London, the appearance of anti-Turkey coalition makes the plan before British government go bankrupt directly completely. 伦敦,反土同盟的出现直接让英国政府之前的计划全部破产。 At this time, Prime Minister Gladstone worried no longer rescues the Ottoman issue, but how should assure the security of India. 这个时候,格莱斯顿首相操心的已经不再是抢救奥斯曼的问题,而是该如何保证印度的安全。 „Situation in France how?” “法国的局势怎么样了？” Foreign minister George shakes the head: „ Very bad, this empire is the paper sticks simply, fragile. 外交大臣乔治摇了摇头:“非常的糟糕,这个帝国简直就是纸糊的,弱不经风。 The bourgeoisie revolutionary party, the republican faction, the social revolutionary party and Austria restored the organization and House of Bourbon to restore the organization and Italian independent body good...... 资产阶级革命党、共和派、社会革命党、奥尔良复辟组织、波旁王朝复辟组织、意大利独立组织…… A country has so many anti-government influences, is unable to imagine simply, how the Bonaparte dynasty supports. ” 一个国家拥有这么多反政府势力,简直无法想象,波拿巴王朝是如何撑住的。” Looks at the heavyhearted British Foreign Secretary, it is estimated that no one is able to imagine these at sixes and sevens organizations, basically has obtained the subsidization of British government. 看着忧心忡忡的英国外交大臣,估计谁也无法想象这些乱七八糟的组织,基本上都得到过英国政府的资助。 Passed through the unremitting effort, these investments finally started to display to affect, what a pity time was not right, is the reaction that erupted. 经过了不懈的努力,这些投资终于开始发挥作用了,可惜时间点不对,爆发出来的全是反作用。 Has nothing to accuse, everyone does. The London government is supporting French anti-government organization, the Paris government similarly in the support anti-UK group. 没什么好指责的,大家都这么干。伦敦政府在支持法国反政府组织,巴黎政府同样在支持反英组织。 Gladstone's heavy nod of: „French truly enlivened a little, magic box that Napoleon turns on personally, finally retaliation on his empire.” 格莱斯顿沉重的点了点头:“法国人确实活跃了一点儿,拿破仑亲手打开的魔盒,终于还是报复在他的帝国身上。” Then, Gladstone realized is not right, seeming like situation Britain was also lifts the stone to pound own foot now. 说完,格莱斯顿就意识到了不对,貌似现在局势不列颠也是搬起石头砸了自己的脚。 Without their selfless contributions, French Revolutionary party will not do in a big way, will not have the present French civil war. 没有他们的无私奉献,法国革命党也不会做大,更不会有现在的法国内战。 France does not erupt the civil war, is unable to guarantee that west line security in situation, Austria benefits does not dare to start the war absolutely rashly. 法国不爆发内战,在无法保证西线安全的情况下,奥地利绝对不敢冒然发起战争。 Thought of here, Gladstone revealed a bitterness and astringency: „It seems like we and French get up working as that Austria benefitted, led by the nose altruistic by Austria the present.” 想到了这里,格莱斯顿露出了一丝苦涩:“看来我们和法国人都上了奥地利的当,被奥地利人牵着鼻子走到了现在。” Foreign minister George beckons with the hand: „ Prime minister, you were too pessimistic. The development present this step, is completely a coincidence. 外交大臣乔治摆了摆手:“首相,你太悲观了。局势发展到现在这一步,完全是一个巧合。 In perhaps this has Austria to benefit in the promoter, but they decide unable to think, France so will be fragile. ” 这里面或许有奥地利在推手,但他们决定想不到,法兰西会这么弱不经风。” From the angle analysis of benefit, Austria benefitted the biggest beneficiary. Britain seemingly fell into passively, the income that they yield absolutely is not low. 从利益的角度分析,奥地利成了最大的受益者。不列颠看似陷入了被动,他们获得的收益也绝对不低。 Front shorting franc ; Plays commodity dumping, suppresses the competitor ; Also or robs the interests of French in the overseas, Britain is a victor. 无论是前面的做空法郎;还是玩儿商品倾销,打压竞争对手;又或者是在海外抢夺法国人的利益,不列颠都是胜利者。 The only mistake, neglected the internal contradictions of France. 唯一失误的,就是忽略了法兰西的内部矛盾。 The internal contradictions of France are various reasons create together, British Austria captures the financial system of France, conducting commodity dumping is only the contradictory catalysts. 法国的内部矛盾是多方面原因共同造成的,英奥攻陷法兰西的金融体系,进行商品倾销都只是矛盾的催化剂。 Initial period of Industrial Revolution, France depends upon the strong capital, rapidly completed the industrialization. 工业革命初期,法国依靠雄厚的资本,迅速完成了工业化。 With the progress of industrialization, the industrial material deficient aspect is increasingly serious. In order to guarantee the industrial production smoothly launches, the French has to import wantonly. 随着工业化的推进,工业原材料匮乏的局面日益严重。为了保证工业生产顺利展开,法国人不得不大肆进口。 By raw material „import” influence, the French industrial production cost has stayed at a high level. Closing oneself plays is not important, after joining free system , the situation was grim. 受原材料“进口”影响,法国工业生产成本一直都居高不下。关起门来自己玩儿的时候还不打紧,加入自由体系后形势就严峻了。 For the capitalists have the advantage in the market competition, doing everything possible reduces the industrial production cost, includes to increase to exploiting of working class. 资本家为了在市场竞争中占据优势,想方设法的压低工业生产成本,其中也包括加大对工人阶级的盘剥。 Where has the oppression, where has the resistance. Brutal squeezing of capitalist, directly caused the eruption of French labor movement. 哪里有压迫,哪里就有反抗。资本家的残酷压榨,直接导致了法国工人运动的爆发。 Besides the internal cause, France annexes the Italian area is also an intensified contradictory important factor. 除了内因外,法国吞并意大利地区也是激化矛盾的一个重要因素。 France after merge, before commodity market, dramatically increases, however increases is not only only a market, to the demand of industrial material, as well as more tremendous employment pressure. 合并后的大法兰西,商品市场较之前大幅度增加,然而增加的不仅仅只是市场,还有对工业原材料的需求、以及更大的就业压力。 Because the disparity of economic development level, the Italian area artificial price must lower a lot, massive Italy floods into France to work. 因为经济发展水平的差距,意大利地区人工价格要低得多,大量的意大利涌入法国本土务工。 Sufficient labor force, while promoting French industry and commerce development, provided to the capitalists squeezed the energy of working class unscrupulously. 充足的劳动力,在促进法国工商业发展的同时,也给资本家们提供了肆无忌惮压榨工人阶级的底气。 The Napoleon III years France commercial scale is very limited, is not very big to the demand of raw material, the French industry and commerce has not needed to bear higher production cost, the economy naturally is great. 拿破仑三世时代法国工业规模还很有限,对原材料的需求并不是很大,法国工商业还不需要承担更高的生产成本,经济自然是一片大好。 By Napoleon IV period, the French industry total quantity grew, the industrial cost significant growth, the business profit starts to reduce. 到了拿破仑四世时期,法国工业总量增长了上去,工业成本大幅度增长,企业利润开始减少。 Especially after joining the free trade system, the market competition becomes more brutal, the labor conflict also becomes day by day stern. 尤其是加入自由贸易体系后,市场竞争变得更加残酷,劳资冲突也变得日益严峻。 Crisis-ridden, mainly limited in the lower classes. The capital controlled the media, the labor crisis was desalinated, or is changes the concept, the crisis is hidden in the dead angle that the ruler could not see. 危机四伏,主要局限在了下层社会。资本控制了媒体,劳资危机被淡化、或者是偷换概念,危机被隐藏在了统治者看不到的死角。 Before the revolution erupts, the economy of France seems like the unusual prosperity, the London government naturally does not know this empire already the outwardly strong but inwardly weak. 在革命爆发前,法国的经济看起来还是非常的繁荣,伦敦政府自然不知道这个帝国已经外强中干。 Semblance the aggression of powerful inherent concept geopolitics French government, the London government obtains conclusion this finally is: Conclusion of biggest threat. 外表的强悍固有的观念地缘政治法国政府的霸气,最后伦敦政府得出结论这是:最大威胁的结论。 Great, the biggest threat naturally must give the suppression of highest specification. 没得说,最大的威胁当然要给予最高规格的打压了。 Similarly regards France for the biggest threat also has Austria to benefit, clamps in France of middle position, unfortunately encountered the entire world most powerful two countries to suppress jointly. 同样视法国为最大威胁的还有奥地利,夹在中间位置的法兰西,不幸遭到了全世界最强大的两个国家联手打压。 One set of cocktail of moves gets down, the awe-inspiring prowess was punctured. The internal contradictions intensify, making the French situation lose control completely. 一套组合拳下来,虎威被戳破了。内部矛盾激化,让法兰西局势完全失控。 This is successive governments' common responsibility, Gladstone shifted this sensitive issue decisively: „ Things have gotten to this point, said uselessly. 这是历届政府共同的责任,格莱斯顿果断的转移了这个敏感话题:“事已至此,多说无益。 Now the key is to try to find the solution, helping Napoleon IV stabilize the situation, to restore the strength, alleviates pressure that we must face. ” 现在关键是想办法,帮拿破仑四世稳定局势、恢复实力,缓解我们要面临的压力。” The First Lord of the Treasury understands to govern Gordon analyzes saying: „ Must stabilize the French situation, must first stabilize the French economy. 财政大臣晓治・柴尔德斯分析道:“要稳定法国局势,必须先稳定法国经济。 This unusual difficulty, our domestic economic conditions are also very bad, the government cannot block the capitalist not to let dumping. 这非常的困难,我们国内的经济情况也很糟糕,政府不能拦着资本家不让倾销。 The Paris revolution scared the French bourgeoisie, Napoleon IV had earned the support of domestic financial group, now he is not short of money. ” 巴黎革命吓坏了法国资产阶级,拿破仑四世已经获得了国内财团的支持,现在他并不缺钱。” The French economic crisis four plunder, to a great extent is British Austria shift overcapacity causes, wants to restore in the economical short-term the most effective way is to protect the market. 法国经济危机肆掠,很大程度上是英奥转移产能过剩导致的,想要恢复经济短期内最有效的办法就是保护市场。 This violated the free trade agreement, is the paramount interest of British Austria two countries, the spirit that the London government has not risen above self, not possible ignores matter to happen. 偏偏这又违背了自由贸易协定,属于英奥两国的核心利益,伦敦政府没有舍己为人的精神,不可能放任这种事情发生。 If France breaks a contract unilaterally, was not punished, other country comes across the issue also to study the type, the British government disintegrates after the free trade system that hundreds of thousands of years of effort established. 如果法国单方面违约,不受到惩罚,别的国家遇到问题也学样,英国政府经过数十万年努力才建立的自由贸易体系就土崩瓦解了。 Napoleon IV had not announced withdraws from the free trade system, is feared that stimulated British Austria both countries, lost the international support. 拿破仑四世一直没有宣布退出自由贸易体系,就是怕刺激到了英奥两国,丧失了国际支持。 Gladstone is lost in thought that this is the difficult choice. If the London government is willing to relent, the French must certainly adopt the trade barrier. 格莱斯顿陷入了沉思中,这是两难的抉择。如果伦敦政府肯松口,法国人肯定要采取贸易壁垒。 The consequence is the domestic economic crisis intensifies, the situation becomes more turbulent, the bourgeoisie that the benefit is damaged will raise them leaves office. 后果是国内的经济危机加剧,局势变得更加动荡,利益受损的资产阶级会把他们掀下台。 After hesitant moment time, Gladstone chose from the heart, he is British Prime Minister needs to be responsible for the British People. 犹豫了片刻功夫后,格莱斯顿选择了从心,他是英国首相需要为英国民众负责。 „ Intensifies the diplomatic support, starts our influences, lobbied more people to support Napoleon IV. “加大外交支持力度,发动我们的影响力,游说更多的人支持拿破仑四世。 If possible, first stood firm the Austria good dynasty and House of Bourbon. So long as they do not act, the French army will not be chaotic, this rebellion can subside quickly. ” 如果可能的话,先稳住奥尔良王朝和波旁王朝。只要他们不出手,法国军队就不会乱,这场叛乱很快就可以平息。” Without means that although after Napoleon III high-rank , before looking the opportunity clean is loyal, in the army of dynasty influence, but influence contraption absolutely would have no means to eradicate. 没有办法,尽管拿破仑三世上位后找机会清洗忠于前王朝的军中势力,但影响力这玩意儿根本就没有办法根除。 The Paris revolution had not been suppressed, is in the French army some people holds back, were present at work many armies to the battlefield in do not strive. 巴黎革命迟迟未被镇压下去,就是法国军队中有人扯后腿,很多部队到了战场上都出工不出力。 George nods: „ Ministry of Foreign Affairs has contacted with the Austria good dynasty and House of Bourbon, the present aspect is not they want to see. 乔治点了点头:“外交部已经和奥尔良王朝、波旁王朝都接触过了,现在的局面也不是他们想要看到的。 We prepare to arrange three royal family representatives to meet in the near future, compromises all parties to be contradictory as far as possible. ” 我们准备在近期安排三家王室代表会面,尽可能的调和各方矛盾。” Now the situation in France is bad, Austria good dynasty, House of Bourbon in these round shuffles is in an inferior position, even if the Bonaparte dynasty were finished, is not one's turn them to restore. 现在法国的情况非常糟糕,无论是奥尔良王朝、还是波旁王朝都在这一轮洗牌中处于劣势,就算是波拿巴王朝完蛋了,也轮不到他们复辟。 In eastern country, if several royal courts have killed badly beaten, absolutely does not have the feasibility of least bit compromise. 在东方国家要是有几家王室早就杀得头破血流,绝对没有半点儿妥协的可行性。 However the situation in Europe is special, the French situation is more special, three big royal courts separately are representing the interests of three waves of aristocrats, is the interest group pushes essentially. 不过欧洲的情况特殊,法国情况更特殊,三大王室分别代表着三波贵族的利益,本质上就是利益集团推出来的。 The aristocrat who the Austria good dynasty will not have been loyal to the Bonaparte dynasty kills off, Napoleon III mounts the stage also not to slaughter to be loyal to the Austria good aristocrat wantonly. 奥尔良王朝没有将忠于波拿巴王朝的贵族杀光,拿破仑三世上台同样没有大肆屠杀忠于奥尔良的贵族。 Under the tradition in easily not killing the aristocrat, the so-called clean, nothing but is to make the fellows of these political struggle failure go home. 在轻易不杀贵族的传统之下,所谓的清洗,无非是让这些政治斗争失败的家伙回家。 After going home, in these losers a large part of people are rich, has a big strength in the place. 回家后,这些失败者中很大一部分人还是富甲一方,在地方上同样拥有不小的实力。 No one is resigned to by the marginalization, these frustration are restoration the sponsors of activity, is responsible for implementing the restoration action, is in the power struggle is defeated, causes aristocrat who the family fortune declines. 没有人甘心被边缘化,这些失意者都是复辟的活动的赞助者,负责实施复辟行动的,则是权力斗争中失败,导致家道中落的贵族。 They want to return the power the center, revives the family glory, the best choice is the restoration. 他们想要重新回到权力的中心,复兴家族荣耀,最好的选择莫过于复辟。 The donors had, the person who is willing to strive for success also had, this is the French royal family restoration influence prosperous reason. 金主有了,愿意拼搏的人也有了,这就是法兰西王室复辟势力长盛不衰的缘故。 Arrived stage under royal family, what they have is only the influence, itself does not have the strength of command outstanding heroes. 到了台下的王室,他们拥有的只是影响力,本身并没有号令群雄的实力。 Had/Left Napoleon III this alternative besides the Bonaparte dynasty, performance of another two royal courts in restoration is not positive. 除了波拿巴王朝出了拿破仑三世这个另类外,另外两家王室在复辟中的表现并不积极。 Compromising all parties is contradictory, in fact is an interest distribution. So long as the back interest group reached the compromise, after restoring the activity also to detain . 调和各方矛盾,实际上就是一次利益分配。只要背后的利益集团达成了妥协,复辟活动也可以押后。 ...... …… The action of English, no influence on the action of anti-Turkey coalition. Under coordination of Vienna government, Austria benefitted, Russia, Montenegro and Greek four countries to hold the counter- earth conference in Vienna. 英国人的行动,没有影响到反土同盟的行动。在维也纳政府的牵头下,奥地利、俄罗斯、黑山、希腊四国在维也纳举行了反土会议。 After short contact, four country representatives think: Only then overthrew the barbaric and cruel Ottoman government, can help the Ottoman person enter the civilized society. 经过短暂的接触后,四国代表一致认为:只有推翻了野蛮、残暴的奥斯曼政府,才能帮助奥斯曼人进入文明社会。 On May 16 , 1882, four country representatives concluded to be centered on Vienna officially overthrowing the Ottoman government, took perishing the Ottoman empire as the counter- earth treaty of alliance of own duty. 1882年5月16日,四国代表在维也纳正式缔结以推翻奥斯曼政府为核心、以灭亡奥斯曼帝国为己任的反土盟约。 After the treaty of alliance signs next day, the Vienna government refuses to hand over murderer on the grounds of Ottoman, declares war to the Ottoman empire officially. 在盟约签订后次日,维也纳政府以奥斯曼拒绝交出凶手为由,向奥斯曼帝国正式宣战。 In the next week, Greece, Montenegro and Russian Empire empire, respectively declared war to the Ottoman empire by the respective reason, the third Near East war fully broke out. 在随后的一周内,希腊、黑山、俄罗斯帝国帝国,分别以各自的理由向奥斯曼帝国宣战,第三次近东战争全面爆发。 Were many several allies, is advantages are accompanied by disadvantages. The most direct effect was the combat plan that Austria benefitted changes. 多了几个盟友,也是有利有弊。最直接的影响就是奥地利的作战计划变更了。 This war comes is too sudden, Russia, Montenegro and Greece have not completed the war preparations. The commodity can provide by the Austria advantage, but the army accumulation time must have. 这场战争来的太突然,俄罗斯、黑山、希腊三国都没有做好战争准备。物资可以由奥地利提供,但是军队集结时间必须要有。 For does not present Austria Lijun team to struggle hard in the frontline, the embarrassing situation that the ally in the rear area provides encouragement, Franz ordered the military to postpone the attack decisively. 为了不出现奥地利军队在前线苦战,盟友在后方加油打气的尴尬局面,弗朗茨果断下令军方暂缓进攻。 Strange appeared, the Near East war broke out, only has Austria to benefit the navy to act. 诡异的一幕出现了,近东战争爆发了,却只有奥地利海军在行动。