The war does not want to hit can hit, „soldiers and horses have not moved, the grain and fodder advances ; The war has not opened, the diplomacy advances.” 战争不是想打就能打的,“兵马未动,粮草先行;战争未启,外交先行。” The political pattern that continental Europe many countries exist side by side, decided the importance of diplomacy. 欧洲大陆多国并立的政治格局,决定了外交的重要性。 The Vienna government did not have with the energy of all European country resistances, the function of diplomacy to reflect simultaneously. 维也纳政府还没有同时和所有欧洲国家对抗的底气,外交的作用就凸现了出来。 Did not ask all countries to support the Austria advantage to launch this war, at least needs to guarantee that the majorities of countries did not oppose. 不求所有国家都支持奥地利发动这场战争,至少要保证大部分国家不反对。 The small country, mostly is a person with no mind of his own. To them, Austria benefitted is very powerful, again powerful a little also indifferent. 小国也就罢了,大都是墙头草。对他们来说,奥地利已经很强大了,再强大一点儿也无所谓。 So long as does not infringe their benefit, even at heart uncomfortable, most still condemned several orally. 只要不损害他们自身的利益,就算是心里不爽,最多也就口头上谴责几句。 The German federation empire of Northern European federation and next door that truly has the country or the UK , France of very soon three big hooligans right to speak, in the big powers sets the base Spain that is beyond control, can calculate 1/3 tickets reluctantly. 真正有话语权的国家还是英法俄三个大流氓,列强中垫底的西班牙、鞭长莫及的北欧联邦、隔壁的德意志联邦帝国,勉强可以算三分之一票。 How to handle these countries, becomes Austria to benefit Ministry of Foreign Affairs at present the most vital duty. 如何搞定这些国家,成为了奥地利外交部眼下最重要的的任务。 The foreign minister Wessenberg analysis said: „ The continental Europe turbulent situation, is favorable for our following actions. 外交大臣韦森贝格分析道:“欧洲大陆动荡的局势,对我们接下来的行动非常有利。 The French government by the revolutionary puzzle, now cannot take care of oneself. 法国政府饱受革命困扰,现在自顾不暇。 Takes does not support the Italian independence movement and French Revolutionary party for the price, received exchange for the default our actions of Paris government, the successful possibility is big. 以不支持意大利独立运动和法国革命党为代价,换取巴黎政府的默认我们这次行动,成功的可能性非常大。 Spain has internationally followed close on the step of French, so long as the French government did not oppose, they will not crop up mostly. 西班牙在国际上一直都紧跟法国人的步子,只要法国政府不反对,他们多半也不会冒头。 Even if the German federation does not support us, will not oppose. We can publicize the nationalism, stressed that hatred between German nation and Ottoman empires, earns their support is not difficult. 德意志联邦就算是不支持我们,也不会反对。我们可以宣扬民族主义,强调德意志民族和奥斯曼帝国间的仇恨,获得他们的支持不难。 The Northern European federation great distance is really far, this war will not involve their interests. We guaranteed a loan of Northern European federation for the Russia person. 北欧联邦相隔甚远,这场战争不会涉及到他们的利益。况且,我们替俄国人担保了一笔北欧联邦的贷款。 If they also need us to provide the security for this loan, will not stand in our opposites. 如果他们还需要我们为这笔贷款提供安全保障,就不会站在我们的对立面。 What is most troublesome is UK and Russia. To earn the support of British government, basically is impossible, we do not have so many benefits to take the exchange. 最麻烦的是英俄两国。想要获得英国政府的支持,基本上不可能,我们没有那么多利益可以拿出来交换。 Ministry of Foreign Affairs's following focus will place the Russia person. If we can make certain concession, or some cessions of territory Ottoman empire to the Russia person, the Tsar government should not reject. ” 外交部接下来的工作重心会放在俄国人身上。如果我们能够做出一定让步,或者是将奥斯曼帝国的部分领土割让给俄国人,沙皇政府应该不会拒绝。” The diplomatic core lies in the benefit, now arrives at the benefit exchange time. So long as bids enough high, did not have unable to buy. 外交的核心在于利益,现在又到了利益交换的时候。只要出价足够高,就没有收买不了的。 Looked at the Near East map on wall, after Franz was pondering the moment time, made decided: „ If the Russia person is willing to dispatch troops together, then the east takes Cousse river as, the Asia minor peninsula takes the Anna Tonya plateau as. 望着墙上的近东地图,弗朗茨沉思了片刻功夫后,做出了决定:“如果俄国人肯一起出兵,那么东部以阿拉库斯河为界,小亚细亚半岛以安纳托尼亚高原为界。 If the Tsar government is not willing to dispatch troops, but supports us diplomatically, then they can only obtain north Greater Caucasus Mountain territory, the Asia minor peninsula did not have their shares. ” 如果沙皇政府不愿意出兵,只是在外交上支持我们,那么他们就只能获得大高加索山脉以北的领土,小亚细亚半岛就没他们的份儿了。” Without a doubt, which type of distribution regardless, Austria benefits the biggest benefit that takes away, no longer is „both countries divides equally Ottoman”. 毫无疑问,无论哪一种分配方式,奥地利都拿走的最大一份利益,不再是“两国平分奥斯曼”。 The reality is so brutal, the benefit forever and strength is coordinated. Price that Franz pays, bases on the strength of Russia person. 现实就这么残酷,利益永远都和实力对等。弗朗茨出的价,也是基于俄国人的自身实力。 Especially the first plan, both countries carve up the Ottoman empire together, seemingly just offer, in fact also hides malicious intent under a fair countenance. 尤其是第一种方案,两国一起瓜分奥斯曼帝国,看似公平合理的出价,实际上也是包藏祸心。 Has a look the boundary line that Franz draws to know, suddenly Austria two countries continuously good neighborliness and friendliness, if some day of both countries get angry, that everywhere is the loophole. 看看弗朗茨划定的边界线就知道,俄奥两国一直睦邻友好也就罢了,如果某一天两国翻了脸,那就处处都是漏洞。 very soon is the Balkan Peninsula and Asia minor peninsula, under soldier/weapon front that the direct exposure in Austria benefits, shortly will fall to the enemy. 俄属巴尔干半岛、小亚细亚半岛,都直接暴露在奥地利的兵锋之下,顷刻间就会沦陷。 This is the geographical position and strength jointly decided that seemed like with Russian Empire continually a piece, however that was only linking up into a single stretch in geography significance. 这是地理位置和实力共同决定的,看似都和俄罗斯帝国连成了一片,然而那只是地理意义上的连成一片。 The middle had the mountain range impediment, the railroad could not count on, the transportation totally depended on Black Sea. 中间有山脉阻隔,铁路是指望不上了,交通完全靠黑海。 So long as Constantinopolis loses, Austria benefitted the navy to enter Black Sea, the lifeline shuts off. 只要君士坦丁堡一丢,奥地利海军进入黑海,生命线就被切断了。 Even if the Russia person defended Constantinopolis is still useless, Black Sea Fleet does not have. 就算是俄国人守住了君士坦丁堡也没用,黑海舰队已经没了。 Austria benefits on the land to advance to any harbor of coastal area of Black Sea casually, puts one dozen of submarines to enter Black Sea, similarly can serve the purpose. 奥地利陆地上随便推进到任何一个黑海沿岸的港口,放一打潜艇进入黑海,同样可以达到目的。 The modern war, hitting is the logistics, the army, once lost the logistics supply, anything not. 现代化战争,打得就是后勤,军队一旦丧失了后勤补给,就什么也不是了。 In some sense, this is a giant trap, the Tsar government is bigger in the strength that these areas put , the paid loss is more serious. 某种意义上来说,这就是一个巨大的陷阱,沙皇政府在这些地区投入的力量越大,付出的损失就越惨重。 ...... …… Paris, since spreads various European countries to hold the international conference here, after containing the news that the revolutionary idea spreads together, the situation becomes out of control. 巴黎,自从传出欧洲各国要在这里召开国际会议,共同遏制革命思想扩散的消息后,局势就变得一发不可收拾。 Hundreds of thousands of Paris People go to the street, protested that the government colludes with the international reactionary strength, the conspiracy persecution revolution. 数十万巴黎民众走上街头,抗议政府勾结国际反动实力,阴谋迫害革命。 The protests of people, clearly discernible spread to Palace of Versailles, Napoleon IV whole person became thin and pale, as if all of a sudden old 20 years old. 民众的抗议声,清晰可见的传入了凡尔赛宫,拿破仑四世整个人都变得憔悴了起来,仿佛一下子苍老了二十岁。 Without the means that every day has one group of people restless outside, such spirit devastates, is really not the average person can withstand. 没有办法,每天都有一群人在外面闹腾,这样的精神摧残,真不是一般人能够承受的。 Do the assemble troops disperse the parade crowd? There is no function, just scattered, a while gathered. 调集部队驱散游行民众？这没有任何作用,刚刚驱散了,一会儿又聚集了起来。 What is most essential is others is the legitimate protest, before adopting excessive behavior, the government has no right the suppression. 最关键的是人家是合法抗议,在没有采取过激行为前,政府是无权镇压的。 It is not Napoleon IV observes the custom, mainly lacks self-confidence at heart, fears to intensify the contradiction, does not dare to order to suppress. 不是拿破仑四世遵守规矩,主要是心里没底,怕激化矛盾,不敢下令镇压。 At present was suppressed by the French government, has mobilized the extremist of rebellion, the people of protest march is not one of them , suppression. 目前被法国政府镇压的,都是已经发动叛乱的极端分子,抗议游行的民众不在其中,也镇压不过来。 According to incomplete statistics, recently, the flange west to the rare three points a person, participated in the demonstration. 据不完全统计,最近一段时间,法兰西至少有三分一的人,参与了游行示威活动。 Throws the document in hand anywhere, Napoleon IV roared angrily: „Who can tell me, when is this day a head?” 将手中的文件随地一扔,拿破仑四世愤怒的咆哮道:“谁能告诉我,这种日子什么时候是个头？” The Emperor temperament is less good, this is everyone clearest feeling. How the temperament is not again good, the work must normally conduct. 皇帝的脾气越来越不好了,这是大家最清晰的感受。脾气再怎么不好,工作还是要正常进行。 The foreign minister Terence Bull gold exchange reported: „Your majesty, just received the news that spreads from Vienna, Austria is altruistic is planning to invade the Ottoman empire.” 外交大臣特伦斯・布尔金汇报道:“陛下,刚刚收到从维也纳传来的消息,奥地利人正在策划入侵奥斯曼帝国。” Napoleon IV shakes the head: „My foreign minister, such petty minor matter, you looks that managed was good, did not need to bring to be tired of me!” 拿破仑四世摇了摇头:“我的外交大臣,这样鸡毛蒜皮的小事,你们看着办就行了,不用拿来烦我！” „The Austria advantage invaded Ottoman” also to turn into the minor matter, if according to this standard, it is estimated that will not internationally have the important matter. “奥地利入侵奥斯曼”也变成了小事,如果按照这个标准,估计国际上就不会有大事了。 Terence Bourgin braces oneself to remind: „ Your majesty, this out of the ordinary, is not the ordinary war, Austria altruistic is wants one to swallow the Ottoman empire. 特伦斯・布尔金硬着头皮提醒道:“陛下,这次非比寻常,不是普通的战争,奥地利人是想要一口吞下奥斯曼帝国。 Once makes their plans complete, besides lacking Constantinopolis, is an Eastern Roman Empire. On our has a great influence. ” 一旦让他们的计划完成,除了缺少君士坦丁堡外,又是一个东罗马帝国。对我们的影响非常大。” The influence is truly big, if really made the Austria advantage annex the Ottoman empire, the created influence revived Eastern Roman Empire is more fearful. 影响确实非常大,真要是让奥地利吞并了奥斯曼帝国,造成的影响比“东罗马帝国”复兴还要可怕。 The historical Eastern Roman Empire, the area has not at least extended Central Europe, has not spread the colonial empire of the world. 至少历史上的东罗马帝国,疆域面积没有延伸到中欧地区,没有遍及全世界的殖民帝国。 Napoleon IV is smiling bitterly shaking the head of: „ Even so, how that can. By our present conditions, you think that is also capable of interfering? 拿破仑四世苦笑着摇了摇头:“就算是如此,那又能怎么样。以我们现在的状况,你认为还有能力干涉么？ Otherwise you went out to say to the people: In order to defend the Ottoman empire, must dispatch troops to fight a war with the Austria advantage, looked how they will do. 要不然你出去对民众们说:为了保住奥斯曼帝国,要出兵和奥地利打一仗,看他们会怎么做。 Benefits as for Austria may make the major problem, gives the damn English to have a headache! ” 至于奥地利可能会做大的问题,还是交给该死的英国佬去头疼吧！” Terence Bourgin starts to speak but hesitates, he did not have exactly enough, does not want to go to look for the stimulation. 特伦斯・布尔金欲言又止,他还没有活够,不想出去找刺激。 In the anti-war ideological trend and revolutionary ideological trend rich Paris, the government dares to dispatch troops to help Ottoman go to war, isn't that compelling everyone revolution? 在反战思潮、革命思潮浓郁的巴黎,政府敢出兵帮奥斯曼打仗,那不是逼着大家革命么？ Since helpless, that considers as finished simply independently. Experienced a series of societies to beat mercilessly, Napoleon IV mature, knew practically. 既然无能为力,那就索性放手算了。经历了一系列的社会毒打,拿破仑四世已经成熟了起来,知道了务实。 ...... …… The time passes by day-by-day, is getting more and more near from the time of Paris international meeting, the situation in Paris also became even more intense. 时间一天天过去,距离巴黎国际会议的时间越来越近,巴黎的局势也变得越发紧张了起来。 In the evening, in the ordinary farmhouse in suburb, had gathered dozens people. 傍晚,郊外的一家普通农舍内,已经汇聚了数十号人。 A middle-aged person of full beard takes the lead to open the mouth: „ Perhaps judging from the present situation, the Bonaparte government will not compromise. 一名络腮胡子的中年人率先开口:“从目前的情况来看,波拿巴政府恐怕是不会妥协了。 If makes the Paris international meeting smoothly hold, making European these monarchies collude, the success ratio of our revolution was lower. ” 如果让巴黎国际会议顺利举行,让欧洲这些君主们勾结起来,我们革命的成功率就更低了。” A bookishness youth fierce pounds on the table: „Cannot wait again, now the revolutionary idea has struck root in the hearts of the people, people Bonaparte dynasty long since, the revolutionary conditions are ripe painstakingly.” 一名书生气的青年猛的一拍桌子:“不能再等下去了,现在革命思想已经深入人心,民众苦波拿巴王朝久已,革命的时机已经成熟。” Seeming like to perceive that the atmosphere is not right, the organizer of conference quickly comforts saying: „ Love, some words saying well, should not be so excited. 似乎是觉察到气氛不对,会议的组织者急忙安抚道:“小洛夫,有话好好说,不要这么激动。 Our preparations are not very sufficient, besides has certain influence in the national guard, other army infiltrates without enough time. 我们的准备还不够充分,除了在国民卫队中有一定影响力外,别的部队都来不及渗透进去。 Without the support of army, wants to complete the revolution, is almost not possible. ” 没有军队的支持,想要完成革命,几乎是不可能的。” Although is somewhat brutal, but this is the fact. In the gun a political power, without the support of army, wanting the armed revolution to seize the power, is in itself fantasy story. 虽然有些残酷,但这就是事实。枪杆子里面出政权,没有军队的支持,想要武装革命夺取政权,本身就是天方夜谭。 Knoff refuted: „ Mr. Futyu, matter is not this. 小诺夫反驳道:“费居宁先生,事情不是这样的。 The revolutionary tide is hard-won, sweeps across the European revolutionary tide previous time, was in 1848. 革命浪潮来之不易,上一次席卷欧陆的革命浪潮,还是1848年。 If missed this opportunity, no one knows when the next revolutionary tide appears is. 如果错过了这一次机会,谁也不知道下一次革命浪潮出现是什么时候。 Does not have the environment to make the support, only by our strengths, again full that even prepares, is unable to resist counter-attack from monarchy group. 没有大环境做支撑,仅凭我们自己的力量,就算是准备的再充分,也无法对抗来自君主集团的反扑。 By the present at this time, we had been in the situation of extraordinary not putting together, waited for the Paris international meeting to end, the monarchy group united, wanted to act on the evening again. ” 到了现在这个时候,我们已经到了不得不拼的地步,等巴黎国际会议结束,君主集团联合了起来,再想要行动就晚了。” ...... ……