RINAPE :: Volume #15

#1496: Wild ambition

Next morning, muye & Boss aidu and google signing ceremony will soon start, the global media gather the country show/unfolds, competes to report the commercial merger and acquisitions of this value at least 30 hundred million USD. 翌日上午,muye&baidu与google的签约仪式即将开始,全球媒体汇聚国展,竞相报道这次价值至少30亿美元的商业并购。 yesterday, the investigation assessors of Wall Street several authorities, conducted the estimate value statistics to google again, the given reference estimate value is 90-120 hundred million USD, from Google announced that will merge muye &, and after obtaining Muye Science and Technology confirmed that even if Muye Science and Technology to the present actually has not given Google to induct any resources, the Google estimate value performed a certainly big rebound. 就在昨天,华尔街几家权威的调查评估机构,重新对google进行了估值统计,给出的参考估值为90-120亿美元,从谷歌宣布将并购muye&,并且得到了牧野科技证实之后,即便牧野科技到现在都没有实际给谷歌导入任何资源,谷歌的估值还是上演了一出绝地大反弹。 Several organizations believe, the Google next step estimate value has an enormous eruption to be possible, but this possibility does not depend on Google, but depends on Muye Science and Technology. 几家机构都认为,谷歌下一步的估值有一个极大的爆发可能,不过这个可能不取决于谷歌自己,而是取决于牧野科技。 If completes after today's this merger and acquisition, Muye Science and Technology really supports the Google development full power, then Google will welcome an explosion stroke, if after the merger and acquisition is completed, Muye Science and Technology about Google relatively is perfunctory, then the estimate value is not considerable, regardless of Muye Science and Technology whether full power supports Google, at least a little can determine, after the merger and acquisition is completed, Muye Science and Technology within five years will not touch any search engine business, this in other words, is bad, Google will also be over the next five years does not have the golden development period of natural enemy. 如果在今天这场并购完成之后,牧野科技真的全力扶持谷歌发展,那么谷歌将迎来一个爆发期,如果在并购完成之后,牧野科技对谷歌相对敷衍,那么估值就没那么可观,不过无论牧野科技是否全力支持谷歌,起码有一点是可以确定的,并购完成后,牧野科技五年之内不会触碰任何搜索引擎业务,这也就是说,再不济,谷歌未来五年也将处于没有天敌的黄金发育期。 In the internet industry, large amount of capital operations of billions USD were rarely seen, let alone is a successful case of Li Mu spatial glove white wolf, therefore globally has extremely high attention. 互联网行业里,几十亿美元的大宗资本操作本就并不多见,更何况又是李牧空手套白狼的一次成功案例,所以在全球范围内都有着极高的关注度。 Arrives besides many media reporters, lots of industry in elites also come to support, therefore the entire country show/unfolds a babel of voices, compared with common office large exhibition time many that must live it up. 除了大量的媒体记者到场之外,大量的业内精英也纷纷前来捧场,所以整个国展人声鼎沸,比寻常办大型展览的时候还要热闹的多。 Li Mu places the country show/unfolds for the organizer preparation backstage lounge at this time, today's signing ceremony although scene is very big, but the flow is actually simple, comes help well-known Host to help make the beginning management from CCTV friendship besides one as well as among skewer of fields, the entire signing ceremony on three parts, first, Li Mu and ro Boss in also has Larry Page to give the brief speech in turn ; Next, holds the tripartite signing ceremony on the spot ; Finally, answered the reporter to ask. 李牧此时身处国展为主办方准备的后台休息室,今天的签字仪式虽然场面很大,不过流程倒是非常简单,除了一位从央视友情过来帮忙的知名主持人帮忙做开场主持以及中间串场之外,整个签字仪式就三个部分,首先,李牧、robin还有拉里・佩奇轮流做简短的演讲;其次,现场举行三方签字仪式;最后,答现场记者问。 With Host after the flow, a Li Mu person has sat in own lounge finally takes a short break, when the dozen minutes begin, Li Ziwei knocks on a door, said to Li Mu: „Chief Li, Chief Lin sent a mail to come from US (America), you made her investigate the understanding the matter, she has the preliminary findings.” 在最终与主持人对过流程之后,李牧一个人坐在自己的休息室里稍事休息,在还有十几分钟开场的时候,李紫薇敲门进来,对李牧说:“李总,林总从美国发了个邮件过来,您让她调查了解的事情,她已经有了初步的调查结果。” „Oh?” Li Mu came the spirit, sits the body to ask: „How to say?” “噢？”李牧来了精神,坐正身体问道:“怎么说？” Li Ziwei pulls out to act a palm of the hand big memorandum, opens to clamp that page of mini ball pen, said: „Altogether has three quite reliable news, first: Microsoft will really have the quite big movement in the near future, the internal post transfers is quite big, according to her experience estimated, the internal staff post transfers in a big way, should conduct the quite large-scale reorganization on behalf of the interior, she analyzed to establish new project division, or team, but the Microsoft interior security rank was quite high, moreover they in Seattle, therefore the secret was quite easy to develop.” 李紫薇掏出手中的一个巴掌大的记事本,翻开夹着迷你圆珠笔的那一页,说道:“一共有三个比较可靠的消息,第一个:微软近期确实有比较大的动作,内部岗位调动比较大,按照她的经验估计,内部员工岗位调动大,应该代表内部进行了比较大规模的重组,她分析应该是成立了新的事业部,或者项目组,不过微软内部保密级别比较高,而且它们在西雅图,所以保密工作比较容易开展。” Li Mu nods, said: „If the interior transfers is quite big, definitely has internal business reorganization, it seems like they had the new development direction.” 李牧点了点头,道:“如果是内部调动比较大,肯定是有内部的业务重组,看来他们有了新的发展方向。” Li Ziwei also said: „Second, Microsoft worked hard in the content operation recently, they poached some Chief Editor from US (America) many well-known media, gives them several times the pay, made Seattle them, in which project but prepared to be used in specifically, temporarily did not have the positive news.” 李紫薇又道:“第二个,微软最近在内容运营上非常下功夫,他们从美国不少知名媒体里挖走了一些主编,给他们数倍的薪资,把他们弄去了西雅图,但具体准备用于哪个项目上,暂时还没有确切消息。” Li Mu smacks the lips saying: „Microsoft move of so many content talents, this was must catch up in the content end, now the opportunity of content talent, nothing but is Portal website, and vertical product in content, but now the vertical product in content are few, had nothing except for Blog......” 李牧咂嘴道:“微软招这么多内容人才,这是要在内容端发力了啊,现在内容人才的用武之地,无非就是门户网站,以及内容方面的垂直产品,但是现在内容方面的垂直产品还非常少,除了博客也就没什么了……” The internet initial vigorous development revolves the public relations, Game and information, these three categories truly with content related is the information class product, to put it bluntly is all kinds of Portal website, besides Portal, the content product is deficient in the development of present stage, not like the later generation, the encyclopedia class product and question and answer class product and interest public relations and knowledge public relations class product is as numerous as the hairs of an ox, the present stage only mature content product, is actually Blog, other, the network is also at the fumble stage. 互联网起初的蓬勃发展都围绕着社交、游戏和资讯,这三大类真正与内容相关的就是资讯类产品,说白了就是各式各样的门户网站,除了门户之外,内容产品在现阶段的发展非常匮乏,不像后世,百科类产品、问答类产品、兴趣社交以及知识社交类产品多如牛毛,现阶段唯一成熟的内容型产品,其实就是博客,其他的,就连网络都还处于摸索阶段。 Thinks of here, Li Mu thought aloud that said: „It seems like Microsoft dug such multimedia content talents, either wants to do Portal, either wants to do Blog, was impossible to have the third possibility again.” 想到这儿,李牧自言自语的说:“看来微软挖了这么多媒体内容人才,要么是想重新搞个门户,要么是想搞博客,不可能再有第三种可能了。” Then, Li Mu asked Li Ziwei: „Wasn't says three points? What third is?” 说罢,李牧问李紫薇:“不是说有三点吗？第三个是什么？” Li Ziwei hastily said: „The third point, is Microsoft will really have in several in the surrounding in the near future the investment purchase of small scale, moreover throws is completely the Game development teams.” 李紫薇急忙说道:“第三点,是微软近期确实在外围有几个中小规模的投资收购,而且投的全部都是游戏开发团队。” „Game development?” Li Mu cannot help but frowns, said: „For x Boss ox platform?” “游戏开发？”李牧不由得皱起眉头,道:“是为xbox平台服务的吗？” Li Ziwei said: „It is not, Chief Lin said that these Game development teams are make pc to carry the Windows platform Game development, moreover one is to make the online chess sign class Game company.” 李紫薇说:“不是,林总说这几个游戏开发团队都是做pc端indos平台游戏开发的,而且有一个是做在线棋牌类游戏的公司。” „Online chess sign......” Li Mu is narrowing the eye, nods gently. “在线棋牌……”李牧眯着眼睛,轻轻点了点头。 If Microsoft as well as invests the Game team to x Boss ox ecology purchase, Li Mu does not feel surprisedly, after all must support a pure Game platform, but must die to knock with sony ps, in the hand the Game team of few exclusive collaboration has not really handled, but Microsoft purchases pc to carry the Game team, this little is not right, the online chess sign obviously odd, obvious and Microsoft accent nature is different. 如果说微软是给xbox生态收购以及投资游戏团队,李牧并不感觉惊讶,毕竟要养活一个纯粹的游戏平台,还要跟sony的ps死磕,手里没几个独家合作的游戏团队还真玩不转,但是微软收购pc端游戏团队,这就有点不对劲了,在线棋牌就更显离谱,明显与微软的调性不同。 Online chess sign Game platform, depended is the social personal connection, walked is also the social route, if Microsoft msn also, then it makes online chess sign Game, oneself will not feel surprised, but the key is, msn has knelt, Microsoft lost the growth social games soil, at this time suddenly must make social games, will be equal to wanting in the air the pavilion, Microsoft should not to handle such stupid matter, only if they will prepare to make again the soil. 在线棋牌游戏平台,靠的就是社交人脉,走的也是社交路线,如果微软的msn还在,那么它做在线棋牌游戏,自己也不会觉得惊讶,但关键是,msn已经跪了,微软失去了发育社交游戏的土壤,这时候忽然又要做社交游戏,等于是要空中起楼阁,微软应该不会做这么愚蠢的事情,除非他们准备重新把土壤做出来。 Li Mu analyzes several clues that can comb through at present, several points that first, can determine are: Microsoft had the big movement, to ask a large numbers of content worker, to prepare to do social games ; 李牧分析了一下目前能够梳理出来的几个线索,首先,可以确定的几点是:微软内部有大动作、找了一大批内容工作者、准备搞社交游戏; Next, several points when determine is: Microsoft may probably make Portal , to probably make Blog , to probably make the public relations. 其次,待确定的几点是:微软有可能要做门户、也有可能要做博客、也有可能要做社交。 Li Mu thought the moment, pats the thigh, said: „Microsoft his mother must stage a comeback!” 李牧想了片刻,一拍大腿,道:“微软这他妈是要卷土重来啊！” Li Ziwei hastily closely examines: „Chief Li, is your meaning Microsoft must make the public relations?” 李紫薇急忙追问:“李总,您的意思是微软还要重新做社交？” Li Mu nods, said: „I thought him, not only need make the public relations, he must make the complete set! At least Muye Science and Technology at the matter of doing, he wants to do now! Moreover is doing quietly, wants to hit my one to be caught off guard!” 李牧点点头,道:“我看他不只是要做社交,他是要做全套！起码牧野科技现在在做的事情,他都想做！而且是悄悄的做,想打我一个措手不及！” Li Ziwei dumbfounded looks at Li Mu, does not know why Li Mu will draw such a serious conclusion, at least looked from the paper surface, Lin Qingya round these news are also not enough to support Li Mu's this judgment, after all any company, perhaps if wants with the Muye Science and Technology all-out competition, to pay the huge price and cost, moreover must take the big failure risk, makes such decision is not easy. 李紫薇目瞪口呆的看着李牧,不知道为什么李牧会得出一个这么严重的结论,起码从纸面上看,林清雅发回来的这些消息还不足以支撑李牧的这个判断,毕竟任何一家公司,如果想与牧野科技全面竞争,恐怕都要付出巨大的代价和成本,而且要承担巨大的失败风险,做这样的决定可没那么容易。 hesitated for a moment, Li Ziwei exploratory asking: „Chief Li, is matter so really serious?” 迟疑片刻,李紫薇试探性的问道:“李总,事情真的有这么严重吗？” Li Mu nod of without hesitation, said: „I feel possibility at least ten 7-8.” 李牧毫不犹豫的点了点头,道:“我觉得可能性至少十之七八。” Li Ziwei hastily said: „That must return a call to Chief Lin, making her investigate again deep?” 李紫薇急忙说道:“那要不要给林总回个电话,让她再深度调查一下？” Li Mu is pinching own chin, ponders over the moment, said: „Investigation must investigate, but must trade the breakthrough point.” 李牧捏着自己的下巴,思忖片刻,说:“调查是一定要调查的,不过要换个切入点。” Then, Li Mu asked Li Ziwei: „You know that which dimensions the US (America) people with do judge the nuclear weapon progress in North Korea?” 说罢,李牧问李紫薇:“你知道美国人都用哪些维度去判断北韩的核武器进展情况吗？” Li Ziwei shakes the head gently, exploratory asking: „Uses the spy satellite to photograph?” 李紫薇轻轻摇了摇头,试探性的问:“使用间谍卫星拍摄吗？” Li Mu said with a smile: „This is the most direct way, seems us to do everything possible to investigate the Microsoft internal situation to be the same intuitively, but if others hide the direct-viewing clue deliberately, we are very difficult to inquire about the real situation of opposite party.” 李牧笑道:“这是最直接的方式,就好像我们想尽办法去直观调查微软内部的情况一样,但如果别人蓄意隐藏直观线索,那我们就很难探寻到对方的真实情况。” Speaking of here, Li Mu also said: „On the contrary, there are many non- direct-viewing clues is unable to hide in any event, for example monitors the North Korean uranium mine mining, if the uranium mining increases, can show that they are conducting with the nuclear related work, but this possibly for the nuclear power station, not necessarily is the user researches and develops the nuclear weapon, then, how to confirm that they are conducting the research and development of nuclear weapon, must control their power rates to change simultaneously again, if civil and industrial power consumption has not grown obviously, but their power rates actually rose, this showed that they might invest several thousand desk centrifuges in preparing the highly enriched uranium, because the nuclear power station only needs the uraniums about 3% density. The density that but the nuclear weapon needs surpasses 93%, uranium mining, and power rate, is they the non- direct-viewing clue that is difficult to hide.” 说到这儿,李牧又道:“相反,有许多非直观的线索是无论如何都无法隐藏的,比如监控北韩铀矿的开采情况,如果铀矿开采增多,可以证明他们在进行与核有关的工作,不过这可能是用于核电站,未必是用户研发核武器,那么,怎么来确认他们在进行核武器的研发呢,就要同时再控控他们的发电量变化,如果民用以及工业耗电没有明显增长,但他们的发电量却上涨了许多,这就证明他们有可能投入了数千台离心机在制备高浓缩铀,因为核电站只需要3%左右浓度的铀-235,但核武器需要的浓度超过93%,铀矿开采量,以及发电量,就是他们很难隐藏的非直观线索。” Li Ziwei pondered over the moment, nods, asked earnestly: „You felt, what the Microsoft non- direct-viewing clue is?” 李紫薇琢磨了片刻,点了点头,认真问道:“那您觉得,微软的非直观线索是什么呢？” Li Mu said: „I said that you.” 李牧说:“我说,你记一下。” „Good.” Li Ziwei pulls out and memorandum immediately. “好的。”李紫薇立刻掏出笔和记事本。 „First, making Lin Qingya find the way to check the human affairs record of Microsoft, they made so many year of msn relevant operations, early all with the msn related staff, the information should be relatively transparent, which can check until now to have in the people who Microsoft makes the msn business easily, after checking these personnel, looks that these people after Microsoft closes down the msn business, departure has many, stays behind has many . Moreover, in that group of people of departure, will return to Microsoft how many in the near future has, Microsoft wants to make the social business, certain will not go round the sun to meet the moon, the msn old team., And the old product tidies up to conduct the re-development, this reduces effort convenient, moreover experiences sufficiently, the efficiency is higher, these people look like the Microsoft uranium mine, Microsoft will certainly not give up mining, even is mining high-speed ;” “第一,让林清雅想办法查一下微软的人事记录,他们做了这么多年msn相关业务,早期所有与msn相关的员工,信息应该都是相对透明的,很容易就能查到一直以来在微软做msn业务的人都有哪些,查到这些人员之后,看一看这些人在微软关停msn业务之后,离职的有多少,留下的有多少,另外,离职的那批人里,近期又回到微软的有多少,微软想做社交业务,一定不会舍近求远,他们会把msn的老团队,以及老产品都收拾出来进行二次开发,这样更省事省力,而且经验充足,效率更高,这些人就像是微软的铀矿,微软一定不会放弃开采,甚至正在高速开采;” „Second, making Lin Qingya find the way to check Microsoft to have any big movement in the data processing in the near future, he wants to make the social ecology, then inevitable not possible to make one product that we are weaker, I suspect their resurrecting msn, but such as I said a moment ago, msn after resurrecting is the bath hot rebirth, is certainly reborn, therefore msn after resurrecting will certainly have the document that our YY has online with the off-line transmission function, voice and video call function, but support these functions, need the strong data-handling capacity, says is popular, Microsoft wants to make one. The product like YY, oneself disburse money to construct massive engine rooms either, either has rent money massive engine rooms, to the engine room, band width and demand of data-handling capacity, like preparing the highly enriched uranium must consume massive electrical energies, how regardless of they hide, not possible conceals to result, so long as these two confirmations, the Microsoft wild ambition were obvious!” “第二,让林清雅想办法查一下微软近期在数据处理上有没有什么大动作,他想做社交生态,那么必然不可能去做一个比我们弱的产品,我怀疑他们会复活msn,但是如我刚才所说,复活后的msn一定是浴火重生、脱胎换骨的,所以复活后的msn一定会具备我们yy所具备的文件在线与离线传输功能、语音与视频通话功能,而支撑这些功能,就需要强大的数据处理能力,说得再通俗一点,微软想做一个像yy一样的产品,要么自己出钱建大量机房,要么出钱租大量机房,对机房、带宽、数据处理能力的需求,就像制备高浓缩铀必须消耗大量电能一样,他们无论怎么藏,都不可能藏得了,只要这两点确认,微软的狼子野心就昭然若揭了！”
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