MOTGAR :: Volume #13

#1201: Thai bhat free float


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All is conducting methodically. 一切有条不紊地进行着。 The Hong Kong peace returned, same day appointed the special administrative region chief executive and government affairs directors, the financial secretaries, the main police department heads, the customs commissioners, the honest government bureau special commissioners on the 1st one after another and other series of duties. 香江和平回归了,一号当天接连任命特别行政区特首、政务司司长、财政司司长、警务处处长、海关关长、廉政署专员等一系列职务。 In the evening held many field concert, celebrates lively, after joy slow god, people discovered that actually returns to also such. 当晚开了很多场演唱会,热热闹闹地庆祝,当从欣喜中缓过神之后,人们发现其实回归也就那样。 Except that the police replace the uniform model and roadside to be hanging the Chinese redbud flag and Five-Starred Red Flag, other and did not have much difference in the past. 除了警察换掉制服样式、路边悬挂着紫荆花旗帜和五星红旗,其他和往常并没有太大区别。 The merchants do business normally, the student continued to make up for a missed lesson, is continuing the past normal life. 商人正常营业,学生继续补课,延续着以往的正常生活。 July 1 that night, many rich and powerful people gathered together assembled, they became the true manager of this lands in a present native of Hong Kong joyfully, did not have that side British supervision, in the future lives to get an idea is better to do. 七月 1 号这天晚上,很多富豪们聚在一起集会,他们欣喜于如今香江人成了这片土地的真正管理者,没了英国那边的监督,将来生意会更加好做。 Han Xuan and old gentleman and grandfather they, attended the party that the reversions and local rich and powerful people held, he discovered clearly, now native of Hong Kong really from the heart happy in returning, but why will turn into such in the future, was an issue that was worth thinking...... 韩宣和老爷子、外公他们,也去参加了回归庆典与本地富豪们举办的派对,他清楚发现,如今香江人是真的发自内心地高兴于回归了,但将来为什么会变成那样,是个值得深思熟虑的问题…… On the morning of 2nd, Han Xuan has not gotten out of bed, was awakened by noise by the ringtone. 二号一早,韩宣还没有起床,就被电话铃声吵醒。 Is Mr. Keynes in Thailand is hitting now, he said agitatedly: This morning Thai president announced, gives up focusing on US dollar monetary policy, permitted the Thai bhat free float!” 是如今正在泰国的小凯恩斯先生打来的,他语气激动说道:“今天早上泰国总统宣布,放弃紧盯美元的货币政策,允许泰铢自由浮动了!” After Han Xuan hears this news , the sleepiness does not have, happily to wanting to laugh, closely examines saying: „Didn't the Thai government have the foreign exchange reserves?!” 韩宣听到这个消息后睡意全无,开心到想要大笑,追问说:“泰国政府没有外汇储备了?!” Without, the situation that the international idle fund escaped, imagined us is fiercer, Singapore and policy of Japanese that side loan has not passed, foreign exchange reserves of Thailand already. “没了,国际游资外逃的情况,比我们想象中更加剧烈,新加坡和日本那边借款的政策还没有通过,泰国的外汇储备就已经到底。 For serveral days, we altogether undersold about 7 billion US dollars Thai bhat, fund that in addition Thailand fled, the total could be 20 billion US dollars, Thai not so many foreign exchange reserves. 这些天来,我们总共抛售将近七十亿美元的泰铢,加上泰国本土出逃的资金,总数可能要达到两百亿美元,泰国没有那么多外汇储备。 Early this month time, Southeast Asia each country and Japan and other places, added that must aid Thailand, over the two days could not have seen this class news in the newspaper. 月初时候,东南亚各个国家和日本等地,还说要援助泰国,这两天在报纸上已经看不到此类的消息。 They know that Thailand soon ended, each country's Central Bank is trying to increase the foreign exchange reserves, deals then the impact on own country. 他们知道泰国快要完了,各个国家的中央银行正在试图增加外汇储备,应对接下来对自己国家的冲击。 If there is foreign exchange, the Thai government is impossible to announce that abandons the original monetary policy, it does not have the place to lend money now, can only the little darling wait for death. 如果不是没有外汇,泰国政府根本不可能宣布放弃原先的货币政策,它现在没地方借钱,只能乖乖等死。 The young boss, starts from opening today, in the card presents a long red string, the Thai bhat depreciation speed is fast, some people are underselling the Thai bhat unceasingly, the foreign capital fleeing speed speeds up, we had made money in the big pen, congratulations! ” 小老板,今天从开盘开始,盘面上就出现一条长长的红线,泰铢贬值速度非常快,不断有人在抛售泰铢,外资出逃速度加快,我们已经在大笔挣钱了,恭喜!” Is truly worth congratulating, previously said that several seconds buy a race car, in these words has the exaggerating ingredient. 确实值得恭喜,先前说几秒钟买一辆跑车,那些话里带有夸张成分。 But if today, if the Thai bhat has depreciated, then Han Xuan really can use for several seconds the time, buys a super race car. 但如果是今天,假如泰铢一直贬值,那么韩宣真的可以用短短几秒时间,买到一辆超级跑车。 Since the Thai government announced that the currency free float starts, a Thai bhat depreciation is the matter of being settled, nowadays no one dares to swallow the Thai bhat, its credit has reduced the extreme. 自从泰国政府宣布货币自由浮动开始,泰铢贬值已经是板上钉钉的事,现如今没人敢吃进泰铢,它的信用度已经降低到极点。 Deepening of economic exchange in each countries, the economic crisis no longer only covers a country, initially Mexico had the financial crisis time, causes a large quantities of country of South America and Central America, the stock index big diving, creating the small scale is turbulent. 随着各个国家之间经济往来的加深,经济危机不再只覆盖一个国家,当初墨西哥发生金融危机时候,就导致南美洲和中美洲的一大批国家,股票指数大跳水,造成小规模动荡。 Therefore, Mr. Keynes then said: „ You thought how many Thai bhats depreciated, should we level? 因此,小凯恩斯先生接着说道:“你觉得等泰铢贬值多少,我们就应该平仓? Mr. Soros they, attempts in Singapore and Malaysia constructs the spatial warehouse, the amount of cash in our present are not many, needs to extract part from Thailand...... ” 索罗斯先生他们,试图在新加坡和马来西亚建空仓,我们现在手里的现金量不多,需要从泰国抽出一部分……” The interstellar investment of Han Xuan, has the hedge fund department that a large numbers of economic expert composes, he only needs to grasp the general orientation, the remaining some people according to his meaning, will help process naturally. 韩宣的星际投资,有着一大批经济学专家组成的对冲基金部门,他只需要把握大方向,剩下的自然而然就会有人按照他的意思,帮忙处理好。 Therefore these days the day passes very comfortably, calls to discuss the latest trend every day. 所以这段时间日子过得挺舒坦,每天打个电话讨论最新动向就可以。 The issue of Mr. Keynes, making him feel somewhat worriedly, although remembers clearly the previous generation Thai bhat depreciation scope reaches as high as over 30%, but this whole life, because has own involvement, actually Han Xuan does not dare definitely to depreciate many. 小凯恩斯先生的这个问题,让他感到有些苦恼,虽然清楚记得前世泰铢贬值幅度高达百分之三十以上,可这辈子因为有自己的介入,韩宣不敢肯定究竟会贬值多少。 Sets out to sit in the bedside, 起身坐在床边, After dozing off, replied: This issue discussed later again, first has a look at today's depreciation scope, if the depreciation is quick, levelling the time will delay some in the future. Remembers the sound of attention government, if there is any rebound trend, will tell me immediately, later will chat again, I need first to give Mr. Soros to telephone.” 打了个瞌睡后回答说:“这个问题待会儿再讨论,先看看今天的贬值幅度,如果贬值很快,就把平仓的时间往后拖延一些。记得注意政府的动静,如果有任何会反弹趋势,立马告诉我,待会儿再聊,我需要先给索罗斯先生打个电话。” OK. “OK。 I in the exchange, which do not go today, have the news to inform you...... ” 我今天就在交易所里,哪都不去,有消息就通知你......” Does not worry to contact with Soros, Han Xuan takes a bath to wear the clothes, this carries the cup milk to arrive at the balcony to telephone. 不着急联系索罗斯,韩宣洗了个澡穿好衣服,这才端着杯牛奶来到阳台打电话。 After the connection, old man's voice is happy, probably is because another country fell to the enemy under his attack, said excitedly: „ Good morning! 等接通后,老头的声音非常开心,大概是因为又一个国家在他的攻击下沦陷了,兴奋说道:“早上好! Thai here is raining, is really a bad weather, we will hold the party to celebrate tonight, can you come together? ” 泰国这里正在下雨,真是个糟糕的天气,我们今晚会举办派对庆祝,你要一起来吗?” If I am you, flees from Thailand immediately by far, returns to Europe or United States goes. “如果我是你,就立马远远逃离泰国,回到欧洲或者美国去。 That side Thailand, should have many people to want your life now to dispel anger, at this time I will not go to Thailand rashly, Hong Kong here live very comfortably. ” 泰国那边,现在应该有很多人想要你的命解恨,这种时候我可不会贸然去泰国,香江这里住得挺舒服。” I am not silly, in United States embassies in Thailand, some days has been able to return to homeland with the United States carrier squadron. “我没那么傻,待在美国驻泰国的大使馆里呢,过些天会和美国的航母编队一起回国。 Then, what matter asks me to have, you have not contacted with me for a long time, won't always call me specially reports good news? ” 说吧,找我有什么事,你已经好长时间没联系我,总不会是特意打电话给我报喜吧?” Soros at the morning exercise, the sound sounds somewhat pants probably. 老索罗斯大概是在晨练,声音听起来有些气喘吁吁的。 I want to ask, then arrangement that side Singapore and Malaysian, in addition has a matter, needs to inform you ahead of time. “我想要问问,接下来在新加坡和马来西亚那边的安排,另外还有件事,需要提前通知你。 In the original plan, there are to attack Hong Kong this right? 原先的计划里,有攻击香江这条对吧? Now it returned, foreign exchange reserves 96 billion US dollars and Huaxia have 130 billion, I decide to withdraw the attack to Hong Kong. ” 现在它回归了,外汇储备九百六十亿美元、华夏也拥有一千三百亿,我决定退出对香江的攻击。” Han Xuan said with a smile, actually he understands, Soros has not planned to short the Hong Kong dollar. 韩宣笑着说道,其实他心里明白,索罗斯根本就没打算做空港币。 This old man has fought many battles, how possibly unable to look that the foreign exchange reserves of Hong Kong are too many, is unable to start by these people. 这老头身经百战,怎么可能看不出来香江的外汇储备太多,凭借这些人根本无从下手。 But Soros previously mentioned Hong Kong again and again, he always felt has the plot, this is probing is asking that old man, actually to do. 但索罗斯先前三番五次提到香江,他总觉得其中有阴谋,这是在试探着问那老头,究竟想要干什么。 Soros said very much calm: „ Good, is casual you, I also thought that attacks Hong Kong is not suitable. 索罗斯很淡定地说道:“那好吧,随便你,我也觉得进攻香江不适合。 However other places you cannot be few, your fund can us very big help, this be the good opportunity of getting rich, before cooperated has been very happy, I liked you. ” 不过其他地方你可不能少,你的资金能给我们很大帮助,这都是发财的好机会啊,之前合作一直很愉快,我喜欢你。” That said right, Han Xuan actually detected that is not quite right, because of the previous generation time, Hong Kong truly loses seriously in this economic crisis. 话是这么说没错,韩宣却察觉到不太对劲,因为前世时候,香江确实在这次经济危机中损失惨重。 Chatted the little while to put down the telephone, the finish breakfast goes to the old gentleman room. 聊了会儿放下电话,吃完早饭去老爷子房间。 He is reading the news, the host was telling the news that today's HSI rises sharply, said after the return , the investors are optimistic about the local prospect. 他正在看新闻,主持人讲述着今天恒生指数大涨的消息,说回归后投资者们看好当地前景。 Suddenly, a thought in the Han Xuan head crack! 突然间,一个念头在韩宣脑袋里炸响! 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