HRE :: Volume #5

#499: For does not work as the non- sovereign to try hard


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The South African war ended, as the side of victor, the Vienna government actually happy. The reality once again proved the present war, depends upon the war indemnity unable to make up for the loss. 南非战争结束了,作为胜利者的一方,维也纳政府却高兴不起来。现实再一次证明了现在化战争,依靠战争赔款已经无法弥补损失。 Through the truce treaty, the Vienna government attained 3 million lands to buy off the gold/metal, in addition the ransom money of captive, the sum total was 6,126,800 pounds, equivalent to aegis 12,253,600. 通过停战条约,维也纳政府拿到了300万土地赎买金,加上俘虏的赎金,合计是612.68万英镑,折合神盾1225.36万。 Seeming like this is a great sum of money, but compared with the war disbursement, is futile attempt, has not received including 1/4 costs. 看起来这是一笔巨款,但是和战争支出相比,就是杯水车薪,连四分之一的成本都没有收回来。 This is establishes in situation that in the French strives in secret, must otherwise, the paid price be bigger. 这还是建立在法国人暗中出力的情况下,要不然的话,付出的代价还会更大。 Acquired spoils of war, is stretch of place of barbarian desolate. Because of the reason of war, the land obtained from British South Africa, the indigenous tribe cannot discover several continually, not to mention immigrated. 获得的战利品,就是一片蛮荒之地。因为战争的缘故,从英属南非获得的土地,连土著部落都找不出到几个,更不用说移民了。 If did not make a connection with the South African estuary strategically, the influence compression of English in place of corner, safeguarded the security of Transvaal province and Orange Free State, that is the from head to tail loss. 如果不是战略上打通了南非出海口,将英国人的势力压缩在了一隅之地,保障了德兰士瓦和奥兰治自由邦的安全,那就是彻头彻尾的亏损。 The war won, no matter loses how, rewarding according to merit must have. 战争获胜了,不管损失怎么样,论功行赏是少不了的。 However after all withstand/top the waistcoat of Boolean Republic to hit, later the meritorious military service settles accounts must circle a circle, waited for Austria to annex these areas to settle accounts again. 不过毕竟是顶着布尔共和国的马甲打的,后期战功结算就要绕个圈子,等奥地利兼并了这些地区再进行结算。 Originally Boolean Republic powerful official, except for smart person who a few makes the correct choice, remaining in these round shuffles vanishes however the people. 原本布尔共和国内部的权贵,除了少数做出正确选择的聪明人,剩下的都在这一轮洗牌中泯然众人矣。 This is the disparity in mass, the original Boolean Republic, has several hundred workers is the big capitalist second to none, to Austrian this is the scale of rural enterprise. 这是体量上的差距,原来的布尔共和国,拥有几百工人的都是首屈一指的大资本家,到了奥地利这就是乡镇企业的规模。 With the invasion of English, they discussed that the capital of condition also vanishes. This pit is they digs, left uncultivated the armament, the English invasion must request to help Austria. 随着英国人的入侵,他们谈条件的资本也随之消失。这个坑是他们自己挖的,荒废了军备,英国人入侵必须要求助奥地利。 Thinks Austria must rely on their these lowering the head snakes, however they guessed the opening, without guessing right ending. 原本以为奥地利必须要依赖他们这些低头蛇,然而他们猜中了开头,没有猜对结尾。 Strength they of English have not imagined are so strong, this makes Austria reduce to their dependence greatly. The smart people adjust the mentality promptly, immediately turned, naturally cannot have anything to lose. 英国人的实力没有他们想象中那么强,这就让奥地利对他们的依赖性大减。聪明人及时调整心态,立即投靠了过去,自然不会有什么损失。 Responded slowly one step on the tragedy, regardless of the economical loss for the time being, the political right to speak were also weakened. Originally relations in Boolean Republic government, now attacked inconsistency. 反应慢了一步的就悲剧了,经济上的损失姑且不论,政治上的话语权也被削弱了。原本在布尔共和国政府中的关系,现在已经被冲击的七零八落。 The reality is such brutal, does not conduct the right to shuffle, how to promote to be loyal to the person high-rank of Austria? 现实就是这么残酷,不进行权利洗牌,如何提拔忠于奥地利的人上位呢? Aristocrat who these bringing dry rations go to war, has the interest demand, obviously must slice in the right reorganization. 这些自带干粮过来打仗的贵族,也不是没有利益诉求,显然也要在权利重组中分一杯羹。 Even the foundation here, will not keep the development, arranging family juniors to come the development. Tree big branch, this is the established aristocrats say/way of making one's home. 就算是根基不在这里,不会留下来发展,安排一个家族子弟过来发展还是可以的。树大分支,这是老牌贵族们的存身之道。 These new interest groups, are the future Austria rule the foundation of South Africa. The original interest group, that can only say was sorry, who lets their miscalculation? 这些新的利益集团,就是未来奥地利统治南非的根基。原来的利益集团,那就只能说抱歉了,谁让他们判断失误呢? Cape Town treaty signing, hinders the biggest barrier that UK , France and Austria Union establishes not to exist. On July 1 , 1871, UK , France mysterious representative in Palace of Versailles signing forming an alliance treaty, the great nation hegemony time arrived. 开普敦条约签订,阻碍英法奥三国同盟建立的最大障碍不复存在。1871年7月1日,英法奥代表在凡尔赛宫签订结盟条约,大国霸权时代降临。 For various reasons, the time of this forming an alliance treaty is only five years merely. Can look, three countries' confidence to this alliance is insufficient, can only be an attempt. 因为各种原因,这份结盟条约的时间仅仅只有五年。看得出来,三国对这个联盟的信心都不足,只能算是一种尝试。 Five years later must continue to renew a contract, must look in the five years , can everyone get more interests. Between countries is such realistic, can maintain this alliance only has the benefit. 五年后要不要继续续约,就要看这五年内,大家能不能获得更多的利益了。国与国之间就是这么现实,能够维护这个联盟的只有利益。 Even so, the European world is in an uproar, this contradiction numerous alliances, scared many people. 即便是如此,欧洲世界还是一片哗然,这个矛盾重重的联盟,还是吓坏了不少人。 To depended upon the big powers contradictory survival the small country, the day becomes more and more does not feel better, breaks up this alliance, becomes the innumerable European country same target. 对原本依靠列强矛盾生存的小国来说,日子变得越来越不好过,拆散这个联盟,成为了无数欧洲国家共同的目标。 The Vienna palace, Franz is holding the cabinet meeting, discussed the African railway network plan. 维也纳宫,弗朗茨正在召开内阁会议,商议非洲铁路网计划。 Prime Minister Felix proposed: „ Your majesty, considering the operation cost issue, the African railway network plan should delay. At present so long as we completed the things and southwest two strategic railroads enough. 费利克斯首相提议道:“陛下,考虑到运营成本问题,非洲铁路网计划应该延缓。目前我们只要完成东西、西南两条战略铁路就够了。 Carries on the railway network construction blindly, this will bring the serious burden to the finance. Takes our local railway network for instance, although the government gave many preferential policies, still many railway companies therefore go bankrupt. 盲目进行铁路网建设,这会给财政带来沉重的负担。以我们本土铁路网为例,尽管政府给予了许多优惠政策,依然有很多铁路公司因此破产。 The capital market was affected by this, is not craving to the railroad investment. Until now, the railway company that the home can gain are not many. 资本市场受此影响,对铁路投资已经不在热衷。时至今日,国内能够赢利的铁路公司都不多。 If launches the African railway network plan, depending upon financing from the capital market is almost impossible, this burden wants the entire tribe to the government on. 要是启动非洲铁路网计划,依靠从资本市场上融资几乎是不可能的,这个负担就要全部落到政府头上。 This huge railroad project, has surpassed our finance to withstand the limit, in 100 years may not achieve the breakeven. ” 这份庞大的铁路计划,已经超过了我们的财政承受极限,一百年内都不一定能够做到盈亏平衡。” Matter that the railway company goes bankrupt, this is Franz's pot. To soon popularize the railway network in Austria, he utilized the Internet development method of later generation. 铁路公司破产的事情,这是弗朗茨的锅。为了早日在奥地利普及铁路网,他运用了后世的互联网发展手段。 Promotes a concept, draws a pie, the attraction capital enters the stadium. The railway network exists alone, natural is the monopolist operation, so long as passed the earlier investment stage, behind gains is not really difficult. 推出一个概念,画一个大饼,吸引资本入场。铁路网都是单独存在,天然就是垄断经营,只要度过了前期投入阶段,后面赢利真的不难。 This pie wants the conscience compared with the later generation virtual concept many, must achieve this goal is not not impossible. Earlier invests is quite big, later the profit time is quite long. 这个大饼比后世虚拟的概念要良心的多,要实现这个目标并不是不可能。只是前期投入比较大,后期赢利时间比较长。 This does not depend upon the capital the strength, Austria completed the railway network in the shortest time. As for the halfway in the railway company of dropping down, has a common feature- funding chain break. 这不依靠资本的力量,奥地利在最短的时间内建成了铁路网。至于半路上就倒下的铁路公司,都有一个共同的特点-资金链断裂。 This is poor management, does not take over a business for the government absolutely, but Franz intentionally for it. 这都是自身经营不善,绝对不是为了政府接盘,弗朗茨故意而为之的。 The investment has the risk, entering the market is discrete. In the capitalist market economy, without the consideration economic crisis, that is own responsibility. 投资有风险,入市需谨慎。在资本主义市场经济中,没有考虑经济危机,那都是自身的责任。 This explanation do not say, Franz has not stood in the onstage, promoting the railroad investment is the experts, what operates the bankruptcy the railway company is the capitalist, has no relations with the emperor. 这个解释不要说出来,弗朗茨从来都没有站到前台上,鼓吹铁路投资都是专家,把铁路公司经营破产的是资本家,和皇帝没有任何关系。 The railway company that lives can show, so long as the head non- convulsion, chooses the high-quality rail route discretely, even tied up the branch, can still gain. 活下来的铁路公司可以证明,只要脑袋不抽风,谨慎选择优质铁路线路,就算是捆绑了支线,也是可以赢利的。 Naturally, the prerequisite is you wants enough money, can support the long investment period, the late return is relatively considerable. 当然,前提条件是你要足够的钱,能够撑过漫长的投入期,后期的回报率还是相对可观的。 Compared with the profit and stock price, that gadget is the bubble, without the profit of that company can catch up with the stock price the increase. 不要拿利润和股价比,那玩意儿都是泡沫,没有那一家公司的利润能够追上股价的涨幅。 The peak, the railway company total market value of Austria once broke through the myths of 20 billion aegises. Railway network in Austria on value 20 billion aegises? 巅峰时期,奥地利的铁路公司总市值一度突破两百亿神盾的神话。奥地利的铁路网就值两百亿神盾么? Without a doubt, this is impossible. The 20 billion aegises of this age, are astronomical figures, the gold that the entire world has developed puts together insufficiently. 毫无疑问,这是不可能的。这个年代的两百亿神盾,可是一笔天文数字,全世界已经开发出来的黄金加在一起都不够。 If some so much money, do not say the local railway network, the area that even if lives to some entire world people lays down on the railway network, almost enough. 要是有这么多钱,不要说本土铁路网,就算是给全世界有人居住的地区铺设上铁路网,都差不多够了。 Must know that the Austrian railway network puts together the synthesis computation, the profit for the year less than 100 million aegises, accurate 5 million aegis net profits. 要知道奥地利铁路网加在一起综合计算,年利润都不足一亿神盾,确切的来说五百万神盾纯利润都不到。 Naturally, this also has big business space, now has not stabilized the railway company that continues to construct, the profit for the year is basically maintaining over 30% speed-up. 当然,这还有很大的增长空间,现在已经稳定没有继续建设的铁路公司,年利润基本上都保持着百分之三十以上的增速。 This is not their profit growth is quick, is the base number is too completely low, growing the nature is rapid. The transported goods volume increases a percentage point, the profit of railway company may grow 45 points. 这不是他们利润增长速度快,完全是基数太低,增长起来自然迅速。货运量增加一个百分点,铁路公司的利润就有可能增长四五个点。 It is not the issue of transport expense height, is the business is completely insufficient, causing many track lines to lose money. Increased the business volume, making many branches turn losses into profit, in situation that in the gross profit is insufficient, seem very considerable. 不是运费高低的问题,完全是业务不足,导致很多铁路线亏本。增加了业务量,让很多支线扭亏为盈,在总利润不足的情况下,看上去就很可观了。 Takes Drach Railway Company for instance, 1869 profit was 12,000 aegises, 1870 gross profit was 1.386 million aegises, superficially grew 100 times, the actual last year business volume also grew 5 points. 以德拉科铁路公司为例,1869年的利润是1.2万神盾,1870年的总利润是138.6万神盾,表面上看去增长了一百多倍,实际上年业务量也就增长了五个点。 This type seems like that eruption -type growth, in fact is still insignificant. Must know that the net assets of Drach Railway Company have 130 million aegises, the market value reaches as high as 530 million aegises, the peak market value also once achieved 1.68 billion aegises. 这种看似爆发式的增长,实际上依然是微不足道。要知道德拉科铁路公司的净资产都有1.3亿神盾,市值高达5.3亿神盾,巅峰时期市值还一度达到了16.8亿神盾。 Otherwise the growth is fast, this city rate of return has no way to look. Counted on that the profit recoups the cost of investment , without more than ten 20 end of the year is not impossible. 要不然增长速度快,这个市赢利率根本就没法看。指望利润收回投资成本,没有十几二十年根本就不可能。 The similar method can only play one time, the capitalists are not silly. With African railway network flickering person, wants some people to believe that is good? 同样的手段只能玩儿一次,资本家们又不傻。拿非洲铁路网忽悠人,也要有人相信才行啊? Counted on that the folk young private investor, very regrettable these poor vegetables/dishes have not grown, wants to shear shears less than many. Only if relaxes the financial control law, permits small capital entering the market. 指望民间小散户,很遗憾这些菲菜还没成长起来,想割都割不到多少。除非是放宽金融管理法,允许小额资本入市。 Obviously this is impossible, if does that if had a disaster, the range of affecting was broad. 显然这是不可能的,要是这么做,万一发生了股灾,波及到的范围就广了。 This age life is not easy, the average person to survive to try hard every day, these people have no risk tolerance. If really went by the pit, this doesn't deliver the cannon fodder to the revolutionary party? 这个年代生活不易,普通人每天都是为了生存而努力,这些人没有任何抗风险能力。真要是被坑进去了,这不是给革命党送炮灰么? Digs the corner, matter that cannot do. As for the African railway network construction, being late was late is good. 挖自家墙角的,事情那是万万不能够做的。至于非洲铁路网建设,晚点儿就晚点儿好了。 The colony develops is so good to do, can provide the industrial material and market enough. Even wants the great development, after that must wait for the localization, said. 殖民地发展那么好干嘛,能够提供工业原材料和市场就够了。就算是要大发展,那也要等本土化之后再说。 Franz nods saying: „ African railway network construction, was too truly expensive. On present these two railroads, must plan. 弗朗茨点了点头说:“非洲铁路网建设,确实太费钱了。就现在这两条铁路,都必须要重新规划。 We had some railroads in Africa, these cannot waste. Xinan Railway can consider directly to conduct docking in the Congo area, the thing railroad can also in the Xinan Railway midway docking. 我们在非洲原本就有一些铁路,这些也不能浪费掉。西南铁路可以考虑直接在刚果地区进行对接,东西铁路也可以在西南铁路中途对接。 Such a comes to achieve the strategic goal similarly, perhaps from the long-term development, such plan distance is somewhat far, but in a short time can actually reduce to lowly the investment. ” 这么一来同样可以达到战略目的,或许从长远发展来说,这么规划距离有些远,可是短期内却可以把投资压缩到最低。” This is not Franz is shortsighted, just the opposite makes or has the profound meaning. Through this railroad, the resources of African inland can transport/fortune, ships back the country from the recent estuary shipment. 这不是弗朗茨短视,恰恰相反这么做还是有深意的。通过这条铁路,非洲内陆的资源可以运出来,从最近的出海口装船运回国。 The strategical goal has been achieved, is not the route is shortest as for the railroad, increased the integration cost of African each region resources, this kept in balance the one method of colony. 战略上的目的已经实现,至于铁路不是路线最短的,增加了非洲各地资源的整合成本,这本来就是制衡殖民地的一种手段。 As all can see the English still cultivated/repaired one pile at sixes and sevens railroads in India, had not stroked to the 21 st century Indians smooth, keeps in balance the one method of colony. 君不见英国人还在印度修了一堆乱七八糟的铁路,到了21世纪印度人都没有捋顺,就是制衡殖民地的一种手段。 Franz's approach had restrained very much, had not at least unified the orbital standard. It is not right, is not the completely uniform standard, certain transports/fortunes the ore specially the railroad, but may also be the narrow-gauge railway. 弗朗茨的做法已经很克制了,至少没有统一了轨道标准。不对,也不是完全统一标准,某些专门运矿的铁路,还有可能是窄轨铁路。 Transports loads a ship to the harbor, does not need with the railroad main road trail connection. At least the coastal area not far mine, will build this type of railroad. 运到港口就装船,不需要和铁路主干道接轨。至少沿海地区不远的矿山,都会修筑这种铁路。 Otherwise using local resources superiority, without preparing for more than ten 20 years later, mysterious was Africa also to present the perfect industrial system, if when the time comes did not have to complete the localization with enough time, that trouble was big. 要不然利用当地的资源优势,没准备十几二十年后,奥属非洲也出现了完善的工业体系,到时候要是没有来得及完成本土化,那就麻烦大了。 The native place cannot suppress the colony, Franz does not want to move the capital to the African continent in the lifetime, runs to work as the non- sovereign. That feared that after is shifts the strategic center of gravity, can unify the African continent, founds the world's largest empire is not good. 本土压不住殖民地,弗朗茨可不想在有生之年迁都非洲大陆,跑去当非皇。那怕是转移战略重心后,能够统一非洲大陆,建立世界上最大的帝国也不行。
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