RINAPE :: Volume #10

#920: The learned stop-loss and stops full


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Too was truly scary! 确实太吓人了! Stock price opening of ebay rises suddenly, moreover opening on continuing without a halt continues to increase, this momentum simply terrifying...... ebay的股价开盘就暴涨,而且一开盘就继续不停的继续攀升,这个势头简直恐怖…… However, to the US (America) securities trader, their stock price to the ebay is extremely confident, the ebay stock price in their opinion, at least the powerful support of three rises, one is to make up rises, first fell before made up ; One is originally good of anticipation, is takes PayPal finally, some good must digest ; Another, is ebay and Muye Science and Technology cooperation was greatly good, the US (America) market has deeply realized the Muye Science and Technology the speed of influence as well as rise, therefore, ebay and Muye Science and Technology cooperate, to them is an enormous good news. 但是,对美国的券商来说,他们对ebay的股价极有信心,ebay的股价在他们看来,至少有三个上涨的强大支撑,一个是补涨,先把之前跌的都补回来;一个是原本期待的利好,也就是终于把paypal拿到手,这部分利好也要消化掉;再一个,就是ebay牧野科技合作的巨大利好了,美国市场已经深刻意识到牧野科技的影响力以及崛起的速度,所以,ebay牧野科技合作,对他们来说就是一个极大的利好消息。 The powerful support of three rises, the securities trader as well as ebay shareholder adds fuel to the flames again in secret, wild horse that the stock price rise speed nature such as runs away, fast growth. 有三个上涨的强大支撑,券商以及ebay的股东再暗中推波助澜,股价的上涨速度自然如脱了缰的野马,飞快增长。 Wei Jun was sighing to the computer: It seems like today the maximum valency may break 70!” 蔚俊对着电脑感叹:“看来今天最高价有可能突破70大关啊!” Wei Lan hastily asked: „Does father, when your batch of stocks prepare to act?” 蔚澜急忙问道:“爸,您这批股票准备什么时候出手?” Wei Jun said: ebay now the momentum is very fierce, little said that must have a look some time, I thought that it to/clashes 70, even to 80 has the possibility!” 蔚俊说:“ebay现在势头很猛,少说也要持有一段时间看看吧,我觉得它冲七十,甚至冲八十都有可能!” Wei Lan says immediately: You cannot hold this mentality to have, such risk was too big, you must arrange four psychological prices ahead of time at heart.” 蔚澜立刻道:“您可不能抱着这种心态一直持有,这样风险太大了,您得提前在心里定好四个心理价位。” Wei Jun asked: Four psychological prices? What psychological price?” 蔚俊问:“四个心理价位?什么心理价位?” Wei Lan earnest explanation: „When rises and falls the contraction price ; When the rise and falls spatial warehouse price.” 蔚澜认真的解释道:“上涨和下跌时的收缩价位;以及上涨和下跌时的空仓价位。” Stock price, if continues to rise, after rising the rise contraction price, you must tighten immediately, at least makes a move part, first first to collect your capital the stock in hand, remaining partially can continue to have ; If the stock price starts to fall, when tumbling to fall the contraction price, you must make a move immediately part, takes back the capital, remaining continues to wait and see ; “股价如果继续涨,涨道上涨收缩价位之后,您就要立刻收紧,把手里的股票至少出手一部分、先把您的本金先收回来,剩下的部分可以继续持有;如果股价开始下跌,在跌倒下跌收缩价位时,您也要立刻出手一部分,把本金收回,剩下的继续持有观望;” If the stock price has risen, after it achieves rises the spatial warehouse price, you must all stocks let go, leverages as soon as possible, no matter it will have room for rise in the future, we first remove in this price ; If the stock starts to fall, after he achieves falls the spatial warehouse price, you must all stocks let go, no matter it can also rise.” “如果股价一直上涨,当它达到上涨空仓价位之后,您就要把所有股票都脱手,尽快套现,不管它将来还有没有上涨空间,我们都先在这个价位上撤出来;如果股票开始下跌,当他达到下跌空仓价位之后,您也要把所有股票都脱手,不管它还能不能涨回去。” Wei Lan and Wei Jun mentality has very big difference, Wei Lan rationality, before making decision, needs enough condition support, without gambler mentality, but Wei Jun not only has the gambler mentality, but also lacks the stop-loss to stop the full boldness, like his mentality, is not one that is suitable to speculate in the stock market. 蔚澜蔚俊的心态有很大的不同,蔚澜理性,在做决定之前,需要有足够的条件支撑,没有赌徒心态,而蔚俊不仅有赌徒心理,还缺乏止损止盈的魄力,像他这种心态,是最不适合炒股的一种。 Driven by gambler mentality, Wei Jun speculates in the stock market to construct the warehouse not to keep the reserve, this point is very dangerous. 在赌徒心理的驱使下,蔚俊炒股建仓根本不留储备,这一点就很危险。 It looks like in Wei Lan, the news that even if Li Mu disclosed that he should not altogether at the same time that all assets threw, but also offered loans everywhere further expands constructs the warehouse, this was most standard gambler mentality, in this case, once had/left a mistake, had the possibility to be beyond redemption ; 蔚澜看来,即便是李牧透露的消息,他也不应该一股脑把所有的资产都投进来的同时,还到处举债进一步扩大建仓,这就是最标准的赌徒心理,在这种情况下,一旦出一点差池,就有可能万劫不复; But is not good at securing against loss to stop the full weakness, led by the nose by the stock price easily, earns more does not hate to leave, always thought that also has bigger room for profits ; Are fortunately more also jumps over does not hate to shear the meat, always places hopes in the stock price also to rise again, finally the stock the crosscut saw in own, has consumed the original profit up and down little completely. 而不擅长止损止盈的弱点,更容易被股价牵着鼻子走,赚得越多越不舍得抽身,总觉得还有更大的利润空间;亏得越多也越不舍得割肉,总寄希望于股价还能再涨回来,最后股票一直在自己手里上下拉锯,一点点把原本的利润都消耗殆尽。 The prompt stop-loss is difficult, stops promptly full is more difficult! Because of this, Wei Lan requests the father to subscribe these four psychological prices ahead of time, and strictly carries out. 及时止损难,及时止盈更难!正因为如此,蔚澜才要求爸爸必须提前订好这四个心理价位,并且严格执行。 Wei Jun thought for quite a while, said: I thought that the ebay stock price will look in the future for a long time, at least can rush to hundred USD, that is set at that rise contraction price that hundred USD you said......” 蔚俊想了半天,说:“我觉得ebay的股价未来长期看,至少能冲上一百美元,那就把一百美元设定为你说的那个上涨收缩价位吧……” Wei Lan lags behind the face immediately, said: Father! Initially Li Mu said is the short line, he had not suggested long-line has the ebay stock! Even ebay can a hundred USD price, that not know how long in the future after can be ! You do not know, stock price that now rises suddenly, some large scales are the banker promote in the back, if they want this Poly to be then good, attracts the private investor to take over a business top, once that the stock price achieves their psychological expectations, they make a move immediately in large numbers the ebay stock, when the time comes the stock price will certainly drop sharply.” 蔚澜当即拉下脸来,说:“爸!李牧当初说的就是短线,他可从来没有建议中长线持有ebay股票!就算ebay将来能到一百美元的价位,那也不知道会是多长时间以后了!况且您也不知道,现在暴涨的股价,到底有多大比例是庄家在背后推动,如果他们想接着这一波利好,吸引散户高位接盘,那么一旦股价达到他们的心理预期,他们就会立刻大批出手ebay股票,到时候股价一定会大跌。” Said these, Wei Lan deliberately persuaded with the most earnest tone: Father, regardless of later makes anything, you must learn and stop full and stop-loss, our family/home has eaten this to owe......” 说完这些,蔚澜刻意用最认真的语气劝说道:“爸,以后无论做什么,您得学会和止盈和止损,咱们家已经吃过这个亏了……” Wei Jun hesitated for a moment, the expression gradually is also dignified, Wei Lan said right, own gambler mentality is too truly heavy, simply has not stopped the full stop-loss the concept, from starting to do business now, in the brain thinks how is the maximum benefits, has not thought knowing when to stop, the played each game almost all detains, own luck continued for more than ten years, but actually lost thorough in a biggest gambling house, Li Mu, the family of three's present life feared already does not have any goal. 蔚俊迟疑片刻,表情也逐渐凝重起来,蔚澜说的没错,自己的赌徒心理确实太重,根本没有止盈止损的概念,从开始做生意到现在,脑子里想的都是怎样利益最大化,从来没想过适可而止,玩的每一局几乎都是全押,自己的幸运持续了十几年,但却在最大的一盘赌局上输了个彻底,要不是李牧,自己一家三口现在的生活怕是早就没有什么奔头了。 This time, the Li Mu although good intention gave Inside News, but Li Mu's suggested also to be made a short line by oneself, bought on tall Maizhuan to leave lowly, if oneself really want to change into long-line, without Li Mu's Inside News, his energy is short immediately most probably. 这一次,李牧虽然好心给了一个内幕消息,但是李牧的建议也是让自己做个短线,低买高卖赚上一笔抽身,如果自己真想换成中长线,没有了李牧的内幕消息,他心里的底气立刻就少了大半。 Thought for quite a while, Wei Jun said: This, stock price, if breaks through 70 USD, I first sell out 750,000, collects the capital, remains 250,000 in the hand ; If breaks 65, I sell out 800,000 ; If rises to 75 USD or tumbles 55 USD, I all throw.” 想了半天,蔚俊说:“这样吧,股价如果突破70美元,我就先卖掉75万股,把本金都收回来,剩25万股在手上;如果跌破65,我就卖掉80万股;如果涨到75美元或者跌倒55美元,我就全抛。” Wei Lan sighed one lightly, said: Or I ask Li Mu tomorrow, how having a look at him to say.” 蔚澜轻叹一声,说:“要不明天我问问李牧吧,看看他怎么说。” Wei Jun nods immediately: That it would be the best!” 蔚俊立刻点点头:“那就最好不过了!” ...... …… The soaring stock price, making ebay immediately the objects of US (America) major media reports, the most media's this and multiple cooperation of Muye Science and Technology to ebay and PayPal favor especially, is liberal with the praise in the report, even Muye Science and Technology followed to benefit from big. 飞涨的股价,让ebay立刻成为美国各大媒体争相报道的对象,大部分的媒体对ebay这次与牧野科技paypal的多重合作都格外看好,在报道中不吝赞美,甚至连牧野科技都跟着沾了不小的光。 Many good promotions and a lot of media reported that in addition various operations of securities trader and shareholder, ebay stock price, in Li Mu convenes in the first trading day of press conference, rushed to 68 USD in one vigorous effort. 多个利好促进、大量媒体报道,再加上券商、股东的各种操作,ebay的股价在李牧召开新闻发布会的首个交易日里,一鼓作气的冲到了68美元 Li Mu to the China time next morning will know this news, 68 USD stock prices made Li Mu stunned for a long time, be then annoyed later at heart, such good earning chance, oneself actually disliked troublesome gave up conveniently, if really wants to make money, even if were away from the ocean still certainly to have the means operation. 李牧一直到华夏时间的第二天早上才得知了这个消息,68美元的股价让李牧都错愕了好久,随后心里便一直在懊恼,这么好的赚钱机会,自己竟然嫌麻烦就随手放弃了,如果真想赚钱,即便是隔着大洋也一定是有办法操作的。 The exclamation in the US (America) market unexpected forward feedback, Li Mu opens website of some US (America) media, understood probably they to the related report that ebay and Muye Science and Technology cooperate, discovered that the report caliber of US (America) media highly is actually consistent, everyone was saying that various positive development spaces of ebay future, a potential advantage spatial news will not have the domestic report to come out, that will then be ebay must avoid the agreement of Taobao point in the China market in the future. 惊叹于美国市场出乎意料的正向反馈,李牧打开一些美国媒体的网站,大概了解了一下他们对ebay牧野科技合作的相关报道,发现美国媒体的报道口径倒是高度一致,大家都在说ebay未来的各种正面发展空间,一个潜在的利空消息却没有在国内报出来,那便是ebay未来在华夏市场要避开淘宝锋芒的约定。 The China internet market is getting bigger and bigger, to ebay this company in the future huge empire territory, is a very important territory, if ebay must avoid the Taobao point in China in the future , means that ebay future may the development mode as well as may the imaginary space small many, although this ebay now with Taobao not very direct business conflict, but this eventually will also be shackles of development trend, if will report it, will somewhat have some impacts on the ebay stock price meeting. 华夏互联网市场越来越大,对ebay这种公司未来庞大帝国版图来说,也是非常重要的一片领土,如果ebay将来在华夏要避开淘宝锋芒,也就意味着,ebay未来的可发展模式以及可想象空间都小了不少,这虽说ebay现在跟淘宝没有非常直接的业务冲突,但这终究也是未来发展的一个桎梏,如果把它报道出来,对ebay的股价多少会带来一些影响。 According to understanding of Li Mu the US (America) media, looks sketchily, the US (America) media mosts of the time are quite objective . Moreover the different media, about tendency also has the difference respectively, some are conservative, some are radical, therefore everyone's report should have the respective argument respectively, such harmonious everyone reaches an agreement, somewhat is truly strange, supposing, in this no serious safety strip, still at least has the person to lobby in behind even. 按照李牧美国媒体的了解,粗略地看,美国媒体大部分时候是比较客观的,而且不同的媒体,左右的倾向还各有不同,有的保守,有的激进,所以大家的报道应该是各自有各自的论点,这么和谐的大家都说好,确实也有些奇怪,估摸着,这里面就算是没什么严重的暗箱操作,也至少有人在背后游说。 US (America) is a lobby system very obvious country, politically must lobby, economically must lobby, the folk entertainment also to lobby, media not to mention, the media are can only directly the key of docking politics, the docking economy as well as entertainment are, frequently some people will be holding all kinds of goals, lobbies the media, to make the media caliber be consistent. 美国本身就是一个游说制度非常明显的国家,政治上要游说、经济上要游说、民间娱乐也要游说,媒体方面就更不用说了,媒体是唯一能直接对接政治、对接经济以及娱乐的关键所在,经常会有人抱着各种各样的目的,去游说媒体、让媒体口径保持一致。 Reference this point, Li Mu felt, possibly has the big influence on borrow the trend that ebay rises suddenly to add fuel to the flames, what reported as for them was what goal, oneself have not bought the ebay stock, had no relations with, was naturally disinclined to care. 参考这一点,李牧觉得,可能是有大势力正在借ebay暴涨的趋势推波助澜,至于他们报的是什么目的,自己也没买ebay股票,和自己也没有什么关系,自然懒得关心。 Let alone, Li Mu is not big to the ebay interest, in the future the ebay development opportunities will not be big, cannot compare PayPal by far, at present, oneself have locked the PayPal 29% stocks, at least for ten years later Muye Science and Technology, locked big billions USD even to cross hundred hundred million USD extra market values, even if in the future ebay hung, had no relations with oneself. 更何况,李牧ebay兴趣不大,未来ebay的发展空间并不大,远远比不上paypal,眼下,自己已经锁定了paypal29%的股份,至少就为十年后的牧野科技,锁定了大几十亿美元甚至过百亿美元的额外市值,往后ebay哪怕挂了,跟自己都没什么关系。 Domestic media's sudden rise to ebay stock price, displayed arranging for everybody to give the same story of worldwide celebration actually, almost all media in oneself report, tooted one's own horn to Muye Science and Technology, because they believe, the ebay stock price can rise fierce, almost all thanks to Li Mu's. 国内媒体对ebay股价的暴涨,倒是表现出了一副普天同庆的统一口径,几乎所有的媒体都在自己的报道上,给牧野科技脸上贴金,因为他们认为,ebay的股价之所以能够涨得这么凶猛,几乎全是托了李牧的福。 Therefore, the domestic media started sound to a Li Mu's praise, makes Li Mu feel that what is only surprised, and does not have any media made the detailed report to own yesterday's speech content. 所以,国内媒体又掀起了一阵对李牧的赞美之声,唯一让李牧感到惊讶的是,并没有什么媒体对自己昨天的演讲内容做出详细的报道。 In news that the media in the ebay stock price rises suddenly, made report all affairs big or small, even has the media long-distance to consult the US (America) securities expert specially, but did not have the media the opinion about house price to reorganize the writing to report Li Mu last night. 媒体在ebay股价暴涨的新闻上,做出了事无巨细的报道,甚至专门有媒体远程咨询美国的证券专家,但是却没有媒体把李牧昨晚关于房价的言论整理成文字报道出来。 In the Li Mu heart feels quite the surprise, last night and Brother Liu as well as Teacher Lei ate meal together, they thought that today in online will certainly be spurted, even by spurting of mentioning names, will not have the experts ran vaguely hits his face, but didn't expect, the media made the cold treatment unexpectedly, did not register ebay China to develop restricted with the US (America) media, the China media did not have to report oneself bold forecast to house price. 李牧心中感觉颇为诧异,昨晚和刘师兄以及雷教主一起吃饭的时候,他们两人都觉得今天自己一定会在网上被喷,就算不被指名道姓的喷,也会有专家学者跑出来隐晦的打他的脸,但是没想到,媒体竟然做了冷处理,和美国媒体不报到ebay华夏发展受限一样,华夏媒体也没有报道自己对房价的大胆预测。 Li Mu looked for website of major pile of domestic media, even also went out to buy several newspapers specially, came back edition of edition of turning to look, all the reportage about own last night Renmin speech, only wrote about itself to appeal that the young people believed MU Online / miracle, and with Heinrich Schliemann's true story example, the opinion of behind about house price, on the media did not say a word. 李牧找了一大堆国内媒体的网站,甚至还专门出去买了好几份报纸,回来一版一版的翻找,所有关于自己昨晚人大演讲的新闻报道,都只写到自己呼吁年轻人相信奇迹、并且拿海因里希・施里曼的真实故事举例,后面关于房价的言论,媒体上只字未提。 In a twinkling, Li Mu's is especially sad. 霎时间,李牧的心情格外沉重。 The media keep highly unified, the back has certainly the strength to promote, is promoting no matter who, his core mission is to control the proliferation of oneself related opinion. 媒体保持高度统一,背后就一定有力量在推动,不管是谁在推动,他的核心目的就是控制自己相关言论的扩散。 It seems like that the house price is relating to the fundamental interests of extremely numerous person frequently, they will not allow the benefit to receive oneself challenge. 看来,房价还是时刻关系着极多人的根本利益,他们不会允许利益受到自己的挑战。 The Li Mu heart is disconsolate, he has not thought must control the house price to grow, he also knows oneself simply do not have such ability, only idea, but does not think that so many young people of lagging behind will be stranded for the room in the future, hopes that can the reminder they be prescient in one's power, but oneself can do, feared that is also only then these, if continues thoroughly, feared that will bring the unnecessary trouble to oneself. 李牧心头惆怅,他并没有想过要控制房价增长,他也知道自己根本没有这样的能力,唯一的想法,只是不想那么多后知后觉的年轻人将来为房所困,希望能够力所能及的提醒他们先知先觉,但自己能做的,怕是也就只有这些了,如果继续深入,怕是会给自己带来不必要的麻烦。
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