With order of Franz, Bavaria lived it up. 随着弗朗茨的一声令下,巴伐利亚就热闹了起来。 Prime Minister Felix spoke in Munich has the function, the younger generation of Bavaria by the repertoire, was being pondered how mostly the German area should unify. 费利克斯首相在慕尼黑演讲还是有作用的,巴伐利亚的年轻一代大都被套路了,一个个都在思考德意志地区该如何统一。 This wants to have problems. By their social stories, cannot consider the issue comprehensively, looked that the issue is easy to carry too far. 这一想就出问题了。以他们的社会阅历,根本就不能够全面考虑问题,看问题非常容易走极端。 If no one had the rhythm also even, what a pity had preparation Franz possibly to let go this opportunity early? 如果没有人带节奏也就算了,可惜早有准备的弗朗茨怎么可能放弃这个机会呢？ The experts jump to express the opinion in abundance, attacks the Bavaria government people in power for own benefit, is disrupting the unification of German area. 一个个专家学者纷纷跳出来发表意见,抨击巴伐利亚政府当权者为了自己的利益,正在破坏德意志地区的统一。 In most people opinion, reconstructing Holy Roman is not the best choice, is actually the most suitable choice, when the road of peaceful unification died of suffocation, was only left over the military force to be unified. 在大多数人看来,重建神罗不是最好的选择,却是最适合的选择,当和平统一的路被堵死了,就只剩下武力统一了。 Perhaps some people long for performing good deeds in the war, but this absolutely is not the civil war. 或许有人渴望在战争中建功立业,但这绝对不是内战。 By influence that Prime Minister Felix spoke, these bragged that the students of elite class could not endure, they think that oneself should make anything for the national unification, cannot look at the government to act unreasonably helplessly. 受费利克斯首相演讲的影响,这些自诩精英阶层的学生们忍受不住了,他们认为自己应该为国家统一做点儿什么,不能眼睁睁的看着政府乱来。 The demonstration, this meaningful activity, was treated as to make the voice by them the best way. 游行示威,这种有意义的活动,就被他们当做发出自己声音的最佳方式。 Everyone is the intellectual, even paraded can still find the legal principle theory of law basis, before former king Ludwigg abdicated, gave the speech, becomes everyone's flag. 大家都是知识分子,就算是游行也能找到法理依据,前任国王路德维希退位前发表了演讲,就成为了大家的旗帜。 ( Affected Ludwigg to abdicate by Great Revolution, to draw in the popular sentiment, he openly said: The royal family will devote to unification in German area) (受大革命影响路德维希退位,为了收拢民心,他公开表示:王室将致力于德意志地区的统一) Maximilian II had a headache, this political bomb detonation. Even if Europe does not have the ancestor family discipline immutable view, but before the senior king abdicates the opinion, similarly has the political potency. 马克西米利安二世头疼了,这颗政治炸弹引爆了。即便是欧洲没有祖宗家法不可变的说法,但是老国王退位前的言论,同样拥有政治效力。 Now everyone wants the king to come out to give a view, since the royal family devotes to the unification in German area, approach that then the government runs counter now, gives what explanation? 现在大家要国王出来给个说法,既然王室致力于德意志地区的统一,那么现在政府背道而驰的做法,又做何解释呢？ Interrogated , is not only the king, the cabinet ministers also encountered national's interrogation. Everyone's attitude is very clear, opposes to establish Holy Roman, but can you draw up a German unified program plan? 受到质问的不光是国王,内阁大臣也遭到了国民的质问。大家的态度很明确,反对建立神罗可以,但是你总得拿出一个德意志统一的计划方案吧？ No matter is feasible, at least must be able to convince everyone theoretically, obtains most people's approval. 不管可不可行,起码要能够在理论上说服大家,获得大部分人的认可。 Maximilian II anxious asking of: „Present what to do, is outside national waiting for us to answer?” 马克西米利安二世焦急的问道:“诸位现在怎么办,外面的国民正等着我们答复？” They have the preparation, is the beforehand contingency plan, is used to deal with some people to cause trouble. The present issue is, haven't these people caused trouble? 他们不是没有准备,可是之前的应急预案,都是用来对付有人闹事的。现在的问题是,这些人没有闹事啊？ This time a crowd that participates in the demonstration, the quality may compared with usually want high many, is not only the worker and student, the middle classes, capitalists, the sociologists and aristocrats participate. 这次参加游行示威的人群,质量可比平常要高的多,不在只是工人和学生,还有中产阶级、资本家、社会学者、贵族参与。 Broad of coverage, related to all communities of Kingdom of Bavaria, even if the Bavaria government suspected that this person of organizations, in their hands do not have the evidence, does not dare to act rashly. 覆盖面之广,涉及到了巴伐利亚王国的所有群体,就算是巴伐利亚政府怀疑这是有人组织的,他们手中没有证据,也不敢轻举妄动。 Great Revolution just in the past shortly, everyone has a lingering fear, does not dare to act unreasonably, for fear that caused the social agitation. 大革命才刚刚过去不久,大家都心有余悸,不敢乱来,生怕引起了社会动荡。 Prime minister Austria Guste replied: „Your majesty, the best way is to draw up one German reunification plan now, convincing people as far as possible.” 首相奥古斯特回答道:“陛下,现在最好的办法是拿出一套德意志统一方案来,尽可能的说服民众。” In fact now the entire German area, each state government is preparing own reunification plan, since must oppose to reconstruct Holy Roman, must have the new substitute commodity. 实际上现在整个德意志地区,各个邦国政府都在准备自己的统一方案,既然要反对重建神罗,必然就要有新的代替品。 Otherwise is such that Felix attacks, „all day does not do the concrete deeds, knows that to oppose to oppose”. 不然就是费利克斯抨击的那样,“整天不干实事,就知道为了反对而反对”。 „Prime minister, what idea has?” Maximilian II asked “首相,有什么想法？”马克西米利安二世问道 Austria Guste replied: „ Your majesty, we can change a next beforehand plan, planned to change external appearances only the three-country cabinets on the line. 奥古斯特回答道:“陛下,我们可以改变一下之前的计划,把三国内阁计划重新改头换面就行了。 The reason is the same: state of German area were too many, if everyone participates in the decision together, daily remaining quarrelled. 理由还是一样:德意志地区的邦国太多了,要是大家一起参与进决策中,天天就剩下吵架了。 The optimization is replaced many small state by Bavaria, benefits Prussia to form balanced in the central government and Austria, common control this empire. 最佳选择是由巴伐利亚代替诸多小邦国,在中央政府中和奥地利普鲁士形成一个平衡,共同主宰这个帝国。 Naturally this proposition, is definitely impossible to earn other state support, but is used to convince the national is really feasible, Bavaria can gain the biggest advantage. 当然这个提议,肯定不可能获得别的邦国支持,但是用来说服国民确是可行的,巴伐利亚可以获得最大的好处。 So long as Austria can accept to form the three-country cabinets altruistic, we support to reconstruct Holy Roman Empire . ” 只要奥地利人能够接受组建三国内阁,我们就支持重建神圣罗马帝国。” Hesitant, Maximilian II set firm resolve, said: „Good, manages.” 犹豫了一下,马克西米利安二世下定了决心,说:“好,就这么办。” Does that will offend small state, but two power harm to choose the lesser. Offended these small state, nothing but protests several, if not give a domestic populace confession, must affect to rule the foundation. 这么做会得罪小邦国,可是两权相害取其轻。得罪了这些小邦国,也无非是抗议几句而已,要是不给国内民众一个交代,就要影响统治基础了。 Since earning the support of big powers, the courage of Bavaria government was bigger. If were not Austria were too strong, they wanted the military force to unify German numerous small state. 自从获得列强的支持后,巴伐利亚政府的胆子就大了很多。如果不是普奥太强了一点儿,他们都想要武力统一德意志众多小邦国了。 This Bavaria government also raises one's head for everyone, crushes the Holy Roman plan that Austria benefitted, even if the slogan shouts that now excessive a little, everyone is still understandable. 况且,这次巴伐利亚政府还为大家出了头,粉碎了奥地利的神罗计划,就算是现在口号喊过分了一点儿,想必大家也是可以理解的。 ...... …… On March 4 , 1853, UK , France lit the Crimean War, intended to disrupt the deployment of Russia person. 1853年3月4日,英法就点燃了克里米亚战争,一出手就打乱了俄国人的部署。 The strategy of English not wrong, the Tsar government is really tired out from the press. After new front, in the Balkan Peninsula the logistics supply of Russian force fell on the Austria advantage. 英国人的战略没有错,沙皇政府真的在疲于奔命了。新增一条战线过后,巴尔干半岛上俄军的后勤补给都落到了奥地利身上。 The one who made the allied armies pleasantly surprised was, invested in the Russian force to Crimean War, not only the battle efficiency was low, weaponry also rotten extraordinary, can definitely can be the beggar army. 令联军惊喜的是,投入到克里米亚战争中的俄军,不但战斗力低下,就连武器装备也烂的出奇,完全可以算得上是叫花子军队。 Without the means that the Tsar government is also very helpless. The elite army of Russian force, filled in the Balkan battlefield mostly, or also went to the Caucasus battlefield, remaining is the second-tier armies, or is the reserve force. 没有办法,沙皇政府也很无奈。俄军的精锐部队,大都填了巴尔干战场,要不也去了高加索战场,剩下的都是二线部队,或者是预备役部队。 The training is insufficient, the weaponry is not good, fights a eruption, the Russia person naturally suffers a loss. The terrain and climate of Crimean War, harm the allied armies that did not adapt, now decided the victory and defeat on both sides. 训练不够、武器装备不行,战斗一爆发,俄国人自然就吃了大亏。要不是克里米亚战争的地形、气候,坑苦了不适应的联军,现在就双方分出了胜负。 Vienna 维也纳 The First Lord of the Treasury Carl sinking sound said: „Your majesty, the Russia person applied to loan to us again, the bond sale of Tsar government met coldly in the market, overwhelming majority investors were worried that they will break a contract.” 财政大臣卡尔沉声说:“陛下,俄国人再次向我们申请贷款,沙皇政府的债券销售在市场上遇冷,绝大部分投资者都担心他们会违约。” Franz was disinclined to complain the Russia person, prestige difference to this situation, no one. Even put out the collateral, the investors was worried that they broke a contract. 弗朗茨都懒得吐槽俄国人了,信誉差到这个地步,也没有谁了。就算是拿出了抵押品,投资者都担心他们违约。 This has not had groundless fears, Russian bear has the precedent. The ordinary debt repudiated a debt even, had the debt of collateral, they can invent the excuse to repudiate a debt similarly. 这还不是杞人忧天,毛熊是有先例的。普通债务赖账就算了,就连有抵押品的债务,他们同样可以制造借口赖账。 For example mortgaged the mine, they can specifically aim at this ore to levy at sixes and sevens tax revenue, compelling investor to draw back. 比如说抵押了矿场,他们可以专门针对这座矿征收乱七八糟的税收,逼投资者自己退出去。 Also mortgaged the tax money for example, finally makes creditor receive, the prerequisite is coming up that you can receive. 又比如说抵押了税款,结果就让债主自己去收,前提条件是你能够收的上来。 ...... …… The evil that the ancestor makes, is one's turn Nicholas I now. The bloody lesson are too many, the done present capital market has a lingering fear to them. 祖宗做的孽,现在了轮到尼古拉一世还了。血淋淋的教训太多,搞的现在资本市场对他们还是心有余悸。 Even if Nicholas I am restoring the prestige diligently, still no helps. Few for the effort of person, their credit very difficult command market to accept. 即便是尼古拉一世在努力恢复信誉,依然是于事无补。没有几代人的努力,他们的信用很难令市场所接受。 Has a look at various European countries to distribute the paper money, they still made the currency to know in the direct use gold and silver only, was not only in the international market the deficient prestige, the domestic capital market same suspected the credibility of Tsar government. 看看欧洲各国都在发行纸币,唯独他们还在直接使用金银做货币就知道了,不光是国际市场上缺乏信誉,就连国内的资本市场一样怀疑沙皇政府的信誉。 Franz said without hesitation: „Told the Russia person, our finances were also difficult, are incapable of giving them to provide the huge loan, suggested that they went to the capital market of neutral country to try.” 弗朗茨毫不犹豫的说:“告诉俄国人,我们的财政也非常困难,无力给他们提供巨额贷款,建议他们去中立国的资本市场试试。” He feared, the Russia person had loaned 202 million shield from the Austria advantage from all sides, the government loan 130 million shield, the folk loans 72 million shield, the Franz Royal Bank lent 5 million shield huge loan. 他是怕了,俄国人前前后后已经从奥地利借出了2.02亿盾,其中政府贷款1.3亿盾,民间借款7200万盾,弗朗茨的皇家银行就发放了500万盾巨额贷款。 Naturally the government loan, is the ultra low interest. The folk loan naturally is the following market discipline walks, runs into Tsar government credibility not good business partner, the monthly interest is lower than 0.7 not to consider. 当然政府贷款,都是超低利息。民间贷款自然是跟着市场规律走,遇到沙皇政府这种信誉不好的商业伙伴,月息低于0.7不考虑。 Buckles at sixes and sevens handling charge, the interest that the Russia person must pay, has in fact exceeded monthly interest 1. 把乱七八糟的手续费扣完,俄国人要支付的利息,实际上已经超过了月息一。 Do not think that this is the usury, even such interest, is willing to lend money to the financial group of Russia person is few. 不要觉得这是高利贷,就算是这样的利息,肯借钱给俄国人的财团都很少。 The high risk is corresponding the high income, if not these money stipulated that can only benefit the use in Austria, these loans cannot approve. 高风险对应着高收益,如果不是这些钱规定只能在奥地利使用,这些贷款根本就批不下来。 Some private loans, other supplemental conditions, assign these money to be used to purchase the product of some company for example, for example...... 一些民间借贷,还有其他的附加条件,比如说指定这些钱用来购买某个公司的产品,又比如说…… Naturally, the Tsar government craved in asking for the Austria Libyan government must loan. The folk loan interest did not say high, the limiting condition big piles, the Tsar government could not naturally have borne. 自然而然,沙皇政府就热衷于找奥地利政府要贷款了。民间贷款利息高不说,限制条件还有一大堆,沙皇政府自然是受不了的。 Even if there is a Russia person to reveal, Franz does not dare the unscrupulous seal bank note, who knows when the Near East war will end? If by some chance ahead of time what to do? 就算是有俄国人兜底,弗朗茨也不敢肆无忌惮的印票子,谁知道近东战争什么时候会结束？万一提前了怎么办？ When the time comes, the Austria advantage has not saved enough capital, the economic crisis broke out, Russia person who attains the loan, but may also turn into bargain-hunting. 到时候,奥地利没有积攒起足够的资本,经济危机又爆发了,拿到贷款的俄国人,还有可能变成抄底者。 In front of benefit, this/should protection must guard. Basically wanted the Russia person to input the certain amount gold and silver to the Austria advantage, can guarantee that did not have the currency devaluation, Franz dares to put the loan. 利益面前,该防备的还是要防备。基本上要俄国人向奥地利输入了一定量的金银,可以保证不发生货币贬值,弗朗茨才敢放贷款。 Franz acknowledged, oneself is a conservative, knows nothing to the economical issue. But the country is different from the enterprise, what national need is steadily develops, rather than fast eruption. 弗朗茨承认,自己是一名保守主义者,对经济上的问题也是一窍不通。可是国家不同于企业,国家需要的是稳步发展,而不是快速爆发。 Metternich said: „ Your majesty, we need to stand firm the Russia person at this time, can first help them peddle a number of bonds emergency, the land tax must arrive immediately, when the time comes the Russia person should be able to return to a blood. 梅特涅开口说:“陛下,这个时候我们需要稳住俄国人,可以先帮他们兜售一批债券应急,夏税马上就要到了,到时候俄国人应该可以回一口血。 Bavaria government head toward disaster, now only requires the time to ferment, so long as our people push up, they were finished. ” 巴伐利亚政府自己走上了绝路,现在只需要时间发酵,我们的人只要推上一把,他们就完蛋了。” Wants the pit Bavaria government is not easy, the Austria advantage did many huge pit wait/etc. they to jump, finally was given to evade by them mostly. 要坑巴伐利亚政府可不容易,奥地利搞出了很多巨坑等他们跳,结果大都被他们给避过了。 For example: The crowd that the Bavaria government suppresses the demonstration, Austria benefits can persecute the nationalist with the Bavaria government, attempts to split the charge of German area to interfere. 比如说:巴伐利亚政府镇压游行示威的人群,奥地利就可以用巴伐利亚政府迫害民族主义人士,企图分裂德意志地区的罪名进行干涉。 Declares war does not use, the army that Austria benefits can appear on the street in Munich, even was welcomed. 连宣战都不用,奥地利的军队就可以出现在慕尼黑的街上,甚至还是被人迎进去的。 Obviously, the Bavaria government is not silly, even if not know that the Austria advantage wants to begin to them, still knows that the armed suppression can shake the dominant foundation. 显然,巴伐利亚政府不傻,就算是不知道奥地利想要对他们动手,也知道武力镇压会动摇统治基础。 Finally this pit has not jumped, they dug buried deep themselves. On the surface offended these small state is not anything, they also shouted the slogan at home in any case. 结果这个坑没有跳,他们自己又挖坑埋了自己。表面上看来得罪了这些小邦国不算啥,反正他们也只是在家喊喊口号。 But the Austria advantage added fuel to the flames was different, these state governments can be calm, was the people are not actually able to be calm. 可是奥地利推波助澜就不一样了,这些邦国的政府能够冷静,可是民众却无法冷静。 Plan that deferred to Austria benefits, they are also one of the Holy Roman shareholders, is the masters in country ; The plan according to Bavaria they become the investor, in name is also the shareholder, has not actually participated in the policy-making the qualifications, even the drawing bonus power was eliminated. 按照的奥地利的计划,他们好歹也是神罗的股东之一,都是国家的主人;按照巴伐利亚的计划他们就成为了股民,名义上也是股东,却没有参加决策的资格,甚至连分红权都被剥夺了。 This situation, they are not angry are strange. So long as they one spiteful, Austria benefits begins to Bavaria, they will oppose, the opposition of general public, will make these small state governments produce without doubt hesitant. 这种情况,他们不生气才怪。只要他们一赌气,奥地利对巴伐利亚动手的时候,他们就会反对,普通民众的反对,无疑会让这些小邦国政府产生犹豫。 So long as first they have not dispatched troops to help, the Kingdom of Bavaria cannot shoulder the first wave, behind caused the Austria advantage to annex the established facts of Bavaria, everyone wanted the ginseng/partake at earliest convenience late. 只要第一时间他们没有出兵帮忙,巴伐利亚王国就扛不住第一波,后面造成了奥地利吞并巴伐利亚的既定事实,大家想要参合就晚了。 Without the Kingdom of Bavaria, these small state must face directly Austria to benefit, their strengths are limited, did not have to revolt against the strength that Austria benefitted, the will of the people morale dispersed, the following issue was easy to do. 没有了巴伐利亚王国,这些小邦国就要直面奥地利,他们的实力有限,根本不具备反抗奥地利的实力了,人心士气散了,后面的问题就好办了。 German these small state are seemingly common, if united, their strengths are not weak. 德意志这些小邦国看起来不起眼,要是联合了起来,他们的实力也不弱。 300,000-400,000 armies can take, again in addition a Prussia kingdom, if cannot rapid defeat in detail, once reached the impass, then this plan failed. 300,000-400,000军队还是能够拿出来的,再加上一个普鲁士王国,如果不能迅速各个击破,一旦陷入了僵局,那么这次计划就失败了。 Therefore political camouflage very important, did not say that tricks all governments, so long as they hesitate, making the Austria advantage wipe out Bavaria, has decided on the general situation. 因此政治伪装就非常的重要,不说把各国政府忽悠过来,只要他们迟疑一下,让奥地利打掉了巴伐利亚,就大局已定了。 Superficially, Austria Libyan government but now the peaceful unification faction is in control, opposed that German unification faction follows, unifies the voice of German area as for the position military force, does not eradicate to below could not hear. 表面上看,奥地利政府现在可是和平统一派占主导,反对德意志统一派紧随其后,至于主张武力统一德意志地区的声音,不到下面去根本就听不到。 Politically analyzes, how regardless to see, the Austria Libyan government has not taken the military action the motive, does not have condition that makes this decision. 从政治上分析,无论怎么看,奥地利政府都没有采取军事行动的动机,也不具备做出这种决策的条件。 To a certain extent, the political stand of politician will affect the decision of country, is similar to advocated Lincoln who waste slave was elected, the US civil war was detonated. 某种程度上来说,政客的政治立场将影响到国家的决策,就如同主张废奴的林肯当选,美国内战就被引爆了。 If the Austria Libyan government is the war party on the stage, various German area state will be vigilant extremely, like the present everyone vigilant Prussia kingdom. 如果奥地利政府是主战派在台上,德意志地区各邦国都会警惕万分,就像现在大家警惕普鲁士王国一样。 Even if their strengths could not have compared Austria to benefit, but their prime ministers are the military family backgrounds, a standard hardliner, threatens to everyone's feeling. 即便是他们的实力还比不上奥地利,可是他们的首相都是军方出身,一个标准的强硬派,给大家的感受就是威胁。 Franz accepted good advice readily said: „Good, first helps the Russia person withstand this wave, behind they should to collect the war tax, this year the Tsar government will not be short of money again.” 弗朗茨从善如流的说:“那好,先帮俄国人顶住这一波,后面他们应该又要收战争税了,想必今年沙皇政府是不会再缺钱了。” The war tax is the European unique categories of taxes, before the modern times, the monarchies initiates the fund of war, usually came from the war tax. 战争税是欧洲独特的税种,在近代以前,君主们发起战争的资金,通常就是来自战争税。 Now Austria benefits also has the war tax, but, Franz will not unless it is absolutely essential receive. Receives money cannot lose a battle, otherwise the consequence will be serious. 现在奥地利也存在着战争税,只不过不到万不得已,弗朗茨是不会收的。收了钱就不能打败仗,不然后果会非常严重。 Marshal Radetzky reminded: „Your majesty, this/should manufacture war gives a pretext now, was divided and demoralized German state matter to these step to be OK, came to go too far is as bad as not far enough again.” 拉德斯基元帅提醒道:“陛下,现在该制造战争借口了,分化瓦解德意志邦国的事情到了这一步就可以了,再来就过犹不及了。” Franz thinks saying: „According to planning to handle affairs!” 弗朗茨想了想说:“按照计划行事吧！”