Cold wind in every way possible, the St. Petersburg of September has the faint trace cool feeling. In Winter Palace, Alexander II is also handling the government affairs, in his seal the wrinkle of forehead, is telling years' vicissitudes. 寒风入微,9月份的圣彼得堡已经有了丝丝凉意。冬宫中,亚历山大二世还在处理着政务,他那印上额头的皱纹,诉说着岁月的沧桑。 Experienced Russian Empire from rise to fall, Alexander II had the intense sense of mission, did not allow itself to have indulges slightly. 经历了俄罗斯帝国由盛转衰,亚历山大二世有强烈的使命感,不允许自己有丝毫放纵。 A years 40-50 years old man, arrives said in a low voice: „Your majesty, this is the top-secret news that spreads from Vienna.” 一名年月四五十岁的男子,走到近前低声说道:“陛下,这是从维也纳传来的绝密消息。” Received the seal the information, confirmed after a mark, Alexander II pointed at the classified material to say slowly: „Knew, Ferens you go out!” 接过密封的情报,确认了一遍印记过后,亚历山大二世指着密件缓缓的说:“知道了,费伦斯你出去吧！” Can be called the top secret had the important matter absolutely, Alexander II has not shared the information with the nearby person the hobby, the irrelevant trust, this is only the instinct of monarchy. 称得上绝密情报的绝对是发生了大事,亚历山大二世没有和身边人分享情报的爱好,无关信任,这只是君主的本能。 Opened the classified material, the content has happened at half a month matter. Without the means that this year does not have the radio, if with the line telegraphy dissemination news, how does hide the truth from Austria altruistic? 打开了密件,内容已经是发生在半个月的事情了。没有办法,这年头没有无线电,要是用有线电报传播消息,怎么瞒得过奥地利人？ It is not better with the password, that is equivalent tells others shiningly, this news has the issue, checks quickly! 用密码更不行,那相当于明晃晃告诉人家,这消息有问题,快来查！ The telegram of this age, collects fees according to the number of words, ordinary telegram only then few characters. The intelligence transmission cannot be so careless obviously, if the meaning does not have the expression to be clear, that is a disaster. 这个年代的电报,都是按字数收费,普通的电报都只有少许几个字。情报传递显然不能这么草率,万一意思没表达清楚,那就是一场灾难。 From Vienna to St. Petersburg, only used half a month merely, this efficiency is the limit of time. 从维也纳到圣彼得堡,仅仅只用了半个月,这个效率已经是时代的极限了。 Time one minute/share one second passes by, the wrinkle wrinkle on Alexander II forehead is tighter. Finally read the classified material, a sigh spread slowly. 时间一分一秒过去,亚历山大二世额头上的皱纹越皱越紧。终于看完了密件,一声叹息缓缓传出。 At this moment Alexander II was confused, matter has not conducted according to his plan. The Vienna government's attaching great importance to the currency hegemony, without him estimated is so high. 这一刻亚历山大二世迷茫了,事情并没有按照他的计划进行。维也纳政府对货币霸权的重视,没有他预想中的那么高。 Naturally, what may also put is the smoke shell, but he does not dare to bet. This miscalculation, the brought consequence possibly is disastrous. 当然,也有可能放出来的是烟雾弹,但是他不敢去赌。这个判断失误,带来的后果可能是灾难性的。 Gives up planning, that is not possible. If this time cannot obtain enough capital from the outside world, the development of Russian Empire must be affected. 放弃计划,那是不可能的。如果这次不能够从外界获得足够的资本,俄罗斯帝国的发展就要受到影响。 The ordinary period is indifferent, developing slow point was good on slow point, but can also hit stably the foundation. 平常时期无所谓,发展慢点儿就慢点儿好了,还可以把根基打得更加稳固。 Now is not good, the enemy will not leave behind so many time to them. If Russian Empire cannot increase the strength in the shortest time, does not wait for them to develop to be hit by the total destruction. 现在不行,敌人不会给他们留下那么多的时间。如果俄罗斯帝国不能够在最短的时间内增加实力,不等他们发展起来就会遭到灭顶之灾。 Do not look at Russian Empire is still a jumbo, but cannot support the peripheral enemy to be many, cannot eat up them, more than ten close, that is uncertain. 不要看俄罗斯帝国依然是一个巨无霸,但是架不住周边的敌人多,一家吃不下他们,十几家一拥而上,那就不一定了。 Once is defeated again, Russian Empire several hundred years of accumulation a prestige dynasty will lose entirely. Best result, barely manages to maintain a feeble existence like the Ottoman empire. 一旦再次失败,俄罗斯帝国几百年时间积累下来的威名就会一朝丧尽。最好的结果,也就是像奥斯曼帝国一样苟延残喘。 This fell into a fast knot. Sided with the English, can obtain the financial aid, but there are will greatly possibly lose Austria to benefit this most important ally very much ; Continues to maintain suddenly Austria Union, the financial problem also does not have the means solution. 这就陷入了一个死结。倒向了英国人,可以获得资金援助,但是有很大可能会丧失奥地利这个最重要的盟友;继续维持俄奥同盟,资金问题又没有办法解决。 Russia wanted to win the next war, the support that Austria benefitted is important, at least also wanted Austria altruistic not to reverse to Prussia. This is the geopolitics decision, UK , France in this issue must go lower. 俄罗斯想要赢得下一次战争,奥地利的支持至关重要,至少也要奥地利人不倒向普鲁士。这是地缘政治决定的,在这个问题上英法都要靠后。 suddenly Austria Union in also easy to do, does not need to pay the price, can obtain Austria to benefit the unconditional support. Without the treaty of alliance, this must speak with the benefit. 俄奥同盟在还好办,不需要付出代价,就可以获得奥地利无条件的支持。要是没有了盟约,这就要用利益说话了。 The heart deep place also voice told him: Is careful, matter is not that simple. 内心深处还有一个声音告诉他:要小心,事情不是那么简单。 In order to break up suddenly Austria Union, to establish pound currency hegemony, the English naturally is the reason bids. But if was the goal achieved? Who knows that the English can break a contract? 为了拆散俄奥同盟,为了建立英镑货币霸权,英国人自然是原因出价的。可要是目的达到了呢？谁知道英国人会不会违约？ Treaty that thing, every so often is a scrap paper. If the English has not honored an agreement, or is in the honoring an agreement process sells at a discount, what to do? 条约那东西,很多时候就是一张废纸。要是英国人没有履约,或者是履约过程中打了折扣,又怎么办？ What is done cannot be undone, these step trod, was very difficult to turn head again. Breaking up suddenly Austria Union is easy, wanted to establish again is difficult. 覆水难收,这一步踏出去了,就很难再回头了。拆散俄奥同盟容易,再想要建立就难了。 Alexander II has the Anti-Austria tendency, that is based on Russian Empire powerful. Now Russian Empire has declined, suddenly Austria Union becomes important. 亚历山大二世有反奥倾向,那是建立在俄罗斯帝国强大的基础上。现在俄罗斯帝国已经衰落,俄奥同盟就变得至关重要。 Now he somewhat understands why Nicholas I must persist in establishing suddenly Austria Union in the past. Existence of this alliance, not only to capture Constantinopolis, is the safeguard of Russian Empire strategic security. 现在他有些理解为什么当年尼古拉一世要坚持建立俄奥同盟了。这个联盟的存在,不仅仅只是为了夺取君士坦丁堡,更是俄罗斯帝国战略安全的保障。 So long as this alliance exists, was not worried that the European territory encounters the foreign invasion. Is also same including the present, before the treaty of alliance relieves, Prussia does not dare first to begin to them absolutely. 只要这个联盟存在,就不担心欧洲领土遭到外敌入侵。包括现在也一样,在盟约解除前,普鲁士绝对不敢先对他们动手。 After Prussia disaster, Russia can go through the dangerous period smoothly, the function of suddenly Austria Union is also most important factor. 普俄战争失败后,俄罗斯能够顺利度过危险期,俄奥同盟的作用也是其中最重要的因素。 After suddenly Austria Union establishes, both countries got the rich interests. Russia expands successfully in the Balkan Peninsula, captured long-awaited Constantinopolis ; Austria benefitted in the Balkan Peninsula expanded, and also annexed Southern Germany to rebuild the Holy Roman empire. 俄奥同盟建立过后,两国都获得了丰厚的利益。俄罗斯在巴尔干半岛扩张成功,夺取了梦寐以求的君士坦丁堡;奥地利在巴尔干半岛实现了扩张,并且还兼并了南德重建了神罗帝国。 If so inclined, Alexander II can also obtain Dardanelles through the territory exchange, the control goes to the route in Mediterranean Sea. 如果愿意,亚历山大二世还可以通过领土交换获得达达尼尔海峡,掌控前往地中海的航道。 If at the beginning of succeeding to the throne, he will definitely do everything possible to make this territory to trade with the Austria advantage, expands Mediterranean Sea the influence of Russia. 要是在继位之初,他肯定会想方设法和奥地利做这笔领土交易,把俄罗斯的势力扩张到地中海。 Now does not have this type to fantasize again impractically, entering Mediterranean Sea is easy, wanting standing firm to be difficult. 现在再也没有这种不切实际的幻想了,进入地中海容易,想要站稳脚跟难。 If not the UK , France Austria triple alliances establishes, the English were pushed, why does Russia base in Mediterranean Sea? 如果不是英法奥三国同盟建立,英国人都被挤了出去,俄罗斯凭什么在地中海立足？ ...... …… Thinks many, more is hard to set firm resolve. Does not have money unable, suddenly Austria Union is also as important, this is doomed is a difficult choice. 想得越多,就越难以下定决心。没钱是万万不能的,俄奥同盟同样也非常重要,这注定是一个艰难的选择。 In fact Alexander II absolutely does not have many choices, suddenly Austria Union to maintain, is not only he can decide that the standpoint of Vienna government is as important. 实际上亚历山大二世根本就没有多少选择,俄奥同盟能不能维持下去,不仅仅是他能够决定的,维也纳政府的立场同样重要。 If Austria altruistic does not want to renew a contract, then his disagreement/not with English cooperates even, the alliance will go bankrupt similarly. 如果奥地利人不想续约了,那么他就算是不和英国人合作,联盟同样会破产。 But Franz attaches great importance to face-saving, in the past when suddenly Austria Union established is in Austria to benefit the weak time, to a certain extent was also the Russia person draws Austria to benefit. 只不过弗朗茨要面子,当年俄奥同盟建立时正处于奥地利虚弱期,某种程度上也是俄国人拉了奥地利一把。 Because of being concerned about face, therefore the Vienna government to the impression, has been maintaining suddenly Austria Union, meaning that do not hit a person when he is down. 因为要脸,所以维也纳政府给外界的印象,一直都在维护俄奥同盟,没有丝毫要落井下石的意思。 This misconception, making Alexander II misjudge. Had this probe, wants to raise own pricetag through UK , France, strives for many loans to the Vienna government. 这种错觉,让亚历山大二世做出了误判。才有了这次试探,想要通过英法抬高自身的价码,向维也纳政府争取更多的贷款。 The result first step treads, now falls into the awkward position. The Vienna government seems like becomes angry out of shame, does not press the repertoire to play a card. 结果第一步踏出去,现在就陷入了尴尬境地。维也纳政府似乎是恼羞成怒,根本就不按套路出牌。 The headache of Alexander II, Franz is not clear, he himself is also tired. The Mexican situation collapsed finally, after French armed forces evacuate was less than one week, Maximiliano first lost the control to the country. 亚历山大二世的头疼,弗朗茨可不清楚,他自己还烦着呢。墨西哥局势终于还是崩溃了,就在法军撤离后不到一个星期,马西米连诺一世就丧失了对国家的控制。 Now Carlota empress has returned to Europe to request reinforcements, cannot convince the French, now had returned to Vienna. 现在卡洛塔皇后已经回到欧洲求援了,没能够说服法国人,现在已经回到了维也纳。 Requests reinforcements , the good and evil also has to put out the benefit. Most industries of very regrettable Mexico mortgaged to give the French, in the Maximiliano first hand absolutely did not have many chips. 求援也就罢了,好歹也有拿出利益来。很遗憾墨西哥的大部分产业都抵押给了法国人,马西米连诺一世手中根本就没有多少筹码。 Recruits the money of mercenary not to have continually, the historical lesson told Franz, Emperor becomes this poorly, basically will not have any good result. 连招募雇佣兵的钱都没有,历史教训告诉了弗朗茨,皇帝穷成这样的,基本上都不会有啥好结果。 Mexican this beach turbid water, Franz will not go. Let Carlota empress persuade Maximiliano first to abdicate, finally was educated on the contrary, the air/Qi resulted in Franz to leave at the scene. 墨西哥这滩浑水,弗朗茨是不会去趟了。让卡洛塔皇后劝说马西米连诺一世退位,结果反倒是被教育了一顿,气得弗朗茨当场离开。 Does not have the means to exchange with the ideological not normal person, what „do the Mexican people need......”? It looks like in Franz, the Mexican people wish one could to deliver the guilotine Maximiliano first now. 和思想不正常的人没有办法交流,什么“墨西哥人民需要……”？在弗朗茨看来,墨西哥人民现在恨不得把马西米连诺一世送上断头台。 Opens the eye to talk nonsense does not bring this. If at the beginning of succeeding to the throne, Maximiliano first also has the opportunity of striving to turn the tide, whom now changes to come up is not good. 睁着眼睛说瞎话也不带这样的。要是继位之初,马西米连诺一世还有力挽狂澜的机会,现在换了谁上去都不行了。 The patience of people have tossed about did not have, so many years reforms, stay on the paper surface merely, appearing of taking for granted: The plan of being beneficial to the nation and to the people, turns into the plan of bringing disaster on the nation and people finally. 民众们的耐心已经折腾没了,这么多年的改革,仅仅只是停留在纸面上,想当然的出台:利国利民之策,最后都变成祸国殃民之策。 Turned into Emperor of loner, the side had one pile of mouth artillery parties, Franz does not know that should say anything. 变成了孤家寡人的皇帝,身边就剩下了一堆嘴炮党,弗朗茨不知道该说什么了。 Has not earned the support in the Austria advantage, Carlota empress goes to other European country to request reinforcements. Does not need to think, Franz knows this is not possible to have the result. 在奥地利没有获得支持,卡洛塔皇后又去别的欧洲国家求援了。都不用想,弗朗茨就知道这是不可能有结果的。 Without the advantage, who is willing to go to Mexican that beach turbid water. Learning from another's mistakes of French, everyone must think things over carefully before acting. 没有好处,谁愿意去趟墨西哥那滩浑水。法国人的前车之鉴在,大家都要三思而后行。 Now Franz waits for the rebel army to break through Mexico City, then directing Maximiliano first returns to homeland, even finished up. 现在弗朗茨就等着叛军攻破墨西哥城,然后引度马西米连诺一世回国,就算是完事了。 This time will not be long, a French armed forces evacuation, the rebel army began great counter offensive. Counted on that the government forces suppress the rebellion, might as well counted on that the rebel army erupts internal fight, is split up in the internal friction. 这个时间不会太长,法军一撤离,叛军就拉开了大反攻的序幕。指望墨西哥政府军镇压叛乱,还不如指望叛军爆发内斗,在内耗中四分五裂。 Now the Mexican insurrectionary armies are also the internal contradictions numerous, mixed in lots of conservative factions and racists, so long as detonates these contradictions, will immediately be split up. 现在墨西哥起义军也是内部矛盾重重,混入了大量的保守派、种族主义者,只要把这些矛盾引爆,马上就会四分五裂。 However before then, they also same goals make Maximiliano first get the hell out. When this goal was completed, Mexico must open hundred-year internal fight. 不过在这之前,他们还有一个共同的目标让马西米连诺一世滚蛋。等这个目标完成了,墨西哥就要开起长达百年的内斗。 What is worth mentioning is many leaders in insurrectionary army, the Populist Party and Constitutionalism Faction come, even supported the Maximiliano hero initially. 值得一提的是起义军中的不少领导人,还是保皇党、立宪派出身的,甚至还有当初拥立马西米连诺的功臣。 Can turn into the revolutionary party them, Franz has to acknowledge that Maximiliano first has the ability. Emperor achieved in this, in the world history could not find several. 能够把他们都变成革命党,弗朗茨不得不承认马西米连诺一世还是有能耐的。皇帝做到了这份儿上,世界历史上都找不到几个。 How long however these people could not be self-satisfied, when the revolution succeeded, was one's turn them to have bad luck. If they cross was good, where does that Habsburg family's face toward put? 不过这些人也得意不了多久,等革命成功了,就轮到他们倒霉了。要是他们过的好了,那哈布斯堡家族的脸往哪儿搁？ Maximiliano does the trash in Mexico, that can only make them do badly, needing some people serve as contrast, can save the face slightly. 马西米连诺在墨西哥干得垃圾,那就只能让他们干得更差,必须要有人衬托,才能够稍稍挽回一下颜面。 Original space and time group of people are unpromising, was just in power fell into internal fight, now Franz pushes up. Let the warlord tangled warfare arrive ahead of time, expands while convenient the sphere of influence. 原时空这帮人就不成气候,刚刚掌权就陷入了内斗中,现在弗朗茨只是推上一把。让军阀混战提前降临,顺便扩张一下势力范围。 It is not right, cannot say that arrives ahead of time, should be the correctional force of history, making the history return to the original track. 不对,不能说是提前降临,应该是历史的修正力,让历史回到原来的轨道上。 Because of the Franz butterfly effect, the strength that the French put is bigger, making the Mexican empire insist for several years. 因为弗朗茨的蝴蝶效应,法国人投入的力量更大,让墨西哥帝国多坚持了几年时间。