On the morning of October 25 , 1864, just Franz that woke up from the sleep, the news that declared war to the Kingdom of Denmark is shocked by the Prussia government. 1864年10月25日清晨,刚刚从睡梦中醒来的弗朗茨,就被普鲁士政府向丹麦王国宣战的消息惊呆了。 Exactly said, yesterday afternoon both countries had declared war. The news passes to Vienna is late at night, the nimble staff, dragging Franz to get out of bed report. 确切的说,昨天下午两国就已经宣战了。消息传到维也纳已经是深夜,头脑灵活的工作人员,拖到了弗朗茨起床才汇报。 Beforehand had no little recruiting completely, both countries makes war suddenly. As for Prussian „liberates the German compatriot” declaring war excuse, was disregarded by Franz directly. 事先完全没有任何一点儿征招,两国就突然开战了。至于普鲁士人“解放德意志同胞”的宣战借口,直接被弗朗茨无视。 The war excuse had was good, historically Prussian also conducted the shoulder the banner that safeguarded the German sovereignty, by the Franz butterfly effect, the Berlin government did not dare the anti- this flag. 战争借口有就行了,历史上普鲁士人还扛着维护德意志主权的旗号,在弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应下,柏林政府再也不敢抗这面大旗了。 The revival that as Austria benefits, „German unification” related slogan and slogan, gradually vanished from the official document of Prussia government. 随着奥地利的复兴,“德意志统一”相关的口号、标语,逐渐从普鲁士政府的官方文件中消失了。 Especially after Paris conference, the Prussia kingdom, is the new German federation empire, very tacit suppressed grand unification thought. 尤其是巴黎会议后,无论是普鲁士王国,还是新建立的德意志联邦帝国,都非常默契的压制大统一思想。 Everyone is not a fool, if continues to propagandize, is the Austria advantage makes the bridal clothes. 大家都不是傻子,要是继续宣传下去,就是在为奥地利做嫁衣。 Once the grand unification thought strikes root in the hearts of the people, they become by the unified object. To the people, the unification perhaps is a good deed, is to the ruler, that is completely different. 一旦大统一思想深入人心,他们就成为了被统一的对象。对民众来说,统一或许是一件好事,可是对统治者来说,那就完全不同了。 Do not look in new Holy Roman Empire the rights of various state governments to be very big, but is master of own affairs compared with, the right of ruler shrinks significantly. 不要看新神圣罗马帝国中各邦国政府的权利很大,可是和自己当家做主相比,统治者的权利还是大幅度缩水。 Under the function of benefit, the international agreement of Paris conference seperate Germany area, becomes Prussia to be separated from the legal principle theory of law basis of German area. 在利益的作用下,巴黎会议拆分德意志地区的国际协定,就成为了普鲁士脱离德意志地区的法理依据。 Jurisprudentially speaking, the Prussia kingdom and Belgium, Holland and Switzerland same are the independent nations. 从法理上来说,普鲁士王国和比利时、荷兰、瑞士一样都是独立国家。 Now if continues to conduct the shoulder the banner that safeguards the German area sovereignty, did not tell an member in the Prussia kingdom or Germany, annexed them to provide the legal principle theory of law basis to the Austria advantage? 现在要是继续扛着维护德意志地区主权的旗号,不是告诉外界普鲁士王国还是德意志的一份子,给奥地利兼并他们提供法理依据么？ Such foolish matter, the Berlin government will not do. Liberates the reason of German compatriot, although somewhat suppresses fully, that also ratio plants a political bomb to be better. 这样的蠢事,柏林政府不会干。解放德意志同胞的理由虽然有些憋足,那也比埋下一颗政治炸弹要好。 This Second Schleswig War involved the Schleswig-Holstein two duchies, the Vienna government surely needs to take a stand. 这次普丹战争牵扯到了石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国,维也纳政府肯定需要表态的。 Simple after having used the breakfast, Franz held the cabinet meeting in the royal palace. 简单的用过早餐后,弗朗茨在王宫中召开了内阁会议。 The foreign minister Wessenberg analysis said: „ Your majesty, according to the information that we collect, can judge initially this war Prussian is early deliberate, including the Polish independence movement that a short time ago had, cannot be inseparable from them. 外交大臣韦森贝格分析道:“陛下,根据我们搜集的情报,可以初步判断这次战争普鲁士人是早有预谋,包括前不久发生的波兰独立运动,都和他们脱不了干系。 The Berlin government dares to declare war to the Kingdom of Denmark, in this has the shadow of UK , France mostly, they want to attack the Russia person taking this opportunity. 柏林政府敢向丹麦王国宣战,这里面多半有英法的影子,他们想借这次机会打击俄国人。 Now the situation of Tsar government is not good, the domestic reform is also in progress, the Central Asia war has started, the Polish independence movement erupted. 现在沙皇政府的情况非常不好,国内的改革还在进行中,中亚战争已经打响,波兰独立运动又爆发了。 So many matter also happen, the finance of Tsar government is very difficult to support a war again. 这么多事情同时发生,沙皇政府的财政很难再支撑一场大战。 If they interfere with the Second Schleswig War, UK , France will support Prussia and they have a client war, further consumes their national strengths, interrupts the reform of Tsar government. 如果他们干涉普丹战争,英法就会支持普鲁士和他们打一场代理人战争,进一步消耗他们的国力,打断沙皇政府的改革。 If the Tsar government chose the concessions, then their international reputations will also drop sharply. Cannot preserve Danish this little brother, the Russia person does not have the qualifications to pose as European hegemon. 如果沙皇政府选择了让步,那么他们的国际声誉也会大跌。保不住丹麦这个小弟,俄国人也没有资格以欧陆霸主自居。 Which choice regardless of the Tsar government makes, will pay the huge price. 无论沙皇政府做出哪一种选择,都会付出巨大的代价。 Perhaps the English favors having a client war, weakens the strength of Russia person ; The French hope takes the opportunity to pull down from the hegemon position the Russia person. ” 或许英国人更加倾向于打一场代理人战争,削弱俄国人的实力;法国人则更加希望借机把俄国人从霸主的位置上拉下来。” From comes up outwardly the analysis, the Prussia government declares war to the Kingdom of Denmark suddenly, that definitely was the UK , France three countries colludes in one, where otherwise the Prussia government had to challenge the courage of Russia person. 从明面上来分析,普鲁士政府突然向丹麦王国宣战,那肯定是英法普三国勾结在了一起,不然普鲁士政府哪里有挑战俄国人的勇气。 Matter that the Junker aristocrat independently decides, insider altogether such several people, these people not possible to pass on toward outside. 容克贵族自作主张的事情,知情者一共就那么几个人,这些人都不可能往外面传。 Including Prussia military many people, thinks that this is the action that the king, cabinet and military orchestrate together, no one has thought this is the senior military decides. 包括普鲁士军方很多人,都认为这是国王、内阁和军方一起策划的行动,根本就没有人想过这是军方高层自行决定的。 Naturally, high-level plan this action, will block the most basic loophole. If changed into the army floor plan, it is estimated that they stupidly were shouting slogan launched the attack „for the unification of German nation”. 当然,也只有高层策划这次行动,才会把最基本的漏洞堵上。如果换成了军队底层策划的,估计他们傻乎乎的喊着“为了德意志民族的统一”口号就发起了进攻。 This is Franz had not detected that beforehand the Prussian movement, he begins using the concealed wiring otherwise certainly, was shouting slogan attack Dane who unifies Germany. 这也是弗朗茨事先没有察觉到普鲁士人的动作,不然的话他保管启用暗线,喊着统一德意志的口号进攻丹麦人。 The political intelligence not miraculous person, who can think political influence that this slogan brings. So long as suffices hot blooded, can encouraging that on the line! 政治头脑不灵光的人,谁能够想到这个口号带来的政治影响。只要够热血,能够鼓舞人心那就行啦！ The political propaganda slogan cannot shout randomly, once the slogan shouted, that could not receive. 政治宣传口号不能乱喊,一旦口号喊出来了,那就收不回去了。 Asking that Prime Minister Felix has doubts: „ But, why can the Prussia government take the millet for the UK , France fire in? 费利克斯首相疑惑的问:“可是,普鲁士政府为什么要替英法火中取粟呢？ For the Schleswig-Holstein two duchies, forms the dead enmity with the Russia person merely, even if the Tsar government cannot attend to them now, in the future will still also definitely retaliate. 仅仅为了石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国,就和俄国人结成死仇,就算是现在沙皇政府顾不上他们,未来也也肯定会报复回去。 Even if the Prussia government is Anti-Russia sends the rule, they cannot disregard the power gap of two countries, blind and does the Russia person become enemies? ” 就算普鲁士政府是反俄派执政,他们也不能够无视两国的实力差距,盲目的和俄国人结仇吧？” The present situation and historically is different, historically in the Crimean War the Russia person discarded the European hegemony, Kingdom of Denmark's importance to Tsar government had dropped, merely is only the issue on face. 现在的情况和历史上不一样,历史上克里米亚战争中俄国人就丢掉了欧洲霸权,丹麦王国对沙皇政府的重要性已经下降了,仅仅只是面子上的问题。 But at this time, Kingdom of Denmark to the Russia person, is not only the issue on face, their European hegemon position. 而这个时候,丹麦王国对俄国人来说,不光是面子上的问题,还有他们欧陆霸主的地位。 The hegemon position had the strength to be good not only, but also needs to obtain everyone's approval. 霸主地位不光有实力就行了,还需要获得大家的认可。 A small Prussia kingdom can challenge their hegemonies, if the suppression, why Russian Empire does become European hegemon? 一个小小的普鲁士王国都可以挑战他们的霸权,如果镇压不下去,俄罗斯帝国凭什么成为欧洲霸主？ Even if Alexander II endures for the domestic reform now, so long as in the future the Russia person wants to strive for the European hegemony, must offer a sacrifice to the flag with the Prussia kingdom. 就算是现在亚历山大二世为了国内改革忍了,未来俄国人只要想争夺欧洲霸权,就必须拿普鲁士王国祭旗。 From this perspective, the approach very non- wisdom of Prussia government. Even if in the short-term gets the interests, in the future will be to still leave a legacy of trouble infinitely. 从这方面来说,普鲁士政府的做法就非常不智。就算是短期内获得利益,未来也是遗祸无穷。 If the luck is not good, punch gate that the Tsar government disregards. Even if there are UK , France to support, even if they won this war, that still meets the vitality to damage severely. 要是运气不好,沙皇政府不管不顾的打上门来。就算是有英法支持,他们就算是打赢了这场战争,那也会元气大伤。 After the Franz brain made up a while, replied: „ Perhaps the Prussia government regarded the mortal enemy the Russia person from the beginning, offends radically indifferently. 弗朗茨脑补了一会儿后,回答道:“恐怕普鲁士政府从一开始就把俄国人当成了死敌,根本无所谓得罪不得罪。 I remember that in the European expansion strategy of Russia person, the first eye of S & P is Poland. 我记得俄国人的欧洲扩张战略中,第一个目标普属波兰。 Was Poland to occupy the Prussia kingdom 46.3 land areas, stood in the Prussian standpoint, the possibility without compromised. 普属波兰占据了普鲁士王国46.3的国土面积,站在普鲁士人的立场上,根本就没有妥协的可能。 Facing one powerful, and may anytime to Russian Empire that they start, they can only close up to UK , France. 面对一个强大、并且随时都有可能对他们下手的俄罗斯帝国,他们只能向英法靠拢。 Now two eldest children, want them to jump to give the Russia person to make trouble, the reward is the Schleswig-Holstein two duchies. 现在两个老大,要他们跳出来给俄国人捣蛋,奖励就是石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国。 The Berlin government does not want to see that the Russia person reforms successfully, since some people support, then on who strikes the first blow has the advantage, hit Russia person one to be caught off guard. 柏林政府也不想看到俄国人改革成功,既然有人支持,那就先下手为强,打俄国人一个措手不及了。 They have the odds of success, so long as takes risk to defeat Russia person one time, not only can eat two duchies, but can also make very soon be Poland to be independent, becomes the cushion between two countries, at one fell swoop change strategical passive. ” 他们也不是没有胜算,只要冒险击败俄国人一次,不但可以吃掉两公国,还可以让俄属波兰独立,成为两国间的缓冲,一举改变战略上的被动。” The brain of Franz makes up the level is very good, in the Prussia government has many people also to think that but is getting more and more far from the truth. 弗朗茨的脑补水平还是很不错的,普鲁士政府中有不少人也是这么认为的,只不过距离真相越来越远。 The Junker aristocrats who are responsible for orchestrating this action, can guarantee with the family glorious, they have not thought far, fight for their benefit merely. 负责策划这次行动的容克贵族们,可以用家族荣耀保证,他们根本就没有想到那么远,仅仅只是为了自身的利益而战。 Beats the Russia person, this is not in their plan scopes. 击败俄国人,这根本就不在他们的计划范围之内。 Strategic planning of Moltke, beats the Dane as soon as possible, then can defend the boundary fort to be OK under the attack of Russia person. 毛奇的战略计划,也只是尽快击败丹麦人,然后能够在俄国人的进攻下守住边界要塞就可以了。 In any case the Tsar government now is a poor devil, the home also has to oppose the conservative faction that reforms holds back, so long as dragging several months, the Russian force can not fight bursts. 反正沙皇政府现在是一个穷鬼,国内又有反对改革的保守派扯后腿,只要拖上几个月时间,俄军就会不战自溃。 The Polish independent body is going against. Before suppressing Poland rebels, the Russian force dispatches troops to attack the Prussia kingdom, has by the rebel army anytime shuts off the possibility of escape route. 况且,还有波兰独立组织顶着。在镇压波兰叛乱前,俄军出兵进攻普鲁士王国,随时都有被叛军切断后路的可能。 It looks like in many people, waited for the Tsar government to suppress Polish rebellion, the wallet had consumed cleanly, where also had money to continue to go to war? 在很多人看来,等沙皇政府镇压了波兰叛乱,钱包早就耗干净了,哪里还有钱继续打仗？ Truth how, with the policy-making not direct causal relation of Vienna government. That feared that was the Prussian sudden brain water penetration, that the decision that did not affect Austria to benefit. 事情的真相如何,和维也纳政府的决策并没有直接因果关系。那怕就是普鲁士人突然脑子进水了,那也不影响奥地利的决策。 Diligently after by oneself accepted the concept of Prussian, Prime Minister Felix says: „ Your majesty, since Prussia both countries must to, then we must make the choice. 努力让自己接受了普鲁士人的观念后,费利克斯首相开口说道:“陛下,既然普俄两国要对上了,那么我们也要做出选择。 Related to the Schleswig-Holstein two duchies, in the Second Schleswig War we have to support Prussian. 涉及到了石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因两公国,在普丹战争中我们不得不支持普鲁士人。 But because the relations of suddenly Austria Union, in then possibly the war of eruption, we must support the Russia person. 可是因为俄奥同盟的关系,在接下来可能爆发的战争中,我们又要支持俄国人。 Now we are also compelled intersection, this choice is very difficult to do. 现在我们也被逼到了十字路口,这个选择很难做。 I suggested that plays the rubber ball to the Russia person, if the Russia person wants Austria to benefit the help, then carves up Prussia on suddenly Austria both countries. 我建议把皮球踢给俄国人,如果俄国人想要奥地利帮忙,那就俄奥两国瓜分普鲁士。 The Russia person obtains to be the Polish area, we obtain to be the German area. In which benefit disparity, we can with the cash compensation. 俄国人获得普属波兰地区,我们获得普属德意志地区。其中的利益差距,我们可以用现金补偿。 If the Russia person is different from carving up the condition, then we announced the neutrality, did not participate in this Prussia dispute. ” 如果俄国人不同于瓜分条件,那么我们就宣布中立,不参与这次普俄纷争。” Franz flips the supercilious look, this where is both countries carves up Prussia, clearly is to make the Russia person speak for the Austria advantage to unify the German area. 弗朗茨翻了翻白眼,这哪里是两国瓜分普鲁士,分明是让俄国人表态支持奥地利统一德意志地区。 Opens the map to know, if the Austria advantage seized to be the German area, the German federation empire was surrounded by Holy Roman. 打开地图就知道,要是奥地利占领了普属德意志地区,德意志联邦帝国就被神罗包围了。 If, Franz was unable to be divided and demoralized and gradually annex the German federation in this case through political means that he is embarrassed by the master of Habsburg dynasty poses as. 如果这种情况下,弗朗茨还不能用政治手段分化瓦解、逐渐吞并德意志联邦,他都不好意思以哈布斯堡王朝的主人自居。 Although the remaining German area territories are not very large, but these lands mostly are the fertile places, the economic development level in the entire Europe is very near the top. 虽然剩下的德意志地区领土面积不大,可是这些土地大都是肥沃之地,经济发展水平在全欧洲都是很靠前的。 Besides the economy, the population of these areas are also many. Did not have to be Poland, the remaining half Prussia kingdoms added on the German federation empire, that also had 1000 7,000,000-8,000,000 population. 除了经济外,这些地区的人口也不少。没有了普属波兰,剩下的半个普鲁士王国加上德意志联邦帝国,那也有一千7,000,000-8,000,000人口。 In addition now new Holy Roman Empire 60 million population, after the merge , the Holy Roman empire exceeded the sum total of UK , France in the population directly. Only calculates the words of native place, in the economic output also surpassed John Bull. 加上现在新神圣罗马帝国的六千万人口,合并后神罗帝国在人口上直接超过了英法的总和。只计算本土的话,经济总量上也超过了约翰牛。 Only if Tsar government collective brain water penetration, otherwise this condition has not resulted in discussed. Emits a Central European jumbo to come, isn't that goes looking for trouble? 除非沙皇政府集体脑子进水了,不然这种条件根本就没得商量。放出一个中欧巨无霸来,那不是自找麻烦么？ True goal of Prime Minister Felix, to block the mouth of Russia person, does not make them open the mouth to the Austria advantage to request reinforcements. 费利克斯首相的真正目的,还是为了堵上俄国人的嘴,不让他们开口向奥地利求援。 Otherwise the Tsar government takes the treaty of alliance of suddenly Austria Union, unceasing must loan and must aid to the Austria advantage, does the Vienna government return does not give? 要不然沙皇政府拿着俄奥同盟的盟约,不断的向奥地利要贷款、要援助,维也纳政府给还是不给？ Gave words, is very easy to cause the repugnance of German nation principle person ; Words that does not give, violated the treaty of alliance, morally cannot be justified. 给了的话,很容易引起德意志民族主义人士的反感;不给的话,又违反了盟约,道义上说不过去。 Now raises this issue, so long as the Russia person refuses to support the Austria advantage to unify the German area, the Tsar government wants to aid again, cannot be righteous. 现在抛出这个问题,只要俄国人拒绝支持奥地利统一德意志地区,沙皇政府再想要援助,也就不能理直气壮了。