On March 21 , 1851, the Tsar government appointed Alexander-Burma to be possible the husband duke to be the special envoy assorted, went to Constantinopolis to negotiate with the Ottoman government. 1851年3月21日,沙皇政府任命亚历山大-缅什可夫公爵担任特使,前往君士坦丁堡同奥斯曼政府进行谈判。 Hears after this news, diplomatic circles in an uproar. Alexander-Burma may the husband duke once be Finnish governor assorted, has directed with Persia and Ottoman war, has been Black Sea Fleet commander and minister of the navy. 听到这个消息过后,外交界一片哗然。亚历山大-缅什可夫公爵曾担任过芬兰总督,指挥过同波斯、奥斯曼的战争,担任过黑海舰队司令官、海军大臣。 As the core figure of Tsar government ruling clique, may the husband duke hold the post to negotiate the special envoy by Alexander-Burma assorted, sees attaching great importance to of Russia person sufficiently. 作为沙皇政府统治集团的核心人物,由亚历山大-缅什可夫公爵担任谈判特使,足以见俄国人的重视。 This type attaches great importance , seems sending a signal to the outside world, the Russia person wants to solve the problem through the negotiations. 这种重视,似乎在向外界释放一个信号,俄国人想要通过谈判解决问题。 However, considered that Burma may the husband duke be of war party assorted, but also has directed the previous Russo-Turkish War, as if this is demonstrating to the Ottoman person. 不过,考虑缅什可夫公爵是主战派的一员,还指挥过上一次俄土战争,似乎这又是在向奥斯曼人示威。 Before going to Constantinopolis, Burma may the husband duke first step go to Sarah Biya to inspect stationed in that side army assorted, then went to Sevastopol to inspect Black Sea Fleet. 在前往君士坦丁堡前,缅什可夫公爵先一步前往萨拉比亚检阅了驻扎在那边的军队,然后又去了塞瓦斯托波尔检阅了黑海舰队。 Even Russia also made a landing maneuver, the target of aiming at impressively is Constantinopolis. After the exercise is completed, on March 12 Burma may the husband duke ride warship Raytheon assorted, goes to Constantinopolis. 甚至俄国还做了一次登陆演习,针对的目标赫然就是君士坦丁堡。演习完成后,3月12日缅什可夫公爵才乘坐军舰“雷神”号,前往君士坦丁堡。 Burma may the husband not be a qualified diplomatic personnel assorted, he despises the diplomacy and formality, as the nucleus of war party, he opposes all compromise concessions to the Ottoman empire. 缅什可夫不是一名合格的外交人员,他本身就鄙视外交和礼节,作为主战派的中坚力量,他反对一切对奥斯曼帝国的妥协让步。 Franz does not favor this Constantinopolis to negotiate, the appetite of Russia person is so big, can the Ottoman empire also the compromise be inadequate? 弗朗茨不看好这次君士坦丁堡谈判,俄国人的胃口那么大,奥斯曼帝国还能够妥协不成？ While the Russia person and Ottoman government negotiated, Austria benefitted Ministry of Foreign Affairs not to idle similarly, opened similarly with the diplomatic negotiation of Ottoman empire, but Franz has not taken seriously this negotiations, was authorized in Minister Constantinopolis Metz Texel to be responsible for directly. 在俄国人和奥斯曼政府谈判的同时,奥地利外交部同样也没有闲着,和奥斯曼帝国的外交谈判同样也开起了,只不过弗朗茨没有重视这次谈判,直接授权驻君士坦丁堡公使梅斯特塞尔负责。 Schonbrunn Palace 美泉宫 This is a afternoon of glorious weather, Franz is fishing. It seems like his luck to be good, the fish do not nip the hook. 这是一个风和日丽的下午,弗朗茨正在钓鱼。似乎是他的运气不错,鱼儿们就是不咬钩。 What with it relativity is, neighboring father Archduke Karl has harvested three, biggest has three jin (0.5 kg) fully. If as expected, this unlucky egg fish will appear on the tonight's table probably. 与之相对比的是,相邻的父亲卡尔大公已经收获了三条,其中最大的一条足有三斤重。如果不出意外的话,这条倒霉蛋鱼大概会出现在今晚的餐桌上。 The maidservant clear voice of resounds: „Your majesty, Mr. Metternich seeks an interview.” 侍女清脆的声音响起:“陛下,梅特涅先生求见。” „Leads him to go to the pavilion, I pass immediately.” Franz light saying “带他去凉亭,我马上过去。”弗朗茨淡淡的说道 Then, Franz put down the fishing pole, the fathers and several younger brothers to not far away said: „You continue, I must work.” 说完,弗朗茨放下了鱼竿,对不远处的父亲和几个弟弟说道:“你们继续,我要去工作了。” Archduke Karl never imagined to blurt out: „Goes, the unlucky child, hope God good luck!” 卡尔大公想都没想就脱口而出道:“去吧,倒霉的孩子,愿上帝祝你好运！” Franz had food stuck in the throat directly, he wants saying that „fish eats unlucky food”. However, when thinks Austria advantage not this proverb, said everyone is unable to understand. 弗朗茨直接被噎住了,他本来想说一句“鱼吃倒霉食”。不过,想当奥地利没有这一句谚语,说了大家也无法理解。 The good education makes him direct words that has filtered out the father, but stared several younger brother who ruthlessly is laughing and playing watching the fun. 良好的教养让他直接过滤掉了父亲的话,只是狠狠的瞪了一眼几个嬉笑着看热闹的弟弟。 As if remembered by the day of terrifying homework control, restraining that several little fellows understand what has to be done smile, Franz satisfied departure. 似乎想起了被恐怖家庭作业支配的日子,几个小家伙非常识时务的收敛了笑容,弗朗茨满意的离开了。 Has not folded with Archduke Karl, how many kids but also couldn't tidy up? In line with the top was inferior happily the numerous Le Le principle, Franz oneself had once experienced the pain, the duplication gave several younger brothers directly. 拿卡尔大公没折,还收拾不了几个小屁孩么？本着独乐乐不如众乐乐的原则,弗朗茨直接把自己曾经历过的痛苦,复制给了几个弟弟。 Also does not have any, is a person is staring by more than 30 tutors, forever has the class of being able to finish attending, been able to complete work. 也没有什么了,就是一个人被三十多个家庭教师盯着,永远都有上不完的课,做不完的作业。 Franz is a good elder brother, this educational expenditure his direct package. The European aristocrats attach importance to the child education, on this issue, but no one helps them ask for leniency. 弗朗茨可是一个好兄长,这笔教育经费他直接包了。欧洲贵族可是非常重视子女教育的,在这个问题上,可没有人帮他们说情。 Then, three little fellows turned into the clever child, they do not study the tyrant, for happy life under blue sky, decisive surrendered to the evil elder brother. 然后,三个小家伙都变成了乖孩子,他们可不是学霸,为了蓝天白云下的美好生活,果断的向邪恶的兄长投降了。 Otherwise, being a bookworm that now they are still compelling painstakingly, where has the opportunity to train the aristocrat makings( fishing plays). 不然的话,现在他们还在苦逼的啃着书本,哪里有机会过来培养贵族气质(钓鱼玩耍)。 Perhaps looks like in Archduke Karl, Franz is really a full unlucky egg. What does Emperor have to be good to work as? Every day has the official business that cannot process, will be on leave will have the matter to walk. 或许在卡尔大公看来,弗朗茨真的就是一个十足的倒霉蛋。皇帝有什么好当的？每天都有处理不完的公务,连休假都会有事情找上门来。 Regarding father's view, Franz always does not express any comment. If he has an ambition, now sits in the throne was he. 对于父亲的看法,弗朗茨从来都不发表任何意见。如果他有一丝野心的话,现在坐在皇位上的就是他了。 It looks like in Archduke Karl, the working with the heart labor force makes Emperor, might as well make merry comfortably. 在卡尔大公看来,劳心劳力去做皇帝,不如吃喝玩乐更加舒服。 Under this concept, Archduke Karl looked every so often the Franz look pities. 在这种观念之下,很多时候卡尔大公看弗朗茨的眼神就是怜悯。 Regarding this, Franz is helpless. Cannot say: Without own effort, your Habsburg family eats the meter/rice insect, how long could not want would have no meter/rice to eat. 对此,弗朗茨无能为力。总不能说:如果没有自己的努力,你这条哈布斯堡家族蛀米虫,要不了多久就没米可蛀了。 ...... …… „Your majesty, just spread the news, the French meddles Jerusalem, the Catholic Church wants to have our support.” “陛下,刚刚传来消息,法国人插手耶路撒冷了,天主教会希望得到我们的支持。” The news that Metternich brings, making Franz only sigh the great strength of imperial state strength. However carefully analyzes, this is also the inevitable result. 梅特涅带来的这个消息,让弗朗茨只感叹历史修正力的强大。不过仔细分析,这也是必然的结果。 Louis Napoleon Bonaparte wants to restore, must win over the support of people. The present holy land crisis, looks like in others is a trouble, in his opinion is an opportunity. 路易-拿破仑-波拿巴想要复辟,就必须要争取民众的支持。现在的圣地危机,在其他人看来是一个麻烦,在他看来就是一个机会。 Not can only seize the chance to increase the foreign influence of France, but can also earn the support of Catholic, can this killing two birds with one stone good deed, how reject? 不但可以趁机增加法国的对外影响力,还可以获得天主教徒的支持,这种一举两得的好事,怎么可以拒绝呢？ As for consequence that does, nothing but is offends the Russia person and Ottoman person. Others fear Russian bear, he did not fear. Has the German federation to keep off in any case, can't the Russia person come to fear a wool? 至于这么干的后果,无非是得罪俄国人和奥斯曼人。别人怕毛熊,他可不怕。反正有德意志联邦挡着,俄国人又过不来怕个毛？ The attitude of Ottoman person can disregard, present Ottoman is not once Ottoman, European any big powers can step on their foot. 奥斯曼人的态度可以无视,现在的奥斯曼已经不是曾经的奥斯曼了,欧洲任何一个列强都可以踩他们一脚。 Franz thinks saying: „ Then, the French has entered the stadium. It seems like the Russia person troubled, this Russo-Turkish War is not perhaps easy to hit. 弗朗茨想了想说:“这么说来,法国人已经入场了。看来俄国人麻烦了,这次俄土战争恐怕不好打。 However this and we have not related, since the French has acted in Jerusalem, by their abundant strengths, does not need us to help, orally supported them to be good. ” 不过这和我们没有关系,既然法国人在耶路撒冷已经行动了,以他们那雄厚的实力,想必是不需要我们帮忙的,口头上支持一下他们就行了。” Help? The French government is not possible to make the Austria advantage meddle, this is Louis Napoleon Bonaparte fishes for the prestige time, how possibly to make the Austria Legare enter minute/share to be thin he „merit”? 帮忙？法国政府是不可能让奥地利插手的,这可是路易-拿破仑-波拿巴捞取声望的时候,怎么可能让奥地利加入分薄他的“功劳”呢？ Metternich is frowning saying: „Your majesty, matter is not so simple. Not is only the Russia person is troublesome, we also had troublesome.” 梅特涅皱着眉头说道:“陛下,事情没有这么简单。不光是俄国人麻烦,就连我们也有麻烦了。” Franz stares slightly, he had not discovered this and Austria advantage has what relations. 弗朗茨微微一愣,他可没有发现这和奥地利有什么关系。 Metternich explained: „ Your majesty, the French meddles this conflict, means that Louis Napoleon Bonaparte has prepared to seize power, before long we can hear disappearance that he restores. 梅特涅解释道:“陛下,法国人插手这次冲突,意味着路易-拿破仑-波拿巴已经做好了准备夺权,过不了多久我们就可以听到他复辟的消失。 When the time comes, a French government of absolute pro- brave will appear. In international affairs, UK and France will further cooperate thoroughly. 到时候,一个绝对亲英的法国政府就会出现。在国际事务中,英法两国将会进一步深入合作。 In the world presented the bipolar structure, suddenly Austria Alliances and UK , France Alliances. With the eruption of Russo-Turkish War, contradictions between two big alliances will be getting deeper and deeper, will move toward the war. 世界上就出现了两极格局,俄奥联盟和英法联盟。随着俄土战争的爆发,两大联盟之间的矛盾会越来越深,甚至会走向战争。 UK and Russia have advantage on the geographical position, the possibility that both countries erupt into all -out war is not big, most is also the regional conflict. 英俄两国拥有地理位置上的优势,两国爆发全面战争的可能性不大,最多也就是局部冲突。 But we and French were different, under the contradictions of two big alliances, Austria method will have the possibility direct eruption war in the future very much. ” 可是我们和法国人就不一样了,在两大联盟的矛盾之下,未来奥法两国很有可能直接爆发战争。” Franz was shocked, Metternich's analysis makes him suspect that who is crossing over. 弗朗茨愣住了,梅特涅的分析让他怀疑到底谁才是穿越者。 He also considered that Austria method erupt the possibility of war, but he has thought in the Italian issue, now looks like contradictions between two big unions, will be the blasting fuse of future Austria method conflict. 他也考虑到奥法两国爆发战争的可能,不过他一直以为是在意大利问题,现在看来两大同盟间的矛盾,才是未来奥法冲突的导火索。 Under this situation, Austria benefits, only then two roads can walk. Either collaborates with the Russia person, causes heavy losses to the French in the following war. Without this goon , the English will also instigate. 在这种背景下,奥地利只有两条路可以走。要么和俄国人联手,在接下来的战争中重创法国人。没有这个打手过后,英国人也会怂。 Either does nothing, waiting law popularization conflict escalation. The French eye covetously to the Rhineland area, was not one day two days, with the deepening of industrialization, the Prussia government also took seriously this lands more and more, the possibility of concessions was almost zero. 要么什么也不干,等待普法冲突升级。法国人对莱茵兰地区虎视眈眈,也不是一天两天了,随着工业化的深入,普鲁士政府也越来越重视这片土地,让步的可能性几乎为零。 The great strength of later generation Germany industry, the contribution of Rhineland area is tremendous, here mineral resource to the Prussia kingdom, is indispensable, and is unable to replace. 后世德国工业的强大,莱茵兰地区的贡献是巨大的,这里的矿产资源对普鲁士王国来说,是不可或缺、且无法代替的。 Can compromise as for both countries? Reply that Franz can be clear about- is impossible, do not look that historically Bismarck promised repeatedly cedes the Rhineland area to give the French. 至于两国有没有可能妥协？弗朗茨可以明确的回答-不可能,不要看历史上俾斯麦多次许诺割让莱茵兰地区给法国人。 But the Prussia government rather conducts the military adventure finally, fights a decisive battle with the French, does not have really to let this stretch of area. 可最后普鲁士政府还是宁愿进行军事冒险,和法国人决战,也没有真的将这一片地区让出来。 Here is the future of Prussia kingdom, starts from the industrialization, the Prussia government has realized here importance. If the Prussia kingdom gave up this area, then the Ruhr industrial district was also cool. 这里是普鲁士王国的未来,从工业化开始,普鲁士政府就已经意识到了这里的重要性。如果普鲁士王国放弃了这一地区,那么鲁尔工业区也就凉了。 Franz knits the brows saying: „ Seeming like now our anything is also undoable. The French fall into the Russo-Turkish War, is very advantageous to the westbound strategy that we prepare. 弗朗茨皱了皱眉头说道:“貌似现在我们什么也不能做。法国人陷入俄土战争中,对我们准备的西进战略很有利。 Once the westbound strategy were completed, conformed with the Southern Germany will area, the relative strength between law Austria changed. Even if had the war in the future, the probability that we win is still very big. ” 一旦西进战略完成了,整合了南德意志地区,法奥之间的实力对比就发生了变化。就算在未来发生了战争,我们获胜的几率也很大。” This is not Franz is self-confident, but is the fact. Conformed with Austria of Southern Germany will area to benefit, the strength growth absolutely was not in the surface that tiny bit. 这不是弗朗茨自信,而是事实。整合了南德意志地区的奥地利,实力增长绝对不是表面上那一星半点儿。 This age many people overestimated France, that is Napoleon sweeps away continental Europe to shadow that at heart everyone casts, neglected today's France, oneself were not the past France. 这个年代很多人都高估了法国,那是拿破仑横扫欧洲大陆给大家留下的心里阴影,忽略了今天的法国,自己不是当年的法国了。 In the comprehensive national strength, is in the army battle efficiency, they were not that the first powerful nation that made the world shiver. 无论是在综合国力上,还是在军队战斗力上,他们都不是那个令世界颤抖的第一强国了。 Metternich has Gallophobia, so long as mediated the French to erupt into the war, he was pessimistic, as if Napoleon comes back. 梅特涅就有恐法症,只要说和法国人爆发战争,他就持悲观态度,仿佛拿破仑又回来了。 This issue, Franz is also helpless. Metternich the statesman who walks from that time, participated in the anti-France war personally, was made at heart the shadow by Napoleon, radically is the non-solution. 这个问题,弗朗茨也无能为力。梅特涅是从那个时代走过来的政治家,亲自参与了反法战争,被拿破仑打出了心里阴影,根本就是无解。 Is good because , the Austria Lijun team past performance was not too bad, both sides dozen of give-and-take, had not been walked by a French wave band, walked the general who not to instigate from the past years. 好在,奥地利军队当年的表现不算太差,双方打的有来有往,没有被法国人一波带走,从当年走过来的将军不怂。 Headed by Marshal Radetzky military hardliner, regarding the past failure, but unusual is not convinced, but also wants to find the opportunity to ask. 以拉德斯基元帅为首的军方强硬派,对于当年的失败可是非常的不服气,还想要找机会讨回来。 If not the military is strong enough, Franz will in fact also instigate. Who lets the performance of later generation Austro-Hungarian Empire army, made the impression of waste on him? 如果不是军方够强硬,弗朗茨实际上也会怂。谁让后世奥匈帝国军队的表现,给他留下了废物的印象呢？ Had understood personally Franz of Austria Lijun team very clear, Austria benefits the empire is not equal to Austro-Hungarian Empire absolutely, in the morale, is in the enlisted man training, compared with Austria-Hungary period strong many. 亲自了解过奥地利军队的弗朗茨非常的清楚,奥地利帝国绝对不等于奥匈帝国,无论是在军心士气,还是在士兵训练上,都要比奥匈时期强的多。 Metternich shakes the head saying: „ Your majesty, a internal fight unceasing France, truly nothing to be worried. But once Jeanlouis Napoleon Bonaparte restores, internal fight of French government will be suppressed. 梅特涅摇了摇头说:“陛下,一个内斗不断的法国,确实是不足为虑。可是一旦让路易-拿破仑-波拿巴复辟,法国政府的内斗就会被压制下来。 When the time comes, we must consider the law popularization situation jointly. So long as we give their pressure on be big enough, law popularization both countries may reach the compromise. ” 到时候,我们必须要考虑到普法联手的情况。只要我们给他们的压力足够大,普法两国就有可能达成妥协。” In Franz heart one startled, if the Austria advantage annexed the Southern Germany will area, the strength had the tremendous changes. 弗朗茨心中一惊,如果奥地利兼并了南德意志地区,实力发生了翻天覆地的变化。 Then law popularization both countries will feel the threat, to take care of this threat, so long as a side makes the concession, benefits to be all of a sudden ruthless to Austria jointly, seemingly is not not possible. 那么普法两国都会感到威胁,为了解决掉这个威胁,只要一方做出让步,联手给奥地利来一下子狠的,貌似也不是不可能。 Along with and Franz shakes the head, this issue consideration too early. The French are proud, before without experiencing failure, wants to make them yield to the Prussia kingdom, is almost not possible. 随及弗朗茨又摇了摇头,这个问题考虑太早了。法国人可是非常自傲的,没有经历过失败前,就想让他们对普鲁士王国让步,几乎是不可能的。 Is certain, even if won Austria to benefit, the French was impossible to make Prussia unify the German area. Then the Prussia government does need takes risk for this reason? 可以肯定,就算是打赢了奥地利,法国人也不可能让普鲁士统一德意志地区。那么普鲁士政府有必要为此冒险么？ If law Austria selects only, or is Austria selects only, the Russia person may see a play, uses their strengths to weaken Austria to benefit ; If the law popularization collaborates, so long as the Russia person does not want to fall into the isolated state, dispatches troops becomes inevitable. 如果法奥单挑,或者是普奥单挑,俄国人可能会看戏,利用他们的力量削弱一下奥地利;要是普法联手,只要俄国人不想陷入孤立状态中,出兵就成为了必然。 The French are away from far, cannot feel the threat of Russia person, the close Prussia kingdom is not good. Perhaps to finally, Austria benefitted is also hit jointly remnantly by the law popularization, the Prussia kingdom was first destroyed completely by suddenly Austria jointly. 法国人距离远,感受不到俄国人的威胁,近在咫尺的普鲁士王国可不行。没准到了最后,奥地利还被普法联手打残,普鲁士王国就先被俄奥联手就灭掉了。 Franz thinks saying: „It seems like following, we must restrain a little. Must encounter dreading of various countries, then troublesome was big.” 弗朗茨想了想说:“看来接下来,我们要收敛一点儿了。要遭到各国的忌惮,那么就麻烦大了。” What union, must speak with the benefit. Once the benefit had the conflict, getting angry flipping through the book is quicker. 无论是什么同盟,都要用利益说话。一旦利益发生了冲突,翻脸比翻书还要快。 In order to avoid the worst situation happened, Franz chose first installed to instigate. 为了避免最糟糕的情况发生,弗朗茨选择了先装怂。