EG :: Volume #19

#1816: Dropped sharply to come

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After Kirilenko they hear an analysis of Feng Yu, is vacant of face. 基里连科他们听到冯宇的一番分析之后,都是一脸的茫然。 „Feng, two groups took over by US Government, is what good news?” “冯,两房集团被米国政斧接手,算是什么好消息？” Feng Yu felt the own beforehand many words spoke in vain, these financial senses of smell were really too bad! 冯宇感觉自己之前好多话都白说了,这几位的金融嗅觉真是太差了！ „This means that two groups will weigh down the general economy of US, the financial crisis of US must break out thoroughly, will initiate the high-energy advantage of money market to be spatial.” “这就意味着,两房集团会拖累米国的整体经济,米国的金融危机必然要彻底爆发了,会引发金融市场的高能利空。” The advantage empties this word, Kirilenko they can understand. In other words, money market must drop sharply. 利空这个词,基里连科他们还是能听懂的。也就是说,金融市场要大跌了。 A Fu Guangwei face cannot believe: „Feng Elder Brother, stockmarket of US what fell these many, but can also drop sharply?” 付光伟一脸的不敢相信:“冯哥,米国的股市什么的已经跌了这么多,还要大跌？” Although said stockmarket anything of US fell, but because that side investment amount are most, stockmarket has not arrived at the situation of crashing. 虽然说米国的股市什么的下跌了很多,但由于那边的投资金额最多,股市还没到崩盘的情况呢。 The bankruptcy of Brother Thunder Man, has made stockmarket of US is frightened by the slightest sound, so long as presented a significant negative news at this time again, then US Government again could not hold on stockmarket. 雷蔓兄弟的破产,就已经让米国的股市变得风声鹤唳,只要这时候再出现一个重大负面消息,那么米国政斧就再也拉不住股市了。 Actually not only stockmarket, including the crude oil, gold and other staple product the prices, largely will fall inevitably. 其实不只是股市,包括原油、黄金等大宗商品的价格,必然也会大幅下跌。 When bad news run all over the place, although is also opportunity many times, but more investors, definitely choose to draw cash, but is not these financial products. 在坏消息满天飞的时候,虽然也是机遇最多的时候,但更多的投资者,肯定都选择拿着钱,而不是那些金融产品。 The situation that once two groups took over by US Government explodes, then the high-energy advantage spatial appearance of money market, the crude oil definitely will drop sharply, stockmarket definitely will also drop sharply. 所以一旦两房集团被米国政斧接手的情况爆出来,那么金融市场的高能利空出现,原油就必然会大跌,股市也必然会大跌。 Fu Guangzheng stepped on a Fu Guangwei foot under the table, simultaneously saying with a laugh: „Feng Yu, said crude oil future that we invest, can enter the time of high-speed making money?” 付光正在桌子下面踩了付光伟一脚,同时笑呵呵的说道:“冯宇,这么说我们投资的原油期货,又要进入高速赚钱的时期了？” Fu Guangzheng white Fu Guangwei, you do not understand to ask, but reveals that suspicion the look to do? 付光正白了付光伟一眼,你不懂可以问,但是露出那个怀疑的神色干什么？ Suspects others to be able, how can suspect Feng Yu? These many years, has Feng Yu regarding the judgment of money market, made a mistake? 怀疑别人可以,怎么能怀疑冯宇？这么多年,冯宇对于金融市场的判断,出过错吗？ Makes money, but also that many idle talk! You have a look at others Kirilenko, has a look at He Laosan, is studying! 跟着赚钱的,还那么多废话！你看看人家基里连科,看看人家何老三,学着点！ „The speed that naturally, the crude price falls now is not fast, many people believe that the crude oil fell to about 80 US dollars was similar, the crude oil can re-enter the price ten US dollars high and low steady fluctuation time.” “当然,现在原油价格下跌的速度还不快,很多人认为,原油跌到80美元左右就差不多了,原油会重新进入价格十美元上下的平稳波动期。” „But if presents the high-energy advantage to be spatial, then the crude oil price will fall, breaks the crude oil the true value, lets our profits, becomes higher!” “但如果出现高能利空,那么原油的价格就会一路下跌,跌破原油的真实价值,让我们的利润,变得更高！” 50-60 US dollars, this is the crude oil true value that everybody generally thinks, but Feng Yu has also told them, that side the US starts to make that shale oil, but the cost of shale oil, almost takes over 60 US dollars, then the crude oil reasonable price, should be 70-80 US dollars is right. 五六十美元,这是大家普遍认为的原油真实价值,不过冯宇也跟他们说过,米国那边开始弄那个页岩油,而页岩油的成本,差不多要60美元以上,那么原油的合理价格,应该是七八十美元才对。 When financial crisis breaks out, this so-called reasonable price, must be broken, this without a doubt. 但是在金融危机爆发的时候,这个所谓的合理价格,肯定要被跌破,这点毋庸置疑。 Kirilenko also asked at this time: „Feng, you have not said that stockmarket falls, will stimulate the investor to invest money into other financial products on, stockmarket drops sharply, can't these hot money emerge to the futures market?” 基里连科这时候又问道:“冯,你不是说过,股市下跌,会刺激投资者将钱投入到其他金融产品上么,股市大跌,那些热钱不会涌入到期货市场吗？” Fu Guangwei is also an intellectual curiosity of face, he also thinks. 付光伟也是一脸的求知欲,他也是这么想的。 Feng Yu shakes the head: „Normally, wants to be normal. But if this advantage spatial news affected the entire money market, will then initiate falls on all fronts, leads to the true financial crisis.” 冯宇摇摇头:“正常情况下,这么想是正常的。但如果这个利空消息影响了整个金融市场,那么就会引发全线下跌,爆发真正的金融危机。” „When these investments may the loss, are you willing to invest? Thought, compares the security in the hand money Na? At this time, will you sell also out many financial products?” “当这些投资都有可能亏损的时候,你愿意去投资吗？是不是觉得,还是把钱拿在手里比较安全？这时候,你是不是也会卖掉许多金融产品？” „Gold?” Kirilenko pursues asks: „At this time, everybody shouldn't buy the gold? Means that the golden price can rise sharply?” “黄金呢？”基里连科追问道:“在这个时候,大家不是应该买黄金吗？是不是意味着,黄金的价格又要大涨了？” Gold as genuine international currency, when other product prices may drop sharply, will US dollar also in the depreciation, definitely have many people to invest the gold? 黄金作为真正的国际货币,在其他产品价格有可能大跌的时候,甚至就连美元也在贬值的时候,肯定会有许多人投资黄金吧？ Why the meaning of hear of Feng Yu, can the golden price also with falling? 为什么听冯宇的意思,就连黄金的价格也要跟着下跌呢？ „Scared, this will make many people also sell out the gold. Moreover many investors have owed in other aspects, will sell out the gold in their hand, makes up for the loss, went through the difficulty.” “恐慌,这个就会让许多人将黄金也卖掉。而且还有许多投资者在其他方面亏了,也会卖掉他们手中的黄金,弥补亏损,度过难关。” „You said is also reasonable, is not reasonable in other products, even US dollar, euro and other exchange rates must drop, definitely will have many people to purchase the gold, the golden price certainly will also rise.” “不过你说的也有道理,在其他产品都不靠谱,甚至就连美元、欧元等汇率也要下降的时候,肯定会有许多人购买黄金,黄金的价格也一定会涨。” „But the rise of gold rate, will fall inevitably also after a wave of gold rate, can welcome the slow growth.” “但是黄金价格的上涨,必然也会伴随着一波黄金价格下跌之后,才能迎来缓慢的增长。” „Therefore the golden price must certainly with falling at this time, do not think that for these days the gold rate rose again, you buy the rising gold, in less than several days, the gold will drop sharply.” “所以此时黄金的价格肯定也是要跟着下跌,不要以为这几天黄金价格回升了,你们就去买涨黄金,用不了几天,黄金就会大跌的。” „After however the gold rate falls to certain scope, is we buy the rising gold the time. However at that time, the crude oil price also will definitely pick up, but the scope of crude oil rise, must certainly surpass the gold. After all crude oil price, is impossible to be below the reasonable price.” “而等到黄金价格跌到一定幅度之后,才是我们买涨黄金的时候。不过那时候,原油的价格肯定也会出现回升,而原油回升的幅度,肯定也是要超过黄金的。毕竟原油的价格,不可能一直低于合理价格。” When the time comes crude oil price will turn time in several months, but the gold is impossible to have this increase scope. 到时候原油的价格会在短短几个月内翻倍,而黄金则不可能有这个涨幅。 Even if Feng Yu also thinks that the gold can rise, and increase scope is good, but he has not prepared to continue to invest the gold massively, invests the crude oil to be quite good first. 所以即使冯宇也认为黄金会上涨,且涨幅不错,但是他也没准备继续大量投资黄金,还是先投资原油比较好。 When the crude oil gained enough, invested the gold again, intersected is coming, letting him to have the good profit. 等原油这边赚够了,再去投资黄金,交叉着来,让他能一直有不错的利润。 „You know why I said the crude oil price can fall fast? Thinks that side OPEC?” “你们知道,为什么我说原油的价格会跌的飞快么？想想OPEC那边？” „You were said matter that they increased production?” The Fu Guangzheng doubts said. “你是说他们增产的事儿？”付光正疑惑道。 „Right, because not only but increases production. Do not forget, at this time Saudi Arabia and other countries wantonly are investing the capital construction, that needs the huge fund. Their reputation to the world first tall building anything has the frantic hobby, but must promote the tourism by this.” “没错,但不只是因为增产。不要忘了,此时阿联酋等国家都在大肆投资基建,那需要庞大的资金。他们对一些世界第一高楼什么的名头有着狂热的爱好,还要以此来振兴旅游业。” It looks like in Feng Yu, this looked like initially that side the China Sanya situation, caused the real estate to be surplus. Although said that here real estate market may not crash, but lends money to invest this, but also plays such in a big way, is the brain is simply remnant. 在冯宇看来,这就像是当初华夏三丫那边的情况,造成房地产过剩。虽然说这边的楼市不一定会崩盘,但是借钱投资这个,还玩这么大,简直就是脑残。 The time of capital construction is quite long, the fund re-steaming time is too long, this makes their interest increase unceasingly. They to render back the money, must increase production, many mining petroleums repay a debt, then the OPEC actual production increase, must certainly surpass them to plan to increase production. 基建的时间就比较长,资金回笼时间太长,这就让他们的利息不断增加。他们为了还钱,就必须要增产,多多的开采石油还债,那么OPEC实际增产的,肯定要超过他们计划增产的。 „These countries increase production, itself will make the crude price fall, but the crude price falls, stimulates them to increase production in turn, maintains the income, this is a vicious circle.” “那些国家增产,本身就会让原油价格下跌,而原油价格下跌,也反过来刺激他们增产,维持收入,这是一种恶性循环。” „Adds on this financial crisis again, will make many financial institutions lose money a lot of money, can they want to come back money Zhuan in other aspects? Is the oversell crude oil future, a good choice?” “再加上这次金融危机,会让许多金融机构亏损不少钱,他们会不会想要在其他方面将钱赚回来？卖空原油期货,是一个不错的选择吧？” The crude oil of previous generation breaks the reasonable price, if in this does not have promotions of these financial institutions, only the advantage spatial news of financial crisis, cannot achieve this point. 前世的原油跌破合理价格,这里面要是没有那些金融机构的推动,单凭一个金融危机的利空消息,是做不到这一点的。 This adds on also has Feng Yu their promotion, definitely will make the crude oil drop sharply, the price will be perhaps lower than the previous generation! 这一世加上还有冯宇他们的推动,肯定会让原油大跌的,说不定价格会比前世更低呢！ „In brief, everybody is waiting for the good news!” “总之,大家就等着好消息吧！” ...... ……
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