Put down hand «Africa Strategy», Franz can only sigh that everyone's expansive goal, encircled the most African continent. 放下了手中的《非洲战略》,弗朗茨只能感叹大家的目标远大,一口气圈下了大半个非洲大陆。 Right, was encircles, rather than seized. At present Austria benefits has not completed three points of above plan one, actual control area possible 1/5. 没错,就是圈下了,而不是占领。目前奥地利还没有完成上述计划的三分一,实际控制区可能五分之一都不到。 Even if Franz had immigrated diligently, at present Austria is the population of Africa, still less than 5 million. 即便是弗朗茨已经努力移民了,目前奥属非洲的人口,仍然不足五百万。 Selects a population control 7,000,000-8,000,000 square kilometers land, could be imagined vast territory with a sparse population to what situation. 这么点儿人口控制7,000,000-8,000,000平方公里的土地,地广人稀到了什么地步可想而知。 Naturally, this does not calculate the local area indigenous, otherwise has crossed ten million/countless. 当然,这是不计算当地土著的,不然早就过千万了。 If completes the following strategy, does not have several million population is incorrect. However entire new Holy Roman Empire population, just crossed 60 million thresholds. 要是完成接下来的战略,没有几千万人口是不行的。然而整个新神圣罗马帝国的人口,也才刚刚越过六千万的门槛。 Now the world has carved up was about to end, the place of last without owner, must have a fierce struggle between two evenly matched opponents. 现在世界已经瓜分的快完了,最后一片无主之地,肯定少不了一场龙争虎斗。 At present law Austria both countries arrive colonized forefront Africa, what follows is the English and Portuguese, the Dutch also has the scrap colony. 目前法奥两国走到了殖民非洲的最前端,紧随其后的是英国人、葡萄牙人,荷兰人也有小块殖民地。 The macro strategy of this colonizing section, should with „ideal strategy” describe that is better. 这份殖民部的宏观战略,应该用“理想战略”来形容更好一些。 So long as various countries are not silly, will not make this plan become the reality. 只要各国不傻,就不会让这份计划变为现实。 Initially slightly read a map, approximately yes: West from Guinea and Mali, north to Libya, south to the Boers Republic, east to Somalia. 初略的看了一下地图,大致是:西起几内亚、马里,北至利比亚,南临布尔人共和国,东至索马里。 Although this age does not have the satellite positioning, beginning Franz slightly estimates, these local total area add, rushes to 20 million square kilometers to go. 虽然这个年代没有卫星定位,弗朗茨初略估计一下,这些地区总面积加起来,也是奔着两千万平方公里去的。 After thinking, Franz with beginning a stroke started to hit a fork above, prepared to hit to let the colonizing section rework. 想了想后,弗朗茨拿起笔在上面开始打了一个叉,准备打回去让殖民部重做。 This impractical strategy, absolutely does not have the feasibility. Only if provokes a world war, the Austria advantage becomes the big winner, has the capital of realizing. 这种不切实际的战略,根本就没有可行性。除非挑起一次世界大战,奥地利成为了大赢家,才有去实现的资本。 However, Franz is not the war hysteria, Austria benefits is not historically that must challenge Second German Empire of the world. 然而,弗朗茨不是战争狂,奥地利也不是历史上那个必须要挑战世界的德二帝国。 Although many people think that Second German Empire because of the economic development, needs the resources and market to provoke the war, but Franz actually thinks that is mainly the resources, because the issue of market can be solved. 虽然很多人认为德二帝国是因为经济发展,需要资源、市场才挑起战争的,不过弗朗茨却认为主要是资源,因为市场的问题是可以解决的。 The world economy is a large circulation, the national economy is a minor cycle. Theoretically so long as this circulation circle revolves normally, the economy can continue. 世界经济是一个大循环,国家经济是一个小循环。理论上只要这个循环圈子正常运转下去,经济就可以持续发展。 The core of this economical circulating ring lies in the population and resources, now in the world population also such 1 billion. 这个经济循环圈的核心在于人口和资源,现在全世界人口也就那么十亿。 And: Europe approximately 275 million, were mainly very soon, Austria and France , UK four countries adds to surpass 200 million. 其中:欧洲地区约2.75亿,主要是俄、奥、法、英四国加起来就超过了2亿。 Asia approximately 820 million, two Eastern large population add to have 700 million, the remaining areas similarly are vast territory with a sparse population. 亚洲地区约8.2亿,两个东方人口大国加起来就有7亿,剩下的地区同样是地广人稀。 The African continent about 0.6, colonizing affects to make the local area present the population to grow, in recent years because the immigrant leaves are many, many areas had had the negative growth. 非洲大陆约有0.6亿左右,殖民活动影响让当地出现人口增长,因为最近几年移民离开的较多,很多地区已经出现了负增长。 Americas approximately 60 million, this is true vast territory with a sparse population, the north-south Americas add to select the person, two US accounted for half. 美洲地区约六千万,这才是真正的地广人稀,南北美洲加起来才这么点儿人,两个美国就占据了一半。 The present international trade volume is not in fact big, the economy of various countries mainly looks at the home, takes Austria to benefit for instance the international trade accounts for the economical proportion, five of insufficient total quantity. 现在的国际贸易额实际上并不大,各国的经济主要还是看国内,以奥地利为例国际贸易所占经济比重,不足总量的五。 If includes in the colonizing volume of trade the native economy, then international trade, in Austria benefits in the economic output, is not worth mentioning. 如果把殖民贸易额计入本土经济中,那么国际贸易在奥地利经济总量中,就更加不值得一提了。 This is the productive forces decision, the social total wealth is limited, the commodity that can exit|to speak is extremely also unitary, volume of trade basic on promotion. 这是生产力决定的,社会总财富有限,能够出口的商品又太过单一,贸易额根本就提升不上去。 Now in the international market, the biggest export commodity is the textile, next is the grain. What industry and commerce product and mechanical device, absolutely do not have the big market. 现在国际市场上,最大的出口商品就是纺织品,其次是粮食。什么工商业制品、机械设备,根本就没有多大的市场。 In the entire international market, all export commodity total amounts add, less than 1 billion pounds, even less than 700 million pounds. 整个国际市场上,所有出口商品总额加起来,都不足十亿英镑,甚至是不足七亿英镑。 The market altogether is so big, the main force of various countries' economy is the home market. UK , France Austria casual that the economic output of native place is not one 1 billion can weigh, at least must use 2-3. 市场一共就这么大,各国经济的主力都是本土市场。英法奥随便那一家,本土的经济总量都不是一个十亿能够衡量的,起码要用2-3个。 Time led by domestic economy, what is most important is the interior circulates. So long as there is sufficient resources, theoretically the economy can the normal development. 以国内经济为主导的时代,最重要的还是内部循环。只要有足够的资源,理论上经济就可以正常发展。 Can refer to the US specifically, many people think that Latin America is the back garden of American, is the dumping place of US industry and commerce product. 具体可以参考美国,很多人都以为拉美是美国人的后花园,是美国工商业制品的倾销地。 The reality is actually, the Latin America altogether 2 million people, 60-70% Indian Tribes, have the wool purchasing power. 现实却是,拉美地区一共就两百万人,60-70%还是印第安部落,有个毛的购买力。 The South American countries do not buy the account of American, others rather import the European commodity, does not buy the trash product of US. 南美各国又不买美国人的账,人家宁愿进口欧洲商品,又不买美国的垃圾产品。 However, the US economy since the late 19 th century still progressed by leaps and bounds, in 40 years grew nine times. 然而,从19世纪后期开始美国经济依然是突飞猛进,四十年内增长了九倍。 This is the strength of resources. Similarly is the insufficient export of commodities market, the German was being compelled on the battlefield by the capital, but the US capital can actually stand firm, depended is the rich resources. 这就是资源的力量。同样是缺乏足够的商品出口市场,德国人被资本逼着上了战场,而美国资本却可以稳住,靠的就是自身丰富的资源。 It looks like in Franz, „resources” are the core of colonizing. Given this idea, has the colony localization movement. 在弗朗茨看来,“资源”才是殖民的核心。在这一理念下,才有殖民地本土化运动。 Hesitant over and over, Franz has not rejected „plan that this indulges in fantasy” directly. His very repugnant picture pie, but has to draw the pie to be effective. 犹豫再三过后,弗朗茨没有直接驳回这份“异想天开的计划”。他非常反感画大饼,可是又不得不画大饼非常有效。 Otherwise historically will not have so many plans of indulging in fantasy, for example: The 2 C plan of English, from Cairo to South Africa directly from south to north. 要不然历史上也不会有那么多异想天开的计划,比如说:英国人的2C计划,从开罗到南非直接由南到北。 Including: Egypt, Sultan, Uganda, Kenya, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, South Africa and Tanzania. 包括:埃及、苏丹、乌干达、肯尼亚、赞比亚、津巴布韦、博茨瓦纳、南非、坦桑尼亚。 This plan is very freely huge, but John Bull finally realized. However how long without maintaining, the colonial empire collapsed. 这份计划尽管很庞大,可是约翰牛最后实现了。然而没有维持多久,殖民帝国就崩溃了。 Also carried out „Teuton Africa plan” as the successor German, this plan ambition was not big, only contained merely: Namibia, Angola, Congo and Tanzania. 作为后来者德国人也搞出了“条顿非洲计划”,这份计划野心不算大,仅仅只包含了:纳米比亚、安哥拉、刚果、坦桑尼亚。 Whether the strategy successfully can look at the strength, are not related with the ambition size, therefore this strategy died. 战略能否成功看实力,和野心大小没有关系,所以这份战略夭折了。 French „the 2 S plan” somewhat was abnormal, after occupying North Africa, the French also prepares to kill Somalia from Senegal. 法国人的“2S计划”就有些变态了,在占领北非过后,法国人还准备从塞内加尔杀到索马里。 The strategic planning that this plan and Austria benefit is also similar, and disparity is not big „Senegal to Somalia” „Guinea to Somalia”. 这份计划和奥地利的战略计划也差不多,“几内亚到索马里”和“塞内加尔到索马里”差距并不大。 As for south to the Boers Republic that Austria benefits, at present has realized reluctantly, presented thousand people to colonize the foothold in the Zimbabwean area. 至于奥地利的南临布尔人共和国,目前已经勉强实现了,在津巴布韦地区出现了千人殖民据点。 Does not have the difficulty north to Libya, after all that is the African inland area, the competitor could not have reached this region. 北至利比亚也没有难度,毕竟那是非洲内陆地区,竞争对手还够不着这片区域。 Only east to Somalia, is never, the middle is away from Sultan and Ethiopia. Naturally since Uganda and Kenya circle. 唯独东至索马里,还是遥遥无期,中间隔着苏丹和埃塞俄比亚。当然从乌干达、肯尼亚绕过去也可以。 In fact operates, absolutely is not that simple. The colonizing strategy that because Austria benefits, assigned these areas together. 实际上操作起来,绝对不是那么简单。因为奥地利的殖民战略,把这些地区一起划了进去。 No matter how said, spiritually is regarded as positive. Since this planned to be delivered, then represented the colonizing section to think the successful possibility. 不管怎么说,精神上是值得肯定的。既然这份计划被送了上来,那么就代表着殖民部认为有成功的可能。 Naturally, this success is not all goals is completed, but said that completes the plan strategically, the middle was short of several colonies, that is unavoidable. 当然,这个成功不是所有目标都完成,只是说在战略上完成计划,中间少了几块殖民地,那是在所难免的。 Considering the present was the critical moment of colony localization, Franz tacitly consented this plan existed, naturally implemented specifically time, definitely cannot copy mechanically and apply slavishly. 考虑到现在是殖民地本土化的关键时刻,弗朗茨默许了这份计划存在,当然具体实施的时候,肯定不能这么生搬硬套。 For example: Has the area that the rivers connect first, the arid region to go lower, the indigenous powerful place first puts aside, possibly initiates the area that conflicts to restrain the expansion...... 比如说:有河流连通的地区优先、沙漠地区靠后,土著实力强大的地方先搁置,可能引发冲突的地区要克制住扩张…… This age, the African continent does not have the international boundary, one group of indigenous tribes, discussed mostly the national concept talked nonsense. 这个年代,非洲大陆没有国界线,大都一帮土著部落,谈国家概念还是太扯淡了。 This colonizing strategy, naturally cannot the international boundary of following later generation walk, in fact Franz does not have the means the international boundary of later generation to look on the map. 这份殖民战略,自然不会跟着后世的国界线走了,实际上弗朗茨也没有办法在地图上把后世的国界线找出来。 After a revision, Franz successful reduced this strategic planning. 经过一阵修改,弗朗茨成功的把这份战略计划压缩了下来。 For example: The desert of North Africa on the disagreement/not with French struggle, this age did not control in any case. 比如说:北非的沙漠就不和法国人争,反正这个年代也控制不了。 Specifically speaking is: Most Mali does not want, the Niger area basically does not want. If to not connect Libya, Chad Franz prepares to give up, the present is to push someone take on a difficult job to stay behind. 具体来说就是:大半个马里不要了,尼日尔地区也基本上不要了。如果不是为了连接利比亚,乍得弗朗茨都准备放弃,现在是勉为其难留下的。 Eastern Ethel Biya, Somalia, final that also arrived by the Franz platoon, before other areas have not seized, will not hit the attention of these areas. 东部的埃塞尔比亚、索马里,也被弗朗茨排到的最后,其它地区没有占领前,不会打这些地区的注意。 Namibia and Tanzania arranged the second sequence from the bottom, basically belonged is given up the area. The ability that the remaining areas look at the subordinate, can take many to calculate many. 纳米比亚、坦桑尼亚排到了倒数第二序列,基本上属于被放弃地区。剩下的地区就看手下人的能耐,能拿下多少算多少。 Such a, this plan shrank for almost three points one, the feasibility greatly enhanced. 这么一来,这份计划就缩水了差不多三分一,可行性大大提高了。 Occupied most African continent too to hate, but occupied three points one, or is about 40% African continent, Franz thinks that may succeeded. 占据大半个非洲大陆太拉仇恨了,可是占据三分一、或者是百分之四十左右的非洲大陆,弗朗茨认为有可能成功的。 This is the strength offensive advantage jointly decides. Once the localization strategy is successful, is an immigrant peak. So long as there is an enough population, Franz in the African continent does not fear any challenge. 这是实力先手优势共同决定的。一旦本土化战略成功,又是一个移民高峰期。只要有足够的人口,在非洲大陆上弗朗茨就不惧怕任何挑战。 For example the present West Africa and Congo area, the local area has over a million population, who has the ability to rob these places? 就比如说现在的西非地区、刚果地区,当地有上百万人口,谁有能力把这些地方抢走？ The war also needs the cost, without enough benefit, is not enough to make the colonial empire launch the war. 战争也是需要成本的,没有足够的利益,根本就不足以令殖民帝国发动战争。 In the African continent can produce the big powers war, besides the gold ore of South Africa, other area is not enough to make the great nation resort to arms. 非洲大陆上能够引发列强战争的,除了南非的金矿外,别的地区都不足以令大国兵戎相见。 In fact, the gold ore of South Africa is not worth two great nation blood spelling. Although the golden reserves is high, but before mining, that matter. 实际上,南非的金矿也不值得两个大国血拼一场。尽管黄金储量高,可是在开采出来前,也就那么回事。 Do not look at every year several hundred tons output, in fact golden mining also needs the cost, must recoup the war cost by the gold, Franz did not think that can realize in his lifetime. 不要看每年几百吨的产量,实际上黄金开采也是需要成本的,要靠黄金收回战争成本,弗朗茨不觉得在他有生之年能够实现。