The Berlin senior government officials are the soldier family backgrounds, working all along is vigorous and resolute, since decides the pit Pole, naturally cannot be lenient. 柏林政府高层多是军人出身,做事一贯都是雷厉风行,既然决定坑波兰人,自然不会手软。 Because the issue of struggle of Polish throne, closed/pass laid down the nail similarly. Obtains the independent Pole with great difficulty, is not willing to be given the annexation by Prussia. 因为波兰王位之争的问题,普波关之间同样埋下了钉子。好不容易才取得独立的波兰人,可不愿意被普鲁士给吞并了。 In addition interference of international forces, enlarges to be contradictory unceasingly, if no Russia person archenemy to exist, both countries have gone separate ways. 加上国际势力的干涉,不断的放大普波矛盾,如果不是有俄国人这个大敌存在,两国早就分道扬镳了。 Even so, in the Polish government the radical faction does not want to see Prussian to gesticulate, wants to kick out of the way the Prussia individual farming. 即便是如此,波兰政府中激进派也不想看到普鲁士人指手画脚,想要踢开普鲁士单干。 These issues, the Berlin government is watches anxiously at heart. Two radical faction members are not good to cope, an operation will not be good to fuel the radical rebound. 这些问题,柏林政府是看在眼里急在心里。中二激进派分子不好对付,一个操作不好就会引发剧烈反弹。 The Berlin government has the thoughts of murdering with a borrowed knife, the hidden danger that but operates is large, is not good is a disaster. 柏林政府早就有借刀杀人的心思,只是操作起来的隐患颇大,一个不好就是一场灾难。 Must cope with Russian Empire, the Prussia kingdom needs the Polish cannon fodder, cannot make Poland be hit remnantly. 要对付俄罗斯帝国,普鲁士王国需要波兰炮灰,可不能让波兰被打残了。 If not suddenly Austria relations bursts, Moltke does not dare to put forward this proposal absolutely. Otherwise the Russia person seizing the chance ginseng/partake gathers, launches Austria Lillah forcefully, is not suddenly Austria opponent. 如果不是俄奥关系破裂,毛奇是绝对不敢提出这个建议的。要不然俄国人趁机参合进来,强行把奥地利拉下水,普波可不是俄奥的对手。 Now suddenly Austria Union has the problem, Austria benefits also needs to weaken the Russia person with hand, under this background the Vienna government most teaches the Pole, not possible really to hit remnantly them. 现在俄奥同盟出现问题,奥地利也需要借普波的手削弱俄国人,这种背景下维也纳政府最多教训一下波兰人,不可能把他们真的打残。 The Poles need to pay many prices for this reason, the Berlin government does not care. Although regards as the 's in the bag Poland, but there is a reality, they have to face. 波兰人需要为此付出多少代价,柏林政府一点儿也不在乎。尽管把波兰视作囊中之物,但有一个现实,他们不得不面对。 To the Prussia kingdom, the physique of Poland was too big, if swallows down, the final result was choked mostly. 对普鲁士王国来说,波兰的块头实在太大了,要是一口吞下去,最终的结果多半是被噎死。 In the first Prussia war, the Pole will lose seriously, wants the Prussia writing skill. But does quite covertly, does not know for the outside world. 第一次普俄战争中,波兰人之所以会损失惨重,就要普鲁士的手笔。只不过做得比较隐蔽,不为外界所知。 In the agitation naive delinquent was very simple, provokes the public opinion enough, the newspaper was the most advantageous weapon. Overnight, the Prussia Austria three countries carved up the past event of Poland to be turned. 鼓动中二少年真的很简单,挑起舆论就够了,报纸就是最有利的武器。一夜之间,普俄奥三国瓜分波兰的旧事就被翻了出来。 Naturally, the Prussia kingdom hidden went, on the newspaper has turned into suddenly Austria both countries to carve up the Kingdom of Poland, the function that Austria benefits is enlarged artificially. 当然,普鲁士王国被隐去了,报纸上面已经变成了俄奥两国瓜分波兰王国,奥地利的作用被人为的放大了。 ...... …… St. Petersburg, since Austria Lillah opens the dumping prologue, after international grain price bloody collapse, the Alexander II whole person is not good. 圣彼得堡,自从奥地利拉开倾销序幕,国际粮食价格血崩之后,亚历山大二世整个人都不好了。 Struggled diligently so many years, solved the land question of Russian Empire with great difficulty, but also without the harvest fruits of victory, welcomed a blow to the head with enough time. 努力奋斗了这么多年,好不容易解决了俄罗斯帝国的土地问题,还没有来得及收获胜利果实,就迎来了当头一棒。 The retaliation that Austria benefits was really ruthless, if cannot pass this agricultural crisis, Russian Empire must be faced with imminent disaster immediately. 奥地利的报复实在是太狠了,如果不能度过这场农业危机,俄罗斯帝国马上就要大难临头。 Mainly the fiscal issue, Russia is not the industrialized country, the agricultural tax revenue or a government main income, occupied complete financial revenue more than 50%. 主要还是财政问题,俄罗斯可不是什么工业国,农业税收还是政府最主要的一笔收入,占据了全部财政收入的一半以上。 The grain price collapses, this means that the finance of Tsar government is cool. Loan that attains from a native of Britain hand, that is used to build a railroad and develop the industry, is not used to maintain everyday government expenses. 粮食价格崩溃,这就意味着沙皇政府的财政要凉。从英国人手中拿到的贷款,那是用来修铁路、发展工业的,可不是用来维护政府日常开销的。 This is establishes in the situation that the English honors an agreement, if John Bull does not acknowledge mistakes, that Tsar government really must go bankrupt. Although a few years ago, they went bankrupt one time. 这还是建立在英国人履约的情况下,如果约翰牛不认账了,那沙皇政府就真的要破产了。尽管几年前,他们才破产了一次。 Do not look at both countries to sign the contract, but loans does not arrive one time. The English is divides the raid to loan, now the Tsar government just attains 5 million pounds. 不要看两国签订了合同,但是贷款可不是一次性到位的。英国人是分批次放款,现在沙皇政府只不过拿到了五百万英镑。 Individually speaking, this is a great sum of money ; To Russian Empire, this sum of money is the issue of several hundred kilometers railroad. 对个人来说,这是一笔巨款;对俄罗斯帝国来说,这笔钱就是几百公里铁路的问题。 Do not feel the expensive/noble, complex terrain and bad climate, the railway rail must import from Britain, if the final cost is not high has ghost. 不要觉得贵,复杂的地形、恶劣的气候,铁轨还要从英国进口,要是最后的成本不高才有鬼。 John Bull's loan is not good to take, 0% Wushidu must be used to purchase the British commodity, constructs the railroad to be forced to request to purchase the railway rail from Britain. 约翰牛的贷款可不好拿,其中百分之五十都必须用来采购英国商品,修建铁路更是被强制要求从英国采购铁轨。 Foreign minister Chris Bassham put out a document, gave Alexander II. 外交大臣克里斯-巴沙姆拿出了一份文件,递给了亚历山大二世。 „Your majesty, Austria benefitted others main the grain exporter to the world sent out yesterday again «Reduced Grain Capacity Written proposal», they proposed that various countries reduced 8 grain capacities in 1873, to deal agricultural crisis.” “陛下,奥地利人昨天再次向世界上主要的粮食出口国发出了《削减粮食产能倡议书》,他们提出各国在1873年削减八的粮食产能,以应对农业危机。” 8 grain capacities, are not the eights in exit|to speak international trading market, but is various countries' food production eights, converting output that is the global grain yield falls tens of millions tons. 八的粮食产能,可不是出口国际交易市场上的八,而是各国粮食生产总量的八,折算成产量那就是全球粮食产量下跌数千万吨。 If can achieve this point, then the agricultural crisis passed most probably. Overcapacity that 21 Austria announced that that was through the theory digit that the formula calculated. 如果可以做到这一点的话,那么农业危机就度过去了大半。奥地利公布的产能过剩21,那是通过公式计算出来的理论数字。 Estimated the edible demand and wine-making demand and industrial amount used demand, to manufacture the demand of feed merely. 仅仅只是估算了食用需求量、酿酒需求量、工业用量需求量、制作成饲料的需求量。 In practical life, grain inevitable will be wasted. For example: Transportation loss on the way, because the weather causes the waste in grain mildewy deterioration and daily life...... 实际生活中,粮食不可避免的会被浪费掉。比如说:运输途中的损耗、因为天气导致粮食发霉变质、日常生活中的浪费…… If several grain exporters, reduced 8 capacities simultaneously, then can flow in grain in the international market, basically restored 1870 level. 如果几个粮食出口国,同时削减了八的产能,那么能够流入国际市场上的粮食,基本上就恢复到了1870年的水平。 Because population in growing, the grain that most 2-3 years, in the market comes out now, will be consumed, the grain price will also normalize. 因为人口是在不断增长的,最多2-3年时间,现在市面上多出来的粮食,就会被消耗掉,粮食价格也会正常化。 Superficially, the written proposal that Austria benefits does not have the issue. All grain export great nations conduct the production cut on the same scale, during maintaining the market price is stable, is equivalent admits Russian Empire to become one, Austria benefitted also give away very big market. 表面上来看,奥地利的倡议书没有问题。所有粮食出口大国同比例进行减产,维持市场价格稳定,相当于接纳俄罗斯帝国成为当中的一员,奥地利还让出了很大一块市场。 In fact, this to the Tsar government, actually unusual awfully. The production cut said easily, does difficultly. If must make Russian Empire the grain yield grow 8 next year, that very simple expansion cultivation area on line. 实际上,这对沙皇政府来说,却非常的要命。减产说起来容易,做起来难。如果要让俄罗斯帝国明年粮食产量增长八,那很简单扩大种植面积就行了。 Now the enthusiasm for planting grains of Russia people are high, the output is rising successively, so long as solved the traffic problem, replaces the Austria advantage to become the world's first grain export great nation, that is a little issue does not have. 现在俄国民众的种粮积极性高,产量正在节节攀升,只要解决了交通问题,取代奥地利成为世界第一粮食出口大国,那是一点儿问题都没有。 But must reduce production, this is not easy to do, can't the government forbid the people to plant crops? But Russia some tens of millions farmers, they increase the grain cultivation acreage, no one can block. 可是要减产,这就不好办了,政府总不能禁止民众种粮吧？俄罗斯可是有数千万农民,他们自己增加粮食种植面积,谁也拦不住。 Even plagiarizes the fallow law that Austria benefits, that does not have the egg to use, Russian some are the lands. As for the opening up wasteland law that Austria benefits, the Tsar government does not dare to follow suit, that is must have an accident. 就算是抄袭奥地利的休耕法,那也没有卵用,俄罗斯有的是土地。至于奥地利的开荒法,沙皇政府可不敢效仿,那是要出事的。 After Alexander II pondered a while, looked at the people. 亚历山大二世沉思了一会儿后,把目光投向了众人。 „How you see, Austria altruistic proposition feasibility?” “你们怎么看,奥地利人的提议有没有可行性？” A stature obese middle-aged man stood agitated, being filled with righteous indignation said: „ Your majesty, this is the conspiracy that Austria benefits. Within one year reduces 8 the grain capacity, does this possibly achieve? 一名身材肥胖的中年男子情绪激动站了起来,义愤填膺的说:“陛下,这是奥地利的阴谋。一年之内将粮食产能削减八,这怎么可能做到？ Even if the international grain price is now low, waits for farmer to adjust the planter custom, is still a long process. 就算是现在国际粮食价格低迷,等农民自己调节种植习惯,也是一个漫长的过程。 The government is impossible to stipulate directly, making the farmer plant anything. The agricultural overcapacity, is also similar to the industrial overcapacity, one will be post-crisis's, the market will make the choice to conduct superior win and inferior wash out. 政府不可能直接规定,让农民去种植什么。农业产能过剩,和工业产能过剩也差不多,一场危机过后,市场会做出选择进行优胜劣汰。 If we reduce the capacity forcefully, besides provoding chaos, basic on does not have any value. 如果我们强行削减产能,除了引发一场大乱外,根本就没有任何价值。 Austria benefits others this is demonstrating to us, they want with the low grain price, forcing us to compromise to them. ” 奥地利人这是在向我们示威,他们想要用低迷的粮食价格,逼迫我们向他们妥协。” Manilov is not silly, as agriculture minister the enthusiasm for planting grains of his very clear present Russia farmer high, at this time wanted them to cut the output, that was strives not to flatter. 马尼洛夫可不傻,作为农业大臣他非常清楚现在俄国农民的种粮积极性有多高,这个时候要他们削减产量,那是出力不讨好。 Russia and Austria money pouch are completely different, national condition infinite variety of two countries. The Vienna government after releasing law, contained the land area that planted the grain rose. 俄罗斯和奥地利是完全不一样的,两国的国情千差万别。维也纳政府在出台法律后,就遏制住了种植粮食的土地面积上涨。 So long as the big aristocrat of senior government officials takes the lead, replants the industrial crop on own land, will have many people to respond. Russia aristocrat that was different, replanting the industrial crop is seemingly easy, whom was the issue they sold to? 政府高层的大贵族只要带头,在自家的土地上改种经济作物,还是会有不少人响应的。俄国贵族那就不一样了,改种经济作物看似容易,问题是他们卖给谁？ This is the gap of agricultural country and industrialized country, Austria benefits the industry to be prepared, the transportation and communication are quite developed, information relative transparence. 这是农业国和工业国的差距,奥地利产业齐备,交通、通讯都比较发达,信息相对透明化。 These are in the social upper-level aristocrats, wants to understand that the market quotation is very simple, knows that will plant anything to have the sale. 这些处于社会上层的贵族们,想要了解市场行情还是非常简单,知道种什么会有销路。 Russian Empire was different, the local industry only started, the bad transportation isolated the communication, do not speak the telephone, even the telegram cannot popularize to each city. 俄罗斯帝国就不一样了,本土工业才刚刚起步,糟糕的交通又隔绝了通信,不要说电话了,就算是电报都没能够普及到每一个城市。 Even if some people want to replant the industrial crop, what doesn't know this/should? Even if planted, does not know that this/should transported the thing to where sells. 就算是有人想要改种经济作物,都不知道该种些什么？即便是种植出来了,也不知道该把东西运到哪里去卖。 Lacking effective marketing channel, everyone naturally can only conduct the conservative planter. Grain price how regardless of the time being, at least the grain sells, has the merchant to purchase. 缺乏有效的销售渠道,大家自然只能进行保守种植了。粮食价格怎么样姑且不论,至少粮食好卖,有商人来收购。 If plants the industrial crop, that must consider clearly. If peripheral has the corresponding factory, that does not have the issue, everyone can feel relieved the bold planter. 要是种植经济作物,那就必须要考虑清楚了。如果周边有相应的工厂,那没有问题,大家可以放心大胆的种植。 Without factory, then must become the scale, if the capacity is insufficient, possibly the transportation cost is even insufficient. 要是没有工厂,那么就必须要成规模,要是产能不足,可能连运输成本都不够。 Foreign minister Chris Bassham: „ Marquis Manilov, please first calm down. Do not forget Austria to benefit is the biggest agricultural product exporter, gets down their losses to be biggest. 外交大臣克里斯-巴沙姆:“马尼洛夫侯爵,请先冷静下来。不要忘了奥地利才是最大的农产品出口国,这么下去他们的损失最大。 After unprocessed food grains price bloody collapse, the processed grain price is also dropping unceasingly. If continues, these processing industries are also finally difficult to escape a tribulation. 原粮价格血崩后,成品粮价格也在不断下降。如果持续下去,最终这些加工企业也难逃一劫。 In order to protect the domestic enterprise, the Vienna government had cut tax to these enterprises, but Austria benefits others in the share in the international market grabbing, is in the unceasing shrinkage. 为了保护国内的企业,维也纳政府已经给这些企业减税了,不过奥地利人在国际市场上占据的份额,还是在不断缩水中。 After attaining the inexpensive raw material, by various countries' grain processing enterprise that the Austria advantage suppresses, now also starts vigorously to develop. 拿到了廉价的原材料后,被奥地利打压的各国粮食加工企业,现在也开始蓬勃发展。 If the situation of supply in excess of demand does not change, the unprocessed food grains price continues to get down low, the grain processing enterprises in various European countries can develop quickly. 如果供过于求的情况不发生改变,原粮价格持续低迷下去,欧洲各国的粮食加工企业很快就可以发展起来。 From the perspective of benefit, written proposal of Austria altruistic issue, more to preserve domestic fabrication industry. 从利益的角度上来说,奥地利人发布的倡议书,更多还是为了保住国内的加工制造业。 No matter how said, now Austria benefitted is still we most important grain exporter, even if opened the British market, is unable to change this fact. 不管怎么说,现在奥地利仍然是我们最重要的粮食出口国,即便是重新开辟了英国市场,也无法改变这个事实。 If the Austria advantage refuses to accept the agricultural product of our country, that is the start of disaster, various European countries also no one has such large-scale agricultural products processing industry chain. ” 如果奥地利拒绝接受我国的农产品,那才是灾难的开始,欧洲各国还没有谁有这么大规模的农产品加工产业链。” Alexander II put out a hand to pat the forehead, the food harvest also made one have a headache. In the international grain market the supply in excess of demand, the grain becomes the foregone conclusion this year unsalable. 亚历山大二世伸手拍了拍额头,粮食丰收了也令人头疼。国际粮食市场上供大于求,今年粮食滞销成为了定局。 Once lost Austria to benefit this biggest customer, the grain that then domestic piled up really did not have the means. The grain that the preliminary estimate, Russian Empire comes out this year, has more than ten million tons. 一旦丧失了奥地利这个最大的买主,那么国内堆积如山的粮食就真的没办法了。初步估计,今年俄罗斯帝国多出来的粮食,就有上千万吨。 Outside contract that except that British that can't cash in definite, at present they may have no big order. In the situation of same price, but no one wants their grain. 除了不列颠那笔不确定能不能够兑现的合同外,目前他们可没有任何大额订单。在同等价位的情况下,可没有人要他们的粮食。 Everyone has the stable supplier, how to change players with no reason at all casually, exchanges the repugnant person. 大家都有稳定的供货商,无缘无故怎么会随便换人,还是换上自己讨厌的人。 Without the means that the Russia person was been black miserable in Europe in recent years. Now 70% Europeans, do not acknowledge that Russia is the European country, the Russian naturally is not a European. 没办法,俄国人最近几年在欧洲被黑惨了。现在百分之七十的欧洲人,都不承认俄罗斯是欧洲国家,俄罗斯人自然也不算欧洲人。 Remaining acknowledged them is the European that 30%, included 74 million Russian. This age continental Europe, total population less than 300 million, therefore this proportion quite touching. 剩下承认他们是欧洲人的那百分之三十,其中还包括七千四百万俄罗斯人。这个年代欧洲大陆,总人口都不足三亿,所以这个比例是相当的感人。 So many grain, at least half of cannot transport luckily, otherwise competition in the international grain market will be more brutal. 幸好这么多粮食,至少有一半是运不出去的,要不然国际粮食市场上的竞争还会更加残酷。 This defeats the purpose with the Alexander II initial plan completely, he also wanted with the grain, when the ammunition, skids the European hegemony. Finally has not started with enough time, pounded in oneself hand. 这和亚历山大二世最初的计划完全是南辕北辙,原本他还想要用粮食当弹药,撬动欧陆霸权的。结果还没有来得及开始,就砸在了自己手中。 The plan does not have the issue, is only the change is somewhat sudden. The continental Europe main grain exporter is Austria benefits, Russia, Poland and Prussia, remaining is not worth mentioning. 计划没有问题,只是变化有些突然。欧洲大陆主要的粮食出口国是奥地利、俄罗斯、波兰、普鲁士,剩下的都不值得一提。 Overseas competitor, temporarily also unpromising. Because the American countries also transport 1 million tons agricultural product to continental Europe every year, the market share of occupies is not high. 海外的竞争对手,暂时还不成气候。因为美洲各国每年也就向欧洲大陆输送一百万吨农产品,所占的市场份额不高。 This is the benefit decision, Confederate States of America still on planting the path of cotton more walks is farther, now their cotton hegemon position as before is impregnable. 这是利益决定的,美利坚联盟国还在种棉花的道路上越走越远,现在他们棉花霸主的地位依旧是牢不可破。 The same price puts together the quality, the same quality puts together the price, this year has no cotton of area to be able with them to compete. 同等的价格拼质量,同等的质量拼价格,这年头没有任何地区的棉花能够和他们竞争。 The Egyptian cotton crop plan of English died long time ago, the French occupies after Egypt, once wanted to develop the cotton industry, is only under the cotton impact of US, the French gave up finally. 英国人的埃及棉花种植计划早早就夭折了,法国人占领埃及过后,一度想要发展棉花产业,只是在美国的棉花冲击下,法国人最后还是放弃了。 The Indian cotton that the English fiddle with, in very regrettable cost was exploded by the American. In front of the benefit has not resulted in discussed, the Indian cotton is unable to become the mainstream. 英国人捣鼓的印度棉花,很遗憾成本上被美国人完爆。利益面前没得商量,印度棉花无法成为主流。 West African cotton crop Base that Austria benefits, very many. These years output have almost not grown, the domestic capitalists similarly are the faithful fans of US cotton. 奥地利的西非棉花种植基地,也好不了多少。这些年的产量几乎没怎么增长,国内的资本家同样是美国棉花的忠实粉丝。 Without the means that this is the advantageous natural condition creates. If the enterprise does not use the cotton of alliance country's, the product that makes lacks the market competitiveness. 没有办法,这是得天独厚的自然条件造成的。企业要是不用联盟国的棉花,生产出来的产品缺乏市场竞争力。 The government is not multipurpose, the not possible what industry to run to prop up, the result of scattered energy, often accomplishes nothing finally. Austria benefits in the cotton spinning industry market does not have the advantage, the Vienna government naturally cannot invest in this above. 政府不是万能的,不可能什么产业都跑去扶植,分散精力的结果,最后往往都是一事无成。奥地利在棉纺业市场上没有优势,维也纳政府自然不会在这上面投入。 Was short of this powerful opponent, everyone's day will be sadder. 要不是少了这一个强力对手,大家的日子还会更加难过。 At present the grain export great nation of Americas, is mainly Brazil and Argentina, but these two national people are few, the grain cultivation acreage is limited, the capacity is not very big. 目前美洲的粮食出口大国,主要是巴西和阿根廷,不过这两个国家人少,粮食种植面积有限,产能并不是很大。 Set out to pace back and forth several steps, Alexander II got a sudden inspiration, made the decision. 起身徘徊了几步,亚历山大二世灵机一动,做出了决定。 „ Replies Austria altruistic, telling their Russian Empire is also the responsible great nation, we agree to reduce the grain capacity. The specific measures imitated Austria to be good, but needs to change. “回复奥地利人,告诉他们俄罗斯帝国也是负责任的大国,我们同意削减粮食产能。具体措施就效仿奥地利好了,只不过需要改一改。 The land fallow law does not have the issue, moved on the line. The opening up wasteland law changes to from now on: The open land that opens up newly, in five years can not plant the grain. ” 土地休耕法没有问题,搬过来就行了。开荒法改为从现在开始:新开垦出来的荒地,五年内不得种植粮食。” Alexander II has experienced the overcapacity consequence, since the international grain exit|to speak has had no benefits to be gained, he does not want to continue to increase the grain capacity. 亚历山大二世已经见识到了产能过剩的后果,既然国际粮食出口已经无利可图,他也不想继续增加粮食产能了。 Such being the case, a government face was simply good to the Vienna. Russian Empire is not increasing the grain capacity temporarily, but reduces capacity that is considers as finished, such challenging matter, is not the Tsar government can achieve. 既然如此,干脆给维也纳政府一个面子好了。俄罗斯帝国暂时不在增加粮食产能,但减少产能那还是算了吧,这么富有挑战性的事,不是沙皇政府能够做到的。