Once the seed of suspicion under broadcasting, could hardly be removed again. Carefully studied a Vienna government's recent years movement, Dumbledores is getting more and more blurry. 怀疑的种子一旦播下,就再也挥之不去了。仔细研究了一番维也纳政府近些年来的动作,邓布利多越来越迷糊。 If the Austria advantage wants to aim at France, why makes them annex the Italian area? 如果奥地利想要针对法兰西,为什么让他们吞并意大利地区呢？ To the people propagandize, can with France explained powerful. As the senior government officials, Dumbledores does not think. 对民众宣传的时候,可以用法兰西的强大来解释。作为政府高层,邓布利多可不会那么认为。 France again how powerful, cannot stand off various European countries to collaborate. If various European countries jointly exert pressure, they can only dingy draws back. 法兰西再怎么强大,也敌不过欧洲各国联手。如果欧洲各国联合施压,他们还是只能灰溜溜的退回去。 The extend territory in continental Europe is not always an easy matter, the Italian area is not the remote place, Dumbledores does not believe that the Austria advantage does not have the ambition. 在欧洲大陆扩张领土从来都不是一件容易的事情,意大利地区又不是什么穷乡僻壤,邓布利多不相信奥地利没有野心。 This issue French government studied many years, finally everyone drew an unbelievable conclusion- the Vienna government observes the contract spirit. 这个问题法国政府研究了很多年,最后大家得出了一个难以置信的结论-维也纳政府遵守契约精神。 The truth is unimportant, the meat ate in any case. How to suspect again, the French government is impossible to give up the Italian area. 真相已经不重要了,反正肉都吃下去了。再怎么怀疑,法国政府也不可能放弃意大利地区。 Could not think through are not related, has a look at the military power that Austria benefitted on the line. So-called „threat”, that is based on strength. 想不通没关系,看看奥地利的军事实力就行了。所谓“威胁”,那都是建立在实力的基础上。 Reorganized, recently the materials of these year of Austria Lijun team, Dumbledores relaxed. Although the threat truly exists, living that but France also resists. 整理了一下,最近这些年奥地利军队的资料,邓布利多松了一口气。威胁虽然确实存在,但法兰西还招架的住。 Takes action? 采取行动？ Sorry, as a qualified bureaucrat, must first weigh the advantages and disadvantages, rather than takes action blindly. 抱歉,作为一名合格的官僚,首先是要权衡利弊,而不是盲目采取行动。 The threat that Austria benefits is only potential, does not have enough benefit, law Austria both countries not possible with no reason at all hits. 奥地利的威胁只是潜在的,没有足够的利益,法奥两国根本就不可能无缘无故的打起来。 This age's war, obviously is the defensive side has the advantage. If nothing else, solely was the military delivery decides. 这个年代的战争,明显是防守一方更具备优势。别的不说,单单是兵力投放就决定了。 In comparison, as one in cabinet government, Dumbledores was worried that the military does in a big way. Can say from the beginning, Friedman found fault the person. 相比之下,作为内阁政府中的一员,邓布利多更加担心军方做大。可以说从一开始,杰弗理・弗里德曼就找错了人。 Law popularization both countries are different, a country has the army, one is the army has the country. At the Berlin government it seems like natural matter, looked like in other national governments is entirely different. 普法两国是不一样的,一个国家拥有军队,一个是军队拥有国家。在柏林政府看来理所应当的事情,在其它国家政府看来就截然不同了。 Because possibly has the threat, adopts in view of the measure directly, that was the ideological mode of soldier, the politicians were always the benefit for first. 因为可能存在威胁,就直接采取针对措施,那是军人的思维模式了,政客们从来都是利益为先。 clear(ly) knows that others are sowing dissension, did not ponder, jumped to give others, when the spear/gun caused, that was the boorish fellow behavior. 明知道人家在挑拨离间,不加思考,就跳出来给别人当枪使,那是莽夫行为。 Friedman successful instigated the law Austria relations, has not actually changed the result of this negotiations. Wants France to divert Austria to benefit, trades with the benefit. 杰弗理・弗里德曼成功的挑拨了法奥关系,却没有改变这次谈判的结果。想要法兰西牵制住奥地利可以,拿利益来换。 In the face of the benefit, the Paris government still did not yield an inch. Because Austria benefits the threat, supports federation, that does not exist. 在利益面前,巴黎政府仍然是寸步不让。因为奥地利威胁,就扶持普波联邦,那是不存在的。 Everyone is the mainland country, to France, Austria is the potential threat, nothing but is „threat size” issue. 大家都是大陆国家,对法兰西来说,普奥都是潜在威胁,无非是“威胁大小”的问题。 ...... …… At the critical moment of law popularization negotiations, suddenly Austria negotiations also reached the last act. 在普法谈判的关键时刻,俄奥谈判也进入了尾声。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Minister, I cannot see the sincerity of your country. The collateral that your country puts out were too few, in the value is not coordinated. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“公使阁下,我看不到贵国的诚意。贵国拿出的抵押品太少了,价值上根本就不对等。 If only then these collateral, I suspected, your government will give up these areas directly, we owed in a big way. ” 如果只有这些抵押品,我非常怀疑,贵国政府会直接放弃这些地区,那我们就亏大了。” Russia Minister Nicola Gewitsch: „No, we have the sincerity. The minister, do not forget, our gold reserve detained, did not have the possibility of violation.” 俄国公使尼克拉叶维奇:“不,我们非常有诚意。大臣阁下,不要忘了,我们连黄金储备都押上了,根本就不存在违约的可能。” Wessenberg remains unmoved, to attain the gold reserve of Russia person, the promoted currency hegemony, he not here and Russia person discussed. 韦森贝格不为所动,要不是为了拿到俄国人的黄金储备,推广货币霸权,他根本就不会在这里和俄国人谈。 The so-called territory mortgage, the Tsar government absolutely does not have the sincerity. Perhaps to prevent the Austria advantage enters Black Sea, the territory that the Russia person mortgages does not have the estuary. 所谓的领土抵押,沙皇政府根本就没有诚意。或许是为了阻挡奥地利进入黑海,俄国人抵押的领土都没有出海口。 The Tsar government takes west of the mortgage Bulgarian area and Dnieper River the area( mid-west Ukraine Moldova), lacked the most essential coastal area. 沙皇政府拿出来抵押的保加利亚地区、第聂伯河以西地区(乌克兰中西部摩尔多瓦),都缺少了最关键的沿海地区。 The thalassocracy time does not have the harbor, is completely the inland area, the values of these territories naturally greatly reduce. 海权时代没有港口,全部都是内陆地区,这些领土的价值自然是大大降低。 Stands in the standpoint of Russia person, they have reason that has to do that. Putting Austria entered Black Sea to be easy altruistic, wants expel Austria altruistic to be difficult. 站在俄国人的立场上,他们有不得不这么做的理由。放奥地利人进入黑海容易,想要驱逐奥地利人就难了。 On Black Sea Fleet that several broken ship, once Austria benefits the navy to enter Black Sea, Russia in the interests of Black Sea region, will be threatened seriously. 就黑海舰队那几条破船,一旦奥地利海军进入黑海,俄国在黑海地区的利益,都会受到严重威胁。 In the face of the benefit, the Tsar government does not dare to test the moral integrity that Austria benefits. If benefit as big as certain extent, perhaps the Vienna government for the collateral, will make them defeat intentionally. 在利益面前,沙皇政府不敢考验奥地利的节操。如果利益大到了一定程度,没准维也纳政府会为了抵押品,故意让他们战败。 Even after the present territory mortgage, the Tsar government still weighs the advantages and disadvantages over and over, decision that takes risk to make. 即便是现在的领土抵押,沙皇政府也是再三权衡利弊过后,才冒险做出的决定。 „ If your government puts out the complete gold reserve to make the mortgage, we naturally did not worry that you will break a contract, but your country only put out half of gold reserves. “如果贵国政府拿出全部的黄金储备做抵押,我们自然不担心你们会违约,可是贵国只拿出了一半的黄金储备。 Your country is the golden lord has produced the country, every year has dozens tons, is mined as for over a hundred tons gold, wants to supplement that some reserves are not difficult. 贵国一直都是黄金主产国,每年都有数十吨,乃至于上百吨黄金被开采出来,想要补充这部分储备金并不难。 The minister should be clear, we are not interested in the territory of your country. It is not the land is priceless, particularly after losing the estuary, is the big depreciation. ” 公使阁下应该清楚,我们对贵国的领土并不感兴趣。不是什么土地都价值连城,尤其是丧失出海口后,更是大大的贬值。” Minister Nicola Gewitsch a brow wrinkle, supplemented that the gold reserve is not difficult, this is aims at British Austria both countries. The other countries, want to enhance the gold reserve unusual difficulty. 尼克拉叶维奇公使眉头一皱,补充黄金储备不难,这是针对英奥两国来说的。世界上其他国家,想要提高黄金储备量都非常的困难。 Russia is in the world the main gold-producing country is not false, but will unable to support will flow out every year! Especially immediately must go to war, massive gold and silver flow out unavoidable radically. 俄罗斯是世界上主要的产金国不假,可是架不住每年都会外流啊！尤其是马上就要打仗了,大量金银外流根本就无法避免。 Takes completely the gold reserve, that handed over in own economic lifeline the Austria Libyan people hand completely, does not think that the ruble turns into the scrap paper, Russia can only the working as little brother of little darling. 把黄金储备全部拿出来,那就是把自己的经济命脉全部交到了奥地利人手中,不想卢布变成废纸,俄罗斯就只能乖乖的当小弟。 Minister Nicola Gewitsch: „ Minister, this is the not possible matter. Mortgages half of reserves, is our bottom line. 尼克拉叶维奇公使:“大臣阁下,这是不可能的事情。抵押一半的储备金,已经是我们的底线。 Above the territory mortgages can discuss, we can add on some harbors. In return, your country must provide the guarantee for us with the loan of Northern European federation, and ensure Your country Navy will never enter Black Sea. ” 领土抵押上面可以商量,我们可以加上部分港口。作为回报,贵国要为我们和北欧联邦的贷款提供担保,并且保证贵国海军永不进入黑海。” For raising money, the Tsar government reduces the bottom line repeatedly. Especially spreads the bad news after London, the bottom line of Tsar government reduces again. 为了筹钱,沙皇政府是一再降低底线。尤其是在伦敦传来不利消息后,沙皇政府的底线再次降低。 Until now, Alexander II does not have the escape route. Does not launch the war ahead of time, when the enemy prepared, then on evening. 时至今日,亚历山大二世已经没有了退路。不提前发动战争,等敌人准备好了,那就晚了。 „Compromise” this word, never in the dictionary of Russia person. The Prussia war has become the Tsar government to shift the internal contradictions in fact the way, once stops the consequence to be inconceivable. “妥协”这个词,从来就不在俄国人的字典中。普俄战争实质上已经成为了沙皇政府转移内部矛盾的方式,一旦停下来后果不堪设想。 clear(ly) knows that now erupts into the war, may lose seriously, the Tsar government also has to brace oneself. 明知道现在爆发战争,可能会损失惨重,沙皇政府也不得不硬着头皮上。 Wessenberg: „ Ok, but your country must put out the equal collateral. Once your government presents the violation, we must repay this debt, in the security must be safeguarded. 韦森贝格:“可以,不过贵国必须要拿出等价的抵押品。一旦贵国政府出现违约,我们就要代为偿还这笔债务,安全上必须要得到保障。 The navy will never enter Black Sea, this I am unable to safeguard. However, we can agree, so long as your government does not break a contract, Austria will benefit the navy not to enter Black Sea. ” 海军永不进入黑海,这个我无法保障。不过,我们可以进行约定,只要贵国政府不违约,奥地利海军就不会进入黑海。” „Collateral” becomes Nicola Gewitsch's dream demon quickly, so long as remembers this word, his scalp tingles. This suddenly Austria negotiated, has consumed his lots of energy. “抵押品”都快成为了尼克拉叶维奇的梦魔,只要一想起这个词,他就头皮发麻。这次俄奥谈判,已经消耗了他大量的精力。 Is Austria benefits the navy unable to enter Black Sea on the contrary is the small issue, this contraption many guarantees are the idle talk, so long as the benefit arrived, no one can block. 反倒是奥地利海军进不进黑海是小问题,这玩意儿再多的保证都是废话,只要利益到位了,谁都挡不住。 Nicola Gewitsch quickly said: „Your excellency, this is only the normal commercial loan collateral, we can pay the load earnest money. Does not have any risk, your country can definitely feel relieved.” 尼克拉叶维奇急忙说道:“阁下,这只是正常的商业贷款担保,我们可以支付担保金。不存在任何风险,贵国完全可以放心。” Wessenberg shakes the head: „ Sorry, minister. The war will soon break out, if your country can win the war, then I believe that will not have the problem. 韦森贝格摇了摇头:“抱歉,公使阁下。战争即将爆发,如果贵国能够赢得战争,那么我相信不会出现问题。 Once your country lost the war, or fights to a draw. When the time comes, your government financial insolvency, can you really honor an agreement? ” 一旦贵国输了战争,或者是打成了平手。到时候,贵国政府无力偿还债务,你们真的能够履约么？” Said on the difference directly, suspected the credibility of Tsar government. In his opinion, the Tsar government lost the war, can definitely honor an agreement normally, won the war unable to safeguard on the contrary. 就差直接说,怀疑沙皇政府的信誉了。在他看来,沙皇政府输了战争,肯定能够正常履约,反倒是赢了战争无法保障。 Defeat Russian Empire, even to reject, the Northern European federation can still dispatch troops to take, hits a person when he is down everyone to excel very much. 战败的俄罗斯帝国,就算是想要拒绝,北欧联邦也可以自己出兵去取,落井下石大家都很擅长。 In comparison, the collateral that Austria benefits somewhat is troublesome. Siwu Krane's some areas likely fall into federation hand after the war, the Vienna government wants to attain these areas, is disturbance. 相比之下,奥地利的抵押品还有些麻烦。西乌克兰的部分地区战后很可能落入普波联邦手中,维也纳政府想要拿到这些地区,又是一场风波。 ...... …… After a battle of words, on October 10 , 1879, suddenly Austria both countries signed «very soon Austria Business Agreement» in Vienna, the treaty stipulated: 经过一番唇枪舌战后,1879年10月10日,俄奥两国在维也纳签订了《俄奥商贸协议》,条约规定: Russian Empire mortgages west of the Dnieper River the area and very soon to be the Balkan Peninsula, raises 480 million aegis funds from the Austria advantage, contains 180 million aegis loans and 300 million aegis bonds.( Note: Excluding Austria Sadd and Constantinopolis) 俄罗斯帝国抵押第聂伯河以西地区、俄属巴尔干半岛,从奥地利募集4.8亿神盾资金,其中包含1.8亿神盾贷款和3亿神盾债券。(备注:不包括奥萨德和君士坦丁堡) Loan interest: 3.5 months 贷款利息:3.5月 Debenture interest: 8.4 years 债券利息:8.4年 Handling charge: 3 手续费:三 ...... …… A week later, suddenly Austria Northern Europe federation three countries representatives, signed «Security for loan Contract» in St. Petersburg, the Vienna government provides the safe guarantee to northern Russia two countries debt. 一周后,俄奥北欧联邦三国代表,又在圣彼得堡签订了《债务担保合同》,维也纳政府对俄北两国这次债务提供安全担保。