After giving careful consideration, the London government made resolution that blocks Baltic Sea. In fact, agrees to receive under the Russia person's after Britain order from the Berlin government, in Congress opposed that silences Baltic Sea to disappear. 经过慎重考虑,伦敦政府还是做出了封锁波罗地海的决议。事实上,从柏林政府同意接下俄国人在英国下的订单后,国会中反对封锁波罗地海的声音就不见了。 Anti-Russia is the national policy of English, without harming everyone interest, attacks the Russia person naturally unable some people to oppose. 反俄一直都是英国人的国策,在不损害大家利益的情况下,打击一下俄国人自然不会有人反对。 On January 11 , 1866, the royal navy on the grounds of exterminating pirate, blocked the front door of Baltic Sea. 1866年1月11日,皇家海军以剿灭海盗为由,堵住了波罗地海的大门。 Blocks Baltic Sea not to exist, but considers to have been toward the safety of ships, the royal navy suggested that everyone suspends coming and going out Baltic Sea. 封锁波罗地海是不存在的,只是考虑到过往船舶的安全,皇家海军建议大家暂停出入波罗地海。 The opinion gave, as for listening all depending on voluntarily. If were taken by force by the pirate, do not regret on the line. 意见给出来了,至于听不听全凭自愿。要是被海盗打劫了,不要后悔就行。 „Pirate” the threat is terrifying, after two Russia merchants encounter the mishap, everyone chooses to suspend this sea trade route wisely. “海盗”的威胁是恐怖的,在两艘俄国商船遭遇不测后,大家都明智的选择暂停这条海上贸易线路。 Suddenly British Ministry of Foreign Affairs, piled up with the written protest of various countries. Foreign minister Sir Raistlin ordered the cold treatment, then did not have then. 一时间英国外交部,堆满了各国的抗议书。外交大臣雷斯林爵士下令冷处理,然后就没有然后了。 The Prussia war continues, is the coincidence method Austria benefit. Without the great nation over, the small country can do also protested. 普俄战争继续下去,是符合法奥利益的。没有大国出头,小国能够做的也就是抗议。 It looks like in Franz, the top up tactic most consumes the national strength the fighting method. Russian Empire cannot display the strength superiority, runs over Prussia directly, has been defeated strategically. 在弗朗茨看来,添油战术是最消耗国力的打法。俄罗斯帝国不能够发挥兵力优势,直接压死普鲁士,在战略上已经失败了。 The statesmen looked that the issue and average person are different, the war won not necessarily is the victory, the war loses not necessarily was also defeated. 政治家看问题和普通人不一样,战争赢了未必就是胜利,战争输了也未必就是失败。 In the history has too many classical cases, the average person seemed like the leading character flutters, stumbled, however carefully analyzed the back success and failure, will discover that the final victor unexpectedly was front the loser. 历史上有太多的经典案例,普通人看来是主人公飘了、马失前蹄,然而仔细分析背后的得失,就会发现最后的胜利者居然是前面输家。 But since the modern times, with awakening of people, the request to the ruling class have been higher, the cost of this method gradually rises, finally was abandoned. 只不过近代以来,随着民众的觉醒,对统治阶级的要求更高,这种玩法的成本逐渐升高,最后被抛弃掉了。 The blockade of English, the most direct advantage was suddenly Austria volume of trade increases again. Now the Tsar government does not have to choose, such a seller. 英国人的封锁,最直接的好处就是俄奥贸易额再次增加了。现在沙皇政府没得选择,就这么一个卖家了。 The price rose many, Franz did not care, the Tsar government directly to the capitalists order, discusses in any case now what price is what price. 价格上涨了多少,弗朗茨不关心,反正现在沙皇政府直接向资本家们下订单,谈成什么价格就是什么价格。 The Tsar government has money now in any case, the bureaucrats will find the way to spend. The commodity price rises, the profit of capitalists follows to increase, the sales commission of bureaucrats also increased, the tax revenue of Vienna government also grows. 反正现在沙皇政府有钱了,官僚们会想办法花出去的。物资价格上涨,资本家们的利润跟着增加,官僚们的回扣也增加了,就连维也纳政府的税收也随之增长。 This is the aspect that three win, you good, I good, everyone's good. 这是三赢的局面,你好、我好、大家好。 Intelligence head Terren dispatched a document, said: „Your majesty, this is the newest European strategy of French.” 情报头子泰伦递出了一份文件,说道:“陛下,这是法国人的最新欧洲战略。” Has not won in the Crimean War, Napoleon III is very enlightened, when the formulation strategy, always profits by opinions from various sources. 没有在克里米亚战争中获得胜利,拿破仑三世还是很开明的,在制定战略的时候,从来都是集思广益。 The advantage of profiting by opinions from various sources cut the error ratio, similarly also increased exposed the probability. Anything, the person who once knows were many is not the secret. 集思广益的好处是降低了出错率,同样也增加了暴露了几率。任何事情,一旦知道的人多了就不在是秘密。 French's strategic planning, although without doing it is well known, but participates in the maker also dozens people, divulging is not strange. 法国人的这份战略计划,虽然没有搞得人尽皆知,可是参与制定者也有数十人之多,泄露也就不奇怪了。 Naturally, this may also be the smoke shell that the French puts intentionally. The genuine and fake strategy, almost every country has one dozen of plans. 当然,这也有可能是法国人故意放出来的烟雾弹。真真假假的战略,几乎每个国家都有一打计划。 Before matter, no one knows that strategy real, can only as far as possible be many collection material, then makes the judgment. 在事情没有发生前,谁也不知道那一份战略是真的,只能尽可能多得搜集资料,然后做出判断。 Even Napoleon III cannot guarantee that which plan, is they in the future the real strategy. 甚至连拿破仑三世本人都不敢保证哪一份计划,才是他们未来真正的战略。 Usually the alternative plan will have several types, generally will act according to the change of international situation, the choice is most suitable the present strategy. 通常备选方案会有好几种,一般会根据国际局势的变化,选择最适合眼下的战略。 This choice likely happened to change at any time, only if that long-term national policy, change is likely, other any strategies are only one of the alternative plans. 这种选择是随时可能发生变化的,除非是那种长期性国策,变化的可能性较小,其它的任何战略都只是备选方案之一。 Carefully looked, Franz has to acknowledge that the ambition of French was big enough. 仔细的看了一遍,弗朗茨不得不承认法国人的野心够大。 Not only wants to use the Prussia war to pull down from the world hegemon position the Russia person, and is scheming the Prussian Rhineland area. 既想利用普俄战争把俄国人从世界霸主的位置上拉下来,又在图谋普鲁士人的莱茵兰地区。 This is only the first strategy, behind also has to annex Belgium and west of the German federation Rhine plan, even also prepares to annex the Italian area. 这只是第一步战略,后面还有吞并比利时、德意志联邦莱茵河以西的计划,甚至还准备兼并意大利地区。 At heart, Franz had hit a fork for this great strategic planning. Such strategy can be implemented has ghost, if the Napoleonic Era also almost. 在心里,弗朗茨已经为这份宏大的战略计划打了一个叉。这样的战略能够实施才有鬼,如果是拿破仑时代还差不多。 Besides using the Prussia war, pulls down quite credibly from European hegemon the Russia person, remaining strategic points cannot implement. 除了利用普俄战争,把俄国人从欧陆霸主上拉下来比较靠谱外,剩下的战略没有一点可以实施的。 „Russia , France Austria” the three countries carve up Prussia, from the beginning is the fallacy. “俄法奥”三国瓜分普鲁士,从一开始就是谬论。 For the Tsar government this war invested so many, light is Poland unable to receive the war cost. If makes the French attain the biggest cake, Alexander II can be balanced? 沙皇政府为了这次战争投入了这么多,光普属波兰都收不回来战争成本。要是让法国人拿到最大的蛋糕,亚历山大二世心里能够平衡？ Even if he is broad-minded, the matter that supports the enemy is not competent! Dividing the booty is not always a simple work, particularly divides the booty with the enemy. 就算是他心胸开阔,资敌的事情也不能干吧！分赃从来都不是一项简单的工作,尤其是和敌人一起分赃的时候。 The French obtained the Rhineland area, the industrial development potential grew at least one time, but obtained to be the Russian Empire of Poland, can only be the better than nothing, cannot increase many strengths. 法国人获得莱茵兰地区,工业发展潜力增长了至少一倍,而获得普属波兰的俄罗斯帝国,只能算是聊胜于无,根本增加不了多少实力。 Austria benefitted not to mention, carves up the benefit that Prussia brought directly is the negative number. Let Franz choose, he rather fights a war with France, will not accept this pit father's carving up condition. 奥地利更不用说了,瓜分普鲁士带来的利益直接是负数。让弗朗茨选择,他宁愿和法国打一仗,也不会接受这种坑爹的瓜分条件。 Looks from the income: Only 100,000 square kilometers land, makes Austria benefit directly falls into strategically certainly. The national defense expenses that the value that some territories add, has not increased are many. 从收益上看:区区十万平方公里土地,直接让奥地利在战略上陷入绝地。这部分领土带来的价值,还没有增加的国防开销多。 Politically: Once participates to carve up Prussia, means that Franz gave up German altogether Lord political status, the new Holy Roman Empire throne validity will receive the serious challenge. 政治上:一旦参与瓜分普鲁士,就意味着弗朗茨放弃了德意志共主的政治地位,新神圣罗马帝国的皇位合法性将受到严重挑战。 This and Second German Empire of original space and time is different, they did not have altogether the Lord title. Therefore William I have not become German Emperor, backs off to turn into German Emperor. 这和原时空的德二帝国不一样,他们本来就没有共主的称号。因此威廉一世没有成为德国皇帝,退而求其次变成德意志皇帝。 In the legal principle theory of law, German Empire is a Republic, Emperor is only the hereditary president. Even if William I attained the Emperor title through «Emperor Manifesto», status in fact was still only the president adolf. 在法理上,德意志帝国就是一个共和国,皇帝只是世袭总统。即便是威廉一世通过《皇帝宣言》拿到了皇帝头衔,实际上的身份仍然只是联邦主席。 This is also a war failure, William II discards the throne the primary cause. Must know that the Habsburg dynasty struggled, if not last years Emperor Carl does the foolish matter one after another, but can also preserve several royal crowns. 这也是一战失败,威廉二世丢掉皇位的主要原因。要知道哈布斯堡王朝都挣扎了一下,如果不是末代皇帝卡尔接连干蠢事,还可以保住几顶王冠的。 The legal principle theory of law is different from other, once loses is unable to recall again. Franz lord the position is to stem from the German area is unified, once carves up the German area with other countries, the people can also accept his Emperor? 法理不同于其它,一旦丢失就无法再次挽回。弗朗茨的共主地位就是源于德意志地区统一,一旦和其它国家瓜分德意志地区,民众们还能够接受他这个皇帝？ Even if for own benefit, Franz not possible ignores situation to happen. 哪怕是为了自身的利益,弗朗茨也不可能放任这种情况发生。 „Transmits the information to the cabinet, making them arrange the person to contrast the French beforehand strategy to analyze, having a look at the French to hide anything.” Franz told “把情报转交给内阁,让他们安排人对比法国人之前的战略进行分析,看看法国人在隐藏着什么。”弗朗茨吩咐道 These at sixes and sevens strategies, in fact also valuable, no one can guarantee that these strategies will not become the reality. 这些乱七八糟的战略,实际上也是有价值的,谁也不能够保证这些战略不会变成现实。 At least compared with the original space and time Bismarck's German unified planning, the strategic success ratio of French is much higher, but original space and time Bismarck planned the success indulgently. 至少和原时空俾斯麦的德意志统一计划相比,法国人的这份战略成功率要高得多,而原时空俾斯麦异想天开的计划成功了。 Japanese strategy that the Italian strategy that Cavour fiddles with, Hirobumi Itou establishes, is lower than French plan success ratio from the probability. 还有加富尔捣鼓的意大利战略,伊藤博文制定的日本战略,从几率上来说都比法国人这份计划成功率更低。 Some so many successful cases, Franz naturally does not dare to treat it lightly. After all French is powerful, so long as the Napoleon III non- convulsion runs up to the frontline to issue arbitrary and confused orders, they are one of the entire world most powerful empires. 有这么多成功的案例,弗朗茨自然不敢掉以轻心。毕竟法国人的实力雄厚,只要拿破仑三世不抽风跑到前线瞎指挥,他们就是全世界最强大的帝国之一。 Theoretically so many plans, are unable to compromise besides the Rhineland area Austria advantage, other area may realize the benefit exchange. 理论上这么多计划,除了莱茵兰地区奥地利无法妥协外,别的地区都是有可能实现利益交换的。 The minerals of Rhineland area are very important to the French, in fact is unable to replace, Belgium is one of the substitutes. 莱茵兰地区的矿产对法国人很重要,实际上也不是无法代替,比利时就是替代品之一。 So long as guarantees for dozens years the coal supply, with the development of sea transportation, the shipping cost continues to reduce, ships back the native place from the overseas colony mining mineral resource, the cost also in the acceptance range of industry. 只要保证数十年内煤炭供应,随着海上运输的发展,航运成本持续降低,从海外殖民地开采矿产资源运回本土,成本也在工业的接受范围内。 Even the French looks for opportunity who strikes the first blow has the advantage simply, hits Austria to benefit one to be caught off guard, captures the Rhineland area from the battlefield. 甚至法国人干脆找个机会先下手为强,打奥地利一个措手不及,从战场上夺取莱茵兰地区。 Franz never suspected that this possibility, Austria benefits the general staff to have over a hundred combat plan that attacks France, and also in unceasing increase, the French has the similar idea is not strange. 弗朗茨从不怀疑这种可能性,奥地利参谋部都有上百份进攻法兰西的作战计划,并且还在不断增加中,法国人有同样的想法一点儿也不奇怪。