Vienna palace 维也纳宫 Asking of Franz surprise: „Are France , Russia closing up?” 弗朗茨诧异的问:“法俄正在靠拢？” France , Russia will close up, Franz does not feel strange, what made his surprised being both countries closes up the time of too early. 法俄会靠拢,弗朗茨不感到奇怪,令他惊讶的是两国靠拢的时间太早了一些。 The agricultural crisis is fermenting, but has not erupted. Turning to any doctor one can find when critically ill, after that must wait till the condition to be serious, will fall into flurriedly. 农业危机正在酝酿,可到底还没有爆发。病急乱投医,那也要等到病情严重后,才会陷入慌乱中。 Now , the ranch plan of French only has a prospectus early, the grain self sufficient plan of English had not been decided the grain habitat. 现在还早着呢,法国人的大农场计划只有一份计划书,英国人的粮食自足计划连粮食产地都没有确定。 Even will attack the international grain price, that must wait for them to plant the grain to say again. 就算是会冲击国际粮价,那也要等他们把粮食种出来了再说。 This kind indispensable just needed the product, is not the stock and stock gambling future quotation changes. 这类不可或缺的刚需产品,可不是期货、股票赌未来的行情变化。 No matter the advantage empty, is good, the demand in market must have. Before the grain overcapacity, even if the international grain market has the turbulence, will not have the big accident. 不管利空,还是利好,市场上的需求都是少不了的。在粮食产能过剩发生前,国际粮食市场就算是发生动荡,也不会有大的变故。 At least before the major grain exporters give up carrying out the unified grain selling price, the international grain trading market is impossible to change. 至少在各大粮食出口国放弃执行统一的粮食销售价格前,国际粮食交易市场就不可能大变。 Foreign minister Wessenberg: „ Your majesty, the Tsar government also has no recourse. 外交大臣韦森贝格:“陛下,沙皇政府也是迫不得已。 Although after the agricultural crisis breaks out, everyone can also solve the problem through the expansion of domestic demand, is the Tsar government debt pressure is too big. 虽然农业危机爆发过后,大家还可以通过扩大内需解决问题,可是沙皇政府债务压力太大。 Russian Empire lacks the foreign exchange seriously, after losing grain export source of wealth, their financial systems will crash quickly. 俄罗斯帝国又严重缺乏外汇,丧失了粮食出口这笔财源后,他们的金融体系很快就会崩盘。 French agrees makes the grain of Russia person enter its market, the Tsar government absolutely does not have the means to reject. ” 法国人肯让俄国人的粮食进入本国市场,沙皇政府根本就没有办法拒绝。” Without the means that how to tap new resources and reduce expenses again, the debt must, and can only choose the payment foreign exchange or the gold, the ruble basically nobody will ask in the international currency market. 没办法,再怎么开源节流,债还是要还的,并且只能选择支付外汇还是黄金,卢布在国际货币市场上基本上无人问津。 Every year must put out a lot of foreign exchange to repay a debt, the Tsar government naturally must try hard to earn the foreign exchange, otherwise must fill the pit with the large quantities of gold. 每年都要拿出大量的外汇还债,沙皇政府自然要努力赚外汇了,要不然就要拿大量黄金填坑。 Once the foreign exchange is insufficient, the gold flows out the overseas massively, a ruble currency value was also finished. A currency of country lost the credit, the financial system was doomed to be finished. 一旦外汇不足,黄金大量流出海外,卢布的币值也就完蛋了。一个国家的货币丧失了信用,金融体系就注定要完蛋。 Distress, the Tsar government has personally experienced, even the experience is it can be said that rich. 这其中的苦楚,沙皇政府是亲身体会过的,甚至可以说是经验丰富。 Each financial collapse, along with- government bankruptcy. 每一次金融崩盘,都伴随着-政府破产。 It seems like very effective repudiating a debt method, in fact actually no end of trouble for the future. By the international community isolation and repel, what to do is the key the mortgage loan? 看似很有效的赖账方法,实际上却后患无穷。被国际社会孤立、排斥也就罢了,关键是抵押贷款怎么办？ Cannot renege the debt that the Northern European federation and Austria benefit simultaneously, rejects loan mortgage contract that carries out signs beforehand, goes to war to level the debt with both countries? 总不能同时赖掉北欧联邦和奥地利的债务,拒绝履行事先签订的贷款抵押合同,和两国干上一仗抹平债务吧？ The approach that this type does not have the lower limit, the Tsar government naturally cannot repel, the ally is not always worth a red cent in the face of the benefit. But the present issue by an enemy two, that cannot really be victorious! 这种没下限的做法,沙皇政府自然不会排斥,盟友在利益面前从来都是一文不值。可现在的问题以一敌二,那是真的打不过啊！ In the age of this law of the jungle, the winner in battlefield can repudiate a debt, had not heard the loser can also repudiate a debt. 在这个弱肉强食的年代,战场上的赢家可以赖账,可没有听说过输家也能赖账的。 Cannot repudiate a debt, that can only find the way to make money. 不能赖账,那就只能想办法搞钱了。 The French put out the practical benefit, even knows that this possibly is a belt/bring poisonous bait, the Tsar government does not have the means to reject. 法国人拿出了切切实实的利益,即便知道这可能是一个带毒的诱饵,沙皇政府还是没有办法拒绝。 Franz nods, saying slowly: „ It seems like we underestimated the French, perhaps the ranch plan of Paris government is a pretence. 弗朗茨点了点头,缓缓的说道:“看来我们都低估了法国人,或许巴黎政府的大农场计划就是一个幌子。 The French area is Western European biggest grain habitat, if not because annexes the Italian area, they do not lack the grain. 法兰西地区本身就是西欧最大的粮食产地,如果不是因为吞并意大利地区,他们根本就不缺粮食。 These farmers are the foundations of Bonaparte dynasty, so long as Napoleon IV also not insane, will not infringe the interest of this group of people. 这些农民是波拿巴王朝的根基,只要拿破仑四世还没疯,就不会损害这帮人的利益。 Politically had decided the grain price of France will be in a high level, to safeguard the benefit of peasant class. 政治上已经决定了法国的粮食价格将处于一个较高的水平,以保障农民阶级的利益。 The ranch plan of French can reduce the dependency on the grain, but was not equal to that must realize self-sufficiently. 法国人的大农场计划可以减少对外界粮食的依赖,但不等于要全部实现自给自足了。 Once the grain is completely self sufficient, driven by interest group, the grain price of France is doomed to fall, the benefit of peasant class is very difficult to be guaranteed. 一旦粮食全部自足,在利益集团的驱动下,法国的粮食价格就注定要滑落,农民阶级的利益很难得到保证。 Only then leaves behind certain gap, from the overseas grain import, can keep high for the grain price, provides reason that made all parties be able to accept. 只有留下一定的缺口,从海外进口粮食,才能够为粮食价格留在高位,提供一个令各方都能接受的理由。 Wins over the Russia person, perhaps is also they plans beforehand a part. Our ignores, but accelerated the development of situation. 拉拢俄国人,或许也是他们事先计划中的一部分。我们的放任,只是加速了局势的发展。 Then, how does Ministry of Foreign Affairs prepare to deal? ” 接下来,外交部准备怎么应对？” The fact puts at present, the French prepares beforehand, gets a sudden inspiration, the final situation to helping the direction of France develops. 事实摆在眼前,无论是法国人是事先准备,还是灵机一动,最终的局势都向有利于法兰西的方向发展。 Without harm domestic interest of peasant, carries out the ranch plan, not only reduced the foreign exchange outflow, but also helps promote the development of domestic grain processing industry. 在不损害国内农民利益的情况下,搞大农场计划,不仅减少了外汇流失,还有助于推动国内粮食加工产业的发展。 The Industrial Revolution develops now, mainstream economical plate in fact such several types, and they are: Headed by the textile industry and venture in agroindustry light industry, as well as including shipbuilding, ferrous metallurgy and mining traditional heavy industry. 工业革命发展到现在,主流的经济板块实际上就那么几样,分别是:以纺织业、农产品加工业为首的轻工业,以及包括造船、钢铁冶金、采矿在内的传统重工业。 Then is the transportation, finally is the new electric power industry. As for the automobile and internal combustion engine industry, now or the babies and infants, are small in the proportion in the social economy mass accounting. 接下来才是交通运输,最后才是新崛起的电力工业。至于汽车、内燃机产业,现在还是婴幼儿,在社会经济体量中占据的比例非常小。 The background of France is very thick, the industry chain is basically prepared, only regrettable deficient leading industry. 法兰西的底子还很厚实,产业链基本上都是齐备的,唯一令人遗憾的缺乏龙头产业。 The English occupy the financial industry, the textile industry and ship-building industry the hegemon position , was also in the important position in mining and ferrous metallurgy industry. 英国人占据金融业、纺织业、造船工业的霸主地位,在采矿、钢铁冶金产业中也占据了重要地位。 Austria benefits is the venture in agroindustry, electric power industry, transportation and other domain hegemon position, surpassed the English in mining and ferrous metallurgy domain by a narrow margin, becomes the industry leader. 奥地利则是农产品加工业、电力工业、交通运输等领域霸主地位,在采矿、钢铁冶金领域也以微弱优势超过了英国人,成为了行业龙头。 The French on the tragedy, in the important industry can the anti- flag does not have, somewhat is quite comprehensive the mediocre meaning. 法国人就悲剧了,重要行业中一个能抗旗的都没有,颇有几分全面平庸的意思。 The heavy industry first did not say that the innate resources had decided the French is very difficult to be potential achievement in this domain, can arrange at the world's third, is very diligently. 重工业先不说了,先天资源已经决定了法国人在这个领域很难有所作为,能够排在世界第三,已经算是很努力了。 The government focuses on developing the textile industry, was hung to hit by the English in the international competition, seems like that the industry mass is very huge, in fact the total quantity also compares Austria that not next door does not show one's self to benefit. 政府重点发展的纺织业,在国际竞争中被英国人吊打,看似行业体量很庞大,实际上总量还比不上隔壁不显山不露水的奥地利。 France good of very transportation industry development, starts from Napoleon III in the overhaul railroad, industry that may be reluctant to part ways not with. 法国的交通运输业发展的很不错,从拿破仑三世开始就在大修铁路,可惜别的产业没有跟上去。 The capitalist investment is to consider to return, for a long time cannot see the railroad of profit hope, even if will cultivate still by brutal abandonment. 资本家投资是要考虑回报的,长时间看不到盈利希望的铁路,即便是修出来了也会被无情的抛弃。 Said frankly, what French emergent industry development is very good, what a pity the innate limit is too big. 坦率的说,法国新兴产业发展的还是很不错,可惜先天限制太大。 For example: The time that the electric power industry, the French enters is very early. It is a pity that the French lacks the coal, heavily relies on the overseas imports, the generating cost too restricted the electric power promotion high. 比如说:电力工业,法国人进入的时间就很早。遗憾的是法国人缺煤,严重依赖于海外进口,发电成本太高制约了电力推广。 Real economy very difficult one-party rule, even if could not become the industry leader, made the industry's second similarly still to cross very much moistens. 实体经济很难一家独大,就算是成不了行业龙头,做行业第二同样也可以过得很滋润。 Now carries out the ranch plan, seems like that is self sufficient for the grain, by farming enough. 现在搞大农场计划,看似只是为了粮食自足,靠种田就够了。 In fact because of existence of tariff barrier, the domestic agricultural products processing enterprise has the advantage in tax revenue cost, so long as the grain capacity came up, these enterprises will develop. 实际上因为关税壁垒的存在,国内的农产品加工企业拥有税收成本上的优势,只要粮食产能上去了,这些企业就会发展起来。 While promoting domestic economic development, but also attacked the competitor, can say that this ranch plan, to France is supports hundred advantages not to have an evil. 在推动国内经济发展的同时,还打击了竞争对手,可以说这项大农场计划,对法兰西来说是拥百利而无一害。 Foreign minister Wessenberg replied: „ The ranch plan of French, we are beyond control, temporarily does not have the means to destroy. 外交大臣韦森贝格回答道:“法国人的大农场计划,我们鞭长莫及,暂时没有办法破坏。 However they want to win over the Russia matter, cannot make them successfully complete absolutely, Ministry of Foreign Affairs is seeking for an appropriate involvement point, breaks France and Russia to continue to close up. ” 不过他们想拉拢俄国的事情,绝对不能让他们顺利完成,外交部正在寻找一个合适的介入点,打断法俄两国继续靠拢。” Said did not dread that is definitely false. 说不忌惮,那肯定是假的。 Independent France, or is Russia, each one has the obvious flaw, Austria benefits can also calmly deal, if both stick together, the situation changed. 单独一个法兰西、或者是俄罗斯,各自都有明显的缺陷,奥地利还能够从容应对,要是两者抱成了团,情况就发生了变化。 Franz had not forgotten beside the channel, a John Bull who stirs the excrement stick. The First World War of original space and time, after is John Bull joins the allies, detonates. 弗朗茨可没有忘了海峡之外,还有一个搅屎棍的约翰牛的。原时空的第一次世界大战,就是约翰牛加入协约国之后才引爆的。 In some sense, without John Bull this pit goods does not have pig teammate, the Russia person not to throw the street quickly. 某种意义上来说,要是没有约翰牛这个坑货没有坑队友,俄国人也不会那么快就扑街。 The material aid is prompt, the Tsar government not drops down early, Second German Empire could not support is so long, the First World War did not have the American anything matter. 物资援助及时,沙皇政府不那么早倒下,德二帝国也撑不了那么久,第一次世界大战就没美国人什么事了。 „ This is very difficult to achieve, the French is willing to open the domestic market, that is the practical benefit, the Tsar government is very difficult to reject. “这很难做到,法国人肯开放国内市场,那就是切切实实的利益,沙皇政府很难拒绝。 To prevent them to close up, we must pay the price, even if the political influence, at least cannot compare the French to be low in addition are too many. 想要阻止他们靠拢,我们也必须要付出代价,就算是加上政治上的影响,至少也不能比法国人低太多。 Different with the French, they can toss about casually, succeed gained greatly, are defeated also put to trouble to us. 和法国人不一样,他们可以随便折腾,成功了就是大赚,失败了也给我们添了麻烦。 Comes several times, perhaps cannot bear. Continuously for a long time hence will get down, the French had not been suppressed, the appetite of Russia person was first raised. 多来几次,恐怕就受不了。长此以往下去,法国人没有被打压下去,俄国人的胃口先被养了起来。 Only if can strike to win, otherwise pesters, is disadvantageous to us. ” 除非能够一击获胜,要不然这么纠缠下去,对我们非常不利。” The difficult problem here, the French is purely disturbs making a move of nature, regardless of the success is defeated finally, finally will not compare now is worse. 难题就在这里,法国人纯属捣乱性质的出手,无论最后成功还是失败,结果都不会比现在更糟糕。 In comparison, Austria benefits unable to play. The time grew, this will create an Misconception Austria to the Russia person the advantage cannot leave Russia. 相比之下,奥地利不能一直这么玩儿下去。时间长了,这会给俄国人造成一种错觉-奥地利离不开俄罗斯。