HPAMW :: Volume #1 新生

#24: The war expected( thanked Chang'an looked at completely 1000 and tide X 100...

LNMTL needs user funding to survive Read More

( This chapter still suggested to read repeatedly.) (本章仍然建议反复阅读。) «Prophet Daily» in December 1989 27 daily papers: 《预言家日报》1989年12月27日报: „On November 9 , 1989 later, the fiscal debt that Germany to deal with Berlin Wall collapse brings, starts to issue the domestic currency wantonly, this act intensified the German domestic inflation directly, the tremendous inflation pressure forced Federal Republic of Germany Central Bank to raise its interest rate, in it was covered, under the seemingly common external skin by the economic crisis, we still some reasons suspected, the black sorcerers of German magic still did save their past leader Gellert? Green Devoe rescues Niumeng Ka idea.” “1989年11月9日之后,德国为了应对柏林墙倒塌带来的财政亏空,开始大肆发行本国货币,此举直接加剧了德国国内通货膨胀,巨大的通胀压力迫使联邦德国中央银行提高了本国利率,但是在其被经济危机掩盖、看似寻常的表皮下,我们仍有理由怀疑,德国魔法界的黑巫师们仍然存了将他们的昔日的领导者盖勒特?格林德沃救出纽蒙迦德的想法。” Jon's in the newspaper about seat of honor, the finger knocked gently two on the table, a supercilious look that attracts librarian Madame even Si. 乔恩合上手中的这一份报纸,手指在桌子上面轻轻敲了两下,引来图书管理员平斯夫人的一个白眼。 Said gently the sentence was sorry, in Jon's curls to clamp hand newspaper on the arm, turned around to go out of the library. 轻轻地说了句抱歉,乔恩把手里的报纸卷起来夹在胳膊上,转身走出了图书馆。 He arrived at Hogwarts already one week, one side this week, on 2-3 days, Khelga will see with him every other, two people have the tacit understanding, the time of each time attending class was very accurate, will not make Jon next day extremely without the spirit. 他来到霍格沃茨已经一个星期了,这一个星期,每隔上2-3天,赫尔加才会跟他见一面,两个人已经有了默契,每次上课的时间都很精准,不会让乔恩第二天太过于没有精神。 After Hogwarts's class the work, is not to Jon difficult, can obtain one with the time slightly is also the good score, but Jon has not displayed to be above the talent of average man in the flight class, therefore Kui wonderful this movement, so long as he does not collect on own initiative, are not related with him. 至于霍格沃茨的课后作业,对于乔恩来说并不算困难,稍稍用点时间就能得到一个还算是不错的分数,而乔恩在飞行课上也没有表现出超乎常人的天赋,所以魁地奇这项运动,只要他不主动凑上去,就和他没有关系。 But Khelga was very widespread to the work that he gave, that prophet daily paper that for example he just read, was Wednesday evening he and Khelga said after own idea, Khelga to the work that he gave. 而赫尔加给他留的作业就很广泛了,比如他刚刚看的那份预言家日报,就是周三的晚上他和赫尔加说完自己的想法之后,赫尔加给他留的作业。 Today is on Saturday, he will continue to enter Khelga's portrait space in the evening, before that he must reorganize these contents, when the time comes said well to Khelga listens. 今天是周六,他晚上会继续进入赫尔加的画像空间,在那之前他就要把这些内容整理出来,到时候好讲给赫尔加听。 Then Khelga will make some deductions, including various possibility deductions, Jon is responsible for discovering most possible one. 然后赫尔加会做出一些推论,包括各种可能性的推论,乔恩负责从中找出最可能发生的一条。 Naturally, this was not the work, this was a part that Jon learned/studied. 当然,这就不是作业了,这算是乔恩学习的一部分。 Just as Khelga said that an outstanding sorcerer, must have the keen judgment, this can dodge the danger as far as possible. 正如赫尔加所说,一个优秀的巫师,必须拥有灵敏的判断力,这样才能尽可能地规避危险。 Jon eight buildings in castle found a small corner recently, the window of that place in the corner of castle, can see the entire Hogwarts's scenery, and because of place in eight buildings, although has not forbidden the student to come up, few people will actually also go to that place. 乔恩最近在城堡的八楼找到了一个小角落,那个地方的窗户在城堡的一角,可以看到整个霍格沃茨的景色,而且因为地方在八楼,虽然没有禁止学生上去,却也很少有人会到那个地方去。 Jon comes to here frequently, most of the time is contemplating, Hogwarts's magic environment quite, contemplates the advancement to be gratifying here. 乔恩经常到这里来,大多时候是在冥想,霍格沃茨的魔法环境相当好,在这里冥想进境喜人。 Remaining time Jon are usually used to be in a daze, the condition and contemplates similarly. 剩下的时候乔恩通常用来发呆,状态和冥想也差不多。 However Jon is in a daze, the thought thing usually must be much more. 但是乔恩发呆的时候,想的东西比平时要多得多。 That article that probably just he read, actually made him know, magic was also not a fool, there are person who can see the emergency case. 就好像刚刚他读到的那篇文章,其实让他知道了,魔法界也并不都是傻子,也有能看出紧急情况的人。 However choice this round of deduction on prophet daily paper, wrong suspect was too big, prophet daily paper these people, these years have wasted all one's money oneself credibility. 不过选择将这个推论在预言家日报上面发出来,错误犯的就太大了,预言家日报那些人,这些年早就已经把自己的信誉度败光了。 This newspaper in British sorcerer is the mainstream media right, but had also arrived except for some fact news, situation that these deductions no one letter/believes radically. 这份报纸在英国巫师界是主流媒体没错,可也已经到了除了一些事实新闻,这些推论根本没有人信的地步。 No one letter/believes is not the major problem, at least in Jon brain has the memory to this matter, has not responded immediately, who can think, the black sorcerer who advocates the violence also started the brain, attempted to cover own real motive with the economic war of hemp melon world? 没人信不是大问题,至少乔恩脑子里对这件事有记忆,都没有在第一时间反应过来,谁能想到,崇尚暴力的黑巫师也开始动起了脑子,尝试用麻瓜世界的经济战争来掩盖自己的真实目的了呢？ But in sorcerer, the most major problem is being conservative and complacent of sorcerers, side is pure blood sorcerer's hostility to hemp melon with contemptuous, side is looks too high to oneself, has not actually thought, present Britain has not been in the past that powerful empire on which the sun never sets, but the situation in sorcerer world well are less than the hemp melon world, the newcomer sorcerer in each country seems like mushroom growth to brave to come out same, even if Dumbledores one of the world's most powerful sorcerers, 而在巫师界,最大的一个问题就是巫师们的固步自封,一边是纯血巫师对麻瓜的敌视和轻蔑,一边是对自己看得过高,却没有想到,如今的英国早就不是当年那个强大的日不落帝国了,而巫师世界的情况也没有比麻瓜世界好太多,各个国家的新锐巫师像是雨后春笋一样冒出来,邓布利多纵然还是世界上最强大的巫师之一, But after all is one person alone cannot save the situation, can maintain British sorcerer in the right to speak of entire magic world, is very not easy matter. Especially after having experienced the second war, in the North American leader many layouts of that country under that wheelchair, had won the biggest right to speak from the empire on which the sun never sets hand, accordingly, sorcerer also when production costs rise, prices rise too of this country, had more rights to speak in the international magic conference. 可是毕竟是独木难支,能够维持住英国巫师界在整个魔法世界的话语权,已经是非常不容易的事情了。尤其是经历过二战之后,北美洲上面的那个国家在那位轮椅上的领导者多番布局之下,已然从日不落帝国手中夺走了最大的话语权,相应的,这个国家的巫师也水涨船高,在国际魔法会议上掌握了更多的话语权。 Also because of this, in 1990 the British hemp melon government decided joins the new currency system by the Western European country being established, in order to gets rid of the US to restrict, but this currency system- European exchange rate system, actually locked the monetary mechanism of each country with a treaty in one, to put it bluntly was each currency can only fluctuate in certain exchange rate range, once went beyond the range of this stipulation, each member nation's Central Bank needs to conduct the market intervention, was the monetary exchange rate stabilizes. 也正是因为这样,1990年英国麻瓜政府决定加入一个由西欧国家创立的新货币体系,以求摆脱美国制约,而这个货币体系-欧洲汇率体系,其实就是用一个条约将各个国家的货币机制锁在了一起,说白了就是每一种货币都只能在一定的汇率范围之内浮动,一旦超出这个规定的范围,各个成员国的中央银行就需要进行市场干预,是货币汇率稳定下来。 But these, were centered on then German currency Mark operated. 而这些,都是以当时的德国货币“马克”为核心操作的。 This system quickly turned into the tool, Representative numb of Gua black sorcerer, a named George's merchant used the weakness of this system, started currency to the British hemp melon society „hunting” in Jon's memory, Britain of ancestors was basically attacked by this George does not have the strength to hit back, projected on the economy to crash in 1992. But at the current this time point, Britain hemp melon is facing the economy to decline fast, issue of deflation. 这个体系很快变成了工具,黑巫师的麻瓜代表,一个名为乔治的商人利用了这个体系的弱点,对英国麻瓜社会发动了货币“狩猎”在乔恩的记忆中,上辈子的英国基本上被这个乔治打得毫无还手之力,在1992年被打到经济崩盘。而在当下的这个时间点,英国的麻瓜社会正面临着经济快速衰退,通货紧缩的问题。 Is facing the inflation in the German hemp melon society, has to raise the interest rate time, because Britain hemp melon the economical deterioration instead needs to enhance the inflation, must therefore cut the interest rate at this time urgently needed, stimulates the economic resurgence of society. 就在德国麻瓜社会面临着通货膨胀,不得不提高利率的时候,英国的麻瓜社会因为经济衰败反而需要提高通货膨胀,所以这时候急需要降低利率,来刺激自己社会的经济复苏。 The conflict then appeared at this time, to maintain this „European exchange rate system”, Britain must same keep an extremely high exchange rate and interest rate with Germany, this lets Britain faced with a difficult position. 冲突便在这个时候出现了,为了维持这个“欧洲汇率体系”,英国必须和德国一样保持一个极高的汇率和利率,这就让英国面临一个两难的境地。 According to Mondale's three Yuan paradox,( i.e. under open economy condition, the independence of domestic currency policy, exchange rate policy, the free flow of capital cannot also realize, most can only satisfy two goals simultaneously, needs goal that gives up another goal realizing regulation), in has maintained stabilization of exchange rate and under the free circulation of capital premise, Britain also wants to maintain the high interest rate, this is one not the matter that is possible to achieve. 根据蒙代尔的三元悖论,(即在开放经济条件下,本国货币政策的独立性,汇率政策,资本的自由流通不能同时实现,最多只能同时满足两个目标,需要放弃另外一个目标来实现调控的目的),在已经维持了汇率稳定和自由的资本流动前提下,英国还想要维持高利率,这本身就是一件不可能做到的事情。 But Jon knows, the representative of German black sorcerer, George, is betting the hemp melon government of Britain unable to maintain the three simultaneously, but must give up the stabilization of exchange rate, withdraws from the European exchange rate mechanism, when the time comes the currency pound crashing type of Britain will fall. 而乔恩知道,德国黑巫师的这个代表,乔治,是在赌英国的麻瓜政府无法同时维持这三者,而必须放弃汇率稳定,退出欧洲汇率机制,到时候英国的货币英镑就会崩盘式下跌。 Jon does not understand so many economics, but what is clear is that. 乔恩对于经济学了解没有那么多,但有一点很明显。 If the economy crashes, will then inevitably cause the panic of society, by that time, depends on British sorcerer in hemp melon society, turned into a screen of large size, by disintegrating that these black sorcerers will infiltrate. 如果经济崩盘,那么势必引起社会的恐慌,到那时候,依托在麻瓜社会上的英国巫师界,就变成了一个大号的筛子,会被那些黑巫师渗透的分崩离析。 „That is the real disaster!” “那才是真正的灾难啊！” Jon sits near the window, muttered said. 乔恩坐在窗户边上,喃喃说道。
To display comments and comment, click at the button