Afterthe 19 th century, the worldpolarizationis getting more and more serious. „Powerful nationis stronger, the weak countryis weaker”, the international situationhad the tremendous changes.
进入19世纪后,世界两极分化越来越严重。“强国越强,弱国越弱”,国际格局发生了翻天覆地的变化。
The establishedempireseized the Industrial Revolutionopportunity, firstoccupied the large amounts ofresources, forownbenefit, has startedto suppress the successor.
老牌帝国把握住了工业革命的先机,抢先占据了大量的资源,为了自身的利益,已经开始压制后来者。BritishAustriathismaking a move, seems like that tocontainFranceexpands, in fact is also the collision of new and oldimperialist nation.
英奥这次出手,看似是为了遏制法兰西扩张,实际上也是新老帝国主义国家的一次碰撞。
It is not eachcountryis the US, the native placehas the richresourcesandmarket. The newcountrywantsto rise, mustseize the sufficientresources and marketinevitably, thisis the contradiction between new and oldempires.
不是每个国家都是美国,本土就有丰富的资源、市场。新生国家想要崛起,势必要攫取足够的资源和市场,这就是新老帝国间的矛盾。
The Prussiakingdomstrengthis not weak, ifwill annex the Kingdom of Poland more powerful. Has the sufficientstrength, has not actually attained the resources that matches, in the future the Prussiakingdomsurelywill beChallenger of order.普鲁士王国实力不弱,要是吞并了波兰王国还会更加强大。拥有足够的实力,却没有拿到相匹配的资源,未来普鲁士王国必定是秩序的挑战者。Thisandgovernmentwhether the peace-lovingnot to relate. Ifdid not develop the industryeven, once the industrydeveloped, the raw material and marketwereurgethemto challenge the sourcepower of the world order.
这和政府是否爱好和平没有关系。要是不发展工业就算了,一旦工业发展了起来,原材料和市场就是促使他们挑战世界秩序的源动力。
The speed that originalspace and timeSecond German Empire risesis too fast, the Englishoverestimated the strength of French, whentheyresponded the time of alreadylate, can only be outto conduct a world warpersonally.
原时空德二帝国崛起的速度太快,英国人高估了法国人的实力,等他们反应过来的时候已经晚了,只能亲自下场进行一场世界大战。In comparison, American who oceananother siderisesonluckymany, the itselfresourcesare richenough, dresses up itselfdoes not have the threat„Uncle Sam”, succeededevaded the suppression of establishedempire.
相比之下,大洋另一边崛起的美国人就幸运的多,本身资源足够丰富,把自己装扮成没有威胁的“山姆大叔”,成功的躲过了老牌帝国的打压。Quiethalfsoundtime, foreign ministerFriedman: „ Situationsomeare not right, BritishAustriaconspires to keep secrethighly, howpossiblyreadilyto makeusdiscover?
沉寂了半响功夫,外交大臣杰弗理・弗里德曼:“情况有些不对,英奥密谋应该是高度保密的,怎么可能这么轻易的让我们发现?This, not onlyinvolvesus, but alsoinvolved the French. The Parisgovernmentinterioris not even steady, ignoresbraveAustriaboth countrieswill not planthem. ”
要知道,这不光涉及到我们,还牵扯到了法国人。巴黎政府就算是内部不稳,也不会放任英奥两国算计他们。”
The informationcomestooeasily, is the biggestloophole. Suchconspiring, knownpersonnotnecessarilyoverten, andeach oneis the nationaltops, in the normal conditiondoes not have the possibility of leaking.
情报来得太容易,就是最大的漏洞。这样的密谋,知道的人都不一定超过十个,并且个个都是国家高层,正常情况下是不存在泄密的可能。William Iat presentonebright, asking of anticipation: „Youweresaid that inBritishAustriaboth countries a sidedivulgedintentionally, thisalliancewas not sturdy, becausebenefitprovisional joint?”
威廉一世眼前一亮,期待的问:“你是说英奥两国中一方故意泄露的,这个联盟并不牢靠,只是因为利益临时联合的?”Friedmanshakes the head: „ No, BritishAustriaboth countriestrulywantto take away the Rhinelandareafromourhands, howjust to giveGermanyin the issue of federalempirelikelyto have the difference.
杰弗理・弗里德曼摇了摇头:“不,英奥两国确实都想要从我们手中拿走莱茵兰地区,只不过在怎么交给德意志联邦帝国的问题上可能发生了分歧。
The Germanfederationempireis in a state of disunity, thatis the Hanoverkingdomstrength of leadingcentral governmentis limited, withoutconforming with the strength of thiscountry.
德意志联邦帝国一盘散沙,那是主导中央政府的汉诺威王国实力有限,没有整合这个国家的实力。Hanoverterritoryareaonly then40% of thiscountry, threepoints of populationandeconomic outputinsufficientthiscountryone.
汉诺威领土面积只有这个国家的40%,人口和经济总量都不足这个国家的三分一。
Affected by the system, the GermanfederationempirehighestauthorityEmpireParliamentstillretained a traditionalstateticket. Regardless of the central governmentwantsto do, the EmpireParliamentcaneasilyoverrule.
受体制影响,德意志联邦帝国最高权利机构帝国议会仍然保留了传统的一邦国一票。无论中央政府想干什么,帝国议会都可以轻易否决掉。So manyyearspassed by, Germanfederationorsame as usual. Hanoverwantto conform withthiscountryseveraltimes, was overruledby the EmpireParliament.
这么多年过去了,德意志联邦还是老样子。汉诺威几次想要整合这个国家,都被帝国议会否决了。
The Germanareasplit for several hundredyears, everyonehas been used to the statepolitics, wantsto changethisaspect is almost not possible.
德意志地区都分裂了几百年,大家已经习惯了邦国政治,想要改变这种局面几乎是不可能。However the Rhinelandareawas in addition different, if the Rhinelandareais been directly underby the central government, then the relative strengthwill change.
不过加上莱茵兰地区就不一样了,如果莱茵兰地区由中央政府直辖,那么实力对比就会发生变化。Even ifindependentHanoverkingdomwantsto throw off the table, is notfollowingonegroup of stateopponentsjointly, but the Rhinelandareacentral governmenthad the absoluteadvantagein addition.
单独一个汉诺威王国就算是想要掀翻桌子,也不是下面一堆邦国联手的对手,可是加上莱茵兰地区中央政府就占据了绝对的优势。Standsin the standpoint of Viennagovernment, does not have the issueto the Germanfederationempire the Rhinelandarea, butmustjoinby the statestatus.
站在维也纳政府的立场上,把莱茵兰地区给德意志联邦帝国没有问题,但是必须要以邦国的身份加入。Let the Hanoverkingdomdoin a big way, does not favor the Austriaadvantageimplementing the Germanunifiedstrategy. Thisis the Englishmostwantsto doexactly, BritishAustriaboth countrieshave the seriousdifferencefrom the beginning.
让汉诺威王国做大,不利于奥地利实施德意志统一战略。这恰恰是英国人最想干的,英奥两国从一开始就存在着严重的分歧。Possiblyboth countriesbroke off conversation, the Viennagovernmentdecidesto spoil the plan of English, held the newssimply. ”
可能两国谈崩了,维也纳政府决定破坏英国人的计划,干脆把消息捅了出来。”Thishad been close to the truth of fact, nownewsdivulging, wantsto complete the originalplan is not not possibleagain.
这已经接近了事实的真相,现在消息泄露,再想完成原来的计划就不可能了。Not is only the outside world, the Germanfederationempiredoes not comply. The central governmentwantsdirectly underRhineland, followingonepile of smallstatewill not disburse moneynot only, will also overrulethisterritoryto tradeusing the EmpireParliamentjurisprudentially speaking.
不光是外界,德意志联邦帝国内部都不答应。中央政府想要直辖莱茵兰,下面一堆小邦国不光不会出钱,还会利用帝国议会从法理上否决掉这次领土交易。Only if conducts to create the established factsin secret, otherwise the Germanfederal governmentdoes not handle the interior.
除非是暗中进行造成既定事实,要不然德意志联邦政府连内部都搞不定。Originallyis a loosefederation, how manydifferences of middle ages the German, the followingvassal statehas not been convinced, what to do can Emperor?
本来就是一个松散的联邦,和中世纪的德意志没有多少差别,下面的诸侯国不买账,皇帝能怎么办?By the strength of Hanoverkingdom, even ifwants the military forceto unify the Germanfederation, theydo not havethatstrength. Let aloneoutsidealsohas the Austriaadvantageto eye covetously, not goodto buildoneself.
以汉诺威王国的实力,就算是想要武力统一德意志联邦,他们也不具备那个实力。何况外面还有奥地利虎视眈眈,一个不好把自己都搭进去了。William Irubbed the forehead, over 70-year-oldhe, the energyis not abundant, thiscomplexinternational situationtoowastebrain.
威廉一世揉了揉额头,年过七旬的他,精力已经没有那么充沛,这种复杂的国际形势太废脑子了。Nowhisunusualcontradiction, on the one handdoes not wantto see that the Germanfederationempiregrows strong, increases the national defensepressure of Prussiakingdom;On the other handwants the Germanfederationempireto be powerful, cuts offGermanpath of unification that Austriabenefits.
现在他非常的矛盾,一方面不想看到德意志联邦帝国发展壮大,增加普鲁士王国的国防压力;另一方面又想要德意志联邦帝国强大起来,断绝奥地利的德意志统一之路。At this timeheregretted, if willingadventurein the past, benefittedtwopoints of GermanareawithAustria, the presentpatternwas different.
这个时候他非常后悔,如果当年肯冒险,和奥地利两分德意志地区,现在的格局就大不一样了。„Oh!”
“唉!”Sighs, William I: The leeway that „ wechooseis not big, nowwantstakes away the Rhinelandareafromourhandsperhaps is not only BritishAustriaboth countries.
叹了一口气,威廉一世:“我们选择的余地不大了,现在想要从我们手中拿走莱茵兰地区的恐怕不光是英奥两国。It is estimated that the Parisgovernmentalsohas the similaridea, after allRhinelandareaindependent, falls into the Germanfederationempirehand, ormergeswithBelgium, the ratiokeepsinourhandsto be easierto take.
估计巴黎政府也有同样的想法,毕竟莱茵兰地区无论是独立,还是落入德意志联邦帝国手中,又或者是和比利时合并,都比留在我们手中更容易拿到手。Youthought how nowto do, servesourbenefits? ”
你们觉得现在怎么做,更符合我们的利益?”Prime ministerMoltke: „ FirstremovessellstoFrance, iffell into a native of Francehand, balancedmustbe broken.
首相毛奇:“首先排除出售给法兰西,要是落入了法国人手中,平衡就要被打破了。Perhapswhen the time comesAustriabenefits unable to divert the French, no oneknows that Napoleon IVwas the secondNapoleon, ignoresFranceexpandsis too dangerous.
恐怕到时候奥地利也无法牵制住法国人,谁也不知道那位拿破仑四世是不是第二个拿破仑,放任法兰西壮大太危险了。Remainingnothing but is to make the Rhinelandareaindependent, orsellstoBelgium and Germanfederationempire received exchange for a fund.
剩下的无非是让莱茵兰地区独立,或者是出售给比利时、德意志联邦帝国换取一笔资金。
The latteralsoinvolved the struggle of BritishAustria, onetimewasstood in line. From the currentsituation, wedo not suitin the great nationstand in line, thiswas too dangerous.
后者还涉及到了英奥之争,又是一次站队。从目前的情况来说,我们不适合在大国中站队,这太危险了。Ithought that sold toBelgiumto receive in exchange for a fund, servesourpresentbenefits, at presentwhatis most importantannexesPoland, thendigests, preparation and war of Russiaperson. ”
我觉得卖给比利时换取一笔资金,更加符合我们现在的利益,眼下最重要的是吞并波兰,然后消化掉,准备和俄国人的战争。”Rightis„the presentbenefit”, from the long-term development, definitelyispreserves the Rhinelandareamostto serve the Prussiabenefit.
没错就是“现在的利益”,从长远发展来看,肯定是保住莱茵兰地区最符合普鲁士的利益。Howeverthisisnot possible, the establishedempireis not silly, only iftheygive upannexingPoland, otherwiseis good atplayingbalancedBritishAustriaboth countries, will not give upinevitably.
然而这是不可能的,老牌帝国又不傻,除非他们放弃吞并波兰,要不然擅长玩儿平衡的英奥两国,必然不会善罢甘休。In the long run, even ifmakes the Rhinelandareaindependent, graspsRhinelandin secret, stillcompared withselling outserves the Prussiabenefit.
长远来看,就算让莱茵兰地区独立,暗中掌握莱茵兰,也比卖掉更符合普鲁士的利益。In a short timewas different, the Berlingovernmentis poor, cancontrol the Rhinelandareaevenin secret, that will still be the futurematter, at presentfirstsolvesgood of financial crisis.
短期内就不一样了,柏林政府穷得叮当响,就算是能够暗中控制莱茵兰地区,那也是未来的事情,眼下还是先解决财政危机的好。Sold to the Germanfederation, muststand in line. Now the Berlingovernmentwas in the English the debt, stands in lineonlyto be ableon the side of the standingEnglish.
卖给德意志联邦,就必须要进行站队。现在柏林政府欠了英国人一屁股债,站队只能站英国人一边。
The presenttowasrefreshed, butoffendedAustriato benefit, in the futurePrussiawarwhat to do?
现在到是爽快了,可是得罪死了奥地利,未来普俄战争怎么办?According to the plan, the Berlingovernmentpreparesto win overAustriato benefitbeatsRussian Empirethoroughly. Does not solveRussiapersonmortal enemy, Prussia can never be peaceful.
按照计划,柏林政府可是准备拉拢奥地利彻底击垮俄罗斯帝国的。不解决俄国人这个死敌,普鲁士永远都不能安生。Secretary of warRowen: „ Withoutis so simple, do not forget the French. If the Parisgovernmentadventuredispatches troopsto seize the Rhinelandarea, what to doweshould?
陆军大臣罗恩:“没有那么简单,不要忘了法国人。如果巴黎政府冒险出兵占领莱茵兰地区,我们又该怎么办?Ido not think the Austriaadvantagefights a warfor the Rhinelandarea and French, iftheywantto act, FranceannexesItalytimebegan.
我可不认为奥地利会为了莱茵兰地区和法国人打一仗,他们要是想出手,法国吞并意大利的时候就动手了。Ithought that the strategy of Viennagovernmentdid not unify the Germanarea, the territory that Austriabenefittedis bigenough, the populationwere also manyenough, did not lackanything.
我觉得维也纳政府的战略并不是统一德意志地区,奥地利的领土已经够大了,人口也足够多,根本不缺什么。From the practice of Viennagovernment, thislooks liketheirpolitical slogans. Austriabenefittedoccupies the mostBalkan Peninsula, nowis attacking the Ottomanempire.
从维也纳政府的做法来看,这更像他们的一个政治口号。奥地利已经占据了大半个巴尔干半岛,现在又在进攻奥斯曼帝国。If the progressseized the Asia minorpeninsulasmoothly, east bank of Mediterranean Seaistheirterritories, simplyisByzantine Empiresecond. ”
如果进展顺利占领了小亚细亚半岛,地中海东岸都是他们的领土,简直就是拜占庭帝国第二。”RebuildsByzantine Empire, thisambitionnot unifying the Germanareais smaller. The Austriaadvantagehas not shoutedis rebuildingByzantine Empire, but the territoryareais beyond controleveryonenot to associate.
重建拜占庭帝国,这个野心可丝毫不比统一德意志地区小。奥地利没有嚷嚷着重建拜占庭帝国,可是领土疆域由不得大家不联想。William Ihitsto block the way: „ The Austriaadvantagewantsto do, is notwecanprevent. Iftheyreallyhave that bigambition, to us is also a good deed.
威廉一世打断道:“奥地利想要干什么,不是我们能够阻止的。他们真要是有那么大的野心,对我们来说也是一件好事。MustreappearByzantine Empire, withtheirconflicts of interestbiggestis the RussiapersonandFrench. Annexes the ItalianareafromViennagovernmentignoresFrance, then firstaims atshouldbe the Russiaperson.
要重现拜占庭帝国,和他们利益冲突最大的就是俄国人、法国人。从维也纳政府放任法国吞并意大利地区来看,那么接下来首先针对的应该是俄国人。BeforeRussian Empirefalls from power, wecancooperate. Howeverwhat the Habsburgfamilymostexcelsis the diplomacy, rather thanmilitary.
在俄罗斯帝国倒台前,我们都是可以合作的。不过哈布斯堡家族最擅长的是外交,而不是军事。Franzisoutstanding person, will succeed to the throneAustriato benefit the unceasingexpansion of usediplomatic meansfrom now on, Ido not think that theysuddenlywill becomesuchradical, thisverypossiblewill be the smoke shell that theywill putintentionally. ”弗朗茨更是其中的佼佼者,继位过后奥地利利用外交手段的不断扩张,我不认为他们会突然变得这么激进,这很可能是他们故意放出来的烟雾弹。”
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The Berlingovernmentis intertwining, the Parisgovernmentis very lively. In the government the factional disputeis unceasing, Napoleon IIIsuppressesare enlivenedby the republicanfaction, the Austriagoodfaction and orthodoxes that.
柏林政府在纠结,巴黎政府很热闹。政府中派系纷争不断,被拿破仑三世打压的共和派、奥尔良派、正统派都活跃了起来。Napoleon IVprestigeis insufficient, withoutsuppressing the ability of allpolitical forces, can only according to the plan that Napoleon IIIleaves behind, playsbalancedinvariousfactions.
拿破仑四世威望不够,没有压制各方政治势力的能力,只能按照拿破仑三世遗留下来的计划,在各派系中间玩儿平衡。
The imperial authoritysafeguarded, was the factional strifeactuallyserious. Is cliquishto be led into the government serviceunfortunatelyvery much, toopposeto oppose,is the commonmatter.
皇权是保障了,可是党争却严重了起来。很不幸党同伐异被带入到政府工作中,为了反对而反对,更是常有的事情。By the Frenchempire that all partiesdread, is unable to make the decisionatthis timeunexpectedly, thismadeNapoleon IVhave a headache.
被各方忌惮的法兰西帝国,在这个时候居然迟迟无法做出决定,这令拿破仑四世非常头疼。
If not the confession of father, hemustact arbitrarily, made the decisiondirectly. Heboreluckily, will otherwise know the lower limit of bureaucratsquicklylowly.
如果不是父亲的交代,他都要独断专行,直接做决定了。幸好他忍住了,要不然很快就会知道官僚们的下限有多低。
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