After the Bosnia-Herzegovina province must establish the news of heavy industry strong province travels, immediately in the capital circle triggered the stir. 波黑行省要建立重工业强省的消息传开后,立即在资本圈子里引发了轰动。 The laymen watch the fun, the expert looks at the way. 外行看热闹,内行看门道。 The heavy industry is always the big investment, and is the long-term investment. Invests several years and more than ten years unable to receive the cost, is the normal operations. 重工业从来都是大投资,并且是长期性投资。一笔投资几年、十几年收不回来成本,都是正常操作。 Similarly once this industry does in a big way, the acquired profit is also much higher. Was this threshold eliminated most competitors, compared other industry, the competitor in heavy industry enterprise must be short a lot. 同样这个行业一旦做大,获得的利润也要高得多。仅仅是这个门槛就淘汰了大多数竞争者,相比别的行业,重工业企业的竞争对手要少得多。 At present Austria benefits the economy just to break out of the crisis, is to develop high-speed, to the demand of steel and copper increases, be at falling short of demand condition. 目前奥地利经济刚刚摆脱危机,正处于高速发展起,对钢铁和铜的需求量大增,处于供不应求状态。 Theoretically, so long as produced, these two products do not worry to sell. However this is only the modern age, must join this industry, is not 1-2 days has the achievement. 理论上,只要生产了出来,这两项产品根本就不愁卖。然而这只是现代,要加入这个行业,可不是1-2就有成果的。 According to the past experience, from seeking for the appropriate workshop started, was published to the product, at least took 2-3 years. 按照以往的经验,从寻找合适的厂房开始,到产品问世,至少需要2-3年时间。 In fact the time needed is longer, beforehand the internal arrangement did not say, this big investment needs the organization professionals prospect, but must conduct the cost overall assessment, must consider the transportation, the market analysis must have. 实际上所需要的时间更长,事先内部筹备不说,这种大投资必须要组织专业人士探矿,还要进行成本综合评估,也要考虑交通运输,市场分析也是少不了的。 This age so many professional institutions have not done for somebody, wants the investor organization, to judge completely. These are only insufficient, even invests to the bank loan, the cost of earlier investing are least is still several hundred thousand aegises. 这个年代没有那么多专业机构代劳,全部都要投资者自己组织、判断。光这些还不够,就算是向银行贷款投资,前期投入的成本最少也是几十万神盾。 It can be said that from the beginning is eliminated most people. Without money do not come, this industry is the special performance of capital big alligators, the small workshop does not have the existing space now. 可以说,从一开始就将大部分人淘汰出局。没钱的不要来,这个行业是资本大鳄们的专场,小作坊现在已经没有了生存空间。 Spatial glove white wolf that is not possible, the bank is private, verifies one by one strictly, without the collateral, no one must want to lend out the huge fund. 空手套白狼那是不可能的,银行都是私营的,一家比一家审核严格,没有抵押品,谁都不要想贷出巨额资金来。 But this age heavy industry investment, has risen to several million aegises, even if flowered more than ten million aegises possibly have. 而这个年代重工业投资,早就攀升到数百万神盾,就算是花上千万神盾都不是没有可能。 Most valuable is not the mechanical device, but produces the raw material the mine. Austria benefits does not lack the inexpensive mine, since inexpensive also means that the mining difficulty dramatically increases, or has the lean ore of certain exploitation value. 最值钱的不是机械设备,而是出产原材料的矿山。奥地利不缺廉价矿山,然而既然廉价了也意味着开采难度大幅度增加,或者说是有一定开采价值的贫矿。 The experienced practitioners know, this small advantage cannot pick. If cannot the control production cost, once comes across the economic crisis to be cool. 有经验的从业者都知道,这个便宜捡不得。如果不能控制生产成本,一旦遇到经济危机就要凉凉。 Operates as for the mine and refinery separatedly, that does not exist, now most popular is the collectivization and industrial chain formation, generally produces from the upstream raw material to the products downstream sale start-to-finish service. 至于矿山和冶炼厂分开经营,那是不存在的,现在最流行的都是集团化、产业链化,一般都是从上游原材料生产到下游产品销售一条龙服务。 The industrial division, that is establishes in the local raw material exhausts, must from the situation of purchase. This will dramatically increase the cost, the capitalists do not like. 产业分割,那是建立在当地原材料耗尽,必须从外界购买的情况下。这会大幅度增加成本,资本家们不喜欢。 At present the biggest problem of French industry, is from the import coal, increased the industrial cost, this is Napoleon III is also staring at the reason of Rhineland area. 目前法国工业的最大问题,就是要从外界进口煤,增加了产业成本,这也是拿破仑三世盯着莱茵兰地区的原因。 Vienna Starbucks Club, looked this name knows this is the Franz wicked interest, every he remembers that the well-known enterprise, was done mostly ahead of time. 维也纳星巴克俱乐部,一看这名字就知道这是弗朗茨的恶趣味,凡是他记忆中的知名企业,大都被提前搞了出来。 Naturally likely changed, was too long, the memory that the time passed by have the mistake. The fuzzy memory, the name same enterprise, the business scope is sometimes entirely different. 当然很多可能发生了变化,时间过去的太久了,记忆也是会发生错误。有时候模模糊糊的记忆,名字相同的企业,业务范围却大不相同。 Michelin can turn into the ice cream brand, Biguiyuan can become some park, was fumbled and broken up the show the enterprise name are many, if will have crossing over to present absolutely the ignorant circle again. 米其林可以变成冰淇淋品牌,碧桂园可以成为某个公园,被玩坏了的企业名字很多,要是再有穿越者出现绝对会懵圈。 These changes were doomed are no one knew, in theater box several middle-aged faces in played the bowling, while chatted. 这些变化注定是没人知道了,包厢内几名中年面子正在一边玩儿保龄球,一边闲聊。 A middle-aged man throws to act the ball, asked with a smile: „Towle, do you really want to go to the Bosnia-Herzegovina province investment heavy industry?” 一名中年男子扔出手中的球,笑着问道:“托尔,你真要去波黑行省投资重工业？” Towle shows a faint smile, said: „Entire, Wells's your technology was also progressive.” 托尔微微一笑,说道:“全中,威尔斯你的技术又进步了。” Walks up, the ball in oneself hand will throw, sighs, then added: 走上前去,将自己手中的球扔了出去,叹了一口气,然后补充道: „ Right, I have the plan in this aspect. The domestic most industries are at present saturated, the emergent industry seems like very rich way, but we play do not transfer. “没错,我是有这方面的计划。目前国内的大部分行业都饱和了,新兴产业看起来很有钱途,可是我们玩儿不转。 Austria benefits the strength of new energy power company is too big, even if we join now, still can only follow they to live hand to mouth to eat. 奥地利新能源电力公司的优势太大,就算是我们现在加入进去,也只能跟着他们混口饭吃。 Has made the financial industry is not far-fetched, the investment is overly centralized, the risk tolerance was too low. Although the heavy industry the initial investment is big, is the development potential is also big. 一直做金融业也不靠谱,投资太过集中,抗风险能力太低了。重工业虽然前期投资大,可是发展潜力也大。 Compares the emergent industry, these technologies are mature. You know that in my hand also the half-dead iron and steel plants, enter this industry absolutely not to have the foundation. ” 相比新兴产业,这些技术已经成熟了。你们知道的,我手中还有一家半死不活的钢铁厂,进入这个行业也不是完全没有根基。” Several people on the scene are the shareholders in Austria Libyan Savings Bank, is the secret bosses of many securities companies, even also completed excessive on status, won the noble title. 在场的几人都是奥地利储蓄银行的股东,同时也是多家证券公司的幕后老板,甚至还完成了身份上的过度,获得了贵族头衔。 However these great people have the sense of crisis, with the standardization of financial order, operates the risk of stock market is also getting higher and higher. 然而这些大人物们也有危机感,随着金融秩序的规范化,操纵股市的风险也越来越高。 As one of the emerging aristocrat, they have self-respect. No one hopes that the fee/spent completely thousand Xing ten thousand entered the upper circles of society painstakingly, immediately does brings ruin and shame upon oneself. 作为新兴贵族的一员,他们也是爱惜羽毛的。没有人希望费尽了千幸万苦才跨入了上流社会,马上又搞得身败名裂。 Must know that their lifelong system aristocrats, other name is: The would-be aristocrat, or is the inspection period aristocrat. 要知道他们这种终身制贵族,还有另外称呼叫做:准贵族,或者是考察期贵族。 Usually this stage, the established aristocrat looks at them with the magnifying glass. Once commits a crime, very easily by knocking down dust. 通常这个阶段,老牌贵族会用放大镜看着他们。一旦犯了事,很容易被打落尘埃的。 The noble title that Austria benefits is not cheap, must spend money to pound the noble title, the luck good words tens of thousands aegises, the luck was not perhaps good to pound several million aegises to be possible enough to fetch a water to float. 奥地利的贵族头衔可不便宜,要用钱砸出贵族头衔,运气好的话或许几万神盾就够了,运气不好砸进去几百万神盾都有可能打个水漂。 The military exploit seals the nobility system, to their krypton gold/metal players, was full of the discrimination. The group colonizes the floor brush military exploit, the following person will also share benefit, the entire tribe will not arrive at secretly on the boss. 军功封爵体系,对他们这种氪金玩家,充满了歧视。组团去殖民地刷军功,下面的人也会分润,可不会全部落到幕后老板头上。 If brushes the noble title internally, that difficulty was bigger. Only then made the major contributions to the society, and obtained the approval of Franz, may obtain the title. 要是在国内刷贵族头衔,那个难度就更大了。只有为社会做出了重大贡献,并且获得了弗朗茨的认可,才有可能获得爵位。 Franz succeeds to the throne so many years, completed this magnificent feat on two capitalists, because of the technical invention, the scientist who attains the noble title has more than 20 on the contrary. 弗朗茨继位这么多年,也就两个资本家完成了这一壮举,反倒是因为科技发明,拿到贵族头衔的科学家有二十多个。 Wells shakes the head saying: „ Towle, you were too optimistic. I thought that mines the table salt in the Bosnia-Herzegovina province, wants a proportion industry richer way, at least returns this is quicker. 威尔斯摇了摇头说:“托尔,你太乐观了。我觉得在波黑行省开采食盐,都要比重工业更加有钱途,起码回本更快。 The leader of heavy industry is Austria Libyan Iron & Steel Group, the advantage of this state-owned enterprise was too big, monopolized the home about half steel production. 重工业的主导者是奥地利钢铁集团,这家国有企业的优势太大,垄断了国内近半的钢铁产量。 Wanted to beat them is too difficult, instead was inferior to other industry. Even new Austria benefits the new energy power company, not such big advantage. ” 想要击垮他们太难了,反而不如别的产业。就算是新崛起的奥地利新能源电力公司,都没有这么大的优势。” Towle threw the bowling in hand again, said: „ It seems like, we were very difficult to convince the opposite party. 托尔再次扔出去了手中的保龄球,说道:“看来,我们是很难说服对方了。 Austria benefits the new energy power company to depend is the cooperation for win-win situation pattern, attacks a city in continental Europe, even if they have very big market share in UK , France. 奥地利新能源电力公司靠得是合作共赢模式,在欧洲大陆攻城掠地,即便是在英法他们都有很大的市场份额。 Although this share potential, but they have established the system, most power companies turned into their strategic partnership, so long as does not happen accidentally/surprisingly will become the reality. 虽然这种份额都是潜在的,可是他们已经建立了体系,大部分电力公司都变成了他们的战略伙伴,只要不发生意外就会变成现实。 Once the copper production increases, power equipment cost reduction, the European most electric power supply, will be monopolized by this alliance, I do not think the power company that you fiddle with can realize to break through. 一旦铜产量增加,电力设备成本降低,欧洲大半的电力供应,都会被这个联盟所垄断,我不认为你捣鼓的电力公司能够实现突围。 Is Austria Libyan Iron & Steel Group is on the contrary good to cope, they are the state-owned enterprises, besides the normal commercial competition, will not utterly destroy to us. 反倒是奥地利钢铁集团好对付,他们是国企,除了正常的商业竞争外,是不会对我们斩尽杀绝的。 Before the supply-demand relation changes, everyone will not have the direct conflict. Such long time, enough we have grown strong. ” 在供求关系发生改变前,大家都不会发生直接冲突。这么长的时间,已经足够我们发展壮大了。” This is the fact, Austria benefits the monopoly that the new energy power company establishes, is mainly the standards system, while convenient sales promotion equipment. 这是事实,奥地利新能源电力公司建立的垄断,主要是标准体系,顺带推销设备。 Subsidiary company that establishes in each region, Austria benefits the new energy power company not to occupy the leading power, the majority ownerships divide, certain areas simply are technology appraiseds as capital stock. 在各地建立起来的子公司中,奥地利新能源电力公司并没有占主导权,大部分股份都分了出去,某些地区干脆就是技术入股。 This grasped the advantage of core technologies, even was not a major stockholder, the right to speak in company was not also low, did not need to be worried that was pushed aside. 这是掌握了核心技术的好处,就算不是大股东,在公司中的话语权同样不低,根本就不用担心被排挤出去。 As the successor, wants to break up this monopoly is very difficult. The biggest problem is they do not have the core technologies, is unable to break through the patent barrier. 作为后来者,想要打破这种垄断是非常困难的。最大的问题就是他们没有核心技术,无法突破专利壁垒。 No one knows when they can do another set of system. The market does not wait for the person, once the standard were popularized, wants to meddle again is difficult. 谁也不知道,他们什么时候能够搞出另一套体系。市场不等人,一旦标准被普及了,再想插手就难了。 Cannot install the good power supply network to open, exchanges their new technology standards? This is not the issue that is good, but why is everyone must trade. 总不能把已经安装好的供电网络拆了,换上他们的新技术标准吧？这不是行不行的问题,而是大家为什么要换。 Without enough benefit, who will abandon the mature equipment, does not exchange through the new power equipment of examination. 没有足够的利益,谁会抛弃已经成熟的设备,换上没有通过检验的新电力设备。 Only if they can before the technology popularizes, puts out the new technical system, and in practice utilizes, obtained the success, has the ability of competition. 除非他们能够在技术普及前,拿出新的技术体系,并且在实践中运用,取得了成功,才有竞争的能力。 Wells beckons with the hand, showed the innocent expression, said: „ Good, I gave up convincing you. However, friend of mine. Who told you, can I compete with them? 威尔斯摆了摆手,露出了一脸无辜的表情,说道:“好吧,我放弃说服你了。不过,我的朋友。谁告诉你,我要和他们进行竞争了？ What I invest is the power company right, is the both sides power gap is too big, must jump electric power supply system sinkhole, then can only become the cannon fodder. 我投资的是电力公司没错,可是双方实力差距太大,要去跳电力供应体系这个天坑,那么只能成为炮灰。 According to the view of engineers, do not say that goes round the patent barrier, even does not have the patent to limit, wants to plagiarize their technologies, 35 years are impossible to achieve. 按照工程师们的说法,不要说绕开专利壁垒,就算是没有专利限制,想要抄袭他们的技术,没有三五年时间都不可能做到。 This is one set of complete technical system, may not only be only a technology, lacking any link was not good. Otherwise the English and French will not purchase the patent authorization, but made a fresh start. 这是一套完整的技术体系,可不仅仅只是一项技术,缺少了任何一个环节都不行。要不然英国人、法国人也不会购买专利授权,而是另起炉灶了。 Power company that I invest, what research and development is the utilization of electric power in industry, replaces now the steam engine in market using the electromechanical equipment, both sides are not the competitors. ” 我投资的电力公司,研发的是电力在工业上的运用,利用电力机械设备取代现在市场上的蒸汽机,双方根本就不是竞争对手。” Theoretically, these technologies are extremely promising, the fund that however needs to invest is not the small number. Wells wants to convince Towle, in fact is also the issue in fund. 理论上,这些技术是潜力无限,然而需要投入的资金也不是小数字。威尔斯想要说服托尔,实际上也是资金上的问题。 It is not he does not have money, was mainly the new technology research and development was full of the uncertainty, needs to look for the person assigned risk. 不是他没有钱,主要是新技术研发充满了不确定性,需要找人分担风险。 From the current market conditions, the life span of this new technology corporation is shortest, is reduces Austria to benefit the enterprise mean lifetimes the main forces. 从目前的市场情况来看,这种新科技企业的寿命是最短的,是降低奥地利企业平均寿命的主力。 In comparison, the traditional enterprise vitality also wants strong many, surviving for 20-30 years is normal, hundred years of established enterprise is not infrequent. 相比之下,传统企业生命力还要强的多,生存20-30年是正常的,百年老牌企业都不在少数。 After all the traditional industry is the asset, hands over also to sell. Many enterprises exchange ownerships repeatedly, still survived. 毕竟传统产业是资产的,转手也可以卖出去。很多企业多次易主,仍然生存了下去。 In comparison, the high-tech innovation industry was different. Luck good development new technology, then the enterprise is valuable ; Luck not good anything not to have done, such enterprise is not worth a red cent completely. 相比之下,高科技创新产业就不一样了。运气好的开发出了新技术,那么企业还有价值;运气不好啥也没有做出来,这样的企业完全就是一文不值。 Does not have the achievement enterprise to live is not long, the patience of investors is limited, no one and others their ten years sharpens a sword. 没有成果的企业都活不长,投资者们的耐心有限,没有人等他们十年磨一剑。 The shortest technology corporation, only has several months of life span merely. Some research and development technology, because the competitor first does the achievement, they by the investor are thought does not have the potential to abandon. 最短的科技企业,仅仅只有几个月寿命。研发某一项技术,因为竞争对手先搞出来成果,他们就会被投资者认为没有潜力而抛弃。 The capital market is such brutal, law of the jungle, survival of the fittest. 资本市场就是这么残酷,弱肉强食,适者生存。 The capitalists are not glad to invest new high technology corporation, is not strange. Not is only very risky, the achievement of even if doing, not necessarily has the commercial value. 资本家们不乐意投资新高科技企业,也就不奇怪了。不仅仅是风险大,就算是搞出来的成果,也不一定有商业价值。 Finally the 19 th century technical invention innovation, majority promoted personally. After waiting for the achievement, the capital closes, promotes the technological revolution. 结果19世纪的科技发明创新,大部分都是个人推动的。等有成果之后,资本才一拥而上,推动技术革命。 If not Austria benefits the new energy power company to be sudden appearance, built the lively district in Vienna, making everyone see the importance of electricity, the power industry is supported by the capital. 如果不是奥地利新能源电力公司异军突起,在维也纳打造了不夜城,让大家看到了电的重要性,电力产业也不会受到资本热捧。 Even so, the capitalists are also finding the way to reduce the risk. This is also Austria benefits the strategic expansion of new energy power company, can that smooth reason. 即便是如此,资本家们同样在想办法降低风险。这也是奥地利新能源电力公司的战略扩张,能够那么顺利的原因。 Two people this is struggle of the investment concept, not to wrong, is suitable or not. 两人这是投资理念之争,没有对错,只有适合与否。 Without entering light industry preying, proves two people foresights sufficiently. Naturally just-concluded economic crisis, should be an important influence factor. 没有进入轻工业搏杀,就足以证明两人的远见。当然刚刚结束的经济危机,也应该是一个重要影响因素。 Capital not evade risk, but the capitalists have the instinct of evade risk. In the industry of overcapacity, who knows that is the sunset industry. 资本不会规避风险,但是资本家们有规避风险的本能。发生了产能过剩的行业,谁都知道那是夕阳产业。 The sunset industry can survive is not easy, wants to get the huge profit, obviously is not possible. 夕阳产业能够生存下来都不容易,想要获得巨额利润,显然是不可能的。 Seeing the scene is somewhat awkward, Lawrence Rovsky of peer shifts the topic: „Nearly 12 points, we should use the lunch. I thought that the beef of next door that restaurant is good, or tastes?” 见场面有些尴尬,同行的劳伦斯洛夫斯基转移话题道:“已经了快12点了,我们该用午餐了。我觉得隔壁那家餐厅的牛肉不错,要不去尝尝？” Towle said with a smile: „I like their testing geese, you?” 托尔笑道:“我更喜欢他们的考鹅,你们呢？” ...... ……