DiscussedwithKirilenkowithmustafter the strategy that mustnegotiate, Feng Yupulls outl-pad, looks at the recentcrude oil futurequotation.
跟基里连科商量完与必和必托交涉的策略之后,冯宇就掏出l-pad,看最近的原油期货行情。At this time the crude oil futurerose60US dollars, someinvestment institutions, start the finalizingcontract, theybelievethatat this time the financial situation in world is not quite good, has not restored07years ago, therefore, finalizes the contractinthispricefor safety's sake, guarantees the profit.
此时原油期货已经上涨到了60美元,一些投资机构,开始交割合约,他们都认为,此时全球的金融形势都不太好,远没有恢复到07年之前,所以为了保险起见,在这个价位就将合约交割,保证利润。He Zhaojitheyafterdetailedanalysis, has the sameviewpointwithFeng Yu, thinks that the crude pricewill also continueto rise, the main reason, is the bigfinancial group of world, inpull-upcrude pricediligently.何兆基他们经过详细的分析之后,却跟冯宇有一样的观点,认为原油价格还会继续上涨,最主要的原因,就是全世界的大财团,都在努力的拉升原油价格。That side the USbecause of the reason of shale oil, the shale oilthis timeproduction cost, has exceeded60US dollarseachbarrel, nowthisprice, theyproduceorlose money, naturallyis not good.
米国那边是因为页岩油的原因,页岩油此时的生产成本,就超过了60美元每桶,现在这个价格,他们生产还是亏损的,当然不行。Although the USis the crude oil importgreat nation, butthesefinancial groupsmay, no matterthese, theywill only be giving a thought totheirbenefit.
虽然米国是原油进口大国,但是那些财团可不管这些,他们只会顾着自己的利益。Europeanfinancial grouphasmanyrelationswith the USthat side, naturallythey have the shale oilinvestment, naturally the crude pricecontinuesto rise, servestheirbenefits, theyare also buyingto rise.
欧洲这边的财团跟米国那边有着许多联系,当然他们也有页岩油投资,当然原油价格继续上涨,也符合他们的利益,他们也在买涨嘛。EUsimilarlyiscrude oilmainparty of import, whatrelationsbuthaswiththem? The oil priceisto rise dramaticallytentimes, theysamecan drive the car(riage).
欧盟同样是原油主要进口方,但是跟他们有什么关系?油价就是飙升十倍,他们一样开得起车。Japanthat sidefinancial group, hopes that the crude pricerises, butthey the investmentaboutthisaspect are quite few. Japanis the carexport powerhouse, is topin the world.岛国那边的财团,也希望原油价格上涨,不过他们却关于这方面的投资比较少。岛国是汽车出口大国,在全世界都是顶尖的。Theyresearched and developedhave made the car(riage)s of manylowoil consumptions, this was also the mainlocalization of theirproduct. Closes right up againstthis point, theyevencanbreak off the wristin the North Americanmarketwith the USthreelarge cartbusiness.
他们研发制造了许多低油耗的车,这也是他们产品的主要定位。靠着这一点,他们在北美市场甚至可以跟米国三大车企掰腕子。
The oil priceis higher, thenhisgatecar(riage)morewill sell. Although the carsales volumeslides, but the demand is still actually increasing, has not reduced. Butbought the person of car(riage)to discover, fuel consumption that usuallydrove, was not a smallexpenditure.
油价越高,那么他门车就会越好卖。汽车的销量虽然下滑,但是需求量却还在增加,并未减少。而许多买了车的人都会发现,平时开车的耗油,也是一笔不小的开支。
The Japancar(riage) of suchlowoil consumption, will emerge, was chosenbymorepeople.
这样低油耗的岛国车,就会脱颖而出,被更多的人所选择。Last year the sale of Japancar(riage)slid is also quite serious, evenhas also closed downtwofactories, butsaw that the crude priceroseunceasingly, the Japancar(riage)businessregained the confidence, evenToyotaalsosaid the brave words, next year, theymustbecome the worldvolume of production and marketingfirstcar(riage)businessat the latest, mustinthreeyears, making the caryearvolume of production and marketingbreak through10 million!
去年岛国车的销售下滑也比较严重,甚至还关停了两家工厂,不过看到原油价格不断上涨,岛国车企重新恢复信心,甚至疯田还放出豪言,最迟明年,他们要成为世界产销量第一的车企,要在三年内,让汽车的年产销量均突破10000000台!Naturally, makingthemsoconfidentalsoa little, thatisthis timevolume of production and marketingfirstGeneral Motors is not applying for the bankruptcy protection, it is saidUSGovernmentis for this reason badly battered, plans the tender offers of General Motors, evenplans the national capitalholding, withusing unable to go bankruptabsolutely.
当然,让他们如此有信心的还有一点,那就是此时产销量第一的同用汽车不是正申请破产保护呢么,据说米国政斧为此焦头烂额,计划将同用汽车的股权收购下来,甚至打算国资控股,同用绝对不能破产。
The member nationwas needless saying that the crude pricewas higher, morewas favorableforthem. The crude pricefallsis so miserable, mining that theygo all out, could not meet the domesticneed, becauseeven the crude pricewas too low, Saudi Arabiaalsoled to the economic crisis.
成员国就不用说了,原油价格越高,对他们越有利。原油价格跌的那么惨,他们拼命的开采,也满足不了国内的需求,甚至因为原油价格太低,阿联酋还爆发了经济危机。Normally the crude oiloutput of Saudi Arabiais very high, the populationare not many, has not hadanychaos caused by war, howevertheircrazycapital construction, real estate, travelingand other investments of relevant operation, makingthembe in debtare too high.
按说阿联酋的原油产量很高,人口也不多,也没发生什么战乱,但是他们的疯狂基建、房地产、旅游等相关业务的投入,让他们负债太高了。When the crude pricedropssuddenly, theybecomeare unable to make ends meet, the interest on loans of owingare getting higher and higher, because ofthem, making the speed of crude priceriseslow down, becausetheydo not dareto reduce productiondid not say, but also was going all outto increase production, will otherwise not do wellGovernmentto go bankrupt.
当原油价格骤然下降,他们就变得入不敷出,欠的债务利息越来越高,也是因为他们,让原油价格上涨的速度变慢了许多,因为他们不敢减产不说,还在拼命增产,否则弄不好政斧都会破产了。Othermember nationsunderSaudi Arabia'sleadership, have limitedsomeoutputfortunatelyas far as possible, thendoing everything possiblepull-upcrude price, ifmined the petroleumnot to have the profit, the income of theirthesecountrieswanted the sharp decline, did not do wellSaudi Arabiaistheirlearning from another's mistakes.
还好其他成员国在沙特的带领下,尽可能的限制了一些产量,然后想尽办法拉升原油价格,要是开采石油都没利润了,他们这些国家的收入都要锐减,弄不好阿联酋就是他们的前车之鉴。Feng Yutheyreduced the risk preparatory fundwithKirilenkoat this time, becauseinvested. Feng Yupurchasesbank of Britain, investsthat manyfinancialrelevant operationsin the US, has stoodfor the purchasedevelops the group, theypurchasedmanystocksinstockmarketbefore, nowhasin the accountto be supervised the fund, theyincrude oil futurewere fewin the investment.冯宇跟基里连科他们此时都减少了风险准备金,因为投资了嘛。冯宇收购英国的银行,在米国投资那么多金融相关业务,还有为了收购立拓集团,他们之前就在股市收购了不少股票,如今又将资金存在账户上被监管,他们在在原油期货上的投资已经非常少了。HoweverFeng Yuis notalsothroughWind & Rain Consultation, etc., and otherswas investingforHe, Zheng, thisinsideprofitis not low, in additionFeng Yualsoremaininga lot ofmoney, thereforehas been paying attention.
不过冯宇不是还通过风雨咨询等,为何家、郑家等在投资么,这里面的利润也不低,加上冯宇自己还剩下了不少钱,所以还是一直在关注着。„Feng, this can riseto over 80US dollarsreally? Toohighwords, isn't easy?”
“冯,这个真的能涨到80美元以上吗?太高了的话,也不容易吧?”Kirilenko thought that if the crude oilalwayssuchup and down, thatopemember nationcertainlymustmakesomeviolentmeasures, for exampleonemonth of not productiveanything'sachievementresistance, otherwisetheirstatus and benefitsare unable to guarantee.基里连科觉得,如果原油总是这么忽上忽下的,那ope成员国肯定要做出一些极端的措施,比如一个月不产油什么的作为抗争,否则他们的地位和利益将无法保证了。Alsothesebigfinancial groups will again not turn toward a goal, thatis unable to form the cohesive force, now the contracts of that manypeoplefinalized, andhisdid not finalizeincludingFeng Yu.
再说那些大财团也不会再向着一个目标,那就无法形成凝聚力,现在那么多人的合约都交割了,包括冯宇和他的不也交割了许多么。„80US dollars is a line, the crude oilwill possibly fluctuatenearthisline for severalmonths, butwill break finally certainly through. Whenbecause the crude oilisthisprice the member nationcanmakea lot ofmoney, theycanstimulate the crude priceto continueto risewith the under-production.”
“80美元是一条线,原油可能会在这条线附近波动几个月,但最终一定会突破。因为当原油是这个价格的时候成员国就都能赚很多钱了,他们就可以用减产来刺激原油价格继续上涨。”„Althoughsaid that acts according toournewsto show, the shale oilmassivelywill appear in the summer of this year, but the crude pricerises, similarlyserves the Companybenefits of theseproductionshale oil. Let alone the opeorganizationcertainlymustdiscusswiththeseproductionshale oilcountries, thenwithrestricting productionto threaten, eventuallyachievesbalanced.”
“虽然说根据我们的消息显示,页岩油今年夏天就会大量出现,但是原油价格上涨,同样符合那些生产页岩油的企业利益。更何况ope组织肯定要跟那些生产页岩油的国家谈一谈,然后用限产来进行威胁,最终达到平衡。”„The price of suchcrude oilonce morewill definitely break through100US dollars . Moreover the Chinacrude oil importquantityis still increasing, graduallywill become the global crude oilimport volumefirstcountry, this pointwill grow to lookfrom the carsales volume of ourcountrythatlast year the carmarket in worldcaused heavy losses, but the sales volumecounterpotential of ourChinawill actually rise.”
“这样原油的价格肯定会再次突破100美元,而且华夏的原油进口量还在增加,会逐渐成为世界原油进口量第一的国家,这一点从我们国家的汽车销量增长就能看出来,去年全球的汽车市场都受到重创,但是我们华夏的销量却逆势上扬。”„Europe and Americaand othercountriesdefinitelyalsohopethatmaking the crude pricerise, thussuppresses the rapid growth of Chinaeconomy, makingChinaspend. Butin fact, Chinawill not care aboutthese, becauseChinaalsomastered the shale oiltechnology , many oil fields, and has investedmanyoil fieldsinAfrica.”
“欧美等国家肯定也希望,让原油价格上涨,从而抑制一下华夏经济的快速发展,让华夏多花钱。但实际上呢,华夏根本不会太在乎这些,因为华夏也掌握了页岩油技术,也有不少油田,而且在非洲投资了不少油田。”„Crude pricerises, everybodywill be affected, butthisdeclinesquiteseriousUSinfluenceto be biggerto the economy, thenChinawill not prevent. What kind, is the discovery, as if the crude pricerises, serves the interests of allgreat nationandbigfinancial groupunexpectedly?”
“原油价格上涨,大家都会受到影响,但是这对经济衰退比较严重的米国影响更大,那么华夏也不会阻止。怎么样,是不是发现,似乎原油价格上涨,竟然符合所有大国和大财团的利益?”SomeKirilenkoignorantencircled, yes, swelled a matter? Why the crude pricerises, actuallywill obtain the support of allgreat nationandbigfinancial group?基里连科有些蒙圈了,是啊,肿么回事儿?为什么原油价格上涨,竟然会得到所有大国和大财团的支持?Hecould not have thought how to refuteFeng Yu, buthehas not plannedto refute, althoughthey the investmentincrude oil futurereduced, butstillretainedwere many, the crude pricerose, servedtheirbenefits.
偏偏他还想不到如何反驳冯宇,不过他也没打算反驳,虽然他们在原油期货上的投资减少了,但是依然保留了非常多,原油价格上涨,也符合他们的利益啊。Helooks forward to the crude priceto be insanely long, suchcomessome timeagain, hisnet worthwith easewill also break through100 billionUS dollars, thatthishowwonderful!
他巴不得原油价格疯长呢,再这么来一段时间,他的身家也将轻松突破100000000000美元了,那该多么的美妙啊!
...... Poorfoursaid that first, thankmonthly ticket and recommendationticket, thanks
……穷四说第一更,感谢各位的月票和推荐票,谢谢
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