On November 11 , 1894, under the testimony of various European countries, Japan and Spain representative signed the ceasefire agreement. Colony contest that launches regarding Philippines, dropped the curtain officially. 1894年11月11日,在欧洲各国的见证下,日西两国代表签订停战协议。围绕着菲律宾群岛展开的殖民地争夺战,正式落下了帷幕。 The treaty content, Franz has been disinclined to look. The Spanish government makes the concession is also the expected matter, barefoot meets to put on shoes, the result was doomed from the beginning. 条约内容,弗朗茨已经懒得看了。西班牙政府做出让步也是意料之中的事情,光脚的遇上穿鞋的,结局从一开始就注定了。 On the betting nature, modern also really few countries can compare favorably with Japan. Dares on to bet the table the country to be not infrequent, safely but can fall to the ground actually few. 论赌性,近代还真没有几个国家能够比得上日本。敢上赌桌的国家不在少数,但是能够平安落地的却没有几个。 Has to acknowledge that the luck of Japanese is very good, the original space and time opened to hang the second war, played to collapse until the final ambition bursting. 不得不承认日本人的运气很好,原时空一路开挂到二战,直到最后野心爆棚才玩儿崩了。 In fact, now the luck of Japanese does not flaunt lets much. 事实上,现在日本人的运气也不逞多让。 The European war has not drawn to a close, runs to gang up to go south with UK , France ; After going south, suspended UK , France together, has not gone to do Austria to be Southeast Asia, instead runs to invade the Philippines. 欧陆战争没有落下帷幕,就跑去和英法勾搭南下;南下之后又摆了英法一道,没有去搞奥属南洋,反而跑去入侵菲律宾。 This a series of shows operate, offended the UK , France Austria Xisi country. In addition before , Russia person who offends, the European five big big powers were complete. 这一系列骚操作下来,把英法奥西四国得罪了一遍。加上之前得罪的俄国人,欧洲五大列强都齐全了。 In normal condition, Japanese government, even if no grave mound long grass, at least still suffocates. 正常情况下来说,日本政府就算没有坟头长草,最起码也是奄奄一息。 However, the Japanese government is well. Not only safe and secure got down bet the table, but also obtained „tying” the big powers prestige, greatly improved the international standing. 然而,日本政府还是好好的。不仅平安下了赌桌,还获得了“战平”列强的声望,大幅度提高了国际地位。 However while harvesting all these, Japan will also fall into an extremely uncomfortable place. 不过在收获这一切的同时,日本也将自身陷入了一个极其尴尬的境地。 Eldest child Britain, because support in this mediation, the both sides friendship has consumed 7788. 老大不列颠,因为这次调停中的支持,双方情分已经耗得七七八八了。 The Anglo-Japanese Alliance marks a period, in the future will want to pull this fierce appearance, that must look at the mood of London government. 英日同盟算是画上一个句号,往后再想要扯这张虎皮,那就要看伦敦政府的心情了。 Holy Roman was needless saying that was supposing before Franz abdicated, relations of both sides. 神罗就不用说了,估摸着弗朗茨退位前,双方的关系都好不了。 Naturally, the place that the two countries interests interweave are not many, the attitude of even if by the Japanese government bullying the weak and fearing the strong, eruption conflict is very likely, the diplomatic relations are still bad not. 当然,两国利益交织的地方不多,就算是以日本政府欺软怕硬的作风,爆发冲突的可能性很小,两国外交关系也糟糕不到哪里去。 Spain, without a doubt is the mortal enemy in Japan. By the hatred in Philippines Campaign having, as long as Japan beset with a crisis, Spain definitely does not mind to hit a person when he is down. 西班牙,毫无疑问是日本的死敌。凭借菲律宾战役中结下的仇恨,日本但凡是陷入了危机,西班牙肯定不介意落井下石。 It can be said that the Japanese merchant ship will run the Southeast Asia business to be careful in the future, best or changes a national flag to hang, the probability of otherwise running into the storm and pirate will be high. 可以说,日本商船往后跑南洋业务都要小心谨慎,最好还是换一面国旗挂着,要不然遇到风浪、海盗的几率会非常高。 The south side has the enemy, the north side is not also relaxed. Ten days ago, Alexander III had seen God, Russian Empire formally entered the Nicholas II years. 南边有敌人,北边同样也不轻松。就在十天前,亚历山大三世已经去见了上帝,俄罗斯帝国正式进入了尼古拉二世时代。 Depending on that two scabs, Nicholas II also has to kill the motive of Japan. 就凭那两条伤疤,尼古拉二世也有弄死日本的动机。 The only good news is the strategic center of gravity of Tsar government also in India, for a short time not possible east-bound, in a short time not with Japan to. 唯一的好消息是沙皇政府的战略重心还在印度,一时半会儿不可能东进,短时间内不会和日本对上。 France was finished luckily, otherwise Japan also wants many enemy. Must know to win over Japan goes south, the French government also got down the initial capital. 幸好法兰西完蛋了,要不然日本还要多一个敌人。要知道为了拉拢日本南下,法国政府也是下了血本的。 Not only finally „ally” is suspended one by Japan that oneself won over, but also accelerated Spain to enter the war, proper pig teammate King. 最后不仅被自己拉拢的日本“盟友”摆了一道,还加速了西班牙参战,妥妥的坑队友王者。 Has under the background of enemy in the north and south, if Japan cannot develop as soon as possible, the end will arrive sooner or later. 在南北都有敌人的背景下,如果日本不能尽快发展起来,末日早晚都会降临。 Even Hirobumi Itou diplomacy talent to full level, for the first time restored British and Japanese relations, could not count on. 就算是伊藤博文外交天赋点到满级,破天荒的修复了英日关系,也指望不上。 The present international situation is obvious, because of the reason of sea hegemony, in future a long time, Britain and Holy Roman will divert mutually. 现在的国际局势已经非常明显,因为海上霸权的缘故,在未来的很长一段时间内,不列颠和神罗都会互相牵制。 To the following Japanese can the lucky long partner, realize „fights with the fists the Nanshan pressed salted duck, the foot kicks North Sea Russian bear” the empire dream, Franz expresses extremely the anticipation. 对接下来日本人能不能好运长伴,实现“拳打南山板鸭,脚踢北海毛熊”的帝国梦,弗朗茨表示万分期待。 The arid Emperor profession is to also need adjustment, does not know when from starts, looked that various countries rip to compel also to become one of the Franz hobbies. 枯燥的皇帝生涯也是需要调剂品的,不知道从什么时候开始,看各国撕逼也成为了弗朗茨的业余爱好之一。 For example this time, digs likely casually digs a pit, breaking Spain in „dream of becoming a major power that” in the anti-France war gathered, but also knocked a Japanese staggering blow conveniently. 就比如像这次,随便挖挖坑,就把破碎了西班牙在反法战争中汇聚起来的“大国梦”,还顺手敲了日本人一闷棍。 So-called „supports Spain to divert the Holy Roman plan”, was supposing must continuously the deep sleep in the archive office of English, until some day of the time of cleaning up the scrap paper was processed. 所谓的“扶持西班牙牵制神罗计划”,估摸着是要在英国人的档案室中一直沉睡,直到某一天清理废纸的时候被处理掉。 The most important thing is Franz made so many, the harvest is so big. Not only has not drawn the hatred, instead created the fine international image in the little brothers heart. 最重要的是弗朗茨做了这么多,收获这么大。不仅没有拉仇恨,反而在小弟们心中树立了良好的国际形象。 Maintains the little brother interests, eldest child who the critical moment can shoulder the matter, is always easy to obtain to support. 一个维护小弟利益,关键时刻能扛事的老大,总是容易获得拥戴的。 As for the tragedy of Spain, that is they strength causes completely badly. Can do, the Vienna government achieved. 至于西班牙的悲剧,那完全是他们自身实力不济导致的。能够做的,维也纳政府都做到了。 Cannot beat the Japanese, can only blame own army not being powerful. Even the Japanese have not done, but also feels all right by the big powers poses as? 没有能够击败日本人,只能怪自己的军队不给力。连日本人都没干过,还好意思以列强自居？ Even Spain displays bad in the battlefield, finally the Vienna government acts , helping settle. 就算是西班牙在战场上表现糟糕,最后维也纳政府还是出手,帮忙善了后。 First is the mercenary, then draws the European alliance to do to interfere, forced the Japanese government to put out Philippines actually. 先是雇佣兵,接着拉着欧陆联盟搞干涉,硬是逼迫日本政府吐出了菲律宾群岛。 Can achieve this step eldest child, in entire human history rarely seen, really could not find the trough to select. 能够做到这一步的老大,整个人类历史上都不多见,实在是找不到槽点了。 As for offending Japanese, this is not the matter. The Vienna government must to Japan in the European war, gang up with the behavior of France to retaliate, this is the well-known matter. 至于得罪了日本人,这根本就不算事儿。维也纳政府要对日本在欧陆战争中,勾搭法兰西的行为进行报复,这是人尽皆知的事情。 Can such relaxed passing through, not be easy. In relative strength of both sides, before has not had the change of essence, share that the Japanese only then rejoice. 能够这么轻松的过关,已经非常不容易了。在双方的实力对比,没有发生本质的改变之前,日本人都只有庆幸的份儿。 Compared the finished Philippine war, Franz cares about the regime handover of Russia. But from the historical appraisal of original space and time, Nicholas II is a wooden club. 相比已经结束的菲律宾战争,弗朗茨更加关心俄国的政权更替。但从原时空的历史评价来看,尼古拉二世就是一个棒槌。 Can in „coronation” in activity, because of step on to cause Emperor of several thousand people of casualties crowded, in the entire human history could not find several. 一个能够在“加冕”活动中,因拥挤踩踏导致数千人伤亡的皇帝,整个人类历史中都找不到几个。 In such important matter, did not investigate that immediately the relevant personnel responsibility, instead continues to hold the celebration banquet, has to acknowledge the innermost feelings of Nicholas II powerful. 发生了这样的大事,不立即追究相关人员责任,反而继续举行庆祝宴会,不得不承认尼古拉二世的内心是真的强大。 However now matter has not happened, the butterfly effect that oneself toss about is so fierce, who knows that Nicholas II can change? 不过现在事情还没有发生,自己折腾出来的蝴蝶效应这么厉害,谁知道尼古拉二世会不会发生改变？ From the present situation, suddenly Austria in a friendly way is still the time mainstream. 从眼下的情况来看,俄奥友好依然是时代主流。 This just did not succeed to the throne, Nicholas II got married a Hessen Darmshutat Archduke nobility- Louis IV's daughter Alex. 这不刚刚继位,尼古拉二世就迎娶了黑森一达姆施塔特大公爵-路德维希四世的女儿阿里克斯。 ( Changes name to Alexandra Fido Rovner after marriage) (婚后改名亚历山德拉・费多罗夫娜) Hence famous „the Hessen four princesses”, were on the historical arena completely. 至此大名鼎鼎的“黑森四公主”,全部登上了历史舞台。 The Tsar government that if according to the step of original space and time, Nicholas II leads makes a mess internally the economy, the foreign strategy focal point blows hot and cold, finally built oneself. 若是按照原时空的步伐,尼古拉二世主导的沙皇政府对内把经济搞得一团糟,对外战略重心摇摆不定,最后把自己搭了进去。 Now the Russian force is also stationed in the Paris suburb, for the hatred of Tsar government Lafayette people, the French and Russian agreement cannot naturally be coming out. 现在俄军还驻扎在巴黎郊外,正在替沙皇政府拉法国人的仇恨,法俄协约自然是出不来了。 However can the going south strategy of Tsar government, continue, this issue no one can reply. 不过沙皇政府的南下战略,能不能一直持续下去,这个问题就没人能够回答了。 If the Russia person does not hold the Indian ass eyes of English, then the following hegemony competes, Holy Roman can only go forth to battle personally. 若是俄国人不去捅英国人的印度腚眼,那么接下来的霸权争夺,神罗就只能亲自上阵了。 Obviously, this is not Franz wants to see. Has the ready-made board game piece not to use, goes on stage to do the matter personally, was that the brain water penetration? 显然,这不是弗朗茨想要看到的。有现成的棋子不用,亲自上场去搞事情,那都是脑子进水了么？ According to the beforehand plan, only needs to support the Russia person to expand to India, regularly comes British and Russian war a time, consumed the national strength of English unceasingly on the line. 按照之前的计划,只需要支持俄国人向印度扩张,隔三差五来一次英俄战争,不断消耗英国人的国力就行了。 In the land and lobster soldier showdown, may faces to be much easier than in sea and royal navy. 在陆地和龙虾兵对决,可比在海上和皇家海军对垒容易得多了。 Captures India to make the major problem as for the Russia person, Franz is only smiling quietly. The pictures of cakes are the pictures of cakes, really thinks that the English was the fruit cake? 至于俄国人夺取印度做大的问题,弗朗茨只是悄悄的笑。画饼就是画饼,真以为英国人就是软柿子了？ Refers to the original space and time to know, if really compelled anxiously, the lobster soldier can also over a million. 参考原时空就知道,真要是逼急了,龙虾兵也是能够上百万的。 It is not Franz looks down upon the Russia person, the issue limited to the transportation, the Tsar government has not invested the abilities of several million armies to India. 不是弗朗茨看不起俄国人,问题是受限于交通,沙皇政府根本就没有向印度投入几百万大军的能力。 Even if the Central Asia railroad lays is not good, the carrying capacity of railroad is limited, can support the rear services of 1.8 million armies is not easy. 纵使中亚铁路修通也不行,铁路的运载量是有限的,能够支撑百八十万军队的后勤就非常不容易了。 The gray draft animal without the numerical advantage, the might would have no is so big. Is centered on British Army, in addition the innumerable Indian cannon fodder, whom will change to come up to feel scalp tingles. 灰色牲口没有了数量优势,威力就没有那么大了。以英国陆军为核心,再加上数不清的印度炮灰,换谁上去都会感到头皮发麻。 The failure are not related, the Russian bear biggest merit is the robust anti- exercise. So long as can harvest, looked to hope enough. 失败没有关系,毛熊最大的优点就是皮实耐操。只要能够有所收获,看的到希望就够了。 Far cannot guarantee, captures the Afghan remaining areas from the British armed forces hand, the Russian force has the strength to achieve. 远的不敢保证,从英军手中夺取阿富汗剩下的地区,俄军还是有实力能够做到的。 The present issue is the Central Asia railroad has not passed, Nicholas II also like not having patience lord. If by some chance were flickered, perhaps will toss about the trick. 现在的问题是中亚铁路未通,尼古拉二世又不像有耐心的主。万一被人忽悠一下,没准又会折腾出幺蛾子来。 After pondering for a long time, Franz said slowly: „ Speeds up the implementation scheduling of Central Asia railroad, must be open to traffic before 1900. 沉思了许久之后,弗朗茨缓缓说道:“加快中亚铁路的建设进度吧,务必要在1900年前通车。 When necessary allows to increase the construction cost, even was sacrificed the railroad service life , the bottom line was guarantees for ten years not to have the big problem, in 20 years patched to use. ” 必要的时候允许增加建设成本,甚至是牺牲铁路使用寿命也可以,底线是保证十年内不出大问题,二十年内修修补补能用。” The service life of railroad, no well-defined limits, certain the 18 th century railroads, patched the 21 st century to use normally. 铁路的使用寿命,没有一个明确的界定,某些十八世纪的铁路,修修补补到了二十一世纪都可以正常使用。 Generally, the design theory service life of railroad, hundred years start. Naturally, the service and transformation of midway must have. 一般情况下,铁路的设计理论使用寿命,都是百年起步的。当然,中途的维修、改造肯定是少不了的。 However this is the technical standard of constructing the railroad, placed on the Central Asia railroad not to need. 不过这是建设自家铁路的技术标准,放在中亚铁路上就没必要了。 Do not ask why will have problems, asked that is the later period maintains improper. 别问为什么会出问题,问就是后期保养不当。 This view may be very convincing, Russia domestic railroad is regularly overhaul. Contrasts for ten years the major problem, the Central Asia railroad that in 20 years patching can use truly is the conscience project. 这个说法可是非常有说服力的,俄国境内的铁路都是隔三差五的大修。对比十年不出大问题,二十年内修补能用的中亚铁路确实是良心工程。 In fact, the life span issue main centralism lies in the bridge and tunnel. The ordinary road section basically cannot be the big deal, most has the landslide occasionally, but that is the force majeure of nature. 事实上,寿命问题主要集中在于桥梁和隧道。普通路段基本上出不了大事,最多偶尔有滑坡,但那是大自然的不可抗力。 In order to guarantee the going south strategy of Tsar government is invariable, Franz has to order to rush a job the time, for this reason reduces „moral integrity” also to refuse to balk. 为了确保沙皇政府的南下战略不变,弗朗茨不得不下令赶工期,为此降低“节操”也在所不惜。 Several 20 years of service lives, were supposing were also sufficient. Really does not make the Russia person annex India, such long time, can provoke 2-3 chapters of British and Russian wars. 十几二十年的使用寿命,估摸着也够用了。又不是真让俄国人吞并印度,这么长的时间,都能够挑起2-3回英俄战争。 Simultaneously falls into the struggle of land power with struggle of thalassocracy Britain, how long may be unable to support. Such long time, enough Holy Roman has displaced. 同时陷入陆权之争和海权之争的不列颠,可撑不了多久。这么长的时间,已经足够神罗取而代之。 „Did not care for ever and ever, only cares once had”. “不在乎天长地久,只在乎曾经拥有”。 Placing here is exactly appropriate. 放在这里恰好合适。 ...... ……