PI :: Volume #2

#198: Academic analysis


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( On a chapter of number about fire cloud needle slightly has modification, simultaneously can refine five, otherwise Mr. Gu ****......) (上章关于火云针的数字略有改动,同时能炼制五根,不然顾先生得****……) Population migration is a very important social change, from ancient to present is so. In the ancient society, the factors of migration were the natural disaster, chaos caused by war and immigrant supporting the borders. “人口迁移是一项非常重要的社会变动,从古至今皆是如此。在古代社会,迁移的因素多为自然灾害、战乱和移民支边。 The Qin and Han Dynasty not to mention, first said the Southern and Northern Dynasties, in the 1-2-century turmoil, the population of north Namtu achieved over 1 million, occupied the northern original registered permanent address 1 / 7, laid the foundation for the economical and population focus shift from north to south. 秦汉暂且不说,先说南北朝时期,在长达一两个世纪的动乱中,北方南渡的人口达到百万以上,占北方原有户口的1/7,为经济和人口重心自北向南的转移奠定了基础。 Then is An Shi Rebellion, the so-called world clothes gentleman is multitudious, evades Eastern Wu, Yongjia moves to the south, not abundant in this. This moving to the south tide has continued Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms, causing the southern population to go to the situation of the north sharing half and half for the first time. 然后是安史之乱,所谓天下衣冠士庶,避地东吴,永嘉南迁,未盛于此。这次南迁大潮一直持续到五代十国,导致南方的人口第一次达到了与北方平分秋色的地步。 The third time was beginning of Ming dynasty, at that time the Central Plain thick patch of grass, the person was scarce. In order to alleviate this situation, near the opening up territory health/guard need, Ming Dynasty started the organization large-scale population to migrate in addition. In Great Wall sets up near nine, east from Liaoning left, north to declares big, west to Longxi, south completely Yunnan Shu, in Jiaozhi, north and south the principle river, causes the population balance extremely finally. 第三次是明初,当时中原草莽,人丁稀少。为缓解这种情况,加上开疆卫边的需要,明朝开始组织大规模的人口迁移。在长城一线设立九边,东自辽左,北抵宣大,西至陇西,南尽滇蜀,极于交趾,中原则大河南北,最终使得人口平衡。 The fourth time, is the outside the passes immigrant. The downstream of Yellow River area suffers a natural disaster in successive years, tens of thousands of farmers flow outside the passes, in more than 100 years, until the founding of the nation on the eve , the outside the passes population achieved 60 million. In the Xia Country entire migration history, is intensity biggest one time. ” 第四次,便是关外移民。黄河下游地区连年遭灾,成千上万的农民流入关外,在一百多年间,直到建国前夕,关外人口达到了六千万。在夏国整个迁移史上,都是强度最大的一次。” The words saying the ebony city for these days, in meeting of night and day. 话说乌木市这几天,都在连轴转的开会。 Today, is also so convening very special course a time. Present has dozens, is the senior official in each big province, the old man who that wears the eyeglasses is also one of them. 今天也如此,正召开着一次很特殊的讲座。在座的有数十位,都是各个大省的高级官员,那位戴眼镜的老者也在其中。 On stage, is a gray-haired professor, is explaining to the gigantic display monitor: 台上,则是一位头发花白的教授,正对着硕大的显示屏讲解: „ After that founding of the nation, the influence of the natural condition and war is getting more and more low, the policy and economic agent increase unceasingly. This everyone should be very clear, I do not relate in detail. First, from rural area to city ; Second, from inland to coastal city and industry and mining area ; Third, West Development. “那建国之后,自然条件和战争的影响越来越低,政策和经济因素不断增大。这个大家应该很清楚,我就不细说了。一是从农村到城市;二是从内地到沿海城市和工矿地区;三是西部大开发。 What meanings did I speak these? To a certain extent, the population migration is politics, economy, natural environment and other change of the determining factors. Had migration, had our present developed urban cluster, the economic center and backward area...... ” 我讲这些什么意思呢?从某种程度上,人口迁移是政治、经济、自然环境等变化的决定性因素。有了一次次的迁移,才有了我们现在的发达城市群、经济中心和落后地区……” The professor spoke for quite a while, stops to drink water, is mute the throat saying: 教授讲了半天,停下来喝了口水,哑着嗓子道: That now, before we as if return, returned to decide by the disaster time that human migrated. The entire western frontier province, the total population 24.67 million, the hot continent accounted for about 3%, are not seemingly many, but we concretely analyze. And the male 370,000, the female 350,000, have 190,000 under 18 years old, 18 to 35 years old, only then 170,000, have 240,000 35-60-year-old, remaining is over 60 years old. “那现在,我们似乎又回到了以前,回到了由天灾决定人类迁移的时代。就说整个西陲省,总人口2467万,火洲占了3%左右,貌似不多,但我们具体分析一下。其中男性37万,女性35万,18岁以下的有19万,18到35岁的只有17万,35-60岁的有24万,剩下的都是60岁以上。 In these people, years disposable income over 100,000 Yuan, but also less than 10%. 这些人中,年可支配收入在10万元以上的,还不足10%。 The minor and senior citizen's burden is quite heavy, they are unable to work, cannot have the value, disadvantaged group that needs the benefits resources protection. But occupies the middle-aged community of maximum proportion, their life, work and thought are very stable, making them be forced to leave native place, makes a fresh start to a new environment. I felt, has considerable many people not to adapt , some crowds, are the potential safety dangers. 未成年人和老年人的负担颇重,他们都是无法工作,不能产生价值,需要福利资源保障的弱势人群。而占据最大比重的中年群体,他们的生活、工作、思想都很稳定,让他们背井离乡,到一个新环境去重新开始。我个人觉得,有相当多的人不会适应,也正是这部分人群,是潜在的安全隐患。 The young adults who therefore , can deliver the value truly, only have 170,000. 所以说,真正能产出价值的青壮年,只有17万。 But these people move each region, the education, employment, retirement, medical service, housing wait/etc., will break the inherent system of original city, even causes the burden. 而这些人迁到各地,教育、就业、养老、医疗、住房等等,都将打破原城市的固有体系,甚至造成负担。 We consider that now, how is 700,000 people to assign, can stay the steady-state as far as possible. 我们现在考虑的,就是70万人如何分配,能尽量保持平稳状态。 azure Ning Sheng, 6 million population ; The Tang antique province, 4 million population, Longxi and Outer Mongolia surpassed 20 million. First both vast territory with a sparse population, but the employment opportunity are also few, the security system is more imperfect. Moreover don't forget, these two provinces were the primitive landforms, the plateau-glacier, was environmentally harsh, within the boundaries also had Kunlun Mountain! ” 青宁省,6百万人口;唐古特省,4百万人口,陇西和漠北都超过了两千万。前两者地广人稀,但就业机会也少,保障制度更不完善。而且别忘了,这两省都是原始地貌,高原冰川,环境恶劣,境内还有座昆仑山!” ! 咝! These three character, everyone shakes. 这三个字一出,所有人都是一震。 The present rule is, the mountains rivers and streams are easy. Since Phoenix Mountain this grade of provincial level scenic spot, can turn into the node, that is ancestors' of ten thousand mountain Kunlun Mountains, what who meets probably. 现在的规律就是,山川江河易反常。既然凤凰山这等省级名胜,都能变成节点,那尊为万山之祖的昆仑,谁也保不齐会啥样。 Topography of Longxi and Outer Mongolia slightly slow, but also has Qilian and Yin Mountains for heavy. The industries of these two provinces are short, swamps into a large number of people instantaneously, I thought that the acceptance is limited. “陇西和漠北的地势稍缓,但也有祁连山和阴山为重。这两省的产业欠缺,瞬间涌入大量人口,我觉得接受能力有限。 Therefore we decided, azure peaceful and Tang did not consider antiquely, Longxi and Outer Mongolia can a few migration, majority must move to the Central Plain center. ” 所以我们才决定,青宁、唐古特不做考虑,陇西和漠北可以少数迁移,大部分还是要迁至中原腹地。” „......” “……” In room completely silent, even if they were clear affect and influence that this matter brings, but listens to an expert analysis, sad Cui felt turned several times instantaneously. 屋内鸦雀无声,他们纵然清楚此事带来的波及和影响,但听专家一剖析,悲摧感瞬间翻了数倍。 This has not ended, senior professor is also very excited, said: 这还没完,老教授的情绪也很激动,道: I made an estimate sketchily, if the hot continent becomes the deathtrap, how many things we will lose? “我粗略做了一个估算,如果火洲成为死地,我们会损失多少东西? First is 565.1 billion tons coal, 350 million tons iron, 161 million tons copper, 26,575,200 tons gold/metal, 180 million tons soda nitrate, 76 million tons water chestnut magnesium, 20,404,360 tons mirabilite...... as well as 100,000 mu farming, 350,000 mu cotton, 500,000 mu grape, every year 50,000 tons meats, 30,000 tons milk product...... ” 首先是5651亿吨的煤,3.5亿吨的铁,1.61亿吨的铜,2657.52万吨的金,还有1.8亿吨的钠硝石,7600万吨的菱镁,2040.436万吨的芒硝……以及10万亩的耕地,35万亩的棉花,50万亩的葡萄,每年5万吨的肉类,3万吨的奶制品……” He one after another sent out 17 mineral resources and 12 agricultural product resources, continued saying: Also! If that so-called hot spiritual energy spreads to Schallsee, Aydingkol Lake and Qiktim, these regions containing a lot of shallow layer coal fields. Not only that is the issue of destruction, once the coal field combustion, I, I am really hard to imagine that scene.” 他一连串报出十七种矿物资源和十二种农产品资源,继续道:“还有!如果那所谓的火灵气扩散到沙尔湖、艾丁湖、七克台一带,这几片区域含有大量的浅层煤田。那就不仅是破坏的问题,一旦煤田燃烧,我,我真的难以想象那种情景。” „......” “……” A piece silent, his sound suddenly somewhat dry, the intonation also sank, said slowly: 一片寂静中,他的声音忽然有些干涩,语调也沉了下来,缓缓道: I from the beginning of the year, am studying «New Climate change And the New Social relations» proposition. Take Mt. Tianzhu for instance, the Heaven Gate town/subdues has 80,000 population, by scenic area to live mostly. But after closing off a mountain area, the population large scale outflow, the present resident only has 50,000, young is not much left. “我从年初开始,就在研究《新环境变化与新社会关系》的命题。以天柱山为例,天门镇有八万人口,大部分靠景区为生。但封山之后,人口大幅度流失,如今的常住居民只有五万,青壮所剩无几。 Before, they must provide the service for over a million tourists, now actually falls 1000 people. The Heaven Gate town/subdues from place villages of comprehensive industrial service, has dropped only to provide the basic livelihood safeguard the small village...... ” 以前,他们要为上百万的游客提供服务,现在却降到了一千人。天门镇已经从一个综合性产业服务的地方乡镇,下降到了只能提供基本生活保障的小村庄……” The senior professor of noble character and high prestige, was received by the officer repeatedly, the speech does not fear, said directly: „ Here, I requested earnestly the government to attach great importance, this absolutely was an emerging division/discipline that was worth developing and promote, the personnel training was urgent. 老教授德高望重,受过多次首长接见,说话也不怵,直接道:“借此机会,我恳请政府重视,这绝对是一门值得发展和推广的新兴学科,人才培养刻不容缓。 Finally, I put forward a proposal: 最后,我个人提出一点建议: The government must establish one set reasonably effective, rescuing and immigration that mechanism can follow for a long time, must prepare long-enduring large-scale population migration activity. This general direction, should be centralized toward the urban cluster, is centralized toward the down country, as far as possible far away from special landform area. Especially the northwest and southwest border, Nanshan District, the population of north mountainous area, may drain seriously! ” 政府要建立起一套合理有效的,可以长期遵行的救护和移民机制,要做好持续性的大规模人口迁移活动的准备。这个大概方向,应该是往城市群集中,往平原地带集中,尽量远离特殊地貌区。尤其是西北、西南边境,中南山区,北方山区的人口,可能会严重流失!” „......” “……” The senior professor words fell, swept people, tidied up the material, must be out. 老教授话落,扫了眼众人,收拾收拾资料,就要下场。 That leader sets out immediately, shakes the hand of opposite party to welcome personally, asking him to take a seat. Afterward, he has not come to power, turns around to face everyone, said: 那位领导立马起身,握着对方的手亲自迎过来,请其就座。随后,他也没上台,就转身面对大家,道: Professor Li's suggestion is valuable, we will concentrate to study. I add a point again, the current these issues, are the workable issue. Once we could not operate, needed so-called what cultivator to solve, moreover was cultivator of mass, we will definitely be beset with problems. “李教授的建议极具价值,我们会集中研究。我再补充一点,目前的这些问题,都属于可操作的问题。那一旦我们操作不了,需要所谓的什么修士来解决,而且是大批量的修士,我们必然会捉襟见肘。 Therefore after you go back, besides resettlement, but must pay attention to and support the local Daoist temple closely, develops to recruit the activity of disciple. The Mt. Tianzhu that side is the first batch, now what we must train is the second batch, the third batch, and even have done! 所以你们回去之后,除了移民工作之外,还要密切留意、支持当地宫观,多开展招收弟子的活动。天柱山那边是第一批,我们现在要培养的是第二批,第三批,乃至一直做下去! Ok, breaks up! ” 好了,散会!”
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