The Prussia casualty report that Austria published detonated the public opinion quickly, „8 million” this digit was too astonishing, everyone's vision was attracted all of a sudden. 奥地利公布的普俄伤亡报告很快引爆了舆论,“八百万”这个数字太惊人,大家的目光一下子被吸引了过来。 Countless people were exclaiming in surprise, is one time „three Ten Years'War”, what with previous time is different was the Prussia war continues less than merely for two years. 无数人在惊叹,又是一次“三十年战争”,但和上次不同的是普俄战争仅仅持续了不到两年。 Has the victor? 有胜利者么？ The average person who perhaps does not know the circumstances of the matter will say that the Russia person won the victory, understood the people who truly Prussia war know, this is a mutually wounded war. 或许不知情的普通人会说俄国人赢得了胜利,真正了解普俄战争的人都知道,这是一次两败俱伤的战争。 Prussia both countries are the loser, the victor are the UK , France Austria three elderly fishermen, the position of post-war three great nation was more impregnable. 普俄两国都是输家,胜利者是英法奥三个渔翁,战后三大国的地位更加牢不可破。 As nominal victor Russian Empire, seems like that was called „Europe's fourth great nation” by the media, in fact also fished a reputation. 作为名义上胜利者俄罗斯帝国,看似被媒体称之为“欧洲第四大国”,实际上也就捞到了一个名头。 From three great nations to the political patterns of four great nations, said that was also good, if who took seriously that to be silly. 从三大国到四大国的政治格局,说说也就行了,谁要是当真那就傻了。 Now Russian Empire has becomes the fourth full potential, rather than strength. If the development trend is smooth, the national strength pursued, then has the opportunity to reappear the patterns of European four big empires. 现在俄罗斯帝国拥有的只是成为第四足的潜力,而不是实力。如果未来发展顺利,国力追赶了上去,那么就有机会重现欧洲四大帝国的格局。 Before the first Prussia war starts, Russian Empire is one of the European four big empires, and with the English first seeded player who strives for the world supremacy. 第一次普俄战争开始前,俄罗斯帝国就是欧洲四大帝国之一,并且还是和英国人争夺世界霸权的头号种子选手。 Tosses about, went through twice the Prussia war, lost several million armies, pays several hundred hundred million rubles military expenses, polished the accumulation of all previous Tsar, shouldered the large amount of debt. 折腾一圈,经历了两次普俄战争,损失了数百万军队,付出数百亿卢布的军费,打光了历代沙皇的积累,背负了巨额的债务。 The final harvest tumbled Europe from European hegemon fourth, as well as Russian Empire does not need loses the territorial expansion. 最后的收获就是从欧陆霸主跌倒了欧洲第四,以及俄罗斯帝国并不需要的一丢丢领土扩张。 „Reconsideration”, this perhaps is the European People biggest merit. Looks Prussia two countries loss list that in the newspaper inventories, everyone drew the conclusion subconsciously: The war is fearful! “反思”,这或许是欧洲民众最大的优点。看着报纸上盘点的普俄两国损失清单,大家下意识的得出了结论:战争真他妈的可怕！ Not was only the general public is frightened, politicians also by a groups of data being scared. Suddenly various countries' Hawkish forces reduce greatly, the anti-war ideological trend starts to spread to the entire world. 不光是普通民众被吓到了,政客们也被一组组数据给吓着了。一时间各国鹰派势力大减,反战思潮开始向全世界蔓延。 Palace of Versailles, Prussia war that ice-cold casualty figure, filling with a Napoleon IV blow to the head of lofty aspirations and high ideals. 凡尔赛宫,普俄战争那冰冷的伤亡数字,给满怀雄心壮志的拿破仑四世当头一棒。 To battle efficiency Napoleon IV of French Army is very confident, the French People are also confident, everyone thinks that French Army world first, the European hegemony sooner or later will be France. 对法国陆军的战斗力拿破仑四世是非常有信心的,法国民众也同样有信心,大家都认为法国陆军世界第一,欧陆霸权早晚都是法兰西的。 As for blocking road front Austria to hegemon benefits the empire in France's, if not the international situation does not permit, they have hit. 至于拦在法兰西通往霸主之路面前的奥地利帝国,如果不是国际局势不允许,他们早就打上去了。 Good, that was says. The war is not the child's play, French these years have been busy digesting the Italian area. 好吧,那是说说而已。战争不是儿戏,法兰西这些年一直都忙着消化意大利地区。 Now the Italian area tends to the stability, issue that the Paris government some energy considers to expand, but they have not prepared for with that the Austria advantage battles against. 现在意大利地区趋于稳定,巴黎政府才有精力考虑扩张的问题,不过他们还是没有做好和奥地利开战的准备。 Although the European hegemony is important, but the prerequisite is the strength is powerful enough, can keep the fruits of victory. Since annexing the Italian area, France started the long farming profession. 欧陆霸权虽然重要,但前提条件是自身实力够强大,才能够保住胜利果实。自从吞并意大利地区后,法兰西就开始了漫长的种田生涯。 Originally after prepares and other Prussia to be mutually wounded, to Central Europe expands, takes the coal mine that France most needs. 原本准备着等普俄两败俱伤过后,就向中欧地区扩张,拿下法兰西最需要的煤矿。 Napoleon IV believes that after Prussia is mutually wounded, the Austria advantage does not have the strength to prevent them to tread this step, otherwise France does not have the opportunity to annex the Italian area. 拿破仑四世相信,普俄两败俱伤过后,奥地利没有实力阻挡他们踏出这一步,要不然法兰西也没有机会吞并意大利地区。 According to the plan takes the Rhine as, France eats Belgium, Luxembourg, Rhineland and other areas, comforts Austria to benefit with the German federation empire remaining territories. 按照计划是以莱茵河为界,法兰西吃掉比利时、卢森堡、莱茵兰等地区,用德意志联邦帝国剩下的领土安抚奥地利。 Did not fear that Austria benefits, this is the tactic. In view with military, this is the wing of elimination enemy. 不是怕奥地利,这是战术。用军事上的说法,这是剪除敌人的羽翼。 In the future when without Belgium and German federation empire, the law Austria war will break out, Austria benefits was short of two allies, increased the odds of success of France. 没有了比利时和德意志联邦帝国,未来法奥大战爆发时,奥地利就少了两个盟友,增加了法兰西的胜算。 Digested after these areas, the weak area of France was made up neat, defeats the Austria advantage to capture the European hegemony again, may be called the perfect strategy. 消化了这些地区过后,法兰西的短板被补齐,再击败奥地利夺取欧陆霸权,堪称完美的战略。 In the military Napoleon IV has a mind the advantage, his ancestor Napoleon is flamboyant, punched one by one continental Europe, but also nearly won, without the truth is one's turn oneself here is not good. 军事上拿破仑四世有心里优势,他祖宗拿破仑牛逼啊,把欧洲大陆挨个揍了一个遍,还差点儿就赢了,没道理轮到自己这里就不行了。 The present situation be much better than at that time, the Italian area had been seized, Spain is the ally, Prussia both countries, because the war vitality damages severely. 现在的局势要比当时好得多,意大利地区已经被占领了,西班牙又是盟友,普俄两国因为战争元气大伤。 Remaining independent nation few, benefitted except for Austria does not have, basically can ignore, selects not to have the truth that can hit not to win only. 剩下的独立国家都没几个了,除了奥地利一个能打的都没有,基本上可以忽略不计,单挑没有道理不赢。 However the plan has not changed quickly, saw the casualty figure of Prussia war, the hegemon dream's first vacillation of Napoleon IV. 然而计划没有变化快,看到普俄战争的伤亡数字,拿破仑四世的霸主梦第一次动摇了。 Without the means that as the old rival French government to the understanding that Austria benefits is very deep, that huge quantity of reserve force, may not hide the truth from their eyes. 没办法,作为老对手法国政府对奥地利的了解还是很深的,那支数量庞大的预备役部队,可瞒不过他们的眼睛。 Originally Napoleon IV has not regarded a matter the reserve duty, motley crew are many, holds in front of French Army broken. 本来拿破仑四世没把预备役当成一回事,乌合之众人数再多,在法兰西陆军面前都是一捅即破。 The Prussia war changed his view, the Paris government also sent out the military observation mission, the cruel reality told them the reserve duty with also to go to war. 普俄战争改变了他的看法,巴黎政府也是派出了军事观察团的,残酷现实告诉他们预备役同也是能够打仗的。 So long as provided the qualified military officer, the reserve duty can reorganize quickly, the battle efficiency was also worse than such a to lose the regular army, in the quality the slight defect can definitely make up with the quantity. 只要配备了合格的军官,预备役很快就能够整编起来,战斗力也就比正规军差了那么一丢丢,质量上瑕疵完全可以用数量弥补。 Considering the standing army quantity of France, Napoleon IV thought that possibly is not quite sufficient. If really hit with the Austria advantage, their treasure army, may die to the pile by the number of enemy very much. 考虑到法兰西的常备军数量,拿破仑四世觉得可能不太够用。真要是和奥地利打起来了,他们的宝贝疙瘩陆军,很有可能会被敌人的数量给堆死。 If the expansion of armaments, the advantage on French armed forces battle efficiency will not exist. 如果扩军的话,法军战斗力上的优势将不复存在。 Once the war cannot fight a battle to force a quick decision, opposite of the channel stirring excrement stick will meddle, even if won the war finally reluctantly, France has not controlled the strength of Europe. 一旦战争不能速战速决,海峡对面的搅屎棍就会插手,就算是最后勉强赢了战争,法兰西也没有主宰欧洲的实力。 Does not have the problem, law Austria both countries, when makes the strategic planning, delimited an enemy side the English, because and they made the risk that the ally needs to take are also equally big. 没有毛病,法奥两国在做战略计划的时候,都把英国人划到了敌人一方,因为跟他们做盟友需要承担的风险也是一样大。 The original plan fails, Napoleon IV must continue to implement in hesitant „the strategic planning of elimination enemy wing”, or is changes. 原来的计划破产,拿破仑四世正在犹豫“剪除敌人羽翼的战略计划”要不要继续实施,或者是变更一下。 As for promising the English supports to found the northern German Empire, that is a joke. Does not offer the good intentions, how can lull is occupied by them? 至于答应英国人支持建立北德意志帝国,那就是一个笑话。不释放善意,怎么能够麻痹住他们？ Must know that the most armies of German federation empire are used to guard against France, other area almost does not garrison, recognized simply except for France, no one will invade them to be the same. 要知道德意志联邦帝国的大部分军队都用来防范法兰西,别的地区几乎是不怎么设防,简直就是认定了除了法兰西,就没人会入侵他们一样。 Facts showed that this judgment probably real right. Austria both countries will not invade the German federation, Belgium, Holland and Switzerland cannot win them, the threat truly only has a France. 事实证明,这个判断好像真的没错。普奥两国不会入侵德意志联邦,比利时、荷兰、瑞士又打不赢他们,威胁确实只有一个法兰西。 Did not wait for Napoleon IV to make the decision, the French People made the choice for him. The anti-war ideological trend erupted, and starts from Paris, spreads to the entire world. 不等拿破仑四世做出决定,法国民众就替他做出了选择。反战思潮又爆发了,并且还是从巴黎开始,向全世界扩散的。 This does not have the experience young, otherwise Napoleon IV should think early. Various ideological trends, the new thought and the new principle Europe...... such does not start from Paris, „holy land” does not have unearned reputation. 这都是年轻没经验,要不然拿破仑四世早该想到了。欧洲的各种思潮、新思想、新主义……那样不是从巴黎开始的,“圣地”可不是浪得虚名。 Napoleon IV should rejoice, without ahead of time acts, otherwise the anti-war tide erupts, how the French People will teach him to cultivate the behavior. 拿破仑四世应该庆幸,没有提前行动,要不然反战浪潮爆发,法国民众会教他怎么做人。 In some sense, Austria benefitted also missed a chance of a lifetime, the European hegemony has not left them near. 某种意义上来说,奥地利也错过了一次千载难逢的机会,欧陆霸权从来都没有那么离他们近过。 If knows the plan of French, Franz will definitely find the way to delay the Prussia two countries casualties data the exposure time, has towed to take the military action till the French. 如果知道了法国人的计划,弗朗茨肯定会想办法拖延普俄两国伤亡数据的曝光时间,一直拖到法国人采取军事行动为止。 Everyone knows that the battle efficiency of army, is closely linked with the thought of person, the French armed forces battle efficiency in anti-war tide without doubt is lowest. 谁都知道军队的战斗力,和人的思想息息相关,反战浪潮中的法军战斗力无疑是最低的。 French armed forces invade the German area, what anti-war was affected is only French armed forces, the army of German federation is protecting our homes and defending our country, the soldiers will not be clamoring anti-war. 法军入侵德意志地区,受反战影响的只是法军,德意志联邦的军队在保家卫国,士兵们可不会叫嚣着反战。 Austria Lijun team can be not affected similarly, defends the German area territorial integrity, that is the noble cause for the entire nation. Again how anti-war , the not possible enemy to hit not to counter-attack. 奥地利军队同样可以不受影响,保卫德意志地区领土完整,那是民族大义。再怎么反战,也不可能敌人打过来了不反击。 Has studied the French history knows, usually erupts the ideological tide time, often is the high-speed dissemination period of revolutionary idea. 研究过法国历史的都知道,通常爆发思想浪潮的时候,往往又是革命思想的高速传播期。 Under people's anti-war big background, if frontline French armed forces present a big defeat again, perhaps others wanted the revolution. 在全民反战的大背景下,如果前线的法军再出现一个大败仗,没准人家又要革命了。 The revolutionary success or failure is unimportant, the revolutionary idea will the most important thing is infect, so long as the interior erupted the revolution, the French empire that roars flamboyant was finished. 革命的成败不重要,最重要的是革命思想会传染,只要内部爆发了革命,牛逼哄哄的大法兰西帝国就完蛋了。 The independence of Italian is also not warmly low, France erupts the revolution, caught up with the law Austria war, the Italian independent body does not erupt difficultly. 意大利人的独立热情同样不低,法国内部爆发革命,又赶上了法奥大战,意大利独立组织不爆发都难。 So many people hold back, do not say Napoleon IV, even if Napoleon goes forth to battle is still unable to save the situation personally. 这么多人扯后腿,不要说拿破仑四世,就算是拿破仑亲自上阵也无力回天。 Won the law Austria war, the German area thinks that did not unify is difficult. Arrived that step, except for God, no one could block. 赢了法奥战争,德意志地区想不统一都难了。到了那一步,除了上帝,谁都拦不住。 Unified the German area, European hegemon was settled. Even if France , Russia can recover consciousness, that was still several 20 years later things. 统一了德意志地区,欧陆霸主就板上钉钉了。即便是法俄能够缓过来,那也是十几二十年后的事情了。 Such long time, has a lot sufficiently, for example: Make the Italian area independent, Spanish drawing, or is establishes even/including Meng Belgium, Holland, Switzerland and Northern European federation these bean Ding Bang on the ship. 这么长的时间,足以发生很多事情,比如说:让意大利地区独立,把西班牙拉过来,或者是建立一个连盟把比利时、荷兰、瑞士、北欧联邦这些豆丁绑在船上。 Reality not, if, penting up anger Napoleon IV has not known, made his depressed anti-war tide, saved his dynasty. 现实没有如果,正在生闷气的拿破仑四世还不知道,令他郁闷的反战浪潮,拯救了他的王朝。 ...... …… Foreign minister Dumbledores reports saying: „Your majesty, the Vienna government sent in a note diplomatique to us, hopes and us coordinates to formulate «Europe Land armament Convention» together, avoids erupting the European war again.” 外交大臣邓布利多汇报道:“陛下,维也纳政府给我们发来了一封外交照会,希望和我们一起牵头制定一份《欧洲陆军军备公约》,避免再一次爆发欧陆大战。” Has saying that the present was to limit the good time of land armament, the Prussia war just to end, everyone also immersed in „8 million” in the loss digit is unable to extricate oneself. 不得不说,现在是限制陆军军备的好时候,普俄战争刚刚结束,大家还沉浸在“八百万”的损失数字中无法自拔。 The anti-war tide is still proliferating unceasingly, the people, the politician, everyone the fear to the war is in peak condition. 反战浪潮还在不断扩散,无论是民众、还是政客,大家对战争的恐惧都处于巅峰状态。 Heard this news, the Napoleon IV depressed mood was eased slightly, did intentionally to despise saying: „Austria benefitted others this to fear, it seems like their courage were not really big!” 听到这个消息,拿破仑四世郁闷的心情稍稍得到了缓解,故作鄙视道:“奥地利人这就怕了,看来他们的胆子真不怎么大！” Everyone was a slippery customer, naturally looked comes out speaking insincerely of Napoleon IV. Everyone is a normal person, experienced the brutality of Prussia war, who can not fear. 大家都是老油条了,自然看得出来拿破仑四世的言不由衷。大家都是正常人,见识到了普俄战争的残酷,谁能够不怕。 Most typical is the military observation mission member who sends out, many war party member, after personally experienced the brutality of war, becomes the anti-war vanguard. 最典型的就是派出的军事观察团成员,很多主战派成员,亲身感受到了战争的残酷后,一个个都成为了反战的急先锋。 It is not they fears the war, can only say that they were mature, became the rationality, knew to weigh the advantages and disadvantages. 不是他们惧怕战争,只能说他们成熟了,变得理性了起来,知道权衡利弊。 Relaxed the depressing mood, Napoleon IV continued to ask: „What also has, Austria benefits is not short of money now, can't they for the world peace the armament limitation?” 舒缓了压抑的心情,拿破仑四世继续问道:“还有什么,奥地利现在又不缺钱,他们总不能只是为了世界和平而限制军备吧？” Mentioned „is not short of money” three characters time, Napoleon IV also has non- nature. Without the means he envied, now in the world financial resource most abundant is British Austria both countries. 提到“不缺钱”三个字的时候,拿破仑四世还有一丝不自然。没办法他是嫉妒了,现在全世界财力最雄厚的就是英奥两国。 Although France is one of the three great nations, however has fallen behind in the financial resource. Do not look that financial revenue France does not need British Austria both countries to be few, that is everyone's computing mode is different. 法兰西虽然是三大国之一,但是在财力上已经掉队了。别看财政收入法兰西不必英奥两国少,那是大家的计算方式不一样。 Takes Austria to benefit for instance, the national government finance and state government finance is to separate, includes financial revenue such several taxes, most financial revenues stayed in the state government hand. 以奥地利为例,中央政府财政和邦国政府财政是分开的,列入财政收入就那么几种税,大部分财政收入停留在了邦国政府手中。 Britain is also so, the tax revenue of London government also divides. Otherwise every year only then 780 million pounds income, the navy took away half, the remaining even public officials wage certainly are perhaps insufficient. 不列颠也是如此,伦敦政府的税收同样是分割开来的。要不然每年只有七八千万英镑的收入,海军就拿走了一半,剩下的恐怕连公职人员薪水都一定不够。 If nothing else, light/only the Indian colony must disburse more than ten million pounds maintenance costs every year, the colony expenses of Great Britain are astronomical figures. 别的不说,光印度殖民地每年都要支出上千万英镑的维护成本,大英帝国的殖民地开销就是一个天文数字。 On the financial revenue of France is outwardly highest, quickly was the sum total of British Austria two countries, in fact they were poorest. 明面上法兰西的财政收入最高,都快是英奥两国的总和了,实际上他们才是最穷的。 The high financial revenue, that is the unification integrates the result that the central level funds settle accounts. What expenses need the central government allocation, to seem like that government money are many, in fact was only a hand. 高额的财政收入,那是统一纳入中央财政结算的结果。什么开销都需要中央政府拨款,看似政府钱多,实际上只是过了一道手。 Foreign minister Dumbledores replied: „ Embassy in Vienna spread the news, Austria benefits the naval department to submit a buildup program to the government some time ago, has been in the government talking stage. 外交大臣邓布利多回答道:“驻维也纳使馆传来消息,奥地利海军部在不久前向政府提交了一份扩军计划,已经进入政府讨论阶段。 Perhaps received the stimulation of Prussia war, Austria gave up European striving for hegemony altruistic, they proposed at this time limit land armament, possibly was the strategic center of gravity shifts to the sea omen. ” 或许是受了普俄战争的刺激,奥地利人放弃了欧陆争霸,他们这个时候提出限制陆军军备,可能是战略重心转向海上的前兆。” Austria benefits the strategic center of gravity offset, Napoleon IV does not find it strange, in fact the Paris government agreed that some people proposed gives up European striving for hegemony, shifts to the sea the strategic center of gravity. 奥地利战略重心外移,拿破仑四世并不觉得奇怪,实际上巴黎政府同意有人提出放弃欧陆争霸,将战略重心转向海洋。 „You felt, we do need to follow up?” “你们觉得,我们有必要跟进么？” Without a doubt, the followed up result is the proposition that to agree with Austria benefits, everyone limits the army scale together, the money of saving invests into the navy on. 毫无疑问,跟进的结果就是同意奥地利的提议,大家一起限制陆军规模,将省下来的钱投入到海军身上。 Minister of the navy Hamdei Hall Powe first replied: „ Your majesty, continental Europe was really small, place of only corner had more than ten countries, the entire world most powerful country huddles together here. 海军大臣哈姆迪・哈尔鲍维抢先回答道:“陛下,欧洲大陆实在是太小了,区区一隅之地就有十几个国家,全世界最强大的国家都扎堆在了这里。 Wanted to be potential achievement in continental Europe was too difficult, the similar resources investment, in the overseas we can ten times of hundred times of incomes. 想要在欧洲大陆有所作为太难了,同样的资源投入,在海外我们可以十倍百倍的收益。 The fact has proven, world future in the sea, who controlled the thalassocracy who grasped this world. ” 事实已经证明了,世界的未来的在海洋,谁掌控了海权谁就掌握了这个世界。” „ If your excellency so-called income is a territory, then I did not have the words to say. Expands the cost in continental Europe needing, obtains ten times of area colonies to have more than enough to spare in the overseas. “如果阁下所谓的收益是领土,那么我没有话说。在欧洲大陆上扩张所需要的成本,在海外获得十倍面积殖民地都绰绰有余。 Between the land and land have the difference, can the land of colony compare with the land of continental Europe? ” Secretary of war Patrice de Mac-Mahon refuted 只是土地和土地之间也是有差异的,殖民地的土地能够和欧洲大陆的土地比么？”陆军大臣帕特里斯・麦克马洪反驳道 Theory of value, this is the most general view. Almost all Europeans, thought that the land of Europe is more valuable. 价值论,这是最普遍的看法。几乎所有的欧洲人,都觉得欧洲的土地更有价值。 Minister of the navy Hamdei Hall Powe shakes the head: „ Overseas land is not worse than Europe, but has not developed. The complete resources that we need, can obtain from the overseas, however in continental Europe this is not possible. 海军大臣哈姆迪・哈尔鲍维摇了摇头:“海外的土地并不比欧洲差,只是没有开发出来。我们需要的全部资源,都可以从海外获得,但是在欧洲大陆这是不可能的。 Even had no way to develop, reduced the value of overseas colony, but the quantitative change caused the qualitative change. The similar investment, the income of the overseas colony yielding, surpasses expansion in continental Europe absolutely. ” 就算是没法开发,降低了海外殖民地的价值,但是量变引起质变。同样的投入,从海外殖民地获得的收益,绝对超过欧洲大陆上的扩张。” This is the fact, investment in continental Europe not necessarily has the return, overseas colonizing expands basically can have the return. 这是事实,欧洲大陆上的投入不一定有回报,海外殖民扩张基本上都能有回报。 Is overcautious in continental Europe France, must be ganged up on incautiously, the Paris government does not dare to step the step in a big way. 在欧洲大陆法兰西必须要谨小慎微,一不小心就要被群殴,巴黎政府连步子都不敢迈大了。 The overseas were different, the strength of France swept away to the overseas, basically cannot bump into the nice opponent, the competitor only has several colonial empires. 海外就不一样了,法兰西的实力到了海外是横扫,基本上碰不到像样的对手,竞争对手只有几个殖民帝国。 Compares the fraught with uncertainty in continental Europe, an overseas word cannot open at earliest convenience does. The colony conflict must go in any case, so long as is not plays, could not trigger the war. 相比欧洲大陆上的畏首畏尾,海外一言不合就可以开干。反正殖民地冲突多得去了,只要不是玩得太嗨,引发不了大战。 ...... ……