HRE :: Volume #7

#609: Resources trap


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The time that colonizing expands had ended, the focus of Vienna government returned to the home again. Austria benefits the most serious concern is the domestic economic development is now imbalanced, the gap between rich and poor is expanding unceasingly. 殖民扩张的时代已经结束,维也纳政府的工作重心再次回到了国内。地利现在最严重的问题就是国内经济发展不均衡,贫富差距不断在扩大。 Looks at the per capita income 64.6 aegises only, this digit is not low. After deducting child and old person, the per capita income of labor force is broken hundred. 单看人均收入64.6神盾,这个数字已经不低了。在扣除孩童和老人后,劳动力的人均收入更是破百。 However the reality is actually, big capitalist and big aristocrat yearly income more than ten million, overwhelming majority ordinary worker actual yearly incomes less than 30 aegises. 然而现实却是,大资本家、大贵族年收入上千万,绝大部分普通的工人实际年收入不足30神盾。 This aspect Franz is also those with vested interests, as pulling the per capita income existed, now he actually has to expand to have a headache for the gap between rich and poor. 这方面弗朗茨也是既得利益者,作为拉高了人均收入存在,现在他却不得不为贫富差距扩大而头疼。 Take Vienna for instance, as the entire world average per person highest paid city, the Vienna annual per-capita income Gundam/reaches as high as 328 aegises. 以维也纳为例,作为全世界人均收入最高的城市,维也纳人均年收入高达328神盾。 This income places entire world any countries and regions, that is the middle class upward. 这个收入放在全世界任何一个国家和地区,那都是中产阶级往上。 Vienna as the finance that Austria benefits, culture, science and technology, education, some so many resources additions, reaching this level do not seem strange. 维也纳作为地利的金融之都、文化之都、科技之都、教育之都,有这么多资源加成,达到这个水平似乎不奇怪。 However, the statistics told Franz, this was only the prosperity in surface, the problem that the interior had is serious. 然而,统计数据告诉弗朗茨,这只是表面上的繁荣,内部存在的问题已经非常严重。 Vienna 1.06 million population, labor force of age 620,000. The yearly income achieves 328 aegises only has less than 11.2, the yearly income surpasses 100 aegises also only then 29.6, the yearly income is lower than 30 aegises accounts for 24.6.( Only calculates labor force population) 维也纳106万人口,其中适龄劳动力62万。年收入达到328神盾的仅有不到11.2,年收入超过100神盾的也只有29.6,年收入低于30神盾的占24.6。(只计算劳动力人口) This is a capital, low-income groups so many, if will change other area to be perhaps more serious. 这还是首都,低收入人群就这么多,要是换了别的地区恐怕会更加严重。 According to counting data, the national yearly income is lower than the poverty-stricken people of 20 aegises to reach as high as 31.2. This is not a developed country proper data, however the reality is so. 按照统计出来的数据,全国年收入低于20神盾的贫困人口高达31.2。这不是一个发达国家应有的数据,然而现实就是如此。 The gap between rich and poor disparate is only on the one hand, the regional development does not balance shocking. Poorest small county city, annual per-capita income also less than 8 aegises. 贫富差距悬殊只是一方面,区域发展不平衡更加令人触目惊心。最穷的小县城,人均年收入还不足八神盾。 This income, it is estimated that only enough eats the potato. This is establishes under the premise of Austria money pouch grain production country's, if in England, that can only look for the wild herbs to assemble. 这个收入,估计只够吃土豆。这还是建立在地利是产粮国的前提下,要是在英格兰,那就只能找野菜凑合了。 And this disparity, but also in unceasing increasing. The poor area is poorer, is rich the area to be richer. 并且这种差距,还在不断变大中。穷的地区越穷,富得地区越富。 The old issue has not been solved, the new issue emerged. With the development urban-rural gap of economy, is spreading out at an exceptional pace. 旧的问题还没解决,新的的问题又出现了。随着经济的发展城乡差距,正在以惊人的速度拉开距离。 In 1848 abolished the serfdom to 1854, these five years was the prime time of Austria Linong Village economic development, the agricultural output value grew 56% in five years. 1848年废除农奴制到1854年,这5年是地利农村经济发展的黄金时间,农业产值在五年时间内增长了百分之五十六。 Then rural economic development rapid slow, especially in 1873 the agricultural crisis broke out, the Austria Linong Village economy also once had the negative growth. 然后农村经济发展就迅速慢了下来,尤其1873年农业危机爆发后,地利农村经济还一度出现负增长。 The situation in the national economy progressing by leaps and bounds, the rural economy growth that in 1875 Austria benefitted less than 1, almost it can be said that is also marking. 在全国经济突飞猛进的情况下,1875年地利的农村经济增长速度还不到一,几乎可以说是在原地踏步。 So many issues gather, the hair of Franz soon worried not to have. Solution said simply, how should the issue be solved? 这么多问题汇聚起来,弗朗茨的头发都快要愁没了。“解决”说起来简单,问题是该怎么解决? Not was only the issue that Austria benefitted, the 19 th century has no country to be exceptional, everyone cannot solve these problems. 不光是地利的问题,19世纪就没有任何一个国家可以例外,大家都没有能够解决这些问题。 Since Franz asked these issues, the Vienna government on has been trying to find the solution, however the reality was such brutal. 自从弗朗茨提出这些问题后,维也纳政府就一直在想办法,然而现实还是这么残酷。 Franz does not even dare to order to make the bureaucrats probably solve, because this order, once issues, perhaps he could not see the ground truth. 弗朗茨甚至不敢下令让官僚们必须解决,因为这个命令一旦下达,他恐怕就看不到真实数据了。 Now is not the age of the Internet, in this communication backward age, must put on a false show of great peace easily, to change the data with one stroke of the pen on the line. 现在又不是互联网时代,在这通讯落后的年代,要粉饰太平非常容易,大笔一挥改改数据就行了。 Deceiving both superiors and subordinates is the talent skill of bureaucratic group, the Tsar government of this aspect next door is the example. Since Alexander II promotes after the reform, Russian Empire's on astonishing pace on the by paper surface. 欺上瞒下是官僚集团的天赋技能,这方面隔壁的沙皇政府就是例子。自从亚历山大二世推动改革过后,俄罗斯帝国就以纸面上惊人的速度发展。 Looks at the data on paper surface only, the industrial strength of Russian Empire has exceeded Austria to benefit, it is estimated that could not need several years to surpass continental Europe, perhaps in the Alexander II lifetime, Russian Empire can also exceed the entire world. 单看纸面上的数据,俄罗斯帝国的工业实力已经超越地利,估计要不了几年就要超过欧洲大陆了,或许在亚历山大二世有生之年,俄罗斯帝国还能够超越全世界。 Contrasts the bureaucrat of Tsar government, the bureaucrat who Austria benefits also has the conscience. The data fabrication does not exist, but is not absolutely crazed. 对比沙皇政府的官僚,地利的官僚还算是有良知的。数据造假也不存在,但绝对没有那么丧心病狂。 This is the Franz merit. As qualified Emperor, being impartial in administering rewards and punishments is necessary, therefore designed the strict reporting reward system. 这是弗朗茨的功劳。作为一名合格的皇帝,赏罚分明是必要的,所以制定了严格的举报奖励制度。 You can the data fabrication, but must guarantee that everyone coordinates, can the guarantee next government coordinate also insufficiently, must guarantee that one after next government must coordinate. 你可以数据造假,但必须要保证所有人都配合,能保证下一届政府配合还不够,必须要保证下下届政府都要配合。 Responsibility lifelong system, all holding back what one knows about an incident complete joint and several liability. Cancels all the honors of acquisition, the latter half of life enters the prison together. 责任终身制,所有知情不报者全部连带责任。取消所有获得的荣誉,下半辈子一起进监狱。 Promotes the third-level as the reporter directly, but can also enter the investigation department work, checks the data fabrication specially. 作为举报者直接晋升三级,还可以进入调查部门工作,专门查数据造假。 As the sacrificial offering of this policy, the bureaucrats in Bosnia-Herzegovina province first have bad luck. An official who Franz favored very much, was included in the cabinet alternative list, similarly planted. 作为这一政策的祭品,波黑行省的官僚就最先倒霉。原本弗朗茨很看好的一名官员,都被列入了内阁备选名单,同样栽了进去。 Disposable over a thousand public officials entered the prison, the bureaucratic group in Bosnia-Herzegovina province are involved completely, nearly was annihilated. 一次性上千名公职人员进了监狱,波黑行省的官僚集团全部受牵连,近乎全军覆没。 After this affects, everyone restrained, the data returned to all of a sudden normal. 受此影响过后,大家都收敛了起来,数据一下子恢复了正常。 The government mixes, whose few political opponents? If the local government monolithic bloc, the Vienna government could not have slept! 官场混的,谁没有几个政敌?要是地方政府都铁板一块,维也纳政府早就睡不着觉啊! Above can grasp, below naturally does not dare to act unreasonably. It is not the statistics, the honest report came up to be good. The fabrication truly is easy the achievements, is easier to enter the prison. 上头抓得紧,下面自然不敢乱来。不就是统计数据嘛,老老实实报上去就好了。造假确实容易出政绩,更加容易进监狱。 Vienna palace, in economic conference 维也纳宫,经济会议上 Franz pounded on the table directly: „ Domestic economic development is quick, is the gap between rich and poor, the region disparity and urban-rural gap is also getting more and more serious, now has arrived must solve. 弗朗茨直接拍了桌子:“国内的经济发展很快,可是贫富差距、区域差距、城乡差距也越来越严重,现在已经到了必须解决的时候了。 Drags again, in the future will want to process, will be only more difficult. I do not request 100% to solve the problem, but must guarantee that the situation cannot continue to deteriorate. ” 再拖下去,未来想要处理,只会更加困难。我不要求百分之百解决问题,但必须要保证情况不能继续恶化下去。” The request is such low, in existing productive forces situation, Franz clear basic on solution these issues. 要求就是这么低,在现有的生产力情况下,弗朗茨清楚根本就解决不了这些问题。 Could not solve the problem, was not equal to that did not solve the problem. No matter how said, does good that compared does not make, even maintains the current aspect, is a great victory. 解决不了问题,不等于不解决问题。不管怎么说,做了比不做的好,即便是保持目前的局面,都是一个伟大胜利。 Prime minister Felix braces oneself to reply: „ Your majesty, the regional economic development is not balanced, the biggest problem is the natural condition limit. 首相费利克斯硬着头皮回答道:“陛下,区域经济发展不平衡,最大的问题是自然条件限制。 Only can act as circumstances permit, formulates the appropriate economic development policy. These have a large part of areas, was limited by the natural condition, industry and agriculture not suitable development. 只能因地制宜,制定合适的经济发展政策。这其中还有很大一部分地区,受自然条件限制,工农业都不适合发展。 Embarks from the general situation, these areas we must conduct the choices, focuses on developing a easier development the area. 从大局上出发,这些地区我们必须要进行取舍,重点发展更加容易发展的地区。 Urban-rural gap magnification, this is the worldwide problem. With the development of industrial technology, the industry and agriculture difference in price of agricultural and industrial will be more serious. 城乡差距扩大化,这是世界性问题。随着工业技术的发展,工农业剪刀差还会更加严重。 In the near term the most effective way is to promote the land annexation, adopts the ranch production model, replaces now the small peasant economies of many area. 短期内最有效的办法是推动土地兼并,采取大农场生产模式,取代现在很多地区的小农经济。 However, this is the most unrecommendable means. The social concern that the land annexation brings, enlarges the urban-rural gap is more serious. 然而,这又是最不可取的办法。土地兼并带来的社会问题,远比城乡差距拉大更加严重。 Actually, these two issues are not the keys, what is most important is the gap between rich and poor expands, the poverty-stricken people increase unceasingly. 其实,这两个问题都不是关键,最重要的还是贫富差距扩大,贫困人口不断增加。 So long as solved the income problem of grass-root people, the regional development is not balanced, the urban-rural gap increases, is acceptable. ” 只要解决了底层民众的收入问题,无论是区域发展不平衡,还是城乡差距加大,都是可以接受的。” This is a red herring, does not solve the regional development not to balance and urban-rural gap, how also to mediate the gap between rich and poor? 这是一个伪命题,不解决区域发展不平衡和城乡差距,又如何调解贫富差距呢? The three are always complement one another, the income is different from other, this is by the market regulation, the government is impossible to control forcefully. 三者从来都是相辅相成的,收入不同于其它,这是靠市场调节的,政府不可能强行控制。 Franz is not economy little white, does not think that naively the government formulates a high minimum wage income, everyone's income came up. 弗朗茨已经不是经济小白了,不会天真的以为政府制定一个较高的最低工资收入,大家的收入就上去了。 This is the not possible matter, the labor cost that each industry can withstand is different, the market competitiveness of certain traditional business, are the inexpensive labor forces. 这是不可能的事情,每个行业能够承受的人工成本都不一样,某些传统行业的市场竞争力,就是廉价的劳动力。 Later generation so many countries play the industrialization, besides environmental protection this nominal excuse, what are more is the developed country labor cost is too high. 后世那么多国家玩儿去工业化,除了“环保”这个名义上的借口外,更多的还是发达国家人工成本太高。 Or the association turns into the tool that certain people sought money, to pursue higher investment return ratio, the capitalist has to shift the factory. 或者说公会变成了某些人牟利的工具,为了追逐更高的投资回报率,资本家不得不转移工厂。 The Austria advantage may not have to develop that step, many capitalists also stays are lying down the money-making stage, overwhelming majority industry profits are good. 地利可没有发展到那一步,很多资本家们还停留在躺着赚钱阶段,绝大部分行业利润都不错。 The grass-root people income cannot come up, supply-demand relation in main reason or labor market. The so-called labor cost affects the market competitiveness, in fact unusual talking nonsense. 底层民众收入上不去,最主要的原因还是劳动力市场上的供求关系。所谓的人工成本影响市场竞争力,实际上非常的扯淡。 The present artificial price, the labor cost proportion is in fact low. Except for the labor force crowded industry, many industry labor costs are less than 1/10 of product price. 现在的人工价格,人工成本实际上占比非常低。除了劳动力密集产业,很多行业人工成本不到产品价格的十分之一。 Compared with the competitor English, labor cost cheap many that Austria benefits, material cost similarly cheap many, the product retail price internationally is actually however almost the same. 和竞争对手英国人比,地利的人工成本便宜的多,原材料成本同样便宜的多,然而在国际上的产品零售价格却相差无几。 This made the Franz unusual disaffection, so many superior conditions, the capitalists have not captured the market with the English unexpectedly. Obviously, the domestic market has force-fed them, everyone's enterprise is insufficient. 这令弗朗茨非常的不满,这么多优越的条件,资本家们居然没有和英国人抢市场。显然,国内市场已经喂饱了他们,大家的进取心已经不足。 If not change, making them have the sense of crisis, has continued, it is estimated that Austria will benefit will also fall into resources trap. 如果不加以改变,让他们产生危机感,一直这么持续下去,估计地利也会落入“资源陷阱”中。 The former space and time UK and France capitalists are so, can make money in any case, why can try hard? 原时空英法两国资本家就是如此,反正都能够赚钱,干嘛要努力呢? Is drawing cash makes merry, simply does not have the crisis awareness, finally looks helplessly the American and German exceed. 一个个都拿着钱就吃喝玩乐,根本没有危机意识,最后眼睁睁看着美国人、德国人超越过去。 Changes present situation that the domestic capitalist is shiftless, is the core of this economic conference. 改变国内资本家不思进取的现状,才是这次经济会议的核心。 Franz: „Is the solution gap between rich and poor really the core issue, what the government has to plan?” 弗朗茨:“解决贫富差距确实是核心问题,政府有什么计划呢?” Prime Minister Felix: „ In a short time wants to receive to raise everyone, the simplest way immigrates. The domestic labor is surplus, is the colony labor force has been deficient. 费利克斯首相:“短期内想要把大家收入提起来,最简单的办法还是移民。国内劳动力过剩,可是殖民地劳动力却一直非常匮乏。 These years we are also immigrating, but does not do well enough. In the inland area, our propaganda work is rarely done, must change this situation. 这些年我们也在移民,但是做得还不够。在内陆地区,我们连宣传工作都很少做,现在必须要改变这种情况。 The government plans for five years, 10 million goes to the colony from the local immigrant. The primary area of this immigrant is the population density oversized rural area, as well as impoverished remote areas. ” 政府计划五年内,从本土移民一千万前往殖民地。这一次移民的主要区域是人口密度过大的农村,以及贫困偏远地区。” The poor chart dagger sees, massive immigrations enter the colony, the supply-demand relation of domestic labor market changes inevitably, the capitalists relied on the cheap labor the day is also gone forever. 穷图匕见,大量的移民进入殖民地,国内劳动力市场的供求关系必然发生变化,资本家们依赖廉价劳动力的日子也就一去不返了。 It is not Franz is stingy, was compelled completely by the reality. 不是弗朗茨心狠,完全是被现实逼出来的。 Original space and time Second German Empire is the best example, almost all resources besides the coal iron lacks, the labor cost is also higher than the French, without so many colonies may be for plundering, but they developed. 原时空德二帝国就是最好的例子,除了煤铁之外几乎所有的资源都缺,人工成本也比法国人高,没有那么多殖民地可供掠夺,但他们发展了起来。 The talent dividend of compulsory education is an aspect, what are more is the crisis awareness of enterprise, urging everyone to promote the technological innovation. 义务教育的人才红利是一方面,但更多的还是企业的危机意识,促使大家推动技术革新。 The Austria advantage conducted compulsory education also so many years, the population quality was not low, but also had a richer market and resources, without the truth could not achieve. 地利进行义务教育也这么多年了,人口素质也不低,还拥有更加丰富的市场和资源,没有道理做不到。 The second Industrial Revolution starts to erupt from the Austria advantage, properly speaking has promotion of Franz, the new technology should quickly be more right than the history same time, however the reality hits the face very much. 第二次工业革命从地利开始爆发,按理来说有弗朗茨的推动,新技术应该比历史同期更快才对,然而现实很打脸。 In 1875 Austria benefitted the new registration patented technology, the imperial family industry occupied three points one, this digit proportion rose year by year. 1875年地利新注册专利技术,皇室产业占据了三分一,这个数字比例还是逐年上升的。 Franz after the research discovery, the core issue was the day of enterprise was too easy and comfortable. Lies down can make money, the capitalists are not willing to promote the technological innovation. 弗朗茨经过研究发现,原来核心问题是企业的日子太安逸了。躺着就能赚钱,资本家们根本就不愿意推动技术革新。 This is the benefit decision, the inexpensive labor force and raw materials price, with the broad market, making them not need to try hard, can make money. 这是利益决定的,低廉的劳动力、原材料价格,和广阔的市场,让他们不需要努力,就能够赚钱。 But conducts the new technology research and development, was actually full of the uncertainty, the investment and return is not necessarily able to be proportional, everyone is not willing adventure. 而进行新技术研发,却充满了不确定性,投资和回报未必能够成正比,大家根本就不愿意冒险。 Without the pressure, that can only make the pressure. This year has not arrived at the capital internationalization time, Franz did not fear that the capitalist travels. 没有压力,那就只能制造压力了。这年头还没有到资本国际化时代,弗朗茨也不怕资本家跑路。 Engaged in in the international trade needing the government endorsement, behind each cross Guodajituan has the government background. Even so, these groups also often by local bully pit. 从事国际贸易都需要政府背书,每一个跨国大集团背后都有政府背景。即便是如此,这些集团也时常被地头蛇坑了。 This point has many classical cases, for example: The UK , France capital invests Austria to benefit the railroad and infrastructure construction, was used the economic crisis to give the pit by Franz. 这一点有很多经典案例,就比如:英法资本投资地利铁路、基础设施建设,就被弗朗茨利用经济危机给坑了。 Also for example: The British capital carries out the big railroad construction in the US, finally also complete wipe-out. 又比如:英国资本在美国搞得大铁路建设,最后也是血本无归。 Has the background by pit, that is in regular range Neikeng. Does not have the background, not to mention, the table manners do not need to be fastidious. 有背景的被坑,那是在规则范围内坑。没有背景的,更不用说,吃相都不需要讲究了。
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