Perhapsbenefitsstemming fromdisgustingAustria, the ranchplan of Frenchhas not kept secret, makesshortly after the decisionin the Parisgovernment, issued the newsto the outside world.
或许是出于恶心奥地利,法国人的大农场计划没有保密,在巴黎政府做出决定后不久,就向外界发布了消息。Thisisunderstandable, the insurrectionary army'seighthdivision who this momentKhodierand the othersledhas inflated80,000greatness, mustbreak100,000shortly.
这是可以理解的,此刻胡蒂尔等人率领的起义军第八师已经膨胀到了八万之巨,眼瞅着就要突破十万大关了。Battle efficiencyhowregardless of the time being, but the destructive powerFrenchhas asked for advice. Thismotley crewarmy, walkedonlyto dotwomatters: Expands manpower the armycrazilyandgrabs the manor.
战斗力怎么样姑且不论,但是破坏力法国人已经领教到了。这支乌合之众部队,一路走来只干了两件事:疯狂扩编部队和劫掠庄园。Khodierand the othersbrought into full play the style of bullying the weak and fearing the strong, the Frenchtook strict precautions against the city that clung to tenaciouslynot to bumptotally, selected the strengthweakvillage and smalltownto startspecially.
胡蒂尔等人充分发挥了欺软怕硬的风格,法国人严防死守的城市一概不碰,专挑实力薄弱的乡村、小城镇下手。Even ifmostsoldierstake the cold weapons, by the advantage of human wave attack, thatstillsweeps away all obstacles.
即便是大部分士兵都拿着冷兵器,靠人海战术的优势,那也是一路所向披靡。In fact, every so oftendoes not needto attack, looks at a quantity of rebel army, garrison troopsalong the wayfled at the mere distant sight.
事实上,很多时候都不需要进攻,望一眼叛军的数量,沿途的守军都望风而逃了。Has the general knowledge the resistance, is the militarydisadvantage is too mainly serious, the French armed forcessoldiers in smalltownare too few, the Egyptianis also unreliable.
不是没有常识过抵抗,主要是兵力劣势太严重,小城镇中的法军士兵太少,埃及人又靠不住。
The concentration of effortstations the bigcity, is the optimization. Generally speaking, so long as the French armed forcessoldierssurpass1000, the eighthdivisionwill not get refused.
集中兵力驻防大城市,才是最佳选择。一般来说,只要法军士兵超过一千,第八师就不会去碰钉子。Diesto knockis not meaningful, is notfights for state power. The directwavewas good, snatches the matter of domainto doby the rearinsurrectionary army.
死磕没有任何意义,又不是过来打天下的。直接浪就行了,抢地盘的事情由后方的起义军来干。Has the eighthdivisionto alternateto scurry about, French armed forces of Egyptianareaalsomiss the opportunity of againbuilding up, has tooperate independently.
有第八师穿插乱窜,埃及地区的法军也丧失了再次集结的机会,不得不各自为战。
The French armed forcessoldiers who after allcanhitare few, mostarmiesare the colonyarmies, defends a city, goes outto fight the field operationalsoto compare to the troops fighting in a good causeto lose.
毕竟能打的法军士兵少,大部分军队都是殖民地部队,守城还可以,出去打野战也就比起义军强一丢丢。Tossed about such bigsound, the French governmentnaturewas uncomfortable. Is uncomfortablein line withme, spirit that do not wantto feel better, the Frenchlaid cards on the tabledirectly.
折腾出了这么大的动静,法国政府自然不爽了。本着我难受,你也不要想好过的精神,法国人就直接亮牌了。Thenallagriculturalstocks, startto fall suddenly. Onegroup of conceitedexperts, bravewrite off the agriculturalstock, and what is morethinks the newroundagricultural crisisdirectlyat present.
然后所有的农业股票,都都开始暴跌。一群自以为是的专家学者,纷纷冒出来唱衰农业股,更有甚者直接认为新一轮的农业危机就在眼前。Good, thesecalculates that timetheyhoodwinkedright. In the futurea long time, is engaged in the agricultural production the enterprise, the daywill not feel better, witheverysituationdaydescribed that perhapsis quite appropriate.
好吧,这一次算他们蒙对了。未来很长一段时间内,从事农业生产的企业,日子都不会好过,用每况日下来形容或许比较贴切。Even the Frenchdoes not comethiswave, the agricultural crisisto erupt. With the constant development of chemical fertilizertechnology, the grainovercapacityis the inevitable trend.
就算法国人不来这一波,农业危机还是会爆发。随着化肥技术的不断发展,粮食产能过剩是必然趋势。EvenAustriabenefitssuchgrainexporter, does not promote the industrialchemical fertilizertechnology, thesegrainimporterswill still promote.
就算奥地利这样的粮食出口国,不去推广工业化肥技术,那些粮食进口国也会推动。Althoughdoes not have the later generationto use the chemical fertilizeroutputto growseveraltimes is so swift and violent, but the outputgrows0%dozens, canhave.
虽然没有后世使用化肥产量增长几倍那么迅猛,可是产量增长百分之几十,还是可以有的。
The graincapacitycanconsiderablygrow, however the graindemand in market, actuallynot possibleoneyearto rise suddenlyso many.
粮食产能可以大幅度增长,然而市场上的粮食需求量,却不可能一年暴涨那么多。
The phosphate fertilizer was born, andstartedto utilizemassively; The potassium fertilizer the laboratorybirthinimperial academy of science, without the promotiontomaintain the grain priceis stable.
磷肥已经诞生,并且开始大规模运用了;钾肥已经在皇家科学院的实验室诞生,没有推广就是为了维护粮食价格稳定。As for the followingammoniafatandcompound fertilizer, did not have the shadowtemporarily. The demand of humanisto promote the technology advancementsourcepower, nowAustriabenefitsisunderpoweredthat.
至于后面的氨肥、复合肥,暂时还没有影子。人类的需求是推动技术进步的源动力,现在奥地利就属于动力不足的那种。Formakesmoreprofitsin the agricultural export, togreatlyenhances the chemical fertilizerengineering research of graincapacity, Franzis not very positive.
为了在农产品出口中赚取更多的利润,对大规模提高粮食产能的化肥技术研究,弗朗茨并不是很积极。Tolater generationmanyorganic foodsesteem, perhapsthisis the bestage, without the pureorganic foods of usechemical fertilizeragricultural chemicals, the avenueis.
对后世很多绿色食品推崇者来说,或许这是最好的年代,没有使用化肥农药的纯绿色食品,满大街都是。By the influence of Frenchranchplan, the worldmajorgrainexporterswere presentedpanic in the varying degrees.
受法国大农场计划的影响,世界各大粮食出口国都出现了不同程度上的恐慌。
......
……St. Petersburg, as the world's largest unprocessed food grainsexporter, the Tsargovernmentmosthas a headachewithout doubt.
圣彼得堡,作为全世界最大的原粮出口国,沙皇政府无疑是最头疼的。Alexander IIIhas personally experienced the agricultural crisis, is the Tsargovernmentin the previouscrisisis panic, stupidlyran and Englishsigns the notoriousgrainto trade the loan agreement.
亚历山大三世是亲身经历过农业危机的,正是在上一次危机中沙皇政府惊慌失措,傻乎乎跑去和英国人签订了臭名昭著的粮食换贷款协议。Thisis one of the Alexander IIfewblackhistory, was flickeredto lackby the English, joinedpound- goldensystem.
这是亚历山大二世为数不多的黑历史之一,被英国人忽悠缺了,加入了英镑-黄金体系。Even ifdepended on the account of Englishfinally, synthesizesRussian Empireto lose moneytens of millionsrubles, the politicallossis unable to estimate.
即便是最后赖了英国人的账,综合下来俄罗斯帝国还是亏损数千万卢布,政治上的损失更是无法估量。
After having had an experience, Alexander IIIrealized the agricultureto the Russiaimportance, in the changetointernational grain marketpays more attentionespecially.
有过一次经验教训后,亚历山大三世意识到了农业对俄国的重要性,对国际粮食市场上的变动更是格外关注。„Ranchplan that French announced that how did yousee?”
“法国人公布的大农场计划,你们怎么看?”Agriculture ministerPowellShaque'sbitter and astringentsaying: „ Thiswaspassessimplybad. At presentEuropeneeds the massive importgrain the countries and regions, is mainly Britain, the northernGermany and Italianarea.
农业大臣鲍尔沙克苦涩的说道:“这简直是糟糕透了。目前欧洲需要大量进口粮食的国家和地区,主要是不列颠、北德意志和意大利地区。RemainingSwitzerland, Belgium, Spain, Portugaland othercountries, although is also the grainimporter, howevertheirdemandsare limited, in additionis less than10%.
剩下的瑞士、比利时、西班牙、葡萄牙等国,虽然也是粮食进口国,但是他们的需求量非常有限,加起来都不到百分之十。Ifmakes the grain of Frenchplan the successful, international grainexport marketself sufficientwill witherat least1/5.
如果让法国人的粮食自足计划成功,国际粮食出口市场将萎缩至少五分之一。Without some markets, the newroundgrainovercapacity, is doomedto eruptinEurope.
没有了这部分市场,新一轮的粮食产能过剩,注定会在欧洲爆发。AsEuropeanbiggestunprocessed food grainsexporter, thissituationhappens, wedefinitelywill loseseriously, evenerupts the newroundfarmerbankruptcytide. ”
作为欧洲最大的原粮出口国,这种情况一旦发生,我们必然会损失惨重,甚至爆发新一轮的农民破产潮。”
A Alexander IIIbrowwrinkle, thesetruthwhoknows,whathewantsis the solution, rather thanlistens to the complainthere.
亚历山大三世眉头一皱,这些道理谁都知道,他想要的是解决方案,而不是在这里听抱怨。„Has the meansto avoid the worst situationappearing?”
“有办法避免最糟糕的情况出现么?”Asking that Alexander IIIanticipates.
亚历山大三世期待的问。What a pitylooksto have problemseasily, mustsolve the problemto be difficult. Thisis the general trend, does not only depend on the personal ability, canreduce and solve.
可惜看出问题容易,要解决问题难。这是大势所趋,不是仅凭个人能力,就能够化解的。PowellShaqueshakes the head: „ International marketretracts, thisis notMinistry of Agriculturecanabout.
鲍尔沙克摇了摇头:“国际市场萎缩,这不是农业部能够左右的。If possible, bestthrough the diplomatic means that making the Frenchdrop the ranchplan. ”
如果可能的话,最好通过外交手段,令法国人放弃大农场计划。”Plays the rubber ball, Ministry of Agriculturedoes not have the meansto resolve the agricultural crisis, has toplace hopes inMinistry of Foreign Affairs.
踢皮球,农业部没有办法应对农业危机,不得不寄希望于外交部。
„ Thisis the not possiblematter!
“这是不可能的事情!
The Frenchhave withdrawn from the free tradesystem, evenunder the international grainprice the tumblingvalley, they can still adopt the tariff barrier and ensure the domestic marketshelters from the impact.
法国人已经退出自由贸易体系,就算是国际粮食价格下跌倒谷底,他们也可以采取关税壁垒,保证国内市场免受冲击。Realizing the grainwas self sufficient, the French governmentcansavemassiveforeign exchangedisbursementsevery year, reversescurrenttrade deficit, Ireallycannot thinkreason that the Frenchgives up.
实现了粮食自足,法国政府每年都可以节省大量的外汇支出,扭转目前的贸易逆差局面,我实在是想不到法国人放弃的理由。WithitsprospectFrenchbrainwater penetration, drops the ranchplan, might as wellstartsto find the wayto reduce the graincapacitynow, orexpands the market demand. ”
与其指望法国人脑子进水,放弃大农场计划,还不如现在开始想办法削减粮食产能,或者是扩大市场需求。”Facingkicking the rubber ball, foreign ministerAustriaScar Jimenezhit backwithout hesitation.
面对踢过来的皮球,外交大臣奥斯卡・希门尼斯毫不犹豫的进行了回击。suddenlyAustriaboth countriesareFrance'scompetitorsincontinental Europe, duringattackcompetitor, but can also yield the largeincome, the French governmentdoes not have the truth is not dry/does.
俄奥两国都是法兰西在欧洲大陆上的竞争对手,在打击竞争对手的同时,还能够获得丰厚的收益,法国政府没有道理不干。Let alone the Russiapersonexerted pressurein the past, even if various European countriesexert pressuretogether, the Frenchwill not give up.
别说俄国人过去施压,就算是欧洲各国一起施压,法国人也不会放弃。
The rejection of agriculture ministerPowellSha Keyiexpressionsaid: „ Homeis engaged in the population of agricultural production, fully560 million, makingso manypeoplereduce the capacitytogether, is impossible.
农业大臣鲍尔沙克义正言辞的拒绝道:“国内从事农业生产的人口,足有五六千万之多,让这么多人一起削减产能,根本就不可能。Expanding the marketis a joke, hasn't the domesticgrainbuyers'marketexpanded?
扩大市场更是一个笑话,难道国内的粮食需求市场没有扩大么?However, along withmarket growthat the same time, ourgraincapacitiesalsogrowin the synchronization, even the speed of growth must be faster.
然而,伴随着市场扩充的同时,我们的粮食产能也在同步增长,甚至增长的速度还要更快一些。Thisisestablishesinternallyunder the agricultural productiontechnologybackwardpremise, ifwith latest agricultural productiontechnology, the domesticgraincapacity can also promote1/3.
这还是建立在国内农业生产技术落后的前提下,如果采用最新的农业生产技术,国内的粮食产能还能够提升三分之一。Considered after the graincapacityincreases, could not find the sale, Ministry of Agriculturehas promoted the new technology. ”
要不是考虑到粮食产能增加后,找不到销路,农业部早就推广新技术了。”Although the wordsare not of pleasant to hear, butAlexander IIIwas clear,thissaidis the fact, reducing the capacity and expandedmarketis not realistic.
尽管话不怎么好听,但是亚历山大三世清楚,这说得是事实,削减产能和扩大市场都不现实。„The plan of French, oncecompletes, Austriawill benefit will also loseseriously, how will the Viennagovernmentprepareto do?”Asking that Alexander IIIanticipates
“法国人的计划一旦完成,奥地利也会损失惨重,维也纳政府准备怎么做?”亚历山大三世期待的问Nothingembarrassed, oneselfdo not handle, studiesotherswas good, whatis worstiswhat to doothersdoes not know.
没有什么不好意思的,自己搞不定,就学习别人的好了,最糟糕的是别人也不知道怎么办。
After hesitantmomenttime, PowellShaquereplied: The situation that „ your majesty, Austriabenefitsandweare different.
犹豫了片刻功夫后,鲍尔沙克回答道:“陛下,奥地利的情况和我们不一样。Similarlyis the grain exportgreat nation, butAustriabenefits the exit|to speak is mainly the processed grain and sideline product, the risk toleranceis stronger than us.
同样是粮食出口大国,但是奥地利出口的主要是成品粮和副产品,抗风险能力比我们更强。In1884, Austriabenefitted the agricultural and subsidiary products and grainindustry of classproductvolume of tradeexit|to speak, occupied47.9 of agricultural exporttotal amount, thisproportionalsoinsustained growth.
早在1884年,奥地利出口的农副产品、粮食工业类产品贸易额,就占据了农产品出口总额的47.9,这个比例还在持续增长中。
The grain pricefalls suddenly, is not bigto the canned food, biscuit, between-meal snack and industrialchemical industryclassproductimpact, becauseeven the production costreduces, the profit will further also grow.
粮食价格暴跌,对罐头、饼干、零食、工业化工类产品冲击并不大,甚至因为生产成本降低,利润还会进一步增长。Directlyeffect is mainly the processed grainsale, for example: Bread flourandpotatopowder......
直接受影响的主要是成品粮销售,比如:面粉、土豆粉……
After the grain pricefalls, affects the retail market, but alsofor sometime, the processing industrycanundercut the grain procurement price, passes the burdenownrisk...... ”
粮价下跌后,波及到零售市场,还有一段时间,加工企业可以压低粮食收购价格,转嫁自身的风险……”Looks that the Tsarcomplexionis getting more and more ugly, PowellShaque'svoicealsogetting smaller, untilshuts upfinallysimply.
看着沙皇的脸色越来越难看,鲍尔沙克的声音也越来越小,直到最后干脆闭嘴。Alexander IIIwas not happy that is normal, originallythinks that somepeopleare accompanyingtogetherunlucky, never expected thatothershave prepared the escape route.
亚历山大三世不高兴是正常的,本来以为有人陪着一起倒霉,没有想到人家早就准备好了退路。OnceAustriabenefits the enterpriseto undercut the grain procurement price, thenmostlossesfellonRussian Empire, theywere irrecusable.
一旦奥地利企业压低粮食收购价格,那么大部分的损失都落到了俄罗斯帝国头上,他们还不能拒绝。After allduring the agricultural crisis, cansellislucky, if the luckis not good, that can only pilein the warehouseis waitingmildewy.
毕竟在农业危机期间,能够卖得出去都算是幸运,要是运气不好,那就只能堆在仓库里等着发霉。Saw the tense atmosphere, First Lord of the TreasuryAlisher Gurovchanged the topicintentionally: „ Howto pass the burden the lossagain, Austriabenefits the agricultureto be attacked, nothing butis the big or smallissue.
见气氛紧张了起来,财政大臣阿利舍尔・古洛夫故意岔开话题:“再怎么转嫁损失,奥地利农业都会受到冲击,无非是大小的问题。Byagriculturalmass that Austriabenefits, evenfalls a percentage point, made the Viennagovernmentanxietysufficiently.
以奥地利的农业体量来看,就算是下跌一个百分点,都足以令维也纳政府肉疼。Once the agricultural crisisbreaks out, eventheirindustry chainsare perfect, should still loseseriously, the Viennagovernmentnot possiblenot to have acted.
一旦农业危机爆发,就算是他们的产业链再完善,也会损失惨重,维也纳政府不可能没有行动。Nowdoes not have the sound, it is estimated thatwas they are also hitby the coup of Frenchignorant, for a short timedoes not know how to deal. ”
现在没有动静,估计是他们也被法国人的突然行动打懵了,一时半会儿不知道如何应对。”Listened tothisexplanation, the look of Alexander IIIsomewhatis slightly moderate. Somepeopleare accompanyingwell, independentoneunlucky was really miserable.
听了这个解释,亚历山大三世的神色略微有些缓和。有人陪着就好,单独一个倒霉实在是太惨了。„Ministry of Foreign Affairspays close attention to the trend that Austriabenefits, has the changeto reporttomemomentarily.”
“外交部密切关注奥地利的动向,有异动随时向我汇报。”
......
……WithoutlettingAlexander IIIand othershow long.
没有让亚历山大三世等多久。
On June 11 , 1885, the Austriaadvantagesends out the invitationtoRussia, Denmark, Argentina, Confederate States of America, Braziland otheragricultural productexporters, the preparationwill hold the thirdagriculturalsummit meetinginVienna in March of next year.
1885年6月11日,奥地利向俄罗斯、丹麦、阿根廷、美利坚联盟国、巴西等农产品出口国发出邀请,准备明年三月在维也纳召开第三次农业峰会。Thisresult, makingmanypeoplerelax. Somesoundsare good, mostfearsisanythingresponded that does not have.
这个结果,令很多人松了一口气。有动静就好,最怕的就是什么反应都没有。
The ranchstrategy of French, at presentalsomerelyis only a plan, exactlysaid that is an intention, the concrete plandoes not havecontinually.
法国人的大农场战略,目前还仅仅只是一个计划,确切的说是一个意向,连具体规划都没有。
To implementspecifically, was notonedaytwodays of things. If nothing else, light/only the selected locationis not1-2monthscantoss about.
想要具体实施,就不是一天两天的事情了。别的不说,光选址就不是1-2月能够折腾出来的。Waited for the agronomiststo designate the position, completed the preliminary designplan, it is estimated thatcontinuallyland levelingwithout enough time, this yearalsoon the past.
等农业专家们选定了位置,完成了初步设计规划,估计连平整土地来不及,今年也就过去了。
The time is very enough, does not needto worry. Frombecomingthreat, severalyears.
时间还很充分,根本就不用着急。距离成为威胁,还有好几年的时间。
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