Internationally changes constantly, Franz excessively has not paid attention, now he is staring at the first quarter price change list. 国际上风云变幻,弗朗茨已经没有过多关注,现在他正盯着一季度的物价变化清单。 According to the common sense, the wartime years grain just needed the consumer price definitely to rise in prices, particularly the Europe's first unprocessed food grains exporter was involved in the war. 按照常理来说,战争年代粮食等刚需日用品价格必然会涨价,尤其是欧洲第一原粮出口国被牵扯到了战争中。 Because of the reason of war, the total grain output of Russian Empire external trade greatly reduces starting from last year, the light flowed in the reduction that Austria benefitted 1/4. 因为战争的缘故,从去年开始俄罗斯帝国对外出口的粮食总量就大幅度减少,光流入奥地利的减少了四分之一。 Without a doubt, some gaps were benefitted local grain production to give the counter-balance by Austria. 毫无疑问,这部分缺口被奥地利本土粮食增产的量给抵消了。 Although just started to promote the potassium fertilizer last year, folk not large-scale use, but the Austria advantage has the state farm! 虽然去年才刚刚开始推广钾肥,民间并没有大规模使用,但是奥地利有国有农场啊！ In fact, the state farm quantity of government positive governing has been reducing. Because of the reason of managed cost, many small farms hired to individual. 事实上,政府直接控制的国有农场数量一直都在减少中。因为管理成本的缘故,很多中小农场都出租给了个人。 How to reduce again, the land area that the state farm occupies was still not low. Only calculates the European part, area that the state farm occupies 5% of insufficient cultivated area, was other areas is in addition different. 再怎么减少,国有农场占据的土地面积仍然不低。仅计算欧洲部分,国有农场占据的面积已经不足耕地面积的百分之五,可是加上其它地区就不一样了。 For example: The Asia minor peninsula, gives Tasoto except for the aristocrat fiefdom and military exploit, the remaining farming basically belong to the state farm. 比如说:小亚细亚半岛,除了贵族封地和军功授田外,剩下的耕地基本上都属于国有农场。 It is not Franz is willing to do so many state farms, is mainly the realistic requirement. The government does not arrange the person to take over, the farmland that Ottoman leaves behind must leave uncultivated. 并非弗朗茨愿意搞这么多国有农场,主要是现实需要。政府不安排人接手,奥斯曼遗留下来的农田就要荒废了。 To the folk sell is not possible, this will weaken the military exploit to give the field the attraction, vacillates basis that Austria benefits. 向民间出售是不可能的,这会削弱军功授田的诱惑力,动摇奥地利的根本。 Except that the initial land buys off, with opening colony during that time outside, the best way that the average person wants to obtain the land only then the military exploit gives the field. 除了最初的土地赎买,和开辟殖民地那一段时间外,普通人想要获得土地的最佳方式只有军功授田。 Why do not ask, whom changes to know that also the European wars are waiting, must prepare ahead of time. 别问为什么,换谁知道还有一场欧陆大战等着,也必须要提前做准备。 Without enough return, why to make the soldier work oneself to death? Does not store up enough land, what with kindly gives the soldier after the war? 没有足够的回报,凭什么让士兵卖命？不囤积足够的土地,战后拿什么封赏给士兵？ But continental Europe now the habitation is crowded, has no place of without owner, the spoils of war could not count on. 欧洲大陆现在可是人烟密集,早就没有什么无主之地,战利品根本就指望不上。 Under this situation, even if knows that the state farm run cost is high, Franz still can only clench teeth to recognize. 在这种背景下,即便是知道国有农场运行成本高,弗朗茨也只能咬牙认了。 Really is the loss cannot support, but can also contract to individual operation. The land attribute wants the country in any case, will not affect to take to seal to kindly give individual in the future. 实在是亏损撑不住,还可以承包给个人经营。反正土地属性只要还是国家的,就不影响未来拿出来封赏给个人。 In fact, the ranch plan of French government, was benefitted bringing by Austria. 事实上,法国政府的大农场计划,也是被奥地利给带出来的。 Saw that in the Austria Libyan government hand has one pile of farms, they follow to imitate. But they are not clear, the farm that Austria benefits also strives the support. 看到奥地利政府手中有一堆农场,他们跟着效仿的。只不过他们并不清楚,奥地利的农场也是勉力支撑。 Because the back has the reason of necessary processing industry support, seems like from the surface, Austria Libyan Farm is operation is good, every year can give the government the profit delivery. 因为背后有配套加工企业支撑的缘故,从表面上看起来,奥地利农场都是运营情况良好,每年都能够给政府上缴利润。 In fact, the profit is the farm affiliated subsidiary enterprise contributes. Most farms can only suffer no loss of capital, directly those who have the profit is few. 实质上,利润都是农场旗下附属企业贡献的。大多数农场本身只能够保本,直接产生利润的是极少数。 It is not the listed enterprise, the state-owned enterprise financial statement similarly is the security, announces to the public also announces the gross profit, the concrete enterprise structure and asset allocation, the outside world knows nothing radically. 又不是上市企业,国企财务报表同样是保密的,对外公布也只是公布总利润,具体企业构架、资产配置,外界根本就一无所知。 Falls into Napoleon IV eyes, these are the good data. 落入拿破仑四世眼中,这些都是利好的数据。 Some people proposed imitate, that with imitating, without the truth Austria Libyan government competent matter, France did not do. 有人提议效仿,那就跟着效仿好了,没有道理奥地利政府能干的事情,法兰西干不了。 The concrete inside story following bureaucrat did not report, Emperor in deep palace inner courtyard, how possibly does know? 具体内情下面的官僚不报告,深宫内院中的皇帝,怎么可能知道呢？ Especially after the trip to Algeria, Napoleon IV summed up directly all issues- in bureaucrat dereliction and corruption. 尤其是阿尔及利亚之行后,拿破仑四世直接将所有问题都归结到了-官僚渎职、腐败上。 Although the state farm land are many, but the grain cultivation acreage is not big, true significance or leading role. 国有农场土地虽多,但是粮食种植面积不大,真正的意义还是带动作用。 In this world never lacks the smart person, the government in the promoted potassium fertilizer, the state farm is using massively, naturally some people dare adventure. 这个世界上从不缺乏聪明人,政府在推广钾肥,国有农场又在大规模使用,自然有人敢冒险了。 Especially the official in government, first accepted the potassium fertilizer, uses on own land. 尤其是政府中的官员,最先接受了钾肥,在自家的土地上使用。 The final result, naturally was Austria benefits last year the grain capacity large scale enhancement. 最后的结果,自然是奥地利去年粮食产能大幅度提高。 The final production increase quantity, is not 3% that Ministry of Agriculture estimates, but is 6.7%. 最终的增产数量,并非农业部估计的百分之三,而是百分之六点七。 Naturally, this also includes the new cultivated area, the brought grain capacity increases. 当然,这也包括新增耕地面积,带来的粮食产能增加。 Do not despise this 3.7% error, by grain capacity base number that Austria benefits, this is several million people of one year of grain rations. 不要小看这个百分之三点七的误差,以奥地利的粮食产能基数,这就是几百万人一年的口粮。 In addition the UK , France respective agricultural plan, increased the colony grain yield, reduced the grain import. 加上英法各自的农业计划,增加了殖民地粮食产量,减少了粮食进口。 The final result is, the Russia person grain export reduced, the price of international grain trading market does not rise instead to fall. 最终的结果就是,俄国人粮食出口减少了,国际粮食交易市场的价格不升反降。 If the grain price falls, but can also receive. Then the textile, steel and other commodity prices also follow to fall, this made Franz unable to understand. 如果说粮食价格下跌,还可以接收。那么纺织品、钢铁等多种商品价格也跟着下跌,这就让弗朗茨看不懂了。 This is the wartime years, engaging in fierce battle of UK and France, does the price of strategic resources possibly fall? 这可是战争年代,英法两个大国的鏖战,战略物资的价格怎么可能下跌呢？ Takes the document in hand, Franz unbelievable asking: „You determined that this price list hasn't taken wrong?” 拿着手中的文件,弗朗茨难以置信的问:“你们确定这份物价清单没有拿错？” Economy minister Rinehart: „ Your majesty, we have conducted had determined repeatedly, above counts truly is the first quarter average price. 经济大臣莱因哈特:“陛下,我们已经进行过多次确定了,上面统计的确实是一季度的平均物价。 Not is only the domestic price has not risen, in fact the entire Europe is the same. Rose one wave besides last year initial stages of war price, the first quarter price was the market restored the rationality. 不光是国内的物价没有上涨,实际上全欧洲都一样。除了去年战争初期物价上涨一波外,一季度的物价是市场恢复了理性。 The effect of British and Russian war on the European economy, we had not estimated that beforehand is so big. Especially to the demand of commodity, plans to be much less than us. 英俄战争对欧洲经济的影响,并没有我们事先预想中那么大。尤其是对物资的需求量,远比我们计划中少得多。 Regardless of the English for the time being, they can depend upon the home production. The import volume of Russia person is insufficient, the ministry of economic affairs analyzes mainly has two aspect reasons: 英国人暂且不论,他们可以依靠国内生产。俄国人的进口量不足,经济部分析主要有两方面原因: First, the Tsar government conducted the war preparations ahead of time, many commodities are the pre-war purchases, our last year export trade list can prove this point ; 其一、沙皇政府提前进行了战争准备,很多物资都是战前购买的,我们去年的出口贸易清单可以证明这一点; Second, the commodity consumption in Afghan battlefield, was expected us must be smaller. 其二、阿富汗战场上的物资消耗量,远比我们预料中的要小。 I consult the general staff, the Russian force commodity consumption have reduced, on the one hand limited to the terrain of Afghanistan, does not favor the heavy weapon launching ; On the other hand is the British armed forces is too incompetent, without erupting evenly matched war. ” 我咨询过参谋部,俄军物资消耗量减少,一方面是受限于阿富汗的地形,不利于重武器展开;另一方面是英军太无能,没有爆发势均力敌的大战。” This answer, making Franz be speechless. The war intensity is insufficient, the commodity consumption is not naturally high. 这个答案,令弗朗茨无话可说。战争强度不够,物资消耗量自然不高。 Originally consumption highest grain, but the Russia person does not lack, does not need to import. The English can raise from India, are not worthwhile to transport from Europe. 本来消耗量最高的粮食,但是俄国人不缺,根本就不需要进口。英国人又可以从印度筹措,犯不着从欧洲运过去。 After receiving news that the British and Russian war breaks out, the capitalists in entire Europe let loose the hands and feet expansion capacity, attempts to gain one greatly. 收到英俄战争爆发的消息后,全欧洲的资本家都放开了手脚扩充产能,企图大赚上一笔。 But the capacity came up, the strategic resources that two big belligerent country import actually cannot catch up expected, this tragedy. 怎奈产能上去了,两大交战国进口的战略物资却赶不上预期,这就悲剧了。 Free trade time, commodity, once in the market the supply in excess of demand, the price slides becomes inevitable. 自由贸易时代,无论是商品,一旦市场上供大于求,价格下滑就成为了必然。 The British and Russian war is still continuing, the confidence of market has not collapsed, the situation will be more serious. 要不是英俄战争还在继续,市场的信心没有崩,情况还会更加严重。 After sighing, Franz helpless saying: „ Calculates the time, new round economic crisis, soon came. 叹了一口气后,弗朗茨无奈的说道:“算算时间,新一轮的经济危机,又快要来了。 The capitalists were fantasizing the British and Russian war is greater than the Prussia war scene, rushes is making the war wealth to go. 资本家们都幻想着英俄战争是比普俄战争场面更加宏大,一个个都奔着发战争财去的。 The present situation is obvious, how the British and Russian war expands again, is impossible to have the situations of several million army tangled warfare. 现在的情况非常明显,英俄战争再怎么扩大,也不可能出现几百万大军混战的情况。 If the present aspect cannot obtain to change, perhaps this British and Russian war, is various European countries overcapacity blasting fuse. ” 如果现在的局面得不到改变,恐怕这次英俄战争,就是欧洲各国产能过剩的导火索。” Each overcapacity, is capitalist's mistake to the market expectation. If the smart person, currently also has the opportunity to shear the meat stop-loss. If continued to end to the British and Russian war, that really must end the calf. 每一次产能过剩,都是资本家对市场预期的失误。如果是聪明人的话,现在还有机会割肉止损。要是持续到英俄战争结束,那就真的要完犊子了。 Knows to turn over to know, meaning that Franz has not actually interfered with. This is the matter that strives not to flatter, besides drawing will hate and takes the rap will not have any income. 知道归知道,弗朗茨却没有干涉的意思。这是出力不讨好的事情,除了拉仇恨、背黑锅外不会有任何收益。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Overcapacity is only the small issue, nothing but was an industry shuffles, clenches teeth also on the past. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“产能过剩只是小问题,无非是一次产业洗牌,咬咬牙也就过去了。 What troubled is as of late, UK , France and Russia are the petty action are unceasing. Especially English, unceasing rubs in us and French directly manufacturing. 麻烦的是最近这段时间,英法俄三国都是小动作不断。尤其是英国人,不断的在我们和法国人直接制造摩擦。 One time twice, if the number of times were many, our relations with the French, may be unable to withstand this test. 一次两次也就罢了,要是次数多了,我们同法国人的关系,可经不起这种考验。 Especially a short time ago, British government also very vague expression, so long as we give up the support to the Russia person, they support us to unify the German area. 尤其是前不久,英国政府还非常隐晦的表示,只要我们放弃对俄国人的支持,他们就支持我们统一德意志地区。 If as expected, English to French also some similar promises, even many that may promise. ” 如果不出意外的话,英国人给法国人也有类似的许诺,甚至有可能许诺的更多。” Did not want view Austria to relate, relations between any two countries, could not withstand long-term tossing about. 不要说法奥关系了,任何两个国家之间的关系,也经不起长时间的折腾。 clear(ly) knows that this is the conspiracy of English, but these contradictions are law Austria both countries exist, that could not untie. 明知道这是英国人的阴谋,但这些矛盾是法奥两国本身就存在的,还是解不开的那种。 How law Austria two governments suppress again, will leave behind the lump at heart. Under accumulates over a long period of time, these contradictions will always erupt. 法奥两国政府再怎么压制,心里都会留下疙瘩。日积月累之下,这些矛盾总是会爆发的。 Prime Minister Carl shakes the head: „ The core of issue is not at us, how the key wants the view people to think. 卡尔首相摇了摇头:“问题的核心不在我们这边,关键要看法国人怎么想。 If the French cannot withstand the seduction, accepted English's proposition, then the European war was unavoidable. ” 如果法国人经不起诱惑,接受了英国人的提议,那么欧陆战争就在所难免了。” According to original plan, routinely walks, the Austria advantage unifies the German area is only the time issue, the Vienna government naturally can restrain the desire not to take risk. 按照原来的计划,按部就班的走下去,奥地利统一德意志地区只是时间问题,维也纳政府自然可以克制欲望不去冒险。 Changing France was different, the Central European strategy has related to France to be able a more further issue. 换法兰西就不一样了,中欧战略已经关系到法兰西能不能更进一步的问题。 If unable to expand to Central Europe, now is the peak age of France, can only go down hill again in the future. 如果无法向中欧扩张,现在就是法兰西的巅峰时代,再往后就只能走下坡路了。 In fact, France has started to go down hill. Takes a broad view at the entire world, the French international standing maximum and crosswise contrast strength most abundant time is during 1870 ~ 1881 years. 事实上,法兰西已经开始走下坡路了。放眼全世界,法兰西国际地位最高、横向对比实力最雄厚的时代是1870~1881年之间。 With the gunshot of Paris revolution, French vitality damages severely again, now also just restores. 随着巴黎革命的一声枪响,法兰西再次元气大伤,现在也不过刚刚恢复过来。 Compared with British Austria, France wasted directly for eight years. If unable to solve the energy issue, the future situation will be worse. 和英奥相比,法兰西直接浪费了八年时间。如果迟迟无法解决能源问题,未来的情况还会更加糟糕。 Under this situation, if the French government willing does not drop, the choice gives it all, is only the time issue. 在这种背景下,如果法国政府不甘心跌落下去,选择放手一搏,只是时间问题。 A Franz brow wrinkle, said slowly: „ This situation has to consider, we must speed up preparing for the progress, so as to avoid matter had being caught off guard. 弗朗茨眉头一皱,缓缓说道:“这种情况不得不考虑,我们也要加快备战进度,免得事情发生了措手不及。 Strengthens the monitoring to French government, once discovered that they have the sign of preparation, must report immediately. ” 加强对法国政府的监控,一旦发现他们有备战的迹象,必须立即汇报。” The preparation work that Austria benefits had started, just to keep secret, the movement scope has been very small. 奥地利的备战工作早就开始了,只不过为了保密,动作幅度一直都很小。 After all now was not the good time of decisive battle, Austria to benefit not to develop the limit, the national strength still in the rapid growth. 毕竟现在不是决战的好时间,奥地利还没有发展到极限,国力仍然在高速增长中。