HRE :: Volume #11

#1071: Going through life without a good opportunity new steel center


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The English must reform, to overwhelming majority countries, this absolutely is a celebration that is worth worldwide celebration. 英国人要改革了,对绝大部分国家来说,这绝对是一件值得普天同庆的喜事。 Reform, may not make the country more powerful, but will certainly make the government busy. “改革”,不一定能够让国家更加强大,但是一定会让政府变得忙碌起来。 More is the great nation, more has the time long political power, in reform in the process the issue will be more. The issue that British this hundred years of the world hegemon, faces is naturally all-around. 越是大国、越是存在时间长的政权,在“改革”的过程中遇到的问题就会越多。不列颠这种百年世界霸主,所面临的问题自然是全方位的。 From the colony to the native place, has too many issue left over by history, needs the government to find the way to solve. 从殖民地到本土,都有太多的历史遗留问题,需要政府想办法解决。 It may be said that is a slight move in one part that may affect the whole situation. Even if the London government carries out the partial reform, that enough they were still busy a while. 可谓是“牵一发而动全身”。即便是伦敦政府只是进行局部改革,那也够他们忙一阵子了。 The history had shown, so long as the English were busy, the international dispute will greatly reduce, the world becomes harmonious. 历史已经证明,只要英国人忙了起来,国际纠纷就会大幅度减少,世界就会变得和谐起来。 In fact, along with Holy Roman Empire reunified, the English does the frequency of matter to reduce in recent years. 事实上,伴随着神圣罗马帝国的重新统一,最近几年英国人搞事情的频率已经降低了很多。 Some Holy Roman Empire are diverting in the upfront, the most energy of British government was constrained, naturally does not have the time to toss about other countries. 神圣罗马帝国在正面牵制着,英国政府的大半精力都被拖住了,自然没功夫折腾其他国家。 Now the British government must carry out the domestic reform, that did not have the energy to toss about. To the politicians in the world, this is significant good, this means that everyone can sleep several days of calm and steady. 现在英国政府要进行内部改革,那就更没精力折腾了。对全世界的政客来说,这都是重大利好,这意味着大家又能够睡上几天安稳觉了。 Although the present is two exists side by side, but likes tossing about is only Britain. As for another hegemon, obviously is the farming player. 虽然现在是两强并立,可是爱折腾的只有不列颠。至于另外一个霸主,明显是种田型选手。 Flips the international press to know, since the Holy Roman Empire hegemon position has been established, besides supporting Spain expels the Japanese, only then forms peacekeeping forces garrison France. 翻翻国际新闻就知道,神圣罗马帝国霸主地位确立以来,除了支持西班牙驱逐日本人外,就只有组建维和部队驻军法兰西了。 The double eagle flag world of Habsburg dynasty is fluttering, everyone soon forgot this new student/life hegemon. 要不是哈布斯堡王朝的双鹰旗满世界飘着,大家都快要忘了这个新生的霸主 Naturally, this is only aims at the average person, the politicians do not dare to forget. Has not done the matter, was not equal to that does not have the ability to do the matter. 当然,这只是针对普通人而言的,政客们是万万不敢忘的。没有搞事情,不等于没有能力搞事情。 Gives the English to undermine depending on the Holy Roman minister stationed abroad daily, everyone knows that this is not an affable lord. Especially recently two years, the Holy Roman navy also often drove super battleship to come out to shake, gives the euphemistic name of the exchange learning experience. 就凭神罗驻外公使天天给英国人拆台,大家就知道这不是一个好惹的主。尤其是最近两年,神罗海军还时常开着“超级战列舰”出来晃悠,美其名曰交流学习经验。 Clearly, takes several thousand tons armored vessel and dread naught exchange experience, is not meaningful radically. 很明显,拿着几千吨的铁甲舰和无畏舰交流经验,根本就没有任何意义。 Must say that does not set up the prestige, it is estimated that no one meeting letter/believes. Knows to turn over to know, the politics is rare muddled. The hegemon national capital came friendly exchange, you have no alternative but to coordinate! 要说不是立威,估计都没有人会信。知道归知道,政治就是难得糊涂。霸主国都来“友好交流”了,你也不能不配合啊! Fortunately the Holy Roman navy took a stroll, took an oath to have the feeling, has not seized the chance to conduct political blackmail, making everyone simultaneous/uniform simultaneous/uniform relax. 值得庆幸的是神罗海军只是溜达了一圈,宣誓了一下存在感,并没有趁机进行政治讹诈,让大家齐齐松了一口气。 The final result is, the British government wins over the progress of ally becomes especially not smooth. Although royal navy tonnage world first, but in the super battleship number has suffered a loss. 最终的结果就是,英国政府拉拢盟友的进展变得格外不顺。皇家海军虽然吨位世界第一,但是超级战列舰数量上已经吃了亏。 Does not have the means that the warship construction also to require the time. Holy Roman first-generation super battleship Rome, served in 1900, but the English just started the project research and development. 没有办法,军舰建造也是需要时间的。神罗的第一代超级战列舰“罗马号”,在1900年就服役了,而英国人才刚刚开始立项研发。 The using energy tremendous strength, the super battleship of English also towed in 1903 to serve. This is the ultra level display. 费劲九牛二虎之力,英国人的超级战列舰也拖到了1903年才服役。这已经是超水平发挥了。 , Constructs to serve from the project design finally, from all sides only spent for more than two years, proves Britain great strength of the ship-building industry sufficiently. 从立项设计、建造到最终服役,前前后后只花费了两年多时间,足以证明不列颠的造船工业之强大。 There is no egg to use, according to one year a construction speed, the Holy Roman fourth super battleship had launched, within the year serves is almost the matter of being settled. 这没有什么卵用,按照一年一艘的建造速度,神罗的第四艘超级战列舰都已经下水了,年内服役几乎是板上钉钉的事情。 The royal navy fell behind, merely is only temporary, the impact that but brings to various countries is still huge. 皇家海军落后了,仅仅只是暂时性的,但是给各国带来的冲击依然是巨大的。 Slow, is step by step slow. 一步慢,步步慢。 The navy technological revolution has erupted, can the royal navy that temporarily is at a disadvantage, really pursue? 海军技术革命已经爆发,暂时处于下风的皇家海军,真的能够追上去么? The ship-building industry of English almost can steamroll entire world all countries, leave out Holy Roman Empire only. This is the market decided that does not change with individual will. 英国人的造船工业几乎能够碾压全世界所有国家,唯独漏掉了神圣罗马帝国。这是市场决定的,不以个人意志而改变。 The seed of suspicion was planted, everyone to the deduction that Britain is in an impregnable position, had had the vacillation. 怀疑的种子被种下了,大家对不列颠立于不败之地的推论,已然发生了动摇。 Since is unable to determine the victory and defeat, naturally cannot stand in line hurriedly. At present has not arrived at non- friend is enemy situation, everyone can also slow one slow, observes again quite. 既然无法确定胜负,自然不能匆忙站队了。眼下还没有到“非友即敌”的地步,大家还可以缓一缓,再好生观察一下。 All countries in the world were relaxed, Franz actually had a headache. The international situation has become changes beyond all recognition, no one can determine that the reform of English can succeed. 世界各国都轻松了,弗朗茨却头疼了起来。国际局势已经变得面目全非,谁也不敢确定英国人的改革会不会成功。 Original space and time Campbell was elected as the prime minister in December 1905, in April 1908 saw God, the actual administration is also less than two years. 原时空坎贝尔1905年12月才当选首相,1908年4月就见了上帝,实际执政时间还不到两年。 Such short time, is obviously impossible to complete the reform proposal, however the history was still not low to his appraisal. 这么短的时间,显然是不可能完成改革计划,然而历史对他的评价仍然不低。 Because of the reason of butterfly effect, slides, the influence of social contradiction intensifying under the domestic economy, the British people from various circles realized must reform, Campbell this reformist leaders in 1902 were elected. 因为蝴蝶效应的缘故,迫于国内经济下滑、社会矛盾加剧的影响,英国社会各界意识到了必须要进行改革,坎贝尔这位改革派领袖1902年就当选了。 Three years ahead of schedule was elected, means that the reformist were many for three years. To a country, three years as if are not long, can actually change many things. 提前三年当选,就意味着改革派多了三年时间。对一个国家来说,“三年时间”似乎并不长,却能改变很多事。 The background of Britain is very thick, once solved the internal contradictions, conformed with the colony, still had very big potential. 不列颠的底子还是很厚的,一旦解决了内部矛盾,将殖民地整合了起来,仍然有非常大的潜力。 The ready-made example puts at present, Franz cannot guarantee that the English does not imitate. 现成的例子摆在眼前,弗朗茨也不能保证英国人不效仿。 If by some chance the English received the stimulation, plays to enfeoff with Holy Roman, eats Australia, Canada, New Zealand and other areas thoroughly, that is a proper world empire. 万一英国人受到了刺激,跟着神罗玩儿分封,将澳大利亚、加拿大、新西兰等地区彻底吃下去,那又是一个妥妥的世界帝国。 Has such big support plate, even if in the hegemony competes is in unfavorable situation, Britain was still a top great nation. 有这么大的支撑盘在,纵使在霸权争夺中失利,不列颠仍然是一个顶尖大国。 Fortunately the English population is only insufficient, for a short time could not digest such big domain. Otherwise Franz also can only begin ahead of time. 唯一值得庆幸的是英格兰人口不足,一时半会儿消化不了这么大的地盘。要不然弗朗茨也只能提前动手了。 ...... …… Frederick: „ Father, this is the new economy construction plan that the cabinet drafts. Based on beforehand five-year plan, increased the western vigorous economic growth plan, prepares to reprimand the great riches to build the Ruhr industrial district. 腓特烈:“父亲,这是内阁起草的新经济建设计划。在之前五年计划的基础上,新增了西部经济振兴计划,准备斥重资打造鲁尔工业区。 I have studied, the Ruhr area truly suits the development industry, particularly heavy industry. Not only the good communications, tighten near the raw material habitat. 我研究过了,鲁尔地区确实适合发展工业,尤其是重工业。不仅交通便利,更是紧临原材料产地。 Once develops, is west the empire industrial center. To promoting the economic development of western area, has very vital significance. 一旦发展起来,就是帝国西部的工业中心。对促进西部地区的经济发展,有非常重要的意义。 The heavy industry of the most important thing is empire was extremely scattered. Limited to the industrial material, the entire country has more than ten heavy industry centers, actually no true core. 最重要的是帝国的重工业太过分散了。受限于工业原材料,全国上下都有十几个重工业中心,却没有一个真正的核心。 Develops before the empire, such scattered layout, can increase the security of country, naturally cannot miscalculate. 在帝国发展起来前,这样的分散布局,能够增加国家的安全性,自然不能算错。 The present situation was different, we do not have the enemy in continental Europe, does a core to come out completely, further promotes the development of domestic economy. ” 现在的情况不一样了,在欧洲大陆上我们已经没有了敌人,完全搞一个核心出来,进一步推动国内经济的发展。” Promotes the western economy, if before, this were a joke. “振兴西部经济”,如果是在之前,这就是一个笑话。 Must know that continental Europe until now has obvious characteristics, that is Western Europe is most economically developed, Central European next, Northern Europe and Southern Europe are next again, the Eastern European economy has set the base. 要知道欧洲大陆一直以来都有一个明显的特点,那就是西欧经济最发达,中欧其次,北欧、南欧再次之,东欧经济一直垫底。 However this situation, revives from Holy Roman Empire starts, had the fundamental change. 不过这一情况,从神圣罗马帝国复兴就开始,就发生了根本性的改变。 The Eastern European economy still set the base, the change of Northern Europe is not big, the economy of Western Europe in the recent years was actually under the mountains and rivers day, was the Southern European area becomes the entire world most economically developed area on the contrary. 东欧经济仍然垫底,北欧的变化也不大,西欧的经济在近年来却是山河日下,反倒是中南欧地区成为了全世界经济最发达的地区。 Naturally, the economy of Southern Europe developed is only some areas is also developed. The economy of Italian area still did not have the big improvement, Spain let alone. 当然,南欧的经济发达也只是部分地区发达。意大利地区的经济仍然没有大的起色,西班牙就更别说了。 Actually they calculate the Southern European country, calculates the Western European country, this issue does not have a unified conclusion. 他们究竟算南欧国家,还是算西欧国家,这个问题都没有一个统一的定论。 Only can determine is, will place Southern Europe to push down the economical average line them, will place Western Europe also to draw several points upward. 唯一可以确定的就是,把他们放在南欧会拉低经济平均线,放在西欧还能往上拉几个点。 The pot of the primary cause or war, a European war hit to abandon French this backbone, including the Holy Roman western territory because also the war damage was serious. 主要原因还是战争的锅,一场欧陆战争打废了法兰西这棵顶梁柱,包括神罗西部的领土也因为战争损失惨重。 As for Britain, is not the mainland country, naturally cannot consider as finished. In order to push aside English, Holy Roman the government document, is the broadcast publication, tacit threw Europe Britain. 至于不列颠,都不是大陆国家,自然不能算了。为了排挤英国人,神罗的无论是政府公文,还是广播报刊,都默契的把不列颠扔出了欧洲。 After the European war ended, the Vienna government started the western reconstruction. Is only the reconstruction, but also is far further develops. 欧陆战争结束后,维也纳政府就开启了西部重建计划。仅仅只是重建,还谈不上进一步发展。 Especially obtains the territory of area newly, limited to the population, the local economy did not have the too big improvement, becomes area that holds back. 尤其是新获得地区的领土,受限于人口数量,当地的经济一直没有太大的起色,成为了拖后腿的地区。 In order to change all these, the Vienna government also has to conduct diligently. But before, was mainly busy restoring the post-war infrastructure. 为了改变这一切,维也纳政府也不是没有进行努力。只不过之前,主要忙着恢复战后的基础设施。 As for the development economy, must first to have the person. Although the Holy Roman Empire population are many, may be unable to support the empire is really big. 至于发展经济,怎么也得先要有人。尽管神圣罗马帝国的人口不少,可架不住帝国实在是太大了。 The country was big, key project were also many. In comparison, the western area in reconstruction, the position in the economic strategy of empire is not high. 国家大了,“重点项目”也就多了。相比之下,重建中的西部地区,在帝国的经济战略中地位并不高。 Also cannot compare the African loop line railroad, cannot compare the petrochemical industry chain of Middle East, cannot compare the automobile and the aviation industry local. 既比不上非洲环线铁路,也比不上中东的石油化工产业链,更比不上本土的汽车、航空工业。 The economic strategy is not high, lacks the population the western area, the resources incline nature that can obtain is limited. 经济战略不高,又缺乏人口的西部地区,能够获得的资源倾斜自然有限。 Encouraging the immigrant is not realistic, snatched the place of person to. The western territory in boundary, absolutely does not have the competitiveness. 鼓励移民是不现实的,抢人的地方多得去了。地处边界的西部领土,根本就没有竞争力。 It looks like in the general public, west runs up to is the neighbor with the French, is in itself a big challenge, who does not know when hit. 在普通民众看来,跑到西部和法国人做邻居,本身就是一大挑战,谁不知道什么时候又打了起来。 In some sense, this is also the pot of Vienna government. Deliberately suppressed to the French domestic situation report, even if there is newspaper publication occasionally, that is still superficial. 某种意义上来说,这也是维也纳政府的锅。刻意压制了对法兰西国内情况的报道,就算是偶尔有报纸刊登,那也是轻描淡写。 The average people do not know, the French empire that past roared flamboyant, pulls out the phoenix of wool now. 普通人根本就不知道,昔日牛逼哄哄的法兰西帝国,现在是拔了毛的凤凰。 A new broom sweeps clean, under great achievements of former government, the new cabinet does not dare easily to change ways. This suppressed is several years, to found the opportunity now. 新官上任三把火,迫于前任政府的丰功伟绩,新任内阁也不敢轻易改弦易辙。这一憋了就是好几年,到了现在才找到机会。 The heavy industry distribution of Holy Roman Empire was too truly scattered. It is not Franz does not want to concentrate, but was basic on the centralism not. 神圣罗马帝国的重工业分布确实太分散了。不是弗朗茨不想集中,而是根本就集中不了。 Suits the development heavy industry the area to be many, because of all sorts of reasons, on innate limited the development upper limit. 适合发展重工业的地区不少,但是因为种种原因,先天上就限制了发展上限。 Taking steel industry for instance, yearly produces 1 million tons steel centers, Holy Roman has seven ; Yearly produces 500,000 tons area, that were more ; However so many steel centers, yearly produce 5 million tons is one does not have. 以钢铁产业为例,年产百万吨的钢铁中心,神罗就有七个;年产五十万吨的地区,那就更多了;然而这么多钢铁中心,年产五百万吨的却是一个都没有。 In this age, such capacity can also take acts. If puts in the later generation, casual rural enterprises can the second kill. 在这个年代,这样的产能还能够拿得出手。要是搁在后世,随便一个乡镇企业都能够秒杀。 It is not the iron and steel enterprise, is really not the natural condition limit is extremely diligently fierce. Enhanced the capacity, the cost also followed, many steel centers have in fact developed the limit of existing science and technology. 不是钢铁企业不努力,实在是自然条件限制太过厉害。提高了产能,成本也跟着上去了,很多钢铁中心实际上已经发展到了现有科技的极限。 By the Holy Roman Empire development situation, 28.78 million tons steel capacities, obviously cannot meet the need every year. 神圣罗马帝国的发展情况来看,每年2878万吨的钢铁产能,明显是不能满足需求的。 According to forecast of the economic experts, in the next 20 years, the demand of Holy Roman Empire to steel will increase to 50 million tons. 根据经济专家们的预测,在未来的20年内,神圣罗马帝国对钢铁的需求量将增加到5000万吨。 Theoretically, taps the potential of Holy Roman all steel centers, can meet the need, has no need to continue to expand. 理论上来说,将神罗所有钢铁中心的潜力都挖掘出来,就能够满足需求,用不着继续扩建。 Obviously, the theory merely is only the theory. The society is developing unceasingly, increases day by day to the demand of steel. 显然,理论仅仅只是理论。社会在不断发展,对钢铁的需求量也是与日俱增。 Present 50 million tons demand forecast, does not remain unchanged. After all, Holy Roman Empire was really big, the potential demand was inconceivable. 现在的5000万吨需求预测,也不是一成不变的。毕竟,神圣罗马帝国实在是太大了,潜在的需求难以想象。 With the experience of previous generation, so long as Holy Roman does not decline, the future steel demand must certainly with hundred million make the unit, nothing but is the issue of time. 以前世的经验来看,只要神罗不没落,未来的钢铁需求量肯定要用亿做单位,无非是时间的问题。 However in the future throughout is in the future, cultivates the behavior must focus on the present. Received the document, initially after slightly looked at one, Franz said slowly: „ This plan, was extremely radical. 不过未来始终都是未来,做人还是要着眼于眼下。接过了文件,初略的看了一遍之后,弗朗茨缓缓说道:“这份计划,太过激进了。 I did not suspect that Luer District can establish one to yearly produce ten million tons steel centers, but do not forget to decide what truly capacity is the economic market, but should not be the government. 我不怀疑鲁尔区能够建立一个年产千万吨的钢铁中心,但是不要忘了真正能够决定产能的是经济市场,而不应该是政府。 Present world economy truly fiery, but do not forget the British economy to have the problem. The London government was carrying out the reform at this time, if withdraws from the free trade system? 现在的世界经济确实一片火热,但是不要忘了英国经济已经出现了问题。伦敦政府这个时候正在搞改革,如果退出自由贸易体系呢? Once the English adopts the trade barrier, the country that then must follow is not infrequent absolutely, our trade exports must be affected inevitably. 一旦英国人采取贸易壁垒,接下来要跟风的国家绝对不在少数,我们的外贸出口势必要受到影响。 Even therefore the eruption economic crisis, I will not feel strange. In a short time the demand of market to steel, is so big? 就算是因此爆发经济危机,我都不会感到奇怪。短期内市场对钢铁的需求量,还有那么大么? If the luck is not good, several years later the steel center production, caught up with the new round economic crisis exactly, what to do then should? ” 如果运气不好,几年后我们的钢铁中心投产,恰好赶上了新一轮的经济危机,那么又该怎么办?” It is not Franz is conservative, is really the economic crisis of capitalist economy world, is as numerous as the hairs of an ox. From the past rule, was almost ten years one time. 不是弗朗茨保守,实在是资本主义经济世界的经济危机,已经是多如牛毛。从以往的规律来看,差不多就是十年一次。 From the previous economic crisis several years, have now started constructs the steel center, the production the time, even if have not caught up with the crisis, that still started the crisis countdown. 距离上一次经济危机已经好几年了,现在开始建设钢铁中心,投产的时候就算是没有赶上危机,那也进入到了危机倒计时。 The magnanimous overcapacity erupts, the domestic steel industry is to wail absolutely one piece, does not know that must toss about dies many industries. 海量的产能过剩爆发,国内的钢铁产业绝对是哀嚎一片,不知道要折腾死多少产业。 What most tragedy is the steel industry of Holy Roman, is not the government investment, is the imperial family financial group holding, the private capital rarely bumps the industry of these huge investment and long period. 最悲剧的是神罗的钢铁产业,不是是政府投资、就是皇室财团控股,民间资本很少碰这些高投入、长周期的产业。 The industry that oneself do, shatters own enterprise, that absolutely is the performance of brain water penetration. 自己搞出来的产业,冲垮自己的企业,那绝对是脑子进水的表现。 Even if must do, that must do slowly, for example first capacity control in 1 million tons, according to the market demand increases again unceasingly. 就算是要搞,那也必须慢慢搞,比如说先将产能控制在百万吨,根据市场需求再不断增加。 From this perspective, current cabinet, when the consideration issue, does not have the predecessor is so complete. 从这方面来看,现任内阁在考虑问题的时候,就没有前任那么周全。 If for the achievements, on a government has done purely, how possibly to keep the present. 如果单纯为了政绩,上一届政府早就干了,怎么可能留在现在。 Setting up the steel center is not the difficult matter, in situation that in the basic requirement has, so long as made an effort to put up the cash toward inside on the line. 建立钢铁中心又不是什么难事,在基础条件具备的情况下,只要使劲往里面砸钱就行了。 Even if the cabinet looked that the issue ability was short, Franz does not prepare to change players now. The talent throughout is a few, most people are the ordinary levels. 即便是内阁看问题能力有所欠缺,弗朗茨也不准备现在换人。天才始终都是少数,大多数人都是普通水准。 Can suppress for several years, has continued the policy of predecessor, without having the big trouble, had proven this government is steady enough. 能够一憋好几年,一直延续前任的政策,没有出现大的乱子,就已经证明了这届政府够稳重。 Although looked that the issue is not very comprehensive, but essentially this plan also right. If the project seperate, the construction progresses by stages slows down again a little, that anything issue did not have. 虽然看问题不够全面,但本质上这项计划也没错。如果将项目分期拆分,施工进步再放慢一点儿,那就啥问题都没有了。 From this perspective, the biggest problem of this plan left unexpectedly in efficiency was too high, because the plan of Vienna government must finish in five years. 从这方面来看,这项计划的最大问题居然出在了“效率太高”,因为维也纳政府的计划要在五年内完工。 Listened to the explanation of Franz, Frederick to have a big shock saying: „ English must withdraw from the free trade system, is this not possible? 听了弗朗茨的解释,腓特烈大惊失色道:“英国人要退出自由贸易体系,这不可能吧? Must know the free trade system, but British government say, when works out the treaty, the English made the commitment in front of the entire world. ” 要知道自由贸易体系可是英国政府自己提出来的,在订立条约的时候,英国人可是在全世界面前做出了承诺。” With the development of time, close of more and more capitalist country economy also relation, English, once withdraws from the free trade system, the world economy will definitely have problems. 伴随着时代的发展,资本主义世界经济也联系的越来越紧密,英国人一旦退出自由贸易体系,世界经济肯定会出问题。 By consistent attitude that John Bull harms others but not benefit oneself, once decided that must draw back, will definitely intend to destroy the free trade system, is impossible to make Holy Roman continue to enjoy the free trade time the dividend. 以约翰牛损人不利己的一贯作风,一旦决定要退了出去,肯定会出手搞垮自由贸易体系,根本就不可能让神罗继续享受自由贸易时代的红利。 Faced such blow to the head, the economy of Holy Roman must be greatly affected, the demand of market to steel will also wither suddenly. 遭到了这么当头一棒,神罗的经济肯定要大受影响,市场对钢铁的需求也会急剧萎缩。 Under this situation, new yearly produces ten million tons steel centers, obviously is inopportune. 在这种背景下,新增一个年产千万吨的钢铁中心,明显是不合时宜。 Franz flips the supercilious look: „ Nothing is impossible, prestige British, that matter. 弗朗茨翻了翻白眼:“没有什么不可能的,信誉对英国人来说,也就那么回事。 Once discovered that does not serve own benefit, tearing up the free trade agreement is inevitable. Now has not done, that is the English is still conducting internal gambling. 一旦发现不符合自身的利益,撕毁自由贸易协定是必然的。现在还没有干,那是英国人还在进行内部博弈。 Since long the English are the beneficiary of free trade system, naturally produced the vested interest group. Now the free trade system was disadvantageous to them, wants to draw back at this time, those with vested interests naturally must oppose. 长期以来英国人都是自由贸易体系的受益国,自然产生了既得利益集团。现在自由贸易体系对他们不利,想要在这个时候退出去,既得利益者们自然要反对。 If you have to pay attention the newspaper of London, you should know that more comes many regarding the discussion of free trade, the supporter and opponent have quarrelled are heavily engaged. 如果你有留心伦敦的报纸,你就应该知道围绕着自由贸易的讨论越来多,支持者和反对者已经吵得不可开交。 The folk quarrel, is only the beginning of issue. How long British Parliament could not want, must hold discussions. 民间的争吵,只是问题的开端。要不了多久英国议会,就要进行讨论了。 In Campbell's electioneering policy, has mentioned the free trade issue. Although he did not have to say directly must abolish, but had suggested in the speech must conduct the export subsidy to some industries. 坎贝尔的竞选宣言中,也提到过自由贸易的问题。尽管他没有直接说要废除,但在演讲中还是暗示过要对部分产业进行出口补贴。 These are the signals. With the unceasing deterioration of British economy, how long light/only could not go against by the vested interest group. 这些都是信号。伴随着英国经济的不断恶化,光靠既得利益集团是顶不了多长时间的。 If the British government does not want to see that the domestic manufacturing industry was extruded dead by us, adopting the trade barrier is sooner or later matter. To Campbell, withdraws from the free trade system, carrying out the domestic reform is much easier. 如果英国政府不想看到国内的制造业被我们挤压死,采取贸易壁垒是早晚的事情。对坎贝尔来说,退出自由贸易体系,远比进行内部改革容易得多。 Judging from the present situation, this time not over two years. We have been able to start to get ready, should not be hit one to be caught off guard by the English when the time comes. ” 从目前的情况来看,这个时间不会超过两年。我们已经可以开始准备了,不要到时候被英国人打一个措手不及。” An issue discussed that two years, do not find it strange. To the British Parliament, this is only the normal operation. 一个问题讨论“两年”,不要觉得奇怪。对英国议会来说,这只是正常操作。 Withdrawing from free trade system is an important matter, can definitely say that concerned the national destiny of Britain, didn't study the line well? 退出“自由贸易体系”可是一件大事,完全可以说关乎到了不列颠的国运,不好好研究怎么行呢? The contrast later generation that continues for 45 years takes off/escapes Europe big discussion, can make the decision in two years, this is very highly efficiency. 对比后世那场持续四十五年的“脱欧”大讨论,能够在两年之内做出决策,这已经算是非常高效率了。
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