MOTGAR :: Volume #12

#1125: Financial crisis prologue

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Soros they, after Thai bhat, Malaysian Ringgit that the bank organization that plunders the United States operation offshore business massively has and other currencies, recently was in that side Britain to bustle about. 索罗斯他们,大量搜刮完美国经营离岸业务的银行机构持有的泰铢、马来西亚令吉等货币后,最近正在英国那边忙碌着。 This is also Mr. Ford Riemann, meets asked why Han Xuan not with the reason that they go to together. 这也是弗德里曼先生,一见面就问韩宣为什么没跟他们一起去的原因。 Actually unvalued of Han Xuan in that underground organization, because of he himself does not want the reasons of many mixing, Soros and the others, to be notorious venture capital, banker wait/etc. 倒不是韩宣在那个地下组织中不受重视,而是因为他自己不想过多掺和的缘故,索罗斯等人,本来就是臭名昭著的风投家、银行家等等。 But the Han Xuan enterprise not only is restricted in the financial industry, in fact the entity was his principal work, the reputation is ruined, did not scrub for a lifetime cleanly, shouldered such bad name to be unworthy. 可韩宣的事业不仅只限于金融业,事实上实体才是他的主业,名声被败坏了,一辈子都洗刷不干净,背负那样的坏名声不值得。 Therefore this time, he only draws support is established in the anonymous Shell in Maldives, as well as had cooperated these big financial industry companies, begin to Southeast Asia, except for money is his, in other aspects are very difficult with the Han Xuan direct link. 所以这次,他只借助成立于马尔代夫的匿名空壳公司,以及曾经合作过的那些大型金融业公司,对东南亚地区动手,除了钱是他的,在其他方面很难跟韩宣直接联系上。 In the past the pound had become „eldest child”, after the Bretton Woods system after second war was established, formed in US dollar international currency system. 当年英镑曾经当过“老大”,在二战后的布雷顿森林体系建立后,形成了以美元为中心的国际货币体系。 Now most currencies in the world, with US dollar hook, they can only circulate in a small area, without means globalization. 如今世界上的大部分货币,都跟美元挂钩,它们只能在小范围内流通,没办法全球化。 US dollar appreciation, they follow to rise, a dollar devaluation, they also follow to drop. 美元升值,它们跟着上升,美元贬值,它们也跟着下降。 At that time Mexican currency peso , is US dollar direct contact, but local government did, announced that exchange rate free float, this gave Han Xuan their opportunity, successfully destroyed the financial system of Mexico, has not restored until the present, was unable to recover. 当时墨西哥货币比索,也是和美元直接挂钩,不过当地政府自己作死,宣布汇率自由浮动,这才给了韩宣他们可乘之机,成功搞垮墨西哥的金融体系,直到如今还没有恢复过来,一蹶不振。 As the vision is open day by day, Han Xuan knows some inside stories gradually, Mexican new president who for example at that time took office, made decision extremely in Naocan, is extremely hasty. 随着眼界日益开阔,韩宣渐渐知道一些内幕,比如说当时上任的墨西哥新总统,做出的决定太过于脑残,也太过仓促。 Sichuan once joked last year, Mexican President also comes to the company to purchase homes, this made Han Xuan smell the flavor of plot, had the suspicion to the source of funds of that president. 川普去年曾开玩笑说,墨西哥总统也来公司买过房子,这让韩宣闻到了点阴谋的味道,对那位总统的资金来源产生怀疑。 Millions US dollars are not the small numbers, perhaps at that time some people arranged him to go such to do, after country to selling out, attains a big reward to treat as the reward. 好几百万美元可不是小数目,说不定当时是有人安排他去那样做的,将国家给卖掉之后,拿到一大笔报酬当作奖励。 Like this thinks, as if can convince, the world is very complex...... 这样想想,似乎就能说得通了,世界果然很复杂…… Mexican that time, as a result of the decision of new government, operating to be very simple, most essential „exchange rate free float” government help solved. 墨西哥那次,由于新政府的决定,操作起来很简单,最关键的“汇率自由浮动”政府帮忙解决了。 Like a woman who strips off the clothes, facing the innumerable husky fellows, coughs...... remaining, only then „how can make more money” this issue. 就像一位脱光衣服的女人,面对无数彪形大汉,咳……剩下的只有“怎样才能捞更多钱”这个问题而已。 Relatively speaking, this time must the artificial crisis in Southeast Asia each country, is much more difficult. 相对而言,这次要在东南亚各个国家进行的人为危机,要困难得多。 Because they still implement the policy of currency and US dollar hook, moreover one time is facing many countries. 因为它们依然实行货币与美元挂钩的政策,而且是一次面对许多个国家。 Therefore Soros and the others first fund of use, then reaches as high as 10 billion US dollars greatness, a Han Xuan person contributes 2 billion. 因此索罗斯等人首批动用的资金,便高达一百亿美元之巨,其中韩宣一个人就贡献二十亿。 Except for present current small scale attack spot exchange market, but also established the enormous amount dead end in the forward exchange transaction, all have prepared, the time arrives on. 除了如今正在进行的小规模攻击现汇市场,还在远期外汇交易上建立了数量可观的空头,一切都已经准备好,就等好时机到来。 Compared to these countries, Huaxia comparison security. 相对于那些国家而言,华夏比较安全。 Soros simply has not thought must make money from it, because the Renminbi was unable freely to exchange at present. 索罗斯根本没想过要从它身上捞钱,因为人民币目前还不能自由兑换。 If the domestic resident wants to use the foreign currency, can only exchange from the exchange control place . Moreover the amount that can trade is few, people trade from the black market generally. 国内居民如果想要使用外币,只能从外汇管理处兑换,而且能够换到的数额很少,人们一般从黑市进行交易。 At that time Han Xuan in the Huaxia time, looked in the newspaper has resold the foreign exchange grasped news, brave, had the method or has the person of overseas relations, can use the Renminbi directly from exchange control place exchange US dollar. 当时韩宣在华夏时候,就在报纸上看过倒卖外汇被抓的新闻,胆子大、有门路或者有海外关系的人,可以直接用人民币从外汇管理处兑换美元。 In 1993 the time, the RMB-US dollar official exchange rate, was about 58 : 1, the black market exchange rate in 11 to 15 : 1 about, basically turns time of profit. 1993年时候,人民币兑美元的官方汇率,大约为58比一,黑市汇率则在11到15比一左右,基本是翻倍的利润。 The international idle fund wants not to enter possibly, let alone the foreign exchange reserves of Huaxia exceed 100 billion US dollars now, this unyielding person basic nowhere end opening. 国际游资想要进入没可能,何况如今华夏的外汇储备超过1000亿美元,这块硬骨头根本无处下口。 But forthcoming crisis, to with being in Huaxia of eastern Asia, is an once in a thousand years good opportunity. 而即将爆发的危机,对同处于亚洲东部的华夏来说,是个千载难逢的好机会。 Ten years sharpen a sword, now Huaxia various infrastructures, the infrastructure of coastal area, has almost constructed particularly, 十年磨一剑,如今华夏的各项基础设施,尤其是沿海地区的基础设施,差不多已经建设好, At least is is not too so bad. When the four dragons and four small tigers lead to the crisis simultaneously, certainly causes large quantities of international idle funds from their evacuations, Huaxia is these fund best destinations. 至少不是那么太糟糕。等到四小龙、四小虎同时爆发出危机,必然导致大批国际游资从它们那里撤离,华夏就是这些资金最好的去处。 Let alone the Huaxia labor cost is low, this is the international merchants most likes, waited for this crisis in the past, the golden period of Huaxia development will also then arrive...... 何况华夏人工成本还低,这是国际商人们最喜欢的,等这场危机过去之后,华夏发展的黄金时期便会随之到来…… Han Xuan takes the water ladle, toward burning irrigated a water to the red stone , the water vapor in perspiration steaming room, becomes richer. 韩宣拿着水瓢,往燃烧到通红的石头上浇了点水,汗蒸室里的水汽,变得更加浓郁。 He then said: „ These year of Thai rates of economic development drop, a large quantities of floating capital entered the real estate and stock market market, creates a big bubble. 他接着说道:“这些年泰国经济发展速度下降,一大批游资进入了房地产和股市市场,造成不小的泡沫。 Now the Thai internal contradiction is very serious, the hot money market size at least over 1 trillion US dollars, we only needs to cause a blasting fuse, that powder keg will explode. ” 现在泰国国内矛盾挺严重,热钱市场规模至少在一万亿美元以上,我们只需要弄出点导火索,那个火药桶就会爆炸。” Ford Riemann said: „ Un, that side Thailand, has known that we can first begin to it, the dead end quantity that the forward exchange market establishes are too many, must be discovered. 弗德里曼说道:“嗯,泰国那边,已经知道我们会第一个向它动手,远期外汇市场建立的空头数量太多,不可能不被发现。 Last week my boss received the warning of Thai government, but did not need to manage them, wanting my boss to assign/life the person, globally had several ten million/countless. 上周我老板接到泰国政府的警告,不过不用理他们,想要我老板命的人,全球范围内有好几千万呢。 This time he makes me look for you, is to discuss the issue of fund, although some large quantities of international idle funds follow in us behind, prepares to begin together, but wants to destroy the money market of Thailand rapidly, these money possibly also insufficient. 这次他让我来找你,是想要谈谈资金的问题,虽然有大批国际游资跟在我们身后,准备一起动手,但想要迅速搞垮泰国的金融市场,这些钱可能还不够。 Perhaps you do not know, Japan and Singapore, Philippines, South Korea, Malaysia and other countries, have prepared to take away financial aid Thailand, this means pressure that we must face, possibly was bigger than the former estimate. ” 或许你不知道,日本和新加坡、菲律宾、韩国、马来西亚等国家,已经准备抽掉资金援助泰国,这意味着我们要面对的压力,可能比以前预计中更加大。” Soros has kept thinking about oneself wallet, Han Xuan is clearly knowing this, at this matter, he should not lie. 索罗斯一直惦记着自己的钱包,韩宣清楚知道这点,不过在这件事情上,他应该没有说谎。 In February of this year the time, they to various Thai banks, borrow to reach as high as 15 billion US dollars forward Thai bhat contract, then undersells in the spot exchange market, causes the entire Southeast Asia monetary disturbance. 今年二月时候,他们向泰国各家银行,借入高达一百五十亿美元的远期泰铢合约,然后在现汇市场上抛售,使得整个东南亚地区金融动荡。 The Thai government uses 2 billion US dollars, subsides that probe, starting from that time, they have known the money market that some people plan to oneself country begins. 泰国政府动用二十亿美元,才将那次试探平息下来,从那时候开始,他们就已经知道有人打算对自己国家的金融市场动手。 Starting from mid May, two side people start to probe unceasingly, and is getting more and more frequent. 从五月中旬开始,两方人开始不断试探,而且越来越频繁。 The time of crisis, as if delayed compared with the previous generation time, this is the normal butterfly effect, recently had not launched an attack truly, Han Xuan is waiting for Soros to begin. 危机发生的时间,似乎比前世时候延迟了一些,这是正常的蝴蝶效应,最近还没有真正发难,韩宣正在等待索罗斯动手。 He said to Ford Riemann: „ I have dismantled to give your boss 2 billion US dollars, in addition borrowed the Thai bhat with 3 billion US dollars, five times of levers need the earnest money, these money I did not use temporarily. 他对弗德里曼说道:“我已经拆解给你老板二十亿美元,另外还用三十亿美元借入了泰铢,五倍杠杆需要保证金,那些钱我暂时动用不了。 If loans now, needs to select the time, the company is in debt is very serious, my grandfather will not comply...... ” 如果现在贷款,需要点时间,公司负债已经很严重,我爷爷不会答应的……” This saying to be obviously looking for the reason rejection. 这话明显是在找理由拒绝。 Cracks a joke, the Han Xuan corporation stock, can momentarily from East West Bank, or several banks in Maldives receives the big funds. 开玩笑,韩宣的公司股份,随时可以从华美银行,或者马尔代夫的几家银行获得大笔资金。 The previous time had been swindled, this time lends Soros 2 billion US dollars not to prefer very much, how possibly to borrow. 上次已经上了当,这次借给索罗斯二十亿美元就已经很不情愿,怎么可能借更多。 These money can get the interests, but lends Soros, previous time only attains 20% drawing bonus......( to be continued.) 要知道,这些钱都是可以获得利益的,而借给索罗斯,上次只拿到百分之二十的分红而已……(未完待续。)
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