„ Welcome everyone to listen to Austria to benefit the economy online, I am host Bonnut. “欢迎大家收听奥地利经济在线,我是主持人博尼。 Today talks about a topic that everyone most care about- gold. 今天来聊一聊大家最关心的一个话题-黄金。 Everyone knows that the gold is the wealth, the aegis of our daily use, depends on the gold to make the standard to conduct the release. It can be said that the gold and our life have been closely linked, no one can leave it. 大家都知道黄金就是财富,我们日常使用的神盾,就是依托黄金做本位进行发行的。可以说黄金和我们的生活已经息息相关,谁也离不开它。 Recently in a month, the Vienna gold dealings market, the gold price rose 7%, reached new high in the past two years. 最近一个月内,维也纳黄金交易市场,金价上涨了百分之七,创下了最近两年来的新高。 Now connects economist Professor Brigitte Fox, explains the impact that the gold price rise has for us. ” 现在连线经济学家布里吉特・福斯教授,为我们解读金价上涨带来的影响。” „DDD......” “滴滴滴……” Host: „Could Professor Brigitte Fox hello/you good, hear?” 主持人:“布里吉特・福斯教授你好,听得到了么？” ...... …… Brigitte Fox: „Can hear.” 布里吉特・福斯:“听得到。” Host: „ Professor Brigitte Fox, the gold price rose recently, everyone extremely cared. 主持人:“布里吉特・福斯教授,最近金价上涨,大家都非常的关心。 You can chat, does the gold price rise the impact that has to the world economy? ” 你能够谈谈,金价上涨给世界经济带来的影响么？” Brigitte Fox: „Good, Host.” 布里吉特・福斯:“好的,主持人。” „ We know that the gold is one treasuring metal, usually takes the currency directly, or is the standard exists, the price has been very stable, even if there is a fluctuation is not big. “我们都知道黄金是一种珍惜金属,通常是直接作为货币、或者是本位存在,价格一直都很稳定,即便是有波动也不大。 Recently one month of gold price rose 7%, can say not only in unexpected, and is expected. 最近一个月金价上涨百分之七,可以说既在意料之外,又在意料之中。 Everyone may say, my saying to be self-contradictory, does not conform to the logic, in fact 1 point is not contradictory. 大家可能会说,我这话自相矛盾,根本就不符合逻辑,实际上一点儿也不矛盾。 In unexpected, that is the gold takes the currency and standard to exist, own value is invariable, even if in the normal condition has the fluctuation, is impossible to rise so many. 在意料之外,那是黄金作为货币、本位存在,自身的价值是不变的,正常情况下就算是有波动,也不可能上涨这么多。 However gold besides taking currency, is in itself also a commodity. Since is the commodity, the price was decided by the market, presents the rise in short-term is also the normal phenomenon. ” 不过黄金除了作为货币外,本身也是一种商品。既然是商品,价格就由市场决定,出现短期内的上涨也是正常现象。” „ gets rid of as the halo of currency, we analyzes the gold to take the commodity alone, reason that the price rises, everyone was clear. “抛开作为货币的光环,我们单独剖析黄金作为商品,价格上涨的原因,大家就清楚了。 The Vienna gold dealings market, the gold price rises is not the this solitary one case. Almost at the same time, the London gold dealings market, the gold price also rises. 维也纳黄金交易市场,金价上涨不是孤例。几乎在同一时间,伦敦黄金交易市场,金价也是同比上涨。 Creates the immediate cause that this gold price rises is two months ago, South Africa Mining Group and British Daws gold ore group...... and other more than gold ore giants simultaneously announced that conducts the equipment maintenance, reduced the golden capacity. 造成这次金价上涨的直接原因是两个月前,南非矿业集团、英国道斯金矿集团……等十余家金矿巨头同时宣布进行设备维护,削减了黄金产能。 This decision directly caused the golden quantity in last month world gold market circulating to reduce 20 tons, the market falling short of demand price naturally must rise. 这一决定直接导致了上个月全球黄金市场上流通的黄金数量减少了20吨,市场供不应求价格自然要上涨了。 Equipment maintenance temporary, the gold ore giants must make money, how long capacity could not want to restore. 设备维护是暂时的,金矿巨头们也是要赚钱的,要不了多久产能就会恢复。 However can the gold price immediately restore the normal level, this not necessarily. With the development of time, the gold standard has become the mainstream of time. 不过金价能不能马上恢复正常水平,这就未必了。随着时代的发展,金本位已经成为了时代的主流。 Recently the year, the world economy rapid development, was also increasing day by day to the demand of currency. 最近一些年,世界经济迅猛发展,对货币的需求量也在与日俱增。 Everyone to taking the golden demand of standard gold/metal, is also increasing day by day. However the golden yield, has not actually grown synchronously. 大家对作为本位金的黄金需求量,也在与日俱增。然而黄金开采量,却没有同步增长。 In order to satisfy the demand for maney in market, various countries' unceasing enlargement lever , compared with the exchange of gold in name has not changed, may issue additionally the currency the risk to appear in fact. 为了满足市场上的货币需求,各国不断的放大杠杆,名义上和黄金的兑换比没有变化,可实质上增发货币的风险已经出现。 The conversion price of this golden and multi- country currency rises, has the factor in this aspect, the standard is various countries' release currency are many, brought inflation. 这次黄金和多国货币的兑换价格上涨,就有这方面的因素,本位是各国发行货币多,带来的通货膨胀。 This aspect we do not need to worry, the exchange value of aegis and gold stabilizes as before. 这方面我们就不用担心,神盾和黄金的兑换值依旧稳定。 Here I suggested everyone, if did not urgently need, should better not to have a lot of foreign exchange. 在这里我建议大家,如果不是迫切需要,最好不要持有大量的外汇。 Because no one knows, perhaps , the money in your hand turned into the scrap paper. 因为谁也不知道,没准什么时候,你手中的钱就变成了废纸。 Judging from the present situation, Europe has many state money to have the depreciation in fact. The behavior that if these countries, the government does not stop to overissue the currency, will cause the disaster sooner or later. ” 从目前的情况来看,欧洲已经有多个国家货币发生了实质上的贬值。如果这些国家,政府不停止滥发货币的行为,早晚会引发灾难。” Host: „ Professor Brigitte Fox, you mentioned a moment ago certain national gold reserve quantities are insufficient, causes the inflation. 主持人:“布里吉特・福斯教授,刚才你提到了某些国家黄金储备数量不足,导致通货膨胀。 Then these countries, how should also deal with this situation to happen? ” 那么这些国家,又该如何应对这种情况发生呢？” Brigitte Fox: „ The simplest way is to use the new duplicate/restores standard law. 布里吉特・福斯:“最简单的办法就是采用新复本位法。 Do not misunderstand, the new duplicate/restores standard law that I proposed, was not the traditional gold and silver duplicate/restores monetary standard, but used more advanced two standard laws. 不要误会,我提出的这个新复本位法,不是传统的金银复本位制度,而是采用更加先进的二次本位法。 To the majorities of countries, the gold is not a short time can sufficiently collect. Everyone wants to maintain the gold standard system, what to do should that? 对大部分国家来说,黄金不是一时半会儿就能够凑足的。大家又想要维持金本位制度,那该怎么办呢？ After the research, I discovered that uses the new duplicate/restores standard law, can solve this problem perfectly. 经过研究,我发现采用新复本位法,就可以完美的解决这个问题。 Simple, is uses the credit credible international currency to replace the gold, acts as the standard gold/metal release currency. 简单的来说,就是采用信用靠谱国际货币代替黄金,充当本位金发行货币。 This is equivalent to a gold, acted as twice standard gold/metal, issued two currencies, and can guarantee normal cashing. This two standard laws, I call it: New duplicate/restores standard law. ” 这相当于用一份黄金,充当了两次本位金,发行了两份货币,并且可以保证正常兑付。这种二次本位法,我称之为:新复本位法。” ...... …… When does not know starts, Franz also forms the habit of hear of broadcasts, although he clearly knows that this is blowing flamboyant. 不知道什么时候开始,弗朗茨也养成听广播的习惯,尽管他明知道这是在吹牛逼。 The so-called gold price rises, in fact the British Austria two gold producers, the artificial operation gold price, to a blocking action that other state money conduct. 所谓的金价上涨,实际上英奥两个黄金生产国,人为的操作黄金价格,对其他国家货币进行的一次阻击战。 The so-called golden capacity, isn't this also the gold miner decides? 所谓的黄金产能,这还不是黄金开采国说了算么？ In order to increase the competitiveness of currency, British Austria both countries have been controlling the golden exit|to speak, artificial makes trouble to the competitor. 为了增加自家货币的竞争力,英奥两国一直都在控制黄金出口,人为的给竞争对手制造麻烦。 This to gold standard country, without enough gold reserve, that awfully. 这对金本位国家来说,没有足够的黄金储备,那就要命了。 In market to the demand of currency, not because the gold reserve will reduce insufficient, has no recourse everyone only to enhance the monetary issue lever. 市场上对货币的需求量,可不会因为黄金储备不足就会减少,迫不得已大家只能提高货币发行杠杆。 This is British Austria both countries wants to see that the lever is higher, risk to be bigger. Cannot look in the economic development good period, once came across the accident saying that crashed crashes, absolutely did not have the risk tolerance. 这是英奥两国想要看到的,杠杆越高、风险越大。在经济发展好的时期看不出来,一旦遇到了变故说崩盘就崩盘,完全没有抗风险能力。 British Austria both countries for currency hegemony struggle unusual is intense, does not hinder both countries to collaborate, controls the golden pricing power together, first attacks other competitors. 英奥两国为了货币霸权斗争的非常激烈,也不妨碍两国联手,共同掌控黄金定价权,先打击其他竞争对手。 Can say from the beginning, the gold standard is the English to huge pit of all countries in the world establishment. This huge pit or open intrigue, even if knows has the risk, everyone still has to jump toward inside. 可以说从一开始,金本位就是英国人给世界各国设置的巨坑。这个巨坑还是阳谋,即便是知道了有风险,大家也不得不往里面跳。 No matter how said, the gold stabilizes relatively. Even operates artificially, is impossible to play too! If plays to be excessive, similarly will also affect British Austria two countries own interests. 不管怎么说,黄金还是相对稳定的。即便是人为操纵,也不可能玩的太嗨！要是玩儿过了头,同样也会影响到英奥两国自身的利益。 Having the country wants to get rid of this huge pit, but failed finally. Facts showed that plays the country of silver standard, finally by pit miserably. 不是没有国家想摆脱这个巨坑,只是最后都失败了。事实证明玩儿银本位的国家,最后被坑得更惨。 Since the mid and late 19 th century, the silver has been at the depreciation condition, this fluctuation may many that the gold is bigger. 进入19世纪中后期,白银就一直处于贬值状态,这个波动可比黄金大的多了。 British Austria both countries are the gold standard countries, for the self-interest will also stabilize the gold price, the so-called market fluctuation, that aims at state money obstacles established other. 英奥两国都是金本位国家,为了自身利益也会稳定黄金价格,所谓的市场波动,那只是针对其他国家货币设置的障碍。 This scope usually only then several points, and will not continue. Generally on several months, the market will have returned to normal. 这个幅度通常只有几个点,并且不会持续下去。一般过上几个月,市场就会恢复正常。 Simple, so long as all governments swallow the gold, the gold price will rise immediately. When everyone is not swallowing the gold, the market will return to normal. 简单的来说,只要各国政府吃进黄金,金价马上就会上涨。等大家不在吃进黄金了,市场很多就会恢复正常。 This rise targeted, if, or is the aegis purchases with the pound, does not have this problem. 这个上涨还是有针对性的,如果拿英镑、或者是神盾去收购,就不存在这种问题。 To import the golden tariff to have, if there is aegis and pound to act as the standard gold/metal directly, similarly can also serve the purpose, but also was left over the tariff of purchasing the gold. 想要进口黄金关税还是少不了的,如果直接持有神盾、英镑充当本位金,同样也可以达到目的,还剩下了购买黄金的关税。 Essentially, this is the one method of promoted currency hegemony, but was more vague. 本质上,这就是推广货币霸权的一种手段,只不过隐晦了一些。 ...... …… After listening to a radio, Franz hung up the telephone the telephone: „Frederick, asked that which step the radio research and development progressed, this type of interesting news should share to give the entire world.” 听了一段广播后,弗朗茨挂断电话了电话:“腓特烈,去问一下无线电研发进展到了哪一步,这种有意思的新闻应该分享给全世界。” Before the radio does, the radiobroadcasting is naturally out of the question. Now what Franz listens to is the public address, this technology is born along with the birth of telephone. 在无线电搞出来之前,无线广播自然无从谈起。现在弗朗茨收听的是有线广播,这项技术伴随着电话的诞生而诞生。 Simple, connects many telephone lines together, received the same information source. 简单的来说,就是把很多根电话线串联到一起,接收到同一信息源上。 This big on technology, naturally is not the general public can enjoy. To listen to the broadcast, at least needs a telephone, payment high broadcast fee/spent. 这种高大上的技术,自然不是普通民众能够享受到的。想要收听广播,至少需要一部电话,还有缴纳高昂的广播费。 At present, has the broadcast city in the world less than 20, broadcasting the user is 50,000. 目前,全世界拥有广播的城市都不足二十个,广播用户更是连五万都不到。 Austria benefitted in the Industrial Revolution front, the broadcast started relatively is also early. At present Vienna has over 5000 payers, is the entire world broadcast coverage fraction highest city. 奥地利走在了工业革命的前沿,广播起步也相对较早。目前维也纳已经拥有超过五千付费用户,是全世界广播覆盖率最高的城市。 This number, has approached the limit. To raise the broadcast coverage fraction, only if radiobroadcasting birth. 这个数字,已经临近极限了。想要提高广播覆盖率,除非无线广播诞生。 Listening to the crowd is limited, broadcast program naturally not possible colorful. Besides news , the popular current event review, comes several songs, to speak several jokes occasionally, even entertainment program. 收听人群有限,广播节目自然不可能丰富多彩。除了新闻之外,也就只有热门时事点评,偶尔来几首歌曲、讲几个笑话,就算是娱乐节目。 The only advantage does not have the advertisement probably, is not the broadcasting company does not want to collect the advertising expenditure, is the user are too mainly few, cannot receive several money. 唯一的好处大概是没有广告,不是广播公司不想收广告费,主要是用户太少,收不到几个钱。 The customers who now serve are the high-end user, lord who has not been short of money, everyone wants is the high-end service. 况且,现在服务的顾客都是高端用户,就没有差钱的主,大家要的就是高端服务。 Frederick shrugs, replied: „Does not use the father, I had just looked yesterday. At present progresses unusual is slow, the propagation distance also stays in 1200 yards( approximately 1097 meters), the middle could not have the obstacle.” 腓特烈耸了耸肩,回答道:“不用了父亲,我昨天刚去看过。目前进展的非常缓慢,传播距离还停留在一千两百码(约1097米),中间还不能有障碍物。” Without the means that who makes the Franz memory not good? The principle of radio, has forgotten cleanly, only to be able by the scientists to display now freely. 没有办法,谁让弗朗茨记忆力不好呢？无线电的原理,早就忘得一干二净,现在只能靠科学家们自由发挥。 „1200 yards”, this number cannot meet expectation at heart Franz by far. Do not say is radiotelegraphic, when the intercom uses somewhat to be unbearable. “一千两百码”,这个数字远远达不到弗朗茨的心里预期。不要说无线电报,就连当对讲机用都有些够呛。 Franz sighs: „That even, making them experiment slowly! Scientific study this contraption depends entirely on the luck, anxiety can serve no purpose at all.” 弗朗茨叹了一口气:“那就算了,让他们慢慢实验吧！科学研究这玩意儿全靠运气,急也没有用。” This saying said to the Frederick hear, said listens similarly to oneself. 这话是说给腓特烈听的,同样也是说给自己听的。