Misfortune never come singly. 一波未平,一波又起。 The Turkey and Poland conflict has not solved, East Asia had an accident. Just carried out the preliminary social reform the Japanese government, revealed the fang to the outside world. 土波冲突还没有解决,东亚地区又出事了。刚刚进行初步社会改革的日本政府,向外界露出了獠牙。 In May 1875, „cloud Yang” and other Japanese warships invaded the Joseon Busan, staged the military force demonstration, the decayed incompetent Joseon dynasty did not have first organization to counter-attack, interference that instead placed hopes in the eldest child. 1875年5月,“云扬”号等日本军舰入侵朝鲜釜山,进行武力示威,腐朽无能的朝鲜王朝没有第一时间组织反击,反而寄希望于老大的干涉。 Very unfortunately, the eldest child in next door was also decayed, was being busy internal fight, had no time to care about this minor matter radically, this further stimulated the ambition of Japanese government. 很不幸,隔壁的老大同样腐朽了,正忙着内斗,根本无暇顾及这点儿小事,这又进一步刺激到了日本政府的野心。 In order to test the bottom line of neighbor, the Japanese forces invaded Ganghwa Island in September, this time could not hide, the Joseon army was forced to resist. 为了试探出了邻居的底线,9月份日军入侵江华岛一带,这次躲不过去了,朝鲜军队被迫进行抵抗。 After paying the prices of 2 people of casualties, the Japanese forces gained the victory of campaign. Under the threat in force, the Joseon government recognized quickly instigates. 在付出二人伤亡的代价后,日军取得了战役的胜利。在武力威胁下,朝鲜政府很快就认怂了。 ( Note: The Joseon army died in battle approximately 35 people) (备注:朝鲜军队阵亡约35人) The concrete process, in the telegram had not explained, Franz is also disinclined to go into seriously. This child crosses the fight of each family, renovated his three views. 具体经过,电报上没有说明,弗朗茨也懒得深究。这种小孩子过家家的战斗,还是刷新了他的三观。 Must know that the Joseon kingdom good and evil is also a population ten million/countless, standing army more than ten 200,000 countries, unexpectedly is losing a military of platoon to recognize from now on instigates. 要知道朝鲜王国好歹也是一个人口过千万、常备军十几二十万的国家,居然在损失一个排的兵力过后就认怂了。 This tells everyone simply, in East Asia also fat sheep, silly will kick the person, will not come quickly minute/share its meat. 这简直就是告诉大家,在东亚地区还有一头肥羊,傻的连踢人都不会,快过来分它的肉。 Must know that the ambition is always indulges, the present Japanese government probes outward, was not that was arrogant and conceited in the mid-20 th century, wants to work as the ball long Showa government. 要知道野心从来都是放纵出来的,现在的日本政府只是对外进行试探,还不是二十世纪中期那个目空一切,想要当球长的昭和政府。 The Austria advantage enters the time of Far East is too short, almost does not have the benefit in East Asia, this news also increased a laughingstock in the Vienna government. 奥地利进入远东的时间太短,在东亚地区几乎没有利益,这则消息在维也纳政府也就是增加了一条笑料。 However was different to other European big powers, Russian Empire of next door had at least received the stimulation. If not Prussia is too contradictory deep, perhaps the Tsar government attended to the tone east. 不过对别的欧洲列强来说就不一样了,至少隔壁的俄罗斯帝国已经受到了刺激。如果不是普俄矛盾太深,没准沙皇政府就调头东顾了。 Original space and time Russian bear shifts, was stimulated. The west side is the unyielding person gnaws motionless, although east side far a little, but is the fat! 原时空毛熊转向,就是被刺激出来的。西边都是硬骨头啃不动,东边虽然远了一点儿,但都是肥肉啊！ The bear must eat the meat, only then the dog will gnaw the bone. This choice question was very good to do, depends entirely on the instinct enough. 熊是要吃肉的,只有狗才会啃骨头。这个选择题很好做,全靠本能就够了。 Compared with the original space and time, the international situation has changed beyond all recognition now, the continental Europe overall maintained stable. 和原时空相比,现在国际局势已经面目全非,欧洲大陆总体保持了稳定。 UK , France Austria the confrontation among three forces, the Prussia two times to oppose mutually, below also has Spain and Northern European federation and German federation three middle-grade powerful nations again, this pattern can be said as the English being long-awaited. 英法奥三足鼎立、普俄两个次强又相互对立,再下面还有西班牙、北欧联邦和德意志联邦三个中等强国,这个格局可以说是英国人梦寐以求的。 Any wants to upset the balance, must bear in every way the pressure. All strength achieved balanced, the situation naturally stabilized. 任何一家想要打破平衡,都必须要承受多方压力。各方实力达到了平衡,局势自然就稳定了。 Once the contradictions between European major colonial empires relax, in the world the pressures of other independent nations were big, particularly Joseon dynasty type is regarded as „fat sheep” country. 一旦欧洲各大殖民帝国之间的矛盾缓和,世界上其他独立国家的压力就大了,尤其是朝鲜王朝这种被视为“肥羊”的国家。 „How you see the East Asian change in situation, can this affect the world situation?” “你们怎么看东亚变局,这会不会影响到世界局势？” Without the means that almost every colonial empire inserted a foot in East Asia. Japan is also the fat sheep that everyone stares, everyone suddenly discovered suddenly this sheep evolved unexpectedly the wolf, but also jumped and everyone snatches the meat. 没有办法,几乎每个殖民帝国都在东亚插了一脚。原本日本也是大家盯上的肥羊,猛然间大家突然发现这只羊居然进化成了狼,还跳出来和大家抢肉了。 Benefit so many, you took with me little, many divides, the effect on everyone is very big. 利益就那么多,你拿多了我就拿少了,多一个来分,对大家的影响还是很大的。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Your majesty, Japan nothing to be worried. Their small scale, once is noisily excessive, UK , France will make them know that anything is the custom. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,日本不足为虑。他们小打小闹也就罢了,一旦闹过了头,英法就会让他们知道什么是规矩。 Our benefits main centralized in the Southeast Asia area, the Japanese can only shake in main house gate now, the Southeast Asia area absolutely does not have their footholds. 我们的利益主要集中在南洋地区,日本人现在只能在家门口晃悠,南洋地区根本就没有他们的立足之地。 Unequal treaty that various countries and they sign, is the shackles that restricts them to develop. Does not get rid of the shackles, they are used unable to develop. 况且,各国和他们签订的不平等条约,也是制约他们发展的枷锁。不摆脱枷锁,他们用来都发展不起来。 Only processing these issues, perhaps need dozens years of time. To be truly powerful, the road that the Japanese must take is very long. 光处理这些问题,恐怕就需要数十年功夫。想要真正强大起来,日本人要走的路还很长。 The Meiji Restoration slogan shouted resoundingly, besides training battle efficiency two third-class armies, I have not seen what achievement. 明治维新口号喊得响亮,除了训练出了一支战斗力二三流的军队外,我没有看出有什么成果。 Japanese success, was full of the fortuitousness, if not the Far East empire of next door is busy internal fight, absolutely does not have the opportunity that they display. ” 日本人这次成功,充满了偶然性,如果不是隔壁的远东帝国忙着内斗,根本就没有他们施展的机会。” „Contempt” this is the European Society to the universal view of Japan, this year is popular „Caucasian supreme theory”, the non-white race is naturally discriminated. “轻视”这是欧洲社会对日本的普遍看法,这年头还流行“白人至上论”,有色人种天然受歧视。 The Caucasian is also dividing heterogeneous, the region discrimination, the racial discrimination and country discriminate...... 就连白人内部同样分着三六九等,地域歧视、民族歧视、国家歧视…… For example: The looking down upon Central Europe of Western Europe, the looking down upon Eastern Europe of Central Europe, Europe looks down upon the overseas. 比如说:西欧的看不起中欧的,中欧的看不起东欧的,欧洲的一起看不起海外的。 Why can the GUT spread in the German area? In fact the main reason is the German People can only calculate the second-rate person, everyone needs a powerful country. 大统一理论为什么能够在德意志地区传开？实际上最主要的原因就是德意志民众只能算二等人,大家需要一个强大的国家。 The concrete manifestation looked that the 19 th century US knows, similarly was the immigrant, the German regional immigration was discriminated, same was in the lower class with the Irish people, Italians and Eastern European immigrants. 具体表现看19世纪美国就知道,同样是外来移民,德意志地区移民就受到了歧视,和爱尔兰人、意大利人、东欧移民一样都处于社会底层。 Original space and time, after has continued to unify to Germany, is improved. 原时空这一局面,一直持续到德国统一后,才得以改善。 The present changing situation is more rapid, revival that as Austria benefits, international standing also when production costs rise, prices rise too of German nation. 现在的情况变化更快一些,随着奥地利的复兴,德意志民族的国际地位随之水涨船高。 This is also why the Austria advantage can maintain the influence reason at the German area. 这也是为什么奥地利能够在德意志地区保持影响力的原因。 Did not go abroad also even, the capitalist who was engaged in the international trade, did not make the nationality of new Holy Roman empire, oneself were not steadfast. 不出国也就算了,从事国际贸易的资本家,不弄个新神罗帝国的国籍,自己心里都不踏实。 Took the nationality of empire, enjoys benefit that the great nation provided, the standpoints of these people naturally reversed to Austria to benefit very much. 拿了帝国的国籍,享受到了大国带来的好处,这些人的立场很自然倒向了奥地利。 Under this situation, although Austria benefits many approaches, looks like very conservative in the German nation people, cannot satisfy their appetites, but is universally recognized as legitimate. 在这种背景下,尽管奥地利很多做法,在德意志民族主义者看来非常保守,不能满足他们的胃口,但还是被公认为正统。 The Japanese were despised are not strange, Meiji Restoration just started, so-called „development” is also relatively speaking. 日本人被轻视也就不奇怪了,明治维新才刚刚开始,所谓的“发展”也是相对而言的。 To poor and blank Japan, any industry makes the progress, that is the great achievements, but stands in standpoint that in Austria benefits, these things are not worth mentioning. 对一穷二白的日本来说,任何一个行业取得发展,那都是伟大成就,但是站在奥地利的立场上,这些东西根本就不值得一提。 The industrial total quantity of entire Japan adds, but also compares Austria to benefit an industry park. If calculates the output value, possibly could not have compared a large-scale group. 全日本的工业总量加起来,还比上奥地利一个工业园。如果计算产值的话,可能还比不上一家大型集团。 The Japanese government trains „elite navy”, possibly could not have compared Austria to benefit a minute/share of fleet stationed in colony, a warship can rout them. 日本政府训练出来的“精锐海军”,可能还比不上奥地利驻扎在殖民地的分舰队,一艘主力舰都能将他们击溃。 So-called modernized army, such tens of thousands people, the weaponry is not much, perhaps in addition the natural on contempt, the Japanese elite army could not have compared Austria to benefit the reserve duty in many eyes. 所谓的现代化陆军,也就那么几万人,武器装备还不咋地,加上天然上的轻视,或许在很多人眼中日本精锐部队还比不上奥地利预备役。 In the situation of comprehensive rolling, wanting the Vienna government to attach great importance to Japan is not not possible. Original space and time Japan was recognized by the world, after that is also the Russo-Japanese War, is stepping on the shoulder of Russia person the high-rank. 在全面辗压的情况下,想要维也纳政府重视日本也不可能。原时空日本被世界承认,那也是日俄战争之后,踩着俄国人的肩膀才上位的。 Franz has not prepared to change everyone's concept, wants to load into others brain own thought that was really difficult. 弗朗茨没有准备扭转大家的观念,想要把自己的思想装进别人脑子里,实在是太难了。 Japanese uprising also early, even rose not to threaten Austria to benefit. Austria is the strength of Southeast Asia colony, is not the Japanese can challenge. 况且,日本崛起还早着呢,即便是崛起了也威胁不到奥地利。奥属南洋殖民地的力量,都不是日本人能够挑战的。 However the ability of Franz to this Japanese government admires, can in the so difficult situation, colonize the semi-feudal country to develop one -and-a-half. 不过弗朗茨对这届日本政府的能力还是佩服的,能够在如此艰难的情况下,将一个半殖民半封建国家发展起来。 For example now, the Japanese government chooses a good time. Using various European countries by Turkey and Poland conflict attraction attention time begins, creates the established facts. 就比如说现在,日本政府就选了一个好时机。利用欧洲各国被土波冲突吸引注意力的时候动手,造成既定事实。 If in the evening 1-2 years, when the UK , France Austria three countries carved up in the colony on achieved consistently, after the international situation tended relaxed, the Japanese government again begins certainly to die a tragic death. 要是晚上1-2,等英法奥三国在殖民地瓜分上达成了一致,国际局势趋于缓和后,日本政府再动手保管会死得很惨。 To put it bluntly, the Japanese has not challenged the strength of international order, can only play an edge ball, establishes before the international order of East Asia in the European big powers acts. 说白了,日本人还没有挑战国际秩序的实力,只能打个擦边球,在欧洲列强针对东亚的国际秩序建立起来前行动。 „cloud Yanghao event” opened the entrance of Joseon, the Japanese government has not actually monopolized benefit, the major big powers can receive the advantage, the resistance is not naturally big. “云扬号事件”打开了朝鲜的国门,日本政府却没有独享其中的利益,各大列强都可以从中拿到好处,阻力自然不大。 Seemingly does not have many harvests, in fact the political significance is big. The Japanese government takes this opportunity, had an opportunity of expansion. 看似没有多少收获,实际上政治意义却不小。日本政府利用这次机会,获得了一个对外扩张的机会。 The European countries tacitly approved Japanese government action, then also means that the international community can accept the Japanese to colonize Joseon, laid the foundation for the next colonizing expansion. 欧洲各国默认了日本政府这次行动,那么也意味着国际社会可以接受日本人殖民朝鲜,为下一次殖民扩张奠定了基础。 However naturally has the shortcoming advantageously, „congenial” and „gambling” was too easy to become addicted, once stained were very difficult to swear off. 不过有利自然有弊,“投机”、“赌博”太容易上瘾了,一旦沾上了就很难戒掉。 The gambling won, no doubt can receive the large return, however the luck always has exhaustion time, once lost, that compensated completely. 赌赢了,固然可以获得丰厚回报,然而运气总有耗尽的时候,一旦赌输了,那就全部赔出去了。 This is the sorrow of small country, the words that does not bet, do not have the opportunity to rise forever ; But once on bet the table, wanted to be difficult. 这是小国的悲哀,不赌的话,永远没有机会崛起;可是一旦上了赌桌,想要下来就难了。 The victory can make people confused, once falls into, in the eye only then succeeds, is hard to continue the sane regarding issue. 胜利会使人迷茫,一旦陷入其中,眼中就只有成功,难以继续理智的看待问题。 Franz: „First observes! If east the Russia person attended , the opportunity of Japanese came. Compares the Far East empire, the English likes supporting this tinies.” 弗朗茨:“先观察吧！如果俄国人东顾,日本人的机会就来了。相比远东帝国,英国人还是更加喜欢扶持这种小不点儿。” The Russia person meets not Huidong to attend, this issue no one can reply. All must look at the result of next Prussia war. 俄国人会不会东顾,这个问题没有人能够回答。一切都要看下一次普俄战争的结局。 Continental Europe law Austria is divided into the hegemony now, if Tsar government hard victory, then withdraws European strives for hegemony becomes inevitable, east attended to also becomes one of the choices. 欧洲大陆现在法奥在共分霸权,如果沙皇政府惨胜,那么退出欧陆争霸就成为了必然,东顾也成为了选择之一。 If Tsar government disastrous defeat, then all rest. Defeat Russian Empire, definitely will be dismembered. The self-preservation is an issue, let alone is continues to expand? 要是沙皇政府惨败,那么一切皆休。战败的俄罗斯帝国,必然会被肢解。自保都是一个问题,何况是继续扩张呢？ Stands in standpoint that in Austria benefits, naturally is wants both countries to tie, or is a side by a narrow margin hard victory. Eliminates two potential competitors one time, was really good. 站在奥地利的立场上,自然是希望两国打平,或者是一方以微弱优势惨胜。一次性淘汰两个潜在竞争对手,实在是再好不过了。 ...... ……