„Investigates thoroughly, Austria altruistic real motive?” Prime Minister Gladstone asked “查清楚,奥地利人真实目的么？”格莱斯顿首相问道 After Prussia announced the debt extension, the London government first suspected that Austria benefitted, checked discovered the Vienna government played what role. 普鲁士宣布债务延期后,伦敦政府第一时间就怀疑上了奥地利,一查就发现了维也纳政府扮演了什么角色。 This matter does not have the means to keep secret, Austria benefits not to jump to provide encouragement, the Berlin government does not have the courage to do. 这种事没有办法保密,奥地利不跳出来加油打气,柏林政府没有胆子这么干。 Foreign minister Granville George Leveson Gore: „, Austria altruistic was wants to estrange us and Prussia relations outwardly, this point they have succeeded. 外交大臣格兰维尔・乔治・莱韦森-高尔:“明面上来看,奥地利人是想要离间我们和普鲁士的关系,这一点他们已经成功了。 Our intelligence personnel discovered, the railroad transportation amount that recently Austria benefits rises suddenly, deeply investigates the discovery to have a lot of strategic resources to gather to the harbor. 我们的情报人员发现,最近一段时间奥地利的铁路运量暴涨,深入调查发现有大量的战略物资在向港口汇聚。 Austria altruistic seems to be preparing a war, their armies exceptionally have not transferred, should not to France. ” 奥地利人似乎在准备一场战争,不过他们的军队并没有异常调动,应该不是冲着法兰西去的。” After the Paris revolution erupts, the London government pays close attention to the trend that Austria benefits, for fear that one does not pay attention, the European balance was broken. 巴黎革命爆发后,伦敦政府就密切关注奥地利的动向,生怕一不留神,欧陆平衡就被打破了。 From the benefit, law Austria regarding the European hegemony the battle many years, France had fallen ill now, the Austria advantage has enough motive to hit a person when he is down. 从利益上来说,法奥围绕欧陆霸权已经争斗了很多年,现在法兰西病倒了,奥地利有足够的动机落井下石。 However France is not the fruit cake, even erupts the civil strife, is not affable. The preparation, Austria has not benefitted is impossible to begin blindly. 不过法兰西也不是软柿子,就算是爆发内乱,也不是好惹的。没有充分的准备,奥地利不可能盲目动手。 Read the world map, Gladstone nodded, said looking pensive: „ Has not conducted the military mobilization, then Austria benefits the goal that this time must begin, the strength should be not much. 看了看世界地图,格莱斯顿点了点头,若有所思道:“没有进行军事动员,那么奥地利这次要动手的目标,实力应该不怎么样。 The Vienna system was just established, Austria altruistic will not hit own face, this war mostly outside Europe. 维也纳体系刚刚建立,奥地利人不会自己打自己的脸,这场战争多半在欧洲之外。 Far East, South America and Near East, or are the African colony compete, you thought that Austria does want to attack the place altruistic? ” 远东、南美、近东,或者是非洲殖民地争夺,你们觉得奥地利人想要进攻地方？” Colonizes minister Primrose to analyze saying: „ The possibility of Far East area is not big, Austria benefits in that side strength is limited, is not their strategic centers of gravity. 殖民大臣普里姆罗斯分析道:“远东地区的可能性不大,奥地利在那边的实力有限,不是他们的战略重心。 The probability of South America is also very small, the Panamanian independence movement progresses is smooth, only if they prepare one to swallow the Republic of Colombia, otherwise does not need to increase the investment. 南美的几率也很小,巴拿马独立运动进展非常顺利,除非他们准备一口吞下哥伦比亚共和国,不然没必要增加投入。 Near East and African colony competes has the possibility, Ottoman is the bitter enemy of Habsburg dynasty, Franz indicated on many occasions in public places, must eliminate this...... 近东和非洲殖民地争夺都有可能,奥斯曼是哈布斯堡王朝的世仇,弗朗茨多次在公众场合表示,要消灭这个…… law Austria colonizing core in the African continent, both countries dreaded that mutually the strength of opposite party, the geographical qualification limit, has not erupted the large-scale conflict in addition, the Vienna government has the motive of hitting a person when he is down. 法奥的殖民核心都在非洲大陆,两国相互忌惮对方的实力,加上地理条件限制,才没有爆发大规模冲突,维也纳政府有落井下石的动机。 I thought that they are bigger to the suspicion that Egypt begins. Attacks the Ottoman empire momentarily, captures opportunity possibly this time of Suez Canal. 我觉得他们对埃及动手的嫌疑更大。进攻奥斯曼帝国随时都可以,夺取苏伊士运河的机会可能就这一次。 France is very outward strong, competed in the colony offended many people. After the civil war breaks out, many countries did the petty action, wants to slice including us. 法兰西对外很强硬,在殖民地争夺中得罪了不少人。内战爆发后,很多国家都搞起了小动作,包括我们也想要分一杯羹。 Has not erupted into the war, that is lacks one to take the lead. If the Austria advantage coordinates, carved up the grand feast of French colony to erupt. 没有爆发战争,那是缺少一个领头的。如果奥地利牵头,瓜分法兰西殖民地的盛宴就要爆发了。 Lost France of overseas colony, even if ended the civil war, under increases reduces, is still very difficult to threaten the strength that Austria benefits again. ” 丧失了海外殖民地的法兰西,就算是结束了内战,一增一减之下,也很难再有威胁奥地利的实力。” law Austria jointly manages the Suez Canal, that does not have the means that was not equal to that everyone does not want to monopolize. 法奥共管苏伊士运河,那是没有办法,并不等于大家就不想独占了。 At this time is different in those days, has to lord over the strength of Suez Canal now. So long as takes the Egyptian area, Austria was the Asian and African colony a piece, did not fear to peep. 今时不同往日,现在已经拥有独霸苏伊士运河的实力。只要拿下埃及地区,奥属亚非殖民地就连了一片,根本就不怕窥视。 Foreign minister George refuted: „My opinion is just the opposite, from the current international situation, Austria benefits to the probability that the Egyptian area starts is minimal.” 外交大臣乔治反驳道:“我的意见恰恰相反,从目前的国际局势来看,奥地利对埃及地区下手的几率微乎其微。” Immediately takes up a music director stick, arrives nearby the world map that is hanging to point out: „ Here is Austria benefits, can look from the map, their strategic locations are bad, it may be said that is the powerful enemy link raises. 随即拿起一根指挥棒,走到悬挂的世界地图跟前一指道:“这里是奥地利,从地图上就可以看出来,他们的战略位置有多么糟糕,可谓是强敌环饲。 Recently these years, the Vienna government through diplomatic vertically and horizontally/able to move unhindered military attack, succeeded abandoned the Ottoman empire, made Prussia be finished, the Russia person vitality to damage severely using the Prussia war, the situation got better gradually. 最近这些年,维也纳政府通过外交纵横军事打击,成功的将奥斯曼帝国废了,又利用普俄战争让普鲁士完蛋、俄国人元气大伤,局势才渐渐好转。 In the short-term captures Egypt, attacks the French empire, perhaps the income is bigger ; But this will deteriorate the law Austria relations, after the civil war ended, France is Austria benefits the biggest enemy. 短期来看夺取埃及,打击法兰西帝国,或许收益更大;但这会恶化法奥关系,内战结束后法兰西就是奥地利最大的敌人。 The history will repeat France and Ottoman jointly forms the anti- Habsburg dynasty the past event. Under the trend of benefit, the Russia person will also join mostly. 历史又会重演法兰西和奥斯曼联合组建反哈布斯堡王朝的旧事。在利益的趋势下,俄国人多半也会加入进去。 Under this situation, Austria benefitted is very difficult to find the ally, even Pro-Austria German state, will still guide the anti- Habsburg union mostly. ” 在这种背景下,奥地利很难找到盟友,就算是亲奥的德意志邦国,多半也会导向反哈布斯堡同盟。” George drew a circle with the music director stick on the map, makes an effort: „ Four sides all enemy, once erupts war Austria to benefit must be tired out from the press, the strong national strength cannot withstand tosses about. 乔治用指挥棒在地图上画了一个圈,用力一点:“四面皆敌,一旦爆发战争奥地利就要疲于奔命,再强大的国力也经不起这么折腾。 From the long-term development , to continue to maintain the friendly relations of maintenance with French, seizes the chance to destroy completely the Ottoman empire, obtains a stable rear, is Austria benefits most needs. ” 从长远发展来看,继续维护维护同法国人的友好关系,趁机灭掉奥斯曼帝国,获得一个稳定的大后方,才是奥地利最需要的。” The geographical position decides „strategy” could not deceive people, the map there swayed, was understanding at a glance. 地理位置决定的“战略”骗不了人,地图在那里摆着,一看就知道。 Benefits in European intimate Austria, can revive it is a miracle. 地处欧洲腹心的奥地利,能够复兴起来本身就是一个奇迹。 The back of this miracle, is a series of diplomacy vertically and horizontally/able to move unhindered, simultaneously maintains the friendly relations with many countries, created the condition for the revival. 这个奇迹的背后,就是一系列的外交纵横,同时和多个国家保持友好关系,为复兴创造了条件。 Great, discovered the plan that Austria benefits, naturally must do to destroy, otherwise disappoints „stirred excrement stick” the reputation. 没得说,发现了奥地利的计划,当然是要搞破坏了,要不然就辜负了“搅屎棍”的美名。 ...... …… The movement of English slow one step, the success of Paris revolution provided the courage to the Austria advantage, the Vienna government had decided to cut the gordian knot, not substandard turned in the achievement. 英国人的动作还是慢了一步,巴黎革命的成功给奥地利提供了胆气,维也纳政府已经决定快刀斩乱麻,不等外交上出成果了。 Franz: „Did war give a pretext found?” 弗朗茨:“战争借口找到了么？” Restricts the Austria advantage to start the key of war, is not the international situation. 制约奥地利发动战争的关键,已经不是国际局势。 A Paris gunshot, pushes to the high tide the European revolution again, no one dares to brave big of the world is not, to defend the Ottoman empire launches the war. 巴黎一声枪响,把欧洲革命再次推向高潮,谁也不敢冒天下之大不为,为了保卫奥斯曼帝国去发动战争。 It is not the strength, underwent the attack of Near East war, the Ottoman empire the vitality had damaged severely twice. 更不是实力,经过了两次近东战争的打击,奥斯曼帝国早就元气大伤了。 The present is everything is ready, only owed a war „excuse”. For this reasonable excuse, the hair of Franz soon fell out or off entirely. 现在是万事俱备,只欠一个战争“借口”了。为了这个合理的借口,弗朗茨的头发都快要掉光了。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „We have controlled the Ottoman government to slaughter the evidence of Armenia person, in the victim also include 1867 empire citizens.” 外交大臣韦森贝格:“我们已经掌控了奥斯曼政府屠杀亚美利亚人的证据,遇难者中还包括1867名帝国公民。” Then, Wessenberg showed one pack of thick pictures from the envelope, above Ottoman soldier conducts the picture of slaughter. 说完,韦森贝格从信封中拿出了一叠厚厚的照片,上面正是奥斯曼士兵进行屠杀的画面。 If did not read after several, feels somewhat familiar, Franz nearly letter/believed. 如果不是翻看了几张过后,觉得有些熟悉,弗朗茨都差点儿信了。 Picture definitely real, by the camera technique of this year, wants to conduct the fabrication is not realistic. 照片肯定是真的,以这年头的摄影技术,想要进行造假也不现实。 The time of but having, possibly has a little error, was ahead of time such several years. 只不过发生的时间,可能存在一点儿误差,也就提前了那么几年。 Time is not the key, so long as the content of picture is real was enough. 时间点不是关键,只要照片的内容是真实的就足够了。 After hesitant moment time, Franz „Gatling strafed refugee” to take impression deepest that: „In newspaper has published, do not announce to the public.” 犹豫了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨还是把印象最深的那张“加特林扫射难民”拿了出来:“报纸上已经刊登过的,就不要对外公布了。” Reply that Wessenberg is without turning a hair: „ Your majesty please feels relieved, these pictures have not published. 韦森贝格面不改色的回答道:“陛下请放心,这些照片都是没有刊登过的。 You feel familiar, possibly is the content of photography is somewhat close, in fact has the difference. ” 你觉得熟悉,可能是拍摄的内容有些接近,实质上还是有区别的。” Franz nods, he believes the vision of professional. Gives Ministry of Foreign Affairs the duty that the manufacture war gave a pretext, rather than let the military, mainly because of „specialty”. 弗朗茨点了点头,他还是相信专业人士的眼光。把制造战争借口的任务交给外交部,而不是让军方,主要是因为“专业”。 Otherwise what soldier is missing, sunken wreck, this suppressing full excuse takes, cannot be justified. 要不然什么士兵失踪、沉船,这种憋足的借口拿出来,根本就说不过去。 Do not say that internationally others can believe that some home people will not believe. 不要说国际上人家会不会信,就连国内都不会有人信。 In comparison, over a thousand empire citizens of Ministry of Foreign Affairs encountered difficulty, on stirring many. 相比之下,外交部的上千帝国公民遇难,就震撼人心的多了。 The person died in any case, the Vienna government said that they are Austria benefit the citizen, then benefits the citizen on Austria, nothing but reissues an issue of nationality. 反正人都死了,维也纳政府说他们是奥地利公民,那就奥地利公民,无非是补办一个国籍的问题。 The digit is too big, doesn't matter. It does this big number, to divert everyone's attention. 数字太大,没有关系。本身搞这个大数字,就是为了转移大家的视线。 Shifted in everyone's focus the quantity, the heart deep place cannot help but accepted Austria to benefit the citizen in the Ottoman empire murder view. 把大家的关注重心转移到了数量上,内心深处就不由自主的接受了奥地利公民在奥斯曼帝国遇害说法。 The quantity issue, rehabilitates to them at the worst after the war. Changes into „immigration that the citizen application is awaiting trial to approve”, declines murdered citizens, flung the pot to give not good media not rigorous on the line. 数量问题,大不了战后给他们平反。把公民换成“申请待审批的移民”,下调遇害公民人数,甩锅给无良媒体不严谨就行了。 Before counter- is settling down, the Vienna government will not explain the murdered population in the official document. How the outside world explains, at will good. 反正在尘埃落定前,维也纳政府不会在官方文件上说明遇害人数。外界怎么解读,随意就好。 ...... …… On April 20 , 1882, in the European world also immersed , in Paris revolution, by Balkan Daily publication „the Ottoman empire slaughtered Austria to benefit citizen” news, appeared to break the situation. 1882年4月20日,在欧洲世界还沉浸在巴黎革命中的时候,一则由巴尔干日报刊登的“奥斯曼帝国屠杀奥地利公民”新闻,横空出世打破了局势。 „1867” that declares red digit, attracted eating melon people of place. Afterward many newspapers follow up to report, but this digit diversified. “1867”那个宣红的数字,吸引了一地的吃瓜群众。随后又有多家报纸跟进报道,只不过这个数字多样化了。 Most the population over ten thousand, least only had died 2 people, when the Ottoman empire slaughter domestic national minority received by mistake the empty carriage accompanying the emperor's sedan chair. 最多的已经人数过万,最少只死了二人,还是在奥斯曼帝国屠杀国内少数民族的时候受了误中副车。 Quantity many are unimportant, in brief Austria altruistic anger. That fill the bloody picture, has touched everyone's innermost feelings bottom line, the people from various circles requested the government disciplinary punishment Ottoman empire one after another. 数量多少不重要,总之奥地利人怒了。那一张张充满血腥的照片,已经触及到了大家的内心底线,社会各界纷纷要求政府惩戒奥斯曼帝国。 Affected by this, on April 22 , 1882, the Vienna government formal note Ottoman empire, the slaughter incident negotiated. 受此影响,1882年4月22日,维也纳政府正式照会奥斯曼帝国,就屠杀事件进行谈判。 Ottoman government that anything does not know, in a face compelled to receive Austria to benefit the note diplomatique ignorant, confused responded that a while- was not good, danger. 什么都不知道的奥斯曼政府,在一脸懵逼中收到了奥地利外交照会,迷茫了一阵子才反应过来-不好,危险了。 Originally to not possibly find fault, negotiations naturally smooth. On April 24 , 1882, the Vienna government unilaterally announced the breakdown of negotiation. 本来就是为了找茬,谈判自然不可能顺利。1882年4月24日,维也纳政府单方面宣布谈判破裂。 The reason is: The Austria advantage requests to send out the survey team, in the thorough Ottoman empire conducts on -the-spot investigation, encounters the Ottoman government to reject. 理由是:奥地利要求派出调查组,深入奥斯曼帝国境内进行实地调查,遭到奥斯曼政府拒绝。 Slaughtering the national minorities is exists, in several Armenian villages, in the ethnic conflicts was also smashed some time ago internally, but this is not the primary cause that the Ottoman government rejects. 屠杀少数民族是存在的,就在不久前还有几个亚美尼亚人村子,在国内民族冲突中被捣毁,不过这不是奥斯曼政府拒绝的主要原因。 So long as can show that has not slaughtered Austria to benefit the citizen, these things are the small issues, at the worst was scolded the period of time by the public opinion, in any case they continuously by European public opinion attack. 只要能够证明没有屠杀奥地利公民,这些事情都是小问题,大不了被舆论骂一阵子,反正他们一直都被欧洲舆论抨击。 The issue is to send out survey team at the same time, Austria benefits also requests to dispatch troops to protect, and this population also Gundam/reaches as high as a division, this did not have the means to endure. 问题是派出调查组的同时,奥地利还要求派兵保护,并且这个人数还高达一个师,这就没办法忍了。 The Prussia war had proven the transport capacity of airship, benefits the infantry division to admit the inland Austria, that is committing suicide simply. 普俄战争已经证明了飞艇的运输能力,把一个奥地利步兵师放进内陆,那简直是在自杀。 Reason nature of rejection by Austria Libyan media selective neglect. Ottoman empire that is a barbarian, for the security of survey team, must certainly dispatch troops to protect! 拒绝的原因自然被奥地利媒体选择性的忽略了。奥斯曼帝国那都是野蛮人,为了调查组的安全,肯定要派兵保护啊！ Are the people many? 人多？ An infantry division, so long as the Ottoman government does not have the ghost at heart, should not dread. 才一个步兵师而已,只要奥斯曼政府心里没有鬼,就不应该忌惮。 both sides pondered that the issue the angle, on a channel, the conclusion nature that finally results is not different. 双方思考问题的角度,都不在一个频道上,最后得出来的结论自然不一样。 After breakdown of negotiation, in the Austria benefit for the nation is clamoring the sound of retaliation, surged upward all of a sudden. 谈判破裂后,奥地利国内叫嚣着报复的声音,一下子高涨了起来。 The voice of war party crushed the anti-war faction gradually, the atmosphere of war was even more rich. 主战派的声音渐渐压倒了反战派,战争的氛围越发浓郁了起来。 ...... ……