The plan cannot catch up forever changes quickly, originally thinks the US civil war that immediately must end, both sides was also by in 1864 refuses to compromise. 计划永远赶不上变化快,本来以为马上就要结束的美国内战,到了1864年双方还处于僵持中。 The battles of hundreds of thousands of army ranks, are not one day two days can fire off. The north and south cannot lose the war, the two sides commanders were the experienced lord, the battle turned into the battle of attrition directly. 数十万大军级别的会战,根本就不是一天两天就能打完的。南北双方都输不起战争,两边的指挥官都是老成持重的主,会战直接变成了消耗战。 The southern army battle efficiency is slightly strong, but the north army people are many. In more than 100 kilometers front, both sides conducted engaged in fierce battle repeatedly, finally had the victory and defeat mutually, generally speaking same. 南方军队战斗力略强,可是北方军队人多。在长达一百多公里的战线上,双方进行了多次鏖战,结果却是互有胜负,总体来说还是半斤八两。 The strength of butterfly effect is strong, south the government with the help of various countries was strengthened, the north government was weakened, increased reduces directly manifests in the battlefield. 蝴蝶效应的力量是强大的,在各国的帮助下南方政府被加强,北方政府被削弱,一增一减直接体现在了战场上。 New York, read the requesting reinforcements telegram in hand, President Lincoln is soon collapsing. This already the N th request reinforcements, since the decisive battle starts, basically every week he will receive 34 requesting reinforcements telegrams. 纽约,看着手中的求援电报,林肯总统都快要崩溃了。这已经第N次要求援兵,自从大决战开始,基本上每个星期他都会收到三四封求援电报。 If who said again: Fights the battle of attrition with the powerful national strength and opposite party, drags the dead rebel army. Lincoln can come up to pull out his several big boxes on the ear. 谁要是再说:用强悍的国力和对方打消耗战,拖死叛军。林肯一定会上去抽他几个大耳刮子。 After the industrial advantage, has the big powers supported, does the north really have the industrial advantage? 工业优势,有了列强支持过后,北方真的还有工业优势么？ The southern rebel army industry manufacturing capacity is limited, haven't others been able to buy? 南方的叛军工业制造能力有限,难道人家还不能买么？ Now the northern government may be unable to blockade the southern harbor, both navies have conducted have engaged in fierce battle repeatedly, the north navy is still not able to gain the victory. 现在北方政府可封锁不了南方港口,双方海军已经进行了多次鏖战,北方海军依然无法取得胜利。 The strength in economy, talked nonsense. Really thinks that the capitalists all are the patriotic members, can abandon for the country selfless contributions? 经济上的优势,更加扯淡。真以为资本家们个个都是爱国分子,可以舍家为国无私奉献？ The class interest is not equal to the personal interest, making money is first. So long as gained, who cares about the US to split? 阶级利益可不等于个人利益,赚钱才是第一位的。只要自己赚到了,谁在乎美国是否会分裂？ The capital borderless is not a joke, but exists. So long as makes money, even left the US, they same can cross moisten. 资本无国界不是一句玩笑,而是真实存在的。只要赚到了钱,就算是离开了美国,他们一样可以过得非常滋润。 Otherwise, the selfless contributions support federal government won the war, finally to the time of carving up the spoils of war: Sorry, this is one with the time that the strength spoke. 反之,无私奉献支持联邦政府赢得了战争,最后到了瓜分战利品的时候:抱歉,这是一个用实力说话的时代。 Although the northern government mass is bigger, wealth that but in fact can transfer, the south government is not worse than them many. 尽管北方政府经济体量更大,可是实际上能够调动的财富,南方政府并不比他们差多少。 At least the southern cotton bond, be favored compared with the northern war bond in the international capital market. West UK , France Austria to support the southern government, received many bonds of southern government. 至少南方的棉花债券,在国际资本市场上要比北方的战争债券受人青睐。英法奥西为了支持南方政府,都接收了南方政府的不少债券。 Being one's turn the northern government was different, or with the foreign exchange payment, either takes the golden silver payment. What thing US dollar is, doesn't everyone know? 轮到北方政府就不一样了,要么拿外汇支付,要么就拿黄金白银支付。美元是什么东东,大家都不认识啊？ Finally the discovery of tragedy, the north government's true advantage is the person are many, can put together the human life with the southern government. 最后悲剧的发现,北方政府真正的优势就是人多,可以和南方政府拼人命。 However this advantage also has the limit, loses extremely seriously, the folk war-weariness will surge upward. 不过这个优势也不是没有限制,损失太过惨重,民间的厌战情绪就会高涨。 Since the decisive battle starts, the average in the battlefield, the north government forces must lose forces of group every day, the requesting reinforcements telegram of processing frontline becomes the routine work of President Lincoln. 自从大决战开始,平均下来战场上,北方政府军每天都要损失一个团的兵力,处理前线的求援电报就成为了林肯总统的日常工作。 President Lincoln face thin and pale asking: „Do my war minister, how long please tell me this battle also to continue?” 林肯总统一脸憔悴的问:“我的战争部长,请告诉我这次会战还会持续多久？” War minister Saimon improved looks to think saying: „Sorry, Mr. President this issue only then God knows. I only know that now cannot be risky, this battle federal government cannot lose.” 战争部长塞蒙-卡美容想了想说:“抱歉,总统阁下这个问题只有上帝才知道。我只知道现在不能够冒险,这次会战联邦政府输不起。” Secretary of state Zafar added: „Then can fall the casualties? According to the present loss speed, it is estimated that suppressed the rebel army, Republic did not have the future.” 国务卿萨法尔补充道:“那么能不能把伤亡降下来？按照现在损失速度,估计把叛军镇压了下去,合众国也没有了未来。” Because of the Franz butterfly effect, the war just broke out, some large number of weaponry were sold to battled the north-south government, the speed of both sides expansion of armaments surpassed the history same time. 因为弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应,战争刚刚爆发,就有大量武器装备被卖给了交战南北政府,双方扩军的速度都超过了历史同期。 What compatible is the training time of soldier greatly reduces, the average the training time of each soldier wants less than 40 days, most crisis the soldier of time federal government, undisciplined one week was delivered the battlefield. 与之相匹配的是士兵的训练时间都大幅度减少,平均下来每名士兵的训练时间只要不足40天,最危机的时候联邦政府的士兵,训练不足一个星期就被送上了战场。 The sequela is casualty situation of both sides, surpassed the history same time. Massive young losses, have threatened the rule of federal government. 后遗症就是双方的伤亡情况,超过了历史同期。大量的青壮损失,已经威胁到了联邦政府的统治。 War minister Saimon improves looks to explain: „ Various State authorities, have the large group of non-white race soldier to make up the number with the criminal and local ruffian, we had not investigated. 战争部长塞蒙-卡美容解释道:“各州政府拿罪犯、地痞流氓、还有人数众多的有色人种士兵凑数,我们都没有追究。 The quality of soldiers is unqualified, casualties inevitable increase, the dying in battle rate/lead of Caucasian soldier, we will at least have fallen. ” 士兵们的质量不合格,伤亡不可避免的会增加,至少白人士兵的阵亡率,我们已经降下来了。” Lincoln hits to block the way immediately: „Your excellency, this words do not say, is the federal soldier, without the division of race understands!” 林肯立即打断道:“阁下,这种话就不要说了,都是联邦士兵,没有人种之分明白么！” Some things can be done, actually cannot say. The political correctness, presented the spearhead in the US of this age. 有些事情可以做,却不能够说出来。政治正确,在这个年代的美国也出现了矛头。 ...... …… Lituman, President Jefferson Davis is also facing the similar issue, the brutal casualties make the southern government be exhausted. 里土满,杰弗逊-戴维斯总统也面临着同样的问题,残酷的伤亡让南方政府疲惫不堪。 The human resources are deficient, become the southern government biggest difficult problem. Although the labor services exporting company is active, is these inexpensive labors from African continent is not easy-to-use, after must undergo the strict training, can become the qualified labor force. 人力资源匮乏,成为了南方政府最大的难题。劳务输出公司虽然活跃,可是这些来自非洲大陆的廉价劳工并不好用,必须要经过严格的训练后才能成为合格的劳动力。 If the northern government is willing to compromise, he did not mind that immediately stops the war. Continues to hit, the manpower insufficient southern government, is very difficult to put together the northern government. 如果北方政府愿意妥协,他不介意马上停止战争。继续打下去,人力不足的南方政府,很难拼得过北方政府。 Naturally, they do not fear the northern government, if really fights to the last drop of blood, dragging the northern government to be finished together can achieve. At least they believe, can achieve. 当然,他们并不惧怕北方政府,真要是血战到底,拖着北方政府一起完蛋还是可以做到的。至少他们自认为,能够做得到。 Less than four years, because the total population of civil war US dropped 5, this is establishes, in massive Asian and blacks flood into under the background. 不足四年时间,因为内战美国的总人口下降了五,这还是建立在大量的亚裔和黑人涌入背景下。 The northern government stretches across the thing two oceans, occupied small advantage that receives the Asian immigrants, but south government's relations because of geographical position, receive mostly is the African immigrant. 北方政府横跨东西两洋,占据了接收亚洲移民的便宜,而南方政府因为地理位置的关系,接收的大都是非洲移民。 At present at least 400,000 active duty black person soldiers, in fight for the south government, the died in battle black person soldier total surpassed 250,000. 目前至少有四十万现役黑人士兵,在为南方政府而战,已经阵亡的黑人士兵总数都超过了二十五万。 In order to encourage the slave-owner leads on the black slave soldier the battlefield, the federal government also started out the double compensatory payments, after all the well-trained black slave is the outstanding cannon fodder, but the black person labor who just arrived is unruly. 为了鼓励奴隶主带着黑奴士兵上战场,联邦政府还开出了双倍的补偿金,毕竟训练有素黑奴是优秀的炮灰,而刚刚抵达的黑人劳工还桀骜不驯。 In order to encourage the morale of black person soldier, at insistence of Robert Li, the confederation government relieved slave of black slave soldier. Also started out the large amount of enjoying standard, for example: Every time kills two enemy soldiers, a reward black slave, or is the equal wealth. 为了鼓励黑人士兵的士气,在罗伯特-李的坚持下,邦联政府解除了黑奴士兵的奴籍。还开出了巨额的赏格,比如说:每击毙两名敌军士兵,就奖励一名黑奴,或者是等价的财富。 The direct sequela is in the army that the black person soldier composes, almost cannot see the captive. 直接后遗症就是黑人士兵组成的军队中,几乎见不到俘虏。 Asking that President Jefferson Davis cares about: „Did Mr. Robert, the English comply to dispatch troops to interfere?” 杰弗逊-戴维斯总统关心的问:“罗伯特先生,英国人答应出兵干涉了么？” The snake headless is not good, as interfering in the alliance strives biggest John Bull, becomes the hegemon deservingly. 蛇无头不行,作为干涉联盟中出力最大的约翰牛,当之无愧的成为了盟主。 Now the north and south refuse to budge, the good time of interfering with. Interferes with an allied armies appearance, undermined strength balance of both sides instantaneously. 现在南北双方僵持不下,正是干涉的好时候。干涉联军一出现,瞬间就打破了双方的实力平衡。 Even is a country begins, can become the last straw that crushes the camel, undermines the strength balances of north and south. 甚至是其中一个国家动手,都可以成为压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草,打破南北双方的实力平衡。 Secretary of state Robert is frowning saying: „ English also wants to visit us to kill one another, the war projected on the present in any case, does not have the victor. 国务卿罗伯特皱着眉头说:“英国人还想看着我们自相残杀,反正战争打到了现在,已经没有了胜利者。 In this great battle the casualties have reached as high as 380,000, died in battle 110,000 people ; The northern government soon approached 600,000, died in battle at least 180,000 people. 这次大会战中我们的伤亡人数已经高达38万,其中阵亡11万人;北方政府更是快要逼近了60万,阵亡至少18万人。 Even if won this battle, in a short time we have not continued to expand the ability of victory, the north government very many, everyone could not hit. ” 即便是赢得了这次会战,短时间内我们也没有继续扩大战果的能力,北方政府也好不了多少,大家都打不下去了。” Vice president Alexander opposes saying: „ This perhaps not necessarily, battle biggest role in morale, but not only looks at the casualties. 副总统亚历山大反对道:“这恐怕未必,会战最大的作用在军心士气上,而不仅仅只是看伤亡人数。 Casualties again how serious, as victor at least also hundreds of thousands mobile military, so long as the morale is exuberant, the continual combat can also insist. 伤亡再怎么惨重,作为胜利者至少也有十几万机动兵力,只要军心士气旺盛,连续作战也是可以坚持的。 When the time comes, the loser can only attach to interfere with the allied armies. At crucial moments acts, they can get the maximum benefit. ” 到时候,失败者只能依附干涉联军。在危难时刻出手,他们才能够获得最大利益。” This is the fact, an army of morale high, often can defeat several times morale lax army. After this great battle ended, hundreds of thousands armies have been able to control the result of this civil war. 这是事实,一支士气旺盛的军队,往往可以击败数倍士气涣散的军队。这次大会战结束过后,十几万军队已经能够左右这次内战的结果了。 However this could not have threatened to interfere with the allied armies, 200,000 new forces join, can change the situation in battlefield instantaneously. For a bigger benefit, the English is naturally willing to wait to decide the victory and defeat to act again. 不过这还威胁不到干涉联军,有二十万生力军加入,瞬间就可以扭转战场上的局势。为了更大的利益,英国人自然愿意等分出了胜负再出手。 This is the difference of reality and theory. Theoretically the northern government total military strength about 2 million, the south government total military strength 1 million, interfere with the allied armies 200,000 to play less than the major role radically. 这是现实与理论的差别。理论上北方政府总兵力两百万开外,南方政府总兵力一百万,干涉联军才二十万根本就起不到多大作用。 In fact, the total military strength was not equal to that can put in the military of combat, what various provinces must first safeguard is safe, rather than takes the combat completely. 实际上,总兵力不等于能够投入作战的兵力,各州首先要保障的是自身安全,而不是全部拿出去作战。 Next, has the battle efficiency army. Takes northern government for instance, if in 2 million armies half of armies are the main forces, then can rolling southern 2-3. 其次,就是有战斗力部队。以北方政府为例,两百万军队中如果有一半的部队是主力,那么都可以辗压南方2-3遍了。 But the actual situation, do not say half of principal forces, 1/10 principal forces do not have, can hit except for that hundreds of thousands army comparisons, remaining is a motley crew. 而实际情况,不要说一半的主力部队,十分之一的主力部队都没有,除了那十几万军队比较能打的,剩下都是乌合之众。 You cannot count on 16,000 people of rookies armies, is divided into two porter civil wars, trains 1 million in less than four years elite. 你不能指望一万六千人的菜鸟陆军,分成两波打内战,在不到四年时间内就训练出百万精锐来。 In the history, decided north and south victories and defeats often is tens of thousands people of battle scales. If both sides are striving for steadily, does not hate to invest the elite army show-hand, is insufficient to present such large-scale battle. 历史上,决定南北双方胜负的往往都是几万人的交战规模。如果双方都在求稳,舍不得投入精锐部队梭哈,也不至于出现这么大规模的会战。 Silent a while, Jefferson Davis said: „Contacts with the northern government secret, explained the situation to them. If not want to make the English pick up a bargain, acknowledged us to be independent, ended this war.” 沉默了一会儿,杰弗逊-戴维斯开口说道:“和北方政府秘密接触,向他们说明情况。如果不想让英国人捡便宜的话,就承认我们独立,结束这场战争。” Secretary of state Robert shakes the head saying: „ It is estimated that has no chance, we negotiate the solution truly the loss to arrive in secret lowly, but the politicians of north government cannot shoulder this responsibility. 国务卿罗伯特摇了摇头说:“估计没有什么希望,我们私底下谈判解决确实可以把损失将到最低,但是北方政府的政客们承担不起这个责任。 I do not think them because is patriotic, is willing to make contact with own political life, will encounter the retaliation of capitalists in the future. ” 我不认为他们会因为爱国,就愿意搭上自己的政治生命,甚至未来遭到资本家们的报复。” This is the practical problem, the Archduke selfless person forever is a few. After the history, the south government is at a disadvantage, hadn't they been the rebel for oneself benefit? 这是现实问题,大公无私的人永远都是少数。历史上,南方政府处于下风过后,他们这些人还不是为了自己的利益做了叛徒？ Counted on that the northern government is the Archduke selfless patriot, this not compared with probability high many of lottery ticket. 指望北方政府都是大公无私的爱国主义者,这不比中彩票的几率高多少。 Under the big powers military force interferes, caused the federal government to split, the politicians can also fling the pot to go out. 在列强的武力干涉下,造成了联邦政府分裂,政客们还可以甩锅出去。 This age Europe big powers are powerful, the failure is not because they are incompetent, but is the enemy is too powerful, is completely the antiwar crime. 这个年代欧洲列强实力雄厚,失败不是因为他们无能,而是敌人太强大,完全是非战之罪。