France , Russia have the contact secretly, British Austria have not broken the relation similarly. But everyone has a tacit understanding, pretends that has not seen. 法俄暗地里有接触,英奥同样没有断过联系。只不过大家都心照不宣,假装没看见而已。 If earnest, that will not have the friend. 要是较了真,那会没朋友的。 Later period of 19 world international relations, had turned into one group of messes. law Austria both countries in the Central European issue are the oppositions, is both sides is also consistent in the Central Asia issue. 19世界后期的国际关系,已经变成了一团乱麻。法奥两国在中欧问题上是对立的,可是在中亚问题上双方又是一致的。 Although the respective motive is different, but both goals are to provoke the British and Russian war, weakens the strength of competitor. 尽管各自的动机不一样,但是两家的目标都是挑起英俄战争,削弱竞争对手的实力。 In turn looked that UK and Russia are also similar, Yadu soon hit, the standpoint of both sides in the Central European issue nearly was also the same: Let Austria both countries pinch mutually, cannot have one-party rule. 反过来看英俄两国也差不多,中亚都快要打起来了,在中欧问题上双方的立场也近乎相同:让法奥两国互掐,不能出现一家独大的局面。 ...... …… London 伦敦 Although knows that France and Russia had flirted with the eyes secretly, is the French for the news of Russia person issue debentures, caused the strong resentment of British government. 尽管知道法俄两国早就暗地里眉来眼去了,可是法国人替俄国人发行债券的消息,还是引起了英国政府的强烈不满。 Prime Minister Gladstone is frowning to ask: „At this time for the Russia person issue debentures, French this was wants to do?” 格莱斯顿首相皱着眉头问道:“在这个时候替俄国人发行债券,法国人这是想要干什么？” Time was too sensitive, earlier and will not have the issue for the Russia person issue debentures later, chooses during that gets angry in Britain , Russia, in view of meaning too obviously. 时间点太敏感了,早些时候、晚些时候替俄国人发行债券都没问题,偏偏选在英俄翻脸的当口,针对意味太明显不过了。 Foreign minister George explained: „French this is retaliating, we promised supports them to Central European expansion sphere of influence, when front the French seeks Belgium and Germany coal interests, the government chose the neutrality.” 外交大臣乔治解释道:“法国人这是在报复,我们许诺了支持他们向中欧扩张势力范围的,但是在前面法国人谋求比德两国煤炭利益的时候,政府选择了中立。” Really is only „neutrality”? 真的只是“中立”么？ The answer is: Denial! 答案是:否定的！ If the British government has not added fuel to the flames, has not given the French to hold back secretly, European Anti-France tide is not easy to erupt. 如果英国政府没有推波助澜,没有暗地里给法国人拖后腿,欧洲反法浪潮也没那么容易爆发。 Perhaps looks like in the British government, has not jumped the opposition directly, that biggest supported to France even. 或许在英国政府看来,没有直接跳出来反对,那就算是对法兰西最大的支持了。 Inflates to Belgium and Germany secretly, transmits the vague warning to the French government, behavior that these hold back, is the professional customs, is not anything. 暗地里给比德两国打气,向法国政府传递若有若无的警告,这些扯后腿的行为,都是职业习惯,根本就不算什么。 Facing such ally, the French government response is not intense, that has the issue. 面对这样的盟友,法国政府反应不激烈,那才有问题。 Originally uses each other, no one has really regarded the ally the opposite party, dark Zhongkeng one is not strange. 本来就是互相利用,谁都没真把对方当成盟友,暗中坑一把也就不奇怪了。 In fact, from the beginning the English dug the pit. Supports French „expansion sphere of influence”, was not equal to that supports the French the extend territory, this is two entirely different concepts. 事实上,从一开始英国人就挖好了坑。支持法国人“扩张势力范围”,不等于支持法国人扩张领土,这是两个截然不同的概念。 Perhaps in the negotiations, for the flickering person, the diplomat will talk ambiguously, or is the oral commitment. But falls to the paper on, has not supported the French absolutely the extend territory to Central Europe. 或许在谈判的时候,为了忽悠人,外交官会含糊其辞,或者是口头承诺。但落到纸上的,绝对没有支持法国人向中欧扩张领土。 The present French empire is powerful, makes them expand again, made up the final weak area, will present the new round of strength to rise suddenly. 现在的法兰西帝国已经非常强大了,再让他们扩张下去,补足了最后的短板,又会出现新的一轮实力暴涨。 UK , France only then together the channel great distance, making France continue to expand, Britain really could not sleep. 英法只有一道海峡相隔,让法兰西继续壮大下去,不列颠就真的睡不着觉了。 Prime Minister Gladstone rubbed the forehead, this explanation makes him have nothing to say in reply, stands in the standpoint of Britain, holds back does not have any issue to the French. 格莱斯顿首相揉了揉额头,这个解释让他无言以对,站在不列颠的立场上,给法国人扯后腿没有任何问题。 UK , France bitter enemy several hundred years, are not a paper treaty of alliance can reduce and solve. Contains France to expand, is the priorities of British government. 英法世仇几百年,不是一纸盟约就能够化解的。遏制法兰西壮大,一直都是英国政府的首要任务。 Although suddenly Austria is also an enemy, because of the relations of distance, the personal feeling of British government is not deep. 俄奥虽然也是敌人,不过因为距离的关系,英国政府的切身感受并不深。 If not the Tsar government stares at Central Asia, will threaten the security of India, both countries not directly facing on. 如果不是沙皇政府盯上中亚地区,威胁到了印度的安全,两国也不会直接正面对上。 After hesitant a while time, Prime Minister Gladstone set the request: „ Tries to find the solution, looks for a matter to do to the French. 犹豫了一会儿功夫后,格莱斯顿首相提出了要求:“想办法,给法国人找点儿事情做。 Cannot make them idle, so as to avoid holds back to us, meanwhile wants them to divert Austria to benefit. ” 不能让他们闲下来,免得给我们扯后腿,同时还要他们牵制住奥地利。” Must meet these two requests, that can only make Austria both countries pinch mutually. Sowing dissension, all along is the specialties of English. 要满足这两点要求,那就只能让法奥两国互掐了。挑拨离间,一贯都是英国人的拿手好戏。 The relations by present law Austria both countries, seemingly do not need to continue to instigate, so long as intensified contradictory enough. 以现在法奥两国的关系,貌似也不用继续挑拨,只要激化矛盾就够了。 Calculated after one, foreign minister George nods: „ Does not have the issue, Ministry of Foreign Affairs to look for a matter to do to them as soon as possible. 盘算了一遍过后,外交大臣乔治点了点头:“没有问题,外交部会尽快给他们找点儿事情做。 But such a, advanced on the side of Belgium and Germany the Austria advantage thoroughly. Draws the ability of ally at the Habsburg dynasty, the French will perhaps suffer a loss. ” 只不过这么一来,就将比德两国彻底推到了奥地利一边。以哈布斯堡王朝拉盟友的能力,法国人恐怕会吃亏。” law Austria pinches for Belgium and Germany, once the contradiction promotes, cannot withdraw as Belgium and Germany of storm center. 法奥就是为了比德两国才掐起来的,一旦矛盾升级,作为风暴中心的比德两国根本就脱不了身。 Even because the French government has not paid attention to the table manners the reason, causing their international reputations to fall one wave, must be worried as their neighbors. 甚至因为法国政府没有注意吃相的缘故,导致他们的国际声誉又下跌了一波,作为他们的邻居不可能不担心。 Under this situation, once the European situation is tense, even Austria benefits motionless, various European countries will still push the Austria advantage to come out to keep in balance the French. 在这种背景下,一旦欧洲局势紧张,就算是奥地利不动,欧洲各国也会推奥地利出来制衡法国人。 Without eruption war, law Austria both countries fought, the weak French government will definitely suffer a loss. 在不爆发战争的情况下,法奥两国斗了起来,势单力薄的法国政府肯定会吃亏。 As for really hits, George is unable to judge the result. After all the prestige of French is very abundant, Austria benefits powerful, the potential ally are many. 至于真打起来,乔治就无法判断结果了。毕竟法国人的威名很盛,奥地利的实力雄厚、潜在盟友多。 Prime Minister Gladstone sneers saying: „ Does not make them suffer a hardship, how to know our importances. 格莱斯顿首相冷笑道:“不让他们吃点儿苦头,怎么知道我们的重要性。 Just concluded the treaty of alliance, hurriedly reached out Central Europe, chose a good time not to know. 刚刚缔结盟约,就急匆匆的向中欧地区伸手,连选择一个好时机都不知道。 French these years are too smooth, make them forget oneself, are extremely arrogant are insufferably arrogant. ” 法国人这些年过太顺了,以至于让他们变得忘乎所以,狂妄得不可一世。” ...... …… Compares the British government, in fact, Franz more anxious France and Russia close up. 相比英国政府来说,事实上,弗朗茨更加紧张法俄两国靠拢。 This is the geographical position decided that Austria benefits by France and Russia is clamped in the middle, once France and Russia close up, Austria benefits the danger that faces strategically is too big. 这是地理位置决定的,奥地利被法俄两国夹在中间,一旦法俄两国靠拢,奥地利在战略上面临的危险太大。 But were many some historic experience lessons, Franz chose bore patiently temporarily does not send, pretends anything not to know. 只不过多了一些历史经验教训,弗朗茨选择了暂时隐忍不发,装作什么都不知道。 Not only no interrupt loans to very soon, retaliates snake mouse both sides of Tsar government, but also depresses in the government to the voice of very soon. 不仅没有中断对俄贷款,报复沙皇政府的蛇鼠两端,还压下政府中到俄的声音。 „ The matter of Russia person, comes to the end temporarily. No matter the Tsar government made anything, now we when anything has not happened. “俄国人的事情,暂时告一段落。不管沙皇政府做了什么,现在我们就当什么也没发生。 Ministry of Foreign Affairs can express appropriately discontentedly, other issues, wait for the British and Russian war to erupt completely will discuss from now on. ” 外交部可以适当的表示不满,其它的问题,全部都等英俄战争爆发过后再讨论。” Bides one's time for punishment definitely has, but the prerequisite must, if after autumn. 秋后算账肯定是有的,不过前提条件必须要是秋后。 If Austria benefits now manifests suddenly, looks for trouble for the Russia person, how does the Tsar government have the energy and English competes for the Afghan area? 要是现在奥地利就发作,给俄国人找麻烦,沙皇政府怎么有底气和英国人争夺阿富汗地区？ If the Russia person lost the war, that definitely will lose seriously, could not do well also recently these years, a national destiny dynasty that gathered lost entirely. 俄国人要是输了战争,那肯定会损失惨重,搞不好还会将最近这些年,聚集起来的国运一朝丧尽。 Do not look that the present Russian Empire seems powerful, but do not forget the first wars several times, this established empire had caused heavy losses. 别看现在的俄罗斯帝国似乎很强大,可是别忘了前几次的战争,这个老牌帝国已经被重创了。 Several million young losses, are not one day two days can make up. 几百万青壮的损失,不是一天两天就能够弥补回来的。 Contrasts, the Russian Empire growth rate of population 30 years, knew the injury of war in a big way. 对比一下,俄罗斯帝国最近30年的人口增长率,就知道战争的伤害有多大。 Especially after the second Prussia war, Russian Empire birth rate , can only maintain the population not to drop by the present for successive several years merely. 尤其是第二次普俄战争后,俄罗斯帝国连续多年人口负增长,到了现在也仅仅只能保持人口不在下降。 Under this situation, if refills over a hundred 800,000 to go in Central Asia, lost the war exactly, the dominant foundation of Tsar government, must be vacillated. 在这种背景下,要是在中亚地区再填上百八十万进去,又恰好输了战争,沙皇政府的统治基础,就要被动摇了。 Naturally, winning war these is the small issue of not being worth mentioning. The victory can depress all disaffection, took the Afghan area, the Tsar government will work as one to compete for India up and down. 当然,赢了战争这些都是不值一提的小问题。胜利可以压下所有的不满,拿下了阿富汗地区,沙皇政府上下都会齐心协力争夺印度。 The issue is to take Afghanistan is easy, must digest the Afghan area, is not that simple. 问题是拿下阿富汗容易,要消化掉阿富汗地区,可不是那么简单。 Only if imitates the indigenous migration policy that Austria benefits, migrates the natives leaves. 除非效仿奥地利的土著迁移政策,把当地人都迁移离开。 Must otherwise, in have the guerrilla force four to plunder, outside has the English to eye covetously, the Russia person wanted the constant disorder and unrest. 要不然的话,内有游击队肆掠,外有英国人虎视眈眈,俄国人就要永无宁日了。 The Austria advantage wants at an appropriate time, pushing up one was enough. Although such pit ally despicable a little, but this is also the Russia person first gangs up with the French. 奥地利只要在适当的时候,推上一把就足够了。虽然这么坑盟友卑鄙了一点儿,不过这也是俄国人先和法国人勾搭的。 ...... …… Agriculture minister Horss reminded: „ Your majesty, the material that collects from Ministry of Agriculture, the grain of UK and France plans self sufficient, yielded the gradual result. 农业大臣霍尔斯提醒道:“陛下,从农业部搜集到的资料来看,英法两国的粮食自足计划,都取得了阶段性的成果。 Especially the ranch plan of French, since the French government replaced a group of colony officials, the law is the agriculture of Africa to start rapidly to develop. 尤其是法国人的大农场计划,自从法国政府更换了一批殖民地官员后,法属非洲的农业就开始迅猛发展。 If as expected, the French this year's principal grains gap, will reduce to 1.8 million tons, how long them could not want to realize the grain to be self sufficient. 如果不出意外的话,法兰西今年的主粮缺口,将降低到180万吨以内,要不了多久他们就可以实现粮食自足了。 However the French the farm run cost in Africa opening is it is said high, only then small some farms can achieve the balanced revenues and expenditures, most farms rely on the financial allocation. ” 不过据说法国人在非洲开辟的农场运行成本偏高,只有一小部分农场能够做到收支平衡,大多数农场都依赖财政拨款。” This result, has not come as a surprise to Franz. 这个结果,没有出乎弗朗茨的意料。 France lacks the grain mainly because of the Italian area, the grain of this section in fact enough eats. 法兰西缺粮主要是因为意大利地区,本部的粮食实际上是够吃的。 In order to reduce foreign exchange disbursement, recently these years, established the farm in Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia and other areas, covering the grain shortfall is sooner or later matter. 为了减少外汇支出,最近这些年,又在埃及、阿尔及利亚、摩洛哥、突尼斯等地区建立农场,弥补粮食缺口是早晚的事情。 Is high as for the farm run cost, that is the result of being doomed. law is Africa to suit the development agriculture the area, originally are few. 至于农场运行成本高,那是注定的结果。法属非洲适合发展农业的地区,本来就偏少。 Many places have Lord, can't drive away the master completely? Must know the master who local many lands, had turned into the French colonizer. 很多地方都是有主的,总不能把主人全部都赶走吧？要知道当地很多土地的主人,早就变成了法国殖民者。 Besides robbing part of indigenous lands, most farms or the French government open personally, the natural conditions of many farm are not best, can only say that can pass reluctantly. 除了抢夺一部分土著的土地外,大部分农场还是法国政府亲自开辟出来的,很多农场的自然条件都不是最好的,只能说勉强过得去。 If the water conservancy facilities improved, the following issue should also not be big. However this requires the time, is not the short time can handle. 如果水利设施都完善了,后面的问题也应该不大。不过这都需要时间,不是短时间能够搞定的。 In a short time these farms must depend on nature for a livelihood, the grain yield is naturally no higher. In addition bureaucrats' management, increased massive extra costs, losing money is the normal operation. 短期内这些农场要靠天吃饭,粮食产量自然高不到哪里去。加上官僚们的管理,增加了大量的额外成本,亏本才是正常操作。 Franz nods: „Time was similar, the promoted potassium fertilizer also requires the time, does not need to continue to hide is pinching.” 弗朗茨点了点头:“时机差不多了,推广钾肥也需要时间,没必要继续藏着捏着了。” At this time promoted the chemical fertilizer, loss biggest definitely was not Austria benefits. 这个时候推广化肥,损失最大的肯定不是奥地利。 By the influence of international grain recession in price, these years, Austria was benefitted recently has been reducing the principal grains cultivation area. 受国际粮食价格下跌的影响,最近这些年,奥地利一直在削减主粮种植面积。 Besides satisfying domestic edible, few external trades. Domestic grain processing enterprise, starts to import the Russia grain vigorously. 除了满足国内食用外,已经很少对外出口了。国内的粮食加工企业,也开始大力进口俄国粮食。 In some sense, under the background that in the international grain price falls, the Russia economy can return to warmer weather, is the grain production cut policy that Austria benefits creates. 某种意义上来说,在国际粮食价格下跌的背景下,俄国经济能够回暖,也是奥地利的粮食减产政策造成的。 But this auspicious day, must be gone forever immediately. How to reduce the capacity again, the agricultural mass that Austria benefits is putting here. 只不过这种好日子,马上就要一去不复返了。再怎么削减产能,奥地利的农业体量都在这里放着。 Even if the present potassium fertilizer, the effect cannot compare the later generation, the grain yield only increases five percentage points, that is still enough 67 million people of edible grain rations. 即便是现在的钾肥,功效比不上后世,粮食产量只增加五个百分点,那也是足够六七百万人食用的口粮。 The output of increasing, surely needs the market to digest. 增加出来的产量,肯定是需要市场消化的。 Plays under the self-sufficient background in UK , France, the international grain market has not only grown, instead in gradual contraction. 在英法玩儿自给自足的背景下,国际粮食市场不仅没有增长,反而在逐渐萎缩。 The domestic grain production, Austria benefits must certainly first attend to itself, the grain of Russia person wants to find the buyer to be difficult again. 国内的粮食增产,奥地利肯定要先顾自己,俄国人的粮食再想找到买家就难了。 The actual situation should be worse, the potassium fertilizer cannot keep secret, various European countries will follow to follow suit. 实际情况应该会更加糟糕,钾肥保不了密,欧洲各国都会跟着效仿。 With increase of various countries' grain capacity, the international grain market will also retract suddenly, the price will also continue to fall. 随着各国粮食产能的增加,国际粮食市场还会急剧萎缩,价格也会持续下跌。 In some sense, this is used to fail. The Austria advantage can find the way to increase the grain consumption, passed the agricultural crisis, the Russia person has bad luck. 某种意义上来说,这就是用来砸锅的。奥地利可以想办法增加粮食消耗量,度过农业危机,俄国人就倒霉了。 The British and Russian war just ended, the eruption agricultural crisis, this was doomed future many years, the Tsar government must make a great effort to live. 英俄战争刚完,就爆发农业危机,这就注定了未来很多年,沙皇政府都要勒紧裤腰带过日子。 Franz can pledge to God, this killing the enemy 1000 damage 100 tactics, most starts not to go to the ally absolutely. 弗朗茨可以向上帝发誓,这种杀敌一千自损一百的战术,最开始绝对不是冲着盟友去的。 Originally plans, waits for the UK , France grain self sufficient plan to complete, starts to fail, dragging everyone to enter the grain to put together the cost time together. 本来计划好的,等英法粮食自足计划完成,就开始砸锅,拖着大家一起进入粮食拼成本时代。 But the plan has not changed quickly, to implementation time, discovered suddenly, seeming like Russian Empire is the biggest victim. 怎奈计划没有变化快,到了实施的时候,才猛然间发现,貌似俄罗斯帝国才是最大的受害者。 Without other reason, UK , France Austria is the industrialized country, the home has the industry chain to support, only has the Tsar government to rely on heavily to the agriculture. 没有别的原因,英法奥都是工业国,国内有产业链支撑着,只有沙皇政府对农业依赖严重。