The four directions negotiations are also in progress, a crisis has come quietly. The capitalist country overcapacity has fed back in the market, for keeps in stock, the British capitalists increased to dumping of all countries in the world. 四方谈判还在进行中,一场危机已经悄然而至。资本主义世界产能过剩已经反馈到了市场上,为了去库存,英国资本家加大了对世界各国的倾销。 First met with a disaster is the American, even under the Franz butterfly effect, the Austria advantage diverged part of international capital, but this cannot solve the crisis of US. 最先遭殃的就是美国人,即便是弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应下,奥地利分流了一部分国际资本,可这并不能解决美国的危机。 From 1848 to 1858, the American constructed 25000 kilometers railroad, compared with historically was short of 8000 kilometers, the railroad bubble does not have historically is so serious finally. 从1848年到1858年,美国人建设了25000公里铁路,比历史上少了8000公里,铁路泡沫总算是没有历史上那么严重。 It is a pity that in the situation of US railroad enterprise rapid growth, the peripheral industry had not actually been driven. Under the competition of British commodity, the metallurgic industry also shrank, the cotton spinning industry is the development is also slow. 遗憾的是在美国铁路事业高速发展的情况下,周边产业却并没有被带动起来。在英国商品的竞争下,冶金行业还出现了萎缩,棉纺产业也是发展缓慢。 The railway rail, pig iron, motorcycle, cotton fabric, hardware and machinery...... are flooding the British product, local industry extruded being hard to start. 铁轨、生铁、机车、棉布、五金、机械……都充斥着英国产品,本土产业被挤压的举步维艰。 Now the English intensified the dumping effort, these industries cannot bear. First received the cotton spinning industry of impact, began bankrupt tide. 现在英国人加大了倾销力度,这些产业就受不了。首先受到了冲击的棉纺业,拉开了破产潮的序幕。 Quick affected the stock market, the stock price flowed swiftly was beyond redemption, more enterprises were involved. 很快就波及到了股市,股价一泻就不可收拾了,更多的企业被牵连了进去。 Massive factory bankruptcies, the bank and financial company are not naturally able to cultivate one's own moral worth, massive bad debts appear, the run crisis breaks out, the bank goes bankrupt. 大量的工厂破产,银行、金融公司自然是无法独善其身,大量的烂账出现,挤兑危机爆发,银行破产。 The economic crisis of US affected Britain quickly, the atrophy of market, the British industry and commerce exit|to speak was also under the impact, massive enterprise bankruptcies, lost seriously as the British capitalists of investor. 美国的经济危机很快就波及到了英国,市场的萎缩,英国工商业出口也受到了冲击,大量的企业破产,作为投资者的英国资本家们也损失惨重。 The capitalists responded that is keen, to secure against loss, deals with the home possibly eruption the economic crisis, the British capitalists in abundance from the US market withdrawing fund. 资本家们反应是敏锐的,为了止损,应对国内可能爆发的经济危机,英国资本家们纷纷从美国市场抽回资金。 Under this situation, 1857 autumn US money market had the cash squeeze, the entire banking system was paralyzed, in 63 banks in New York had 62 to stop the payment, the discount rate surpassed 60. 在这种背景下,1857秋季美国金融市场出现了钱荒,整个银行系统都瘫痪了,纽约的63家银行中有62家停止了支付,贴现率超过了60。 The economic crisis fully broke out in the US, without the protection US market is frail, this economic crisis induced the US civil war directly. 经济危机在美国全面爆发了,没有保护的美国市场是脆弱的,这次经济危机直接诱发了美国内战。 The northern capitalists need more inexpensive labor force increases the profit, the need tariff barrier protects their interests ; But the southern plantation Lord is just the opposite, they need to reduce the tariff, so that export cotton, with purchase inexpensive industry and commerce product. 北方的资本家们需要更廉价的劳动力增加利润,需要关税壁垒保护他们的利益;而南方的种植园主们则恰恰相反,他们需要降低关税以便出口棉花,和购买廉价的工商业制品。 Under the stimulation of economic crisis, the northern industry Lord decided to throw off the table, started to promote the waste slave and trade barrier advantage, prepared to choke to death the southern plantation Lord source of wealth from the source. 在经济危机的刺激下,北方的工业主们决定掀翻桌子了,开始鼓吹废奴和贸易壁垒的好处,准备从源头上掐死南方种植园主们的财源。 Obviously this is not the south plantation lord can accept, abolishes slavery everyone also to endure, indentured worker system not compared with slavery difference many, but the issue in tariff had no way to discuss. 显然这不是南方种植园主能够接受的,废除奴隶制大家还可以忍受,包身工制度并不比奴隶制差多少,可是关税上的问题就没法商量了。 The northern industry and commerce product, poor-quality, efficiency is low, price is also expensive, why do we want to use? 北方的工商业产品,质量差、效率低、价格又贵,我们凭什么要用？ Let alone the tariff increases, the grain, cotton and tobacco exit|to speak can come under the fatal blow, every time increases one US dollar tax revenue, they must reduce one US dollar profit, is stealing their money completely. 何况关税增加,粮食、棉花、烟草出口都会遭到致命打击,每增加一美元税收,他们就要减少一美元的利润,完全就是在抢他们的钱。 Conflicts of interest of both sides are too serious, is impossible to discuss gathers together, southern plantation that finally is at a disadvantage Lord, started the noisy independence. 双方的利益冲突太严重,根本就不可能谈拢,最后处于下风的南方种植园主们,就开始闹独立了。 The US erupts the economic crises and Austria advantage not many relations, the volume of trade between two countries is small, everyone is the agricultural product exporter, competition of both sides is bigger than the cooperation. 美国爆发经济危机和奥地利没有多少关系,两国间的贸易额非常小,大家都是农产品出口国,双方的竞争大于合作。 But after the economic crisis affects Britain, various European countries were hard to cultivate one's own moral worth, Austria benefitted is also no exception. 可是当经济危机波及到英国后,欧洲各国都难以独善其身了,奥地利也不可能例外。 Vienna palace 维也纳宫 Prime minister Felix said seriously: The economy that „ your majesty, the US erupts has affected Britain, how long will unable to affect us. 首相费利克斯严肃的说:“陛下,美国爆发的经济已经波及到了英国,要不了多久就会影响到我们。 Once the English reassigns the fund to leave, the domestic many enterprises will appeared underfunded, then lead to the economic crisis. ” 一旦英国人抽调资金离开,国内的很多企业都会出现资金不足,进而爆发经济危机。” Franz reply calmly: „This is the inevitable result, we will at least be prepared early, the home will not have cash desolate, so long as will guarantee the normal remittance of banking industry, crisis in controllable range.” 弗朗茨若无其事的回答道:“这是必然的结果,至少我们早有准备,国内不会出现钱荒,只要保证银行业的正常汇兑,危机就在可控范围内。” The people nod in abundance, to resolve economic crisis, the Vienna government made many preparations, first locked part of capital, keeping them from flowing goes out, issued the large bond to save the fund. 众人纷纷点头,为了应对经济危机,维也纳政府可是做了很多准备,先是套牢了一部分资本,让他们无法流出去,又是发行了巨额债券积攒资金。 Now even if some UK , France capital retreat, in the Vienna government hand still has a large amount of pounds and francs, can directly conduct cashing, will not cause gold and silver to flow out. 现在就算是有部分英法资本撤退,维也纳政府手中也持有大量的英镑、法郎,可以直接进行兑付,不会造成金银外流。 First Lord of the Treasury Carl proposed: „ Your majesty, crisis also in controllable range, then the huge fund flowing examination and approval system, can postpone the implementation. 财政大臣卡尔提议道:“陛下,危机还在可控范围之内,那么巨额资金流动审批制度,是不是可以暂缓实施。 After all does that will harm our reputations, unless it is absolutely essential, does not need to do that. ” 毕竟这么做会有损我们的声誉,不到万不得已,没有必要这么做。” This age, between various countries the capital can circulate at will, does not have any limiting condition. As first lord who eats the crab, might become the hero, bigger may become the martyr. 这个年代,各国之间资本都是可以随意流通的,没有任何限制条件。作为第一个吃螃蟹的主,有可能会成为英雄,更大的可能还是成为烈士。 Once were loathed by capitalists, in the future international trade, to the Austria advantage very disadvantageous. 一旦遭到了资本家们的反感,在未来的国际贸易中,对奥地利会非常的不利。 Franz thinks saying: „ Examination must have, can issue the circular, the resource flows of over 100,000 aegises, must report for 1 ~ 3 months to report ahead of time. 弗朗茨想了想说:“审批还是要有的,可以发布通告,超过十万神盾的资金流动,必须要提前申报1~3个月申报。 We ensure all legitimate resource flows are unzoned, the origin fund that is unable to determine, must explain that comes clearly severely, confirmed that is not the illegal gains can leave the country. 我们保证所有的合法资金流动不受限制,无法确定的来源资金,必须要解释清楚来厉,证实不是非法所得才可以离境。 Giving a pretext the government can look, for example: Certain organized crime groups, transfer fund ; Is certain corrupt officials, in shift finance...... 借口政府可以多找一些,比如说:某些黑社会集团,转移资金;或者是某些贪官,在转移财政…… While economic crisis before the Austria advantage erupts implements, so as to avoid makes everyone believe, we are mobile in the limit economic freedom. ” 趁着经济危机在奥地利爆发前实施,免得让大家认为,我们在限制经济自由流动。” Validity that checks a fund, this will increase a lot of work to the government, to crack down on crime, increasing a little cost is also acceptable. 清查一遍资金的合法性,这会给政府增加大量的工作,可是为了打击犯罪,增加一点儿成本也是可以接受的。 As for the limit resource flow, this is not worth mentioning completely, can report ahead of time. Most also increased a protective umbrella to the money market, lets time that the government has prepares ahead of time. 至于限制资金流动,这完全不值得一提,可以提前申报嘛。最多也就是给金融市场增加了一层保护伞,让政府有提前准备的时间。 The money crisis that otherwise, presents like the US, learns from another's mistakes. Suddenly, massive foreign capitals must leave, the government absolutely does not have the reaction time, can only swallow this bitter fruit. 不然,像美国出现的货币危机,就是前车之鉴。突然之间,大量的外资要离开,政府根本就没有反应时间,只能吞下这枚苦果。 „Yes, your majesty!” “是,陛下！” ...... …… Besides increasing a financial firewall, Vienna government anything had not done, now or capitalism free-market economy time, the government many intervention economies will cause the repugnance of many. 除了增加了一道金融防火墙外,维也纳政府就什么都没有做了,现在还是资本主义自由市场经济时代,政府过多的干预经济会引起很多人的反感。 Franz does not know how should intervene. In any event, the overcapacity is the indisputable fact, this issue radically is the non-solution difficult problem. 况且,弗朗茨也不知道该怎么干预。无论如何,产能过剩是不争的事实,这个问题根本就是无解的难题。 The industrial capacity that in 1857 Austria benefitted was 1847 more than four times, the far ultra world averages, the sequela naturally was the overcapacity. 1857年奥地利的工业产能是1847年的四倍多,远超世界平均水平,后遗症自然是产能过剩了。 This was the inevitable result that the industrialization brought, the efficiency that the machinery produced produces artificially high were too more , the growth of market could not catch up with the growth of industrial capacity obviously. 这是工业化带来的必然结果,机械生产的效率比人工生产高太多了,市场的增长显然赶不上工业产能的增长。 Therefore after the first Industrial Revolution, each after a period of time, the capitalist country will lead to an economic crisis. 因此第一次工业革命后,每过一段时间,资本主义世界都会爆发一次经济危机。 Searches for the new market, in this time actually unusual talking nonsense. Presents under the background of economic crisis in all countries in the world one after another, where also has what market. 寻找新的市场,在这个时候其实非常的扯淡。在世界各国纷纷出现经济危机的背景下,哪里还有什么市场。 This is not the later generation, the places of some people have the market. The present productive forces are limited, the social wealth of creating are also limited, most people absolutely do not have the purchasing power. 这不是后世,有人的地方就有市场。现在的生产力有限,创造出来的社会财富也有限,绝大部分人根本就没有购买力。 Take Russian Empire for instance, first of 70 million population situated in Europe, on the surface this is a big market. 以俄罗斯帝国为例,七千万人口位居欧洲第一,表面上看来这是一个大市场。 In fact besides that 10 million aristocrats and freemen, remaining is a serf, their personal freedom do not have, what purchasing power discussed? 实际上除了那一千万贵族、自由民外,剩下的都是农奴,他们人身自由都没有,谈什么购买力？ This limited market, had been carved up, wants to continue to increase the exit|to speak, waits for the Tsar government to complete the serfdom reform! 这有限的市场,早就被瓜分一空了,想要继续增加出口,等沙皇政府完成农奴制改革吧！ The dependence colony market also talked nonsense, besides India, Cuba, the Philippines, Southeast Asia and other few colonies, other overseas colony was at mostly treats the development condition. 依靠殖民地市场也是扯淡,除了印度、古巴、菲律宾、南洋等少量殖民地外,别的海外殖民地大都处于待开发状态。 The immigration quantity are small, the native also does not have the purchasing power, wants the exit|to speak manufactured products, could not find the buyer. 移民数量少,当地人又没有购买力,想要出口工业产品,都找不到买家。 In this case, the overcapacity happens, the economic crisis was inevitable. The best choice does not cover the cover, but makes the crisis erupt. 这种情况下,产能过剩一旦出现,经济危机就不可避免了。最佳的选择不是捂住盖子,而是让危机爆发出来。 Superior win and inferior wash out, the powerhouse survives, the weak one was finished. This is also promotes the science and technology the power, does not want to mark by the enterprise that the competitor crushes to death, must replace the equipment promptly, eliminates the backward capacity. 优胜劣汰,强者生存,弱者完蛋。这也是推动科学技术进步的动力,不想原地踏步被竞争对手挤死的企业,就必须要及时更换设备,淘汰落后产能。 That feared that is the knockoff enterprise, must strive for success, responded is not very about, the copy ability, cost to be not very low weak, will die. 那怕是山寨企业,也必须要拼搏,要不是反应不够快、仿造能力不够强、成本不够低,也是会死掉的。 The time, had spread in a hurry France from Britain to the end of 1857 economic crisis. Arrived at the beginning of 1858, the economic crisis continued to expand Belgium and Austria to benefit, the German area...... 时间匆匆而过,到了1857年底经济危机从英国蔓延到了法国。到了1858年初,经济危机继续扩大到了比利时、奥地利、德意志地区…… The entire continental Europe, besides has not completed the reform outside Russian Empire, no one can cultivate one's own moral worth. Under the attack of economic crisis, various countries are the loss are serious. 整个欧洲大陆,除了还没有完成改革的俄罗斯帝国外,没有人能够独善其身。在经济危机的打击下,各国都是损失惨重。