The north and south negotiated had not finished, but the US civil war had in fact ended. European big powers, the American people do not think that this war continued. 南北双方谈判还没有结束,可美国内战实际上已经结束。无论是欧洲列强,还是美国民众都不想这场战争继续下去了。 This is not individual will can reverse, remaining nothing but is discussed that the condition wrangled. 这不是个人的意志能够扭转的,剩下的无非是谈条件扯皮。 In order to demonstrate sincerity, the north and south ceased the military action, terminated including the current military mobilization. 为了展示诚意,南北双方都停止了军事行动,包括正在进行的军事动员也终止了。 , Weakens the goal of US basically to realize strategically. Now made on a difference final paper, making the US split. 从战略上来说,削弱美国的目标基本上实现。现在就差最后的一纸条约,让美国分裂了。 This and is not only the good deed, similarly also follows a series of issues. For example: The cotton and cotton spinning that industry Austria benefits must be attacked. 这并不仅仅是好事,同样也伴随着一系列的问题。比如说:奥地利的棉花和棉纺业都要受到冲击。 During the US civil war, in the cotton production cut international market the opportunity of cotton supply shortage, has sufficient cotton supply Austria to benefit the cotton spinning industry to be sudden appearance, seizes the market of English in Europe wantonly. 利用美国内战期间,棉花减产国际市场上棉花供应紧张的机会,拥有充足棉花供应的奥地利棉纺业异军突起,在欧洲地区大肆抢占英国人的市场。 Now Eastern Europe, Southern Europe and Central Europe, the cotton spinning product of English is gradually squeezed out the market. 现在东欧、南欧、中欧地区,英国人的棉纺产品逐渐被挤出了市场。 Before, because the cotton supply was insufficient, the cotton spinning product once appeared falls short of demand, was snatched the market English is also helpless by the Austria advantage. 之前,因为棉花供应量不足,棉纺产品一度出现供不应求,被奥地利抢了市场英国人也无能为力。 Now was different, since the end of civil war, the cotton output of US will quickly restore. In the raw material supply sufficient situation, the British capitalists naturally must stage a comeback. 现在不一样了,随着内战的结束,美国的棉花产量很快就会恢复过来。在原材料供应充足的情况下,英国资本家们自然要卷土重来。 The market is the life of each industrialized country, as first completes the Industrial Revolution the country, the English saved enough advantage, the industrial strength once was over half of the world. 市场是每一个工业国的命脉,作为最先完成工业革命的国家,英国人积攒了足够的优势,工业实力一度超过全球的一半。 With completion of law Austria two countries industrialization, the British industry the proportion in the global industry total quantity accounting for drops, but was still the world's first. 随着法奥两国工业化的完成,英国工业在全球工业总量中所占的比例有所下降,不过依然稳居世界第一。 However an awkward matter, is actually industrial workshop of the world Great Britain is at the unfavorable balance of trade condition for a long time. 然而一个令人尴尬的事情,却是世界工厂大英帝国长期处于入超状态。 In 1864, the English external trade total amount reached as high as 215 million pounds, but the gross import reached as high as 275 million pounds, the trade deficit reached as high as 60 million pounds. 1864年,英国人对外出口总额高达2.15亿英镑,而进口总额则高达2.75亿英镑,贸易逆差高达6000万英镑。 At the same time, the French external trade total amount Gundam/reaches as high as 2.963 billion francs, from the gross import is 2.523 billion francs, the trade surplus Gundam/reaches as high as 440 million francs.( About 17.6 million pounds) 同一时期,法国对外出口总额高达29.63亿法郎,从外界进口总额为25.23亿法郎,贸易顺差高达4.4亿法郎。(约合1760万英镑) But Austria benefits the external trade total amount is 285 million aegises, the foreign gross import is 226 million aegises, the trade surplus is 59 million aegises.( About 29.5 million pounds) 而奥地利对外出口总额为2.85亿神盾,对外进口总额为2.26亿神盾,贸易顺差为5900万神盾。(约合2950万英镑) Not is only law Austria both countries be at the favorable balance of trade condition, the Russia person is at the favorable balance of trade position similarly, in 1864 the Russia person external trade total amount was 187 million rubles, the gross import is 175 million rubles, the trade surplus 12 million rubles. 不光是法奥两国处于出超状态,就连俄国人同样处于出超地位,1864年俄国人对外出口总额为1.87亿卢布,进口总额为1.75亿卢布,贸易顺差1200万卢布。 This age international trade volume is small, the grain export of Russia person was over half of export amount, realized the trade surplus by this advantage. 这个年代国际贸易额较小,俄国人的粮食出口就超过了出口总额的一半,凭借这一项优势就实现了贸易顺差。 The Austria advantage can have such big surplus, the agricultural export was also in the important position, after all the person must always eat meal, the English is one of the European main grain importers. 奥地利能够有这么大的顺差,农产品出口也占据了重要地位,毕竟人总是要吃饭的,英国人就是欧洲最主要的粮食进口国之一。 In order to solve the trade deficit problem, all previous British government worries. Without the means that the local resources decided insufficient the English is at the unfavorable balance of trade condition for a long time. 为了解决贸易逆差问题,历届英国政府都是操碎了心。没有办法,本土资源不足决定了英国人长期处于入超状态。 John Bull colony are luckily many, can in this gap through the plundering colonizing wealth fill, otherwise the ordinary country could not have supported. 幸好约翰牛殖民地多,可以通过掠夺殖民财富填补上这个缺口,不然普通国家早就撑不住了。 The Opium War in history, is an English to level the trade deficit does. 历史上的鸦片战争,就是英国人为了抹平贸易逆差搞出来的。 Now was benefitted the capital to capture the market by Austria, the English will definitely not give up. Throws off the table is also insufficient but actually, this conflict cannot make both countries tear to pieces the facial skin. 现在被奥地利资本抢了市场,英国人肯定不会善罢甘休。掀翻桌子倒还不至于,这点儿冲突还不需让两国撕破脸皮。 Naturally gets angry is also useless, this is in the business the fair competition. The English cotton spinning industry product delivery was insufficient at that time, makes the Austria advantage go to enter, John Bull has not let the market is waiting for the ability. 当然翻脸也没有用,这是商业上公平竞争。英国人当时棉纺业产品供应量不足,才让奥地利趁虚而入,约翰牛还没有让市场等着的能力。 Now the US civil war ended, the southern cotton output may return to next year normal. Benefits from the merit of labor services exporting, this output even may also further grow. 现在美国内战结束,南方的棉花产量明年可能就会恢复正常。得益于劳务输出的功劳,这个产量甚至还有可能进一步增长。 The Confederate States of America geographical qualification is advantageous, their cotton yields per mu, normally be higher than other areas. 美利坚联盟国地理条件得天独厚,他们的棉花亩产量,通常要比其它地区更高一些。 Naturally the yield per mu is insufficient, can make up through the expanded cultivation area, just the corresponding labor force investment increased. 当然亩产量不足,可以通过扩大种植面积来弥补,只不过相应的劳动力投入还是增加了。 In the history, the north won the victory, Lord lost the cheap labor as the southern plantation of loser, the cotton production came under the serious influence, met India and Egyptian cotton to capture the market. 历史上,北方赢得了胜利,作为失败者的南方种植园主们丧失了廉价劳动力,棉花生产受到了严重影响,又遇到了印度、埃及棉花抢市场。 Naturally, what is main is the north capitalists needs the inexpensive industrial material, the use enhances tariff, railway freight and other methods, making the US cotton lose the market competitiveness. 当然,最主要的还是北方资本家们需要廉价工业原材料,利用提高关税、铁路运费等手段,让美国棉花丧失了市场竞争力。 Now the Indian cotton output has not been raised, to compete for the labor force excavates the Suez Canal, the English promoted the cotton crop also to encounter the obstuction of law Austria two countries in Egypt. 现在印度棉花产量还没有提升上来,为了争夺劳动力开挖苏伊士运河,英国人在埃及推广棉花种植也遭到了法奥两国的阻扰。 At this time the American League country's only competitors in cotton market was- West Africa. 这个时候美国联盟国在棉花市场上的唯一竞争对手就是-西非。 In international market cotton supply also not surplus, in a short time this competition is unwise, Austria can digest the most capacities of West African cotton. 国际市场上棉花供应量还没有过剩,短期内这种竞争不明智,奥地利本身就能消化掉西非棉花的大部分产能。 In the future but the Indian cotton admission and Egyptian cotton will enter the stadium, this competition becomes will turn red-hot. 可是未来印度棉花入场、埃及棉花入场,这种竞争就会变得白热化。 Must compete with the English in the cotton manufacturing industry, in the cotton market must compete with the US, Egypt and India, this series of economic problems, Franz has to consider ahead of time. 在棉纺织业要和英国人竞争,棉花市场上又要和美国、埃及、印度竞争,这一系列的经济问题,弗朗茨不得不提前考虑。 Schonbrunn Palace 美泉宫 „Today's subject, be only two, how its one, can preserve our cotton manufacturing industry product, market share in continental Europe ; Second, how to safeguard the interests of cotton growers?” “今天的议题只有两个,其一、怎么样才能够保住我们棉纺织业产品,在欧洲大陆上的市场份额;其二、如何保障棉农们的利益？” This age industry and commerce product are few, the textile industry economy was in the dominant position. Core industry that Austria benefits excluding cotton manufacturing industry, because the reason of US civil war, the cotton spinning industry was sudden appearance, this cannot give up. 这个年代工商业制品较少,纺织业经济占据了主导地位。奥地利的核心产业不包括棉纺织业,可是因为美国内战的缘故,棉纺业异军突起了,这就不能够放弃。 At present Bavaria, Wurttemberg, Lombardy and Wigny and other areas, the cotton manufacturing industry industrial worker Gundam/reaches as high as 1.2 million, the jobholders on industry chain surpassed 2.5 million. 目前巴伐利亚、符腾堡、伦巴第、威尼西等地区,棉纺织业产业工人高达一百二十万,产业链上的从业人员更是超过了二百五十万。 So many people point at the textile industry to eat meal, decided directly the Vienna government must guarantee this industry, this British Austria trade dispute is inevitable. 这么多人就指着纺织业吃饭,直接决定了维也纳政府必须要保这个产业,这次英奥贸易争端不可避免。 Safeguarded the interests of cotton grower not to mention, at present plantation Lord majority of colony is an aristocrat. 保障棉农的利益就更不用说了,目前殖民地的种植园主大部分都是贵族。 This is the national condition decision that Austria benefits, general public limited to economic strength, even if opens the plantation area is not big ; The capitalists to farming not love. 这是奥地利的国情决定的,普通民众受限于经济实力,就算是开辟种植园面积也不大;资本家们对种地无爱。 The reason that because the domestic land buys off, many aristocrats discarded the land, obtained one to buy off the gold/metal, these money cannot put sitting idle and eating obviously. 因为国内土地赎买的缘故,很多贵族丢掉了土地,获得了一笔赎买金,这些钱显然不能放着坐吃山空。 After the colony opens, many conservative aristocrats the investment objective will place in the plantation. Perhaps farms the profit is not high in the later generation, is in this age, the return of investment plantation does not compare other industry to lower many. 殖民地开辟过后,很多保守的贵族都将投资目标放在了种植园上。或许在后世种地利润不高,可是在这个年代,投资种植园的回报率并不比别的产业低多少。 The cotton plantation is also not the exceptional, lots of aristocrats converges, as the aristocrat interest group spokesman, Franz naturally must consider their interests. 棉花种植园也是不例外,大量的贵族云集,作为贵族利益集团代言人,弗朗茨自然要考虑他们的利益了。 This also relates, everyone to opening the enthusiasm of colony. In the profitable situation, the ruling class will definitely go all out to maintain the colonial system, vice versa. 这还关系到,大家对开辟殖民地的积极性。在有利可图的情况下,统治阶级肯定会拼命维护殖民体系,反之亦然。 Economy minister Andrew replied: „ Your majesty, our ministry of economic affairs has completed the contingency plan. The necessary time we can resort to the political means that defends the market issue of home and Russia is not big. 经济大臣安德鲁回答道:“陛下,我们经济部已经做好了应急预案。必要时刻我们可以动用政治手段,守住国内和俄罗斯的市场问题不大。 south Italy area situated in the civil war , not the big market further shrinks now, is not the key point that the English counter-attacks. 南意大利地区处于内战中,本就不大的市场现在进一步缩水,不会是英国人反攻的重点。 Remaining is Central Europe, including German federation, Prussia, Switzerland, Holland and other areas, is the main battlefield of this trade war. 剩下的就是中欧地区,包括德意志联邦、普鲁士、瑞士、荷兰等地区,就是这次贸易战的主战场。 The French capital may also join, in recent years French economic development is also very good, in the situation of safeguard raw material supply, their cotton spinning products also has the market competitiveness. 法国资本也有可能会加入,最近几年法国经济发展的也很不错,在保障原材料供应的情况下,他们的棉纺产品也具有市场竞争力。 In order to enhance the market competitiveness of cotton manufacturing product, the ministry of economic affairs thinks that can, give these manufacturing enterprise tax reimbursement subsidies when necessary. ” 为了提高棉纺织产品的市场竞争力,经济部认为可以在必要的时候,给予这些一线生产企业退税补贴。” Simple and crude, actually very effective. Everyone's production technology is almost the same, in product quality cannot divide the fit and unfit quality, in the production cost does not have many advantages, must obtain the advantage in the market competition, that can only put together the policy. 简单、粗暴,却非常的有效。大家的生产技术相差无几,产品质量上也分不出来优劣,生产成本上还是没有多少优势,要在市场竞争中获得优势,那就只能拼政策了。 In the history the cotton spinning industry of English under the subsidy of various countries shatters. The manufacturing industry spells is the cost and quality, once lost the technical advantage, the competition became brutal. 历史上英国人的棉纺业就是在各国的补贴下冲垮的。制造业拼的就是成本和质量,一旦丧失了技术上的优势,竞争就变得残酷了。 This aspect Franz is also helpless, hits the time difference to capture English part of markets, now competes with time arrived, everyone can only put together the strength. 这方面弗朗茨也无能为力,打个时间差抢英国人一部分市场,现在竞争的时候到了,大家只能拼实力。 The only advantage is the cotton spinning industry scale of English is bigger, once played the fiscal subsidy, Austria benefitted each 1 million, the English must pay 3 million. 唯一的好处是英国人的棉纺业规模更大,一旦玩起了财政补贴,奥地利每出一百万,英国人就要付出三百万。 This mutually wounded fighting method, in the normal condition everyone will not play. After all industrial so many of country, not possible resources as centralized as an industry. 这种两败俱伤的打法,正常情况下大家都是不会玩儿。毕竟一个国家的产业那么多,不可能把资源集中到一个产业上。 Agriculture minister Christian said: „ Cotton and cotton manufacturing industry are closely linked, so long as the domestic cotton manufacturing industry not but actually, the cotton plantation economy of West Africa will not crash. 农业大臣克里斯蒂安说道:“棉花和棉纺织业息息相关,只要国内的棉纺织业不倒,西非的棉花种植园经济就不会崩盘。 In order to strengthen the competitiveness of West African cotton, we can try to find the solution in the tax revenue, for example: Reducing, even is cancels the trade tax revenue between colony and native place. ” 为了增强西非棉花的竞争力,我们可以可以在税收上想办法,比如说:降低、甚至是取消殖民地同本土之间的贸易税收。” Looks over various European countries, Austria benefits most attaches importance to the colonial economy development absolutely. How however to attach great importance to again, cannot compare the native place. 纵观欧洲各国,奥地利绝对是最重视殖民地经济发展的。不过再怎么重视,也比不上本土。 In order to avoid the colony inexpensive crops, impacted the local agricultural market, from the beginning between the native place and colony have the trade tax, but was slightly lower than the external tariff. 为了避免殖民地廉价农作物,冲击到了本土农业市场,从一开始本土和殖民地之间都存在着贸易税,只不过比外来关税略低。 Has had the call of economic integration in the Vienna government, the aristocrat in investment plantations for own benefit, has wanted to integrate in the native place the colony. 在维也纳政府中一直都有经济一体化的呼声,投资种植园们的贵族为了自身的利益,一直都想把殖民地纳入本土中。 At present West Africa, the Congo and dominant pattern of Zznja area, has started to close up to the home, some colony cities are using with the domestic same law. 目前西非、刚果、尼日尼亚地区的统治模式,已经开始向国内靠拢,部分殖民地城市都在采用和国内一样的法律。 As the first-generation colonizer, everyone and sentiment of native place is very intense. Many people are promoting the integration process, Franz oneself am also one of the supporters. 作为第一代殖民者,大家和本土的感情还是非常强烈的。很多人都在推进一体化进程,弗朗茨本人也是支持者之一。 However because involved the aspects, the Vienna government has not dared to announce integrated in rashly the colony the native place, but the development best colony has started to implement the province to make. 不过因为牵扯到了方方面面,维也纳政府还不敢冒然宣布把殖民地纳入本土中,不过开发最好的殖民地已经开始实施行省制了。 Compares the home, the rights of these colony provinces are bigger, even also has certain army governance. Now reduces the trade power of colony with native place, without doubt was the integration process entered one step. 相比国内,这些殖民地行省的权利更大,甚至还拥有一定的军事权。现在降低殖民地同本土的贸易权,无疑是一体化进程又更进了一步。 After pondering the moment time, Franz raised the question: „ Theoretically does not have the issue, but reduces the native and colonial trade tax, but also involved the integration process of second Germany and native place. 沉思了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨提出了疑问:“理论上没有问题,不过降低本土和殖民地贸易税,还牵扯到了第二德意志和本土的一体化进程。 This issue first spreads the wind sound/rumor, tests the domestic response from all walks of life. Simultaneously the organization economists conduct the comprehensive verification, must make clear this in a big way to the impact that the native place brings. ” 这个问题先放出风声,试探一下国内各界的反应。同时组织经济学家进行综合论证,必须要搞清楚这对本土带来的冲击有多大。” This is the issue outwardly, before then promotes: The colony and legal principle theory of law basis of native integration process, is restoration Germany's second homeland that Franz proposed. 这是把问题明面化,在此之前推动:殖民地和本土一体化进程的法理依据,就是弗朗茨提出的再造德意志第二家园。 Since the beginning the African colony is Germany's second homeland, then with the first homeland merge, does not have the issue. 既然从一开始非洲殖民地就是德意志第二家园,那么和第一家园合并,也是没有问题的。 However these are the folk guesses, the official did not have to take a stand. Promotes the main force of integration process also in the folk, and is promoting this plan related to the group of colony interests personally. 不过这些都是民间的猜测,官方一直没有进行表态。推动一体化进程的主力也在民间,涉及到殖民地利益的团体和个人在推动这一计划。 The promoted strength is big, the group influence of opposition is more abundant. Is primarily the medium young aristocrat and farmer in local, they feared that the colony inexpensive agricultural product instead sells the native place, infringes their benefits. 推动的力量不小,反对的集团势力更加雄厚。以本土的中小贵族和农民为主,他们怕殖民地廉价农产品反销到本土,损害他们的利益。 However the present situation is somewhat unexpected, Austria benefits the agricultural product on colony is not inexpensive, at least compares with the agricultural product of local does not have the competitiveness. 不过现在的情况有些出乎意料,奥地利殖民地上的农产品并不廉价,至少和本土的农产品相比不具备竞争力。 On the one hand is the colony lacks the labor force, creating was artificially high-cost ; On the other hand is mainly the new development land, the earlier output is not high. 一方面是殖民地缺乏劳动力,造成了人工成本高昂;另一方面主要是新开发土地,前期的产量并不高。 What is most essential Austria benefits two big grain cultivation regions that at present, land very fertile, the water conservation, transportation and other infrastructures are complete, is not the colony can compare. 最关键的是目前奥地利的两大粮食种植区域,土地都非常的肥沃,水利、交通等基础设施已经完备,不是殖民地能够比的。 As for the future? Franz can say responsiblily, once the chemical fertilizer is born, the farm profit must further drop. 至于未来？弗朗茨可以负责任的说,一旦化肥诞生,种地的利润还要进一步下降。 Regardless of there is a colony agricultural product impact, the agriculture of local will be affected. Many grain importers, increased the grain yield using the chemical fertilizer, the international grain market will present the sudden atrophy of short time. 无论有没有殖民地农产品冲击,本土的农业都会受到影响。很多粮食进口国,利用化肥增加了粮食产量,国际粮食市场会出现短时间的急剧萎缩。 From this perspective, Austria benefits cannot research and develop the chemical fertilizer, even if researched and developed, cannot begin the production. 从这方面来说,奥地利就不能够研发化肥,即便是研发出来了,也不能投入生产。 The time of delaying is longer, benefits to Austria is more advantageous. Before the industry has not developed certain level, changes rashly, is very easy to cause the disaster. 拖的时间越长,对奥地利就越有利。在工业没有发展到一定水平前,冒然做出改变,很容易引发灾难的。 The grain yield the more better, the market absorption capacity is so big, once surpassed the demarcation line, must look at the grain to sigh. 粮食产量不是越多越好,市场容量就那么大,一旦超过了界线,就要望粮兴叹。 This point historically chemical fertilizer inventor is a German, can be telling. The US, Austria-Hungary and aren't Russian these grain exporters, inventing the chemical fertilizer ask for trouble? 这一点从历史上化肥发明者是德国人,就可以说明问题。美国、奥匈、俄罗斯这几个粮食出口国,发明化肥不是自讨苦吃么？ Naturally the German has a dream cannot think, they invented the chemical fertilizer, the biggest beneficiary is actually a French, made the French break out of the grain difficult position directly, and becomes one of the European main grain exporters. 当然德国人做梦也想不到,他们发明了化肥,最大的受益者却是法国人,直接让法国人摆脱了粮食困境,并且成为了欧洲最主要的粮食出口国之一。