Muye Science and Technologyin the US (America)internetmarketisabsoluterare and beautiful flowers.牧野科技在美国互联网市场算是一个绝对的奇葩。Does not havefrom the starton own initiativein the company of US (America)developmentbusiness, itsproduct is not only naturally luckyin the US (America)market, thiscompanyevenalsoaffected the stock prices of twoNASDAQlisted enterprises.
一个压根就没有主动在美国开展业务的公司,其产品不但在美国市场自然走红,这家公司甚至还先后影响了两家纳斯达克上市企业的股价。
The firsttimeisSina, after Li MupurchasesHao123alsoconforms withYY123, inYY123as well asentireYYproductsysteminternal shieldSinalink, evenis the Sinatwocharacters, almostcut a cleanness the Sinaexteriorcurrent capacity, made a hugeadvantageto be spatialtoSina, starting fromthat time, the Sinastock pricefellagain and again, after the YYnetgot online, the Sinastock pricewashorrible to look at that fell, nowbasicallyis one of the NASDAQmost rottenstocks;
第一次是新浪,李牧收购Hao123并且整合进YY123之后,在YY123以及整个YY产品体系内屏蔽新浪链接,甚至是新浪两个字,几乎把新浪的外部流量砍了个干净,给新浪制造了一个巨大的利空,从那个时候开始,新浪的股价就连连下跌,在YY网上线之后,新浪的股价更是跌的惨不忍睹,现在基本上已经是纳斯达克最烂的股票之一;Thistime, Li MucollaboratesPayPal, made a bigadvantagespatialnewstomarket value160hundred millionUSDeBay, stock priceopening of eBayfell5%.
这一次,李牧又联手#,给市值一百六十多亿美元的eBay制造了一个大利空消息,以至于eBay的股价开盘就跌去了5%。To a 160hundred millionUSDenterprise, 5%market values, value more than 800 millionUSD, in the level of market value, more than 800 millionUSDevaporatedall of a sudden.
对一家一百六十多亿美元的企业来说,5%的市值,价值8亿多美元,在市值的层面上,这8亿多美元一下子就蒸发掉了。Meg Whitmantenure, the eBaystock price happened multiplehas shakensharply, mostfallssharplybecause of the industry aggregatebleakfactor, rarelyliketoday, pure, because the eBaybusinesshas the problemto drop.
梅格・惠特曼在任期间,eBay的股价发生过多次大幅震荡,其中多数的大幅下跌都是因为行业整体的萧条因素,很少像今天这样,单纯因为eBay的业务出现问题而大幅下挫。In the stock market, PayPaltoeBayis a double-edged sword.
在股票市场,#对eBay是一柄双刃剑。IneBaypurchasesin the PayPalprocess, in the markethad receivedthismessageahead of time, moreoverthisnewsin the eye of capitalas well asinvestor, is an absolutegoodnews, the securities traderadds fuel to the flamestaking advantage of the goodnews, althougheBayhas not purchasedPayPalofficially, but the markethas startedto digestthisgoodahead of time.
早在eBay收购#的过程中,市场上就已经提前收到了这个消息,而且这个消息在资本以及股民的眼里,也是一个绝对的利好消息,券商借着利好消息推波助澜,虽然eBay还没有正式收购#,但是市场早就已经开始提前消化这个利好。Beforetodayopens, in the eBaystock price, actuallycontainsahead of timehas digested the goodthatpart, the stock priceoverallequivalent height.
在今天开盘之前,eBay的股价中,其实就已经包含了提前消化利好的那一部分,股价整体虚高。Thissituationcanunderstandforahead of timeexpense in life, seems the Old Wangworkcompanyto announce, the year-end bonuswill sendthreemonths of monthly salaryto take the year-end bonus, thiswas equivalentto a Old Wanghugegoodnews, makingOld Wang in Octoberahead of timethroughbrushing the way of credit card, overdrew the one and half monthsmonthly salariesto be usedto make merry.
这种情况可以理解为生活中的提前消费,就好像老王工作的公司宣布,年终奖会发三个月的月薪作为年终奖,这相当于给了老王一个巨大的利好消息,让老王在十月份提前通过刷信用卡的方式,透支了一个半月的月薪用来吃喝玩乐。Butshortlybythe end of the year, fromsendingyear-end bonusalsooneweek, the higher authorityannouncedsuddenly: This year the company performanceis not good, maycancel the year-end bonus, makingeveryonebe mentally prepared.
可眼看到了年底,距离发年终奖还有一个礼拜,上级忽然宣布:今年公司业绩不好,有可能取消年终奖,让大家做好心理准备。This, benefitting the improvementadvantageempty, to the attack of Old Wangisverybig, ifdid not say that the matter of year-end bonusis good, oneselfwill not overdraw the expenseat least, because justfirsthad the goodnews, credit card that not onlyoneselfoverdrawnot, severalmonthsalsoowes the nextbiginterest.
这一下,利好转利空,对老王的打击是很大的,如果不说年终奖的事儿还好,自己起码不会透支消费,可正因为先有了利好消息,自己不但透支的信用卡没还,几个月的时间还欠下一笔不小的利息。To the eBayinvestor, feelingat this moment is like Old Wang, transfers the advantageto be spatialgoodinstantaneously, mostdirect feedback that the marketcanmakefalls.
对eBay的投资者来说,此刻的感觉和老王是一样的,利好瞬间转利空,市场能做出的最直接反馈就是下跌。Openingfallsthe5% are also only a prelude, afteropeningfalls5%, the eBaystock pricefallswith steady steps, the althoughdeclineis steady, butalsogave the investorto bring a bigpanic.
开盘跌去的这5%还只是一个前奏,在开盘跌掉5%之后,eBay的股价一路稳步下跌,虽然下跌幅度平稳缓慢,但也给投资者带来了不小的恐慌。Nowis worthrejoicing that only, isMuye Science and TechnologyandPayPalhad not declared that to the outsidehas signed the agreement, the advantagehad not determinedspatiallycompletely, the news that onceotherwisesolideBayandPayPaljust missed, the stock pricewill also continueto lower.
现在唯一值得庆幸的,是牧野科技和#还没有对外宣称已经签订协议,利空还没有完全确定,否则一旦坐实了eBay与#失之交臂的消息,股价还会继续下挫。Continuesto takeOld Wangto draw the analogy, is equivalent toOld Wangnot to know that now the companycancancel the year-end bonus, was still having the lastray of hopeat heart: The companymayannouncesuddenly, the year-end bonusprovidesas usual.
继续拿老王来打比方,就相当于老王现在也不知道公司到底会不会取消年终奖,心里仍旧抱着最后一丝希望:公司有可能忽然宣布,年终奖照常发放。Ifwaits tillthe end of the year, the companydetermined that cannot send out the year-end bonus, thatOld Wangmoodwithwill drop the valleyinstantaneously, will also sell at a discountto the loyalty of companygreatly, cannot do wellto celebrate the new year, Old Wangindignantwill resign fromthiswork, to leavethispitcompared with the company, likewise, the eBayinvestor is also same.
如果等到年底,公司确定发不出年终奖,那老王的心情会和瞬间跌落谷底,对公司的忠诚度也会大打折扣,搞不好过完年回来,老王就会愤而辞去这份工作、离开这个坑比公司,同理,eBay的投资者也是一样。Now, the eBaystock priceis falling, butundersellshas not started, ifMuye Science and TechnologyandPayPalhold handssuccessfully, the eBaystockwill certainly also welcomesell-off, by that time, the stock pricewavewill also fallagain.
现在,eBay的股价在下跌,但抛售还没开始,如果牧野科技和#牵手成功,eBay的股票一定还会迎来一阵抛售浪潮,到那个时候,股价还会再有一波下跌。
The advantage that purepurchases the PayPalfailureempty, althoughis not enoughto shake the eBayfoundation, butalsoenoughmadeeBaypay the hugepricein the market value, in the face ofthisprice, as the Meg Whitman'sfirstbad luck of CEO.
单纯一个收购#失败的利空,虽然不足以撼动eBay的根基,但也足够让eBay在市值上付出巨大代价了,在这种代价面前,作为CEO的梅格・惠特曼第一个倒霉。Meg Whitmanfromgetting out of bedreceives the news that eBaystockopeningdrops sharply, somewhatcould not sit stillall of a sudden, PST7o'clock, shegivesallessentialpeopleto telephone, requestingeveryone to rush to the companyina halfhour, holds the emergency meetingto consult.
梅格・惠特曼从起床就收到eBay股票开盘大跌的消息,一下子就有些坐不住了,西部时间七点钟,她就给所有关键人打电话,要求大家务必在半小时内赶到公司,开紧急会议磋商。Meanwhile, Meg Whitmangives back toTom Andersonto telephone, requestshimtodaywithPeterThielmeets, mustmake the explicitprogress, if the belt/bringdoes not return to the news, brings back to the resignation letter.
同时,梅格・惠特曼还给汤姆・安德森打电话,要求他今天跟彼得・蒂尔见面,一定要取得明确的进展,如果带不回好消息,就带回辞职信。Justgets angrywithTom Anderson, Meg Whitmanthenreceived the call that the board of directorschairmenmade, the opposite party'sbehindmost powerfulbigBOSSasentireeBay, In short that the telephoneput throughis: „Meg! Youwhat's the matter? Do youknow,now the entireUS (America)easternmediaare reporting, predictedLi Muis the eBaypowerful enemy, moreoverpredictseBayin the Muye Science and Technologyheavy losses of China! Do not forget, inthatLi MualsoTaobaonetandAlipay, ifwelosePayPal, ifin the futureLi Muwill take and eBaycompetitionTaobao, weespeciallywill be passive!”
刚跟汤姆・安德森发完火,梅格・惠特曼便接到董事局主席打来的电话,对方作为整个eBay背后最有权势的大BOSS,电话接通的第一句话就是:“梅格!你到底是怎么回事?你知不知道,现在整个美国东部的媒体都在报道,预言李牧将是eBay的劲敌,而且预言eBay将被远在华夏的牧野科技重创!你不要忘了,那个李牧手里还有一个淘宝网和一个支付宝,如果我们失去#,将来李牧如果把淘宝拿出来和eBay竞争,我们会格外被动!”althoughLi Muknows,Taobaonetglobalizationin the true sense, difficultsuch asto ascend to heaven, but the US (America)person is extremely worried aboutthis pointas before, because in their opinion, Li Muisoneconstantlycreates the MU Online / miraclemagician, no oneknows that actuallyhisnextmagicisanything.虽然李牧知道,淘宝网真正意义上的全球化,难如登天,但是美国人依旧非常担心这一点,因为在他们看来,李牧就是一个不断创造奇迹的魔术师,谁也不知道他下一个魔术究竟是什么。Therefore, the eBayelasiscould not sit stillall of a sudden, to them, hearsPayPalandMuye Science and Technologywas discussing that news of holding, is equalto hear the fiancee who sonmustelopewith others.
所以,eBay的董事会成员一下子都坐不住了,对他们来说,听到#和牧野科技正在讨论控股的消息,等同于听说儿子的未婚妻要跟其他人私奔。Buttheseelases, candoonly, exerts pressure on Meg Whitman, in any event, mustmakehersnatchPayPal.
而这些董事会成员,唯一能做的,就是给梅格・惠特曼施压,无论如何,都要让她把#抢回来。Meg Whitmanis confused, has not thought that oneselfwere evaluatedworldtop-notchCEOrepeatedly, strongestfemaleCEO, finallywas actually thrown into confusionby a 20-year-oldChinayoungmale student.
梅格・惠特曼心烦意乱,从来没想过,自己多次被评为世界十佳CEO、最强女性CEO,结果却被一个20岁的华夏小男生乱了阵脚。
The powerfulpeoplehave the soft rib, obviously, hersevencuns (2.5 cm)were pinchedbyLi Muin the hand, butsheis unable also to threatentoLi Muinanylevel.
再强大的人都有软肋,显然,她的七寸被李牧捏在了手里,但她偏偏无法在任何层面上同样给李牧以威胁。
The truebalance, iswhenyoutake the spear/gunwithstandsmychest, even ifIcannotwith the spear/gunwithstandyourforehead, at least must withresistyourOld Second the blade.
真正的制衡,是在你拿枪顶住我心口的时候,我即便不能用枪顶住你的额头,至少也要拿把刀抵住你的老二。Meg Whitmanapparentlydoes not havethisopportunity, shecandoonly, perhapsletsChinaEachneteBay, finding the wayto increase a threattoLi Mu.
梅格・惠特曼显然没这个机会,她唯一能做的,恐怕就是让华夏易趣eBay,想办法给李牧增加一点威胁。Howeverthisthoughtjustemittedis less than tenseconds, was given upbyher ownrapidly.
但是这个念头刚冒出不到十秒钟,就被她自己迅速放弃了。Li Muis the Chinainternetindustrybiggestlocal bully, the TaobaopresentscaleisEachneteBaydozenstimescontinues, moreoveris deep the support of Chinagovernmentsandpeople, simplyis the Chinastarenterprise, noware strugglingPayPalwithLi Mu, everyonedoes not have the direct conflict, ifreallycaused the direct conflict, whichEachneteBayinChinais the Taobaoopponent?李牧是华夏互联网行业最大的地头蛇,淘宝现在的规模是易趣eBay的几十倍都不止,而且还深得华夏政府和人民的支持,简直就是华夏的明星企业,现在自己跟李牧都是在争#,大家没有直接冲突,如果真引发了直接冲突,易趣eBay在华夏哪是淘宝的对手?Thinks ofhere, Meg Whitmanis anxiously more agitated.
一想到这里,梅格・惠特曼就更加烦躁不安。Rushes to the companyhurriedly, convenes the core teamto continueto meet, at this timeNASDAQopeninghas crossed for onehour, the stock pricefell, fromopening50.55USD, fell50.01.
匆忙赶到公司,召集核心团队继续开会,此时纳斯达克开盘已经过了一个多小时,股价一路下跌,从开盘的50.55美元,一路跌到了50.01。US (America)persontomost significant digitsensitivefarexceedsanynationality, the US (America)personsells the thing, almost is 199Yuan, or19.99Yuansimilarrepertoire, toreduce the most significant digitas far as possible, lets the consumereasierto accept, 199.9USD, comparing200USDare easierto make the useraccept, becauseuser, whensees1thismost significant digit, classified100Yuanshiftiton the instinctat heart, ifadditional0.1USD, became200, the consumerwhensawthisprice, will classifyitto200Yuanshiftdirectlycomes up.美国人对最高位数字的敏感远超任何一个民族,美国人卖东西,几乎全是199元,或者19.99元类似的套路,就是为了尽可能降低最高位数字,来让消费者更容易接受,199.9美元,相比较200美元更容易让用户接受,因为用户在看到一这个最高位数字的时候,心里就本能把它归类到了100元档位,如果加0.1美元,变为200,那消费者在看到这个价格的时候,会直接将其归类到200元档位上去。Thismentality, is just the oppositeon the stock market, when the stock pricefalls, when a defensivestage of highest ordernumber, will enterto a key point, five of 50.01pricesseveralto the highest order, are in imminent danger, if50important passesfall into enemy handsandenter40shifts, then was too bigtotouching of consumer!
这种心态,在股市上恰恰相反,在股价下跌的时候,每到一个最高位数的防守阶段,都会进入到一个关键点,50.01的价格对最高位数五来说,已经岌岌可危,如果50关口失守、进入40档位的话,那对消费者的触动就太大了!
......
……At this timeYanjingtimealreadytoaround 10 : 00 pm, Li MutonightfirstwithElonMuskhas the dinnertogether, thenmade the driverreturn to the hotelhim, oneselfthenwentinMuye Science and Technologynearbyhome.
此时燕京时间已经到了晚上 10 点多,李牧今晚先是与埃隆・马斯克一起共进晚餐,然后让司机把他送回了酒店,自己便回了牧野科技附近的家中。
After going homeLi Munot to rest, butopenslaptop, the real-time trackingUS stock marketquotation, saweBayopeningfalls5%times, Li Muhas basically been ableto conclude,oneselfthisandeBaybuys stock in the plan of PayPalcertainly to succeedtogether.
回家之后的李牧并没有休息,而是打开笔记本电脑,实时跟踪美股行情,看到eBay开盘下跌5%的时候,李牧基本上已经可以断定,自己这次和eBay一起入股#的计划一定能成功。
The reasondoes not havehim, eBaywill not continueto yield profit the spatialnewsimpactstock price, to knock the investor confidence, nowthereforetheymostneedhas a goodnews, attacks the negative impact that thisadvantagespatialnewsbrings, to look forweight/quantitytenhundreds of millionsUSDgoodnews is too difficulttemporarily, the bestwayis the advantageidle operationforgood.
原因无他,eBay绝不会继续让利空消息冲击股价、动摇投资者信心,所以他们现在最需要的就是有一个利好消息,来冲击这个利空消息带来的负面影响,如果临时想找一个分量十几亿美元的利好消息太难了,最好的办法就是利空转为利好。In other words, eBaymostlongs for that atpurchasing the PayPalmattercan the joy after sorrow.
也就是说,eBay最渴望的,是在收购#的事情上能够柳暗花明。Before long, is inSilicon ValleyPeterThielwill speak face-to-facewitheBayvice-presidentTom Anderson, when the time comesPeterThielwill dish out the solution that oneselfgivein the goodtime, eBaywill certainly not reject, not onlywill not reject, insteadwill be survivor of disasterandbe grateful.
过不了多久,身在硅谷的彼得・蒂尔就会跟eBay的副总裁汤姆・安德森面谈,到时候彼得・蒂尔会在合适的时机抛出自己给出的解决方案,eBay一定不会拒绝,非但不会拒绝,反而会劫后余生、感恩戴德。At present, eBayhastwoadvantagespatialnews: Firsthas the possibilityto missPayPal, secondismanypowerfulandmysteriousCompetitorsMuye Science and Technology, evenis the Muye Science and Technology+Taobaonet.
眼下,eBay有两个利空消息:第一是有可能错失#,第二是多一个强大且神秘的竞争对手-牧野科技,甚至是牧野科技+淘宝网。IfeBayacceptsownproposition, holdingPayPal, thenmisses the PayPaladvantage to recallspatiallythoroughly;
如果eBay接受自己的提议,控股#,那么错失#的利空就能够彻底挽回;Moreover, after eBayacceptsownsuggestion, Muye Science and Technology and Taobaonet, no longerisitscompetitor, insteadchanges the friendfrom the enemy, becomes the partner of samecamp, is an advantageidle operationis good.
而且,eBay接受自己的建议之后,牧野科技、淘宝网,都不再是它的竞争对手,反而从敌人变朋友,成为同一个阵营的合作伙伴,又是一个利空转利好。Twobigadvantagestransferspatiallycompletelygreatlygood, the eBaystock pricewill certainly pull outattractiveVto rebound.
两个大利空全部转为大利好,eBay的股价一定会拉出一个漂亮的V型反弹。Thinks ofhere, Li Mufeltsuddenly,does not seize the chanceto buyhisseveral hundredmore than ten millioneBaystocks, was really owesin a big way.
想到这里,李牧忽然觉得,不趁机买他个几百上千万股eBay股票,实在是亏大了。Howeverthinksagaincarefully, the stock marketabsolutelydoes not have that bigloophole to drill.
不过再仔细想想,股票市场根本就没有那么大的漏洞可钻。InUS stock marketmarket, stock of circulationinsecurities traderandinvestorhand, moreoverUS stock marketmarketanddomesticdifferent, mostinvestorswalk the long-lineinvestment strategy, at this timewantsto buy up the eBaystock, mustlook in the marketto havemanystocks to be for the purchaseat that time, oncethere is a Renminpeninspiration, perhapswill also causemorepeopleto follow uporbe loath to sell something, cannot do well can also dig upto drawseveral hundred thousand.
美股市场中,流通的股票都在券商和投资者手里,而且美股市场和国内不同,大部分投资者走中长线投资策略,这时候想买进eBay的股票,要看当时市场上有多少流通股可供购买,一旦有人大笔吸入,没准还会引起更多人跟进或者惜售,搞不好也就能扒拉个几十万股。Words that gainsseveralUSD, isseveral millionUSDrooms for profits, moreoveroneselfinChina, wantto startto buy the US stock market is also unlikelyimmediately, waitsto toss about the procedure and foreign exchange, could not do well the quotationalsoto pass.
一股赚几美元的话,也就是几百万美元的利润空间,而且自己在华夏,想立刻入手买美股也不太可能,等折腾好手续和外汇,搞不好行情也过去了。ThereforeLi Mugave upcopying the plan of eBaystockconveniently, thinks that the Wei LanparentsinUS (America), canmake her parentsfollowinginside informationslightlygainoneactually, thereforethenpulled out the cell phone, hittoWei Lan......
于是李牧放弃了顺手抄抄eBay股票的计划,想到蔚澜的父母在美国,倒是可以让她爸妈跟着内部消息小赚一笔,于是便掏出手机,给蔚澜打了过去……
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