RINAPE :: Volume #18

#1744: Pouring cold water


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Today's Google trend is too truly hard, is hard Li Mu to think that somewhat feels weak. 今天的谷歌走势确实太硬,硬得李牧都觉得有些发虚。 Especially media's ambiguous attitude, is to make people think that is not quite optimistic. 尤其是媒体爱昧的态度,更是让人觉得不太乐观。 The Google stock price rises dramatically, the media are still exaggerating Google unceasingly supernaturally brave invincible, even the so-called expert jumps, said that the Google market value at least should when 2000 hundred million USD high and low, the IPO pricing was obviously underestimated. 谷歌股价飙升的时候,媒体还在不断渲染谷歌的神勇无敌,甚至还有所谓专家跳出来,说谷歌市值至少应该在两千亿美元上下,IPO时的定价明显被低估。 This makes Li Mu feel, outside obviously tempts much using the media, the capital had regarded a making money golden opportunity Google inevitably. 这让李牧感觉,场外明显是利用媒体舆论诱多,资本必然已经把谷歌当成了一个赚钱的绝佳机会。 Therefore Li Mu reminded Larry Page, do not wallow in today's sudden rise, must come out to remind the investor careful risk, once otherwise the stock price crashed, the Google reputation was greatly affected inevitably. 所以李牧才提醒拉里・佩奇,别沉迷于今天的暴涨,要出来提醒股民小心风险,否则一旦股价崩盘,谷歌口碑必然大受影响。 However, Larry Page although understands this truth, but makes him stand in the opposite of capital blatantly, to him is somewhat empty. 但是,拉里・佩奇虽然明白这个道理,但让他公然站在资本的对立面,对他来说还是有些虚。 Li Mu looks at Larry Page, helpless shaking the head. 李牧看着拉里・佩奇,无奈的摇了摇头。 This brothers looks like does not dare to offend the capital of Wall Street. 哥们看来还是不敢得罪华尔街的资本。 However this is also a correct general processing mode, after all dares to face masses, spoke frankly own enterprise is unworthy CEO of such high market value to be rarely seen. 不过这也算是一种正确的一般处理方式,毕竟敢于面对大众,直言自己企业不值这么高市值的CEO并不多见。 Theoretically, each new stock, is the good battlefield that the capital amasses money. 理论上来说,每一支新上市的股票,都是资本敛财的好战场。 The flattering story of going all out, cooks up the concept hotly altogether, the flickering private investor to/clashes toward, finally the private investor locks, the capital gains turns. 拼了命的吹捧故事、热炒概念,忽悠散户一股脑的往里冲,最后散户套牢,资本赚翻。 The interest headline goes on the market the first trading day, the stock price rises suddenly 190%, the second trading day falls suddenly 41%, almost cuts in two at the waist, the sixth trading day breaks the wholesale price, but the interest headline altogether is small billions USD market values, in some innumerable investors collapse. 趣头条上市第一个交易日,股价暴涨190%,第二个交易日暴跌41%,几乎腰斩,第六个交易日就跌破发行价,而趣头条一共才小几十亿美元的市值,这里面就有无数股民崩溃。 If the Google stock price crashes, the mass be much bigger than interest headline such company, the influence will also be much bigger. 如果谷歌的股价崩盘,体量要比趣头条这样的公司大得多,影响也会大得多。 At this time, the enterprise is anything do not do either, either cooked up one wave on the coordinate capital insanely, pounded the capital the rice bowl, some truly influence futures. 这种时候,企业要么是什么都别做,要么就配合资本疯炒一波,砸资本的饭碗,确实有些影响前途。 However, Li Mu does not care actually whether offends the capital, after all to him, the capital is his behind licking dog, even if he slaps a Wall Street biggest investor face today, tomorrow will announce Muye Science and Technology financing, this investor will still be quiet the face to ask to take his money. 不过,李牧倒是不在意是否得罪资本,毕竟对他来说,资本是他身后的舔狗,哪怕他今天抽了华尔街最大的投资人一耳光,明天宣布牧野科技融资,这个投资人依旧会恬着脸来求着自己拿他的钱。 After all, no one will unable to pass with money, in addition the average person somewhat the strength of spirit, the capital absolutely does not have that pinch of strength of spirit, in the eye some are only the benefit. 毕竟,没人会跟钱过不去,普通人尚且有几分骨气,资本是完全没有骨气的那一撮,眼里有的只有利益。 Now the Google stock price rises, has become the monster stock, oneself and Google cannot obtain any advantage, when the time comes the stock price crashes, many must let be given scolding by the investor of locking, with its this, might as well talk clearly the words directly. 现在谷歌股价疯涨,已然成了妖股,自己和谷歌都得不到任何好处,到时候股价崩盘,多少还要让被套牢的股民痛骂,与其这样,不如直接把话说清楚。 Therefore Li Mu then said to Larry Page: Later reporter, if asked that your related issue, you install to instigate, then flung to me that's alright.” 于是李牧便对拉里・佩奇说:“待会记者要是问你相关的问题,你就装怂,然后甩给我就行了。” Larry Page relaxes, arched cupping one hand in the other across the chest to Li Mu: Chief Li, too thanked!” 拉里・佩奇松了口气,冲李牧拱了拱手:“李总,太感谢了!” Li Mu surprise is sizing up his hand signal, asked: To the set of hand signal that who studies?” 李牧诧异的打量着他的手势,问道:“给谁学的这套手势?” China Kungfu film.” Larry Page said with a laugh: In the China Kungfu film, the younger generation saw the martial arts master, will salute like this!” 华夏功夫电影。”拉里・佩奇笑着说:“在华夏功夫电影里,晚辈见了武林高手,都会这样施礼!” Li Mu some looks at Larry Page, said in Chinese: You should be one generation of fierce and ambitiouses, promises me, don't make to lick the dog?” 李牧有些怔怔的看着拉里・佩奇,用中文说:“你应该是一代枭雄,答应我,别做个舔狗好吗?” What?” Larry Page although crammed ferociously some time English, but the fierce and ambitious and licks the dog also to listen to be not quite clear. what?”拉里・佩奇虽然恶补了一段时间英语,但枭雄和舔狗还听不太明白。 Actually, licks dog word, even the present China person cannot understand connotation. 其实,舔狗这个词,就算是现在的华夏人也不太能明白其中内涵。 To hang the silk, now said that listens to the China person, everyone will be perplexed. 就想吊丝,现在说给华夏人听,大家都会不明所以。 Li Mu is also disinclined to explain with him, patted his shoulder, said in English: Continues maintains.” 李牧也懒得跟他解释,拍了拍他的肩膀,用英语说道:“继续保持。” Really, after the stock market closes, the innumerable reporters hope that can interview this time Larry Page and Li Mu. 果然,在股市收盘之后,无数记者希望能够采访此时的拉里・佩奇与李牧 Two people have defended in NASDAQ, experienced the Google stock price like the entire process that the rocket wallops, at this time accepted the media to interview, was in the reason. 两人一直守在纳斯达克,亲历了谷歌股价像火箭一样猛冲的全过程,这时候接受媒体采访,也是情理之中。 The reporters have been maintaining extremely high exciting, the audience and investor are also equally excited. 记者们一直保持着极高的兴奋度,现场的观众、投资者也是一样兴奋不已。 To the entire NASDAQ, this is in recent years, an unprecedented IPO revelry. 对整个纳斯达克来说,这是近些年来,前所未有的一场IPO狂欢。 Facing the reporter, Larry Page's first was asked: Mr. Petch, a Google stock price day rises suddenly 210%, what view do you have?” 面对记者,拉里・佩奇第一个被发问:“佩奇先生,谷歌股价一天暴涨210%,您对此有什么看法?” Larry Page ridicules several, said: I have not a little responded, this was really surprising, you first interviewed Chief Li!” 拉里・佩奇讪笑几声,说:“我还有点没反应过来,这真是太让人惊讶了,你们还是先采访一下李总吧!” Therefore the reporters in abundance aimed at Li Mu the microphone and lens. 于是记者们就纷纷把麦克风和镜头对准了李牧 Li Mu shows a faint smile, said earnestly: To be honest, my very happy market can so approve Google.” 李牧微微一笑,认真道:“说实话,我非常开心市场能够如此认可谷歌。” Saying, Li Mu thread of conversation one revolution, was saying: But, I want to remind the general investor, Google of present stage, in I opinion, but also is unworthy such high market value, the stock price should not be so high in the present stage, therefore I urged that the market should the rationality treat......” 说着,李牧话锋一转,道:“不过,我个人还是想提醒一下广大投资者,现阶段的谷歌,在我个人看来,还不值这么高的市值,股价在现阶段也不应该这么高,所以我呼吁市场还是应该理性对待……” This saying, the reporters were shocked in abundance. 这话一出,记者们纷纷愣住了。 What situation? 啥情况? So long as Li Mu said one: I believe the Google future prospect will be better, a future magnificence and so on pleasantries, the Google stock price definitely can also rise tomorrow. 李牧只要说一句:“我相信谷歌未来的前景会更好、前途一片辉煌”之类的客套话,谷歌股价明天肯定还能涨。 Finally, Li Mu said suddenly the Google stock price should not be so high, this...... doesn't this pour cold water to oneself? 结果,李牧忽然说谷歌股价不应该这么高,这……这不是给自己泼冷水吗? A reporter of Wall Street Journal cannot bear ask: Chief Li, you added before opening, Google is the magic random gate of network world, why thought that at this time Google is unworthy such high market value?” 一位华尔街日报的记者忍不住问:“李总,您在开盘之前还说,谷歌是网络世界的一道魔法任意门,为什么这时候又觉得谷歌不值这么高的市值呢?” The Li Mu heart said that I praised Google time, thought that listing First Day rose 100% to be most greatly, didn't expect insane rose suddenly 200%, if not blocking your point, tomorrow could not do well rises went to 300%, this way, if the capital struck while the iron is hot, the Google stock price crawled high, in the future also almost must fall miserably, therefore after having a listing grand opening, the appropriate caution was necessary. 李牧心说,我夸谷歌的时候,觉得上市第一天了不起涨100%最多了,没想到疯了似的猛涨200%,如果不拦着你们一点,明天搞不好就涨到300%去了,这样下去,万一资本趁热打铁,谷歌股价爬多高,将来也差不多要跌多惨,所以在取得一个上市开门红之后,适当的警示是必要的。 Immediately, Li Mu meaningful saying: Random gate estimate value must conform to the market discipline, Google is the random gate of network world, Muye Science and Technology is the magic ball of network world, but this cannot surpass the market discipline on behalf of the market value of magic ball, therefore the investor must alert some, calm appropriately, when the market value is high, should better not to pursue blindly rises.” 随即,李牧意味深长的说道:“任意门估值也是要符合市场规律的,谷歌是网络世界的任意门,牧野科技就是网络世界的魔法球,可这不代表魔法球的市值就可以超出市场规律,所以投资者要适当警醒一些、冷静一些,在市值偏高的时候,最好不要盲目追涨。” Then, Li Mu also said: Naturally, this is only my suggestion personally, the concrete operations must depend on the comprehensive judgment of investor.” 说罢,李牧又道:“当然,这只是我的个人建议,具体操作还是要靠投资者的综合判断。” Li Mu's replied, making under the stage many media especially depressed. 李牧的回答,让台下许多媒体格外郁闷。 This is because interviewed in his media, having much was the financial media of Wall Street, but the financial media of Wall Street were the capital of Wall Street are operating. 这是因为采访他的媒体中,有不少都是华尔街的金融媒体,而华尔街的金融媒体本身就是华尔街的资本在操作。 Even let alone the media of Wall Street, behind US (America) most media are also the capital deal, these US (America) media will come under the influence of back capital frequently, but desirably in the smuggling smuggled goods that in the daily report influences subtly. 甚至别说华尔街的媒体,美国大部分的媒体背后也都是资本操盘,这些美国媒体经常会受到背后资本的影响,而刻意在日常报道中潜移默化的夹带私货。 Favors some stock or some enterprise such smuggled goods simply is the pediatrics, does the suggestion in a bigger level intentionally is they most excels. 看好某个股票或者某家企业这样的私货简直是小儿科,故意在更大层面搞暗示才是他们最擅长的。 For example they need to make the Western people be hostile to the East, will conduct groundless and report of distortion to the eastern world ; If they need to launch a war to Middle East, they will also exaggerate the westerner's hatred ahead of time to Middle East extremist. 比如他们需要让西方民众敌视东方,就会对东方世界进行不实以及扭曲的报道;如果他们需要对中东发动一场战争,他们也会提前渲染西方人对中东极端分子的仇恨。 Any matter is the dual character, or versatile, but actually the US (America) media reported that which side of event, which side entirely depends on behind the benefit of capital. 任何一件事都是两面性,或者多面性的,但美国媒体究竟报道事件的哪一面,完全取决于背后资本的利益到底在哪一面。 Google has Li Mu's to endorse and Muye Science and Technology in addition holds, became several years of rare monster stock, the capital is preparing while this time to be open for business gains one greatly, finally Li Mu said such opinion suddenly, broke their source of income simply. 谷歌李牧的背书以及牧野科技的加持,成了几年难得一遇的妖股,资本正准备趁着这次开张大赚一笔,结果李牧忽然说出这样的言论,简直就是断了他们的财路。 At this time also had the media reporters to hope that can make Li Mu look to make up several, therefore asked Li Mu intentionally: „Can't Chief Li, in your eyes, the Google market value achieve 1000 hundred million USD?” 这时还有媒体记者希望能够让李牧找补几句,于是故意问李牧:“李总,难道在您眼里,谷歌的市值达不到一千多亿美元吗?” Li Mu said with a smile: Future matter no one can reach an agreement, but could not have achieved at present in my opinion.” 李牧笑道:“将来的事情谁也说不好,不过眼下在我看来还达不到。” Many investors are the short line method, without many people can persist in having stock several years of even more than ten years of company, in the future Google market value certainly over 3000 hundred million USD, and even higher, but when no one can reach an agreement specifically. 许多股民都是中短线玩法,没多少人能够坚持持有一家公司的股票好几年甚至十几年,未来谷歌的市值一定会超过三千亿美元,甚至更高,但具体在什么时间谁也说不好。 The private investors like the investment institution, a sum of money do not pound to be very difficult to spend in distress the top, if ordinary investor, when 300 USD buy up the Google stock, the stock price drops, possibly 1-2 years later can rise truly this price , how many private investors can insist that 1-2 years don't shear the meat? 散户不像投资机构,一笔钱砸进去很难苦熬到顶,假如普通投资者在300美元的时候买进谷歌股票,紧接着股价回落,可能1-2后才能真正涨回这个价位,又有多少散户能够坚持1-2不割肉? But the organization is different, they several years an investment cycle, will be often longer sometimes. 但机构不一样,他们往往几年一个投资周期,有时甚至会更长。 They take the money of fund as well as investor, makes three to five years of even longer long-line plan directly, in the three years or in five years, what the temporary rise and drop at all are not, they dare to attain for 35 years to criticize again, average person where has this boldness? 他们是拿着基金以及投资人的钱,直接做三到五年甚至更久的长线规划,这三年或者五年内,一时的涨跌根本不算什么,他们敢一直拿到三五年再清算,普通人哪有这个魄力? In addition the average person asset allocation insufficiently balanced, once in the life comes across anything, wants long-line to have also helplessly. 再加上普通人资产配置本来就不够平衡,一旦生活中遇到点什么事情,想长线持有也无能为力。 Therefore, Li Mu cannot before the media say that in the future the Google market value can hundreds of billions USD such words, to the capital, this is helping them tempt many. 所以,李牧不能在媒体面前说将来谷歌市值能到几千亿美元这样的话,对资本来说,这样的话就是在帮他们诱多。 Li Mu has not accepted reporter's interview later again, after Larry Page accepted the brief interview, two people left the NASDAQ exchange together. 李牧随后没有再接受记者的采访,等拉里・佩奇又接受了简短的采访之后,两人一同离开了纳斯达克交易所。 Returns to the road in hotel, Larry Page sits with Li Mu in the same car(riage), the first matter that he boards is unties the previous two knots of tie as well as shirt, sits down exhausted on the sofa of limousine, sighed: Today was really crazy!” 回酒店的路上,拉里・佩奇跟李牧坐在同一辆车里,他上车的第一件事就是解开领带以及衬衣的上两颗扣子,瘫坐在加长轿车的沙发上,感叹道:“今天真是太疯狂了!” Li Mu nods: And other stock prices stabilized, theoretically the quickest speed also wants at the end of the year or next year can climb to today's this altitude step by step.” 李牧点了点头:“等股价稳定下来,理论上最快的速度也要年底或者明年才能一步步爬升到今天这个高度。” Larry Page said: Waits for wave of heat degree in the past, then thought the pull-up stock price, must look financial statement that the situation and company of business development disclose.” 拉里・佩奇说:“等这一波热度过去,接下来想拉升股价,就要看业务发展的情况以及公司披露的财报了。” Li Mu said: You do not need to care about the performance of stock market excessively, the earning ability of Google advertisement is very strong, then does not need to make the financing plan again, does not need the big making a move stocks, is relieved makes the technical research and development and market expansion well, and other years, the entire internet user mass is then getting bigger and bigger, the Google market value will also be getting higher and higher, when two years later, you can reduce as the major stockholder, the company market value estimated that also broke through 2000 hundred million USD, by that time, you reduced 1% casually, was 20 hundred million USD income, when the time comes this sum of money fell into your pocket truly, naturally, must first pay taxes to the government.” 李牧说:“你们没必要过分在意股市的表现,谷歌广告的营收能力很强,接下来也没必要再做融资打算,更不需要大笔出手股份,安下心来好好做技术研发以及市场拓展,再等几年,整个互联网的用户体量越来越大,谷歌的市值也会越来越高,等两年之后,你作为大股东可以减持了,公司市值估计也突破两千亿美元了,到那个时候,你随便减持1%,也是二十亿美元的收入,到时候这笔钱可是真真正正落入你口袋里的,当然,得先向政府纳税。” Larry Page said with a laugh: These were the later matter, like you said that I then put in the business full power, how happen to must plan the fund that this IPO melted to use well.” 拉里・佩奇笑着说:“这些都是以后的事情了,就像您说的,我接下来就全力扑在业务上了,正好要好好规划一下这次IPO融到手的资金该怎么用。” Li Mu un, said: I will return to China tomorrow, the matter of keyhole guidance you must stare tightly to me, must take as soon as possible.” 李牧嗯了一声,道:“我明天回华夏了,keyhole导航的事情你一定要给我盯紧,务必尽快拿下。”
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