If price not fierce fluctuation of a commodity in international market, then regarding these investor who wants to yield the large revenue in a short time, the profit will become very difficult, but regarding the long-term investor this instead will be a good deed. 如果一种商品在国际市场中的价格没有剧烈的浮动,那么对于那些想要短时间里获得巨大收益的投资者来说,获利就会变得很困难,不过对于长期投资者来说这反而是一件好事。 As the time span of collection data is getting more and more long, approximate has been able to analyze the future price the overall trend, in addition the use hedge method dodges the conventional risk, if not demanding year return, this is not the unacceptable matter. 随着采集数据的时间跨度越来越长,大致的已经能够分析出未来价格的总体趋势,加上使用对冲手段规避常规风险,如果不强求年回报率,这也不是不能接受的事情。 Even some foundations think that this is the most perfect market, all have a legal basis, all can be forecast, all risks are under control. 甚至一些基金会认为这才是最完美的市场,一切都有章可循,一切都可以被预测,一切风险都在控制之中。 But never forget, the capitalists will pursue the hope of enormous benefit are never satisfied. 但永远都不要忘记,资本家们追求巨大利益的渴望是永远都不会得到满足的。 The steady price to some people is very friendly, but some people are actually not willing to see. 平稳的价格或许对一些人来说很友好,可有些人却不愿意见到。 Lynch put out a newspaper, „this is the southern mechanical research institute the report that two days ago issue, they have overcome a difficulty, can cause the yield of copper mine at present the original foundation , to promote at least 25%!” 林奇拿出了一张报纸,“这是南方机械研究所在两天前发布的报道,他们已经攻破了一个难关,能够使铜矿的开采量在目前原有的基础上,提升至少百分之二十五！” The newspaper in the hand of Lynch, he gave person the newspaper, quick those present have read this newspaper, indeed has such a news, moreover it publishes in Pyidawungsu. 报纸就在林奇的手中,他把报纸递给了身边的人,很快在场的人们都看过了这份报纸,的确有这样一个新闻,而且它还是刊登在联邦日报上。 This is the federal semi-official newspaper, to be always famous rigorously, rarely will present the false news, only if...... gives are too many. 这可是联邦半官方的报纸,历来以严谨著称,很少会出现假新闻,除非……给的太多。 Naturally Lynch will not tell here person, he pulled out how much money for this news. 当然林奇不会告诉这里的人,他为这条新闻掏了多少钱。 „Now not only obtains very big echo in the federation, other countries also sent out the delegation, hopes that can introduce this technology, with the popularization of this technology, decline that the price of copper ore can also continue.” “现在不仅是在联邦内取得了很大的反响,就连一些其他国家也派出了代表团,希望能够引进这项技术,随着这项技术的普及,铜矿石的价格还会持续的走低。” Actually people are always saying the market, market word also make many laymen muddled, but to put it bluntly, nothing but is the change of supply-demand relationship. 其实人们总在说市场,市场这个词也让很多外行糊涂,但说白了,无非就是供需关系的变化而已。 The person who a commodity buys were many, the person who however sells was short, then price naturally as bidding mechanism unceasing rise. 一种商品买的人多了,但是卖的人少了,那么价格自然会随着竞价机制不断的上升。 The person who if in turn, a commodity buys was short, the person who however sells are getting more and more, then the price will be getting more and more low. 如果反过来,一种商品买的人少了,但是卖的人却越来越多,那么价格就会越来越低。 What commodity, cannot escape the essence of supply and demand and bidding eventually, people are completely muddled, nothing but increased many interference factors in the relations of supply and demand artificially. 无论是什么商品,终究逃不过供需和竞价的本质,人们之所以晕头转向,无非是在供需的关系中又人为的增加了很多干扰因素。 Political factor, military factor? Geographical sector? The climatic factor and time factor, will this make one is confused? But it is not in fact complex. 政治因素,军事因素?地理因素?气候因素以及时间因素等,这才会让人变得一头雾水?可实际上它并不复杂。 Lynch the does newspaper that takes make people realize clearly? Once the copper ore output of the whole world presented obvious increase, if the demand doesn't increase? Then the price of copper ore will drop, and end product copper because of the price fall of raw material? Also will present the price to drop. 林奇的拿出来的这份报纸让人们清楚的认识到一点?一旦整个世界的铜矿石产量出现了明显的增加,如果需求不增加的话?那么铜矿石的价格就会下降,并且成品铜因为原材料的价格下降?也会出现价格下降。 Do some merchants awaken immediately? Some how many people said directly were being sorry, arrives in the telephone room in next door to contact with their strategists, the price these two aren't of inquiry world copper number and copper ore a matter, the copper practices the good copper? Moreover according to the copper content is divided into many categories? The copper ore is the raw material, minute/share many categories. 一些商人顿时醒悟过来?有几人直接说着抱歉,走到隔壁的电话房间里联系他们的操盘手,查询世界铜价和铜矿石的价格这两个可不是一回事,铜是练好的铜?而且根据铜含量分为很多品类?铜矿石是原材料,也分很多品类。 With passing in and out of some people, in another in market that concerns in the digit, the stock account numbers start to present the intense transaction, their approximate contents very similar? Shorts the copper ore! 随着一些人的进进出出,在另外一个关乎于数字的市场中,一个又一个期货账号开始出现密集的交易,它们大致的内容都十分的相似?做空铜矿石！ In Baylor Federation the signals of shorting appear, immediately triggers the close attention of more capitalist? When they understand some contents from certain hearsay, opened built the warehouse to short the copper ore. 拜勒联邦内一个个做空的信号出现,立刻引发了更多资本家的密切关注?当他们从某些小道消息了解到其中的一些内容时,也开始建仓做空铜矿石。 Are so many people doing that? That does that certainly is right, moreover regarding the stock of the whole world? Effect of the involvement of capital on the price is also a very important consideration. 那么多人都在这么做?那这么做一定是对的,而且对于整个世界的期货来说?资本的参与程度对价格的影响也是一种很重要的考量。 What kind of relations regardless of involves? Actually can't leave the supply-demand relationship? Also is the business relates. 无论其中涉及到怎样的关系?其实都还是离不开供需关系?也就是买卖关系。 In the federation large number of blank disks appear, quick affected the world stock trend. 联邦内大量的空盘出现,很快就影响到了世界期货的动向。 According to world prompt sale line of stipulations, every 15 minutes, will conduct a data updating, reason that 15 minutes of such long spacings, because at present means of communication backward reason. 按照目前世界期货交易行的规定,每隔15分钟,就会进行一次数据更新,之所以会有十五分钟这么久的间距,也是因为目前通信手段落后的原因。 Actually now has been much better compared with before, before the telephone and radio have not appeared, the renewal of data from half of the day to several days. 其实现在已经比以前好多了,在电话和无线电还没有出现之前,数据的更新从半天到几天不等。 That time international futures market was most mysterious, the rapidness that so long as ran, some merchants can depend upon „speed” to run to win the price, so long as arrived in the transaction harbor before the ship of announcement renewal price, they can arrive at more money by advanced information steady gaining. 那个时候的国际期货市场才是最神奇,只要跑的快,有些商人能够依靠“速度”跑赢价格,只要在公布更新价格的船之前抵达交易港口,他们就可以凭借超前的信息稳稳的赚到更多的钱。 Even also some people pretend to be to trade the group information officer to give the false message, that may really be incredible years, but is also very interesting. 甚至还有人冒充交易行的信息员传递假消息,那可真是一个荒诞的岁月,但也很有趣。 However at the present, this matter had no longer appeared, runs to acupuncture point at the thumb people does not win the telephone wire, runs does not win the radio. 不过在现在,这种事情已经不再出现了,至少商人们跑不赢电话缆线,也跑不赢无线电。 The blank disk that Baylor Federation presents brings some pressures and shadows to the copper ore of the whole world, in Lynch these people are holding in Sharon's one hour, the price of the world copper ore presented the slight drop again. 拜勒联邦出现的空盘给整个世界的铜矿石带来一些压力和阴影,也就在林奇这些人正在举行沙龙的一个多小时里,世界铜矿石的价格再次出现了轻微的下降。 Once the invention of southern mechanical research institute were proven to be true, 25% new output enough make the current copper ore price present jumping from an upper story -type falling again, but before then, the influence is not huge.( Degree and speed that news spreads) 一旦南方机械研究所的发明被证明属实,百分之二十五的新增产量足够让目前的铜矿石价格再次出现跳楼式的下跌,但在这之前,影响还不算巨大。(消息扩散的程度和速度) The capital always seeks victory, to avoid suffering the risk, some hedge funds will also start to re-evaluate in the future the trend of copper ore, and will establish the new hedge plate. 资本总是趋利的,为了避免遭遇风险,一些对冲基金也开始重新评估未来铜矿石的走势,并且建立新的对冲盘。 In many people when is expected to fall the copper ore, before , has not enlivened account, starts to make the multi- copper ores, and writing skill is big. 就在很多人都在看跌铜矿石的时候,一个之前没有活跃过的账户,开始做多铜矿石,而且手笔不小。 This unusual phenomenon people do not care, to many stock is also good, the stock, or other investments, they understand are not many, they regarded gambling to play to play this financial game. 这种异常的现象人们并不太在乎,对于很多人来说期货也好,股票也罢,或者其他投资,他们了解的不多,他们把这种金融游戏当成了一种赌博游戏去玩。 Would such several speculators being able unwilling detains the chip in the return highest point, this like, when the federal industrial index crashes, some people swallow as before wantonly, would some people betting. 总会有那么几个投机者会不甘心的把筹码押在回报率最高的点上,这就像在联邦工业指数崩盘的时候,依旧有人大肆吃进,总会有人去赌。 Lost, possibly does not have a thing in the world, but the gambling won, that has the whole world. 赌输了,可能一无所有,但赌赢了,那就拥有整个世界。 People do not care about this account number, from Lynch, not only actually the futures market has his form, in the international foreign exchange market, he also established the account number. 人们不关心这个账号,就是来自于林奇,其实不只是期货市场有他的身影,在国际外汇市场,他也建立了账号。 The direction that this time he same and others plays is not quite still same, he starts to short ( Flat ). 这次他同样和别人玩的方向依旧不太一样,他开始做空夫拉(弗拉)。 With the stability of secure beautiful Syria area, as well as Frat this time the performance in war, the expansion influence internationally, was also ending the price of second husband drawing to increase from the war at present actively, has become the world to have one of the considerable weight currencies. 随着安美利亚地区的稳固,以及盖弗拉这次在战争中的表现,他们目前也在积极的扩张夫拉在国际上的影响力,从战争结束之后夫拉的价格一直在攀升,已经成为当今世界有着相当权重的货币之一。 Many people think that may become in the future in the international currency delivery the main settlement currency, now is not very high while its price, swallowing wave of a matter that is gains steadily does not compensate. 很多人都认为夫拉有可能会成为未来国际货币交割中主要的结算货币,现在趁着它的价格不够高,吃进一波是稳赚不赔的事情。 Lynch has the different views, and has the person of similar idea with him, is not infrequent. 只是林奇却有不同的看法,而且和他有着同样想法的人,也不在少数。 Just finished one salon who had about the international future, Lynch rushed to one nonstop in view of salon of international foreign exchange, he just pushed the door to go, saw Mr. Herbert who at the same time sits. 刚刚结束完一场有关于国际期货的沙龙,林奇又马不停蹄的赶赴了一场针对国际外汇交易的沙龙,他刚推门进去,就看见了正在一边坐着的赫伯特先生。 After two people each other nod expressed best wishes, not many languages, Lynch arrived sits down at the same time, the attendant carried some drinks for him. 两人彼此点头致意之后并没有过多的语言,林奇走到一边坐下,侍应生为他端来了一些饮品。 The person who is expressing own view is an economist, the idiot in this industry are forever more than smart person, the person who can clarify these things truly are actually not many, but this does not hinder these rich men to participate. 正在发表自己的看法的人是一名经济学家,在这个行业里蠢货永远都比聪明人多,真正能弄清楚这些东西的人其实并不多,但这并不妨碍这些有钱人参与进来。 They do not need oneself what view, the person who so long as understands with these was good, this is also simplest. 他们不需要有自己的什么看法,只要跟着那些懂的人就行了,这也是最简单的。 This economist is shooting the breeze, he is being an idiot in room combs responsibility between the international currency relations and international political patterns, he regarded the classroom here, it is a pity that he is doomed not to obtain the people unduly attention. 这名经济学家正在高谈阔论,他正在为一房间的蠢货梳理国际货币关系和国际政治格局之间的干系,他把这里当成了课堂,遗憾的是他注定不会得到人们过分的关注。 Compared with these complex knowledge, people want to know where then they detain the chip, can bring the profit for them. 比起这些复杂的学识,人们更想知道接下来他们把筹码押在什么地方,才能为他们带来利润。 Naturally, they have not caught up with this economist, but is thinking some day they need the expert to dispel doubt for them by some chance. 当然,他们没有把这名经济学家赶下去,只是想着万一有一天他们需要有内行为他们解惑而已。 Having a parched mouth when this economist spoke and was somewhat satisfied, Lynch made the person attendant send to some drink for him. 当这位经济学家讲的口干舌燥并且有些惬意的时候,林奇让人侍应生为他送去了一些饮料。 The scholars are somewhat accidental, but very polite response Lynch made one deliver the drink to him the action, this is a formality. 学者有些意外,但还是很礼貌的回应了林奇让人给他送饮料的举动,这是一种礼节。 But prepares to have several drink when him , to continue to discuss his these things, Lynch stand. 可就在他准备喝几口饮料,继续谈论他的那些东西时,林奇站了起来。 He arrived at the side of scholar, „this mister seemed somewhat tired, then I chatted my idea.”, Did not wait for that scholar to say anything, Lynch shot a look at his one eyes. 他走到了学者的身边,“这位先生看上去有些累了,那么接下来我来谈谈我的想法。”,不等那名学者说什么,林奇只是瞥了他一眼。 Also is only such a, the scholar a lot of words of shrank, he hesitant, finally sat on the sofa, he said was long enough. 也就只是这么一眼,学者一肚子的话都缩了回去,他犹豫了一下,最终还是坐在了沙发上,他说的够久了。 „Don't some people know me?”, Attained the words power, Lynch spoke thoughtlessly to ask, this looked like cracks a joke to be the same. “有人不认识我吗？”,拿到了话权,林奇随口问了一句,这就像是开玩笑一样。 People at the chuckle, as if this are looking like a joke that funnily, is shouts loudly „some people not to know Mr. Lynch as for also some people?” 人们都在轻笑着,似乎这就像是一个笑话那么的好笑,乃至于还有人高呼着“难道还有人不认识林奇先生的吗？” These words as if were echoed by many, knew that Mr. Lynch that is inevitable, did not know that has the issue. 这句话似乎得到了很多人的认同,认识林奇先生那是必然的,不认识才有问题。 Lynch nods slightly expresses best wishes, when everyone's laughter almost stood still, his first few words, make people frown. 林奇微微颔首致意,等大家的笑声差不多停歇了,他第一句话,就让人们皱起了眉头。 „I listened to the words that my side expert spoke a moment ago, development that some contents that he said tally very much, but a little I think that he spoke incorrectly......”, his corners of the mouth one, „is facing a huge test slightly, if it cannot step, then Frat promotes it to become the international settlement currency to result in the idea, must receive the obstuction!” “刚才我听了我身边这位专家说的话,他说的一些内容很符合的局势发展,但有一点我认为他说错了……”,他嘴角微微一,“夫拉正在面临着一场巨大的考验,如果它迈不过去,那么盖弗拉推动它成为国际结算货币得想法,就要受到阻扰了！” This is one type violates the mainstream very much the idea, must know Daugai Frat just through the politics and military determined from the Last War they are the world „core”, the secure beautiful Syria area's stable rule will also make people look at one to the Frat's future potential high. 这是一种很违背主流的想法,要知道盖弗拉刚刚才从世界大战争中通过政治和军事确定了他们是世界的“核心”,安美利亚地区的稳固统治也让人们对盖弗拉未来的潜力高看了一眼。 No one thinks that will be stopped, it will definitely rise, but Lynch actually gave the entirely different view. 没有人认为夫拉会受到阻拦,它必然会上升,可林奇却给出了截然不同的看法。