In the evening, Russian Empire embassy in Vienna is brilliantly illuminated, often the intermittent musical sound spreads, in this is conducting a diplomatic cocktail party without a doubt. 傍晚,俄罗斯帝国驻维也纳使馆灯火通明,不时还有阵阵音乐声传出,毫无疑问这里面正在进行一场外交酒会。 The participated person is not many, the banquet organizer only invited with the Tsar government relations good country envoy, and part in the Tsarist Russia aristocrat who Austria benefits. 参加的人不是很多,宴会举办方只邀请了同沙皇政府关系较好的国家使节,以及部分在奥地利的沙俄贵族。 This diplomatic cocktail party, almost will conduct every month one time, a little also common., Austria benefitted foreign minister Wessenberg personally to attend the banquet it is noteworthy only. 这种外交酒会,几乎每个月都会进行一次,一点儿也不起眼。唯一值得关注的是,奥地利外交大臣韦森贝格亲自参加了宴会。 Bursts before suddenly Austria Union, Wessenberg appears is not here strange. Now is but different, suddenly Austria relations start to become estranged, Wessenberg appeared here thought-provoking. 在俄奥同盟破裂前,韦森贝格出现在这里不奇怪。可是现在不一样了,俄奥关系开始疏远,韦森贝格出现在这里就要令人深思了。 ...... …… Tittered a sound, Wessenberg could not bear the liquor water in mouth puffs out. Opened the eye, is staring at Russia Minister Alexander Nicola Gewitsch Hull: „Your excellency, determined that hasn't cracked a joke?” 噗嗤一声响,韦森贝格忍不住将口中的酒水喷了出去。睁大了眼睛,凝视着俄国公使亚历山大・尼克拉叶维奇・赫尔:“阁下,确定没有开玩笑？” Nicola Gewitsch's earnest nod, reply of handling with care: „No!” 尼克拉叶维奇认真的点了点头,慎重其事的回答道:“没有！” Said does not evade and Wessenberg looked at each other. 说完毫不避讳的和韦森贝格对视了起来。 After stopping instantly the time, the Wessenberg direct rejection said: „This is impossible!” 停顿了刹那功夫后,韦森贝格直接拒绝道:“这不可能！” „The financial revenue of your country how many? 500 million aegises have gone far beyond the debt bearing capacity of your government, do not forget your country also to have large debts not to pay off.” “贵国的财政收入才多少？5亿神盾已经远远超过了贵国政府的债务承受能力,不要忘了贵国还有大量的债务没有偿清。” Two people talked in corner luckily, no one was not tactful to disturb, otherwise the audience must be shocked. 幸好两人在角落里谈话,没有人不识趣过来打扰,要不然全场都要轰动了。 „500 million aegises” this is not a small number, equivalent to pound 250 million, about golden 1830 tons, compared to UK , France Austria three countries one year of financial revenue sum totals. “5亿神盾”这可不是一笔小数字,折合英镑2.5亿,约合黄金1830吨,相对于英法奥三国一年的财政收入总和。 The loan, do not say the present, even suddenly Austria Union honeymoon, Austria benefits has not provided such great sum of money to the Russia person. 借款,不要说现在,即便是俄奥同盟蜜月期,奥地利都没有向俄国人提供过如此的巨款。 Naturally, this is not early period of the Tsar government does not want to borrow, was mainly a few years ago Austria benefits is not wealthy. Although is the established empire background is deep, Austria benefits increases the family fortunes truly also on the recent years. 当然,这不是沙皇政府前期没想借,主要是前些年奥地利也不富裕。尽管是老牌帝国底蕴深厚,奥地利真正发家也就最近几年。 The accumulation of capital also requires the time, even becomes the world's largest economy, Austria benefits the accumulation of capital of financial circle is very limited. 资本积累也是需要时间的,即便是成为了世界第一大经济体,奥地利金融界的资本积累还是很有限。 Now soon catches up with France, has very long distance from England. To put it bluntly, what the Austria advantage increases the family fortunes to depend is the industry, rather than finance. 现在快要赶上法兰西了,距离英格兰还有很长一段距离。说白了,奥地利发家靠的是工业,而不是金融。 500 million aegises with, the issue are not to take, in the Austria benefit for the nation must be short of money. 5亿神盾不是拿不出来,问题是拿出来过后,奥地利国内就要缺钱了。 Do not say that Austria benefits, even the capital wealthiest Britain, making them put out this great sum of money one time, similarly will affect the entire money market. 不要说奥地利,即便是资本最富裕的不列颠,让他们一次性拿出这笔巨款,同样会影响整个金融市场。 The wealth and cash are two concepts, the disparity between wealth and floating capital on paper surface, is the far apart as heaven and earth. 财富和现金是两个概念,纸面上的财富和流动资金之间的差距,更是天渊之别。 Naturally, this is only need take immediately difficultly. If there is an enough time, the UK , France Austria three countries are capable of raising this fund. 当然,这只是马上要拿出来困难。如果有足够的时间,英法奥三国都有能力筹集出这笔资金。 Refers to the Franco-Prussian War to know, the French loses 20 billion francs in the war( about 1.6 billion aegises), pays compensation after the war 5 billion francs( about 400 million aegises), in the short 3 years paid in full. 参考普法战争就知道,法国人在战争中损失200亿法郎(约合16亿神盾),战后又赔款50亿法郎(约合4亿神盾),短短三年内就付清了。 Wessenberg flatly refuses, does not raise the condition, what is most essential is the Tsar government does not have the prestige, now lends the Russia person, is the meat dumpling beats a dog- has not to return. 韦森贝格一口拒绝,连条件都不提,最关键的还是沙皇政府没有信誉,现在借钱给俄国人,就是肉包子打狗-有去无回。 Russia Minister Nicola Gewitsch is without turning a hair saying: „Minister, this time we have the sincerity. The loan interest, we are willing by the monthly interest 0.5 computation, this income......” 俄国公使尼克拉叶维奇面不改色道:“大臣阁下,这次我们非常有诚意。借款利息,我们愿意按照月息0.5计算,这笔收益……” Wessenberg hits to block the way directly: „ With all due respect, with the credibility of your government, does not have any bank dares to lend you. 韦森贝格直接打断道:“恕我直言,以贵国政府的信誉,没有任何一家银行敢借钱给你们。 Do not say the monthly interest 5/1000, even the daily interest 5/1000 are still the same. Loan that is doomed unable to collect, who dares to put? ” 不要说月息千分之五,就算是日息千分之五也一样。注定收不回来的贷款,谁敢放？” According to the convention of this age international loan, must first deduct the handling charge, the remittance fee/spent and load insurance premium, as well as one year of principal and interest and loans again, 5/1000 monthly interest are truly favorable, has a series of supplemental conditions let alone. 按照这个年代国际贷款的惯例,要先扣除手续费、汇兑费、担保费、以及一年本息和再放款,千分之五的月息确实非常优厚,更何况还有一系列的附加条件。 Thousand good good, cannot be as good as one „prestige difference”. The income is high, must come back money Shou, is the income. 千般好万般好,都抵不上一句“信誉差”。收益再高,也必须要把钱收回来了,才是收益。 Nicola Gewitsch quickly explained: „We can provide the material object mortgage, if unable the later period to fulfill the debt, your country can detain the collateral directly.” 尼克拉叶维奇急忙解释道:“我们可以提供实物抵押,如果无法后期履行债务,贵国可以直接扣留抵押品。” Wessenberg looked at Nicola Gewitsch one eyes, tone ice-cold saying: „ If your country can make the mortgage with the gold, naturally does not have the issue. 韦森贝格看了尼克拉叶维奇一眼,语气冰冷的说道:“如果贵国能够用黄金做抵押,自然没有问题。 Do not say 500 million aegises, even 1 billion aegises, I can take responsibility to lend you, even can also relieve your interest. ” 不要说5亿神盾,即便是10亿神盾,我都可以做主借给你们,甚至还可以免掉你们的利息。” A Nicola Gewitsch brow wrinkle, in the heart sends secretly painstakingly. If some so many gold make the mortgage, the Tsar government has started the money printing machine. 尼克拉叶维奇眉头一皱,心中暗自发苦。要是有那么多黄金做抵押,沙皇政府早就开动印钞机了。 The gold standard time, the gold is the wealth. Acts as the standard gold/metal release currency, treats as the currency use directly, does not have the issue. 金本位时代,黄金就是财富。无论是充当本位金发行货币,还是直接当做货币使用,都没有问题。 „Your excellency, this joke is not funny. If we have so many gold, why can loan?” “阁下,这个玩笑一点儿也不好笑。如果我们有这么多黄金的话,何必要贷款呢？” This is the fact, 500 million aegises about 1830 tons gold. Besides British Austria both countries, does not have the third country again, some so many gold reserves. 这是事实,5亿神盾约合1830吨黄金。除了英奥两国外,再也没有第三个国家,有这么多黄金储备了。 Folk does not calculate. If calculates the folk gold, then India and Far East empire, surpassed this digit. 民间的不算。如果计算上民间的黄金,那么印度和远东帝国,都超过了这个数字。 Nicola Gewitsch's words reminded Wessenberg, in the Tsar government hand also had an amount big gold. 尼克拉叶维奇的话提醒了韦森贝格,沙皇政府手中还有一笔数额不小的黄金。 „ Minister, was too modest. As far as I know, your country is the golden exporter, how possibly to lack the gold? “公使阁下,太谦虚了。据我所知,贵国一直都是黄金出口国,怎么可能缺黄金呢？ Is inferior to this, your government stores Austria Libyan State Bank the release ruble standard gold/metal, makes the guarantee with this gold. 不如这样,贵国政府把发行卢布的本位金存入奥地利国家银行,用这笔黄金做担保。 Looks in the two countries friendship share, I can take responsibility to you relieve the interest. Your government can not need to pay any price, obtains a great sum of money to use. ” 看在两国友谊的份儿上,我可以做主给你们免掉利息。贵国政府可以不用付出任何代价,就获得一笔巨款使用。” „Golden exporter”, this is not the Tsar government wants. Even the Russian Empire gold production is not low, is the demand is still big! “黄金出口国”,这不是沙皇政府想要的。即便是俄罗斯帝国黄金产量不低,可是需求量也大啊！ Because of the relations of prestige, the ruble besides circulates internally, in the international settlement no one is convinced, having no recourse the Tsar government can only use the foreign exchange or is the gold settles accounts. 因为信誉的关系,卢布除了在国内流通外,国际结算中根本就没人买账,迫不得已沙皇政府只能使用外汇或者是黄金进行结算。 In order to advance the industrialization, Russian Empire imports the mechanical device in recent years wantonly, to subside the trade deficit, the Tsar government has to fill the pit with the gold. 为了推进工业化,最近几年俄罗斯帝国大肆进口机械设备,为了平息贸易逆差,沙皇政府不得不拿黄金填坑。 Wessenberg makes the Tsar government store Austria Libyan State Bank the gold, naturally does not consider for the Russia person, assembles a fund. 韦森贝格让沙皇政府把黄金存入奥地利国家银行,自然不是替俄国人着想,多调集一笔资金。 Putting out the gold is easy, only needs the decision of Tsar government. To redeem the gold? This is a joke. 拿出黄金容易,只需要沙皇政府的一个决策。想要赎回黄金？这就是一个笑话。 The Tsar government lends money now, to raise war funds. So long as the Prussia war starts, these money will consume quickly in the war. 沙皇政府现在借钱,就是为了筹集战争经费。只要普俄战争打响,这些钱很快就会在战争中消耗掉。 Even won the war, in future a long time, the Tsar government has not redeemed the golden the fund. 即便是赢得了战争,在未来很长一段时间内,沙皇政府都没有赎回黄金的资金。 Has not to return, this was dangerous. It seems like obtained a great sum of money to use using the financial measure, seemed like gains, in fact this completely established in the suddenly Austria relations continuously friendly situation. 有去无回,这就危险了。看似利用金融手段获得一笔巨款使用,似乎是赚到了,实际上这完全是建立在俄奥关系一直友好的情况下。 If by some chance which day of both countries get angry, the Vienna government these gold swallowing, the ruble turned into the scrap paper instantaneously. 万一哪天两国翻了脸,维也纳政府把这些黄金给吞下了,卢布瞬间就变成了废纸。 To be clear after risk, Nicola Gewitsch declines to say immediately: „This is impossible. The minister, we can make the mortgage with the territory, but the gold is not good.” 想清楚了其中的风险过后,尼克拉叶维奇当即拒绝道:“这不可能。大臣阁下,我们可以用领土做抵押,但是黄金不行。” Wessenberg shows a faint smile, does not have the direct reaction, two people ended this talk carelessly. 韦森贝格微微一笑,没有直接回答,两人草草结束了这次谈话。 ...... …… Next morning, the Tsar government collects the material of war funds, appeared in front of Franz. 次日清晨,沙皇政府筹集战争经费的资料,就出现在了弗朗茨面前。 „ The Tsar government wanted ahead of time the war, it seems like Alexander II this time got down the initial capital, was willing to come out to mortgage with own territory. “沙皇政府想要提前战争了,看来亚历山大二世这次是下了血本,都舍得拿自家的领土出来抵押了。 If they do earlier, previous war, is insufficient to lose is so miserable. The people, must always suffer, knows that draws the lesson! ” 如果他们早点儿这么干,上一次战争,也不至于输的那么惨。人啊,总是要吃过了亏,才知道吸取教训！” Prime Minister Felix: „ Truth, although is so, but does not experience the failure, how also to know the consequence of failure? 费利克斯首相:“道理虽然是如此,可是不经历失败,又怎么知道失败的后果呢？ The Tsar government bought the lesson with the previous disaster, did not have the arrogance of past unmatched in the world, knows that was conscientious. 沙皇政府是用上一次战争失败买了教训,没有了往日天下无敌的傲气,知道要脚踏实地了。 The war hits is the money. To a certain extent, decided that this Prussia war result key, no longer is in the military, but must look that the two governments can raise many war funds. 战争打的就是钱。从某种程度上来说,决定这次普俄战争胜负的关键,已经不再是军事上,而是要看两国政府能够筹集到多少战争经费。 At the mass of Russian Empire, so long as there is adequate war funds, even if drags still to drag the dead federation. ” 以俄罗斯帝国的体量,只要有足够的战争经费,就算是拖也能够拖死普波联邦。” „Drags the dead federation”, this concept flashes to pass in the Franz mind. This is establishes of without the external force interfering with, the Berlin government is not silly, the strategic maneuvering must. “拖死普波联邦”,这个概念在弗朗茨脑海中一闪而逝。这是建立在没有外力干涉的理想情况下,柏林政府又不傻,合纵连横是必须的。 „ Sends people to stare at various countries' financial circle, pays close attention to the big resource flows. The Prussia two governments are the poor devils, before doing adequate funds, the war cannot hit. “派人盯着各国金融界,密切关注大笔资金流动。普俄两国政府都是穷鬼,在没有搞到足够的经费前,战争是打不起来的。 The war and commits suicide the beast, wants to raise the adequate war funds is not easy. In the world only then we have this financial resource with UK , France, everyone's money is not the space falls. 战争和吞金兽,想要筹集到足够的战争经费可不容易。全世界只有我们和英法有这个财力,大家的钱都不是天上掉下来的。 Enough benefit, Prussia is not very difficult to raise the adequate funds. From the geopolitics, we are the best creditors, only then we dare to receive the land mortgage. 没有足够的利益,普俄很难筹集到足够的经费。从地缘政治上来说,我们才是最佳的债主,也只有我们敢接收土地抵押。 The Russia person has delivered, that makes clear the bottom line of Tsar government as soon as possible, is the Austria advantage seizes the biggest benefit. ” 俄国人已经送上门来了,那就尽快搞清楚沙皇政府的底线,为奥地利攫取最大的利益。” Franz has not raised the golden mortgage loan, does not arrive at the end of hills and rivers the situation, no one will give others own life. This may compared with territory mortgage serious many. 弗朗茨没有提黄金抵押贷款,不到山穷水尽的地步,谁也不会把自己的命脉交给别人。这可比领土抵押严重的多了。 The territory mortgages seemingly seriously, actually the risk in the controllable range. So long as won the war, even if cannot render back the money, still has enough may the operating space, for example: Replaces the mortgage territory. 领土抵押看似严重,实则风险在可控范围内。只要赢得了战争,即便是还不起钱,也有足够的可操作空间,比如说:对抵押领土进行置换。 Pays off a debt in labor with own territory, the home is not possibly good to confess ; Pays off a debt in labor with the territory of enemy, that did not have the pressure. 拿自家的领土抵债,国内可能不好交代;拿敌人的领土抵债,那就没有压力了。 Lost the war, anything was needless to say. The government changed players, the big mess, that is the next government is also responsible for tidying up. 输了战争,啥也不用说了。政府都换人了,再大的烂摊子,那也是下一届政府负责收拾。 Perhaps the monarchy country is so, may not trade Emperor, but changes the minister to. Defeats always needs some people responsible, purity that the bureaucrats look. 君主制国家也是如此,或许不一定要换皇帝,但是换大臣是必须的。战败总是需要有人负责的,官僚们看的一清二楚。 This naturally cannot hide the truth from Alexander II, territory mortgage loan in he tacitly consented that under conducts. However the golden mortgage, surpassed his bottom line absolutely. 这自然瞒不过亚历山大二世,领土抵押贷款都是在他默许下进行的。但是黄金抵押,绝对超过了他的底线。 To put it bluntly, Russian Empire big enterprise has lots of assets, so long as is not the core territory, sells out indifferently together. The territory buys and sells, has the precedent, the political risk is limited. 说白了,俄罗斯帝国家大业大,只要不是核心领土,卖掉一块也无所谓。领土买卖,又不是没有先例,政治风险有限。 Delivered to the Austria advantage to make the mortgage the gold, that is completely different, this means that the economic lifeline of Russian Empire fell into Austria to benefit in the hand. 把黄金送到了奥地利做抵押,那就完全不一样了,这意味着俄罗斯帝国的经济命脉落入了奥地利手中。