EG :: Volume #19

#1830: Crazy oversell( sought subscription)

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The financial crisis of US broke out finally truly, is earlier than the previous generation, but does not have the previous generation to be so fierce. 米国的金融危机终于真正爆发了,比前世更早,但是却没有前世那么剧烈。 This is good, if financial crisis is not serious, how can achieve the Feng Yu goal? 这怎么行,要是金融危机没有那么严重,怎么能实现冯宇的目标？ Simply, is makes stockmarket of US drop sharply, thus makes the money market of US crash, letting the US wants to draw cannot hold on, this can in the maximum degree hit the economy of US, pulls closer the disparity in China and US. 最简单一点,就是让米国的股市大跌,从而让米国的金融市场崩盘,让米国想拉都拉不住,这样才可以最大程度上打击米国的经济,拉近华夏与米国的差距。 Let stockmarket of US drop sharply, except for keeping spreads beyond various advantage spatial news, but also wants some people to eagerly anticipate to sell short the stock of US, sells short the index future of US, simultaneously in other US dollar markets and money market take action, must achieve the comprehensive attack! 让米国的股市大跌,除了不停的放出各种利空消息以外,还要有人引领卖空米国的股票,卖空米国的股指期货,同时在美元市场和其他金融市场出手,要做到全面打击！ The stocks of two groups did not have the oversell necessity, now falls to about 60 cents, moreover basic taking advantage, how to sell short massively? 两房集团的股票已经没有卖空的必要了,现在都跌到60美分左右了,而且也根本借不出来,怎么大量卖空？ However Feng Yu chooses the Corporation stock that other people have not been able to think, for example Morgan Stanley, a financial great alligator of controls this US ten big financial groups. 不过冯宇选择了一些其他人没有敢想的公司股票,比如摩根仕丹利,这家米国十大财团之一掌控的金融巨鳄。 From Goldman Sachs Corporation, can borrow the Morgan Stanley stock. 从高盛公司,就能够借出来摩根仕丹利的股票。 This is also a callable loan, the present callable loan interest rises, therefore the average person will not borrow massively, the cost is very high. 这也是一种的短期拆借,现在的短期拆借利息上升,所以一般人也不会大量拆借,成本很高的。 However this to Feng Yu, at is not anything, his cash reserve is sufficient, and has Kirilenko, Fu, Li and others to support. 不过这对冯宇来说,根本不算什么,他现金储备充足,且还有基里连科、付家、李家等支持呢。 Fu Rongqi has the person to continue to undersell US dollar personally, does not give the opportunity of US dollar turning over. Once US dollar rise, then the investor will increase regarding the confidence of US, Feng Yu has the person to sell short again, response cannot that many. 付荣齐亲自带人继续抛售美元,不给美元翻身的机会。一旦美元上涨,那么投资者对于米国的信心就会增加,冯宇再带人卖空,响应的就不会那么多了。 Feng Yu has also informed the home, making Zhang Ruiqiang pay attention, the golden contract, hurried to finalize, these days the gold definitely met not the normal fluctuation, Feng Yu cannot stare, therefore is unable to give the best opinion. 冯宇还通知了国内,让张瑞强注意,将黄金合约,赶紧都交割了,这段时间黄金肯定会不正常的波动,冯宇不能一直盯着,所以无法给出最好的意见。 Happen to China also truly planned that allocates funds some China provinces, stimulates the domestic economy. After all China also comes under the influence of international money market, the economic growth rate slowed down. 正好华夏也确实打算对华夏一些省份进行拨款,刺激国内的经济。毕竟华夏也受到国际金融市场的影响,经济增速放缓了。 First two quarters economic growth rate, but also once approached 11%, these two months had slid, it is expected that economic growth rate of the third quarter of this year, possibly only then 10% over. 前两个季度的经济增速,还一度接近11呢,这两个月则有了一些下滑,预期今年第三季度的经济增速,可能只有10出头了。 If other economic giants, have such high economic growth rate, had a dream can smile to awake, but China also unusual was dissatisfied. One is because China economic output compared with top also has the disparity, moreover is the China population are many, the place that needs to spend are many, looks like very sufficient fund in other countries, is insufficient in China. 要是其他经济大国,有这么高的经济增速,做梦都能笑醒了,但是华夏还非常的不满足。一个是因为华夏的经济总量比顶尖的还有差距,另外就是华夏的人口非常多,需要花钱的地方非常多,在其他国家看来非常充足的资金,在华夏就不够用。 China is an export powerhouse, even if this had Feng Yu this butterfly, many industries had the tremendous changes, but the export proportion are also many, is only from the low added value product, slowly toward the product transition of high added value. 华夏是一个出口大国,即使这一世有了冯宇这个蝴蝶,许多产业有了翻天覆地的变化,但是出口比重也非常多,只是从低附加值产品,慢慢的向着高附加值的产品过渡。 But the economic recession of US, initiates European and economic recession of Asian many country's, the purchasing power of these areas dropped, the import volume naturally must drop, China export trade, seriously was affected. 可是米国的经济衰退,引发欧洲、亚洲多国的经济衰退,那些地区的购买力下降了,进口量自然也要下降,华夏的出口贸易,也就受到了严重影响。 Also because of this, the China economic growth rate slows down, but rapidly has also developed. 也是因为这个,华夏的经济增速才放缓的,但也已经是飞速发展了。 The exit / to speak is blocked, then exciting demanded, guaranteed the development of economy. Happen to China must rectify the retail and other professions, these profession reorganizations, needs not to be low invests. 出口受阻,那么就刺激内需,保证经济的发展。正好华夏要整顿一下零售等行业呢,这些行业整顿,也是需要不低投资的。 Regarding letting the China foreign exchange sells short the crude oil future, this is not good. Being unjustly discredited that the crude oil falls, will buckle in the head of China, seriously affects China with ~ the eastern relations, the longer-term perspective considered, very not cost-effective/worthwhile. 至于说让华夏的外汇去卖空原油期货,这个却不行。原油下跌的黑锅,会扣在华夏的头上,严重影响华夏跟中~东的关系,长远角度考虑,非常不划算。 However Feng Yu also told a Zhang Ruiqiang news, that was the present crude price is not fell close 80 US dollars, can sign a length to make with opec that side country, first paid in advance part of earnest money, by this time price signing. 不过冯宇还告诉了张瑞强一个消息,那就是现在原油价格不是已经跌到了接近80美元了么,可以跟opec那边的国家签订一份长约,先预付一部分定金,以此时的价格签约。 This year by the end of the year, the crude oil price definitely falls, but starting from, the crude oil will rebound next year, and will rush to over 100 US dollars once more. 今年到年底,原油的价格肯定是一路下跌,但是明年开始,原油又会反弹,并且会再次冲上100美元以上。 The reason of Feng Yu is, opec these member nations, will owe in this financial storm, the debt will rise largely, they need money to come to ease the financial pressure. 冯宇的理由就是,opec那些成员国,也会在这次金融风暴中亏很多,负债会大幅上升,他们需要钱来缓解财政压力。 But the shale oil of US can start to produce, hoping can achieve self-sufficiently, because of these, will stimulate the rise in price of crude oil exactly, and stays at a high level, this also serves the benefits of these petroleum giants. 而米国的页岩油会开始生产,以期可以做到自给自足,但是恰恰因为这些,会刺激原油的价格上涨,并且居高不下,这也符合那些石油巨头的利益。 After Zhang Ruiqiang listened to Feng Yu these analyses, and others met to discuss with the domestic economic expert, these experts also believe that these analyses of Feng Yu have greatly likely occur very much, does not want in US the situation of economical continually worsening. 张瑞强听了冯宇这些分析之后,又跟国内的经济专家等开会讨论了一番,那些专家也认为,冯宇的这些分析有很大可能发生,不要要在米国的经济持续恶化的情况下。 Heard the experts saying that Zhang Ruiqiang on the decision decision, according to the execution that Feng Yu said that considered from the longer-term perspective. However the golden contract cannot finalize completely, but some financial leverage multiples slightly high finalized, but the multiple is very low, then continues to have. 听到专家们这么说,张瑞强就拍板决定,按照冯宇说的执行,从长远角度考虑。不过黄金合约不能全部交割,只是将一些杠杆倍数稍高的交割了,但是倍数很低的,则继续持有。 Feng Yu did not say, when the end of the year time, the gold rate also will definitely come back, stockmarket and other funds of money markets can emerge to the gold market, this is the financial crisis time most normal situation. 冯宇不是还说了,等到年底的时候,黄金价格肯定还会回来,股市等其他金融市场的资金会涌入到黄金市场,这是金融危机时候最正常的情况。 China cannot end up to turn out one to rig the gold rate the charge, therefore decreases the multiple, suffers no loss of capital the investment quite to be also good. These foreign exchange reserves must retain, although listened to the suggestion of Feng Yu, has made some reductions, but cannot one reduce are too many. 华夏也不能落得一个操纵黄金价格的罪名,所以减低倍数,保本投资也比较好。那些外汇储备也必须保留,虽然听了冯宇的建议,做了一些减少,但不能一下减少太多。 Otherwise was Feng Yu pledged, meets the matter, Feng Yu will use all help, might beset with a crisis. China at this time, cannot have any risk. 否则就算是冯宇承诺了,遇上事情,冯宇会倾尽所有帮忙,也有可能陷入危机。华夏这个时候,不能有任何的冒险。 The China big fund withdraws, the gold market has immediately created not the small stir, then the investments of some financial groups, evacuates in abundance, the financial crisis appears, they must give a thought to the most basic interest first. 华夏这边的大笔资金撤出,黄金市场顿时引起了不小的震动,接着一些财团的投资,也纷纷撤离,金融危机出现,他们要先顾着自己最根本的利益。 The gold rate, starts to fall immediately. But some financial groups and investors, saw the opportunity, starts to sell short the golden contract, hoping to get rich profit. 黄金价格,顿时开始下跌。而一些财团和投资者,也看到了机会,开始卖空黄金合约,以期获得丰厚的利润。 The oversell contract of petroleum market also starts to increase suddenly, crude oil price by quicker fast falls, although opec and other member nations took the money, hopes that holds on the crude oil price, but no helps radically. 原油市场的卖空合约也开始骤增,原油的价格以更快的速速下跌,虽然opec等成员国拿出来一大笔钱,希望将原油的价格拉住,但是根本于事无补。 Fund quantity of oversell is extremely huge, they cannot fight. Said that opec these member nations are very rich, but that is calculates by average per person. Is counted the total output value, they also can only be common. Especially the foreign exchange reserves, are not much. 卖空的资金数量太过庞大,他们根本斗不过。说opec这些成员国都很富有,但是那是以人均来计算的。真算上总产值,他们也就只能算是一般。尤其是外汇储备,根本算不上多。 Feng Yu they also increased the warehouse with high-power financial leverage, reduced the risk backlog. Now many funds are selling short, has formed the situation, the risk of crude oil rise will be low. 冯宇他们也用高倍杠杆增仓了一些,减少了风险储备金。现在许多资金都在卖空,已经形成了大势,原油上涨的风险会非常低。 Even if let alone rises, can definitely finalize one batch, makes the hedge reverse same, the profit can preserve. 更何况即使上涨,完全可以交割一批,反向做对冲,利润一样能够保住。 But Feng Yu also makes the person declare on media that stockmarket of US must be finished, crashes was inevitable. Does not believe you to look, was known as that formidable incomparable Morgan Stanley, their Corporation stock, in two days of time, fell 12%, moreover in fast falling! 而冯宇也让人在媒体上面宣称,米国的股市要完蛋了,崩盘已经是必然的。不信你们看,号称强大无比的摩根仕丹利,他们公司的股票,也在两天时间,下跌了12,而且还在快速下跌中！ The financial crisis of US, breaks out the previous generation was fiercer than! 米国的金融危机,比前世爆发的更加剧烈了！ ...... ……
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