The European countries do not want to look that the German area is unified, jointly Bavaria and Prussian fiddle with „three-country cabinets”, Austria proposed „federal cabinet”, was not the big powers wants to see. 欧洲各国就没有想看着德意志地区统一的,无论是巴伐利亚和普鲁士人联手捣鼓的“三国内阁”,还是奥地利提出的“联邦内阁”,都不是列强们想要看到的。 The wing of butterfly can make tornado, the arrival of Franz also affects the European history. The attitude of Russia person changed, they in do not want to make the German area maintain the present situation, but wants the German federation directly split up. 蝴蝶的翅膀都可以制造一场龙卷风,弗朗茨的到来也影响到了欧洲历史。俄国人的态度变了,他们不在想让德意志地区维持现状,而是想要德意志联邦直接分裂掉。 Similarly has this idea also has UK , France, experienced 1848 Great Revolution, they knew the fearfulness of nationalism. 同样有这个想法的还有英法,经历1848年的大革命,他们知道了民族主义的可怕。 The reform success that Austria benefits also caused them to worry, will for fear that tie up in together, some day of Holy Roman Empire the German area like this will resurrect in the future. 奥地利的改革成功也引起了他们担忧,生怕把德意志地区这样捆绑在一起,未来某一天神圣罗马帝国就复活了。 The best choice is divided into three, Austria benefits, Prussia, Bavaria and remaining state joins up to found a nation alone, or is dissolves the federal parliament to make these state completely independent. 最佳的选择就是一分为三,奥地利、普鲁士、巴伐利亚和剩下的邦国联合起来单独建国,或者是解散联邦议会让这些邦国全部独立掉。 Independent? 独立？ The present was in the 19 th century, was not in the 21 st century, this is the time of colonialism, incisiveness that the law of the jungle showed. 现在是19世纪,不是21世纪,这是属于殖民主义的时代,弱肉强食展现的淋漓尽致。 Do not look at that this German federation does not seem to play many roles, in fact because of existence of federation, assured their national security. 不要看这个德意志联邦似乎没有起到多少作用,实际上就是因为联邦的存在,才保证了他们的国防安全。 Without the protection of German federation, these state of German area, may be hit by the total destruction shortly. 没有德意志联邦的保护,德意志地区的这些邦国,顷刻间就可能遭到灭顶之灾。 Prussian wants to expand, the French wants to expand, Austria benefits wants to expand similarly, because federation has everyone to keep in balance mutually, Prussian does not have the means to start to them, the French does not dare to begin to them, the Austria money pouch cannot begin. 普鲁士人想要扩张,法国人想要扩张,奥地利同样想要扩张,因为联邦的存在大家相互制衡,普鲁士人没有办法对他们下手,法国人不敢对他们动手,奥地利是不能动手。 The complex international situation, after is Holy Roman Empire finished, reason that German federation anomaly has. 复杂的国际形势,才是神圣罗马帝国结束后,德意志联邦这个怪胎存在的原因。 Small state warms up in sticking together, Bavaria becomes the small state natural leader, is responsible for leading everyone to contend with Prussia and Austria benefits. 小邦国都是在抱团取暖的,巴伐利亚就成为了小邦国们的天然领袖,负责带领大家抗衡普鲁士和奥地利。 Franz thinks saying: „Continues to increase the infiltration to Bavaria area, the senior government officials we also wins over motionless, first won over part of middle and lower level.” 弗朗茨想了想说:“继续加大对巴伐利亚地区的渗透,政府高层我们还拉拢不动,就先拉拢一部分中下层了。” Buys the hearts of the people must be fastidious about the cost, high-level Austria of Bavaria government benefitted is too many, but the middle and lower level in government was different, changed their standpoints to the advantage casually sufficiently. 收买人心也是要讲究成本的,巴伐利亚政府的高层奥地利已经给不了太多了,但是政府中的中下层就不一样了,随便给点儿好处就足以改变他们的立场。 Felix proposed: „ Your majesty, we need to establish a German nation to unify the organization, specifically is responsible for winning over the people from various circles, disintegrates various countries to resist the determination that Austria benefits. 费利克斯提议道:“陛下,我们有必要建立一个德意志民族统一组织,专门负责拉拢社会各界人士,瓦解各国对抗奥地利的决心。 Our strategy to the Southern Germany will state is the politics wins over for the lord, the military means for auxiliary. Besides part of diehards that must attack, the remaining people can strive to strive as far as possible. 我们对南德意志邦国的战略是政治拉拢为主,军事手段为辅。除了必须要打击的一部分顽固派外,剩下的人能够争取就尽量争取。 Bavaria is essential one point, because of the relations of geopolitics, they are very big in the Southern Germany will regional influence. 巴伐利亚是必不可少的一环,因为地缘政治的关系,他们在南德意志地区影响力很大。 If the reunification war breaks out time, we can seize Bavaria fast, then remaining state might act as lookout to fall. ” 如果统一战争爆发的时候,我们能够快速占领巴伐利亚,那么剩下的邦国很可能会望风而降。” Franz knows that wins over the people from various circles is the false, real goal wins over the floor aristocrat, particularly military aristocrat. So long as they reversed to Austria to benefit, the reunification war was easy to hit. 弗朗茨知道拉拢社会各界人士是假,真正的目标还是拉拢底层贵族,尤其是军事贵族。只要他们倒向了奥地利,统一战争就好打了。 Franz nods saying: „That establishes the German reunification committee, exists as an independent civil society organization, the unification for German area tries hard specially, on outwardly do not have the relations with the Austria advantage.” 弗朗茨点了点头说:“那就成立德意志统一委员会,作为一个独立的民间组织存在,专门为德意志地区的统一而努力,明面上不要和奥地利扯上关系。” Such organization definitely cannot have the relations with the Austria advantage, besides the trouble on diplomacy, is the method and method of pull people, definitely is not in the surface is so attractive. 这样的组织肯定不能和奥地利扯上关系,除了外交上的麻烦外,还有就是拉人的手段和方法,肯定不是表面上的那么光鲜。 Combining threats with inducements is harmonious, when necessary also has a possibility puppeteer assassin, cleans up some diehard, this pot can only make the national extremist carry. 威逼利诱都算是和谐的,必要的时候还有可能串客一把刺客,清除掉一些顽固分子,这口锅只能让民族极端主义分子来背。 It is estimated that they will not care, is not unjustly discredited, most was also scolded on the present, waited till after the unification, they were the heroes in German area. 估计他们也不会在意,又不是啥黑锅,最多也就现在被人骂骂,等到了统一过后,他们就是德意志地区的英雄了。 ...... …… The diplomatic contest started, the issue of this age Germany area, is not only restricted in German state to be solved absolutely, the big powers attitude is also important. 外交博弈开始了,这个年代德意志地区的问题,绝对不仅仅限于德意志邦国内部解决,列强的态度也至关重要。 The UK , France very soon is three not being able to go round lords, particularly the attitude of France and Russia is important, these two countries have the ability that dispatches troops to intervene. 英法俄就是三个绕不开的主,尤其是法俄两国的态度至关重要,这两个国家是有出兵干预的能力。 However now is not face-off time, the Prussia government just wants to indicate that to the people they support a German series the standpoint, recalls the prestige of being damaged, does not mean that they really give up to the ambition of German area, then supports Bavaria „the confrontation among three forces”. 不过现在还不是摊牌的时候,普鲁士政府只不过想要向民众们表明他们支持德意志一统的立场,挽回受损的声誉,并不意味着他们真的放弃对德意志地区的野心,转而支持巴伐利亚的“三足鼎立”。 Can't this issue Bavaria government see? Obviously is not possible, if cannot see this point, some people will not oppose and Prussia union. 这个问题巴伐利亚政府看不到么？显然是不可能的,如果看不出这一点,也不会有人反对和普鲁士联合了。 What a pity Makeximi I cannot resist the seduction, only saw the advantage has not seen danger. Diplomatically the wire walking is very easy to fall down, Bavaria also lacks the diplomat who can control the general situation. 可惜马克西米一世没有能够抵御住诱惑,只看到了好处没有看到其中的危险。在外交上走钢丝是很容易掉下去的,巴伐利亚还缺少一个能够掌控大局的外交家。 In the history in Austria war, Bavaria wants to sit the view tiger to fight, beforehand promises dispatches troops to 100,000 not to arrive, directly caused the decisive battle time Prussia force ratio Austria to benefit had/left 1/4. 历史上普奥战争中,巴伐利亚想要坐上观虎斗,事先许诺的出兵十万没有到位,直接导致决战的时候普鲁士兵力比奥地利多出了四分之一。 Naturally pig teammate, not only Bavaria, Austria benefits that group of allies besides Hanover, remaining almost won victory without firing a shot to defeat by Prussia. 当然坑队友的不只是巴伐利亚一个,奥地利那帮盟友除了汉诺威外,剩下的几乎都是被普鲁士兵不血刃击败的。 If not Italy similarly is also the pig teammate, rapidness that it is estimated that Austria war can also finish. Perhaps too trusted the teammate, the Austria Libyan government had no protection from the start, the nation mobilizes not to conduct, made 300,000 active duty armies go to the battlefield directly. 如果不是意大利同样也是猪队友,估计普奥战争还会结束的更快。或许是太信任队友了,奥地利政府压根儿就没有任何防备,全国动员都没有进行,直接让三十万现役大军上了战场。 Obviously, the strategic point of Makeximi I am strategically not much. He without thinking of the Austria Libyan government will instigate, after rout, admitted defeat neatly, absolutely would have no dead to knock with Prussian. 显然,在战略上马克西米一世的战略眼光不怎么样。他没有想到奥地利政府会那么怂,大败一场后就干脆利落的认输了,根本就没有和普鲁士人死磕下去。 Looked back into a history, Franz discovered that Austria worthily once was a whole family, this looked for the level of teammate is the same trash. 回顾了一遍历史,弗朗茨发现普奥不愧曾经都是一家人,这找队友的水平都是一样的垃圾。 From Austria war, ended to the Second World War, the side has not been short of the pig teammate. 从普奥战争开始,一直到第二次世界大战结束,身边就没有少过猪队友。 ...... …… Paris 巴黎 After anti-France war, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs rarely is so lively. Austria benefits, Prussia and Bavaria to seek the diplomatic support to them. 反法战争过后,法国外交部就很少这么热闹过了。奥地利、普鲁士、巴伐利亚都在向他们寻求外交支持。 President Napoleon very happy, any can expand French influence the matter, he is interested. 拿破仑总统非常的高兴,任何能够扩大法国影响力的事情,他都是感兴趣的。 Even wants not to need to think, President Napoleon know should support anyone. Is divided into three German area, making Bavaria leader small state resist Austria, this is the optimization of French. 甚至连想都不用想,拿破仑总统都知道该支持谁。将德意志地区一分为三,让巴伐利亚领导小邦国对抗普奥,这就是法国人的最佳选择。 What a pity, this time France was not suitable to work as the person who takes the lead, the domestic rotten matter has not handled did not say, various European countries to they also unusual dreading. 可惜,这个时候的法兰西不适合当出头鸟,国内的烂事没有搞定不说,欧洲各国对他们还非常的忌惮。 In the diplomacy roars two throats, if really runs to intervene the German regional issue, Austria both countries will first give to punch mostly jointly them. 外交上吼两嗓子可以,真要是跑去干预德意志地区事务,普奥两国多半会先联手把他们给揍回去。 Matter that president supports now in any case, the parliament opposed, the president of parliament support overrules, Louis Napoleon Bonaparte smoothed over differences simply. 反正现在总统支持的事情,议会就反对,议会支持的总统就否决,路易-拿破仑-波拿巴干脆就和稀泥了。 French Parliament was needless saying that their foreign policies were more conservative, most time were to look at English's response. 法国议会更加不用说了,他们的外交政策更加保守,多数时间都是看英国人的反应。 ...... …… London 伦敦 Heard the German federation to form the news of responsibility cabinet, Prime Minister's John Russell the first response was not possible, the secondary reaction must break up the cabinet that this will soon be born. 听到了德意志联邦要组建责任内阁的消息,约翰-罗素首相第一反应就是不可能,第二反应就是必须要拆散这个即将诞生的内阁。 Continental Europe balance is the first national policy of English, if made the German area unify, Central Europe presented a jumbo. 欧洲大陆平衡是英国人的第一国策,要是让德意志地区统一了,中欧就出现了一个巨无霸。 Europe's second largest industrialized country and Europe's second territory great nation and Europe's first economy and Europe's first land power and Europe's first large population...... thinks to make people feel fearful. 欧洲第二大工业国、欧洲第二领土大国、欧洲第一经济体、欧洲第一陆军强国、欧洲第一人口大国……想想就让人感到可怕。 John Russell unbelievable seeking vengeance of said: „ What had, how I felt that overnight this world did become strange? 约翰-罗素难以置信的报怨道:“发生了什么,怎么一夜之间我感觉这个世界变得陌生了起来？ Who can tell me this is why, the German area could unify unexpectedly! ” 谁能够告诉我这是为什么,德意志地区居然可能要统一了！” Foreign minister Palmerston explained: „Prime minister, the German area is not so easy to unify, ‚responsibility cabinet’ is just the products under Austria three state struggles, the cabinet that is doomed not to have the real power cannot have an effect.” 外交大臣帕麦斯顿解释道:“首相阁下,德意志地区没有这么容易统一,‘责任内阁’只不过是奥普巴三个邦国斗争下的产物,一个注定没有实权的内阁起不了什么作用。” State minister Edward is frowning saying: „ But this cabinet exists, will undermine the balance of German area. Who wins who takes, so long as is the responsibility cabinet appears, German area the path of unification of forged ahead a stride. 国务大臣爱德华皱着眉头说道:“可是这个内阁存在,还是会打破德意志地区的平衡。无论是谁胜谁负,只要是责任内阁出现,德意志地区的统一之路都向前迈进了一大步。 Especially ‚three-country cabinets’, if Austria benefitted with Prussia and Bavaria reached the compromise, the German area likely really unified, they can achieve the alliance at least in the political military. ” 尤其是‘三国内阁’,假如奥地利同普鲁士、巴伐利亚达成了妥协,德意志地区很可能真的统一起来,至少在政治军事上他们可以做到联盟。” Everyone plays the politics, naturally knows that the person are less is easier to achieve consistently, is Austria proposed on the contrary all state form a cabinet to threaten together is smaller. 大家都是玩政治的,自然知道人越少越容易达成一致,反倒是奥地利提出所有邦国一起组阁威胁更小。 The German area has more than 30 state, each state needs some people join the cabinet, so many people in the same place, remaining quarrelled daily. 德意志地区有三十多个邦国,每个邦国都必须要有人加入内阁,这么多人在一起,天天就剩下吵架了。 Possibility that Austria three state-owned have not formed an alliance truly? 奥普巴三国有没有真正结盟的可能？ From the benefit is to analyze the answer is: Has ; The answer from the actual situation is: No. 从利益是分析答案是:有;从实际情况出发答案是:没有。 If Prussia is willing to give up unifying the ambition of Germany, then Franz did not mind that gives up annexing the plan of Southern Germany will area. 如果普鲁士肯放弃统一德意志的野心,那么弗朗茨也不介意放弃兼并南德意志地区的计划。 This and Three-Jin alliance of Spring and Autumn Period Warring States period some, once ZhaoWei Han forms an alliance can hang dozen of four directions, present Austria is also the same. 这和春秋战国时代的三晋联盟有些内似,一旦赵魏韩结盟就可以吊打四方,现在的奥普巴也一样。 The differences lie in this alliance, once establishes, Prussia and Bavaria in continental Europe not having expanded the opportunity. 不同之处在于这个联盟一旦建立起来,在欧洲大陆上普鲁士和巴伐利亚都没有扩张的机会了。 The Bavaria strength is small and weak, was clamped in the Austria Method three countries center, after the alliance establishes, their securities had to safeguard, can farm to rush safely well-off, served their interest. 巴伐利亚实力弱小,又被夹在了奥法普三国中央,联盟建立过后,他们的安全就有保障了,可以安心种田奔小康,是符合他们利益的。 Austria benefits can also expand to the Balkan Peninsula, can obtain the manpower of German area to supplement, the disadvantage of dominant ethnic group quantity insufficient will be solved, has more energy to invest into overseas colonizing expands. 奥地利还可以向巴尔干半岛扩张,又可以得到德意志地区的人力补充,主体民族数量不足的劣势将得到解决,有更多的精力投入到海外殖民扩张中。 By mass that Austria benefits, obtains the leading power in the alliance is only the time issue, Franz has not opposed the reason of forming an alliance. 况且,以奥地利的体量,在联盟中取得主导权只是时间问题,弗朗茨没有反对结盟的理由。 Prussia is not good, although their military is powerful, but the mass of Prussia kingdom is not in fact big. 普鲁士就不行了,尽管他们军事实力强大,可实际上普鲁士王国的体量并不大。 While maintaining a big army, the Prussia kingdom also missed the opportunity of development navy, the national strength did not allow that they developed land Quanhe the thalassocracy simultaneously. 在保持一支大陆军的同时,普鲁士王国也丧失了发展海军的机会,国力不容许他们同时发展陆权和海权。 Therefore needs discard, theoretically after the alliance establishes, Prussia does not need to be worried on land was safe, can reduce the army to develop the navy, opens the overseas colony. 因此就必须要有所舍弃,理论上联盟建立过后,普鲁士不用担心陆地上的安全了,可以裁减陆军发展海军,开辟海外殖民地。 What a pity, Prussia is Prussia of Junker aristocrats, they not possible for national interest, gives up benefit in the hand. 可惜,普鲁士是容克贵族们的普鲁士,他们不可能为了国家利益,就放弃自己手中的利益。 Understanding that this issue Franz looks, but does not represent understanding that everyone is looking, particularly British these maritime countries. 这个问题弗朗茨看的明白,可并不代表着所有人都看的明白,尤其是英国这些的海洋国家。 In their opinion, can gain the benefit from the overseas with ease, why can also conduct the adventure in continental Europe? 在他们看来,能够从海外轻松获取利益,干嘛还要在欧洲大陆上进行冒险呢？ The present international situation, the Prussia kingdom wants to conduct the expansion almost not to have the successful possibility in continental Europe, the English thinks the Prussia government unable so the non- wisdom. 现在的国际局势,普鲁士王国想要在欧洲大陆上进行扩张几乎没有成功的可能,英国人认为普鲁士政府不会如此不智。 Prime minister John Russell saying of promptly: „ Mr. Palmerston, the enemies in Great Britain are many enough, does not need to increase an archenemy again. 首相约翰-罗素当机立断的说道:“帕麦斯顿先生,大英帝国的敌人已经够多了,不需要再增加一个大敌。 Now, no matter how I your Ministry of Foreign Affairs do, in brief cannot make the German area present a unified government, that feared is only nominal is not good! 现在,我不管你们外交部怎么做,总之不能让德意志地区出现一个统一的政府,那怕只是名义上的也不行！ Best is to make the German federal parliament divide family property, I always thought that makes them gather, sooner or later will become our big troubles. ” 最好是让德意志联邦议会分家,我总觉得让他们聚集在一起,早晚会成为我们的大麻烦。” Palmerston's self-confident reply: „Relax, prime minister. The German area is not possible to unify, wants to break up their may not only be we!” 帕麦斯顿自信的回答道:“放心吧,首相阁下。德意志地区是不可能统一的,想要拆散他们的可不光是我们！”