The benefit that the currency hegemony contains who knows, but there are national actually few that the qualifications participate in competing. At least needs to have the following several basic conditions as the international trade settlement currency: 货币霸权所蕴含的利益谁都知道,但是有资格参与争夺的国家却没有几个。作为国际贸易结算货币至少要有具备以下几个基本条件: The economical mass of issuing country's must be big enough ; 货币发行国的经济体量必须足够大; The import-export trade quantity of issuing country's must be big enough ; 货币发行国的进出口贸易量必须足够大; Currency stabilization of exchange rate ; 货币本身汇率稳定; Ability of monetary issue state-owned guarantee currency cashing ; 货币发行国有保证货币兑付的能力; If the issuing country is the world police. 要是货币发行国本身就是世界警察。 Since modern times, what first satisfied these basic conditions is the English, therefore the pound becomes the earliest international currency. 近代以来,最先满足了这些基本条件的是英国人,所以英镑成为了最早的国际货币。 But is not high limited to the communication and economic globalization degree, the pound is not smooth in the promoted process, everyone craves in the international settlement in using the golden silver. 只不过受限于通讯、经济全球化程度不高,英镑在推广过程中并不顺利,在国际结算中大家还是更热衷于使用黄金白银。 As unceasing increase of international trade, the pure golden silver settlement is inopportune, the pound took the stage of history, becomes the earliest international currency. 随着国际贸易量的不断增加,单纯的黄金白银结算已经不合时宜,英镑才走上了历史的舞台,成为了最早的国际货币。 What a pity at this time, economical hegemon position of Britain already not in stable, was challenged by franc and aegis in the currency hegemony establishment process. 可惜这个时候,不列颠的经济霸主地位已经不在稳固,在货币霸权确立过程中先后遭到了法郎和神盾的挑战。 Once the opportunity loses, no longer has. With the lapse of time, Britain lost gradually in the advantage in industrial and economical mass, the pound hegemony dream also therefore ends. 机会一旦失去,就不再有。随着时间的推移,不列颠渐渐丧失了在工业、经济体量上的优势,英镑的霸权梦也因此而终结。 Especially after the European war ended, Holy Roman Empire completes the unification again, the strong position of aegis in continental Europe is established, becomes the currency hegemony most advantageous competitor. 尤其是欧陆战争结束后,神圣罗马帝国再次完成统一,神盾在欧洲大陆上的强势地位被确立,成为了货币霸权的最有利竞争者。 The advantage turns over to the advantage, before settling down, no one can guarantee that can have the accident/surprise again. Franz remembers clearly also has a day of electing country, at this moment is training hard in the internal strength. 优势归优势,在尘埃落定前,谁也不能保证会不会再次发生意外。弗朗茨可是清楚记得还有天选之国,此刻正在苦练内功。 Without the means that the natural condition of American was really superior. Basically all resources can be self sufficient, even if divided into three, still had to become the top big powers potential. 没有办法,美国人的自然条件实在是太优越了。基本上所有的资源都能够自足,即便是一分为三,仍然拥有成为顶级列强的潜力。 Republic, is the alliance country, far exceeds western France , UK in the development potential. Especially Republic, the development potential even surpassed Russia. 无论是合众国,还是联盟国,在发展潜力上都远超英法西。尤其是合众国,发展潜力甚至超过了俄罗斯。 The present flaw nothing but is the population, the dual defects in quality and quantity, become important factor that restricts the two countries economic development. 现在的缺陷无非是人口,质量和数量上的双重缺失,成为制约两国经济发展的重要因素。 Although Franz made the preparation ahead of time, has not responded while the American, delivered an indefinite tense bomb in the past, but this can contraption explode, when explodes is an unknown. 尽管弗朗茨提前做了准备,趁美国人没有反应过来,送了一颗不定时炸弹过去,可这玩意儿会不会爆炸,什么时候爆炸都是一个未知数。 Franz does not want wanting to pin on unknown, developed with its and other Challenger, might as well use the existing advantage ahead of time the definite situation. 弗朗茨不想把希望寄托在未知上,与其等挑战者发展起来,不如利用现有的优势提前确定大势。 Once the currency hegemony is established, wanted to overthrow again is not that simple. The later generation American pattern does, does various countries to be miserable beyond description, US dollar hegemonist status still had not been shaken. 货币霸权一旦确立,再想要推翻就不是那么简单了。后世老美花样作死,搞得各国苦不堪言,美元的霸权地位仍然没有被撼动。 Reason very simple, attracts the rainbow effect. The currency hegemony gathered the fund from the world, after having money, the speed of technological progress was faster, the military hegemonism position was also consolidated. 原因非常的简单,就是吸虹效应。货币霸权汇聚了来自全世界的资金,有了钱之后,科技发展的速度更快了,军事霸权地位也巩固了。 A rapidness, step by step quickly. Once the hegemon position is established, is the same like the Internet industry leader, presses stubbornly in the successor. 一步快,步步快。霸主的地位一旦确立,就如同互联网行业龙头一样,在后来者压得死死的。 Once the currency hegemonist status establishment of aegis, „can play dead Holy Roman Empire when the time comes, only has Holy Roman Empire .” 一旦神盾的货币霸权地位确立,到时候“能够玩死神圣罗马帝国的,只有神圣罗马帝国自己。” Economy minister Rinehart analyzes saying: „ Your majesty, wanting the aegis becomes the international settlement currency, then our economic types must change. 经济大臣莱因哈特分析道:“陛下,想要神盾成为国际结算货币,那么我们的经济模式也要发生改变。 The aegis must become the international settlement currency, the biggest problem that faces is the foreign output. As unceasing increase of international trade, pure lends the international loan, was unable to meet the need. 神盾要成为国际结算货币,面临的最大问题就是对外输出。随着国际贸易量的不断增加,单纯的发放国际贷款,已经无法满足需求了。 Long ago to reduce the capital drained, what we adopted was the foreign trade balanced pattern. In the past 40 years, we most of the time were the trade surpluses. 早年为了减少资本流失,我们采取的是对外贸易平衡模式。在过去的40年里,我们绝大部分时间都是贸易顺差。 Not this surplus is not good, in fact in the past years, we bit by bit saved the family property by the surplus of foreign trade, developed. 并非这种顺差不好,事实上在过去的岁月里,我们就是靠对外贸易的顺差一点一点积攒家底,才发展起来的。 However must defeat the pound, letting the aegis becomes mainstream currency in the international settlement, this seemed inopportune. 但是要打垮英镑,让神盾成为国际结算中的主流货币,这就显得不合时宜了。 In the currency output, the English is the best learn/study object. At present the pound output mode, mainly depends upon the trade deficit pattern of English. 在货币输出上,英国人是最好的学习对象。目前英镑的输出方式,主要依靠英国人的贸易逆差模式。 Wants excessively to arrive at the trade deficit pattern, we must choose, reducing the export of commodities quantity or increases the commodity import volume. 想要过度到贸易逆差模式,我们就必须要做出取舍,减少商品出口量或者是增加商品进口量。 The ministry of economic affairs believes, can give up some unimportant low technological industry to other countries, we concentrate on developing the high-tech industry. ” 经济部认为,可以放弃一些不重要的低技术产业给其他国家,我们则专注于发展高科技产业。” Issue that the aegis outputs, the Vienna government had discussed many times. For better promoted aegis, 20 years ago, the Vienna government repeatedly lends the international loan to all countries in the world. 神盾输出的问题,维也纳政府已经讨论了很多次。为了更好的推广神盾,早在二十年前,维也纳政府就不断向世界各国发放国际贷款。 Without outputting the big background of aegis, again how political need, Tsar government's such inferior customer, not possible to borrow so much money from the empire. 要是没有输出神盾的大背景,再怎么政治需要,沙皇政府那样的劣质客户,也不可能从帝国借走那么多钱。 But taking advantage of the speed is fast, the capital return velocity is also fast. As the world's first industrial power, all industry and commerce products can find here. Most debtors, receive money not to cover from now on hot, with expense. 怎奈借出去的速度快,资本回流速度同样快。作为世界第一工业强国,所有的工商业制品在这里都能够找到。大部分债务人,拿到钱过后还没捂热乎,又拿出来消费了。 Great, under this situation, even if the Vienna government wants the balance of trade, the final result will present the trade surplus. 没得说,在这种背景下,即便是维也纳政府只是想要贸易平衡,最终的结果还是会出现贸易顺差。 Result massive capital that the surplus brings flood into, while promoting empire economic development, hindered the development of international trade. 顺差带来的结果就是大量资本涌入,在推动帝国经济发展的同时,也阻碍了国际贸易的发展。 Simple, is gold and silver flows out massively, the trade partners changed poor, without money purchased more commodities. 简单的来说,就是金银大量外流,贸易伙伴们都变穷了,没钱购买更多的商品。 Knows to turn over to know, wants to change the economic type, is not an easy matter. An operation is not good, will incur the magnanimous loss. 知道归知道,想要改变经济模式,可不是一件轻松的事。一个操作不好,就会带来海量的损失。 Now Franz somewhat understands why the later generation Americans must play to industrialize. The labor force dependence is high, in the pollution, isn't the technique content low industry, the object who gives up? 现在弗朗茨有些理解为什么后世美国人要玩儿去工业化了。劳动力依赖度高,污染中、技术含量低的产业,不就是放弃的对象么？ When gives up was similar, the man of insight discovered suddenly- country hollow. However, at this time already late. 等放弃的差不多了,有识之士才猛然间发现-国家空心化了。然而,这个时候已经晚了。 The competitor depended upon the cheap labor to develop, wanted to resume the industrialization, only had to speed up the artificial intelligence research, went to and cheap labor by the robot makes the competition. 竞争对手依靠廉价劳动力发展了起来,想要重新恢复工业化,唯有加快人工智能研究,靠机器人去和廉价劳动力做竞争。 The final result how, Franz does not know that instead before he passes through, the artificial intelligence has not replaced the manpower. 最终的结果如何,弗朗茨是不知道了,反正在他穿越之前,人工智能尚未取代人工。 „Which industries does ministry of economic affairs preparation give up?” “经济部准备放弃哪些产业？” Giving up some industries is inevitable, Franz is not the idealist. Not only wants the dividend that enjoys the currency hegemony to bring, does not want to undertake the sequela that the hegemony brings, how possibly? 放弃一些产业是必然的,弗朗茨不是理想主义者。既想要享受货币霸权带来的红利,又不想承担霸权带来的后遗症,怎么可能呢？ Must give up what industry specifically, waited for studying. 只是具体要放弃什么产业,就有待研究了。 Economy minister Rinehart: Industry that „ ministry of economic affairs prepares to give up, main centralized in the low-end manufacturing industry and non-renewable resources mining domain. 经济大臣莱因哈特:“经济部准备放弃的产业,主要集中在低端制造业、不可再生的资源开采领域。 Mainly has: Mining industry, textile industry and seal dyeing industry and low-end clothing shoes and socks production scarce resources...... 主要有:稀有资源的采矿业、纺织业、印染业、低端服装鞋袜生产…… Considering the need of domestic economic development and employment, closes down these industries is not obviously realistic directly, the measure that in a short time we take strictly examines and approves new ore mining and low-end industrial enterprise to register. 考虑到国内经济发展和就业的需要,直接关停这些产业明显不现实,短期内我们采取的措施是严格审批新矿开采、低端产业企业注册。 Simultaneously cuts the import tariff of relevant area product, the pass time passage period and market competition, eliminates these backward capacities gradually. 同时削减相关领域产品的进口关税,通过时间和市场竞争,逐步淘汰这些落后产能。 If plans smoothly, approximately five years later, we will enter into the trade deficit time. ” 如果计划顺利的话,大约在五年后,我们就会迈入贸易逆差时代。” In the industry that the preparation gives up does not have the core industry, Franz to relax. The seems like ministry of economic affairs is qualified, knows that anything is the foundation of country. 准备放弃的产业中没有核心产业,弗朗茨松了一口气。看来经济部还是合格的,知道什么是国家的根基。 If in the senior government officials really some people proposed gives up the core industry, that Franz must consider that must throw off the table, the competition way of change currency hegemony. 政府高层中真要是有人提出了放弃核心产业,那弗朗茨就要考虑要不要掀翻桌子,变更货币霸权的争夺方式了。 After all, this generation of leaders are he are selective, such superficiality, the future successor will not need to count on. 毕竟,这一代领导人都是他精挑细选出来的,都这么短视,未来的继承者就更不用指望了。 The later generation Americans do industry hollow, looked that the artificial intelligence develops rapidly, can meet at some future time, dares to play. 后世美国人搞产业空心化,都是看人工智能发展迅速,可以在未来某个时间点重新接回来,才敢那么玩儿的。 Because of the miscalculation, it is expected that technological breakthrough has not happened, others regretted. 因为判断失误,预想中的技术突破并没有发生,人家都后悔了。 If played in the 19 th century, the French who can refer to the original space and time, the currency hegemony has not attained, but also turned into itself the usury empire from the industrial empire. 要是在19世纪这么玩儿,可以参考原时空的法国人,货币霸权没有拿到,还把自己从工业帝国变成了高利贷帝国。 Has to learn from another's mistakes, Franz naturally does not dare to treat it lightly. 有前车之鉴在,弗朗茨自然不敢掉以轻心。 Similarly strives for the currency hegemony, is placed in front of the Vienna government actually two choices. The income is richest, naturally is goes forth to battle personally ; Backs off, Franz can also push the European alliance to come out to capture the currency hegemony. 同样是争夺货币霸权,摆在维也纳政府面前的却有两个选择。收益最丰厚的,自然是自家亲自上阵;退而求其次,弗朗茨还可以推欧陆联盟出来夺取货币霸权。 In some sense, the latter successful probability is bigger. This year gathered the strength of European alliance, don't said is an English, even if the entire world puts together insufficiently looks. 某种意义上来说,后者成功的概率更大。这年头集合了欧陆联盟的力量,莫说是英国人,就算是全世界加在一起都不够看。 The only issue is to invest biggest Holy Roman Empire , the returns ratio that can obtain is not high, now possibly only meets attains slightly many. 唯一的问题是投资最大的神圣罗马帝国,能够获得的收益率并不高,可能只会现在拿到的略多一点。 After pondering the moment time, Franz shakes the head: The risk that „ economic type transformation brings is big, we and English are different, profit from, imitated is not necessary. 沉思了片刻功夫后,弗朗茨摇了摇头:“经济模式转变带来的风险非常大,我们和英国人不一样,借鉴一下可以,效仿就大可不必了。 To be cautious, in a short time we can do reduces minerals mining, the mine that no matter the developed mine, has not developed wants to verify strictly. 为了稳妥起见,短期内我们能做的就是减少矿产开采,已经开发的矿山不管,尚未开发的矿山要严格进行审核。 Which minerals must develop, which minerals can reduce the development, which minerals can not develop temporarily, the government is at heart confident. Cannot act unreasonably blindly, affects the domestic economic development. 哪些矿产必须开发,哪些矿产可以减少开发,哪些矿产可以暂时不开发,政府心里要有底。不能盲目乱来,影响到国内的经济发展。 Best promulgates related natural resources law, forbids the minerals raw material exit|to speak using law. Including the coal and petroleum, these energy can also be included in the resources control list temporarily, strictly examines and approves the exit|to speak. 最好是出台相关的自然资源法,以法律形式禁止矿产原材料出口。包括煤、石油,这些能源也可以暂时列入资源管制名单,严格审批出口。 Verifies to the low-end manufacturing industry strictly, the reduced capital inflow was OK, the remaining letting markets make the choice, the special pointed reduction tariff did not need, deliberately instead is not extremely beautiful. 对低端制造业严加审核,减少资本流入就可以了,剩下的让市场来做选择,专门针对性的降低关税就没必要了,太过刻意反而不美。 In a short time the center of gravity of government can place the pollution to renovate, especially the native core region, the lake or the rivers upstream heavy pollution enterprise, must conduct the migration or closes down. ” 短期内政府的重心可以放在污染整治上,尤其本土核心区域,湖泊或河流上游重污染企业,必须进行迁移或者是关停。” The comprehensive pollution management is not realistic, not only without that technology, the Vienna government does not have so much money. 全面治理污染不现实,不光没有那份技术,维也纳政府更没有那么多钱。 However conducts the certain extent the trimming, the migration or the closed portion heavy pollution enterprise, Franz has the energy. 不过进行一定程度的微调,迁移或关闭部分重污染企业,弗朗茨还是有底气的。 In any case to promote the aegis, Holy Roman Empire must gradually enter the trade deficit time, happen to takes the opportunity to eliminate part of heavy pollution industries. 反正为了推广神盾,神圣罗马帝国要逐步进入贸易逆差时代,正好借机淘汰一部分重污染产业。 In order to promote the aegis, Franz also spelled. Own petroleum industry, can integrate the resources control list. 为了推广神盾,弗朗茨也是拼了。就连自家的石油产业,都可以纳入资源管制名单。 Naturally, this is also the time limit, the demand of international market to petroleum is not high, „petroleum- aegis system” does not have the shadow matter. 当然,这也是时代限制,国际市场对石油的需求量并不高,“石油-神盾体系”更是没影的事情。 The limit oil exit|to speak is not the advantage. Superficially, money little gained, in fact actually attacked the competitor. 况且,限制石油出口也不是好处。表面上看,钱是少赚了,实质上却打击了竞争对手。 As important petroleum exporting country, once the Holy Roman Empire reduction crude oil export, the world oil price definitely meets when production costs rise, prices rise too. 作为重要的石油输出国,一旦神圣罗马帝国减少原油出口,国际油价必然会水涨船高。 Affected by this, the promotion of internal combustion engine was inevitably affected. The present is the second Industrial Revolution crucial phase, once missed to pursue to be difficult again. 受此影响,内燃机的推广和使用必然受到影响。现在是第二次工业革命的关键时期,一旦错过了再想追上来就难了。 The matter of killing two birds with one stone, Franz did not mind that temporarily sacrificed a little small ground and soaked black beans. The petroleum buries in any case underground, cannot escape. 一举两得的事情,弗朗茨不介意暂时牺牲一点儿小钱钱。反正石油都埋在地下,又跑不了。