria advantage may raise an important goods child staff officer, considered the temporary inspection. 自己的军事水平有限看不出来俄国人的真实目的,那就找看得出来的人问,奥地利可养着一大帮子参谋,就当是临时考核了。 The Vienna palace, Franz summons Austria to benefit the General Staff Headquarters temporarily several promising youth. 维也纳宫,弗朗茨临时召见了奥地利总参谋部的几名后起之秀。 „The British and Russian war has broken out nearly for a month, the Russia person who first begins, has not assembled captures the strategic point Herat province and Wakhan Corridor with large army, instead attacked and captured Andkhoy. You thought that what the real motive of Russian force commander is?” “英俄战争已经爆发快一个月了,抢先动手的俄国人,没有调集重兵夺取战略要地赫拉特和瓦罕走廊,反而攻克了安德胡伊。你们觉得俄军指挥官的真实目的是什么？” This does not have the delivering proposition of answer together, what test is the brain hole. The rational analysis, even/including veiled brings to guess. 这是一道没有答案的送命题,考验的是脑洞。理性分析也罢,连蒙带猜也可以。 It looks like in Franz, this topic suitable luck quite good person reply. 在弗朗茨看来,这道题适合运气比较好的人回答。 After all the final result, has the possibility and Russian force commander's initial plan is entirely different. How rational rational analysis, cannot resist in the battlefield ever changing. 毕竟最终的结果,很有可能和俄军指挥官最初的计划截然不同。怎么理性理性分析,也抵不住战场上千变万化。 To the soldier, the luck is also very important. Although a little superstitious flavor, but sometimes does not believe that is not good. 对军人来说,运气也是非常重要的。虽然有点儿迷信的味道,但有时候不相信都不行。 One is by the tens of thousands dry the merit bone, can kill the general from the battlefield, besides the personal ability, the luck ingredient is also important. 一将功成万骨枯,能够从战场上一路杀出来的将军,除了个人能力之外,运气的成分也非常重要。 The luck not good fellows dropped down on the halfway, this point turns the military academy record that Austria benefits know. 运气不好的家伙都在半路上倒下了,这一点翻一翻奥地利的军校记录就知道。 Every year the result ranks the forefront military academy to live, the personal ability is not bad, but can mix was still only a few. 每年成绩排名最前面的军校生,个人能力都不差,但是能够混出来的仍然只是少数。 Remaining is the unlucky eggs, for example: In the battlefield leads in the box lunch and training were injured the retirement and this/should promotion the time suddenly makes a mistake...... 剩下的都是倒霉蛋,比如说:战场上领了盒饭、训练中受伤退役、该提拔的时候突然犯错误…… „ Your majesty, Andkhoy may is only the Russian force makes a feint, is used to confuse the English. “陛下,安德胡伊有可能只是俄军虚晃一枪,用来迷惑英国人的。 Although the offensive direction of Russian force is indefinite, however their ultimate strategic goals are clear, why no matter regarding capturing the Afghan area launches. 俄军的进攻方向虽然不确定,但是他们的最终战略目的是明确的,不管干什么都是围绕着夺取阿富汗地区展开的。 I thought that Russia next should be the Herat province, the English deployed the large army in the area, the loss of storm is too big. 我觉得俄国下一步应该是赫拉特,英国人在当地部署了重兵,强攻的损失太大。 Perhaps the Russian force commanders want to break free from the convention, chooses an unexpected attack route, for example: Studied the Mongolian in the past big outflanked circuitously. 或许俄军指挥官想要打破常规,挑选一条出人意料的进攻路线,比如说:学习蒙古人当年的大迂回包抄。 Forcefully since Persia encroaches upon, alternates the rear area of Herat province, shuts off the escape route of garrison troops, then besieges. ” 强行从波斯借道,穿插到赫拉特的后方,切断守军的后路,然后进行围攻。” Is the plan of Colonel pill feasible, without the local detail, Franz is unable to draw a conclusion, but this brain hole is first regarded as positive. 丹克上校的计划可不可行,没有当地的详细资料,弗朗茨无法下结论,不过这个脑洞首先就值得肯定。 Innumerable classical combat examples through the ages, depend upon the average man not unimaginable brain hole, in addition most important luck. 古往今来的无数经典战例,都是依靠常人无法想象的脑洞,再加上最重要的运气。 To duplicate this success, is almost not possible. Outflanks the tactic greatly circuitously is also so, the Mongolian played successfully, was not equal to that the Russia person can also imitate. 想要复制这种成功,几乎是不可能的。大迂回包抄战术也是如此,蒙古人玩儿成功了,不等于俄国人也能够效仿。 If by some chance the Persian head/number of people iron, did not coordinate the action of Russia person, dispatched troops to intercept the Russian force to encroach upon, that had the pleasure to look. 万一波斯人头铁了一回,不配合俄国人的行动,出兵拦截了俄军借道,那就有乐子瞧了。 Has not conducted any review, Franz shows a faint smile to Colonel pill, then told to nearby aide: „First records, does everyone have the different views?” 没有进行任何点评,弗朗茨只是对丹克上校微微一笑,然后对旁边的侍从吩咐道:“先记录下来,大家还有不同的看法么？” Benefits the brain hole biggest department as Austria, has not unified the opinion time, the Franz words just fell to the ground , the military officer opened the mouth. 作为奥地利脑洞最大的部门,从来都没有统一意见的时候,弗朗茨的话刚落地,又有一名军官开口了。 „ Your majesty, I felt the commanders of Russian force are pure to seize Andkhoy, does not have other goal. “陛下,我觉得俄军的指挥官就是单纯的为了占领安德胡伊,没有别的目的。 The geographical qualification analysis from Afghanistan, the natural condition relatively is relatively good, the land fertile area, only then the Andkhoy area and Herat province area, other areas relatively are barren. 从阿富汗的地理条件分析,自然条件相对较好、土地相对肥沃的地区,就只有安德胡伊地区和赫拉特地区,其它地区都相对贫瘠。 The Russian force is flaunting now banner that liberates the Afghan area, with afghan's relations temporarily also good, once after seizing these two areas, can obtain some grain to act as the supplies from the local area. 俄军现在打着解放阿富汗地区的旗号,和阿富汗人的关系暂时还不错,一旦占领了这两个地区后,就可以从当地获得一部分粮食充当补给。 The logistics system of Russian force is chaotic, as the frontline commander, should be clear about the attribute of domestic that group of bureaucrats. 俄军的后勤体系非常混乱,作为前线的指挥官,应该清楚国内那帮官僚的属性。 This war starts ahead of time, the logistical materials of frontline units are insufficient, rapidness that too if in the battlefield advances, the logistics may have problems anytime. 这次战争又是提前发动的,前线部队的后勤物资并不充足,如果战场上推进的太快,后勤随时都有可能出问题。 Changing me is the Russian force commander, must first consider how to solve the logistic problem, at least needs to guarantee that the frontline army will not have an empty stomach, how rather than to win. 换我是俄军指挥官,首先要考虑的就是如何解决后勤问题,至少要保证前线的部队不会饿肚子,而不是如何获得胜利。 The British armed forces in the Herat province area deployment large army , only then the Andkhoy area that the Russian force can capture with ease. Seized the local area, at least can solve the eating meal problems of tens of thousands Russian force. 英军在赫拉特地区部署重兵,俄军能够轻松夺取的只有安德胡伊地区。占领了当地,至少可以解决几万俄军的吃饭问题。 From this perspective, the Russia person captures the strategic significance of Andkhoy, compared with not capturing Wakhan Corridor small many. ” 从这方面来说,俄国人夺取安德胡伊的战略意义,并不比夺取瓦罕走廊小多少。” Although is somewhat hard to accept, but Franz thinks really may happen. After all the Russia bureaucrat was a mysterious lifeform, pit dead frontline the matter of combat unit has happened innumerable. 尽管有些难以接受,不过弗朗茨还是认为真的有可能发生。毕竟俄国官僚是一种神奇的生物,坑死前线的作战部队的事情已经发生过无数次了。 Britain , Russia are the great nation, the Afghan area have vital strategic significance to both countries, this was doomed the war is not the short time can finish. 英俄都是大国,阿富汗地区对两国都有非常重要的战略意义,这就注定了战争不是短时间就能够结束的。 First does not find the way to solve the eating meal problem of army, if encounters the situation, that ended the calf. 不先想办法解决部队的吃饭问题,万一遇到突发情况,那就完犊子了。 Perhaps in average person opinion, the Andkhoy area most solves the eating meal problems of tens of thousands Russian force, but Franz does not think so. 或许在一般人看来,安德胡伊地区最多解决几万俄军的吃饭问题,但是弗朗茨不这么看。 If to the critical moment, this area can rescue the life of Russian force. After all the grain insufficiently eats, but can also go out to snatch the native. 要是到了关键时刻,这一地区就能救下俄军的命。毕竟粮食不够吃,还可以出去抢当地人的。 The complete solution grain question is impossible, but the grain ration of moon/month, collects hopefully. 完全解决粮食问题不可能,但是个把月的口粮,还是有希望筹集到的。 The strategic resources are insufficient, at the worst stops attacking, constructs the fortification to reduce the consumption. So long as does not make everyone has an empty stomach, other issue all said. 战略物资不足,大不了停止进攻,就地构筑防御工事减少消耗。只要不让大家饿肚子,别的问题一切好说。 As for offending the issue of afghan, to that situation, it is estimated that had no Russian force commanders also to care. 至于得罪阿富汗人的问题,到了那种地步,估计没有哪个俄军指挥官还会在乎。 ...... …… The mysterious brain holes, making Franz fresh. If not knows that these blindly guessed, he must suspect that the Russian force commanders are the present age stars, captures some Andkhoy also so many ways. 一个个神奇的脑洞,令弗朗茨耳目一新。如果不是知道到这些都是瞎猜的,他都要怀疑俄军指挥官是不是当世名将,夺取安德胡伊还有这么多门道。
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