After the bigcleanended, the Tsargovernmentmoreenergywill investinto the negotiations, Prussianegotiatedquicklyentered the critical moment.
大清洗结束后,沙皇政府将更多的精力投入到谈判中,普俄谈判很快就进入了关键时刻。
The focus that both sidesdisputedcentralizedtoceded territorywith the indemnity. Compares the indemnity, in factcedes territoryis easierto solve.
双方争议的焦点集中到了割地和赔款上。相比赔款,实际上割地还更加容易解决。Prussiadisputedwhatis most seriousis the thingPrussiaarea, hereis the den of Junkeraristocrat, the Berlingovernmentdoes not dareeasilyto drop.普俄争议最严重的是东西普鲁士地区,这里是容克贵族的老巢,柏林政府不敢轻易放手。Howevernowtheseareasin the Russiapersonhand, as the defeated nation, Prussiaabsolutelydo not have the abilityto receive.
不过现在这些地区都在俄国人手中,作为战败国,普鲁士根本就没有能力收回来。Onetype„ceding territory”called the established facts, thisissue can definitely temporarilyput aside, the timegreweveryonealsoonbe used.
有一种“割地”叫既定事实,这个问题完全可以暂时搁置下来,时间长了大家也就习惯了。Junkeraristocratsagainhowdiscontented , the change the Prussiakingdomstrengthwas bad, was incapable oftaking back the facts of theseareas.容克贵族们再怎么不满,也改变不了普鲁士王国实力不济,无力收回这些地区的事实。Now the Berlingovernmentis still striving, on the one handhas the anticipationto the big powers, counted on the strength that the dependenceinternationalinterferes with, forcing the Russiapersonto make the concession;On the other handthenforpoliticalshow.
现在柏林政府还在争取,一方面是对列强抱有期待,指望依靠国际干涉的力量,逼迫俄国人做出让步;另一方面则是为了政治作秀。Compares the dispute on territory, the indemnityis the realdifficult problem. Prussiaboth countriesare short of moneynow, no oneis a willing worker the concessions.
相比领土上的争议,赔款才是真正的难题。普俄两国现在都缺钱,谁也不肯做出让步。
The Tsargovernmentwantsas far as possiblemanydemandingwar indemnity, tomake up the fiscaldebt of government; The idea of Berlingovernmentis just the opposite, the itselffinanceis difficult, radicallybeing incapablelarge amount ofindemnity.沙皇政府想要尽可能多的索要战争赔款,以弥补政府的财政亏空;柏林政府的想法恰恰相反,本身自己财政就困难,根本就无力巨额赔款。
The genuinecontradictionappeared, and that is unable to compromise. No matter the advantage of Russiapersonbig, the Berlingovernmentistwocharacters- does not havemoney.
真正的矛盾出现了,并且是无法调和的那种。不管俄国人的优势有多大,柏林政府就是两个字-没钱。
The Berlingovernmentreallydoes not havemoney, is notdoes not havemoneyfalse, howis casualto make, cannot extract the oil.
柏林政府是真的没钱,不是假没钱,随便怎么弄,都榨不出油来。Not is only tosuddenlyreparation payment, includingowing the debtBerlingovernmenttemporarily suspend payment of English.
不光是对俄赔款支付不起,包括欠英国人的债务柏林政府都暂停支付。It is said the PrussiaFirst Lord of the Treasuryhas headed forLondon, seeming likemustlobby the creditorsto extend the debtdeadline, oracceptswith the payment in kind.
据说普鲁士财政大臣已经启程前往伦敦,似乎是要游说债主们延长债务期限,或者是接受用实物支付。Thislobbyacts, being doomed is very difficult. The Prussiakingdomresourcesare deficient, the industrial technologystrengthis limited, the industry and commerceproductcompetitivenessis limited.
这次游说行动,注定会很艰难。普鲁士王国资源匮乏,工业技术实力有限,工商业制品竞争力有限。Even if„payment in kind”commoditycanhavecertaindiscount, howeverunder the high-qualityBritishindustry and commerceproductcompetition, wantsto sell is still a difficult problem.
就算是“实物支付”商品会有一定的折扣,但是在高质量的英国工商制品竞争下,想要销售出去也是一个难题。Pure the competitiveness that „inexpensive”bringsis limited, only if the price spreadis disparate, otherwise the qualitygoodcommoditywas related.
单纯的“廉价”带来的竞争力还是有限,除非价格差距非常悬殊,要不然还是质量好的商品更受关系。In fact, the Prussiakingdomresourcesare insufficient, needsto import the industrial materialfrom the overseas, the cost of industry and commerceproducthas come up.
事实上,普鲁士王国自身资源不足,需要从海外进口工业原材料,工商业制品的成本就已经上去了。
The onlyadvantage, probablyis the labor cost. It is a pity that the labor cost of the world is not nowadays high, except forsomelabor forceintensive industries, mostindustrylabor costsis only the smallpart of production cost.
唯一的优势,大概是人工成本。遗憾的是这年头全世界的人工成本都不高,除了部分劳动力密集型产业,大部分行业人工成本都只是生产成本的一小部分。In fact, the Berlingovernmentalsoproposed the suggestion of payment in kindwar indemnity, finallywas flatly refusedbyRussiarepresentative.
事实上,柏林政府也提出了实物支付战争赔款的建议,结果被俄国代表一口回绝了。Without the means that nowwhat the Tsargovernmentlacksismoney, rather than the industry and commerceproduct, the foreign exchangegapis particularly serious.
没办法,沙皇政府现在缺的是钱,而不是工商业制品,尤其是外汇缺口非常严重。Thiswar, brought the large amount oftrade deficittoRussian Empire, has todepend upon the foreign loanto maintainbalanced.
这场战争,给俄罗斯帝国带来了巨额的贸易逆差,不得不依靠外债维持平衡。Now the warended, the Tsargovernmenturgently neededa lot offoreign exchangeare usedto repay the debt, otherwise can only fill the pitwith the reallygold/metalsilver.
现在战争结束了,沙皇政府急需大量的外汇用来偿还债务,要不然就只能拿真金白银去填坑。Englishthesepressures, have not attained the inexpensiveindustry and commerceproduct, but can also towardcolonydumping, the wallet of creditors unable to owe.
英国人没有这些压力,拿到廉价的工商业制品,还可以往殖民地倾销,债主们的钱包不会亏。
The Tsargovernmentattainsthesethingsonly to use, in the taking awaymarket the realizationalso can only be the ruble that print, tradesless than the preciousforeign exchange.沙皇政府拿到这些东西就只能自家用,拿去市场上变现也只能是自家印刷的卢布,换不到宝贵的外汇。Russiastretched outfivefingerson behalf ofNichita Titov: „ 500 millionaegises, thisisourbottom line, cannotbe low.俄国代表尼基塔・季托夫伸出了五根手指:“5亿神盾,这是我们的底线,不能再低了。Forthiswar, Russian Empireat leastpaid the military expensesexpenses of 3 billionaegises, caused the economic losses of overhundred millionaegises.
要知道,为了这场战争,俄罗斯帝国至少付出了三十亿神盾的军费开销,造成了超过亿神盾的经济损失。Theseareyoucreate, indemnityamount that werequest, merelyis onlyloss5%, is low. ”
这些都是你们造成的,我们要求的赔款数额,仅仅只是损失的百分之五,已经非常低了。”Without the problem, twicePrussiawarsput together, including the suppressiondomesticcivil strifeexpenditure, the military expensesexpenses that the Tsargovernmentpaidtrulysurpassed3 billionaegises.
没有毛病,两次普俄战争加在一起,包括镇压国内内乱的开支,沙皇政府支付的军费开销确实超过了三十亿神盾。
The economic lossnot to mention, Poland-Lithuaniaareanearlywas achievedwhite, very soonwasSiwuKraneareato make into the ruins, twicewars the populationlosses that causedtoRussian Empiresurpassten million/countless.
经济损失更不用说,波兰-立陶宛地区近乎被达成了白地,俄属西乌克兰地区被打成了废墟,两次战争给俄罗斯帝国造成的人口损失超过千万。Losesto addcompletelythese, 10 billionaegisthatarehas more than enough to spare. Fromthisperspective, the indemnityrequest that the Tsargovernmentsetis not really high.
把这些损失全部加起来,一百亿神盾那是绰绰有余。从这方面来说,沙皇政府提出的赔款要求真的不高。At least, theyhave not wanted the pensionto the Berlingovernment. Otherwisethesemore than ten millionpeople of pension, sold the Prussiakingdom unable to repay.
至少,他们没有向柏林政府要抚恤金。要不然这上千万人的抚恤金,卖了普鲁士王国也赔不起。
The politicsissuchrealistic, if the Berlingovernmentwon, theyare just, the warcandefineis: The national minorities that in order toliberatewas enslavedby the Tsargovernmentfight.
政治就是这么现实,如果柏林政府赢了,他们就是正义的,战争可以定义为:为了解放被沙皇政府奴役的少数民族而战。
The international communitywill define: Poland, Lithuaniaandvery soonareSiwuKrane...... theseareasare the territories that the Tsargovernmentusurps.
国际社会会定义:波兰、立陶宛、俄属西乌克兰……这些地区都是沙皇政府强占的领土。Sincelost, is great, theseareasare the territory of Russian Empire, the destruction of wartotheseareas, thatis harming the property of Russian Empire.
既然输了,那么没得说,这些地区都是俄罗斯帝国的领土,战争对这些地区的破坏,那都是在损害俄罗斯帝国的财产。Prussiapoor-mouthson behalf ofGuillan Von MikeKyesdecisivelysaid: Disaster that „ Count, thiswarbrings, not onlyyour countryis undertaking, wesimilarly are also the victims.普鲁士代表吉莲-冯-麦克凯斯果断哭穷道:“伯爵阁下,这场战争带来的灾难,不只是贵国在承担,我们同样也是受害者。Now the Prussiakingdomlivelihood of the peopleon the wane, is filled with sufferers, the general publiclink the most basiclifeto be a problem, the government financeis unable to make ends meet, is really cannot draw cash. ”
现在普鲁士王国民生凋零、哀鸿遍野,普通民众连最基本的生活都成问题,政府财政入不敷出,实在是拿不出钱来。”„Does not havemoney”thisis a multipurposeuse, Guillan Von MikeKyesdid not fear that the Russiapersonwill further butcher the Prussiakingdom, now the control area of Russiapersonis the bottom line that the Europeanbig powerscanaccept.
“没钱”这是一个万能的利用,吉莲-冯-麦克凯斯不怕俄国人会进一步宰割普鲁士王国,现在俄国人的控制区是欧洲列强能够接受的底线。If the Tsargovernmentis not content, wantingoneto swallow the Prussiakingdom, the UK , FranceAustriathreeCongressmakesthemknow that whois the master in Europe.
如果沙皇政府不知足,想要一口吞下普鲁士王国,英法奥三国会让他们知道谁才是欧洲的主人。
It is not ableto annex the Prussiakingdom, was not equal to that is unable to perish the Prussiakingdom, the Russiaperson, so long asis willingto pay the price, projects onBerlinto trade a government is not difficult.
无法吞并普鲁士王国,不等于无法灭亡普鲁士王国,俄国人只要肯付出代价,一路打到柏林去换一个政府并不难。But such a , mustincrease the large amount ofmilitary expensesexpenses. Post-warPrussiamade intowhite, thendo not thinkon the one centindemnity.
只不过这么一来,又要增加巨额的军费开销。战后普鲁士被打成了白地,那就一分钱的赔款都不要想了。Nosanegovernment, for the one breath, will ignore the national interest, particularlyRussiansuchpoor country, cannotresistmoney the charm.
没有哪个理智的政府,会为了一口气,就置国家利益于不顾,尤其是俄罗斯这样的穷国,更加不能抵御金钱的魅力。
The Tsargovernmenthasmulti-being short of money, looked that in the negotiationswith the paymentcurrency of choiceknew.沙皇政府有多缺钱,看谈判中用选择的支付货币就知道了。Generally speaking, related towar indemnitytime, everyonewill paywith the domestic currency.
一般来说,涉及到战争赔款的时候,大家都会用本国货币支付。Choice„aegis”, butdoes not need„ruble”payment, the Tsargovernmentalsoto have no recourse.
选择“神盾”,而不用“卢布”支付,沙皇政府也是迫不得已。Breaksin the financial pressure, the Tsargovernmenthas toissue additionally the currency, the rublein the continual depreciation.
破于财政压力,沙皇政府不得不增发货币,卢布正在持续贬值中。In order toensureownbenefit, mustassignonecurrency valuestablecurrency, available is only left over the pound and aegis.
为了保证自家的利益,必须要指定一个币值稳定的货币,可供选择的就只剩下英镑和神盾。
The Russian EmpirebiggestcreditorsareAustriabenefit, when the reserveforeign exchangeinevitablebeing partial the aegis, originallyruble and financialpattern of poundhook, had been abandonedin the war.
俄罗斯帝国最大的债主是奥地利,在储备外汇的时候不可避免的偏向了神盾,原本卢布和英镑挂钩的金融模式,早就在战争中被废弃了。Nichita Titovshakes the head, the severerejectionsaid: „ Thisis the issue that your governmentneedsto consider, does the wrong thingalwaysto needto shoulder the responsibility.
尼基塔・季托夫摇了摇头,严厉拒绝道:“这是贵国政府需要考虑的问题,做错事总是需要承担责任的。Cannot pay the indemnity, finds the wayto borrow, Ithink that your countrydefinitelyhas the meansto raise the adequatefund.
支付不起赔款,就想办法去借,我想贵国肯定有办法筹集到足够的资金。If is really not good, wewithowngives uptaking, in briefthese500 millionaegisescannotfewpoint. ”
如果实在是不行,我们就用自己的放弃去取,总之这5亿神盾不能少一分。”Theoretically, ifattained the war indemnities of 500 millionaegises, the financial crisis that puzzles the Russiapersonis easily solvedimmediately.
理论上来说,如果拿到了五亿神盾的战争赔款,困扰俄国人的财政危机马上就迎刃而解。Ahead of timepays the debt, butcansavemassiveinterest expenses. Ifalltakes awayto repay a debt, the foreign loancancut in two at the waistimmediately.
提前支付债务,可是能够节省大量利息开支的。假如全部拿去还债,外债立马就能够腰斩。In order toforcePrussiacompromises, Nichita Titovstartthreat of without hesitation. Oneselftake, canreceiveso much money?
为了逼迫普鲁士妥协,尼基塔・季托夫毫不犹豫的开始威胁。自己去取,能够拿到这么多钱么?Answernegative!
答案是否定的!PresentPrussia, isSecond German Empire of peak. To dependto remove the machineto make up for the war damage, even ifremoves the screw bolt, does not sufficiently collectfivehundred million.
现在的普鲁士,还是巅峰时期的德二帝国。想要靠拆机器弥补战争损失,就算是把螺丝钉都拆完,也凑不够五个亿。
......
……Cannotyield, meetsdid not havemoney. both sides were also rival in chess, the negotiationsreached the impassquickly.
不能让步,遇到了没钱。双方也算是棋逢对手,谈判很快陷入了僵局。
The Viennapalace, pays close attention to the PrussianegotiationsFranz, at this timealsohad a headache.
维也纳宫,密切关注普俄谈判的弗朗茨,这个时候也头疼了起来。
The Prussianegotiationsdrag, benefitstoAustriais also disadvantageous.普俄谈判这么拖下去,对奥地利也非常不利。If nothing else, does not givethiswarto mark a period, how can the newViennasystembe established?
别的不说,不给这场战争画上一个句号,新的维也纳体系如何能够建立起来?With the attitude of English, iftheyseize the chancenot to do the matter, thatwas not an English, howotherwiseto have„stirredexcrementstick” the reputation.
以英国人的作风,如果他们趁机不搞事,那就不是英国人了,要不然怎么会有“搅屎棍”的美名。A long delay usually means many problems, delaying the timeto grow, no oneknows the advantage that Austriabenefittedcancontinuemaintains.
正所谓夜长梦多,拖得时间长了,谁也不知道奥地利的优势能不能持续保持下去。Ifmissedthisopportunity, the loss that Austriabenefitsmustgreatly. The Viennasystembrings is not only only the reputation, hugepolitical interest.
要是错过了这次机会,奥地利的损失就大得去了。维也纳体系带来的不仅仅只是名声,还有庞大的政治利益。Foreign ministerWessenberg: „ Your majesty, the appetite of Russiapersonis too big, Prussiacannot undertake.
外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,俄国人的胃口太大,普鲁士根本就承担不起。Perhaps the war indemnities of 500 millionaegises, thismustsurpassin the Europeanhistoryallwar indemnitiessum totals, evenisentire worldallwar indemnitiesadds, notnecessarilyhasso many. ”
5亿神盾的战争赔款,这恐怕要超过欧洲历史上所有战争赔款的总和,甚至是全世界所有的战争赔款加起来,都不一定有这么多。”How?
多么?Thisage, trulyis the sky-high priceindemnity. The Franco-Prussian War of originalspace and time, the finalwar indemnityis about5 billionfrancs, shocked the entire world.
在这个年代来看,确实是天价赔款。原时空的普法战争,最后的战争赔款也不过50亿法郎,都震惊了全世界。Calculatesat the presentexchange rate, 5 billionfrancsalso400 millionaegises.
以现在的汇率计算,50亿法郎也不过4亿神盾。Naturally, considering the difference of age, tenyears ago 400 millionaegises, but also are not really less than the present500 millionaegises.
当然,考虑到年代的不一样,十年前的4亿神盾,还真不比现在的5亿神盾少。HoweverPrussiaandFrance are completely twoconcepts. The Frenchcollected5 billionfrancseasily, it is saidsurpassedtenhundreds of millions.
不过普鲁士和法兰西完全是两个概念。法国人轻而易举筹集了50亿法郎,据说超出了十几亿。Mustknow that the Franco-Prussian Waralsobeat the easternseveralprovinces, the economic lossexceeds20 billionfrancs, the French governmenttens of billionsfrancshuge debts, have not owedcompared with the presentBerlingovernmentlittle.
要知道普法战争还打烂了东部几个省,经济损失超过200亿法郎,法国政府本身还有上百亿法郎的巨额债务,不比现在柏林政府欠得少。
The backgroundthicklyissuchgood, otherslose, changed the Prussiakingdom unable to achieve.
底子厚实就是这么牛,人家损失的起,换了普鲁士王国根本就做不到。Franzhad not been touched, thatwasbecause of an indemnity of experiencesecond war, the innermost feelingsis over powerful, thismoneyis very difficultto makehimtouch.弗朗茨没有被触动,那是因为见识过一二战的赔款,内心已经非常强大,这点儿钱已经很难让他触动了。
After pondering the momenttime, Franznods: „ To the Berlingovernment, a littleare truly many. CanRussiato make the concession?
沉思了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨点了点头:“对柏林政府来说,确实有点儿多。能够让俄国人做出让步么?For example: Reducespart of indemnities, orlengthens the paymentage limit. The indemnityamount of every yearpaying, limitsinrange that in the Prussiakingdomcanwithstand. ”
比如说:减免一部分赔款,或者是延长支付年限。将每年支付的赔款数额,限制在普鲁士王国能够承受的范围之内。”Wessenbergshakes the head: „ Your majesty, this is very difficult. The harm that the warbringswas too big, the Prussiakingdomalmostdoes not have the paying capacitynow.韦森贝格摇了摇头:“陛下,这恐怕很难。战争带来的伤害太大了,普鲁士王国现在几乎没有支付能力。
The Russiapersonalsoowesourlarge amount ofdebts, anyreduces, oris the suggestion of postponement of payment, is not suitedto raisebyus. ”
况且,俄国人还欠我们巨额的债务,任何减免、或者是延期支付的建议,都不适合由我们提出来。”Listened tothisexplanationreluctantly, Franzrubbed the forehead. Related to the self-interest, thatmeans that has not resulted indiscusses.
听了这个解释,弗朗茨无奈的揉了揉额头。涉及到了自身利益,那就意味着没得商量了。If the Viennagovernmentsuggested that the Tsargovernmentreduces the indemnity, the RussiapersonalsorequestsAustriato benefit the debt moratorium, thatwas awkward.
要是维也纳政府建议沙皇政府减免赔款,俄国人也要求奥地利减免债务,那就令人尴尬了。
The financeis not goodto be ablenot to lose money, is thispossible? According tothislogic, how does Austriabenefitcollects debtsto the Russiaperson?
财政不好就可以不赔钱,这怎么可能呢?按照这个逻辑,奥地利如何向俄国人收账?Franzasked: „By the currentsituation, how long the finance of Tsargovernment can also support?”弗朗茨问道:“以目前的情况来看,沙皇政府的财政还能够支撑多久?”
The Prussiatruce, was not equal to that the warhad ended. A treatydayhas not signed, the wardoes not calculate that finishedtruly.普俄停战,不等于战争已经结束了。条约一天没有签订,战争就不算真正结束。Now the Prussiatwo countriesover a millionarmies are still also confrontingin the boundary, even if not go to war, food and drink that light/onlytheseover a millionopen mouth, the dailyexpensesare not a smallnumber.
现在普俄两国还有上百万大军还在边界上对峙着,就算是不打仗,光这上百万张嘴的吃喝,每天的开销也不是一个小数字。Tofiscal not goodPrussiaboth countries, definitelyhas the pressure.
对财政不好的普俄两国来说,肯定是有压力的。Prime ministerFelixreplied: „ Cansupporttwotothreemonthsprobably, the threat in force of Russiaperson, cannotdaunt the Prussiakingdom, has the direct relationwiththis.
首相费利克斯回答道:“大概能够支撑两到三个月,俄国人的武力威胁,没能吓住普鲁士王国,也和这有直接关系。If the Prussiawarcontinues, most conducted for a month, the TsargovernmentmustmakemoneyHuang.
如果普俄战争继续下去,最多进行一个多月,沙皇政府又要闹钱慌了。Not is only the Russiapersonis short of money, Prussiaalsoverymany. If notgeneralarmystationed in the native place, will reduce the transportationconsumption, the Berlingovernmentfirst may also go bankrupt. ”
不光是俄国人缺钱,普鲁士也好不了多少。如果不是普军驻扎在本土,减少了运输消耗,柏林政府可能还会先破产。”Twopoor devilscompared withpatient, Franzwas also speechless. According to the currentsituation, is not the Prussiakingdommustcompensatehow muchmoney the issues, butistheycantakehow muchmoney.
两个穷鬼在比耐心,弗朗茨也是无语了。按照目前的情况,已经不是普鲁士王国要赔多少钱的问题,而是他们能够拿出来多少钱。
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