MOTGAR :: Volume #17

#1698: Strategic planning( three / five)


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Looks over the development of the human race history, the economy has constantly been changing . Moreover the process of change is very fierce. 纵观人类发展历史,经济一直在不断变化,而且变化过程还很厉害。 After modern society, the evolution is more rapid, why this is no economist, can estimate the future reason accurately, the economist cannot, Han Xuan unable similarly. 进入现代社会后,演变更加迅速,这就是为什么没有哪位经济学家,能够准确预计出将来的原因,经济学家不能,韩宣同样也不能。 He only knows in the next 15 years the matter, with the arrival of Han Xuan, but also coursed another development path this world, for these years clear discovery, before conducting business decision time not, was easy. 他只知道未来15年内发生的事情,随着韩宣的到来,还将这个世界引向了另外一种发展轨迹,这几年来清楚发现,进行商业决策时候没之前容易了。 A few years ago the Mexican economic crisis, the avalanche process and previous generation time differed not in a big way, however to the copper number crisis and Southeast financial crisis, and present forthcoming Internet bubble crisis, the process and time had had very big change with the previous generation. 前些年墨西哥经济危机,崩塌过程和前世时候相差不大,然而到了铜价危机、东南亚金融危机、以及如今即将到来的互联网泡沫危机,过程与时间已经和前世产生了非常大的改变。 This world from the Han Xuan birth, took another path on that day, as the influence increases now, the effect on this world is also increasing, because cannot see clearly the future, therefore before making the decision, must carefully study very for a long time. 这个世界从韩宣出生那天起,就走上了另外一条道路,随着如今影响力增大,对这个世界的影响也在加大,由于看不清未来,所以做决定之前都要仔细研究挺久。 What factor the mutual influence, is without absolute rise and fall theory. 什么因素都在互相影响,不存在绝对的兴衰论。 The Internet economy since the day of the birth, has been said is the bubble, was inferior that the real economy is reliable, the result is different from experts' speculation, just like the Huaxia real estate market, daily write off actually rises every month, this is the reality. 互联网经济自打出生那天,就一直被说是泡沫,不如实体经济可靠,结果不同于专家们的猜测,跟华夏的楼市一样,天天唱衰却月月上涨,这才是现实。 Once had the overseas economic expert, the appraisal said that with the scale growing Internet market increased unceasingly, sooner or later will create the fearful scene that significant unemployment and economies slid to Huaxia. 曾经有国外经济学专家,评价说随着规模日益庞大的互联网市场不断增加,早晚有一天会在华夏造成大量失业、经济下滑的可怕场景。 Initially Han Xuan was shortsighted, experience were also few, thought that these negative opinion as if very reasonable appearances, recall now again, actually snorted contemptuously. 当初韩宣目光短浅、见识也少,觉得那些负面言论似乎很有道理的样子,现在再次回想起来,却对此嗤之以鼻。 From the unemployment problem analysis business, its constitution from making the link transits to the consumer hand. 从宏观角度分析商业,它的构成是从生产环节过渡到消费者手中。 The retail is undertaking middle man role, but this role can definitely replace by the network commercial city, reduced many completely unnecessary expenditure, this affected those with vested interests of these operation retails, triggered their reactions. 零售行业承担着“中间商”角色,而这个角色完全可以由网络商城代替,减少了许多完全不必要的开支,这就影响到了那些经营零售行业的既得利益者们,引起他们的反弹。 But is responsible for producing the producers of link, simply does not have too to lose, as instead the selling price reduces, can sell more products, increases part of originally by the profit that the retailer takes away. 而负责生产环节的生产商们,根本没有太多损失,反而随着售价降低,能够售出更多的产品,增加一部分原本被零售商拿走的利润。 Will discover, simplifies the entity retail middle man link, most helps the approach of consumer and producer...... 从中会发现,减少实体零售中间商环节,才是最有利于消费者和生产商的做法…… The money in consumers hand were many, can spend to other places, promoting other industries to emerge, with emerging of Internet sales, can increase the innumerable employment posts including the transportation, distribution and production link, the traditional business model truly therefore had the change, but destroys economy the viewpoint is completely nonsensical talk. 消费者们手中的钱多了,会花到其他地方去,促进其他产业兴起,随着互联网销售行业的兴起,包括运输、配送、生产环节都会增加无数就业岗位,传统商业模式确实因此产生了变化,但“摧毁经济”的观点完全是无稽之谈。 If retail business in the future one naive was seriously attacked, can only say that it could not have kept up with the time to change, but cannot keep up with the time, will be doomed to be eliminated. 零售商业假如在未来某一天真的被严重冲击,只能说它已经跟不上时代变化了,而跟不上时代,注定会被淘汰。 Let alone the entity retail, is impossible completely to be destroyed by the virtual retail, the person will not treat forever at home, must always go out, some industries do not have the means to be replaced by the network commercial city completely. 何况实体零售行业,不可能完全被虚拟零售行业摧毁,人不会永远待在家里,总是要出门的,有些行业没办法被网络商城完全代替。 Initially various types of modernized machines entered the factory time, people are also worried therefore to lose the job, the fact showed that the new technology and new machine replace a work of person at the same time, created more posts, the network commercial city similarly is also so. 当初各种现代化机器进入工厂时候,人们也担心会因此失去工作机会,事实证明,新技术、新机器取代一部人的工作的同时,也创造了更多的岗位,网络商城同样也是如此。 Has the complex transaction algorithm of machine learning, easily replaced these market pricing dependence high elite dealers, causing financial circle many people unemployed, the development of human science and technology, will replace many traditional business inevitably, cannot, because wants to maintain the present situation, tries to prevent the history to proceed to develop. 具备机器学习能力的复杂交易算法,轻松取代了那些市场定价依赖性较高的精英交易员,导致金融圈许多人失业,人类科技的发展,势必会代替掉许多传统行业,不能因为想要维持现状,就试图阻止历史往前发展。 The dealers in bank, the shop owner in retail store, their failure are in the social forward developing process, inevitable labor pain. 无论是银行的交易员、还是零售商店的店主,他们的失败都属于社会向前发展过程中,不可避免的阵痛。 Han Xuan tries to bribe that Nobel Prize in Economics winner, to let the BuyFun network commercial city wins enough development time, the previous generation eBayC2C pattern can grow smoothly, was not equal to that BuyFun , the primary cause was Han Xuan oneself was too famous, every action and every movement were being paid attention. 韩宣之所以试图买通那位诺贝尔经济学奖得主,是为了让BuyFun网络商城争取到足够的发展时间,前世eBayC2C模式能够顺利成长起来,不等于BuyFun也可以,主要原因是韩宣本人实在太出名了,一举一动都被人们关注着。 In October that paper was published the time, 十月份那篇论文被刊登出来时候, Caused all countries in the world economic experts imposing big discussion, this proves his huge influence sufficiently. Now over a million shop shop owners support, was took root smoothly, moreover was the large-scale Internet bubble crisis, can win a long time the opportunity for its development. 引发了世界各国经济学专家们轰轰烈烈的大讨论,这足以证明他的庞大影响力。现在有上百万网店店主撑腰,算是顺利扎根了下来,而且接下来就是规模庞大的互联网泡沫危机,能够为它的发展赢得很长一段时间机遇。 In the conception of Han Xuan, BF the scale will even surpass Gossip in the future, establishes to cover the network commercial city in the world, part of entity sale industries, admits in the middle of the virtual world, becomes the world's first three big economies, by some future one day, will completely change the revolution way of human society! 韩宣的构想中,BF未来规模甚至会超过Gossip,建立成覆盖全球的网络商城,将一部分实体销售产业,放进虚拟世界当中,变为世界前三大经济体,直到在未来某一天,彻底改变人类社会的运转方式! He when University of Cambridge studies, thinks that this idea, without the means that the small scale business, could not have satisfied his spiritual pursuit. 他是在剑桥大学读书期间,才想到这个主意,没办法,小打小闹的生意,已经满足不了他的精神追求。 Payment software PayPal is expanding toward the entire world, surpasses 40 million, Han Xuan does not satisfy its existing function, relatively speaking, the operational mode of previous generation Alipay makes him satisfy. But because of the historical limitation, now is also not the good time that it is born, in the snowy mountain four tower software development work rooms, has presented its original form, BuyFun takes the lead to enter a total of 22 countries, now only starts. 支付软件PayPal正在往全世界扩张,用户人数超过四千万,韩宣并不满足于它现有的功能,相对而言,前世支付宝的运作方式更让他满意。可是因为历史局限性,现在还不是它诞生的好时候,在雪山四塔软件开发工作室里,已经出现它的原形,BuyFun则率先进入了总共二十二个国家,如今才刚刚起步。 Huaxia is also one of the that 22 countries, the situation is quite special, Boss horse caught the bandwagon very much luck. 华夏也是那二十二个国家之一,情况比较特殊,马老板很幸运地搭上了顺风车。 His Alibaba obtains Hope group 20 million US dollars capital, the stock was diluted to 10%, is actually glad very happily, because after this capital, he tied up with the Han Xuan benefit again in one. 他的阿里巴巴获得Hope集团两千万美元注资,股份被稀释到百分之十,却乐得美滋滋的,因为在这次注资之后,他再次和韩宣的利益绑在了一起。 This fellow stares at Gossip is not being a day two days, if regardless the Han Xuan individual farming, he has no confidence completely, might as well be safe with the Hope group cooperation. 这家伙盯着Gossip已经不是一天两天,如果抛开韩宣自己单干,他完全没有任何信心可言,不如和Hope集团合作稳妥。 This is asset far ultra Huaxia foreign exchange reserves about seven times of large multinational companies! Overall scale already over 1 trillion US dollars! 要知道,这可是一家资产远超华夏外汇储备近七倍的大型跨国公司!整体规模早就超过万亿美元! Now the Hope group only then Charlie executive officer, knows that Han Xuan to this company future conception, the Anthony executive officer also knows, the initial period uses 300 million US dollars quietly, making BuyFun take root to other countries, purchases more than 20 independent databases, forms the suitable local characteristics C2C online shopping platform. 如今Hope集团只有老查利执行官,知道韩宣对这家公司未来的构想,安东尼执行官也知道,初期悄悄动用三亿美元,让BuyFun扎根到其他国家,购买二十多座独立数据库,组建适合当地特色的C2C网络购物平台。 The seed has broadcast, this is Han Xuan regardless an attempt of previous generation experience...... 种子已经播下,这是韩宣抛开前世经验的一次尝试…… Just the issue of Hernan steward, brought back his recollection, the corners of the mouth rose at this moment slightly, show the smile to deceive the senior steward saying: „ Not, people like going shopping in the shop. 刚刚老艾尔纳管家的问题,勾起了他的回忆,此时此刻嘴角微微上扬,露出笑容糊弄老管家说:“不会的,人们更喜欢在店里买东西。 In the future some day, may have such situation, but is not in the short more than ten 20 years can happen. 未来某一天,可能会出现那样的情况,但绝不是短短十几二十年内能够发生。 Anya, how do we race horses? 安雅,我们赛马怎么样? Looked that who first arrives at Secretary Dawson the family/home, walks from nearby lawn...... ” 看谁先到达道森秘书家,从旁边的草地上走……” Please remember this book first round domain name:. Read the cell phone version reading website: 请记住本书首发域名:。都来读手机版阅读网址:
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