WithElon the Musk words saying, the technologyisto pile up one on top of anothermostly, moreoverbetween the technology and technology, look like making the arrangement, the technology that inyourhandmastersare more, the pattern that youcanplayare also more.
用埃隆・马斯克的话说,技术大都是堆叠出来的,而且技术与技术之间,就像是在做排列组合,你手里掌握的技术越多,你能玩出的花样也就越多。ElonMuskhas made the nextdimensionin the pursue the matter, for example the new energy automobile and self-piloting, mayrecycle the rocket, evendelivers tosparks/Marshuman.埃隆・马斯克一直在追求做下一个次元的事情,比如新能源汽车、自动驾驶、可回收火箭,甚至把人类送到火星。WhilethistimecomesYanjingto discuss that followingTeslamoves intoChina, as well asTesla and cooperation of otherLi Muautomobilebrands, ElonMusk after Li Muhas eaten mealtogether, is actually drawingLi Mu, had a lengthy conversationinhishotel roomknee-to-kneewas very long.
趁着这次来燕京讨论接下来的特斯拉迁入华夏,以及特斯拉与李牧其他汽车品牌的合作,埃隆・马斯克在跟李牧一起吃过饭之后,硬是拉着李牧,在他的酒店房间里促膝长谈了很久。Hefirstwith the importance that the Li Mupopular science the technologypiled up one on top of another, the topicfrom the automobilestartsto mentionas before.
他先是跟李牧科普了技术堆叠的重要性,话题依旧是从汽车开始说起。HesaidtoLi Mu: „Chief Li, technicalthing is very actually interesting, youlooked, ifwegave a car(riage)to install the auto-adaptedcruise, wecantake advantage of opportunitybased onauto-adaptedcruiseradar, developedpre-collisionsystem.”
他对李牧说:“李总,其实技术这个东西真的很有趣,你看,如果我们给一辆车安装了自适应巡航,我们就能顺势在自适应巡航的雷达硬件基础上,开发预碰撞系统。”Li Musaid: „Bigyoudo not makemego homein the evening, togivemypopularautomobile technology?”李牧说:“大晚上你不让我回家,就为了给我普及汽车技术?”Musksaid with a smile: „Youlooked,Iwas the planfirststartto sayfrom the automobile technology.”马斯克笑道:“你看,我是打算先从汽车技术开始说嘛。”Li Musaid: „Iunderstandyourmeaning, todaymakes a light bulb, tomorrowwill make a battery, combinedto become the flashlight, twodays of restorationelectrical machinery, have made the batteryskewersame place, was an electric car, youwerethismeaning, was?”李牧说:“我懂你的意思,今天造出个灯泡,明天造出个电池,组合起来就成手电筒了,过两天再造个电机,多弄点电池串一起,就是一辆电动车了,你就是这个意思,是不是?”Musknods: „Almost......”马斯克点点头:“差不多吧……”Li Musmiles: „HowIpossiblycannot study the batteryto store up the electric quantity, but how the batteryshoulduse, Iknow in heart, youare drawingstealthilymyactuallywantsto sayanything, youspoke franklysimply.”李牧笑了笑:“我可能研究不出来电池到底是怎么储存电量的,但电池应该怎么用,我心里有数,你拉着我鬼鬼祟祟的到底想说什么,你干脆直说。”Muskdiscoveredoneselfwere seen throughbyLi Mu, smilesawkwardly, said: „Chief Li, actuallyIwantto chatwithyou, matter of space exploration.”马斯克发现自己被李牧识破,尴尬一笑,说:“李总,其实我是想跟你聊一聊,太空探索的事。”„Space explorationAh?”Li Mucuriousasking: „Searches?”
“太空探索啊?”李牧好奇的问道:“探哪?”Muskbusysay/way: „Searchesotherphotostars, for examplesparks/Mars.”马斯克忙道:“探其他星体啊,比如火星。”Li Musaid: „Thismatter isn't nasadoing? Also getting angrystarrover, what do youalsosearch?”李牧说:“这事nasa不是在干了吗?还发了火星探测车,你还去探什么?”Musksaidearnestly: „Nasadelivered tosparks/MarsMars Rover, buthas not delivered tosparks/Mars, mygoalisfirstto deliver tosparks/Mars, thentriesimmigrantsparks/Marsto plan.”马斯克认真道:“nasa只是把火星车送到了火星,但没把人送到火星,我的目标是先把人送到火星,然后再尝试移民火星计划。”Li Mugawkedstaring, previous lifehad heard your immigrantsparks/Marsplanned, buttomyrebirth, has not seenyouto deliver tosparks/Marsto come up......李牧愣了愣,上辈子听说过你这个移民火星计划,但一直到我重生,也没见你把人送到火星上去啊……ThereforeLi Muaskshim: „How do youplanto dothismatter?”
于是李牧开口问他:“你打算怎么干成这件事?”Musksaid: „Naturallydepends onspacex, the direction that westudynowmainlymay the launch vehicle of recycle, moreoverourrocketfuturecarrying capacityconstantlywill certainly be enhanced, emulatesto the nasaSaturn V, evenoutracesSaturn V.”马斯克说:“当然是依托spacex,我们现在研究的方向主要就是可循环使用的运载火箭,而且我们火箭将来的运载能力一定会不断增强,向nasa的土星五号看齐,甚至超越土星五号。”„Oncewerealizedheavymayrecycle the rocket, weeachkilogramoccurrencecost, mightreduceso farlaunches1/10 of mainstreamcostto be even lower.”
“一旦我们实现了重型可回收火箭,我们每公斤的发生成本,就有可能降低到目前发射主流成本的十分之一甚至更低。”„As the matter stands, wehadfoundation that goes tosparks/Mars.”
“这样一来,我们就有了去火星的基础。”„For example, wemakeoneto arrive atsparks/Marslog inspaceship, thenusesusto be possible the launch vehicle of circulationlaunch, unceasinglaunches the space stationmoduleat the outer space, establishes a large space stationon the outer spacetrack, thisprocessdrives a trucklikeyou, canconstructbuilding materials of houseone after another, transports/fortunesYanjingfrom the harbor of Jinshi, constructs a houseprobablyto needonseveral hundredtonsbuilding materials, yourtruckpossibleonlyto be ableonetime the carrying capacityfivetons, thereforeyouneedtravelat least50-60timesinJinshiandYanjing.”
“比如,我们造一艘可以到火星登陆的太空飞船,然后利用我们可循环发射的运载火箭,不断的向太空发射空间站组件,在太空轨道上建立一个大型空间站,这个过程就像你开一辆卡车,陆续把可以建造一座房子的建材,从津市的港口运到燕京,建一栋房子可能需要上几百吨的建材,你的卡车可能一次只能载重五吨,所以你需要在津市和燕京往返至少50-60次。”„Beforemay notrecycle the rocket, all your trucksare disposable, in other words, youtransportfivetonsbuilding materialsevery time, needsto consume a Picka, thiscostisextremelyhigh, thehousemanymany that evenhighyoumustconstruct, but, wecanthistype of disposabletruckturn into the futuremay the recycle, in other words, youtravel betweenJinshiandYanjingeach time, onlyneededto refuelto the car(riage), conducts the current maintenanceto the car(riage)enough, thiscost reductionmaynot be a tiny bit.”
“在没有可回收火箭之前,你所有的卡车都是一次性的,也就是说,你每运送五吨的建材,就需要耗费一辆皮卡,这个成本是极高的,甚至高过你要建造的这栋房子许多许多,但是,我们将来可以把这种一次性卡车变成可循环使用的,也就是说,你每次往返津市和燕京,只需要给车加油、对车进行日常保养就够了,这个成本降低的可不是一点半点。”Li Munods, asked: „Then?”李牧点了点头,问:“然后呢?”Musksaid: „Was then simple, inourpresentouter spaceestablishes a space station, assuppliesbase, thena lot offuels, even the take-off rocketminute/sharetransportsto the space stationrepeatedly, turns into a bigsupply depotit, thenwelaunchourheavyspaceships.”马斯克说:“然后就简单了,我们现在太空中建立一个空间站,作为补给的基地,然后把大量燃料,甚至助推火箭分多次运送到空间站去,把它变成一个大型补给站,然后我们发射我们的重型太空飞船。”„Youknow that explores the universe, what the fuel consumptionis biggestisfrom the groundtoentering of outer spaceprocess that gets rid of the earth gravity, traditionalspaceship, ifgoes tosparks/Marsdirectly, thenitsoverwhelming majorityloads, are actually the fuels, for exampleMars Rover, altogetherseveral hundredkilograms, but the total launching weightmayover1000tons.”
“你知道的,探索宇宙,燃料消耗最大的是从地面一直到进入太空的这个摆脱地球引力的过程,传统飞船如果直接前往火星,那它的绝大部分载荷,其实都是燃料,比如火星车,一共才几百公斤,但发射总重量有可能超过一千吨。”„Ifwebuilt the space stationin the outer space, ourheavyspaceshipscannot needto consider that stored upenoughflies to the fuel that sparks/Marsreturned toagain, onlyneededto store upenougharrives in the fuel of space stationenough, thereforethiscanincrease the load that the spaceshiptakeoffed, thenarrived at the space stationrefuelling, went tosparks/Mars.”
“如果我们在太空搭建起了空间站,那我们的重型飞船就可以不用考虑储存够飞往火星再返回的燃料,只需要储存足够抵达空间站的燃料就够了,所以这样可以加大飞船离地的载荷,然后再到空间站加注燃料,前往火星。”„The equipment and living materials that even, we can also needto useahead of timeaftersparks/Marslog inpartalsolaunch the space stationone after another, after waiting for the spaceshipto the outer space, tooktheseequipmentagain, went tosparks/Mars.”
“甚至,我们还可以提前把一部分在火星登陆后需要用到的设备、生活物资也陆续发射到空间站,等飞船到了太空之后,再把这些装备带上,一齐前往火星。”Li Muflexurescratched the head: „500hundred millionUSDfeared that isinsufficiently your project, additionalzeroperhapsalmost?”李牧挠了挠头:“五百亿美元怕是都不够你这个项目,加个零恐怕差不多吧?”ElonMusksaid: „Iflooks at the investmentpurely, trulyneeds the great quantityfund, butthisproject can also make money.”埃隆・马斯克说:“如果单纯看投入,确实需要巨量的资金,但是这个项目本身还可以赚钱啊。”Li Muasked: „Makes moneyby the launching? How manytimesthatmustlaunch, cansupport your project?”李牧问:“靠火箭发射赚钱?那得发射多少次,才能支撑起你这个项目?”ElonMusksaid: „Not is only the commercial launchmakes money, but can also make moneythrough the equipment rental and outer spaceservice, ifwecanestablish a space stationin the outer space, cannot do well the space exploration of laterChina, US (America), RussiaandEuropean Unionto needweto providecertainhelp, this is also money, youcanunderstand that toturn into a hotel the space station, moreoveris the most expensivehotel.”埃隆・马斯克说:“不光是商业发射赚钱,还可以通过设备租赁、太空服务赚钱,如果我们能在太空上建立一个空间站,搞不好以后华夏、美国、俄国、欧盟的太空探索都需要我们提供一定的帮助,这也是钱啊,你可以理解为把空间站变成一所酒店,而且是最贵的酒店。”„Right.”ElonMuskalsosaid: „Actuallymostmakes money, is the commercialman-in-space flightbusiness, draws an analogy, rodeourspaceshipsto come to an outer space on the 3rd the roaming, person of five weren't Ten Million USD, excessive? When the time comesso long aswedesign a manned capsule, when the executionlaunching missiontakes the manned capsule, cangain a big pen.”
“对了。”埃隆・马斯克又道:“其实最赚钱的,是商业载人航天业务,打个比方,坐我们的飞船来个太空三日游,一人五千万美元,不过分吧?到时候我们只要设计一个载人舱,在执行发射任务的时候把载人舱带上,就能赚上一大笔。”Li Musmiled: „Are you outer spaceSF Expresscar(riage)business?”李牧笑了:“你这是太空顺风车业务吧?”„Almostisthismeaning.”ElonMuskseesLi Muto smileto make noise, hastilyexplained: „Chief Li, do not think that thisis a joke, is actually not! Itoldyou, on many billionaireORIJEN (long for)outer space, theirmoneymanytonot being able to all spend, as manyondoes not have anybusiness serviceasEarthis, at this time, if the opencommercialman-in-space flight that theycould not affordand unable to enjoy, theywill certainly be interested, at the appointed timeawaited the honor of your presencebythisbusinesscangaintoa lot ofmoney.”
“差不多是这个意思。”埃隆・马斯克见李牧笑出声来,急忙解释道:“李总,千万不要觉得这是个笑话,其实不是!我告诉你,有很多亿万富翁都渴望上太空,他们的钱已经多到花不完了,已经多到地球上没有任何一项商业服务是他们买不起、享受不起的了,这个时候,如果开放商业载人航天,他们一定会非常感兴趣,到时候光靠这项业务就能赚到很多钱。”Li Mulooks atElonMusk, saidearnestly: „Ithought that youare flickeringI, business of thecommercialspace travelyoudescribed, Ithought that 15years you were not necessarily ableto end uptoyouagain.”李牧看着埃隆・马斯克,认真的说:“我觉得你就是在忽悠我,就你描述的这个商业太空旅行的业务,我觉得再给你十五年你都未必能落得了地。”In fact, Li Mutorebirth, withouthearingElonwhomMuskreallydelivered the outer space.
事实上,李牧一直到重生,也没听说过埃隆・马斯克真的把谁送上太空去了。ElonMusksaidsincerely: „Chief Li, ifaccording to the presentrhythm, Itrulyneedslong time, Ineedto wait for the Teslasuccess and PayPalrealization, after some lot ofcash, canbringto supportspacex, thisalsomeans,spacexpossiblyinlasted several years, will be the condition of idling regimetravel, is unable to be increased speed.”埃隆・马斯克非常诚恳的说:“李总,如果按照现在的节奏,那我确实需要很长时间,我需要等特斯拉成功、paypal变现,有大量现金之后才可以拿来支援spacex,这也就意味着,spacex可能会在长达十几年的时间里,一直是怠速行驶的状态,无法得到提速。”Then, ElonMuskearnestlooks atLi Mu, saidearnestly: „But, Chief Li, ifyouare willingto investthisproject, Ibelieve,itcan certainlydeveloprapidly, evenmayrealizein the next ten years, evenwithintenyearsnot possibleimmigrationsparks/Mars, weto have been ableto deliver to sparks/Marsat least, thenbrought.”
说完,埃隆・马斯克殷切的看着李牧,认真道:“但是,李总,如果你愿意投资这个项目的话,那我相信,它一定可以飞速发展,甚至有可能在未来十年之内就实现,就算十年之内不可能移民火星,起码我们已经能把人送到火星上,然后再带回来了。”
Before Li Murememberssuddenly, has looked atthat«sparks/MarsRescue», let alonecolonizedsparks/Mars, caninthatwrap/setssparks/Marsbase the moviedo, it is estimated thathundreds of billionsUSDpounded, which his motherwas the average personcould play the thing.李牧忽然想起之前看过的那部《火星救援》,别说殖民火星了,能把电影里那套火星基地搞起来,估计几千亿美元就砸进去了,这他妈哪是一般人玩得起的东西。Ifthisprojectreallycanpick up the speed, perhapsthentrulycanrealize the spacexspace stationseveralyearslater, evenrealizesmannedgoes tosparks/Mars.
如果这个项目真的可以加快速度,那么或许在几年后确实能够实现spacex空间站,甚至实现载人前往火星。However some bigsignificances? Thisprojectis impossibleto make money, good and badness of commercial operation, nothing butaremanyandfewissues that the investorcompensates.
不过这又有多大意义呢?这个项目根本不可能赚钱,商业化运作的好与坏,无非就是投资人赔的多与少的问题。Moreover a registrationdoes the space station, to carry out the space explorationin the US (America)private business, US (America)governmentnotsubsidy.
而且一个注册在美国的私企去搞空间站、搞太空探索,美国政府又不会给补贴。Moreover, theseyear of US (America)governmentsdid not supportnasa, it is said the budgetare miserable, wantsto land onMoon, at leastalsoneeds202severalyears.
不仅如此,这些年美国政府连nasa都不是那么的支持了,据说预算少得可怜,想重新登上月球,起码也要二零二几年。Uses energyto toss about the matter on outer space and sparks/Marswithit, might as wellfirstonthismatterEarthput in orderto understand.
与其费劲去折腾太空和火星上的事儿,还不如先把地球上这点事儿整明白了。However, Li Mubeforeopening the mouthto turn downMusk, thinks of a veryseriousissuesuddenly.
但是,李牧在开口婉拒马斯克之前,又忽然想到一个很严肃的问题。Thisissueis, makes the money earnedmoney, gainstofinallyforwhat?
这个问题就是,赚钱赚钱,赚到最后是为了什么?
The material life of human societyhas the upper limit, if an asset of personsurpassesbillionsUSD, basicallyhas been ableto spendonEarthrecklessly, can, buy the island, to buy the private plane, to buy the personalyachtevencruise across the countrypurchasemassivevillas, makes a trust fundwithhundreds of millionsUSDagain, even ifwhatbusinessdoes not do, the lighttook the interestalsoenoughexactlyfor a lifetime.
人类社会的物质生活是有上限的,如果一个人的资产超过几十亿美元,基本上已经可以在地球上肆意消费了,可以在全国各地购买大量别墅、买海岛、买私人飞机、买私人游艇甚至游轮,再拿几亿美元做一个信托基金,哪怕什么业务都不做,光吃利息也足够活一辈子了。
After oneselfdie, canalsoput in the trust fund the heritagecompletely, ifkeepstenhundred millionUSDto the posterity, makeseach of them, takemillionUSDfrom the fundevery month, even so, onedescendantoneyear is also 1200millionUSD.
自己死后,可以把遗产也全部放入信托基金,如果给子孙后代留十亿美元,就让他们每个人、每个月从基金里拿一百万美元,即便如此,一个后代一年也就是一千二百万美元而已。Keytenhundred millionUSDin the capital market, achieve10%returns ratiosevery yearis the issueis not big, in other words, light/only the profithashundred millionUSDevery year, enoughninedescendantslie downto winfor a lifetime.
关键十亿美元在资本市场,每年做到10%的收益率是问题不大的,也就是说,每年光利润就有一亿美元,足够九个后代躺赢一辈子。If the assetachievestens of billionsUSD, thatwas basically impossible the situation that hadto all spend.
如果资产达到几百亿美元,那基本上就不可能存在花完的情况了。As foroneself, the Muye Science and TechnologylistingandTaobao Science and Technologygo on the market, in additionbigpile of otherbusinesses of investmentdevelopone after anotherhealthy, futureworthpossiblyoverone20,000hundred millionUSD, so much money, howpossiblyending of flower?
至于自己,牧野科技上市、淘宝科技上市,再加上投资的一大堆其他业务陆续茁壮发展,将来的身价可能超过一两万亿美元,那么多钱,怎么可能花的完?Might as wellputs outpart, bigmovement that doingotherrich and powerful people are not possibleto do.
还不如拿出一部分,干点其他富豪不可能搞起来的大动作。Goes to the plan of sparks/Marsprobablytrulyto needto spenda lot ofmoney, even so, itmostalsolets the worldrich and powerful peopleranking'ssecondperson, withownis away frompulls closerall.
前往火星的计划可能确实需要花很多钱,但即便如此,它最多也就是让世界富豪排行榜第二的人,跟自己距离拉近一切罢了。Such being the case, whatnon-focusmoneydoes try? Used temporarily asplays......
既然如此,什么不烧点钱试一试呢?权当玩了……
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