The Berlin royal palace, just ended a glee feast meeting, the lead who as banquet, Moltke was kept by William I specially. 柏林王宫,刚刚结束了一场庆功宴会,作为宴会的主角,毛奇被威廉一世特意留了下来。 The guests dispersed, the happy expression of William I am also nothing left. Can look, superficial and confident installs. 宾客们散了,威廉一世的喜色也荡然无存。看得出来,刚才的轻描淡写、成竹在胸都是装出来的。 As the king of federation, William I anybody was clear crisis that now faces, Warsaw Battle is only the victory in tactic, has not changed the disadvantageous situation in battlefield. 作为普波联邦的国王,威廉一世比任何人都清楚现在面临的危机,华沙会战只是战术上的胜利,并没有扭转战场上的不利局势。 But the people need the confidence, to need to win, for the stable will of the people, has this self-deceiving glee feast meeting. 只不过民众需要信心、需要胜利,为了稳定人心,才有这场自欺欺人的庆功宴会。 Asking that William I cares about: „Marshal, when can Warsaw Battle end?” 威廉一世关心的问道:“元帅,华沙会战什么时候能够结束？” „Does not know!” “不知道！” The ordinary three characters, with somewhat were here serious. As if exhausted the strength of Moltke whole body, said the look instantaneous low-spirited. 普普通通的三个字,用在这里就有些沉重了。似乎耗尽了毛奇全身的力气,说完神色瞬间黯然了下来。 This is the real answer, when Warsaw Battle ended, is not federation says considers as finished, the decision-making power has shifted the Russia person. 这是真实答案,华沙会战什么时候结束,已经不是普波联邦说得算了,决定权早就转移到了俄国人身上。 Stopped, in William I the tone: „If I do insist on time?” 停顿了一下,威廉一世加中了语气:“如果我硬要一个时间呢？” Moltke shakes the head: „ Your majesty, this is not I can decide! Wanted to finish Warsaw Battle, must look that the Russia person did comply. 毛奇摇了摇头:“陛下,这不是我能够决定的！想要结束华沙会战,也要看俄国人答不答应。 Russia's fourth army and fifth army were remnant, their seven army are also maintaining certain battle efficiency, on road that the third army and sixth army are marching on, how long could not want to arrive in the frontline. 俄第四军、第五军都残了,他们第的七军还保持着一定的战斗力,第三军、第六军正在赶来的路上,要不了多久就会抵达前线。 This is only a start, as far as I know the Russia person also seven newly-organized army, the enemy at least can reassign four army to invest into the Warsaw battlefield. 这只是一个开始,据我所知俄国人还有七个新编军,敌人至少可以抽调四个军投入到华沙战场。 Even if they are the cannon fodder rice buckets, we are impossible to beat them in a short time. Let alone the enemy now anxiously the decisive battle, we attack difficulty should not be on own initiative bigger. 就算他们都是炮灰饭桶,我们也不可能在短时间内击败他们。何况敌人现在根本就不急着决战,我们要主动出击难度就更大了。 From the military, the enemy has entered our center, the Warsaw area has lost the value that continued to guard. 从军事上来说,敌人已经进入我们的腹地,华沙地区已经丧失了继续守卫的价值。 If possible, I suggested first to give up the Warsaw area, the concentration of effort first solved the north-south two crises, conducted the Prussia kingdom battle with single-hearted devotion. ” 如果可能的话,我建议先放弃华沙地区,集中兵力先解决南北两线的危机,专心进行普鲁士王国保卫战。” Sees William I not to speak for a very long time, Moltke knows that he hesitated , to continue to add: „ We retreat the Prussia kingdom, besides reducing and solving strategical passive, but can also affect the decision of Vienna government using the German nation principle. 见威廉一世久久没有说话,毛奇知道他犹豫了,继续补充道:“我们退守普鲁士王国,除了化解战略上的被动外,还可以利用德意志民族主义影响维也纳政府的决策。 The Austria advantage supports the Russia person to have the bottom line, if makes them discover that the Tsar government has the intention that embezzles the German area, the situation must change. 奥地利支持俄国人不是没有底线的,如果让他们发现沙皇政府有侵吞德意志地区的意图,情况就要发生变化了。 Without the Austria altruistic support, how long the Tsar government could not insist. So long as in they captured do not have money, this war also ended. 没有奥地利人的支持,沙皇政府是坚持不了多久的。只要他们兜里没钱了,这场战争也就结束了。 If the progress is smooth, we may also annihilate the Russian force main force in the Prussia area, restores the lost territory. ” 如果进展顺利的话,我们还有可能在普鲁士地区围歼俄军主力,重新收复失地。” On the surface, the Austria advantage supports the Russia person to reject federation competitor, to unify the German area clears away internal barrier. 表面上看来,奥地利支持俄国人就是为了剔除普波联邦这个竞争对手,为统一德意志地区扫清内部障碍。 Once the Russia person reveals the interest in the German area, suddenly Austria gets angry divides minute's of matter. Even if the government can take the entire situation into account, the nationalists will still provoke the dispute. 一旦俄国人对德意志地区流露出兴趣,俄奥翻脸是分分钟的事情。就算是政府能够顾全大局,民族主义者也会挑起纷争。 William I shakes the head: „ This is the worst plan, giving up the Polish area was easy, wants to take carry back again is difficult. 威廉一世摇了摇头:“这是最坏的打算,放弃波兰地区容易,想要再拿回来就难了。 Ivanov's resorting to arms style, you have asked for advice, you thought that he was also many were greatly possibly swindled? 伊万诺夫的用兵风格,你是亲身领教过了,你觉得他又多大可能上当？ If the Russia person continues to fight steadily, how long we could not support, perhaps before could not wait for the Tsar government wallet to exhaust, we are first consumed. 俄国人要是继续稳扎稳打,我们是撑不了多久的,没准都等不到沙皇政府钱包耗尽前,我们就先被耗死了。 You really thought that suddenly Austria will get angry immediately? Alexander II is not silly, how to drool again the territory of German area, does not display now. 况且,你真觉得俄奥会马上翻脸？亚历山大二世又不傻,再怎么垂涎德意志地区的领土,也不会现在就表现出来。 If changed me in the position of Alexander II, is the German area to lose to the Austria advantage completely pays off a debt in labor, received exchange for the full power support of Vienna government. 如果换了我在亚历山大二世的位置上,就将普属德意志地区全部丢给奥地利抵债,换取维也纳政府的全力支持。 Maintains suddenly Austria relations, hides after behind rests and builds up strength to restore the strength that after the war Austria benefits, the sitting and watching European wind and cloud, waits for the next European change in situation to appear. 维持好俄奥关系,战后躲在奥地利的身后休养生息恢复实力,坐观欧陆风云,等待下一次欧洲变局出现。 Estranging suddenly Austria relations are not realistic, but wins over other countries support, the actually several extension meetings, at least can make the English expand the investment. 离间俄奥关系不现实,不过争取别的国家支持,倒是有几分机会,至少可以让英国人加大投入。 What a pity Denmark sided with the Russia person, otherwise rents the royal navy, surprise attack St. Petersburg is also a move of wonderful chess. ” 可惜丹麦倒向了俄国人,要不然租借皇家海军,奇袭圣彼得堡也是一招妙棋。” suddenly Austria relates the Berlin government profoundly to study, finally draws the conclusion that suddenly Austria can get angry eventually, but this time is not now, but will be the struggle of future European hegemony. 俄奥关系柏林政府是深入研究过的,最后得出了俄奥终究会翻脸的结论,只不过这个时间不是现在,而是未来欧陆霸权之争的时候。 The Prussia war had not ended, a Tsar government again iron, is even impossible to join the struggle of European hegemon immediately. 普俄战争都还没有结束,沙皇政府就算是再头铁,也不可能马上加入欧陆霸主之争。 This means the suddenly Austria contradictory eruption, a long time. In a short time, federation can still be the first target that the Russia person attacks. 这意味着俄奥矛盾爆发,还有很长一段时间。在短时间内,普波联邦仍然会是俄国人打击的第一目标。 In fact reason that William I have not said that that is now he is not only the Prussia kingdom, similarly is also the king in Kingdom of Poland. 实际上威廉一世还有一个没有说出来的原因,那就是现在他不仅是普鲁士王国,同样也是波兰王国的国王。 Once gave up the Polish area, in the future he will want to obtain the approval of Polish People is not not possible again. 一旦放弃了波兰地区,未来他再想要获得波兰民众的认可就不可能了。 The politics is brutal, without overturning , the situation will not be worse ; If by some chance general army overturns in the battlefield, restored the lost territory, Polish king who his gives up the Polish area did to the end. 政治是残酷的,如果没有翻盘也就罢了,局势不会更加糟糕;万一普军在战场上翻了盘,收复了失地,他这个放弃波兰地区的波兰国王就做到头了。 When the time comes rebuilds federation, must relax to relate, his king must shoulder the responsibility. Abdication is the best result, cannot do well must die young. 到时候重建普波联邦,要缓和普波关系,他这个国王就必须要承担责任。退位是最好的结局,搞不好还要被早逝。 In the face of the benefit, nothing is unlikely. The war conducts now, William I's control effort to this country, has dropped the bottom in fact. 在利益面前,没有什么是不可能发生的。战争进行到现在,威廉一世对这个国家的掌控力度,实质上已经下降到了最低点。 Under this situation, gives up the Warsaw area, but under this order cannot come by him, must find the person to take the rap. 在这种背景下,放弃华沙地区可以,但是这个命令不能由他来下,必须要找人背黑锅。 Currently also has compared with a Moltke more suitable candidate? 现在还有比毛奇更适合的人选么？ In order to win the war, the frontline commander in chief ordered to give up Poland, could convince logically completely. 为了赢得战争,前线主帅下令放弃波兰,逻辑上完全说得通。 As for Moltke, must be censured after the war, even is discredited. William I perhaps also looking forward makes his reputation smellier, no Emperor likes official merit tall Zhenzhu. 至于毛奇,战后要受到非议,甚至是声名狼藉。威廉一世恐怕还巴不得让他的名声更臭一些,没有哪个皇帝喜欢臣子功高震主。 If did not suggest Moltke to take the rap, William I will not say ambiguous, the final that complaint was unnecessarier. 如果不是暗示毛奇背黑锅,威廉一世根本就不会说出模棱两可的话,最后的那一句抱怨更是多余的。 Does not have the implementation to sneak attack St. Petersburg plan, is not because the Dane sides with the Tsar government, what is most essential is the English falls the chain. 没有实施偷袭圣彼得堡计划,不是因为丹麦人倒向沙皇政府,最关键的还是英国人掉链子。 Under the London government does not want this initial capital, the reason that this inside involves were many. 伦敦政府不愿意下这个血本,这里面牵扯到的原因就很多了。 Domestic: Opposition obstruction ; Internationally: law Austria both countries hope that the English obeys the game rule, the Northern European federation does not hope that saw the English extends Baltic Sea the influence. 国内:反对党阻挠;国际上:法奥两国希望英国人遵守游戏规则,北欧联邦不希望看到英国人将势力延伸到波罗的海。 If to maintain the interests of Britain, the London government can not instigate. The issue is the present for the benefit of federation, making them pay such big price, the London government naturally does not want. 如果是为了维护不列颠自己的利益,伦敦政府可以不怂。问题是现在是为了普波联邦的利益,让他们付出这么大的代价,伦敦政府自然不愿意。 Debt again many also useless, the financial group can affect the politics, was not equal to that they can decide for the government, this year has not been one's turn the capitalist to be master of own affairs. 债务再多也没用,财团可以影响政治,不等于他们就能替政府做决策了,这年头还轮不到资本家当家做主。 After pondering the moment time, the Moltke forced smile said: „I know how should do.” 沉思了片刻功夫后,毛奇苦笑道:“我知道该怎么做了。” Then, Moltke turned around to leave the royal palace directly, even the courtesy farewell saved. 说完,毛奇直接转身离开了王宫,连礼节性的告别都省了。 From beginning to end, William I have not opened the mouth to stop. The fissure expanded, this does not have the matter of means that since Rowen passed away, William I and Moltke relations presented the gap. 至始至终,威廉一世都没有开口阻拦。裂痕扩大了,这是没有办法的事情,自从罗恩去世后,威廉一世和毛奇的关系就出现了间隙。 Did not have the lubricant, contradiction between federal government and military increasingly intensifies. William I must play the politics to be balanced, supports the potential weak government to contend with the military to be inevitable. 没有了润滑剂,普波联邦政府和军方之间的矛盾日益加剧。威廉一世要玩儿政治平衡,支持势弱的政府抗衡军方是必然的。 Moltke takes the military eldest child, naturally becomes the vanguard of conflict, the happened conflict were many, the relations deteriorate are inevitable. 毛奇作为军方老大,自然成为了冲突的前锋,发生的冲突多了,关系恶化是不可避免的。 William I makes Moltke take the rap now, is not only only the situation need, similarly is also extension of political struggle. 威廉一世现在让毛奇背黑锅,不仅仅只是局势需要,同样也是政治斗争的延续。 Otherwise the government can carry this black pot similarly, but the Berlin government itself/Ben takes advantage of a situation weakly, carried this black pot again, is unable to contend with the military. 要不然政府同样可以背这个黑锅,只不过柏林政府本就势弱,再背了这个黑锅,就更加无法和军方抗衡了。 Ended the meeting of parting on bad terms, Moltke took the special train to hurry back to the frontline at the same night. Superficially is the frontline war is urgent, in fact this is also the silent protest. 结束了不欢而散的会面,毛奇连夜乘坐专列赶回前线。表面上看是前线战事紧急,实际上这也是无声的抗议。 Who lets this black pot, isn't he able to reject? The eldest children of military are not good to work as, must consider the overall interests of military. 谁让这口黑锅,他无法拒绝呢？军方的老大也不好当,必须要考虑军方的整体利益。 The right to speak of army is based on victory, federation is the army has the country, if really lost the war, loss most serious is the Junker aristocrat is the military of head. 军队的话语权是建立在胜利的基础上的,普波联邦是军队拥有国家,真要是输了战争,损失最惨重的就是容克贵族为首的军方。 From the perspective of pure military, gives up Warsaw retreating Prussia Wang Guocai to have a slim chance of survival, depends on this Moltke to do. 从纯军事的角度来说,放弃华沙退守普鲁士王国才有一线生机,就凭这一条毛奇就必须要去做。 Offended the Pole, the marshal who he keeps aloof, was spurted several at the worst, the reputation cannot work as the food to eat ; If lost the war, his anything not. 得罪了波兰人,他还是高高在上的元帅,大不了被人喷几句,名声又不能当饭吃;要是输了战争,他就什么也不是了。 Spiteful, that is not possible. Now if spiteful, refuses to retreat to cling to tenaciously Warsaw, that not in spiteful, but is betting the life. 赌气,那是不可能的。现在要是赌气,拒绝撤退死守华沙,那就不是在赌气,而是在赌命。 May you be punished by heaven traitor is not the patent of Japanese, in fact Prussia Wang Guocai is a first ancestor, is only not crazed. 天诛国贼又不是日本人的专利,实际上普鲁士王国才是鼻祖,只是没有那么丧心病狂。 ...... ……