GCSAT :: Volume #3

#242: Wrong analysis, correct strategy


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When Huaxia domestic piece jubilant, but also another side, in the strategic analysis office, everyone's complexion is not attractively. 在华夏国内一片欢腾的时候,还的另一边,战略分析办公室里,所有人的脸色都算不上好看。 The one who sits in most is current master Johnson of this office, his finger unconsciousness strikes the desktop, the eye closely is staring on the screen is broadcasting the promotional film, long time later, he beckons with the hand, said to the analyst: 坐在最中间的是这间办公室的现任主人强森,他的手指无意识地敲打着桌面,眼睛紧紧盯着屏幕上播放着的宣传片,良久之后,他才摆了摆手,对分析员说道: Ok, the pass/test, the situation I have known. I only want to ask now, we do have the performance parameter information of their these newest airplane on hand?” “好了,关了吧,情况我都已经知道了。我现在只想问一问,我们手头到底有没有他们这些最新的飞机的性能参数情报?” After analysts hesitant moment, opens the mouth to reply: 分析员犹豫了片刻后,开口回答道: Besides Tu-160 and H-6 k, does not have completely. The speed of opposite party was too fast, we have no preparation completely, the entire intelligence system is to expire.” “除了图-160和轰-6k以外,全部都没有。对方的速度太快了,我们完全没有任何准备,整个情报系统都是失效的。” On the other hand, our recent attention in the battery project, the concern over the Nantianmen project have insufficient.” “另外一方面,我们近期的注意力都在电池项目上,对南天门项目的关注有所不足。” Before we had considered the Nantianmen project will bring a series of derivation achievements to them, but we had not expected that these achievements will come such quickly.” “之前我们考虑过南天门项目会给他们带来一系列的衍生成果,但我们没有预料到这些成果会来得这么快。” Listens to the words of analyst, Johnson nods silent. 听完分析员的话,强森沉默地点了点头。 He truly does not have the means blame analyst, because the present situation will happen, actually the owner in his strategic analysis office also has the responsibility. 他确实没有办法责怪分析员,因为现在的情况之所以会发生,其实他这个战略分析办公室的主人也不是没有责任。 The foresight is insufficient, overall situation controls the ability to be insufficient, the clue analysis capability is insufficient...... 预见性不足、全局把控能力不足、线索分析能力不足...... He almost can think of the higher authority to oneself appraisal, but, regarding these possible appraisals, in fact she does not approve. 他几乎能够想到上级对自己的评价,但是,对于这些可能的评价,实际上她并不认可。 Not only his own issue, not only even this office the issue of specialists, the truly important issue is, the speed of opposite party was too fast. 不只是他自己的问题,甚至不只是这件办公室的专业人员的问题,真正重要的问题是,对方的速度太快了。 In only one year, put out three technical achievement of having the unequalled strategic significance, sends and arrives at perhaps the epoch-making battery from the mask aligner and to the navigation again, each makes one's own side find it hard to cope with. 在仅仅一年之内,先后拿出了三项具有无与伦比的战略意义的技术成果,从光刻机、到航发、再到也许具有划时代意义的电池,每一项都让己方应接不暇。 Now, the influence of mask aligner gradually is expanding, after the navigation sends the birth, already had the drastic effect on the aviation and military field, but the opposite party turn head has not even looked at one, instead plunged the renewal battery domain directly. 现在,光刻机的影响正在逐渐扩大,航发诞生后也已经对航空和军事领域产生了巨大的影响,而对方甚至都没有回头多看一眼,反而是直接扑向了更新的电池领域。 Such efficiency and decision-making ability, even makes him feel an indistinct fear. 这样的效率和决断力,甚至让他感到一丝隐隐约约的恐惧。 Thinks of here, he says: 想到这里,他开口说道: Now matter had happened, we are impossible to contain the development of opposite party through the method of upfront conflict again, can do, only then accepts the fact, and finds the way to make up in the later strategy.” “现在事情已经发生了,我们不可能再通过正面冲突的手段来遏制对方的发展,能做的只有接受事实,并且想办法在之后的策略中进行弥补。” Aerospace they, although has yielded the result, but compares, we still had the advantage, therefore I suggested, in a short time do not put in too many energy.” “航空领域他们虽然已经取得了成果,但相比起来,我们仍然是占据优势的,所以我建议,在短时间内不要去投入太多的精力。” Established matter is unable to change, we can only regard the sunk cost these. Most importantly, is first takes the lead in the current battery domain.” “既定的事情无法改变,我们只能把这些当成沉没成本。最重要的,是先在目前的电池领域上占据主动。” We have been incapable of undertaking were defeated, if the blockade of battery domain is defeated again, not only our office, even that side the low-class brothel, will have the big turbulence inevitably.” “我们已经无力承担更多的失败了,如果电池领域的阻击再失败,不只是我们这间办公室,甚至连白房子那边,都会不可避免地发生大动荡。” Hears his words, the analyst approves of nods, later says: 听到他的话,分析员赞同地点了点头,随后开口说道: Mr. Johnson, our ideas are like you. According to latest think tank data analysis, under the present situation, our optimal strategies are to grasp battery point form the breakthrough, thus depends upon the energy source sphere monopolistic position gradually to bring back the advantage.” “强森先生,我们的想法与你一样。根据最新的智库数据分析,在目前的情况下,我们的最优策略是抓住电池这一个点形成突破,从而依靠能源领域的垄断地位逐渐拿回优势。” This strategy had undergone expert's extensive discussion, regardless of the performability or the success ratio are very high.” “这個策略已经经过了专家的广泛讨论,无论可执行性还是成功率都很高。” The Johnson slight nod, after extracting cigarette ignites, deeply attracts one to ask: 强森微微点头,抽出一根烟点着之后,深吸一口问道: „Does the strategy that earlier we formulate, how carry out now?” “前期我们制定的策略,现在执行得怎么样了?” The analysts take out one pack of papers to give Johnson from the folder, then replied: 分析员从文件夹中取出一叠纸递给强森,然后回答道: We had initially completed with the discussion of greenbushese Corporation, they agree to coordinate our pull-up raw material lithium the price, they expect us must be more radical than ---- They plan to take advantage that this opportunity directly price as pull-up as 400, routs Huaxia domestic lithium affiliated enterprise through such way thoroughly.” “我们已经初步完成了与greenbushese公司的洽谈,他们同意配合我们拉升原料锂的价格,并且,他们比我们预料的要更激进----他们打算趁这个机会直接把价格拉升到400,通过这样的方式来彻底击溃华夏境内的锂关联企业。” Moreover, the raw material lithium reserve purchase work of our domestic enterprise basically had also been completed, we do very covertly, in the market has not therefore displayed any price fluctuations.” “另外,我们国内企业的原料锂储备采购工作也已经基本完成了,我们做得很隐蔽,市场上并没有因此表现出任何价格波动。” Meanwhile, that side the island production experimental work had also reached the last act, according to the plan, they before Huaxia will issue that ahead of time the sulfur lithium battery, seizes the market ahead of time.” “同时,岛国那边的生产试制工作也已经进入了尾声,按照计划,他们会在华夏之前提前发布硫锂电池,提前抢占市场。” Therefore, the synthesis, our strategy executions and have no issue, even can say smoothly all ---- However, said honestly, first we also once think twice the plan progresses all smoothly, but had the problem finally.” “所以,综合来说,我们的策略执行并没有任何问题,甚至可以说一切顺利----不过,坦诚地说,前两次我们也曾经认为计划进展得一切顺利,但最终都出现了问题。” Therefore, this time we will introduce the strengths in other aspects, helping us to planning to conduct the overlapping inspection, removes the hidden danger in plan, guarantees 100 success ratios.” “所以,这次我们会引入其他方面的力量,帮助我们对计划进行交叉检查,排除掉计划之中的隐患,保证100的成功率。” Listens to the report of analyst, the cigarette in Johnson hand also burnt the end, he attained the mouth to attract last cigarette butt, said silent a moment later: 听完分析员的汇报,强森手里的香烟也燃到了尽头,他把烟头拿到嘴边吸了最后一口,沉默片刻之后开口说道: Plan is very perfect, sounding the success ratio is also very high, but, this is not the thing that I want now.” “计划很完善,听上去成功率也很高,但是,这并不是我现在想要的东西。” From received the report of j-20 h first flight-test to start a moment ago, I have been thinking an issue, that is, where does the technology of opposite party come?” “从刚才收到j-20h首飞的报告开始,我就一直在想一个问题,那就是,对方的技术到底是从哪里来的?” Chip and navigation send, battery, these three domains seem like without the connection, but highly is actually related with the material study, explained that in breakthrough that these three applied fields have, is very likely causes by the breakthrough of some basic theory, I said right?” “芯片、航发、电池,这三个领域看似毫无关联,但其实都与材料学高度相关,说明在这三个应用领域所发生的突破,很有可能是由某一种基础理论的突破而引起的,我说的对吗?” The brow of analyst wrinkles, a moment later, he nods to reply seriously: 分析员的眉头皱起,片刻之后,他郑重地点头回答道: Right.” “没错。” In Johnson point cigarette, is continuing his analysis again: 强森重新点上一根烟,继续着他的分析: Therefore, based on this logic, what I think, who this breakthrough is brings.” “所以,基于这个逻辑,我想的是,这个突破到底是谁带来的。” I glanced through the first several reports, in their reports, I discovered a name: leaf boat.” “我翻阅了前几任的报告,在他们的报告里,我发现了一个名字:叶舟。” In fact, before me, you have noticed this person.” “事实上,在我之前,你们就已经注意到了这个人。” He on the dragon eda inventor, knows the leader of slightly mask aligner project, in the meantime, the period in the Qilian engine making, he also once presented dawn hang who presents to fly to send the factory.” “他是应龙eda的发明者,也是知微光刻机项目的带头人,同时,在祁连发动机制造的期间内,他还曾经出现在奉飞的黎明航发厂。” This makes me have to have a guess, that is: All these technological breakthroughs , are essentially related with him.” “这让我不得不产生一个猜测,那就是:所有的这些技术突破,从本质上,都与他有关。” Battery project we have not attained the tangible evidence temporarily, but the key of this project, is the sulfur lithium chemical compound, actually is also the content of material study.” “电池项目暂时我们还没有拿到切实的证据,不过这个项目的关键、也就是硫锂化合物,其实也是材料学的内容。” He has possibly involved, had even led this project.” “他很可能已经介入了、甚至主导了这个项目。” At this point, Johnson stopped slightly, later a thread of conversation revolution: 说到这里,强森略微停顿了一下,随后话锋一转: That, based on this analysis, our known situations is: leaf boat likely grasped some technological breakthrough of material study domain, and this technological breakthrough may be very applied in a more extensive domain.” “那么,基于这个分析,我们已知的情况就是:叶舟很可能掌握了材料学领域的某种技术突破,并且这种技术突破很可能被应用在更广泛的领域上。” Therefore, wants to prevent the technological breakthrough of Huaxia truly, we must do not only attacks the problem one manifestation at a time, but must solve the problem fundamentally.” “所以,真正想要阻止华夏的技术突破,我们要做的不仅仅是见招拆招,而是要从根本上解决问题。” Makes this person vanish from Earth, our threats also disappeared naturally.” “让这个人从地球上消失,我们的威胁自然而然地也就消失了。” The analysts look at Johnson calmly, he to knowing the opposite party is a conduct way extremely radical person, therefore to him proposed that such strategy is not surprised. 分析员冷静地看着强森,他一直到知道对方是一个行事方式极为激进的人,所以对他提出这样的策略也并不惊讶。 Hesitates a moment later, he opens the mouth to ask: 沉吟片刻之后,他开口问道: Therefore, Mr. Johnson, according to your suggestion, we should ....... take the special action to leaf boat?” “所以,强森先生,按照你的建议,我们应该.......对叶舟采取特别行动?” Johnson nods, replied: 强森点了点头,回答道: We must take action to him, although is unable to judge his real threat at present, but changes a mentality to think, removes him, will not have any fault to us, not?” “我们必须对他采取行动,虽然目前无法判断他的真正威胁,但是换一个思路想,除掉他,对我们不会有任何坏处,不是吗?” That's true.” “确实如此。” Analysts records all that Johnson is saying on hand-held pad, while continues to ask: 分析员一边在手持的pad上记录着强森所说的一切,一边继续问道: What way should we adopt? As far as I know, leaf boat is to receive opposite party's official protection now, to start, perhaps without is so simple.” “我们应该采取什么样的方式?据我所知,叶舟现在是受到对方官方的保护的,如果想要下手,恐怕没有那么简单。” Hears this issue, Johnson's brow wrinkled similarly. 听到这个问题,强森的眉头同样皱了起来。 This truly is a difficulty. 这确实是一个困难。 They almost grasp the sufficient firepower to deliver the ability in the world at present, but if wants to be been disadvantageous by the important figures of strict protection to one, is without is so easy. 他们目前在全球都几乎掌握了充足的火力投送能力,但要想对一个被严密保护的重要人员不利,还是没有那么容易的。 The opponents are not the small countries that lets the person to bully, once the action failure, the consequence will be quite serious. 对手可不是一个任人欺负的小国,一旦行动失败,后果将会极为严重。 The ponder a moment later, he opens the mouth to ask: 沉思片刻之后,他开口问道: Can find the way to make him leave Huaxia? For example invited him to attend certain exhibitions? As far as I know, the important exhibition of communications sector must convene in Busser quickly, can we take this opportunity?” “能不能想办法让他离开华夏?比如邀请他参加某些展会?据我所知,通信领域的一个重要展会很快就要在巴塞召开了,我们能不能利用这个机会?” The movement of analyst, said later: 分析员的动作顿了一顿,随后说道: I will attempt, but the success ratio of this strategy is not high. Naturally, in addition, we have other strategies.” “我会去尝试,但是这个策略的成功率并不高。当然,除此之外,我们也并不是没有其他策略。” I will submit a report to you, by you were judged strategy that finally carries out.” “我会向你提交一份报告,由你来判断最终执行的策略。” Good, that defers to this plan to manage. Remember, do not speak English!” “好,那就按照这个计划办吧。记住,不要说英语!” Understood!” “明白!” ....... ....... leaf boat ten thousand-mile away cannot think, the owner in this office through a series of wrong judgments, will result in a correct strategy unexpectedly finally, and finally directed the spearhead at itself. 远在万里之外的叶舟怎么也想不到,这间办公室的主人居然会通过一系列错误的判断,最终得出来一条正确的策略,并且最终把矛头指向了自己。 However, he official, is actually prepared to this situation early, because of the same matter, they have seen too multiple. 但是,无论是他还是官方,对这种情况其实都早有准备,因为同样的事情,他们已经见过太多次了。 Now, but must face a test again. 现在,只不过是要再面临一次考验而已。 They have possibly been making the preparation for encircling and hunting of this arrival, but on this day, encircled and hunted formally starts. 他们一直都在为这场可能到来的围猎做着准备,而就在这一天,围猎正式开始了。 As for whom is the true prey...... 至于到底谁才是真正的猎物...... The answer seems obvious. 答案似乎很明显。
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