HRE :: Volume #4

#365: Strategic unrestrained gambling


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After returning to continental Europe, Steven and Poly went separate ways. Must run noisily independent, another wants to find the place to wait and see the situation. 返回欧洲大陆后,斯蒂芬和加波里就分道扬镳了。一个要跑去闹独立,另一个则想找着地方观望一下局势。 Steven and the others do not have first to return to Hungary, going into exile in the experience told him the gate to be careful, any a little negligence can be fatal. 斯蒂芬等人并没有第一时间返回匈牙利,流亡经验告诉他门必须要小心谨慎,任何一点儿疏忽都能够致命。 Although the time passed by for more than ten years, everyone had the tremendous changes, no one can guarantee to be able by the acquaintance recognizing. 尽管时间过去了十几年,大家都发生了翻天覆地的变化,谁也不能够保证会不会被熟人给认出来。 Once divulges a secret, they had it all. Disembark in Montenegro duchy Steven and the others, assumes the guise the merchant in the Montenegro inspection market. 一旦走漏了风声,他们就被一锅端了。在黑山公国斯蒂芬等人就下了船,扮作商人在黑山考察市场。 Then sent out several never in the young people who the Austria calling crosses the surface, enters the Hungarian area collection information. 然后派出了几个从来没有在地利路过面的年轻人,进入匈牙利地区搜集情报。 The adversity is easiest to make one grow, the present Hungarian independent body is different more than ten years ago. Not only learned knowing oneself and other side, the maintaining life ability also improved N scales. 逆境最容易使人成长,现在的匈牙利独立组织已经不同于十几年前了。不但学会了知己知彼,保命能力还提高了N个档次。 ...... …… When Polish Rebellious party sweeps across to continental Europe comes, the Second Schleswig War is also about to be close to the end, was good acts because of this time Tsar government promptly. 在一大波乱党向欧洲大陆席卷而来的时候,普丹战争也快进入了尾声,好在这个时候沙皇政府及时出手了。 This cannot be prompt, the Tsar government two months ago should make a move. What a pity the Russia person wants first to suppress Polish rebellion, then copes with Prussian. 这也不能算及时,早在两个多月前沙皇政府就该出手。可惜俄国人想要先镇压波兰叛乱,再对付普鲁士人 Finally the Polish Rebel army was defeated, however rebels is still continuing. This Polish rebellion secret supporter are too many, the strength of rebel army went beyond the expectation of Russia person. 结果波兰叛军是被击败了,然而叛乱依然在继续。这次波兰叛乱幕后的支持者太多,叛军的实力超出了俄国人的预料。 Beating them was easy, wants to eliminate them to be difficult. Existence that Poland rebels, won the time for Prussian. 击败他们容易,想要消灭他们就难了。波兰叛乱的存在,替普鲁士人争取到了时间。 Until the Dane really could not insist that the Tsar government has to make a move. Otherwise the Kingdom of Denmark falls to the enemy, the face of Russian Empire lost completely. 直到丹麦人实在是坚持不住了,沙皇政府不得不出手。不然丹麦王国沦陷,俄罗斯帝国的面子就丢光了。 On December 28 , 1864, the Tsar government issued the war diplomatic note to the Prussia kingdom, ordered them to withdraw from Denmark in 24 hours. 1864年12月28日,沙皇政府向普鲁士王国下达了战争通牒,责令他们在24小时退出丹麦。 Berlin, although there is a mental preparation, but after this naive arriving, the Prussia government felt constraining. 柏林,尽管有了思想准备,可是当这一天真的来到后,普鲁士政府还是感受到了压抑。 But this time enemy European hegemon- Russian Empire, is not the Dane can place on a par completely. 这次的敌人可是欧陆霸主-俄罗斯帝国,完全不是丹麦人可以相提并论的。 Things have gotten to this point, now could not have allowed them to flinch. Otherwise offended the Russia person not saying that but must supporting secretly their UK , France offending. 事已至此,现在已经容不得他们退缩。不然得罪了俄国人不说,还要把暗中支持他们的英法给得罪了。 William I could not attend to with the military was spiteful, if lost this war, even if the Russia person varying mouth swallowed Prussia, at least must bite their one ruthlessly. 威廉一世也顾不得和军方赌气了,要是输了这场战争,就算是俄国人不一口吞掉普鲁士,至少也要狠咬他们一口。 Prepared, had had confidence that beat the Russia person?” “准备好了没有,有没有把握击败俄国人?” Land minister of the navy Rowen replied: „ We have completed the national mobilization, all reserve duties have demobilized, 42.7 ten thousand Prussia armies can put into the fight momentarily. 陆海军部长罗恩回答道:“我们已经完成了全国动员,所有的预备役都已经复员,42.7万普鲁士军队随时可以投入战斗中。 Now most important strives for many loans from the UK , France hand, so long as solved the financial problem, we can consume the time with the Russia person. ” 现在最重要的就是从英法手中争取更多的贷款,只要解决了资金问题,我们就可以和俄国人耗时间。” The Prussia kingdom mobilized 427,000 armies is not false, but does not mean that these armies can invest into to the suddenly war. 普鲁士王国动员出了42.7万军队不假,可是并不意味着这些军队都能够投入到对俄战争中。 The neighbors are too powerful are also a tragedy, three neighbors any has the racket their strength, the Prussia government has to be careful. 邻居太强大也是一种悲剧,三个邻居无论是任何一家都有拍死他们的实力,普鲁士政府不得不小心谨慎。 The main force is uneven and Russia person dies to knock not to have the issue, how to guarantee that was not taken advantage by law Austria, is a major problem. 主力齐出和俄国人死磕没问题,如何保证不被法趁火打劫,就是一个大问题。 Even if everyone needs them to attack the Russia person, temporarily law Austria both countries will not begin to them, once the war did end? 就算是大家需要他们打击俄国人,暂时法两国都不会对他们动手,可是一旦战争结束呢? The failure, wins, may incur the attack of law Austria two countries. 无论是失败、还是胜利,都有可能招致法两国的打击。 Defeated was needless saying that the Russia person must eat the meat, law Austria both countries will also follow to eat the meat, the Prussia kingdom do not pay the deeply grieved price, do not want to withdraw. 战败了不用说,俄国人要吃肉,法两国也会跟着吃肉,普鲁士王国不付出惨痛的代价,就不要想脱身。 Won this war is not equal to winning, the Tsar government also had the strength to stage a comeback, future day child long/grows! 赢得了这次战争也不等于胜利,沙皇政府还有实力卷土重来,未来的日子长着呢! Continental Europe was too small, not being able to allow so many powerful nations, law Austria both countries not to see that powerful Prussia appears. 欧洲大陆太小了,容不下那么多强国,法两国都不想看到一个强大的普鲁士出现。 After attacking the Russia person, the function of Prussia kingdom displayed, was held a blade behind is really normally. 打击完俄国人后,普鲁士王国的作用就发挥完了,被人背后捅一刀实在是太正常不过了。 The needed prevention, the Prussia government has to prepare ahead of time. If by some chance had the unexpected situation, must have the reaction time. 必须要的预防,普鲁士政府不得不提前进行准备。万一发生了意外情况,也得有反应时间。 So many practical problems put at present, the Prussia military naturally does not dare adventure. They must win the victory not only, but must reduce as far as possible loses, with the aim of dealing with taking advantage that law Austria both countries possibly conduct after the war. 这么多现实问题摆在了眼前,普鲁士军方自然不敢进行冒险。他们不光要赢得胜利,还必须要尽可能的缩小损失,以便战后应对法两国可能进行的趁火打劫。 This age, the international environment of Prussia kingdom historically bad were too more, may be too few for the leeway that they choose. 这个年代,普鲁士王国的国际环境比历史上恶劣了太多,可供他们选择的余地太少。 In the history Bismarck can lead Prussia to unify Germany, that is establishes, in the Russia person lost the Crimean War and Austria advantage to lose under the premise of law Austria war. 历史上俾斯麦能够带领普鲁士统一德意志,那是建立在俄国人输了克里米亚战争、地利输了法战争的前提下。 The present situation is completely different, the law Austria war has not hit. The Sardinia kingdom wants with ceding territory seduces the French to dispatch troops to attack Austria to benefit, but the Vienna government flung the entire Sardinia kingdom directly. 现在的情况完全不一样,法战争根本就没打。撒丁王国想用割地诱惑法国人出兵进攻地利,怎奈维也纳政府直接甩出了整个撒丁王国。 Ate France of Sardinia kingdom, in the surface gained greatly gains especially, in fact had fallen into the strategic passive condition, encountered the isolation of various European countries. 吃掉了撒丁王国的法兰西,表面上是大赚特赚,实际上已经陷入了战略被动状态,遭到了欧洲各国的孤立。 To a certain extent, this to the Prussia kingdom is also a good deed. The French who falls into the diplomatic predicament, does not dare to have the idea of Rhineland in a short time, their national defense pressures reduce greatly. 某种程度上来说,这对普鲁士王国也是一件好事。陷入外交困境的法国人,短时间内不敢打莱茵兰的主意,他们的国防压力大减。 The Russia person who coaxes flamboyant was different, loss that although they pay in the Near East war, is bigger than the historical Crimean War, the issue was they wins! 牛逼哄哄的俄国人就不一样了,尽管他们在近东战争中付出的损失,比历史上的克里米亚战争更大,问题是他们打赢了啊! The Russia people do not fear the loss to be serious, the Tsar government seized Constantinopolis, people from various circles unusual satisfaction, lost is neglected directly. 俄国人民不怕损失惨重,沙皇政府占领了君士坦丁堡,社会各界都非常的满意,损失直接被忽略了。 Passed through the Tsar army of flames of war baptism, the battle efficiency is not historically can compare, not only the weaponry surpassed the history same time, the morale is no comparison between them. 经过了战火洗礼的沙皇军队,战斗力也不是历史上可以比的,不但武器装备超过了历史同期,军心士气更是不可同日而语。 The Prussia military chooses the conservative fighting method, is not strange. After all the Tsar government most does not lack is the soldier, there is suddenly Austria Union, even Austria benefits does not support the Russia person, does not hinder them to sell the munitions. 普鲁士军方选择保守打法,也就不奇怪了。毕竟沙皇政府最不缺的就是士兵,又有俄同盟在,就算是地利不支持俄国人,也不妨碍他们卖军火。 Under this background and Russia person puts together the strength hardly, obviously is unwise. The Tsar government loses 35 times to might as well, Prussian lost to be finished one time. 这种背景下和俄国人硬拼实力,显然是不明智的。沙皇政府输三五次都无妨,普鲁士人输一次就完蛋。 The war is not the child's play, Rowen, Moltke, is this age most outstanding strategist. Not only their pattern natures won a fight, but aimed at winning the war. 战争不是儿戏,无论是罗恩、还是毛奇,都是这个年代最优秀的军事家。他们的格局自然不只是赢得一次战斗,而是以赢得战争为目的。 The biggest weakness of Tsar government is poor, Prussia behind has the donor, consumes certainly is the Russia person who first cannot support. 沙皇政府的最大弱点就是穷,普鲁士后面有金主,耗下去最先撑不住的一定是俄国人。 Prime Minister Frank raised the question: „ How can guarantee that blocks the Russia person? From the actual situation, we must defend beyond the entrance. 弗兰克首相提出了疑问:“如何能够保证挡住俄国人?从实际情况出发,我们必须要御敌于国门之外。 Cossack cavalry is what goods, you are clear, once makes them go down to the home to do the destruction, the consequence is dreadful. ” 哥萨克骑兵是什么货色,你们都一清二楚,一旦让他们深入国内搞破坏,后果不堪设想。” This most made the issue that one had a headache about, the Prussia boundary line was too long, Northern European Lowlands was the vast stretch of flat land, the foundation of these local or Junker aristocrat was, makes no mistake. 这才是最令人头疼的问题,普俄边界线太长了,波德平原又是一马平川,这些地区还是容克贵族的根基所在,不容有失。 Do not say that the Russian force large share army is thorough, even if a lot of people of cavalries clash to do the destruction, the Berlin government on loss. 不要说俄军大股部队深入,就算是千百号人的骑兵冲进来搞破坏,柏林政府就损失不起。 Moltke serious said: „ Annexes Seiya, the people within 50 kilometers the Prussia boundary line migrates completely rear area. 毛奇一脸严肃的说:“兼并清野,把普俄边界线五十公里以内的民众全部迁移到后方。 Carries on two mobilizations again, enhances the service year of soldier to five years, the age limit adjusts to 16 ~ 55 -year-old, we can increase 300,000 armies to come out, trains simply the Russian force that is used to cope with penetrate. ” 再次进行二次动员,将士兵的服役年限提高到五年,服役年龄调整到16~55岁,我们又能够增加三十万军队出来,简单训练一下用来对付突入进来的俄军。” The people complexion big change, annexed Seiya to say simply. If really did, then must pay the serious price inevitably. 众人脸色大变,兼并清野说起来简单。真要是做了,那么势必要付出惨重的代价。 The Prussia kingdom was not big, retrocedes 50 kilometers to say easily, in fact this means that must migrate the millions of people, 1/5 national territory will degenerate into white. 普鲁士王国可不大,后退五十公里说起来容易,实际上这意味着要迁移数百万民众,五分之一国土都将沦为白地。 William I said seriously: This is impossible, your annexed Seiya to plan to go beyond our bearing capacity. If really does that first collapses certainly is we, rather than Russia person.” 威廉一世严肃的说:“这不可能,你们的兼并清野计划已经超过了我们的承受能力。真要是这么做,最先崩溃的一定是我们,而不是俄国人。” Moltke sighs, said: If so, we can only take risk to attack, places in the battlefield Poland as far as possible.” 毛奇叹了一口气,说:“如果是这样的话,我们就只能冒险出击,尽可能把战场放在波兰境内。” This age trench and wire netting have not appeared, without this inexpensive defense facility, the Prussia boundary line is so also long, can only at the vulnerable area construction work. 这个年代战壕、铁丝网还没有出现,没有这种廉价防御设施,普俄边界线又这么长,只能在要害地区修筑工事。 The large unit of enemy, does not dare to go round these fortifications to attack thoroughly, the small unit was different. 敌人的大部队,不敢绕开这些工事深入进攻,小部队就不一样了。 Naturally, the rear area also has the fortification, the castle of aristocrats is the best fort, copes not to have the small stock army issue of heavy firepower is not big. 当然,后方也不是没有防御工事,贵族们的城堡就是最好的要塞,对付没有重火力的小股部队问题不大。 Primary cause that annexes Seiya, to reduce the personnel loses. After all is not possible to make the people treat in the castle, everyone also needs to live. 兼并清野的主要原因,还是为了减少人员损失。毕竟不可能让民众一直待在城堡内,大家也是需要生活的。 Cavalries round trip like wind, even informed, still needs the time preparation. Withdraws 50 kilometers, to strive for this time. 骑兵来去如风,就算是通知了,也需要时间准备。后撤五十公里,就是为了争取这个时间。 William I hesitant, takes risk to attack the biggest risk not militarily. Now the Polish independent body is the Prussia ally, even if dozen of war in Poland, they also has the public support. 威廉一世犹豫了起来,冒险出击最大的风险不在军事上。现在波兰独立组织是普鲁士的盟友,就算是战争在波兰境内打,他们同样有民众支持。 What troubled enraged the Russia person, turned into all -out war of two countries the local war. Not strange Prussian instigated, the most after major problem is they complete the military system reforms, without experiencing the war, in the heart has not had the energy. 麻烦的是激怒了俄国人,把局部战争变成了两国的全面战争。不怪普鲁士人怂,最大的问题是他们完成军制改革后,没有经历过大战,心中没有底气。 Prime Minister Frank says: „ Was your majesty, to this step, why overcautious and indecisive? 弗兰克首相开口说道:“陛下,都到了这一步,何必在瞻前顾后呢? Won this war, the post-independence Kingdom of Poland is the cushion between future Prussia ; Lost this war, the Prussia kingdom will lose the future. ” 赢了这场战争,独立后的波兰王国就是未来普俄之间的缓冲;输了这场战争,普鲁士王国将丧失未来。” As the prime minister of Junker noble birth, the critical moment stood in a Junker aristocrat side. No matter how said, the class interest must preserve. 作为容克贵族出身的首相,关键时刻还是站在了容克贵族一方。不管怎么说,阶级利益必须要保住。 The escape route in Prussia kingdom was blocked, the escape route of Junker aristocrats remains. The aristocrat who these can hit, is popular in this age, does not worry the outlet. 普鲁士王国的退路被堵上了,容克贵族们的退路依然存在。这些能打的贵族,在这个年代还是非常吃香的,根本就不愁出路。 William I nod of ruthlessly, said: Felt relieved bold does!” 威廉一世狠狠的点了点头,说:“放心大胆的去干吧!” Things have gotten to this point, he decides to bet one in a big way. Places very soon to be the Polish area the battlefield, not only can reduce the loss of native place, has the opportunity to nip the next meat from the Russia person after the war. 事已至此,他决定赌一把大的。把战场放在俄属波兰地区,不光可以降低本土的损失,战后还有机会从俄国人身上咬下一口肉来。 The English support them to expand in the Baltic Sea area, the German area does not have the opportunity to expand, expands to become the only choice toward the eastern part. 英国人可是支持他们在波罗地海地区扩张的,德意志地区没有机会扩张,往东部扩张成为了唯一的选择。 The European countries will not mind that saw died the Prussia empire that knocked born with Russia, received the heavy responsibility of surrounding Russian Empire, John Bull does not look at Prussia to be finished. 欧洲各国不会介意看到一个和俄罗斯死磕的普鲁士帝国诞生,接下了围堵俄罗斯帝国的重任,约翰牛就不会看着普鲁士完蛋。 Prime Minister Frank proposed: „ Your majesty, we must seek more supporters, at least needs to make Austria altruistic remain neutral. 弗兰克首相提议道:“陛下,我们必须要寻求更多的支持者,至少要让地利人保持中立。 Has Austria to benefit the support Russian Empire, without Austria benefits the support Russia to be completely different, we are impossible simultaneously and two empires are the enemies. ” 地利支持的俄罗斯帝国,和没有地利支持的俄罗斯完全不一样,我们不可能同时和两个帝国为敌。” Since fights the battle of attrition, naturally must consider relative strength of both sides. Perhaps Austria benefits does not have UK , France to be rich, the industrial strength that but Austria benefits is not weaker than France. 既然是打消耗战,自然要考虑双方的实力对比了。地利或许没有英法有钱,可是地利的工业实力却不比法国弱。 The support may not to money, be able to play the role to the commodity similarly. So long as there is the sufficient grain, arms and ammunition and necessary military supplies, the Russia person can support. 支援不一定要给钱,给物资同样能够发挥作用。只要有充足的粮食、武器弹药、必要的军需品,俄国人就可以一直支撑下去。 This age Europe most soldiers performing obligatory service do not have the soldier's rations and pay, but the soldier's rations and pay of aristocrat military officers can also first owe, they not because the king will not launch the soldier's rations and pay strike. 这个年代欧洲大部分义务兵是没有军饷的,而贵族军官们的军饷也可以先欠着,他们不会因为国王发不起军饷罢工。 William I thinks saying: Un, sends people to discuss that with the Vienna government, so long as is not the core issue, can discuss.” 威廉一世想了想说:“嗯,派人和维也纳政府谈吧,只要不是核心问题,都可以商量。” ...... …… Vienna, Franz has not known that Austria benefits the focus that becomes all parties to compete for once again, at this time Prussia both countries the support that needed Austria to benefit. 维也纳,弗朗茨还不知道地利再次成为了各方争夺的焦点,这个时候普俄两国都需要地利的支持。 The geopolitics, forever is the topic that cannot go round. Close Austria benefits, role that can play, is not UK , France a thousand-mile away can compare. 地缘政治,永远都是绕不开的话题。近在咫尺的地利,能够发挥的作用,不是远在千里之外的英法能比的。 He still in worried for the letter/believes in hand, encounters difficult position Maximiliano to know to request reinforcements finally, then Franz was awkward. 他还在为手中的信而发愁,遭遇了困境的马西米连诺终于知道求援了,然后弗朗茨为难了。 The Prussia war must start immediately, the Vienna government must spunk up to pay attention ; The US civil war north and south will soon decide the victory and defeat, Austria benefit in the strength of Americas must invest into the following intervention action. 普俄战争马上就要开打,维也纳政府必须要打起精神来关注;美国内战南北双方即将分出胜负,地利在美洲地区的力量必须要投入到后面的干涉行动中。 Meddles the Mexican internal affairs again, that is the human life simply. 再插手墨西哥内政,那简直就是要人命。 The direct rejection somewhat is also unreasonable, after all pure Maximiliano thinks that the diplomatic support was OK, as everyone knows the back of each diplomatic support is the strength is gambling. 直接拒绝又有些不近人情,毕竟单纯的马西米连诺以为外交支持就可以了,殊不知每一次外交支持的背后都是力量在博弈。 Without the diplomacy of strength support, is not worth mentioning. Hesitant over and over, Franz decided that fills wave of mind chicken soup to Maximiliano, making he himself struggle. 没有力量支撑的外交,根本就不值得一提。犹豫了再三,弗朗茨决定给马西米连诺灌一波心灵鸡汤,让他自己奋斗。 As a good elder brother, Franz to give the solid stuff. 作为一名好兄长,弗朗茨还是给了干货的。 He profoundly analyzed internal contradictions of Mexican empire, suggested that Maximiliano first wins over Constitutionalism Faction, established a stable government, behind the issue of reform said. 他深刻分析了一下墨西哥帝国的内部矛盾,建议马西米连诺先拉拢立宪派,建立一个稳定的政府,改革的问题后面再说。 Does not have money to be simpler, felt relieved bold must loan to the French. The pass/test said that right of way and financial revenue and minerals...... to want the price to be appropriate, can mortgage completely. 没钱更简单,放心大胆的向法国人要贷款。关说、路权、财政收入、矿产……只要价钱合适,全部都可以抵押出去。 Listening to Franz is unable about. Suggested to give in any case, according to this above view did, although is unable to make the Mexican empire powerful, at least can guarantee that the Maximiliano throne stabilized. 听不听弗朗茨无法左右。反正建议给出来了,按照这上面的说法做,虽然无法让墨西哥帝国强大起来,至少可以保证马西米连诺的皇位稳定下来。 Increased the future reform difficulty, was disregarded by Franz directly. In the face of the survival, other any factor can abandon. 增加了未来的改革难度,直接被弗朗茨无视了。在生存面前,别的任何因素都可以抛弃。 The one who owes money is Sir, although is not necessarily suitable in this age, at least can guarantee that Napoleon III does not dare easily to give up to his support. 欠钱的是大爷虽然在这个年代未必适用,至少可以保证拿破仑三世不敢轻易放弃对他的支持。 The issue of repaying a debt, that must wait to hold on to the throne to say again. If the midway chased off the stage, these debts and Maximiliano are not related. 还债的问题,那也必须要等坐稳了皇位再说。如果中途被人赶下台,这些债务都和马西米连诺没关系了。 What lending money is the Mexican government, is not Maximiliano oneself. If by some chance chased off the stage by the enemy, then leaves behind a mess to them, was the small retaliation. 借钱的是墨西哥政府,又不是马西米连诺本人。万一被敌人赶下台,那么给他们留下一个烂摊子,也算是小小的报复了。
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